Beyond Technical Analysis
TSLA’s Next Big Move: Collapse or Skyrocket? Key Levels to WatchTesla (TSLA) is approaching key price levels that will determine its next move.
Potential Downside:
-If TSLA drops below $297, the next level to watch is $292.
-A break below $292 could lead to $283.
-If $283 fails, the price may drop significantly toward $222.
Potential Upside:
-If TSLA reverses, it could rise back to $384.
-A breakout above $384 could push it to $431 and beyond.
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Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
Set Up & Data Collection | Day 1 of 21 | Back Test With Me21-Day Backtesting Plan
A Step-by-Step Challenge to Master One Pair and Develop an Unshakable Trading Edge
Backtesting is the foundation of trading mastery. This 21-day plan is designed to help you deeply understand GBPUSD, refine your strategy, and build the confidence needed to trade with precision. Each day introduces a specific focus, challenge, and takeaway, progressively strengthening your ability to read market movements.
Week 1: Laying the Foundation – Market Structure & Patterns
📅 Day 1: Set Up & Data Collection
Task: Gather at least 6 months of historical GBPUSD data on your charting platform.
Challenge: Define your testing parameters (e.g., timeframe, session focus, lot size).
Takeaway: Clarity in what you’re testing prevents randomness in your results.
Are you up for our 21 Day Backtesting Challenge?
Drop Your Thoughts in the Comment Section, boost the post, share with your friends and follow me on Trading View if you had an aha moment.
-TL
Me and NVDA are having real relationship issues... I'm bearish.Video says it all. I've wanted to short this countless times but I think i'll finally follow through in the coming days if I get the right opportunity.
I guess this just speaks to a larger market-wide short bias? Idk you tell me.
Happy Trading :)
DPZ - Another Trade of the Year Candidate!I did a video on DPZ and why I was bullish a few months ago but this video is regarding a more recent snipe trade - post earnings getting filled on shares at a level that I had sitting and waiting. That's the beauty of shares and algorithms! Within day 1 the position was up upwards of 5% because of the confidence we have in our algos!
Happy trading :)
THE XRP (and crypto) analysis you needed and were looking forDon't let one big green candle confuse you. Is this the takeoff into ATH's? Maybe. Is it worth being wrong? No.
Be patient, identify what "makes sense" for price to do - Meaning: If price came to _____ point, I would put all my eggs in the basket because all the stars (i.e. market dynamics) align.
That's what I've identified here on XRP. But that's just me. If you want to jump on the crypto train NOW then go for it - don't let me stop you. I just look at and study market dynamics and identify what makes sense - and to me, this pump isn't the end all be all of the liquidity build. If anything it's a trap for YOU.
Happy Trading :)
(For further context on everything, watch my previous BTC & XRP videos linked below)
RKLB - Accidental Trade of the Year!Had forgotten about this limit order and didn't even trade Friday. Came back Saturday night to 30% profit on a trade I didn't even know I'd taken.
Two simple pieces of analysis I used to set up this trade - Controlled selling algorithm (i.e. Liquidity builder) and recent large demand zone (there was only one on this chart so identifying the proper one was easy).
Happy Trading :)
NU - Updated analysis and how to build a position hereWe already at pretty attractive levels to be building a position on NU but it may get even better. We should see some intentional movement in the coming days to allow for big money to enter as well.
Something to keep on the watchlist for sure because one good earning report or news report and this is a $20 company easily.
Happy Trading :)
TSLA Updated analysis and some short term trade ideasI got filled exactly where I expected price to find some support - at the bottom of our white HTF controlled selling algo which you can see from the past is a very intentional algorithm. I got shares filled at the 173/180 levels and plan to unload those fairly soon (215/220) as I do not see this recent selling as controlled at all and therefore am not looking for a larger HTF breakout back to the 3/400's. But considering I am long shares right now - that is just the trader in me making profits where I strongly anticipated a bounce. Same thing on AMD which I will share in an upcoming video.
Happy Trading :)
Analyzing the S&P - Understanding algos on a fresh chartThis will be very helpful for those looking at a bare chart and are not certain how to proceed.
This is a somewhat advanced but also very basic walk through of how we can analyze the S&P and broader market in 10 minutes. I can do this for hours and get into way more detail as I do with my students but this will be a helpful refresher for those following my videos - which have already built in algorithms drawn - as to how to start from scratch and what all these lines mean.
Keep in mind however that I do not touch on creating and understanding supply & demand levels here which is a very important part of the confirmation process for actual trading.
Happy Trading all :)
SELL EURUSD - Dollar strength is BACK!!!!Trader Tom, a technical analyst with over 16 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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BTC still on bearish movement#BTCUSD on bearish retracment, price is still bearish till 73800 which have bullish reverse.
Firstly we need to see price to break below 79300 which is sell stop on #BTC sell, Target 76k-73800.
Below 73800 holds bullish retracment which will push the price above 81k-82k for new confirmation.
Price bullish on #BTC is not valid yet.
General Market Analysis - SMC Point of ViewIn this video I go through an analysis of DXY, EURUSD, USDCHF, OIL, and BTC. I also delve into why I think some short-term manipulation is happening and share my narrative.
I am not fond of giving a long description here when I give my analysis in the video, so please enjoy and share your thoughts.
- R2F Trading
Crude Oil - The Manipulation of Trend LinesIn this example on Crude Oil I give some insight into how trendlines and traditional support & resistance theories may be used by "smart money" for the purposes of facilitating their positions via inducing liquidity.
Basically, trendlines are drawn along the highs or lows of price movements and help to identify the direction and strength of a trend. They serve as visual guidelines for traders, highlighting potential turning points or continuation patterns. Support and resistance levels are areas where the price historically finds a floor or ceiling, leading many market participants to place their entry and exit orders around these zones. Because these levels are based on historical price action, they hold significant psychological value among retail traders.
The Mechanism of Liquidity Manipulation
Liquidity Pools and Stop Loss Clusters:
Retail traders often cluster their stop losses near prominent support or resistance levels. Smart money is aware of these liquidity pools and can engineer price moves to trigger these stops. For example, by intentionally nudging the price through a known support level, institutional players can trigger a cascade of stop-loss orders. This “stop run” injects a burst of liquidity into the market, which can then be absorbed as positions are liquidated at less favorable prices for retail traders.
False Breakouts and Reversals:
Another common tactic involves creating false breakouts. A price move that breaks above a resistance level (or below a support level) might initially appear to signal a new trend. However, smart money can deliberately drive prices just past these technical barriers to trigger stop-loss orders and entry orders. Once sufficient liquidity is collected from the triggered orders, they may reverse the move. This reversal traps traders who anticipated a sustained breakout, leaving them with positions that quickly turn against them.
Exploiting Herd Behavior and Market Sentiment:
The widespread reliance on technical analysis means that many traders have similar expectations about where price will reverse or accelerate. This collective mindset, or herd behavior, creates predictable zones of liquidity. Smart money can capitalize on these self-fulfilling prophecies by anticipating the mass reaction around key trendlines and support/resistance levels. They use this insight to position themselves ahead of the crowd, executing large trades that move the market in their favor.
Strategic Benefits for Smart Money
By manipulating these common technical levels, smart money participants can:
Maximize Efficiency: Accumulate or distribute large positions with minimal market impact by tapping into pre-existing liquidity pools.
Control Market Direction: Influence short-term price movements to create advantageous conditions for larger trades.
Enhance Risk-Reward Profiles: Trigger stop losses at critical junctures, effectively reducing their own risk while capitalizing on forced exits from retail traders.
Conclusion
While trendlines and support/resistance are invaluable tools for assessing market structure and potential price movements, they also serve as instruments for liquidity manipulation by experienced market participants. The predictable nature of stop-loss placements and entry orders around these levels creates opportunities for smart money to trigger cascades of orders, generating liquidity in their favor. As a result, retail traders must be aware of these dynamics and consider them when planning their trades, acknowledging that what appears to be a genuine breakout may, in fact, be a carefully orchestrated move to capture liquidity.
This nuanced understanding highlights the double-edged nature of technical analysis tools in modern trading. By appreciating both their utility and potential for manipulation, traders can better navigate the complex interplay between market psychology and institutional strategy.