Beyond Technical Analysis
AMD tradeThe AMD trading method is a strategic approach used in financial markets, emphasizing the analysis of market trends and momentum. "AMD" stands for Accumulate, Mark-up, and Distribution, which are the key phases of this trading method.
1. **Accumulate**: In this phase, traders identify and accumulate assets that are undervalued or have the potential for significant price increases. This typically occurs during a period of consolidation when the asset's price remains relatively stable.
2. **Mark-up**: Once accumulation is complete, the asset enters the mark-up phase. During this phase, the price begins to rise due to increased buying pressure. Traders who identified the opportunity early can profit as the market recognizes the asset's value.
3. **Distribution**: In the final phase, traders begin to sell or distribute their holdings as the price reaches a peak. This phase often features high volatility and volume as other market participants also recognize the high prices and begin to sell.
The AMD trading method relies on technical analysis and market indicators to identify these phases, allowing traders to make informed decisions about when to enter and exit positions to maximize profits.
Rand Continues to Devalue Against Dollar After Shock ElectionWeekly Wrap Up - Hope You Enjoy!
DXY - Daily ERL was not breached and Weekly FVG not mitigated either as we closed the weekly with an explosive shift of structure higher on the H4. Daily run of liquidity was liquidity being engineered for an ultimate push higher.,
EURUSD - Initial bias on EU's daily run of monthly high (TBL) with a confluent 1H MMXM was correct as price ultimately displaced lower.
GBPJPY - Fairly neutral the entire week after achieving daily ERL but failing to displace through. Anticipating further HTF consolidation on GJ which it tends to do after an extended impulse.
USDZAR - Beautiful structure on this pair the entire week making continuous HH's & HL's. The daily FVG inversion was following by a 1H run of time-based liquidity which manipulated into a 4H 1-sided FVG. Anticipating displacement higher to Daily ERL short term. Political uncertainty around the future of South Africa's governing structure will continue to devalue the rand against the dollar.
US30 - As the dollar gains strength I'm anticipating the sell off to continue in equity markets. Price has traded into an order block with a confluent FVG which is indicating an imminent reversal as the M15 begins to shift lower.
Sam
The Modern Day Trader
FVRR - One of my favorite charts right nowSorry about the sound and the length - again, I don't have my mic today so am working on the fly. But really wanted to share this opportunity on FVRR and give you a bit deeper analysis on why I'm confidently bullish on this. It might not happen today or this month as I outline in the video but this is poised to be a $35+ stock in the "near" future.
Hope this was helpful and
Happy Trading :)
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 23 - TLT - (7th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing Ishares 20+ Treasure Bond ETF (TLT), starting from the 6-Month chart. (For some reasons I read "Ishares" as "Israeli" XD.
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 22 - PYPL - (7th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing PayPal (PYPL), starting from the 6-Month chart.
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 21 - INTC - (7th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing Intel (INTC), starting from the 6-Month chart.
PDD - When can we re-enter a long position?PDD, similar to REAL in my books, is like the gift that keeps on giving. When you find a company that is undervalued and being held back by geopolitical risks such as this Chinese stock, you play your hand and expect the market to gravitate towards strong earnings VS potential macro risks.
That is what I've been doing and will continue to do here on PDD.
I will be adding to my long position once we've proven tapering and a sufficient liquidity build - and we are picked up by a buying continuation algorithm - ideally yellow or green.
Happy Trading :)
UPS - Preparatory analysis for future swing tradeHere's what I'm looking to see on UPS in the coming weeks. Need to see further buy-side tapering because as of now, it seems as though red and green are in control there while on the sell side we're seeing orange and white holding.
Look for a potential bounce here as this is a strong level of support - but that is not enough for me to go long here. The algos don't lie!
Happy Trading :)
Prep and Lean 6.6.24ES
Overall conditions quite bullish. It is difficult to be bearish given the VAH is also the HOD, meaning volume & value are backing this move.
No bullish close but a value shift higher, so I can’t really be bearish until acceptance back below the VAL 5326 is found.
Depending on where we open, our best reference would be 5360-5362, the VPOC & spike base.
Open / bid above 5360-5362 targets 5382 / 5391. Take out 5391 targets 5408.
Open / offer below 5360-5362 targets 5336. Take out 5336 targets 5326 / 5317.
NQ
Overall conditions quite bullish.
No bullish close but a value shift higher, so I can’t really be bearish until acceptance back below the VAL 18902 is found.
Depending on where we open, our best reference would be 19049, the spike base.
Open / bid above 19049 targets 19123-19148. Take out 19123-19148 targets 19180.
Open / offer below 19049 targets 18923-18950. Take out 18923-18950 targets 18902.
Stay Frosty!
Inverted Yield of 2022 Explained - Till TodayFor our housing loan, many of us, if you are in your 30s today and all the way to 70 years of age, will likely have chosen floating or short-term loan rates rather than longer-term loan rates. However, everything changed in 2022. Now, we are more likely to choose longer-term loan rates over floating rates. Why? Because today, longer-term loan rates are lower than floating rates.
This phenomenon is called an inverted yield curve.
In the 70s and 80s, there was also a period of inverted yields, and different markets moved accordingly as expected. Today, we are seeing an inverted yield once again, and the same markets are moving in a manner similar to those in the 70s and 80s.
We will do a comparison between the 70s and today’s inverted yield. Please let me know what opportunities you see after this tutorial.
2 Year Yield Futures
Ticker: 2YY
Minimum fluctuation:
0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00
10 Year Yield Futures
Ticker: 10Y
Minimum fluctuation:
0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 20 - DJI - (6th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJI), starting from the 6-Month chart.
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 19 - BRK.B - (6th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing the Berkshire Hathaway ETF chart, starting from the 6-Month chart.