SELL GBPUSD - trade explained in detail using the Dollar IndexTrader Tom, a technical analyst with over 15 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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Beyond Technical Analysis
Weekly Forecast - Spoilt for choice with opportunity this weekWill the dollar correct higher or is the correction done and we're about to sell off aggressively?
I'm more in favor of the former which would correlate structurally with the daily pullbacks we're seeing on EurUsd and AudUsd, which have formed 1H ranges respectively and are pending EPD mitigation for a sell off.
After missed trades on Yen pairs today, I'll be looking for consolidation over Asian session before a continuation of the bearish momentum during London or New York session tomorrow (10/09/2024).
Ethereum - Keeping it simple with the market's progressionWe are potentially seeing HTF taper signs with our red tapered selling. Lot more work to do for a HTF bullish breakout but this could be the start to start breaking out of strong selling (orange) and building liquidity in a more controlled selling manner
Tesla 30 Min Correcting up now !!!!!!Good morning traders
Here is your 30 minute view of what the market looks like its doing:
Currently we have some strong resistance at 220-223 area: my best thesis is we hit here and then fall back down.
However we follow the market not predict it therefore if those levels break then I would not be surprised we go back to the top correct a touch and then break through and head up to the 280 range.
Any questions, what you like and dont like let me know happy to help where I can
MB Trader
AMD - HTF AnalysisNo trades clear to me on AMD as of now - I need to see some HTF algorithms proving themselves without any expectations. We do have a strong HTF buying continuation approaching but I would like to see some further tapering on the buy & sell side before expecting this to hold.
Happy Trading :)
TSLA Update - What went wrong and why we can still be bullishThank you to my followers for holding me accountable for a lapse in discipline - I identified a trade opportunity that had conditions - and some of those conditions were for us to taper along our tapered selling purple toward yellow and to see a yellow pickup. Clearly we didn't taper toward yellow and I jumped into a position on the touch of yellow. From the start there was signs against it as we had no tapering and the reaction to yellow was not what we should expect from a true strong bullish algorithm. When I had the chance to get out on a pullback and retest of that same yellow, I did, albeit for a loss on that trade.
Keep in mind, we are most recently respecting orange (more tapered) buying continuation. We can very easily get picked up here as we did a few weeks ago and make a strong ensuing move. However, the conditions need to be met where we find price tapering and building liquidity in our purple and green controlled selling algorithms prior to getting picked up by orange and activating yellow.
We will see what happens - but as always, prepare your trade as best as possible so that no matter what happens, you know when you're getting in and when you're getting out.
I can do better and I will do better - Let's all be better this week! At the end of the day, we are nothing without our discipline so that must stay top of mind when trading.
Happy Trading :)
SELL AUDUSD - Trade explained in detail Trader Tom, a technical analyst with over 15 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
We are proud to be an OFFICIAL Trading View partner so please support the channel by using the link below and unleash the power of trading view today!
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Tesla 4 hour- Daily are we correcting up if so how high ? Good afternoon traders
Currently basing on my thesis I see a correction of some sort how high this correction will go I am unsure however we do have some levels in place that will allows to understand where this market can go to.
Currently right now lets see how the market opens and see which levels hold which levels break.
Watch the video and let me know if you like it, hate it or want me to create more videos on how I trade and why in more specific detail.
Happy trading everyone
MB Trader
Tesla Video Analysis on the Monthly and Weekly Bearish ? Good morning everyone MB Trader here
Hopefully everyone is gearing up for a great week of trading:
Based on what we are currently seeing some current levels we will be hitting lower down to 150 range possibly lower if this market breaks down further.
Let me know what you think of the video; hate it , love it , want me to make more videos on something in particular let me know
Happy Sunday
MB Trader
BTC Crash coming to 49k -> Buy the Dip for All time HighsBTC Trade Idea
I expect BTC to hit the GETTEX:49K level, potentially dipping slightly lower as it fills a weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG). This zone will act as a key reversal point, where I anticipate a strong bounce and eventual rally back toward the all-time high (ATH).
I’ll also show confluence with the XRP chart, which is presenting a similar bullish structure, reinforcing the idea of a market-wide reversal at these levels. Stay tuned for the full technical breakdown!
Smart Money Positioned to SHORT Gold - COT StrategyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
SHORT
Gold (GC)
My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in GC if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal
Valuation: Overvalued vs Treasuries
Extreme Positioning: Commercials around max short of last 2 years = bearish.
True Seasonal: Seasonal down to October.
Supplementary Indicators: %R & Momentum (not yet confirmed)
Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside.
Good luck & good trading.
Smart Money Positioned to SHORT CAD - COT StrategyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
SHORT
Canadian Dollar (6C)
My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in 6C if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal
OI Analysis: Upmove in price has seen Commercials aggressively move to the short side - bearish.
Valuation: Overvalued vs Treasuries
True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency to go down to October.
COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal
Supplementary Indicators: %R
Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside.
Good luck & good trading.
Smart Money Positioned to SHORT JPY - COT StrategyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
SHORT
Japanese Yen (6J)
My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in 6B if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal
Valuation: Overvalued vs Gold & Treasuries
Extreme Positioning: Commercials most short they have been in last 3 years = bearish. Small Specs most long they have been in 3 years = bearish.
OI Analysis: OI has been increasing on up move. When OI increases, we need to ask "who caused the OI increase"? When it is caused by Large Specs & Small Specs, it is bearish.
True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency to go down to October.
COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal
Supplementary Indicators: %R & Momentum (not confirmed)
Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside.
Good luck & good trading.
Smart Money Positioned to LONG Platinum - COT StrategyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
LONG
Platinum (PL)
My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in PL if we get a confirmed bullish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal
Valuation: Undervalued vs Gold & Treasuries
Bullish Spread Divergence
Supplementary Indicators: Stochastic & %R
Remember, this is not a "Long Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the upside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the upside.
Good luck & good trading.
Smart Money Positioned to LONG Cotton - COT StrategyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
LONG
Cotton (CT)
My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in CT if we get a confirmed bullish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal
Valuation: Undervalued vs Gold
Extreme Positioning: Commercials around max long of last 3 years - bullish. Small specs around max short of last 3 years - bullish.
OI Analysis: "Bubble Up" of positioning happening between commercials and large specs = bullish.
COT Small Spec Index: Buy Signal
Supplementary Indicators: UO & Momentum (not yet confirmed)
Remember, this is not a "Long Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the upside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the upside.
Good luck & good trading.
Smart Money Positioned to LONG Soybeans - COT StrategyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
LONG
Soybeans (ZS)
My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in ZS if we get a confirmed bullish change of trend on the Daily timeframe. I note that I am already long as this market has been giving a buy signal for a few weeks.
COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal
Extreme Positioning: Commercials hovering around max long of last 3 years - bullish.
OI Analysis: "Bubble Up" in net positioning between commercials and large specs - bullish. Multi week down move has seen OI increase. When OI increases, we need to ask "who caused the increase in OI". When the OI increase is caused by Commercials adding to longs, it is bullish.
True Seasonal: Major seasonal low end of September and up to February.
COT Small Spec Index: Buy Signal
Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist, %R, UO, Stochastic & Confirmed Momentum Shift.
Remember, this is not a "Long Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the upside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the upside.
Good luck & good trading.
Smart Money Positioned to LONG Copper - COT StrategyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
LONG
Copper (HG)
My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in HG if we get a confirmed bullish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Buy
Sentiment: Advisors very bearish is actually...bullish.
OI Analysis: Multi week down move has seen OI decrease drastically while Commercials have added to longs = bullish.
Valuation: Undervalued vs Gold & Treasuries
Bullish Spread Divergence
Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist & %R
Remember, this is not a "Long Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the upside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the upside.
Good luck & good trading.
Smart Money Positioned to LONG RBOB - COT StrategyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
Long
(RBOB)
My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in RBif we get a confirmed bullish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal
Extreme Positioning: Commercials max long of last 3 years - bullish. Small specs max short of last 3 years - bullish.
OI Analysis: Multi week down move has seen OI increase. When OI increases, we need to ask "who is causing the OI increase?". In this case, OI is increasing as Commercials add to long positioning, which is bullish.
ADX: Paunch forming (but not confirmed until ADX rollover). This is a significant "end of trend" indication.
Front Month Premium - bullish.
COT Small Spec Index: Buy Signal
Supplementary Indicators: %R & Stochastic
Remember, this is not a "Long Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the upside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the upside.
Good luck & good trading.
Smart Money Positioned to LONG Crude Oil - COT StrategyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
LONG
Crude Oil (CL)
My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in CL if we get a confirmed bullish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal
OI Analysis: Generally last few weeks OI has drifted lower while CM's adding to longs - bullish. CM's approaching extreme long positioning, but not quite there yet.
True Seasonal: True seasonal to go up until mid October - bullish.
COT Small Spec Index: Buy Signal
Front Month Premium - Bullish
Supplementary Indicators: %R & Stochastic
Remember, this is not a "Long Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the upside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the upside.
Good luck & good trading.
Smart Money is Positioned to LONG Mexican Peso - COT StrategyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
LONG
Mexican Peso (6M)
My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in 6M if we get a confirmed bullish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal
Extreme Positioning: Commercials most long they have been since March 2023 - bullish. Small Specs most short they have been since June 2020 = bearish.
OI Analysis: Very low OI. Generally, bottoms are associated with low OI (public and large specs are not interested in this market, while commercials heavily adding to longs is bullish)
Valuation: Undervalued vs Gold & Treasuries = bullish.
COT Small Spec Index: Buy Signal
Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist , POIV, %R, Stochastic & Momentum (not yet confirmed)
Remember, this is not a "Long Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the upside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the upside.
Good luck & good trading.