Beyond Technical Analysis
Natural Gas is Ready For a Commercially Driven Bull MoveNatural gas is nicely setup for longs if we get a confirmed bullish trend change on the daily.
-Extreme commercial long positioning (most long they've been in the last 3 years) - bullish.
-Investment advisor sentiment very bearish - which is actually bullish.
-Undervalued vs gold & treasuries - bullish.
-ADX under 40 while commercials got extremely long - bullish.
-Bullish spread divergence between front month and next month out - bullish.
-Small specs at extreme in short positioning - bullish.
-True seasonal & some cycles are not supportive of going long, but these are the last things I look at. Enough indicators are supporting longs that I'm not going to worry about this.
-Bullish momentum divergence has triggered on some high timeframes, implying much higher prices are on the cards for Natty. There is also some smaller bullish weekly divergence currently setup (but not confirmed).
Have a good week.
COT Analysis - Currencies - DXY 6E & 6M SET UP FOR TRADES!COT analysis shows that the Euro and Mexican peso are nicely setup for longs upon a confirmation of bullish trend change on the daily. The only "fly in the ointment" here is that the DXY commercial positioning is still very bullish, which is a bit of a mixed signal. Ideally, we like to see the DXY & majors give opposing signals simultaneously.
That being said, 6E & 6M are nicely setup for longs upon a confirmed daily bullish trend change.
Have a good week.
Using Renko Charts to Uncover SECRET Bank LevelsRenko charting has a unique way of displaying price data by filtering out smaller fluctuations and focusing only on substantial price moves. With a setting of Average True Range (ATR) 13, Renko charts become even more powerful for finding key institutional levels—what many traders call "secret bank levels." These are the levels where large institutional traders place their orders, often leading to significant price moves. In this tutorial, we’ll dive into how you can use Renko charts with an ATR setting of 13 to identify these bank levels and improve your trading strategy.
What Are Secret Bank Levels?
Institutional or bank levels are price points where big players—like banks and hedge funds—are likely to buy or sell in large quantities. Retail traders can leverage these levels by understanding where the big money is moving, aligning their trades accordingly. Renko charts, with their clarity in price movement, help identify these areas by smoothing out noise and highlighting essential support and resistance zones.
Why Renko Charts?
Renko charts are designed to filter out minor price movements, providing a cleaner view of market trends by focusing solely on significant price changes. Unlike time-based charts, Renko charts print a new "brick" only when price moves by a specified amount, determined here by the ATR 13 setting. This brick-by-brick approach can reveal clear levels where price repeatedly finds support or resistance, often signaling where major institutions are setting up their positions.
Setting Up Renko with ATR (13)
Choose Your Charting Platform: Most charting software, including TradingView and MetaTrader, offers Renko charting. Make sure your platform supports Renko and ATR-based calculations.
Configure Renko with ATR (13):
Open the Renko chart on your selected asset (e.g., EUR/USD, GBP/USD).
In your settings, set the brick size to use the ATR indicator and specify an ATR length of 13. This setting is designed to adjust the brick size based on the recent average true range, capturing a balanced view of price movement.
This 13-period setting adapts to recent market volatility, allowing Renko bricks to reveal significant price movements that matter to large institutional players.
Adjust Timeframes:
Since Renko charts don’t follow traditional time-based intervals, switch between higher and lower timeframes (like the 1-hour or 4-hour charts) to observe different levels of institutional interest. Higher timeframes generally provide more reliable secret bank levels, but you can switch to lower timeframes for refined entry points.
Identifying Bank Levels with Renko and ATR (13)
Now that your chart is set up, let's move on to the process of identifying institutional levels.
1. Look for Brick Clusters at Key Levels
Renko bricks tend to form clusters at significant institutional levels. When you see several bricks stacked horizontally with little movement, it often indicates a zone where price is struggling to break through, either as strong support or resistance.
Use these clusters as potential entry or exit points, aligning with the institutional flow.
2. Identify Breakouts and Rejections
When price breaks out of a cluster or encounters rejection (where bricks reverse direction after hitting a level), you may be witnessing bank-level reactions.
Watch for bricks that quickly shift direction after hitting a level—these can signal that institutions have stepped in to either push price further or halt its momentum.
3. Note Patterns and Reversals at Round Numbers
Banks and institutions often place orders at round numbers, which are psychologically significant levels (like 1.2000, 1.2500).
As Renko charts with ATR (13) are sensitive to significant price changes, they can help highlight when price respects or bounces off these round numbers, offering clues to potential institutional zones.
Practical Example: Trading Secret Bank Levels with Renko
Let’s say you’re analyzing EUR/USD on a Renko chart with an ATR 13 setting.
Identify Clusters at 1.2000: After setting up your chart, you observe a cluster of Renko bricks at 1.2000, indicating a strong support zone. This level has held multiple times, suggesting institutional buying interest.
Wait for a Brick Breakout: You then see price breaking out with consecutive Renko bricks closing above 1.2000. This breakout suggests that the buying pressure might push prices higher.
Enter and Manage Your Position:
Take a buy position after confirming the breakout. Set your stop loss just below the cluster at 1.1980 to minimize risk.
If you’re looking for a shorter-term position, aim for profit at the next round number, like 1.2100.
For a longer-term trade, follow Renko’s direction, adjusting your stop as the bricks move.
Tips for Trading Bank Levels with Renko and ATR (13)
Trust Your Levels: Renko charts can simplify your analysis, but it’s easy to second-guess your levels. If you’ve identified strong clusters or patterns at certain price points, trust your analysis.
Use Alerts to Avoid Over-Trading: TradingView and other platforms allow you to set alerts at specific price levels. This way, you won’t need to stare at charts all day.
Thank you for watching and feel free to leave a comment to let me know your thoughts on Renko and if you see yourself using this chart type.
-TL Turner
Tracking Economy with this Ratio – Copper vs Gold RatioThe Fed is using the Copper / Gold ratio in tracking economy and its growth.
Currently, the copper / gold ratio is still trending downward, which indicates that the economy may not be recovering that soon.
Copper Oil Futures & Options
Ticker: HG
Minimum fluctuation:
0.0005 per pound = $12.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Australian Dollar / New Zealand DollarHello dear trader friends,
I have prepared a video analyzing the Australian Dollar against the New Zealand Dollar. In this video, I have examined the major trend, which is bullish. However, in the daily structure, we only have two order blocks. The first order block (dissequential) proved ineffective and broke the trendline. Therefore, I am waiting to buy at the (extreme) order block.
To refine my analysis, I moved to the 4-hour timeframe to expand my ideas. In the 4-hour timeframe, my trend has turned bullish. Before the price reaches my sell order block, if the price hits the two buy order blocks, I will enter a buy position. If it reaches the sell order block sooner, I will consider entering a sell position and cancel the two buy orders, keeping the trade until the end.
Thank you, and I hope this information is helpful to you. If you have any questions, I would be happy to assist!
Thank you very much,
Fereydoon Bahrami
"A retail trader in the Wall Street trading center (Forex)."
BUY EURUSD - entry strategy explainedTrader Tom, a technical analyst with over 15 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
We are proud to be an OFFICIAL Trading View partner so please support the channel by using the link below and unleash the power of trading view today!
www.tradingview.com
Solana Full Analysis Everything You Need to Know Afternoon Traders
So I break down Solana for you today as its shaping up our first tp is 189 that we are heading to however if we break past that 195 is a great next tp to get to.
In this video I go through the levels and why behind it to make sure you understand what levels to look out for when trading.
If you found this video helpful let me know with a comment, follow or boost. I appreciate it
Mindbloome Trading/ Kris
Trade What You See
Tesla Weekly to 4 Hour Deep Analysis EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOWMorning Trading Family
Tesla broke out of the zone we expected it would with a quick fake for the bears then the positive news punched Tesla up like no tomorrow.
Today I break Tesla down into the nitty gritty using all the tools to give you levels to look out for in the coming days.
Overall Tesla can hit 300 and beyond but we have a few levels to hit before we get there.
Enjoy the video
If you liked this content, follow, like, share and boost: truly grateful for your time and your comments
Mindbloome Trading
Trade What You See
Are WE ready to fly to 100K on BTC?! Check this out!Are YOU ready to join this financial revolution? Are YOU already in? Share your thoughts on this!
Bitcoin (BTC) is back in the spotlight, and the question on everyone’s mind is: Are WE ready to soar to $100K?! 💸🚀
With the world watching the successful launch of the BTC ETFs earlier this year, market trends showing resilience, and whispers of major institutional investors coming in, the future for BTC is looking brighter than ever! 🌕
The road to $100K won’t be a straight shot, and volatility is always part of the game. But with strategic planning, strong HODLing, and the right moves, WE might just be on the brink of something huge.📈
Get ready before we take off!
#BTC100K #BitcoinTo100K #CryptoInvestment #BitcoinHODL #BTCCommunity #CryptoFuture #AMFinancialPeak #FinancialFreedom #WealthBuilding #Diversification #BTC #HODL
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only, not a recommendation! Never assume that an investment will continue to do well in the future simply because it's done well in the past. Seek knowledge and professional help!
BTCUSDMidweek Update. Follow Up on current Sell call/trade & what to look for next. But Price is doing exactly what the Candles told me....
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
#Like #Share #Subscribe #PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #ScalperTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #HighLevelTrader
Vistra's Nuclear Hype Is Getting Out Of HandHey all!
Welcome back - today we're talking about Vistra, the energy utility company that has been on a huge run in 2024.
Will shares continue their march, or is now a good time to cash in on gains? Let's dive in and find out.
Want more high-quality trade ideas? Follow us below. ⬇️⬇️
Tesla Great Bearish Trade if We go South Good morning Trading Family
Currently with Tesla, an update we made a lower low which is great news for the bears. However we can still go to 213.82 and punch up hard with a bullish movement up.
However if we break down further this can be a great trade for the bears down to 190
Put your alerts in for 213.80-90 zone and lets see what happens with this news coming out today
Mindbloome Trading
Trade What You See
BUY GBPCHF - entry strategy explainedTrader Tom, a technical analyst with over 15 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
We are proud to be an OFFICIAL Trading View partner so please support the channel by using the link below and unleash the power of trading view today!
www.tradingview.com
HFTs gaps: Learn how to enter a stock before a huge gap up.High Frequency Trading companies are market makers/takers that provide liquidity for the public exchanges, and they now use AI. HFTs have a huge impact on your profitability. You can make higher profits from trading ahead of the HFT gaps and riding the momentum upward or downward.
In this short video, you'll learn some basics on how to identify the patterns that precede HFT gaps, which I call Pro Trader Nudges . Learn what to look for in Volume patterns and pre-gap price action.
Make sure you are not chasing HFTs but riding the wave of momentum they create, just like professional traders do.
Surviving Drawdown: The Battle Between You and the MarketThe Battle Between You and the Market
Every trader, no matter how seasoned, eventually encounters the nemesis of every strategy: drawdown. It’s that dreaded phase where the market isn’t quite ready to move in the direction of your bias, and your account balance starts to bleed. The key to surviving drawdown isn’t just about protecting your capital—it’s about protecting your mind. The mental toll of seeing your carefully plotted trades go red can lead to fatigue, impulsivity, and, in some cases, abandonment of your well-thought-out plan.
But here’s the reality: drawdowns are part of the game. The market doesn’t move on your schedule, and it certainly doesn’t care about your bills, goals, or aspirations. Harsh, but true.
In the world of trading, few experiences are as daunting as facing a drawdown. This period, where the market refuses to move in the direction of your bias, can feel like an endless slog through thick mud. It's during these times that trader fatigue sets in, and the mental strain can become overwhelming. But surviving a drawdown isn’t just about weathering the storm; it’s about maintaining focus, sticking to your plan, and emerging stronger on the other side.
Understanding Drawdown: A Necessary Evil
Drawdowns are an inevitable part of trading, a reality that every trader must confront. They occur when your account equity declines from its peak, often resulting from a series of losing trades. This is not a reflection of your skills or judgment; rather, it’s a natural fluctuation in the market. Accepting this fact is crucial for maintaining a balanced mindset.
It’s easy to get caught up in the emotional turmoil that accompanies a drawdown. You might start questioning your strategy, second-guessing your decisions, or even feeling a deep sense of fatigue that clouds your judgment. Recognizing that drawdowns are temporary and often necessary for long-term success is the first step towards mental fortitude.
The Weight of Trader Fatigue
Trader fatigue is real, and it can manifest in various forms: diminished focus, irritability, and an overall lack of clarity in decision-making. As the drawdown drags on, it’s common to feel like you’re fighting an uphill battle, grappling with both the market and your own psyche.
The key to overcoming this fatigue is to remain steadfast in your commitment to your trading plan. Embrace the discipline that brought you to trading in the first place. Remember, every successful trader has weathered their share of drawdowns. It’s not about the setbacks; it’s how you respond to them that defines your journey.
Stick to the Plan: The Importance of Discipline
When faced with a drawdown, the temptation to abandon your trading plan can be strong. You might be lured into making impulsive trades or deviating from your established strategy in an attempt to “make back” your losses. This is a perilous path. Instead, focus on the process. A well-defined trading plan serves as your guiding compass, ensuring that you stay on course, even when the waters are choppy.
Utilizing Alerts: The Power of TradingView
One of the most effective tools in your trading arsenal is the alert feature available on platforms like TradingView. Set alerts for key price levels or indicators that align with your trading strategy. This simple act allows you to step away from the charts, minimizing stress and providing the mental space you need to reset.
By using alerts, you can disengage from the constant fluctuations of the market without losing touch with your strategy. Instead of staring at the screen, waiting for the market to conform to your bias, you can live your life—confident that you’ll be notified when it’s time to reassess your position.
Embrace Patience and Mindfulness
During a drawdown, patience is not just a virtue; it’s a necessity. The market operates on its own timetable, and as traders, we must learn to respect that. Implement mindfulness techniques to cultivate a sense of calm and clarity. Engage in practices like meditation, deep breathing, or even short walks to recharge your mental energy.
This approach allows you to view the market from a fresh perspective, reducing the noise of frustration and fatigue. Cultivating a mindset of patience will enable you to remain focused on your long-term goals rather than being derailed by short-term setbacks.
Keeping Perspective: The Long Game
Finally, keep in mind that trading is a marathon, not a sprint. Drawdowns, while difficult, are often precursors to periods of growth and profitability. By maintaining perspective, you can navigate these challenging times with resilience. Celebrate your wins, no matter how small, and remember that every setback brings with it valuable lessons.
Surviving a drawdown is an essential part of the trader's journey. Embrace the process, stay disciplined, and utilize the tools at your disposal—like TradingView alerts—to ease the mental burden. By maintaining focus and perspective, you can emerge from the drawdown not just intact, but stronger and more equipped for future challenges. Remember, in the world of trading, persistence pays off. The key to success lies in how you respond to the inevitable ups and downs. Stay the course, and the markets will eventually align with your bias once more.
HOW And WHY The Markets MoveIn this video I explain HOW and WHY the markets move.
At it's core, trading is a zero-sum game, meaning that nothing is created. There must always be a counter-party to any trade, after all it is called "trading". Because of this, liquidity is the lifeblood of the market and it is what is required by all participants, albeit more for the larger entities out there. In order for these larger entities to trade, they must do so in stages of buying and selling, and not all in one single position like we do as retail traders. They buy on the way down, and sell on the way up, throughout many different time horizons. Therefore, they require price to be delivered efficiently in order to sustain this working machine.
I hope you find the video somewhat insightful. Regardless of your beliefs, I think it can be agreed that these two principles are what drives the marketplace and it's movements.
- R2F