Beyond Technical Analysis
Tesla Wave Analysis: Key Weekly to 30-Minute Projections to WatcHey traders, here’s a quick Tesla update! We’re sitting around $238, and here are the key scenarios I’m watching:
Scenario 1: If we hold here, we could see a move up to $250 before a deeper correction.
Scenario 2: We might break down to $235-$233, then potentially rebound from there.
Worst Case #1: If a deeper correction happens now, Tesla could drop to $222, but eventually head toward $260.
Worst Case #2: If we break below $222, then $210 is imminent. This would be a major red flag, so we need to be careful—it could lead to further breakdown in the market.
What do you think? Agree with these levels? I’d love to hear your feedback on what you like, don’t like, or any thoughts you have. Let’s stay sharp and safe out there!
MB Trader
How I Perform My Analysis (ICT Concepts)This video is for educational purposes, but feel free to enjoy the analysis using ICT Concepts.
I had trouble uploading this a couple of days ago, but finally works.
Update on the analysis, price came to a Daily SIBI, but the overall directional bias and target should still be intact.
- R2F
Tesla on the Rise: Can We Hit $350Hey traders! MB Trader here—hope everyone had a great week of trading. Let's dive into Tesla and talk about two potential scenarios I'm watching closely. There are some key levels in play, so here’s a quick breakdown of what could happen next:
Scenario 1: Correct and Push Higher
-We could see a correction, but Tesla might still head upwards toward the $250 range.
-This means a short-term pullback followed by a rise to $250 before any bigger correction hits.
This is the scenario I’m leaning toward until we get more data confirming the move.
Scenario 2: Deeper Correction Before Rebound
-If the correction goes deeper, Tesla could drop to $223-$228 before rebounding.
-This range is a crucial support level to watch—if it holds, we correct back up.
But, if that level doesn’t hold, we could break down toward $200 or even lower.
What I'm Thinking:
Right now, I’m more inclined toward the idea of hitting $250 first, then seeing a deeper pullback.
However, I'm staying cautious until we get more data, as Tesla’s moves can be unpredictable.
Let’s see how this plays out—stay sharp and keep those key levels on your radar. Talk soon!
COT Strategy - SHORT JAPANESE YENDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
SHORT
Japanese Yen (6J)
My COT strategy has me on alert for new short trades in 6J if we get additional bearish entry triggers (this week a divergence entry triggered short).
COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal
Valuation: Overvalued vs Gold & Treasuries
Extreme Positioning: Commercials most short they have been in last 3 years = bearish. Small Specs most long they have been in 3 years = bearish.
OI Analysis: OI has been increasing on up move. When OI increases, we need to ask "who caused the OI increase"? When it is caused by Large Specs & Small Specs, it is bearish.
True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency to go down to October.
COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal
Supplementary Indicators: %R
Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside.
Good luck & good trading.
COT Strategy - Crude Oil LongsDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
Crude Oil (CL)
My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in CL again this week. To clarify, this was setup last week also, and triggered me long this week via a CCI divergence long trigger. Based on this weeks COT strategy analysis, I think this is a nice market for further upside and will look to enter again via 18MA & 10H8C MAC entry methods.
COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal.
Net Positioning: Max long of last 3 years - bullish.
Small Spec Index: Buy Signal.
Valuation: Undervalued vs Gold & Treasuries.
Front Month Premium Market.
True Seasonal up to Mid October.
Supplementary Indicators: Stochastic.
Remember, this is not a "Long Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the upside, which we will participate in with a Daily long trigger.
Good luck & good trading.
Looking for a MSFT support bounce! 🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: 16 - 20 SeptemberWeekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: S&P 500, Fed Cuts Interest Rates, US Dollar, S&P/ASX 200 Index
Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights.
- S&P 500 Sets Record Ahead of Fed Decision
- Fed Cuts Interest Rates by 0.5%
- Dollar Trades Mixed after Fed Rate Cut
- Australian S&P/ASX 200 Index Hits All-Time High
Stay in the know and empower yourself with our short, yet power-packed video. Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen. Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.
Quarter Theory: Intraday Trading Mastery - Part 2 ExamplesGreetings Traders!
In today's video, we'll continue our deep dive into Quarter Theory Intraday Trading Mastery—a model rooted in the algorithmic nature of price delivery within the markets. We’ll explore the concept of draw on liquidity through premium and discount price delivery, equipping you to identify optimal trading sessions and execute high-probability trades, all while aligning with market bias.
This video is part of our ongoing High Probability Trading Zones playlist on YouTube. If you haven't watched the previous videos, I highly recommend doing so. They provide essential insights into identifying and acting on market bias, which Quarter Theory enhances further.
I highly recommend you watch ICT2022 Mentorship model on YouTube, it will really help you in your trading journey, the link to the mentorship is provided below.
I’ll attach the links to those videos in the description below.
Quarter Theory: Intraday Trading Mastery - Part 1 Intro:
Premium Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading:
ICT 2022 Mentorship: www.youtube.com
High Probability Trading Zones: www.youtube.com
Best Regards,
The_Architect
SELL CHFJPY - trade explained in detail Trader Tom, a technical analyst with over 15 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
We are proud to be an OFFICIAL Trading View partner so please support the channel by using the link below and unleash the power of trading view today!
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Cup and Handle Setup in SilverSilver has just formed a Cup and Handle pattern, suggesting it may begin trending significantly higher soon.
This pattern is very similar to what we saw with Gold at the end of last year, where we also discussed the Cup and Handle set-up. At that time, my projection for Gold was that it would start trending much higher soon. From USD 2,000, it has now reached around USD 2,600, with more potential upside to come.
Micro Silver Futures
Ticker: SILZ4
Minimum fluctuation:
0.005 per troy ounce = $5.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
SELL EURUSD - trade explained in detail Trader Tom, a technical analyst with over 15 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
We are proud to be an OFFICIAL Trading View partner so please support the channel by using the link below and unleash the power of trading view today!
www.tradingview.com
NVIDIA's Four-Hour Dip: A Macro Correction or Bigger Shift UPGood afternoon or evening, traders!
What a rollercoaster of a day! The market followed our expectations—correcting, then taking a dive. But wow, did anyone expect that explosive breakout at 9:30 am? That’s the thrill of the open!
In this video, I'm staying neutral, but here’s what we need to watch: a breakout above 119-120 opens the door to 140 and beyond—a very real possibility. On the flip side, a dip below current levels could see us exploring the 90 range. Something to keep in mind!
Thanks for watching, and apologies if I sound a bit tired—it’s been an intense day.
Happy trading, and let’s keep riding those waves!
MB Trader
NVDA MICRO ANALYSIS TO LOOK FOR ON WHERE WE ARE GOING Good evening traders,
It's super late here; however, I wanted to inform you of some levels with this video to give you the information needed to make a better trade.
Based on what I see, we can do the following:
-Correct up to the middle pitchfork area and head back down.
-Correct up to the 50%, 61.8%, or 78.2% fib line and back down.
-Break all those levels up and keep going to 145.
Let me know what you think of the video: questions, comments, what you liked, didn't like—let me know in the comments below.
Happy hunting,
MB Trader
SELL GBPAUD - trade explained in detail Trader Tom, a technical analyst with over 15 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
We are proud to be an OFFICIAL Trading View partner so please support the channel by using the link below and unleash the power of trading view today!
www.tradingview.com