Beyond Technical Analysis
Remaining bullish on SPX and how I think through my chartsVideo Recap: The Zoomed Out View
Weekly moving averages are reordering and turning up
The weekly chart shows that the 10EMA and 20EMA have now crossed the 50SMA and are turning up. That reordering adds strength to the broader trend. This past week, the index reclaimed 6,000, which is a key psychological level. And we also saw price bounce off the uptrend line drawn from the April low, showing buyers are still defending key areas of support.
Daily pullback found support
The daily chart gave us a pullback the Friday before last, but it held right at a confluence of support (the 20EMA and 200SMA), along with a horizontal level drawn from the weekly timeframe.
Digestion periods can shake you out if you’re too zoomed in
The last few weeks have been a reminder that chop can test your patience and your plan. We didn’t break trend, we just pulled back to support. But if you’re too zoomed in, it can feel like everything is shifting. That’s when stops get hit early, trades get closed prematurely, and new positions get put on for the wrong reasons. In reality, this was just a normal digestion after a strong move. And when in doubt, zooming out brings the clarity back.
Trendlines and levels are guides, not absolutes
There were a few moments in my chart review this week where I caught myself trying to make lines matter more than they do. But these tools (trendlines, moving averages, support and resistance) only matter in the context of what price is doing around them. Structure tells the real story. One line getting hit or crossed doesn’t mean the whole thesis breaks down. What matters is whether buyers step in, whether trend resumes, and whether your trade idea still fits your system.
So what now? Here’s what I’ll be watching this week:
We’re holding above all major MAs.
If we push through the February all-time high, that can shift sentiment, especially for retail traders who may see that as a signal that “we’re in the clear.”
If we stall below the ATH, that wouldn’t be a problem by itself, but I’d watch how price behaves...ie are we pulling back constructively or losing key levels?
I’m not leaning bearish and won't be unless we start closing below 5,800 (200SMA) and definitely if we can't hold the rising 50SMA. (My second scenario after my bullish one is sideways, so bearish for me is out for now.)
When the market starts moving, the best thing you can do is trust your prep, lean into your plan, and zoom out when things get noisy. The bigger picture hasn’t changed.
The SECRET is Compounding Tiny Objectives & Finding SatisfactionIn this video I talk about what I don't really find people talking about, which is how important it is to find satisfaction in your trading. When I say 'satisfaction', I am talking about the monetary kind. What do I mean by this?
A problem I used to have in my earlier days was over-trading, revenge trading, blowing accounts, the usual story. I even had a decently high win-rate and I was good at understanding price. What I discovered was that I was not finding satisfaction because I was not risking enough on my trades. You see.. my strategy had a high win-rate with a positive R average, but the setups did not appear that often. Not as rare as a unicorn, but still, I'd have to sit around and wait and wait and wait. By the time my setup came, I put on a small risk, and I won small. Subconsciously, I found that quite frustrating, even though I was actually winning most of my trades. You can imagine how I felt when I lost a trade. I felt like I invested all that time for nothing. One could argue that I was being careful, but the problem was I was being too careful. I age the same as everyone else, and everyone else ages the same as me. I am investing my time into this strategy, time I will never get back. If I am not utilizing my time in relation to the earning potential, then that is a bad investment. Being a psychologically prone person, I made it a serious rule that all my criteria for my setup must be hit before I take that trade, no exceptions. I kept myself on the higher timeframes so that my mental state can safely process what I needed to process, whether it was analytical or just psychological.
Another point was getting over what others were showcasing or doing. Material luxuries and large wins are all subjective things. It was frustrating seeing people trade every single day, most of them with green days. I felt like I had to do the same too to be a good trader. I was WRONG. What I actually need to do was make my system work for me, and that included how I implemented risk and what was satisfying enough for me to pursue. Like I said in the video, if what you want to do is not interesting or attractive to you, you won't want to do it. As long as what you want to do makes sense and isn't you trying to go from zero to a hundred in 2.5 seconds. As the title says, compound tiny objectives but make it satisfying in terms of risk and your time invested.
- R2F Trading
BTCUSD 6/7/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you a phenomenal Market Breakdown & an update to his 6/2/2025 Call-out as Price did exactly what he said Price was about to do AGAIN!!!! This is a repeated offender of anticipating Bitcoins Price Action with Precise Levels, Proper Timing, & Perfect Direction!
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
#PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
I cant believe Platinum is still this cheap vs goldPlatinum could hit its all-time high of ~$2,400/oz in 5-10 years if things line up. South Africa’s mines are struggling, so supply is tight. Demand is growing for platinum in green hydrogen tech and car parts, especially with big global investments. Plus, with U.S. debt soaring and the dollar looking shaky, people might turn to platinum like they do gold and silver to protect their money. If electric vehicles don’t cut demand too much and the economy stays decent, platinum could soar to $2,400 by 2030-2035.
Im long a bunch, and will sell portion along the way up to get my basis out and ride the rest for free.
Like if you agree!
Why Higher Timeframe Analysis Increases Your WIN-RATE!Many traders focus too heavily on lower timeframes, chasing setups without any real context. But what if the secret to improving your consistency was as simple as zooming out?
In this video, we break down why analyzing higher timeframes—and trading in their direction—can significantly increase your win rate across Forex, crypto, stocks, and futures. This isn’t just a theory. It’s a principle used by institutional traders, prop firms, and consistently profitable independent traders.
✅ Here’s what you’ll learn in this deep-dive:
The real purpose of higher timeframe analysis and how it acts like a GPS for your trading decisions.
How to identify structure, liquidity, and key levels on the daily, 4H, and weekly charts
Why trading against the higher timeframe flow often leads to premature stop-outs or fakeouts
The power of multi-timeframe alignment: how to sync HTF bias with LTF entries
How trading with higher timeframe momentum helps filter noise, reduce overtrading, and increase conviction
A walkthrough example showing how to use HTF context to validate a lower timeframe setup
Whether you're trading ICT concepts, Fibs, RSI, VWAP, or your own system—this principle applies. Trading in alignment with the higher timeframe doesn’t just increase your odds, it adds structure, patience, and confidence to your process.
📌 Key takeaway: When you understand what the market is doing on the higher timeframe, you stop guessing and start positioning yourself with the move—not against it.
🛠️ Helpful for traders using:
Smart money concepts (SMC)
ICT-based models (like AMD, OTE, and NDOG)
Supply and demand strategies
Price action or indicator-based systems
PRACTICALLY ANY TYPE OF STRATEGY OR METHODOLOGY
So, I hope the video was insightful for you. Let me know if you apply higher timeframe analysis, and how it has helped you.
- R2F Trading
Bitcoin smells like 'Brexit to the NORTH Pole!'🚀📈 Bitcoin smells like 'Brexit to the NORTH Pole!' 💥🇬🇧
Hi everyone! Let’s break down what’s brewing with Bitcoin — and why it feels eerily like the Brexit moment of 2016 all over again.
I’ve been closely tracking BTCUSD inside a clear parallel channel. These channels often get noisy with fakeouts and temporary breaches, but this one has remained valid due to its multiple touches and midline confirmations. We're now seeing massive manipulation — not once or twice, but four times. This exact pattern took me back to the British Pound's behavior during the Brexit referendum on June 23, 2016. 🎯
Back then, despite media narratives claiming “Bremain,” real traders on the street saw Brexit coming — and so did the charts. GBP/USD mirrored today's BTC structure: a valid channel, several manipulative moves, and then an explosive breakout once the truth surfaced.
Fast forward to today — Bitcoin’s chart screams volatility. We’ve got a channel that still holds structure. As long as we stay within or reclaim the bounds of this channel, I’m aiming for a move toward:
📍 107,305 as resistance
📍 113,800–114,000 as the breakout trigger
📍 119,000 and beyond for a new all-time high 🚀
If price dips to the 104,469 area or even the 102,700–102,400 dual support, I’ll be watching for reclaims to go long. But remember, this is a volatile setup, not for the faint-hearted or the underfunded. Spot trading is safer; leverage requires deep pockets and tight risk controls.
🛑 A break below 102K changes the picture — that’s where the bears take over, potentially dragging BTC to 74K. I give that scenario only a 10–15% probability, but in this market, we prepare for everything.
The resemblance to Brexit isn’t just visual — it’s psychological. Media narratives, manipulative institutions, and a channel that's begging for a breakout.
I’m ultra-bullish and ready for a sharp upside move. Are you?
📌 Full analysis and key levels charted here.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 💙💙💙
Don’t Call the Top Yet! Key Pattern to study in PriceHi Trading Community!
We’re still riding the bullish momentum and looking for price to reach our 6008 level.
Of course, after seeing the +130 point expansion, you might be tempted to call a top. But I encourage you not to jump to conclusions. Instead, observe the price action carefully and respond to what the market actually presents.
In this video, I highlight a key pattern that traders should study over the next few days so be sure to review and study this delivery.
P.S. We have high-impact news releasing this Friday, so as always, stay cautious and Let’s keep growing together by studying OneCandleStickAtATime.
Bullish Trigger Hit! Looking For Longs on the S&PLast time we spoke, I mentioned some key levels I wanted to see price drop to before considering a move to the upside. And what do you know — here we are.
In today’s video, I share an update on the trade idea and how we can position ourselves for the next big play.
Walk with me as I break down this price action, #OneCandlestickAtATime.
ASML Update! Bullish teal is proving itself! We identified in the last video (must watch if you didn't see it) that we need to prove teal over purple in this fight for a LTF breakout toward HTF algorithms.
We're seeing that happen in live-time! Continue to watch for teal to hold for a nice LTF breakout toward the $820 level and the HTF purple algorithm / known supply
Happy Trading :)
ASML Analysis - Short/mid-term outlook & trade ideasNot as clear of an opportunity as we had last time when we nailed those 100+ point trades. Check out those videos (linked below) to see the power of the algorithms!
But here, we can see a nice roadmap toward HTF intentional liquidity and what we need to see in order to get there.
Happy Trading :)
How to Identify Head and Shoulders?How to identify head and shoulders patterns?
We’ll use the current example from the Nasdaq or the US markets. We can quite clearly observe that a potential head and shoulders formation is developing. This means that if the price breaks below the neckline, we may see a deeper correction from the April low.
I will go through the rules on how to identify a head and shoulders formation.
We will also cover how to recognize when the pattern is invalid — meaning the market may continue pushing above its all-time high.
Finally, we’ll discuss how we can position ourselves early, before waiting for a break below the neckline for confirmation.
Micro Nikkei Futures
Ticker: MNQ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
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MODG - Algorithms are setting up for a HTF bounce!With our recent earnings move towards teal, this is setting up beautifully to make its way toward our HTF target that we identified a while back and still expect to be a target. Once there, we will have a tight stop considering its a HTF level that we are trading off of, and a long term hold plan.
Awesome to see the Algos give us such nice preparation!
Happy Trading :)
London Take 1 - 4/6/2025Initial comments and what I SEE ...you have to see, before it plays-out and then the confirmations I SEEN gives the confidence to get involved and take a trade.
I = Identify (see)
P = Predict (watch)
D = Decide (based on what you have seen)
E = Execute (after you SEE)
Updates will follow as usual