Beyond Technical Analysis
Pattern Recognition Series Episode 1: GOLDHere's an in-depth look at Volume Spread Analysis.
We use tape reading to gauge future price movements based on the magnitude of previous price movements. This helps us determine the driving force of the market and position ourselves on the same side as the large operators within any market.
The key is understanding what VSA allows us to see.
Volume = activity therefore Ultra High Volume (UHV) shows the activity of not only the public but also the Large Operators of that particular asset.
This video shows that the demand in the upward trend channel diminished while the supply increased giving me the confidence to trade in alignment with the largest of the two opposing forces.
By use of Bar by Bar Volume Spread analysis the operator then uses each bar to quantify the upcoming price movement.
Climactic volume is a sign that prices are likely to reverse and that a stopping action has occurred. When analyzing UHV you want to assess the Effort (volume) and the Result(price).
Remember the markets abide by the laws of Supply and Demand, Effort vs Result, Cause and Effect, and the Law of Attraction.
I hope you guys enjoy the video!
Happy Trading!
-J Hair
BTCUSD Weekly AnalysisAnother One!!!! Ohhhhh how that call-out played out to perfection. But wait, there's more!
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
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BTC Higher Timeframe Outlook 70k Next -> Then 32kIn this video, I break down the market from a top-down perspective, analyzing from higher timeframes down to lower timeframes. I carefully frame key Points of Interest (POIs) to help identify potential trading opportunities.
Additionally, I share a specific short-term trade idea with detailed entry, exit, and risk management strategies. My first target is set at 70k, followed by 32k, and I explain the reasoning behind these levels. Watch to get a clear understanding of the current market structure and actionable insights for your trading journey.
Ducks in A Barrel Long Setups - BTC, SOL, TON & PADISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This for educational purposes only to show how I am looking to participate in these markets. Trading involves significant risk, do your own homework and due diligence.
Ducks in a Barrel Weekly-Daily Strategy
LONGS: BTC, SOL, TON
SHORT: PA
LONGS:
The crypto market is overall in a strong up trend based on weekly MA's sloping up. We see that BTC, SOL & TON are undervalued vs the price of Gold and Treasuries, and are oversold on stochastic. If we see a trend change to the upside on the Daily chart, I'll look to long these markets. I admit, I'd like to see sentiment more bearish, as currently sentiment is in the middle of the road. Perhaps one more flush to the downside would create some panic and bearish sentiment, which would make this trade idea even more valid.
SHORTS:
Palladium is in a strong weekly downtrend. Right now we are overvalued vs treasuries, but not yet overvalued vs gold or overbought. I'd like to see this market get overbought & overvalued vs gold to qualify looking for shorts on the daily time frame.
Good luck & Good trading.
Upside Ahead for Cotton - COT Strategy BuyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
LONG
Cotton (CT)
My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in CT if we get a confirmed bullish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal
Extreme Positioning: Commercials more long than they've been in 3 years = bullish.
OI Analysis: We are seeing a "Bubble Up" between Commercials & Large Specs. This is a sign of a significant bottom being formed.
Valuation: Undervalued VS Gold
COT Small Spec Index: Buy Signal
Supplementary Indicators: %R Buy Signal
Remember, this is not a "Buy Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the upside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the upside.
Good luck & good trading.
Downside Ahead For T Bonds - COT Strategy ShortDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
SHORT
T Bonds (ZB)
My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in ZB if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal
Extreme Positioning: Commercials most short they have been in last 3 years = bearish. Small Specs most long they have been in 3 years = bearish.
OI Analysis: Extreme high in OI. Generally, extremely high OI found at market tops.
True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency for t bonds to go down into October
COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal
Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist & POIV Sell Signals
Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside.
Good luck & good trading.
Downside Ahead for Gold - COT Strategy SellDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
SHORT
Gold (GC)
My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in GC if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal
Extreme Positioning: Most short Commercials have been since January 2021. Large specs longest they have been since March 2020.
OI Analysis: Price upward consolidation since April has seen Commercials heavily selling = bearish. Large Specs at longest positioning since March 2020 = bearish.
Valuation: Overvalued VS Treasuries
True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency for gold to go down in September
Spread: Bearish spread divergence
COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal
Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist, %R & Stochastic Sell Signals.
Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside.
Good luck & good trading.
Upside Ahead for Soybeans - COT Strategy LongDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
Long
Soybeans (ZS)
I got long Soybeans last week. This week we see the COT strategy still giving us signals to be on alert for long trades in ZS if we get bullish signals on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal
Extreme Positioning: Commercials close to the longest they have been in the last 3 years.
Valuation: Undervalued VS Gold
ADX: Paunch forming (but not confirmed yet)
Supplementary Indicators: %R & Stochastic Buy Signals
Remember, this is not a "Buy Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the upside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the upside.
Good luck & good trading.
Upside Ahead for Crude Oil - COT Strategy LongDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
LONG
Crude Oil (CL)
My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in CL if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal
OI Analysis: Down move since July and recent consolidation has seen CM's getting more long.
Valuation: Undervalued VS GOld
True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency for oil to go up to mid October.
Front Month Premium: Front month delivery contracts selling at premium to further out contracts. This is bullish, and is a sign that we could see a commercially driven bull move.
COT Small Spec Index: Buy Signal
Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist Buy Signal
Remember, this is not a "Long Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the upside.
Good luck & good trading.
Upside Ahead for Mexican Peso - COT Strategy LongDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
LONG
Mexican Peso (6M)
My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in 6M if we get a confirmed bullish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal
Extreme Positioning: Commercials most long they've been since March 2023 = bullish.
OI Analysis: Down move since May has seen Commercials adding to long positioning, which is bullish. Small Specs are at an extreme in short positioning. Also, OI is at its lowest level since 2022, generally low OI is found at bottoms.
Sentiment: Bearish advisor sentiment is a contrarian signal which we look to fade.
Valuation: Undervalued vs Treasuries & Gold
ADX: Paunch forming (but not yet confirmed).
True Seasonal: General grind up to mid September
COT Small Spec Index: Buy Signal
Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist, POIV, %R Buy Signals
Remember, this is not a "Buy Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside.
Good luck & good trading.
Downside Ahead for JPY - COT Strategy Sell DISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
SHORT
JPY (6J)
My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in 6J if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal
Extreme Positioning: Commercials at extreme in long positioning, most long since 2021. Small Specs at extreme in long positioning, most long since 2021. All this is bearish.
Valuation: Overvalued VS Treasuries & Gold
OI Analysis: Upmove since July has seen CM's quickly shift to strong short position = bearish.
True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency for this currency to go down into October.
COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal
Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist, POIV & Stochastic Sell Signals
Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside.
Good luck & good trading.
Downside Ahead for Aussie - COT Strategy Short DISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
SHORT
Australian Dollar (6A)
My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in 6A if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal
OI Analysis: Last 3 weeks of price rally has seen OI increasing while the CM's have been getting out of their longs. This is bearish.
ADX: Pinch forming.
Valuation: Overvalued VS Treasuries
True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency for this currency to go down to early October.
COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal
Supplementary Indicators: POIV, %R & Stochastic Sell Signals
Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside.
Good luck & good trading.
Russell 2000 - COT Based Strategy Suggests Downside AheadDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
SHORT
Russell 2000 (RTY)
My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in RTY if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal
Valuation: Overvalued VS Treasuries
True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency for equities to go down in September
COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal
Supplementary Indicators: POIV & UO Sell Signals
Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside.
Good luck & good trading.
SELL AUDNZD - Swing trade explained in detail Trader Tom, a technical analyst with over 15 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
We are proud to be an OFFICIAL Trading View partner so please support the channel by using the link below and unleash the power of trading view today!
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The Ugly Truth About Aflac Inc: An Insurance GiantToday, I'm diving deep into the ugly truth about Aflac Incorporated and challenging myself to uncover the real reasons behind this insurance giant's imminent price downfall!
In this eye-opening video, we delve into the ugly truth about Aflac Incorporated, one of the largest insurance giants in the industry. Discover the factors that have contributed to a downfall that lurks, and explore the dark side of a company that once stood as a symbol of reliability and trust. From financial missteps to management controversies, we uncover the hidden challenges that have plagued Aflac and will eventually lead to its decline.
Join in as we analyse the company's history, the impact of its decisions on policyholders, and what this means for the future of the insurance market technically. Whether you're a customer, investor, or simply curious about the inner workings of large corporations, this video provides valuable insights into the complexities of Aflac's journey.
Don't forget to like, share, and subscribe for more content that dives deep into the world of finance and corporate affairs! #Aflac #Insurance #Corporate Downfall
Hold Your Breath: META's Bold Drop Ahead!Join me as I dive into the wild world of META and try to predict their next big move before it happens!
In today's video, we dive deep into the alarming news surrounding META and its potential imminent dumping action! What does this mean for the company and its investors? Join us as we analyse the latest developments, explore the reasons behind this shocking move, and discuss the implications it may have on the tech industry as a whole. We'll break down the data, share expert insights, and provide you with everything you need to know about META's future.
Don't miss out on this critical analysis that could affect your investment decisions!
Be sure to like, comment, and subscribe for more updates on META and the tech world.
THE NVIDIA DUMPING ACTION IS COMING: Don't Say I Didn't Warn YouJoin me as I dive into the world of NVIDIA and see if I can predict the next big move in their dumping action!
In this video, we dive deep into the imminent dumping action surrounding NVIDIA and what it could mean for investors and the tech industry. With recent market trends and analysis pointing towards potential sell-offs, we discuss the signs to watch for and the implications of such actions on NVIDIA's stock performance. Whether you're a seasoned investor or a tech enthusiast, understanding the upcoming market shifts is crucial. Don't say I didn't warn you!
Join us as we break down the data, share insights, and prepare for what lies ahead in the world of NVIDIA.
Make sure to subscribe for more updates and analysis on tech stocks and market trends!
Amazon - Give me another -10%...NASDAQ:AMZN did not create a sustainable all time high yet and might head lower short term.
Click image above to see detailed analysis
Short term counter-trend moves are always very welcome because they allow you to enter trading opportunities within a major higher timeframe trend. After Amazon actually broke above the previous all time high but immediately closed back below, we knew that this was a false breakout. If we get a short term move lower, we might get another textbook trading opportunity.
Levels to watch: $140
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
INTC looking extremely bullish for a swing trade!🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
SNXUSD About to Explode: x97 Surge Imminent!Join me as I dive into the world of SNXUSD and challenge myself to predict if this x97 surge is really about to happen!
Are you ready for a potential game-changer in the cryptocurrency market? In this video, we dive deep into the SNXUSD (Synthetix) and explore why analysts believe it's on the brink of an explosive x97 surge! 🚀
Join us as we break down the latest market trends, technical analysis, and key factors driving the price action of SNXUSD. We'll discuss the underlying technology, the role of Synthetix in decentralized finance (DeFi), and what this surge could mean for investors.
Whether you're a seasoned trader or just getting started, this video is packed with valuable insights that could help you make informed decisions. Don’t miss out on the chance to learn about the potential of SNXUSD and how to position yourself ahead of this imminent explosion!
🔔 Like, Share and Subscribe for more updates on cryptocurrency trends and analysis, and hit the notification bell so you never miss a moment of the action!
#SNXUSD #Cryptocurrency #Investing #Synthetix #DeFi #CryptoSurge #marketanalysistoday #bitcoin #cryptocurrencyprediction #investing #cryptoprediction #trading #altcoins #marketanalysis
SELL EURAUD - trade explained in detail Trader Tom, a technical analyst with over 15 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
We are proud to be an OFFICIAL Trading View partner so please support the channel by using the link below and unleash the power of trading view today!
www.tradingview.com
Disney - Don't Miss This Reversal Now!Disney ( NYSE:DIS ) is about to retest strong support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Even though Disney has been consolidating for about 10 years now, it is still providing bullish trading setups. Especially the current horizontal support has been holding Disney above water and it is more than likely that Disney will create another bullish reversal away from this level.
Levels to watch: $85
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)