AMN MODEL FOR BTCUSD.This is the most important strategy to use when trading BTCUSD ,because of its volatility.
Chart Patterns
Chart Patterns That Keep Showing Up (Are Traders Predictable?)In the grand theater of financial markets, traders often fancy themselves as rational actors, making decisions based on cold, hard data. Yet, time and again, their collective behavior etches familiar patterns onto price charts, as if choreographed by an unseen hand (the Invisible Hand?)
All across the world economy , markets trade in patterns. The trick is to spot those patterns before they unfold.
These recurring formations, known as chart patterns, are a testament to the predictability of human psychology in trading. Let's rediscover some of these enduring patterns, exploring why they persist and how you can leverage them.
🚿 The Head and Shoulders: More Than a Shampoo Brand
Imagine a market trend as a partygoer who's had one too many. Initially, they're lively (the left shoulder), then they reach peak status of euphoria (the head), but eventually, they slump with one last “let’s go party people” (the right shoulder). This sequence forms the Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling a trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
Traders spot this pattern by identifying three peaks: a central, higher peak flanked by two lower, similar-sized peaks on each side. The neckline, drawn by connecting the lows between these peaks, becomes the critical support level. A break below this line suggests the party's over, and it's time to exit or short the trading instrument.
Conversely, the Inverse Head and Shoulders indicates a reversal from bearish to bullish, resembling a person doing a headstand—a strong sign the market's ready to flip.
Ready to hunt down the charts for some Head and Shoulders? Try out the Head and Shoulders drawing tool .
⛰️ Double Tops and Bottoms: Déjà Vu in Trading
Ever experience déjà vu? The market does too, in the form of Double Tops and Bottoms. A Double Top resembles the letter "M," where the price hits a high, retreats, and then tests that high again before declining. It's the market's way of saying, "I've been here before, and I'm not going higher."
The Double Bottom, shaped like a "W," occurs when the price drops to a low, rebounds, and then retests that low before rising. It's akin to the market finding a sturdy trampoline at support levels, ready to bounce back.
These patterns reflect traders' reluctance to push prices beyond established highs or lows, leading to reversals.
⚠️ Triangles: The Market's Waiting Game
When traders are indecisive, prices often consolidate, forming Triangle patterns. These come in three flavors:
Ascending Triangle : Characterized by a flat upper resistance line and a rising lower support line. Buyers are gaining strength, repeatedly pushing prices up to a resistance level. A breakout above this resistance suggests bullish momentum.
Descending Triangle : Features a flat lower support line and a descending upper resistance line. Sellers are in control, and a break below support signals bearish continuation.
Symmetrical Triangle : Both support and resistance lines converge, indicating a standoff between buyers and sellers. The eventual breakout can go either way, and traders watch closely for directional cues.
Triangles epitomize the market's pause before a storm, as participants gather conviction for the next move.
Feel like looking for some triangles on charts? Jump straight to our easy-to-use Triangle Pattern drawing tool .
🏁 Flags and Pennants: The Market Takes a Breather
After a strong price movement, the market often needs a breather, leading to Flags and Pennants. These are short-term continuation patterns that indicate a brief consolidation before the trend resumes.
Flag : Resembles a parallelogram sloping against the prevailing trend. It's like the market catching its breath before sprinting again.
Pennant : Looks like a small symmetrical triangle that forms after a sharp move. Think of it as the market pitching a tent before continuing its journey.
Recognizing these patterns helps traders position themselves for the next leg of the trend.
🧠 The Psychology Behind Pattern Persistence
Why do these patterns keep appearing? The answer lies in human psychology. Traders, despite access to vast information, are influenced by emotions like fear and greed. This collective sentiment manifests in predictable ways, creating patterns on charts.
For instance, the Head and Shoulders pattern emerges because traders, after pushing prices to a peak, become cautious. Early sellers take profits, causing a dip. A second rally (the head) attracts more participants, but if it fails to sustain, confidence wanes, leading to a sell-off. The final attempt (right shoulder) lacks conviction, and once support breaks, the downtrend ensues.
Understanding the emotional drivers behind these patterns allows traders to anticipate moves and strategize accordingly.
🎯 Using Patterns to Your Advantage
While recognizing patterns is valuable, it's crucial to approach them with a discerning eye:
Confirmation is Key : Don't act on a pattern until it's confirmed. For example, in a Head and Shoulders, wait for a break below the neckline before taking a position.
Volume Matters : Volume often validates a pattern. A genuine breakout is usually accompanied by increased trading volume, indicating strong participation.
Contextual Awareness : Consider the broader market context. Patterns can yield false signals in volatile or news-driven environments.
Risk Management : Always set stop-loss orders to protect against unexpected moves. Patterns suggest probabilities, not certainties.
🧬 The Evolution of Patterns in Modern Markets
In today's algorithm-driven trading landscape, one might wonder if traditional chart patterns still hold relevance. Interestingly, even sophisticated trading algorithms (those used by hedge funds and investment managers) are programmed based on historical patterns and human behavior, perpetuating the cycle.
Moreover, as long as markets are driven by human participants, emotions will influence decisions, and patterns will emerge. The tools may evolve, but the underlying psychology remains constant.
🤗 Conclusion: Embrace the Predictability
In the volatile world of trading, chart patterns serve as a bridge between market psychology and price action. They offer insights into collective behavior, providing traders with a framework to anticipate movements.
By studying these recurring formations, traders can align their strategies with market sentiment, turning the predictability of human nature into a trading edge.
What’s your go-to technical analysis pattern? Are you and H&S trader or maybe you prefer to trade double tops? Share your approach in the comments!
Leap Ahead with a Dual Breakout Setup on ES and MESThe Leap Trading Competition: A Chance to Trade S&P 500 Futures
TradingView’s "The Leap" Trading Competition gives traders the opportunity to test their futures trading strategies in a competitive environment. Participants have access to select CME Group futures contracts, including E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES) and Micro E-mini S&P 500 Futures (MES).
This article presents a dual breakout trade setup, analyzing both bullish and bearish scenarios based on key Fibonacci levels and low volatility price ranges. The goal is to trade the breakout of a well-defined range and target either a Fibonacci extension to the upside or a retracement level to the downside.
Understanding Breakouts and Fibonacci Levels
A breakout occurs when price moves beyond a defined support or resistance level, often leading to a strong trend continuation. In this case, the trading range between 6146.75 and 6121.25 is the key level to watch. A breakout above this range suggests bullish momentum, while a breakout below signals bearish pressure.
Fibonacci retracement levels are used to identify potential support or resistance zones based on past price movements. The 50% retracement level at 5985.75 aligns with a UFO support, making it a key downside target if price breaks lower.
Fibonacci extension levels project potential price targets beyond the most recent high or low. The 100% Fibonacci extension at 6288.75 serves as the projected upside target if price breaks higher.
The Dual Breakout Trade Setup
In a bullish scenario, a breakout above 6146.75 confirms entry to the upside. The target for this trade is the 100% Fibonacci extension at 6288.75. A stop loss is placed below the breakout level at a distance that ensures a minimum 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
In a bearish scenario, a breakdown below 6121.25 confirms entry to the downside. The target is the 50% Fibonacci retracement at 5985.75, which aligns with a UFO support zone. A stop loss is placed above the breakdown level, ensuring a minimum 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
Risk management considerations include adjusting stop losses based on a trader’s preferred risk-reward ratio. Scaling out at intermediate levels can help manage volatility and secure partial profits.
Contract Specifications and Margin Requirements
E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES) details:
Full contract specs: ES Contract Specifications – CME Group
Contract size: $50 x S&P 500 Index
Tick size: 0.25 index points ($12.50 per tick)
Margin requirements depend on broker conditions and market volatility – Currently ≈$15,000 per contract.
Micro E-mini S&P 500 Futures (MES) details:
Full contract specs: MES Contract Specifications – CME Group
Contract size: $5 x S&P 500 Index (1/10th of ES)
Tick size: 0.25 index points ($1.25 per tick)
Lower margin requirements make it more accessible for smaller accounts – Currently ≈$1,500 per contract.
Leverage in ES and MES magnifies both potential gains and losses. Traders should consider margin requirements and market conditions when determining position sizes.
Execution and Market Conditions
Before executing a trade, a typical breakout trader would watch price confirm a breakout by sustaining above or below the key levels. Additional confirmation from volume trends and momentum indicators can improve trade accuracy.
If price does not break out, the setup remains invalid. If a false breakout occurs, traders may need to reassess conditions before re-entering.
Conclusion
A dual breakout setup provides both bullish and bearish opportunities depending on price movement. Fibonacci extensions provide upside targets, while retracement levels align with strong support zones for downside moves.
For participants in The Leap Trading Competition, this setup highlights the importance of disciplined execution, confirmation, and structured risk management.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Breakdown Of My Personal Strategy On Dow Jones TutorialI will be giving a breakdown on my own personal strategy on how I trade the Dow Jones Futures. I am writing this post for two reasons. First and foremost, to help people. Secondly, to help myself in better understanding.
The way that I trade is using support and resistance, only I don't use the traditional sense of support and resistance that is taught. I use price levels that all traders have. The four price points of a candle stick. I also use major round numbers of 1000's and 500's.
The Open
The Low
The High
The Close
I start by looking at the monthly. When a new month opens, I.E. February 1st for example, I mark the opening price in Orange.
I use the 2 hour chart to look for buying and selling areas, using key price levels. I look for these key price areas and see how price behaves once they get there.
Low of Month trades
Low of the Week trades
Low of the Day trades
High of Month trades
High of the Week trades
High of the Day trades
Example 1:
The month of February opens at 44,444. I mark this with a horizontal trendline in Orange Level 4. I see price gapping down right into 44,000. A major round number of 1000.
I then drill down to my entry timeframe of the 15 minute to find the buy or sell trigger entry. In this case, I saw the creeping push down into the 1000 level followed by a bull 180 bar. I entered in on the close of that bar. I used a 75 tick stop per ATR and a 200 tick target.
This is an actual trade I took. I recently changed my target strategy. I will explain in a bit.
I use the same concept for the following three timeframes.
The Monthly candle
The Weekly candle
The Daily candle
The Monthly candle:
The Weekly candle:
The Daily candle:
Another example of a trade I took
This creeping layering into a level is one of my favorite ways to get into a trade.
What I am doing now is I will set my stop loss of 75 ticks and I will have no profit target. I will hold the trade until the end of the trading day and close it out before the market closes.
On this particular trade, I closed it out at 44,820 for a 343 tick profit.
The weekly template structure:
Some obvious points but worth repeating. Each Weekly candle has an opening price. Within each weekly candle, there are 5 trading days. Monday-Friday. There is a high and low of the week.
Within each trading day, there is also an open, high and a low. I find that when day trading, only to focus on the specific day itself and to not really worry about "multiple time frame analysis"
All you need is the major key levels I laid out up above.
Here is another trade that I took. I was looking for the Monthly open and 44,500 to be used as resistance for a continuation short trade back through the weekly open.
Of course you can see, I lost on this trade. No strategy is ever guaranteed, and I do routinely take losses. My job as a trader is to preserve my capital and to stay alive.
My money management strategy:
One trade per trading day MAX
If lose, DONE
Close out near end of day if in profits, DONE
75 tick stoploss on ALL day trades. DO NOT TOUCH. Do not move up or down. Sometimes to Break-even but only if trade is seeming to fail (more of an intuition thing)
Risk 0.75%-1.5% per trade
Only make slight adjustments to strategy after every 20-trade sample size.
By limiting my losses to only one trade per day, I can easily recover from a losing day with any winning day. Somedays I will either not see the market well, enter at a poor location or just overall, not be at my best. My statistics show that RARELY do I enter another trade after a losing trade, does that one succeed. This tells me that I am not seeing something that particular day. I will wrap it up and try again another day. Revenge trading does no good but to hurt yourself. I admit I am wrong on the day and come back again.
By limiting myself to one trade per day, I am also cutting down on slippage and commissions. Because of slippage and commissions, trading is NOT a zero-sum game, but in fact a NEGATIVE sum game. Your winners are smaller than they ought to be, and your losses are bigger than ought.
I know that I can have three losing days in a row and be right back to normal after one or two winning days. Therefore, who cares if I take a loss. I need to get through the losing trades to find the big, winning trades.
Harmonic Pattern Trading: Ultimate Guide for 2025Harmonic trading is a powerful price action-based strategy that uses Fibonacci ratios to identify high-probability reversal zones. These patterns fall under XABCD structure, meaning they have five key points (X, A, B, C, and D) and rely on Fibonacci retracements and extensions.
By mastering harmonic trading, you can identify trend reversals early and achieve higher win rates compared to traditional technical analysis methods.
🔹 Key Principles of Harmonic Trading
1️⃣ Structure of Harmonic Patterns (XABCD)
All harmonic patterns follow the same five-point structure:
X → A: The initial move.
A → B: The first retracement.
B → C: A counter move.
C → D: The final leg, forming the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ).
2️⃣ Fibonacci Ratios in Harmonic Patterns
Harmonic trading is Fibonacci-driven, meaning each pattern is defined by specific retracement and extension levels:
Common Fibonacci Retracements: 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%, 88.6%
Common Fibonacci Extensions: 127.2%, 141.4%, 161.8%, 200%, 224%, 261.8%
3️⃣ Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ)
The D-point of the pattern is where price is expected to reverse.
This PRZ zone is validated by Fibonacci confluence, support/resistance, and other confirmation signals (RSI, MACD, divergence, etc.).
Entry: Around D-point reversal confirmation
Stop Loss: Beyond the PRZ invalidation zone
Take Profit: Based on Fibonacci extension levels (often 61.8%, 100%, or 161.8% retracements).
🔷 Primary Harmonic Patterns & Their Structure
1️⃣ Gartley Pattern 🦋
✅ Most popular & reliable harmonic pattern
✅ Predicts trend continuation or reversal
✅ Respects 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from XA
Gartley Pattern Structure:
AB = 61.8% retracement of XA
BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB
CD = 78.6% retracement of XA
D-point PRZ → Strong reversal expected
🚀 Trading Tip: Look for confluence with trendlines, supply-demand zones, and RSI/MACD divergence.
2️⃣ Bat Pattern 🦇
✅ High-probability reversal setup
✅ Stronger deep retracement of XA compared to Gartley
✅ Ideal for trend continuation & reversal trades
Bat Pattern Structure:
AB = 38.2% or 50% retracement of XA
BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB
CD = 88.6% retracement of XA
D-point PRZ → Expect strong reversal
🚀 Trading Tip: Bat patterns often provide low-risk entries with tight stop losses due to their deep XA retracement.
3️⃣ Butterfly Pattern 🦋
✅ Predicts deep trend reversals
✅ Used for aggressive counter-trend trades
Butterfly Pattern Structure:
AB = 78.6% retracement of XA
BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB
CD = 127.2% or 161.8% extension of XA
D-point PRZ → Strong trend reversal expected
🚀 Trading Tip: Butterfly PRZ zones are more extended, so look for price exhaustion & divergence before entering.
4️⃣ Crab Pattern 🦀
✅ The most extended harmonic pattern
✅ Strong 161.8% XA extension creates powerful reversals
Crab Pattern Structure:
AB = 38.2% or 61.8% retracement of XA
BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB
CD = 161.8% extension of XA
D-point PRZ → Extreme overextension, likely strong reversal
🚀 Trading Tip: Use confluence with key support/resistance levels & volume analysis to confirm reversals.
5️⃣ Deep Crab Pattern 🦀
✅ More reliable version of the Crab Pattern
✅ D-point extends further for deeper pullbacks
Deep Crab Pattern Structure:
AB = 38.2% or 61.8% retracement of XA
BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB
CD = 224% - 261.8% extension of XA
D-point PRZ → Strong reversal expected
🚀 Trading Tip: Similar to the Crab, but requires stronger confirmation signals before entry.
6️⃣ Cypher Pattern 💠
✅ High accuracy harmonic pattern
✅ Faster entries compared to other patterns
Cypher Pattern Structure:
AB = 38.2% to 61.8% retracement of XA
BC = 127.2% to 141.4% extension of AB
CD = 78.6% retracement of XA
D-point PRZ → Price reversal likely
🚀 Trading Tip: Look for RSI/MACD divergence at the D-point for added confirmation.
7️⃣ Shark Pattern 🦈
✅ Newer harmonic pattern variation
✅ Similar to Crab but uses different Fibonacci rules
Shark Pattern Structure:
AB = 113% - 161.8% extension of XA
BC = 113% - 161.8% extension of AB
CD = 88.6% retracement of XA
D-point PRZ → Strong reversal expected
🚀 Trading Tip: Shark patterns often appear before larger trend reversals, so they work well for early trend detection.
🔷 Advanced Harmonic Patterns Overview
📌 3-Drives Pattern
Predicts the end of trends using 3 equal price movements
Each drive follows Fibonacci retracements/extensions
Strong reversal happens after the 3rd drive completes
📌 Alternate Bat Pattern
Similar to Bat but has a deeper B-point retracement (50% of XA instead of 38.2%)
More accurate for identifying trend continuation trades
📌 White Swan & Black Swan
Developed by harmonic trading expert Scott Carney
Similar to the Crab, but focuses on psychological market structure
🚀 How to Trade Harmonic Patterns Successfully
Step 1: Identify the Pattern & PRZ
Use harmonic pattern scanners or manual Fibonacci tools.
Step 2: Wait for Reversal Confirmation
Look for candlestick patterns (pin bars, engulfing candles).
Check RSI, MACD, and volume divergence.
Step 3: Place Your Trade
Entry: Once price reacts at PRZ.
Stop Loss: Beyond PRZ invalidation level.
Take Profit: Fibonacci retracement levels (38.2%, 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%).
🔥 Summary – Why Harmonic Trading Works
✅ High accuracy when Fibonacci ratios are respected
✅ Works across all timeframes (forex, stocks, crypto, indices)
✅ Combines price action, Fibonacci, and confluence factors
If you master these harmonic patterns, you'll consistently spot reversals early, maximize profits, and minimize risks! 🚀📈
How to Trade With Cookie's A.I. Engulfing ScreenerIn this video, I break down how to use **Cookie's Engulfing Band Screener**, a powerful tool designed to filter out false engulfing signals and improve trading accuracy.
🚀 **How It Works:**
✔️ **Trade signals inside the band are false.**
✔️ **Valid trade signals occur when price breaks or touches the upper/lower band.**
✔️ **Sell Entry** – When price touches or breaks above the upper band.
✔️ **Buy Entry** – When price touches or breaks below the lower band.
✔️ If price re-enters the band after breaking out, another entry signal is triggered.
🎯 **Key Features:**
✅ Works on any timeframe
✅ Automatically places buy/sell labels at the right spots
✅ Alerts for trade entries so you never miss an opportunity
✅ Helps you avoid bad trades and focus on high-probability setups
🔥 **Why Use This?**
I've found this to be extremely effective in improving my trading accuracy, cutting out noise, and refining my entries. If you're looking for a simple yet powerful way to trade engulfing patterns with confidence, this is for you!
📈 **Watch the full breakdown and start trading smarter today!**
🔔 **Don't forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more trading strategies!**
What Is a San-Ku (Three Gaps) Pattern?What Is a San-Ku (Three Gaps) Pattern?
The intriguing and captivating San-Ku, or Three Gaps, pattern draws the curiosity of traders within financial markets. Its distinctive form and strategic placement on price charts make it a compelling subject for observation and analysis. This article aims to explore the intricacies of the San-Ku pattern, highlighting its importance and providing insights into how traders can incorporate it into their trading strategies.
What Is a Three Gaps (San-Ku) Pattern?
The San-Ku, or Three Gaps, pattern is a distinctive technical analysis formation characterised by three consecutive upward or downward price gaps. This pattern often signifies a significant shift in market sentiment and a potential trend reversal. Traders keen on spotting trend changes find the formation intriguing due to its clear visual representation on price charts.
Identifying the setup involves recognising three successive gaps in the price movement, whether upward or downward. These gaps indicate abrupt shifts in market sentiment and are typically accompanied by increased trading volume. The pattern manifests itself as a series of price jumps, creating a visual sequence that stands out on a chart.
How to Trade the San-Ku Three Spaces
Traders may enter a position based on the assumption of a trend reversal. In a bullish formation, you may consider entering a long position after the third gap down, signalling a potential bullish trend. Conversely, in a bearish pattern, you may initiate a short position after the third gap, anticipating a bearish trend.
To establish a take-profit level, you may assess the historical price behaviour around the formation. Look for significant support or resistance levels, trendlines, or Fibonacci retracement levels to gauge potential reversal points. Adjust your take profit accordingly, aiming for a favourable risk-to-reward ratio.
Implementing a well-placed stop loss is crucial to manage risk. You may position the stop loss below the setup in an upward pattern and above the setup in a downward pattern. This may help mitigate potential losses if the market does not follow the expected reversal.
Live Market Example
Let's explore a live market example. In this scenario, we observe the setup, indicating a potential reversal of a bullish trend.
A trader could enter a short position after the third candle closes, anticipating a bearish trend, setting the take-profit level at a support level based on historical price action. As the trader used a daily chart, the stop-loss level was supposed to be calculated based on the risk/reward ratio and placed above the Triple Gap.
Final Thoughts
Although San-Ku is an effective pattern, it can’t guarantee a trend reversal. As with any technical analysis tool, it's crucial to consider the broader market context and use risk management strategies to improve overall trading performance. Remember, no pattern guarantees success, and thorough analysis remains paramount in making informed trading decisions. If you want to test different trading approaches, you can open an FXOpen account.
FAQ
Is the Three Gaps Setup Suitable for All Types of Assets?
This formation can be applied to various financial instruments, including stocks, currencies, commodities, and indices. However, it's essential to adapt your strategy to the specific characteristics of the asset you are trading and consider factors like liquidity and market behaviour.
How Can Traders Stay Updated on Potential Three Gaps Formations?
Traders can use charting platforms, technical analysis tools, and market scanners to stay informed about potential Three Gaps formations. Setting up alerts for specific price movements and gap occurrences can also help traders promptly identify opportunities as they arise.
Are There Any Common Mistakes Traders Make When Interpreting the Three Gaps?
One common mistake is relying solely on the setup without considering broader market conditions. Traders shouldn’t neglect the overall trend, market sentiment, and potential catalysts that could influence price movements. Additionally, thorough backtesting and analysis are crucial to validating the reliability of the pattern in different market conditions.
Can I Find the Three Gaps Pattern on the NVDA Candlestick Chart?
You can find this pattern in different markets, but remember that its effectiveness will depend on the timeframe you use and the strategy you implement. Keep in mind that the presence of the Three Gaps Pattern on a stock's chart does not guarantee future price movements. It's essential to conduct thorough technical and fundamental analysis and practise risk management when making trading decisions.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Thoughts on Technical Analysis (Part 2)
1. Trading systems do not yield the same results in all markets (or across all timeframes).
2. All markets have their own characteristics. For example: XMR moves within ranges and experiences strong volatility spikes, while the S&P 500 is highly trend-driven with a strong upward bias (since 1984, it has closed bearish only 7 times).
3. Effective trading systems with lower win rates are generally the most profitable, as they are trend-following and have long periods of market exposure.
*Note: Longer exposure period = Higher failure rate = Greater profits when catching a major trend.*
4. Reversal patterns in bullish trends with an upward slope are extremely dangerous, as such a slope indicates strong buying pressure. Reversal patterns in bearish trends with a downward slope are dangerous, as they indicate the presence of selling pressure.
5. Market participants are drawn to historical patterns, confluences, favorable risk-reward ratios, and protected stop-losses. (This is why it’s a bad idea to trade without a protected stop-loss or with a risk-reward ratio below 1:1).
6. Algorithmic trading systems are trained based on historical patterns and confluences.
7. Generally, when a good technical analyst is uncertain about what might happen next, it’s because many participants may be uncertain as well, so it’s wise to stay out of the market. The best opportunities present themselves clearly.
“Strength manifests itself, it is not predicted.”
8. Catching prices in free fall (“catching falling knives”) or trying to halt bullish trends with extreme momentum (vertical rallies) is the quickest way to blow up an account. If there is no exhaustion pattern or formation, there is no protected stop-loss. Without a protected stop-loss, there’s no way to calculate the risk-reward ratio. Without these elements, participation drops drastically.
9. Reversal formations (e.g., Head and Shoulders) with descending necklines (in bullish trends) typically offer few opportunities for profitable trades. Reversal formations with ascending necklines (in bearish trends) generally provide few profitable trading opportunities.
*Explanation: Placing the stop-loss behind the high (in bullish trends) or the low (in bearish trends) results in a risk-reward ratio below 1:1, which attracts little participation. This often triggers a correction that may draw opposing market forces.*
10. Classic authors emphasized market manipulation, used multi-timeframe analysis, and understood mass psychology deeply. Meanwhile, the daytrading industry was built to attract undercapitalized masses.
Keep your timeframe above H4, and you’ll witness the magic.
How to trade with V patterns !!!In trading, a V pattern is a chart formation that resembles the letter "V" and is used in technical analysis to identify potential reversals in price trends. It is one of the most common and recognizable patterns, signaling a sharp decline followed by a quick recovery.
Here's a breakdown of the V pattern:
Characteristics of a V Pattern
Sharp Decline (Left Side of the V):
The price experiences a rapid and steep drop, often driven by strong selling pressure or negative market sentiment.
This decline is usually quick and may occur over a short period.
Reversal Point (Bottom of the V):
The price reaches a low point where selling pressure exhausts, and buyers step in.
This is the point where the trend reverses, often accompanied by high trading volume.
Sharp Recovery (Right Side of the V):
The price rebounds quickly, mirroring the steepness of the initial decline.
The recovery is driven by strong buying pressure, often fueled by positive news or a shift in market sentiment.
Types of V Patterns
V Bottom (Bullish Reversal):
Occurs at the end of a downtrend.
Signals a potential reversal from bearish to bullish.
Traders look for confirmation of the reversal, such as a breakout above a resistance level or increased volume.
Inverted V Top (Bearish Reversal):
Occurs at the end of an uptrend.
Signals a potential reversal from bullish to bearish.
Traders watch for a breakdown below a support level or decreasing volume as confirmation.
How to Trade the V Pattern
Identify the Pattern:
Look for a sharp decline followed by an equally sharp recovery.
Use trendlines or moving averages to confirm the reversal.
Wait for Confirmation:
Avoid entering a trade too early. Wait for the price to break above a resistance level (for a V bottom) or below a support level (for an inverted V top).
Set Entry and Exit Points:
For a V bottom, enter a long position after the price breaks above resistance.
For an inverted V top, enter a short position after the price breaks below support.
Use stop-loss orders to manage risk, placing them below the reversal point for a V bottom or above the reversal point for an inverted V top.
Targets:
Measure the height of the V pattern and project it upward (for a V bottom) or downward (for an inverted V top) to estimate potential price targets.
Key Considerations
Volume: Higher trading volume during the reversal confirms the strength of the pattern.
Market Context: V patterns are more reliable when they align with broader market trends or fundamental factors.
False Signals: Not all V patterns lead to sustained reversals. Always use additional indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) to confirm the trend.
The V pattern is a powerful tool for traders, but it requires careful analysis and risk management to avoid false signals and capitalize on potential opportunities.
What is V pattern? V pattern is a basic trading pattern which happens when market gets chaotic!
It has a sharp decline(left angle) and a sharp recovery (right angle)
Most of the times, V patterns won't change anything and their effect on market is mostly nothing!
The trends will continue after these patterns are crafted!
for example look at the BINANCE:BNBUSDT Chart and you can see that the price was pretty stable. after a sharp deny and a sharp recovery, the price shall return to the ranging stat which It was in!
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
👉 Follow me for daily updates,
💬 Comment and like to share your thoughts,
📌 And check the link in my bio for even more resources!
Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨
Pattern Identification ExerciseHere I run through an exercise I first started carrying out around 4 years ago. It is a brilliant tool to help train yours eyes to spot patterns within the market, log the data across multiple different instruments and find specific characteristics with that instrument.
The importance behind carrying out an exercise like this is training your lens to spot these in the live markets, and also stacking your confidence so when you see these develop you are able to approach them in the best way possible.
Any questions just drop them below 👇
How To Locate Pivot Points Easily Using Free IndicatorsHere are some helpful links for all of you...
My indicators on Trading View, I don't use that many.
Bad Ass B-Bands by WyckoffMode (follow this guy on all platforms)
Chart Champions CC Pocket
VuManChu Cipher B
Off of Trading View
I use BookMap for order flow data. This is where I can pick out exact locations of order walls i.e. pivot points.
My Tutorial on how to easily find squeezes
Here are links to my watchlists (some new ones are missing from Coinbase, add new ones manually)
Coinbase
tradingview.com/watchlists/74158386/
Gemini
tradingview.com/watchlists/74158590/
Kraken
tradingview.com/watchlists/96996184/
3 Tools for Timing PullbacksPullbacks in trends can offer some of the highest quality trading opportunities, but not all pullbacks are equal. Some offer high-probability setups, while others are warning signs of deeper corrections or trend reversals.
So how do you time your entry with confidence? Here are three effective tools to help you navigate pullbacks with precision.
1. Keltner Channels: Spotting Pullbacks Within Volatility
Keltner Channels are a volatility-based tool that adapts to changing market conditions. They consist of a central moving average with two outer bands—typically set at a multiple of the average true range (ATR). These bands expand and contract as market volatility changes.
How to Use It:
When price moves into or beyond the Keltner Channel’s outer bands, it signals that momentum is outpacing short-term volatility. This surge in momentum provides an ideal setup to anticipate a pullback.
For timing entries, a steady retracement back to the basis line (middle band) often presents the best opportunity to join the trend. The strongest pullbacks tend to be controlled, showing reduced momentum compared to the initial move. In contrast, a deep retracement all the way to the opposite band suggests strong counter-trend pressure, which could indicate a shift in market dynamics rather than a simple pullback.
Example: Gold Daily Candle Chart
In this example, we see gold pushing into the upper Keltner Channel, retracing to the basis line, finding support, and then resuming its uptrend. This pattern repeated multiple times during last year’s bull run, offering traders several high-probability entry points.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
2. Anchored VWAP: Confirming Institutional Interest
The Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) is a tool that’s widely used by institutional traders. It tracks the average price a market has traded at, weighted by volume, over a specific period. The key difference with Anchored VWAP is that you can "anchor" it to a significant price point (e.g., a breakout or major low), giving you a dynamic reference point for future price action.
How to Use It:
Anchor the VWAP to a key price level, like the low of the trend or a breakout point.
A pullback to the anchored VWAP is often viewed as a high-probability area for entry. This is because institutional traders may be accumulating positions at this level, making it an important support or resistance zone.
When the price pulls back to the VWAP and starts to hold above it, it suggests that demand is outweighing supply, making it a potentially good place to enter.
Example: USD/JPY Daily Candle Chart
Having it highs in November, USD/JPY underwent a steady pullback in December, forming a clear base of support at the VWAP anchored to the September trend lows.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
3. Fibonacci Retracement: Measuring the Depth of the Pullback
The Fibonacci retracement tool is one of the most popular tools for measuring the depth of a pullback. It uses horizontal lines at key Fibonacci levels (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, etc.) to show potential support and resistance areas during a retracement.
How to Use It:
Identify the high and low of a trending move and apply the Fibonacci retracement tool to measure the distance of the pullback.
Traders should be wary of applying too many Fib levels to their chart, so we would favour focusing on just the 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%. Never assume that Fib levels will hold, wait for price action-based evidence form confirmation.
If price action holds at one of these levels and begins to reverse, it suggests that the trend is likely to resume. The deeper the pullback, the more cautious you should be, but price patterns that align with the 61.8% level should still be considered as potential entry points.
Example: S&P 500 Daily Candle Chart
We can see from this example that the 38.2% - 50% Fibonacci retracement zone was a useful tool for timing pullbacks on the S&P 500.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Bringing It All Together
The best time to enter a pullback is when multiple tools align. For instance:
A pullback to Keltner Channel's outer band that also aligns with a Fibonacci level could signal a strong buy zone.
Anchored VWAP and Fibonacci levels acting together as support can further confirm the validity of the pullback.
By combining these tools, you'll have a more comprehensive understanding of where the market is likely to resume its trend, increasing your chances of a successful entry.
Example: EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart
Here we can see EUR/USD breaks lower – down into the lower Keltner channel. This is followed by a pullback that end up reversing at a confluent zone that includes the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, the basis of the Keltner channel, and the VWAP anchored to the highs.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Summary:
Timing pullbacks effectively can make a huge difference in trading success, and using the right tools helps separate high-probability setups from lower quality trades. Keltner Channels highlight volatility-driven pullbacks, Anchored VWAP identifies levels where institutions may be active, and Fibonacci retracements offer a structured approach to measuring pullback depth. When these tools align, they create confirmation zones that improve trade timing and risk management.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN INDUCEMENT AND LIQUITY SMART MONEY COCNEPTHere i show you difference between inducement and liquidity in trading on smart money concept . so watch the video very well to understand how both works.
ACCUMULATION MANIPLUTION DISTRIBUTION EXPLAINED SMCHere i explained how you can use accumulation manipulation distribution trade . As a smart money concept trader you need to under when price is ranging and when is manipulating so you can take advantage of distribution. Using this can maximize your profit and reduce loss.
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) with Fibonacci on Large Candles Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) with Fibonacci on Large Candles (Bullish & Bearish)
If you spot a large candle with high volume, whether bearish or bullish, you can use Fibonacci retracement on the candle itself to determine potential reversal or continuation zones. Here’s how to apply it in both scenarios:
1️⃣ Large Bearish Candle (Bearish Bar)
📉 (Red candle with high volume closing near the low)
How to Identify a Bearish Candle?
✅ The candle has a large body and closes near the low (strong selling signal).
✅ The volume is significantly higher than previous candles → Institutional Selling (Smart Money Selling).
✅ If volume is high but the candle doesn’t close at the low, it could indicate hidden buying (stopping volume).
How to Draw Fibonacci on a Bearish Candle?
1️⃣ Identify the high and low of the bearish candle:
• High = The top of the candle.
• Low = The bottom of the candle.
• This represents the range of the selling pressure in the market.
2️⃣ Draw Fibonacci levels between the high and low:
• 0% = Low (Bottom of the bearish bar).
• 100% = High (Top of the bearish bar).
• Key levels to watch:
• 38.2% → Weak retracement, market may continue down.
• 50% → Balance point, strong resistance possible.
• 61.8% → Potential reversal zone; if price fails to break it, the downtrend may continue.
• 78.6% → If price breaks this, trend may change.
3️⃣ If the market continues downward, check Fibonacci extensions:
• 127.2% & 161.8% → Downside targets if the bearish trend continues.
Confirming Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) for Selling
✅ Sell Entry: If the price retraces to 38.2% - 50% and rejects with weak volume.
❌ Stop Loss: Above 61.8% or the last swing high.
🎯 Targets:
• Break of the large candle’s low.
• Fibonacci extensions 127.2% or 161.8%.
2️⃣ Large Bullish Candle (Bullish Bar)
📈 (Green candle with high volume closing near the high)
How to Identify a Bullish Candle?
✅ The candle has a large body and closes near the high → Strong buying signal.
✅ The volume is significantly higher than previous candles → Institutional Buying (Smart Money Buying).
✅ If volume is high but the candle doesn’t close at the high, it could indicate supply absorption.
How to Draw Fibonacci on a Bullish Candle?
1️⃣ Identify the high and low of the bullish candle:
• High = The top of the candle.
• Low = The bottom of the candle.
• This represents the range of the buying pressure in the market.
2️⃣ Draw Fibonacci levels between the high and low:
• 0% = High (Top of the bullish bar).
• 100% = Low (Bottom of the bullish bar).
• Key levels to watch:
• 38.2% → Shallow pullback, market may continue up.
• 50% → Balance point, potential bounce area.
• 61.8% → Strong support zone; if price holds with weak volume, an uptrend may continue.
• 78.6% → If broken, trend may reverse.
3️⃣ If the market continues upward, check Fibonacci extensions:
• 127.2% & 161.8% → Upside targets if the bullish trend continues.
Confirming Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) for Buying
✅ Buy Entry: If price retraces to 38.2% - 50% and bounces with high volume.
❌ Stop Loss: Below 61.8% or the last swing low.
🎯 Targets:
• Break of the large candle’s high.
• Fibonacci extensions 127.2% or 161.8%.
🎯 Quick Summary: When to Enter?
🔴 Sell:
• Large red candle, price retraces to 38.2% - 50% with weak volume.
• Stop loss above 61.8%, target at 127.2% & 161.8% extensions.
🟢 Buy:
• Large green candle, price retraces to 38.2% - 50% with strong volume.
• Stop loss below 61.8%, target at 127.2% & 161.8% extensions.
Institutional Market Structure: How to Mark It!2025 ICT Mentorship: Lecture 2
Video Description:
📈 Unlock the Secrets of Institutional Market Structure!
Hey traders! Welcome to today’s video, where we lay the foundation for mastering how the market truly moves. Understanding market structure is the key to improving your trading precision and analysis.
In this session, we’ll break down the difference between minor swing points and strong swing points—a crucial distinction for objective and accurate structure analysis. You’ll learn how to mark market structure properly, keeping emotions in check and aligning with solid trading psychology.
🎯 What You’ll Gain:
✅ Identify market structure like a pro
✅ Enhance your objectivity and reduce impulsive decisions
✅ Master institutional techniques for improved accuracy
If you’re ready to take your trading to the next level and build a strong foundation, hit play and let’s dive in!
💬 Don’t forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more game-changing insights. Share your thoughts below—I’d love to hear how this helps your trading journey!
Enjoy the video and happy trading!
The Architect 🏛️📊
Pivot Points Part 2: Support and Resistance LevelsWelcome back to our series on pivot points, an objective a simple tool used by many day traders.
In Part 1, we explored the central pivot point, its calculation, and its role as a key reference for market sentiment. In Part 2, we’ll expand on this foundation by diving into the support and resistance levels derived from the pivot point formula. These levels are designed to add depth to your day trading analysis, offering a more comprehensive view of intraday price action.
The Mechanics: Support and Resistance Levels
In addition to the central pivot point (PP), pivot analysis includes three levels of support (S1, S2, S3) and three levels of resistance (R1, R2, R3). These levels are calculated using the previous session’s high, low, and close. The formulas for the primary levels are as follows:
PP = (previous high + previous low + previous close) / 3
S1 = (pivot point x 2) - previous high
S2 = pivot point - (previous high — previous low)
R1 = (pivot point x 2) — previous low
R2 = pivot point + (previous high — previous low)
The third levels (R3 and S3) extend even further but are less frequently reached in typical intraday trading. These levels create a structured framework for identifying potential reversal points, breakout zones, and profit targets.
S&P 500 5min Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Using Pivot Levels in Your Trading
1. Trading the Reversal: Support and Resistance in Action
One of the most common ways to use pivot levels is to identify potential reversal points. For example, if the price reaches S1 or R1 and shows signs of hesitation, it may indicate a reversal is likely. This is particularly true when combined with candlestick patterns, momentum indicators, or divergence on oscillators like RSI.
Example:
In this EUR/USD 5-minute chart, we see a textbook reversal at R1. The market initially uses the pivot point (PP) as support and then forms a double top reversal pattern when retesting R1 resistance, signalling a potential upward move. This setup allows traders to enter with a clear stop above R1 and a target near the pivot point or dynamic moving average.
EUR/USD 5min Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
2. Riding the Breakout
When momentum is strong, the market can break through pivot levels, turning resistance into support (or vice versa). Watching for breakouts at R1 or S1 can provide excellent entry points for trend-following strategies.
Example:
In this example, the FTSE 100 having earlier reversed at R1 and broken through PP, briefly consolidates near S1. This is followed by a break lower – triggering a swift move down to S2.
FTSE 100 5min Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
3. Target Setting and Risk Management
Pivot levels are also useful for setting realistic profit targets and stop losses. For example, a trader entering a long position near S1 might use the pivot point as an initial target, depending on the strength of the move.
Similarly, a short position initiated near R1 could aim for the pivot point as an initial target and S1 as a secondary target, with stops placed just above the breakout level to manage risk.
Combining Pivot Levels with Other Tools
While pivot levels are powerful on their own, combining them with other tools can significantly enhance their effectiveness:
VWAP: If a pivot level aligns with VWAP, it reinforces the level’s importance as a potential support or resistance zone.
Prior Days High/Low: Pivot levels that coincide with the previous session’s high or low can serve as stronger reversal or breakout points.
RSI: Use RSI to gauge momentum—if price approaches a pivot level while RSI is negative or positive divergence at an overbought or oversold, it can signal a potential reversal.
Example:
In the below example we see the FTSE hold above VWAP and the pivot level – forming a solid base of support before breaking higher. The market breaks through R1 and the prior days high leading to a charge past R2 to and towards R3. At R3 we see the market start to stall as the RSI shows signs of negative divergence.
FTSE 100 5min Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Summary
Pivot points, along with their associated support and resistance levels, offer traders a structured framework for navigating intraday price action. By understanding how these levels interact with market sentiment and momentum, traders can develop more confident strategies for reversals, breakouts, and risk management.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing
Leap Ahead with a Bearish Divergence on Gold FuturesThe Leap Trading Competition: A Chance to Trade Gold Futures
TradingView’s "The Leap" Trading Competition is an opportunity for traders to test their futures trading skills. Participants can trade select CME Group futures contracts, including Gold Futures (GC) and Micro Gold Futures (MGC).
Register and participate here: TradingView Competition Registration .
This article presents a structured short trade setup based on a bearish divergence identified using the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and key pivot point levels for confirmation. The trade plan focuses on waiting for price to break below the pivot point at 2866.8 before executing the trade, with clear targets and risk management.
Identifying the Trade Setup
Bearish divergence occurs when price makes higher highs while an indicator, such as CCI, makes lower highs. This signals weakening momentum and a potential reversal. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) measures price deviations from its average and helps traders identify overbought or oversold conditions.
Pivot points are calculated from previous price action and serve as key support and resistance levels. The pivot at 2866.8 is the reference level in this setup. A breakdown below this level may suggest further downside momentum, increasing the probability of a successful short trade.
The trade plan combines CCI divergence with pivot point confirmation. While divergence signals a potential shift, entry is only considered if price trades below 2866.8. This approach reduces false signals and improves trade accuracy. The first target is set at 2823.0, aligning with an intermediate support level (S1), while the final target is near S2 at 2776.2, just above a UFO support zone.
Trade Plan and Risk Management
The short trade is triggered only if price trades below 2866.8. The stop loss is placed above the entry at a level ensuring at least a 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
Profit targets are structured to lock in gains progressively:
The first exit is at 2823.0, where partial profits can be taken.
The final exit is near 2776.2, positioned just above a UFO support level.
Stop placement may vary based on the trader’s preferred risk-reward ratio. Position sizing should be adjusted according to account size and market volatility.
Contract Specifications and Margin Requirements
Gold Futures (GC) details:
Full contract specs: GC Contract Specifications – CME Group
Contract size: 100 troy ounces
Tick size: 0.10 per ounce ($10 per tick)
Margin requirements depend on broker conditions and market volatility. Currently around $12,500 per contract.
Micro Gold Futures (MGC) details:
Full contract specs: MGC Contract Specifications – CME Group
Contract size: 10 troy ounces (1/10th of GC)
Tick size: 0.10 per ounce ($1 per tick)
Lower margin requirements provide access to smaller traders. Currently around $1,250 per contract.
Leverage impacts both potential gains and losses. Traders should consider market conditions and margin requirements when adjusting position sizes.
Execution and Market Conditions
Before executing the trade, price must break below 2866.8. Additional confirmation can be sought through volume trends and price action signals.
If price does not break the pivot, the short setup is invalid. If price consolidates, traders should reassess momentum before committing to the trade.
Conclusion
Bearish CCI divergence signals potential market weakness, but confirmation from the pivot breakdown is key before executing a short trade. A structured approach with well-defined targets and risk management increases the probability of success.
For traders in The Leap Trading Competition, this setup highlights the importance of discipline, confirmation, and scaling out of trades to manage risk effectively.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Bitcoin Seasonality - Best Month (October) and Best Day (Monday)It's very important for every Bitcoin trader to know its seasonality because this will significantly increase the probability of successful trades. I have been trading Bitcoin for almost 10 years, and I successfully use seasonality patterns to predict Bitcoin price movements. For example, you don't want to go long on Bitcoin during August or September; that's probably a very bad idea. The biggest market crashes usually happen in September. But you definitely want to go long in October or April, as these months are the most promising. Knowledge of these patterns will give you an advantage over standard retail traders. Every trade matters.
Average return by Month (%)
January: +5.1%
February: +12.1%
March: +4.8%
April: ˇ+18.7%
May: +14.2%
June: +4.4%
July: +6.1%
August: -3.1%
September: -8.4%
October: +22.2%
November: +17.9%
December: +7.3%
Average return by Weekday (%)
Monday: +0.63%
Tuesday: +0.18%
Wednesday: +0.54%
Thursday: +0.40%
Friday: +0.37%
Saturday: +0.45%
Sunday: +0.10%
Currently I am bullish on Bitcoin as the price is in an uptrend and the bear market is not confirmed; I expect Bitcoin to hit 115k probably at the end of February. What I also expect is an alt season - alt season is starting right now! So it's time to buy some altcoins. Ethereum should outperform BTC in the next weeks as well.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
How to Get Funded and Become a Forex Prop Trader in 2025?How to Get Funded and Become a Forex Prop Trader in 2025: A Step-by-Step Action Plan
With prop trading firms offering funding to skilled traders, 2025 presents an excellent opportunity to trade with significant capital while limiting your personal risk. Here’s a detailed roadmap to getting funded and becoming a successful prop trader in the forex market.
________________________________________
📌 Step 1: Build a Profitable Trading Strategy
Before applying to a prop firm, you need a tested and profitable strategy that aligns with prop firm risk rules. Here’s what to focus on:
✅ Choose a Trading Style
• Scalping – Quick, small trades (requires low spreads and fast execution).
• Day Trading – Intraday trades with clear setups (most prop firms allow).
• Swing Trading – Holding trades for days/weeks (lower stress, fits many prop firm rules).
• Algorithmic Trading – Using bots or EAs (some firms allow automation).
✅ Develop a High-Probability Edge
• Top-Down Technical Analysis (Identify trends using multiple timeframes).
• Price Action & Market Structure (Support/resistance, breakouts, trendlines).
• Risk-Reward Ratios (Aim for at least 1:2 RR on trades).
• News & Fundamentals (FOMC, NFP, CPI, interest rate decisions).
✅ Backtest & Optimize Your Strategy
• Use Forex Tester 5 or TradingView’s replay mode to test past market conditions.
• Run at least 100-200 trades in a demo account.
• Maintain a win rate above 50% with an R:R of 1:2 or higher.
________________________________________
📌 Step 2: Master Risk & Money Management
Most prop firms fail traders due to poor risk management. Here’s how to avoid that:
✅ Follow Strict Drawdown Rules
• Daily Drawdown: Most firms allow 5% max daily loss.
• Overall Drawdown: 8-10% max loss before account termination.
• Solution: Risk only 0.5% - 1% per trade.
✅ Position Sizing
• Lot Size Calculator: Always use a calculator to match risk per trade.
• Adjust for Volatility: Trade smaller lots on high-impact news days.
✅ Risk-Adjusted Growth
• Withdraw profits monthly to secure earnings.
• Scale up gradually instead of over-leveraging.
________________________________________
📌 Step 3: Get Funded by a Prop Firm
🚀 Top Prop Firms in 2025 for Forex Traders
• FTMO – Up to $400,000 funding, 90% profit share.
• My Forex Funds (MFF) – Up to $600,000 funding, 85% profit split.
• The Funded Trader – 80-90% profit split, offers aggressive scaling.
• Fidelcrest – Allows scalping, news trading, and EAs.
• E8 Funding – Low drawdown rules, 80% split.
📈 How to Pass a Prop Firm Challenge
Most firms require a two-phase evaluation:
1. Phase 1: Profit target (8-10%) within 30 days without exceeding the daily/overall drawdown.
2. Phase 2: Lower profit target (4-5%) within 60 days with the same risk rules.
3. Funded Stage: Trade firm capital with a profit split (usually 75-90% to the trader).
🛠️ Pro Tips to Pass a Prop Firm Challenge
✅ Risk only 0.5% per trade (low risk = higher success rate).
✅ Trade high-probability setups only (2-3 trades per day max).
✅ Avoid trading the first & last 15 minutes of sessions (high spreads).
✅ Use a prop firm challenge simulator before applying.
________________________________________
📌 Step 4: Optimize & Scale Your Trading Career
🔹 Get Multiple Funded Accounts
• Many firms allow traders to manage multiple accounts.
• Use copy trading software (e.g., Trade Copier, FXBlue) to replicate trades across accounts.
• Some firms have a combined max funding of over $2 million.
🔹 Transition to a Full-Time Forex Trader
1. Withdraw Profits Monthly – Secure earnings and reinvest.
2. Diversify Income Streams – Consider trading signals, coaching, or selling EAs.
3. Trade with Institutional Mindset – Focus on consistency over big wins.
________________________________________
📌 Step 5: Use Trading Tools & AI Bots for an Edge
🔹 Best Forex Trading Tools in 2025
📊 TradingView & MT5 – Best for charting & analysis.
📉 AutoRisk Calculator – Automates lot sizing based on risk %.
🤖 AI & Algo Bots – AI-powered news sentiment analysis & high-frequency trading.
📅 Forex Factory & Myfxbook – Economic calendar & trade tracking.
________________________________________
📌 Step 6: Stay Ahead in the Forex Market
🚀 Follow Pro Traders – Learn from institutions & hedge funds.
📊 Analyze Market Cycles – 2025 will be affected by interest rates & global policies.
📉 Avoid Overtrading – Focus on quality over quantity.
📈 Invest in Continuous Learning – Join trading communities & courses.
________________________________________
🎯 Final Thoughts: The Fastest Way to Become a Forex Prop Trader in 2025
✅ Develop a tested, profitable strategy.
✅ Master risk & money management.
✅ Apply to top prop firms & pass the evaluation.
✅ Scale with multiple funded accounts.
✅ Stay disciplined, patient, and focused on long-term success.
Multi-Timeframe Volume Profile and Divergence StrategyObjective:
To combine multi-timeframe analysis, volume profile insights, and divergence patterns for identifying high-probability trades.
1. Strategy Components
A. Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
Use three timeframes for analysis:
Higher timeframe (HTF): To identify the overall trend (e.g., Weekly/4H).
Intermediate timeframe (ITF): For spotting critical support/resistance zones (e.g., Daily/1H).
Lower timeframe (LTF): For precise entry and exit signals (e.g., 15M/5M).
B. Volume Profile:
Incorporate Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR):
Identify key areas: Point of Control (POC), High Volume Nodes (HVN), and Low Volume Nodes (LVN).
Use these levels as dynamic support and resistance.
C. Divergence Patterns:
Look for Bullish Divergence and Bearish Divergence on oscillators like:
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
MACD
Stochastic RSI
Combine divergences with price action near significant volume levels.
D. Additional Tools:
200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): For trend direction.
ATR (Average True Range): For stop-loss and take-profit levels.
Fibonacci Retracement: For confluence with volume profile levels.
2. Trading Plan
Step 1: Higher Timeframe Trend Identification
Use the HTF to establish whether the market is in an uptrend, downtrend, or range.
Mark key swing highs, lows, and supply/demand zones.
Step 2: Intermediate Timeframe Analysis
Apply the Volume Profile on the ITF to find:
POC: Indicates price consensus.
HVN/LVN: Potential zones for reversals or continuation.
Watch for price approaching these levels.
Step 3: Lower Timeframe Execution
Monitor LTF for:
Divergence signals on oscillators.
Candle patterns like pin bars, engulfing candles, or inside bars at significant levels.
Confirm trades using:
Price breaking out of LVN or rejecting HVN.
Crossovers of EMA for extra confirmation.
3. Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profi t
Entry:
Long Position:
Price reacts at HVN/LVN near a support level.
Bullish divergence on LTF.
Short Position:
Price tests HVN/LVN near resistance.
Bearish divergence on LTF.
Stop Loss:
Place just beyond recent swing high/low or above/below the LVN/HVN zone.
Use ATR (1.5x) for volatility-based placement.
Take Profit:
First target: Nearby POC or Fibonacci levels.
Second target: HTF supply/demand zone
Guide For Channels Bluprint📢 Welcome, Fellow Traders!
In the ever-evolving world of financial markets, mastering the art of technical analysis is key to making informed and confident decisions. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting your journey, understanding the dynamics of ascending, descending, and parallel channels can give you an edge in identifying trends and market opportunities.
This article is crafted to help you navigate these fundamental patterns with clarity and precision. By the end of it, you'll not only recognize these channels but also learn how to leverage them in your trading strategies.
So, let’s dive in together and unravel the secrets of these channels on platforms like TradingView, where the world of analysis comes alive. Here’s to better insights and smarter trades!
Happy Trading! 🚀
⭐⭐ Trading channels are one of the most reliable tools in technical analysis. They help traders identify trends and make informed decisions. In this article, we will dive deep into ascending, descending, and parallel channels, exploring their characteristics, significance, and how to use them effectively.
1. What Are Trading Channels?
📊 A trading channel is a price range formed by two parallel lines: support (lower boundary) and resistance (upper boundary). These lines help identify the direction of the market trend:
Ascending Channel: Indicates an uptrend.
Descending Channel: Indicates a downtrend.
Parallel Channel: Suggests a sideways trend.
2. Ascending Channel
🔼 Definition:
An ascending channel, also called a rising channel, is characterized by higher highs and higher lows. It occurs when the price moves within a range that slopes upward.
🛠 Key Features:
Resistance Line: Connects higher highs.
Support Line: Connects higher lows.
Indicates a strong uptrend, signaling buying opportunities.
💡 How to Trade:
Buy Near Support: Enter trades when the price approaches the lower boundary.
Take Profit at Resistance: Exit trades near the upper boundary.
Breakout Strategy: Watch for a breakout above resistance for stronger bullish signals.
3. Descending Channel
🔽 Definition:
A descending channel, or falling channel, is formed when the price creates lower highs and lower lows. It indicates a downtrend.
🛠 Key Features:
Resistance Line: Connects lower highs.
Support Line: Connects lower lows.
Reflects bearish sentiment, signaling selling opportunities.
💡 How to Trade:
Sell Near Resistance: Short-sell trades when the price approaches the upper boundary.
Take Profit at Support: Exit trades near the lower boundary.
Breakdown Strategy: Monitor for a breakdown below support for stronger bearish momentum.
4. Parallel Channel
➖ Definition:
A parallel channel, also known as a horizontal or range-bound channel, is formed when the price moves sideways with consistent highs and lows.
🛠 Key Features:
Resistance Line: Stays flat, connecting equal highs.
Support Line: Stays flat, connecting equal lows.
Indicates market consolidation or indecision.
💡 How to Trade:
Buy at Support and Sell at Resistance: This is ideal for range-bound markets.
Breakout or Breakdown Strategy: Prepare for significant moves when the price exits the channel.
5. Tips for Identifying Channels on TradingView
🖊 Use Trendlines: Utilize TradingView’s trendline tool to connect support and resistance levels.
📈 Set Alerts: Configure alerts to notify you when the price approaches key levels.
🔍 Combine with Indicators: Use moving averages, RSI, or MACD for confirmation.
Conclusion-:
✅ Trading channels are powerful tools for understanding market behavior and making strategic decisions. Whether you’re analyzing an ascending channel for bullish trends, a descending channel for bearish trends, or a parallel channel for sideways markets, mastering these patterns can elevate your trading skills.
📢 Start practicing on TradingView and refine your approach to technical analysis. Success lies in identifying opportunities and managing risk wisely.
