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Nat Gas Weekly Update: 2/9/25Models have been having a hard time with the long range physics of the global atmospheric patterns. Which is great for those of us that can see past a computer! The models began to see this last weekend, and the price gapped higher 16 cent. This weekend they confirmed once again, and we opened 10 cents higher. There has been continued support around the 20D SMA and we are now looking at the 61.8% fib ($3.50) to become the new resistance level. But all these chart technical cannot stop the cold and the withdrawal of NG form storage. This weeks video touches upon storage and the importance of the storage/price relationship. Natural Gas pricing is a function of fundamentals and sentiment. I use technical levels to verify if pricing is in equilibrium with fundamentals. To make sure that sentiment does not throw the supply/demand cost structure out of balance. Too high of a price and there becomes constraints on the usage, and a replacement with cheaper, dirtier coal. If the price becomes too low, then there is a cutback in exploration, production, TIL wells (which we will talk about in the future), and a decrease in well head volume. Just like this past summer when NG reached historic lows, the cure for low price is less supply. Which is why producer restraint, low rig count and a historic number of TIL and uncompleted wells helped with over storage. The weekend models both trended 15 HDD colder, with the European still 25 HDD colder than the US model. Using the conversion of 1.6 BCF/d per 1 HDD, the US and the Euro are predicted to use more than 92.8 BCF and 128 BCF than average in the next two weeks, respectively. This would put NG storage at over 8% of the 5-year average. This is quite bullish and I expect the March contract to settle at close at or above $3.75/MMCF. It is possible for $4.00/MMCF if withdrawals hit the predicted 900 BCF for the month of February. Keep it burning!
NYMEX:NGH2025Long
by NrG_Trader
1
EURGBP: What Are You Anticipating With This Volatile Pair?I am a swing trader, as you can probably tell from the timeframes I use in my posts. However, I do believe that EURGBP lends itself better to day trades or position trades, if you can stomach the movement. Considering it has made, for me, surprising reverses just when you think it would push further, I offer a couple of scenarios for both a sell and buy possibility. I do see EURGBP selling further but this is a pair you want to be prepared for movement in the opposite direction as well. Game plan, ready! What would be your move?
by rhashedaw
1
NASDAQ WEEKLY RANGE ANALISIS This week, I’m keeping a close eye on NASDAQ’s price action, with my preferred weekly range holding between 21,730 and 21,130. However, given the upcoming CPI release, there’s potential for an expansion lower, possibly into the 20,830 region. On the 5-minute chart, the engulfing block and breaker block present ideal trading opportunities as they align perfectly with the range Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) and Consequence Encroachment of the 5m Fair Value Gap (FVG). This confluence strengthens the case for high-probability setups, providing precise entry points for an optimal trade execution.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TheSharkFx
XAUUSD's Volatility: Will it Fake Us Out or Continue Long?Many have been anticipating Gold to move in both directions. Some are expecting a nice drop while others are camping out for that long. I've been on both sides. Here, I explain my reasons for wanting to Long Gold (XAUUSD) with anticipated targets for both a short-term sell and the buy continuation. Please boost this if you like my ideas. Comment with your thoughts and/or agreement. I look forward to connecting!
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by rhashedaw
8
Will GBP/JPY Attempt to Push Higher?Due to it's failed attempts to break each Lower High and the Highest High, I believe it's time for GBP/JPY to sell further. Looking at it on the daily timeframe, I've identified areas of strong support that needs to be broken, preferably with a momentum candlestick and a close below from H4 to Daily. Target prices identified, coincide with the various structural supports as well as Fib Trend Extension levels with the final target being a possibility for price to "spike" into, reversing for a possible retracement. View video for a full explanation and identified TPs. Please "like" and feel free to comment with your own ideas or agreement!
Short
by rhashedaw
5
How I anticipate that usdjpy move in this weekSo as you see the charts I believe that that's how usdjpy gonna move 1.frist we gonna gather liquidity below those lows that is buy area for us 2. then we gonna go for buy stops in the shades area which provide us a sell opportunity 3. the last which I believe gonna be the major move is buy that we going for daily highs so 3 setups in this week 2 buy and 1 sell lets see what happens best of luck for you guys. sina karimi 10 Feb. 2025
by sincapital
File Coin: A Quick Buck, and Sleep-Deprived Charting MasterclassThis video delivers two things: a reversal in Filecoin CRYPTO:FILUSD that could mean a quick profit, and a lesson in expert-level chart analysis from someone with over two decades of exhausted experience—because who needs sleep when there are trendlines to draw? The Trade Setup: A bottom and reversal taking shape. Key resistance levels that could send FILUSD skyrocketing. A shot at a fast trade—if you know what you're looking at. The Charting Lesson (Fueled by Insomnia): How to draw and trust trendlines like a pro. Why candles, Bollinger Bands, and moving averages tell a bigger story. Proof that even in the middle of the night, technical analysis never sleeps. It’s half market breakdown, half charting masterclass, and fully worth staying up for.
COINBASE:FILUSDLong
by Hollywood260AB
1
Nasdaq 100 Trade Setup – NWOG & Fibonacci Confluence This trade idea is built on a structured analysis of the Nasdaq 100, integrating a New Week Opening Gap (NWOG) with Fibonacci retracement levels to identify high-probability trade zones. The setup highlights a key confluence where the 50% retracement of the range aligns precisely with 0.25% of the NWOG, creating a potential reaction point. Additionally, the full gap fill aligns with the 78% Fibonacci level, reinforcing the probability of price gravitating toward these key levels. This structured approach provides a refined perspective that goes beyond conventional ICT teachings, combining smart money concepts with technical precision. By leveraging these multi-layered confluences, this setup aims to capture significant market moves with well-defined risk management. Ideal for traders looking to refine their entries using price action, liquidity zones, and institutional order flow dynamics.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TheSharkFx
Cotton Futures: Decoding the Matrix of Market ForcesCotton, a seemingly unassuming commodity, is quietly aligning for a significant bullish move. But remember—this is not a prompt for reckless action. The entry is reserved for those who wait for the Daily timeframe to confirm the trend change. The Codes of the Cotton Conspiracy Code #1: The Commercial COT Index Commercials are not merely dabbling—they are at an extreme in positioning, maxed out over a 26-week lookback. Their hands are heavy with longs, signaling a brewing storm that only the wise will prepare for. Code #2: All-Time Extreme Positioning For the first time since 2019, commercials hold their maximum long positions. Unlike 2019, these positions are at higher prices, implying deeper convictions. Meanwhile, Large Speculators are excessively short—a telltale sign that the tide may soon turn. Both are at an all-time extreme in positioning. Code #3: Valuation Metrics Cotton stands undervalued against the pillars of Gold, DXY, and Treasuries. The market’s mispricing is your opportunity, should you dare to seize it. Code #4: Open Interest Analysis Open Interest (OI) has been climbing steadily, a silent crescendo. Who is fueling this growth? The commercials—those orchestrators of market moves—are discreetly accumulating, signaling an impending bullish wave. Code #5: ADX Over 60—The Endgame Approaches The ADX has breached the critical threshold of 60, a harbinger of trend exhaustion. Confirmation lies in the ADX’s roll-over or the Large Speculators’ retreat from their short positions. Code #6: Spread Divergence As prices sink to new lows, the spread between the front and next month contracts defiantly rises—commercials are eager for the front month, a potent sign when paired with extreme positioning. Bonus Codes: Hidden Layers of Accumulation Insider Acc Index and ProGo hint at quiet accumulation. Momentum shows bullish divergence, %R enters a buy zone, and the oversold stochastic adds another layer of intrigue. The Flaws in the System Yet, no system is without its anomalies. Small Speculators are excessively long—a peculiar deviation, given their knack for misjudging bottoms. This anomaly presents two scenarios: a merciless long squeeze forcing out the naive, or a rare stroke of luck for the masses. Moreover, while True Seasonal is misaligned, remember that seasonals reflect historical ghosts, while positioning unveils the machinations of today's masters. Always lean towards positioning as your guide, not seasonals. The Red Pill Awaits The stage is set. The players are in position. The market whispers secrets only a few are willing to hear. Cotton’s matrix is laid bare—whether you act or remain a spectator is the choice only you can make. But beware, the rabbit hole goes deeper than you think. Are you ready to follow? Choose wisely.
ICEUS:CTH2025Long
by Tradius_Trades
1
Venice Token (VVV): The $6 Trap Before the Next Leg DownA deceptive bounce/rally is brewing—don’t get faked out before the next major move. Venice Token (VVV) is at a critical juncture. Despite a recent rebound, the price action suggests an impending bull trap, luring traders into a false rally before another drop. Price is currently approaching $5... A bounced and move toward $6.00+ is expected before heavy resistance kicks in, leading to a deeper correction—potentially toward $4.00–$3.80. Multi-timeframe analysis suggests that buyers will get faked out before the next leg down. Current Analysis: VVV is experiencing a temporary recovery after a sharp decline. False Reversal Signal: The price failed to reclaim a key range, invalidating a full reversal. Short-Term Expectation: A push up to $6.00–$6.10, likely to fake out buyers. Selling Pressure Zone: Strong resistance will likely prevent further upside. Next Drop Target: Expect a move down to $4.60 first, with potential dips to $4.00 or even $3.80. Double Bottom vs. Adam & Eve: Initially looked like an Adam & Eve reversal, but structure suggests a double bottom formation instead. Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Suggests that the current bullish move is premature and unlikely to hold. Final Thoughts: Traders should stay cautious—this rally might not be what it seems. Look for $6 as a potential exit, and watch for a further breakdown in the coming hours. Patience will pay off. COINBASE:VVVUSD
COINBASE:VVVUSD
by Hollywood260AB
3
WHAT'S FLOWING: EURAUD | CADCHF | GBPAUD | BRENT | COPPER + MORETop Row Charts: EUR/AUD (Top Left): Market is trending upwards, labeled as "LONG", possibly indicating a buy signal based on the trend or setup shown. CAD/CHF (Top Middle): Seems to be range-bound with no distinct trend breakout, potentially in consolidation. GBP/AUD (Top Right): Marked as "LONG", showing a bullish trend continuation. Bottom Row Charts: Brent Crude Oil (Bottom Left): Labeled as "SHORT", indicating potential bearish momentum or correction. Copper (Bottom Middle): Another chart marked "SHORT", likely reflecting a downtrend or sell signal. UK100 Index (Bottom Right): This chart also indicates "SHORT", suggesting possible weakness in the index. DXY (Bottom Right): Labeled as "FLAT", indicating a lack of directional bias in the U.S. dollar index, showing indecisive or range-bound trading. These charts seem to be using TPO (Time Price Opportunity) profiles and volume profiles, which help traders analyze price action around key levels, identifying areas of value or imbalance. You are likely monitoring multiple assets (forex pairs, commodities, indices) for potential trade setups, distinguishing between trending and consolidating markets.
FPMARKETS:US10YR
by moneymagnateash
THE MACRO: GOLD / $ / COMMODITIES / ASIA EMWelcome to THE MACRO, where we take a big-picture view of the financial markets, analyzing long-term investment trends, macroeconomic shifts, and strategic positioning for major plays. In today’s episode, we’re diving into gold, bonds, the U.S. dollar, commodities, and global indices to understand where the smart money is flowing for 2025 and beyond. Key Macro Themes in Focus 1. Gold & Gold Miners – Inflation Hedge & Safe Haven? • Gold futures continue their long-term uptrend, holding strong above key support levels. • Gold miners (GDX ETF) are lagging behind physical gold prices, presenting a potential value gap—is this an opportunity for long-term investors? • With real yields fluctuating, gold remains a hedge against monetary policy uncertainty. 2. U.S. Government Bonds & Interest Rate Outlook • The U.S. 2-Year Yield is stabilizing after an aggressive tightening cycle. • Global bond yields (EU, CAD, MXN) suggest divergence in monetary policy—could rate cuts in 2025 boost bond markets and risk assets? • Watching yield curve movements to gauge potential economic slowdown or soft landing. 3. U.S. Dollar Strength & Its Macro Impact • The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) is showing relative strength, bouncing off support levels. • A strong USD puts pressure on emerging markets and commodities—if the dollar weakens, expect risk-on assets to rally. • What are central banks doing? Watching foreign exchange reserves and monetary policy adjustments. 4. Commodities – Inflation, Supply, & Demand Shifts • Corn & Wheat futures are showing signs of a bottoming structure, supported by demand-side recovery and potential supply constraints. • Agricultural commodities are historically undervalued compared to inflation-adjusted levels—this could be an inflation hedge for long-term investors. 5. Global Equities – China & Hong Kong Markets • Hang Seng Index is forming a potential reversal pattern, suggesting renewed investor interest. • Global capital flows into Asian equities might indicate a shifting macro landscape as China attempts stimulus-driven growth. Macro Investment Takeaways 1. Gold remains a key inflation & risk hedge, but miners are lagging—potential opportunity? 2. Bond markets are stabilizing—watch yield curves for signals of recession or soft landing. 3. The U.S. Dollar’s strength is a key macro driver—will it break higher or roll over? 4. Commodities (corn, wheat) are showing long-term bottoms, could be undervalued. 5. Asian equity markets (Hang Seng) are at critical turning points—global capital shifts in play. Final Thoughts: Positioning for the Long Term • Are we in a late-stage cycle where defensive assets shine (gold, bonds)? • Or are risk-on plays like commodities & emerging markets primed for a comeback? • Watching global policy decisions for clues on positioning in 2025 and beyond. This has been THE MACRO, where we track long-term investment plays and macroeconomic trends. Stay tuned for more insights as we follow the big picture moves shaping global markets! #TheMacro #LongTermInvesting #MacroTrends
TVC:US02Y
by moneymagnateash
QNTM Momentum Entry for Long-Term Wealth BuildingA brief for my mentorship members on how to trade momentum for long-term wealth. The overarching strategy here is that when something in your sectors/industries (should be in a watchlist) catches your eye because of a significant movement, you immediately use Fib retracement to find a solid entry/retrace. In the case of NASDAQ:QNTM I noticed a significant price spike on Tuesday and used the strategy to secure shares around $5 with the intention of holding for long-term share price appreciation.
NASDAQ:QNTM
by TheQuantumCapitalist
1
Golden Cross up ....The 200-day moving average resides at 7786874, which is below the current market offering underlying technical support on a psychological basis. This market is moving into what is called the Golden Cross, when the 50 unit moving average crosses above the 200, warning that the market may technically turn sharply to the upside. which is below the market at 7786874 given the last Daily closing of 9781900 while the 50 Daily moving average resides at 9923052.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by dpopovici
THE MAC: 10 MINS OF SMART MONEY FLOWSWelcome to THE MACRO, where we take a big-picture view of the financial markets, analyzing long-term investment trends, macroeconomic shifts, and strategic positioning for major plays. In today’s episode, we’re diving into gold, bonds, the U.S. dollar, commodities, and global indices to understand where the smart money is flowing for 2025 and beyond. Macro Investment Takeaways 1. Gold remains a key inflation & risk hedge, but miners are lagging—potential opportunity? 2. Bond markets are stabilizing—watch yield curves for signals of recession or soft landing. 3. The U.S. Dollar’s strength is a key macro driver—will it break higher or roll over? 4. Commodities (corn, wheat) are showing long-term bottoms, could be undervalued. 5. Asian equity markets (Hang Seng) are at critical turning points—global capital shifts in play. This has been THE MACRO, where we track long-term investment plays and macroeconomic trends. Stay tuned for more insights as we follow the big picture moves shaping global markets! #TheMacro #LongTermInvesting #MacroTrends
CME:6J1!
by moneymagnateash