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Beyond Technical Analysis

Tariffs and Their Influence on GoldWe observed how gold has pivoted upward so precisely each time tariffs were applied since the start of the trade war in 2018. Before the trade war, gold remained stagnant within this range. However, with the onset of the trade war, everything changed for gold. We will conduct a case study since 2018, analyzing how gold has reacted to each significant tariff imposed. With the latest proposed tariffs on Canada and Mexico, what could be the potential trend for gold, and how should it be managed above the current level? Gold Futures & Options Ticker: GC Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 per troy ounce = $10.00 Micro Gold Futures & Options Ticker: MGC Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 er troy ounce = $1.00 1Ounce Gold Futures Ticker: 1OZ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 per troy ounce = $0.25 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
TVC:GOLDLong
by konhow
8
Gold's Bullish Outlook Amidst Market UncertaintyGold's Bullish Outlook Amidst Market Uncertainty Gold currently shows a bullish outlook, but caution is advised given the current market conditions. President Trump's decisions have been causing fluctuations in gold prices, but the overall market remains unclear. Market participants believe that the current situation may accelerate further as long as gold continues to break through all-time highs. You may watch the video for further details! Thank you:)
FX:XAUUSD
by KlejdiCuni
4
USD/CAD got absolutely 'hammered' on MondayTrump's trade negotiations provided USD/CAD with its most volatile daily range since the height of the Pandemic. Yet the surprise announcement that Trump is pausing Canada's tariffs for 30 days saw prices reverse sharply lower, to close the day with an elongated bearish hammer. Does that pave the way for an immediate reversal lower? Not necessarily. Using price action and market position, I explain why. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
LSE:CAD
by CityIndex
What's Flowing: Trump’s Tariffs – Institutional InsightOn this episode of “What’s Flowing”, I dive into a document shared with me by an institutional trader analyzing the impact of Trump’s tariffs on the markets. With global trade in focus, we’ll explore how these policies are affecting currencies, commodities, and equities, and what institutional traders are watching closely. Are tariffs a strategic move for economic leverage, or are they setting the stage for market volatility? I’ll break down what I can from the report, reading between the lines to extract key takeaways for traders and investors. Stay tuned as we analyze the potential winners and losers in this shifting economic landscape, and what it all means for your portfolio.
Education
by moneymagnateash
Possible 2000pips Projection for FebruaryWe'll be expecting a lot of crazy things to happen in the Market this week. Prepare for massive swings for the month. GBPUSD : Keep an eye for an intra Day structure shift, to buy price in to the gap created from the weekend laps. Keep an eye on 1.2282 for the shift, and Buy to a minimum of high of 1.2382 for about 100pips . This move can become a possible swing, listen tot eh conditions Stated in the analysis. Same goes for XAUUSD and USOIL. I will keep this space updated Patience is the Way!Ieios
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ieios
Nat Gas Weekly: Groundhog Day/Week Update. 2/2/25 The groundhog saw his shadow, and it is money in the bank for NG!!!!! HA!!! This week’s video will discuss the verification of the warm up last week and next week in the US. How another Elongated Polar Vortex (EPV), the ninth of the season looks to finally break the stratospheres back with a Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) event. Although not so sure why something that has been seen for the last three weeks is called sudden! How that is going to influence the next 3-8 weeks, and the verification form past events. Remember that the models have a hard time with the interaction of different forcing inputs. They can see the warm moist Pacific air, they can see the cold dense air in the Artic, but they have a difficult time having the two inter act. Throw in there an extreme Polar event 80 miles up in the atmosphere and they are down right horrible. But luckily, we have the past to help us see what these conditions have done and are likely to do again. We are so concerned about the weather due to it being close to ½ of the demand for NG usage. So if price discovery is dictated by the supply/demand balance and the weather influences one half of the demand, then we better understand what the weather will bring. Storage is dropping in Europe, putting a big demand for worldwide LNG. Tenders earmarked for Asia a being sold on the spot market and redirected to Europe. It looks that Europe is going to cool down again along with North America. I will post another time on the interaction between western European and North American weather patterns. But know that what happens in the US is telegraphed 7-10 days in Western Europe. This is why TTF has rallied this past week. They are looking at the same forcing patterns we are looking at. They get cold then the US get cold. They warm up the US warms up. Great tool to use in the summer also. This coming cold is going to eat away into the US NG storage. Two weeks ago, it was predicted that storage was going to end up somewhere around 1.7 TCF at the end of the withdrawal season. But the market only looking at the model’s, screaming winter is over, winter is over!!!! Had industry readjusting the storage numbers back up closer to 2.0 TCF. Which would put the season end 250BCF above the 5-year average. This cold will eat into storage, LNG facilities will continue to come on-line and producers will continue to show proper supply management. Listen to the Company conference calls from the big E&Ps, Pipeline provider, and oil/gas field providers. They are all in agreement that last year’s pricing killed their bottom line and discipline is the word of the day. I expect the models to continue to print colder as they take into count the MJO, major teleconnections, and the PV. The estimates for storage will begin to drop and the price to increase. There is much talk about Tariffs and the Chinese DeepSeek AI model going to influence the supply/demand balance. But these just become good excuses to sell rallies and pump price drops. The current COT report shows longs at their highest ratio to shorts since last May’s price rally. So be very careful of Long Squeezes. Just like a short squeeze, the future positions are highly leveraged and rapid and volatile price drops are more the rule than the exception. So, make sure you are watching the models during the 03:00-05:00 GMT and 17:00-19:00 GMT. I believe that the general trend is to be up until mid-March and will be investing and trading accordingly. These is not advice, but just what I am looking at for the basis of my own personal trading. I will post later in the week dedicated to only supply/demand/storage after the early week estimates get revised higher from the colder model prints and the overall general industry discussing the colder weather coming. Remember the institutional boys only want to discuss in the open what they have already bet on so the retail and smaller investor provide them with healthy exit points. Keep it Burning!
NYMEX:NGH2025
by NrG_Trader
2
Foundations of Mastery: 2025 Mentorship Begins!📢 Welcome to the 2025 Mentorship Program! Greetings, Traders! This is the first video of the 2025 Mentorship Program, where I’ll be releasing content frequently, diving deep into ICT concepts, and most importantly, developing structured models around them. My goal is to help you gain a deeper understanding of the market and refine your approach to trading. Before we get started, I want to take a moment to speak to you directly. 💭 No matter where you are in your trading journey, I pray that you achieve—and even surpass—your goals this year. 📈 If you’re striving for consistency and discipline, may you reach new heights. 💡 If you’ve already found success, may you retain and refine your craft—because growth never stops. 🎯 If you’re just starting out, I pray you develop patience, discipline, and above all, accountability—because true progress comes when we own our failures and learn from them. 🔥 If you’ve been trading for years but still struggle with consistency, do not give up. The greatest adversity comes when you’re closest to success. Stay disciplined, stay dedicated, and keep pushing forward. Above all, let this be a year where we grow together—not just as traders, but as individuals. May we foster humility, respect, and a learning environment where both experienced and new traders can share knowledge and thrive. 🙏 I pray over these things in the name of Jesus. Amen. Let's have a great year! The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by The_Archi-tect
18
Will The Price of Oil Rise in February?Will the Price of Oil Increase This Month? Oil traders are watching the charts closely as the market hovers around crucial price levels. With multiple confluences aligning, the question remains: Will the price of oil surge this month, or is a reversal on the horizon? Key Price Levels and Market Structure Currently, crude oil is sitting at a major support zone that has historically acted as a launchpad for bullish momentum. On the flip side, resistance levels above signal potential barriers that could stall upward movement. The market is at a decision point, and traders must be prepared for either scenario. Technical Confluences Supporting a Price Increase Several factors point toward a potential bullish breakout: Previous Support and Resistance: Price is retesting a significant demand zone, which has held strong in past trading sessions. Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is acting as dynamic support, reinforcing bullish sentiment. Engulfing Candles: Recent price action has shown strong bullish engulfing patterns, indicating buyer interest. Fundamental Catalysts: Supply cuts, geopolitical tensions, and seasonal demand shifts could add fuel to the fire. The Bearish Case: What Could Send Oil Lower? While bullish signs are present, ignoring downside risks would be a mistake. If price fails to hold at key levels, we could see: Break of Support: A drop below crucial levels could trigger panic selling. Diminishing Momentum: If volume doesn’t support a push higher, a pullback is likely. Macroeconomic Factors: Weak demand or unexpected production increases could shift the market downward. How Traders Can Approach This Setup For traders looking to capitalize on the next move, here’s how to stay ahead: Set Alerts: Use TradingView to track price movements at key levels so you don’t miss the breakout or breakdown. Wait for Confirmation: A clear candle close above or below critical areas will provide more certainty before entering trades. Risk Management: No setup is a sure thing—set stop losses accordingly and manage position sizes wisely. Oil is at a make-or-break moment. Whether we see a strong rally or a sharp drop will depend on how price reacts at these crucial levels. What do you think—bullish or bearish? Drop your thoughts in the comments and let’s talk trading!
FX:USOILLong
by TLTurnerTV
The Coffee Code: A Short Opportunity Hidden in Plain SightThere is a difference between seeing the market and truly understanding it. Most traders react. The enlightened anticipate. This week, the COT strategy has illuminated a setup so clear, yet so overlooked, that only those who understand the deeper language of the markets will act. Coffeewhispers a warning, and few are listening. The Codes Have Been Revealed: 🔻 Code 1: Commercials' COT Index – The real insiders, the ones who move markets, are at a bearish extreme. The last time we saw this setup? A major reversal followed. 🔻 Code 2: Positioning Extremes – Large specs are at an all-time high in longs. When the herd rushes in, exits become crowded. 🔻 Code 3: Advisor Sentiment – The so-called “experts” are euphoric. When advisors scream bullishness while commercials quietly stack shorts, it’s a sign. A big one. 🔻 Code 4: Valuation – Coffee is severely overvalued relative to Gold, Treasuries, and the Dollar. The weight of reality will soon press down. 🔻 Code 5: ADX Over 60 – A high ADX signals a trend’s climax. The moment it rolls over is the key to this code triggering the move. 🔻 Code 6: Seasonality – Mid-February to March? Historically, a time of decline. The cycle repeats for those who see it. 🔻 Code 7: Cycles Colliding – Multi-timeframe cyclical pressure is now aligned against coffee. The rarest and most powerful force in motion. Additional indicators confirm it. Distribution. Divergences. Ultimate Oscillator. Williams ProGo. %R sell zones. Every signal is flashing red. And yet, most will hesitate. Most will ignore the signs. They will wait until it's too late. The question is not whether the opportunity exists. It’s whether you can see it. If you understand what’s written here, you already know what comes next. If you don’t... then perhaps it’s time we talked. Disclaimer The information provided in this content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Trading financial markets involves significant risk, including the potential loss of capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trading decisions and should conduct your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any financial decisions. The creator of this content assumes no liability for any losses or damages resulting from reliance on the information provided. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge and accept these risks. Acknowledgment The strategies and concepts taught in this class draw significant inspiration from the works and teachings of Larry Williams, a pioneer in trading and market analysis. His groundbreaking research and methodologies have shaped the foundation of modern trading education. While this class incorporates Larry Williams’ principles, the content has been adapted and presented to reflect my own understanding and application of these ideas. Full credit is given to Larry Williams for his original contributions to the field of trading.
ICEUS:KCH2025Short
by Tradius_Trades
BTC will have a Minor Top at 124k. Gameplan!In this follow-up video, I’m reviewing my Bitcoin $124K upside thesis and how price action has been unfolding currently exactly as expected! 🎯 📊 Key Highlights: ✅ BTC is on track toward the $124K target 📈 ✅ Price followed the predicted path perfectly ✅ What happens after $124K? Looking for a bearish reversal 🔄 Watch the full breakdown and let me know your thoughts in the comments! 👇 Do you agree with the thesis?
Long
by SerenityEquity