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Understanding ICT’s Framework for Price Delivery | Smart Money 📊 In this video, we break down ICT’s framework for price delivery, explaining how smart money moves price efficiently through liquidity pools and imbalance zones. We cover: ✅ Market structure & liquidity ✅ How price seeks inefficiencies (FVGs & Imbalances) ✅ The role of algorithmic price delivery ✅ How to anticipate price movement using ICT concepts 🔔 Subscribe for more ICT-based analysis! #ICTTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #ForexTrading #PriceDelivery #ICT #Forex #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #MarketStructure #OrderFlow #Liquidity #TraderMindset #5minwithfriday

Education

04:28

How Do Traders Spot and Use the Dragonfly Doji Candlestick How Do Traders Spot and Use the Dragonfly Doji Candlestick Pattern? The dragonfly doji candlestick pattern holds intrigue and fascination for traders in financial markets. Its distinct shape and positioning on price charts make it a keen subject for observation and analysis. In this article, we will explore this setup, its significance, and how traders use it in their trading strategies. What Does a Dragonfly Doji Mean? The red or green dragonfly doji is a candlestick pattern that forms when the opening, closing, and high prices of an asset are equal or almost equal. This formation resembles the shape of a dragonfly because it has an extended lower shadow. It provides bullish signals and is considered a neutral pattern as it provides continuation and reversal signals, depending on its context within a trend. The meaning of a dragonfly doji is that there is uncertainty in the market, and traders are prompted to carefully analyse other factors before making trading decisions. Traders may find the dragonfly doji pattern on charts of different financial instruments, such as currencies, stocks, cryptocurrencies*, ETFs, and indices, regardless of the timeframe. Test this pattern on various assets with FXOpen’s TickTrader platform. The Psychology Behind the Dragonfly Doji The dragonfly doji candle pattern reflects a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, where neither side gains a decisive advantage. Its formation indicates that sellers initially push prices lower, but buyers step in to push prices back up to the opening level. This results in the distinct long lower shadow and minimal upper shadow. The psychological meaning of the dragonfly candlestick pattern is significant; it shows that despite bearish pressure, buyers are strong enough to regain control by the close. It signals indecision, highlighting the need for traders to carefully evaluate other indicators and the broader trend before making trading decisions. How Can You Trade the Dragonfly Doji? The bullish dragonfly doji provides valuable information about market sentiment. Here are two scenarios where this formation can be significant: The Dragonfly Doji in an Uptrend In a bullish trend, the dragonfly doji is generally seen as a continuation signal. This is because, despite sellers attempting to push the price lower, buyers remain active and prevent a significant decline. However, it is worth noting that the inability of buyers to push the price above its open level may indicate a potential weakening of bullish momentum. Traders may consider entering the trade above the open/close of the doji’s candle or if the proceeding bar closes above the doji’s open/close. The stop-loss level may be placed below the candlesticks, while the take-profit target may be set at the nearest resistance level. In the chart above, the pattern formed in an uptrend, and the trader placed a long trade on the next bar. The stop loss was set below the candle, with the take profit at the closest resistance level. Dragonfly Doji in a Downtrend The dragonfly doji in bearish trends may suggest a possible upward reversal. The long lower shadow indicates that buyers entered the market, pushing the price up from its lows. This could be seen as a signal to consider going long or watching for a further bullish confirmation before taking action. Traders may place a stop loss below the candle with a take profit at the closest resistance level or may consider the appropriate risk/reward ratio. The candle at the end of a downtrend signals a price reversal. The trader placed a buy order at the high of the doji with a stop-loss level below it. The take profit is calculated based on the risk/reward ratio. Traders can enhance their trading strategies by utilising the free TickTrader trading platform. How Can You Confirm the Dragonfly Doji? Confirming the dragonfly doji may increase the reliability of trading decisions. Here are key factors to consider: - Volume Analysis: High trading volume during the formation of a dragonfly candle may indicate stronger market sentiment and increase the likelihood of a significant move. - Subsequent Candlesticks: Traders look for a bullish candlestick following the dragonfly candlestick. This reinforces the potential for a trend reversal or continuation. - Support and Resistance Levels: A formation occurring near significant support levels can strengthen its validity as a potential reversal signal. - Technical Indicators: To gauge momentum and confirm signals, traders often complement the analysis with indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), moving averages, and Bollinger Bands. - Market Context: It’s best to evaluate the broader market trend and news that may impact market sentiment to provide a clearer picture of its implications. Dragonfly and Other Patterns Dragonfly doji, gravestone doji, spinning top, and long-legged doji are all types of candlestick patterns commonly used in technical analysis to indicate potential reversals or indecision in the market. Traders often pay close attention to them when making trading decisions. Dragonfly Doji vs Gravestone Doji While the dragonfly doji has a long lower shadow and little or non-existent upper one, the gravestone or inverted dragonfly doji has a long upper wick and little or non-existent lower one. Both patterns indicate indecision, but the dragonfly provides bullish signals, whereas the gravestone indicates potential bearish reversals. Dragonfly Doji vs Long-Legged Doji The dragonfly has a long lower shadow with little to no upper shadow, indicating a potential bullish reversal. In contrast, the long-legged version has long upper and lower shadows, reflecting significant indecision and equal pressure from buyers and sellers without a clear directional bias. Dragonfly Doji vs Hammer The dragonfly and the hammer both signal potential bullish reversals, but they differ in appearance and context. The dragonfly has no upper shadow, but it has a very small body and an extended lower shadow, while the hammer has a body at the top of the candlestick and a long lower shadow. The hammer typically appears after a downtrend, signalling a reversal, while the dragonfly doji appears in uptrends and downtrends. Limitations of the Dragonfly Doji While the dragonfly doji is a valuable candlestick formation for traders, it is not without its limitations. Recognising these constraints can help them understand how to use it most effectively. - False Signals: The dragonfly sometimes produces false signals, leading traders to anticipate reversals that do not materialise. - Market Context: Its effectiveness is heavily influenced by the broader market context. It may not be reliable in all situations, particularly in choppy or sideways assets. - Confirmation Needed: Additional indicators or subsequent price action are usually required to confirm the pattern, as relying solely on its appearance can be risky. - Limited Power: It does not provide information on the magnitude of the subsequent price movement, making it challenging to set precise profit targets. Closing Thoughts Candlestick patterns should not be relied upon as the sole factor in trading decisions. It is essential to perform a comprehensive analysis and implement robust risk management strategies before making any trades. Once you are confident in your analysis, consider opening an FXOpen account to take advantage of spreads as tight as 0.0 pips and commissions starting at just $1.50. FAQ What Does Doji Candle Mean? A doji candle represents a session where the opening and closing prices are almost equal, indicating market indecision. It suggests neither buyers nor sellers are in control, resulting in a standoff. Doji candles can take various forms, including dragonfly, gravestone, and long-legged, each with unique implications. What Does a Dragonfly Doji Indicate? A dragonfly doji indicates indecision and potential trend reversal. It forms when the open, high, and close prices are near the same level but it has a long lower shadow. This formation suggests buyers counteracted initial selling pressure, signalling a possible bullish shift. Is the Dragonfly Doji Bullish or Bearish? The dragonfly is generally considered bullish, especially after a downtrend. Its formation indicates buyers pushed prices back to the opening level, potentially leading to a price increase. What Is the Opposite of the Dragonfly Doji? The opposite of the dragonfly doji is the gravestone doji. The dragonfly has a long lower shadow and little to no upper shadow, while the gravestone features a long upper shadow and minimal lower shadow, indicating a potential bearish reversal. *Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Education

2 Ways to Potentially Gauge a Dip in Price Trading markets should be simple right? Establish the direction of a price trend, take a position in the direction of that trend and enjoy the ride! Of course, in practice, we all know trading is never that easy. All traders go through similar anxieties regarding whether the current level is the correct one to trade. Perhaps one of the hardest challenges if you want to buy an asset, is when a high in price has already been established and prices are selling off. Are you now wrong with your view to buy, or should this sudden weakness be used as an opportunity to take a long position at possibly a better level? As traders, we face these decisions every day, but fortunately, technical analysis offers several tools to aid us. Today, we want to look at 2 approaches that can assist in gauging how far a correction in price may go, and if we should consider that dip in price as an opportunity to take a position or not. Previous Highs as a Support: We all know prices never move in straight lines, be it to the up or the downside. Corrections are often seen as a healthy counter move to the on-going trend. However, being able to anticipate the extent of such weakness and when to make that trade, can be vital. If we look at the chart of the UK 100 Index above, we can see that between May 15th 2024, when the index traded to a high of 8477 and August 5th 2024, when the 7906 low was posted, a period of sideways price activity materialised. An upside closing break from this range materialised on January 17th 2025, at which point, traders perhaps began to anticipate a more extended phase of price strength. However, as we’ve said, prices don’t always move in straight lines, even after such a break higher. Often, a pullback in price develops, offering opportunities to enter the market at potentially a better level than if we’d blindly followed price strength after the initial break higher. A pullback in price is perfectly normal and doesn’t alter possibilities of a more extended phase of price strength. However, the challenge is anticipating where support may be found again, to hold and resume the advance. Often, old price highs can be useful, as having previously marked resistance to price strength, once broken they can become support on dips, and may hold future price weakness, even turn it higher once more. Within the UK 100 index, we might consider 8418 from August 30th and 8477 from May 15th as old price highs, which might then become support, after the January 17th upside break in price. To highlight this possible support area marked by these previous price highs, where buying opportunities might have been offered in the UK 100 index during the January price setback, we’ve drawn two horizontal lines on the chart below. Following the January 17th 2025 upside break, having previously been a resistance focus, the 8418 and 8477 highs, might now became potential support to a dip in price, possibly able to hold and reverse the correction back to the upside. This 8418/8477 range, proved to be support when tested on January 27th 2025, from which price strength developed again, to post new all-time highs. Importantly, it is possible given that this 8418/8477 range proved to be support in January, it could do so again, so keep that in mind, if price weakness develops, at any point in the future. Using The 10 Day Moving Average to Act as a Support to Price Dips: In the example above, the UK 100 index correction in January lasted several days, and in certain cases, this could even last weeks. However, what if price is already within an established uptrend? It’s here that setbacks may be seen over a shorter period of time with shallower price declines. In this type of set-up, it is often the rising 10 day moving average that marks the extent of a price dip, before turning price activity higher again. As an example, let’s look at Gold during 2025 so far, focusing on each recent setback in price. During this latest advance, it has been the rising 10 day moving average that has provided support for price dips on each occasion. Subsequent strength then extended the uptrend to new all-time highs. Within such an advance, as traders, we might focus on the rising 10 day moving average to highlight possible support to short term price dips within an uptrend, and an area we might wish to use to establish long positions, anticipating continuation of the on-going uptrend. However, it is important to be aware, a break under the 10 day moving average support might reflect a change in price direction and see deeper declines. So the use of a stop loss to potentially protect any positions is important. With all this in mind, last Friday (February 14th 2025) saw Gold weakness again back to the rising 10 day moving average support. It will be interesting to see if this holds the recent weakness to extend the current uptrend to new all-time highs, or if a closing break lower develops, suggesting risks could turn towards a more extended phase of price weakness. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.

Education

2025 ICT Mentorship: Institutional Market Structure Part 2 2025 ICT Mentorship: Lecture 3_Institutional Market Structure Part 2 Greetings Traders! In Lecture 3 of the 2025 ICT Mentorship, we dive deep into the core principles of market structure, focusing on how institutions truly move the market. Understanding this is essential for precision trading and eliminating emotional biases. Key Insights from the Lecture 🔹 Distinguishing Minor vs. Strong Swing Points – Learn to differentiate between structural noise and true market shifts. 🔹 Marking Market Structure with Precision – Objectively analyze price action to refine your decision-making process. 🔹 Institutional Market Structure Techniques – Align with smart money to enhance accuracy and consistency. Why This Matters Mastering market structure allows traders to anticipate price movement, reducing impulsive trades and reinforcing a disciplined approach. By integrating institutional strategies, we position ourselves for more accurate and confident executions. Stay focused, keep refining your skills, and let’s continue elevating our trading game. Institutional Market Structure Part 1: Enjoy the video and happy trading! The Architect 🏛️📊

Education

20:00

by The_Archi-tect

Earnings Season: How to Trade Post-Earnings Drift Earnings season is in full swing, and while many traders focus on the immediate reaction to a company’s results, consider longer-term trends following earnings announcements that may deliver returns long after the earnings release— Post-Earnings Drift (PED) . PED is based on a simple yet effective concept: stocks that react positively to strong earnings tend to continue drifting higher, while stocks that react negatively to weak earnings tend to continue drifting lower. This drift can persist for weeks or even months, making it one of the most efficient ways to trade earnings season. Let’s break down how to identify these potential opportunities, which may have a positive risk-reward profile, and manage positions effectively. Step 1: Fundamentals – The Catalyst for the Drift Post-earnings drift is strongest when there’s a clear fundamental catalyst behind the move. Not every earnings beat leads to sustained upside, and not every earnings miss results in prolonged weakness. What matters is whether the report genuinely shifts market expectations. Key factors to look for: · Stronger-than-expected revenue and profit growth – The market rewards companies that deliver above expectations. · Forward guidance upgrades – If management raises expectations, it signals confidence in future growth. · Margin expansion and improving financial health – Investors want to see profitability improving alongside revenue growth. · Shifts in business strategy – Companies that announce major structural improvements, such as cost-cutting initiatives or new revenue streams, often see extended moves. The key is that the earnings report must provide a reason for continued buying or selling pressure. If the reaction is based on short-term noise rather than a fundamental shift, the drift is less reliable. Step 2: Market Reaction – Confirmation of the Catalyst Once you’ve identified a strong fundamental catalyst, the next step is looking at the market’s reaction. Not every stock gaps after earnings, but the reaction should provide evidence that the earnings release is driving demand. Signs of a strong bullish reaction: · Above-average volume – Institutions don’t place all their trades in one day. High volume suggests big money is stepping in. · A decisive move higher – A stock that closes strong after earnings has a better chance of continuing higher. · Follow-through buying in the days after earnings – If the stock remains bid up after the initial reaction, it suggests real demand rather than a temporary spike. Signs of a strong bearish reaction: · Heavy selling on high volume – Institutions unloading shares is a warning sign. · Failure to bounce after the initial drop – Weak stocks tend to stay weak, especially if buyers don’t step in. · Breaking key support levels – A stock that falls below major technical levels often sees continued selling. Step 3: Trade Entry & Risk Management Once you’ve identified a stock with a strong earnings catalyst and a clear market reaction, the next step is executing the trade. Entry Strategy For bullish trades: Enter on the first meaningful pullback after the initial earnings reaction. Look for a retest of intraday support or a consolidation period before the next leg higher. For bearish trades: Enter on a weak bounce that fails to recover key levels, or on a breakdown below the post-earnings low. Setting Stops Using ATR The Average True Range (ATR) is a useful tool for setting stops, as it accounts for volatility. A common method is placing a stop 1.5x to 2x ATR below your entry for long trades (above for shorts). This ensures your stop is wide enough to avoid getting shaken out by normal price swings. Managing the Trade with the 21-EMA The 21-day Exponential Moving Average (21-EMA) is an excellent trailing stop for PED trades. · As long as the stock stays above the 21-EMA, the drift remains intact. · A close below the 21-EMA is a signal to exit the position. This method allows traders to ride the trend while avoiding premature exits. Real-World Example: Netflix’s Post-Earnings Drift Let’s look at how this played out with Netflix (NFLX) after its Q3 2024 earnings report. On October 17, 2024, Netflix reported: · Earnings of $5.40 per share, beating estimates of $5.12. · Revenue of $9.825 billion, slightly above expectations. · A strong subscriber growth report, with 5.1 million new additions—exceeding forecasts by over 1 million. · Ad-supported subscriptions surging past 50% of new sign-ups in available countries. · Price hikes announced for Spain and Italy, signaling confidence in pricing power. The stock reacted positively, gapping up nearly 5% on above-average volume. Over the next two months, Netflix continued drifting more than 20% higher, confirming the post-earnings drift effect. The trend remained intact until the stock eventually closed below its 21-EMA, marking the end of the move. Netflix then repeated the pattern in January 2025, beating earnings again and gapping higher on strong subscriber growth and revenue. Since then, the stock has drifted more than 10% higher and remains above its 21-EMA. Netflix (NFLX Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Education

Probabilistic thinking. Using Technical logic to get odds.Markets are simple if you think about it. moderate and long range resistance -- is the best odds for rally. "horizontal" or 50-50 supports -- risky. steep supports mean high demand, strong trends. Buying at such supports, at worst it bounces to the upside. (High market with strong trend can mean reversals) rule: break outs always must coincide with 200dma rallies. Bonus. High market, strong trend -- best odds for reversal . 50-50 resistance, with weak support --> trickster market. (trap) strong trend but no flying 200dma --> trap. 50-50 resistance with strong trend, high market, but weak 200dma ---> good odds for reversal. keeping it simple. P.S. this method shows why odds favor BTC reversal . Or why 110/120k had to be peak point. for now.

Education

Overtrading Chaos: Classroom Insights & Quick Fixes Watching my students get caught up in the whirlwind of overtrading was like watching a rollercoaster ride gone wrong - all that excitement turned into stress, quick decisions based on gut feelings rather than strategy, and seeing their accounts shrink before my eyes. Here's what I've noticed firsthand: -Emotion Over Logic: They were making choices fueled by the fear of missing out or trying to get back at the market after a loss, not because it was the smart move. Spot on. Emotional trading is the quickest path to financial ruin. It's all about managing those emotions. -Exhaustion: The constant screen time was draining them, both physically and mentally. This is why I always preach about the importance of having a life outside of trading. Burnout is real and it clouds judgment. -Costly Habits: Those small fees and spreads started adding up, eating away at their profits with each impulsive trade. Always remember, every trade has a cost. Overtrading is like death by a thousand cuts. But here’s the good news - I've got some immediate steps I take to turn things around: 1)Trade Log Love: I get them to write down every trade, focusing on the reasons behind their decisions. It’s amazing how this simple act helps them learn from their actions. A trade log isn't just about accountability; it's about education. Every trade is a lesson. 2)Take a Breather: I enforce a little break after each trade. It's like hitting the reset button for your brain, ensuring the next trade isn't just a reaction to the last. This is critical. It’s about breaking the cycle of reactive trading. Think of it as forced discipline. 3)Quality Time: I shift the focus to waiting for those golden opportunities, teaching them that sometimes the best trade is the one you don't make. Patience in trading is not just a virtue; it's a strategy. The markets reward those who wait for the right moment. Come join me as I navigate through the overtrading storm, helping my students, and maybe you too, become more thoughtful, strategic traders! This is what I call practical wisdom. Overtrading is a symptom of not having a solid plan. I'd recommend this course of action to any trader looking to turn their habits around. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade Smarter Live Better

Education

by Mindbloome-Trading

Best Strategies to Identify a Bearish Reversal in Gold Trading In this article, I will explain to you 4 efficient strategies to identify a bearish reversal with technical analysis in Gold trading. You will learn price action, SMC and technical indicator strong bearish signals. First, let me remind you that different bearish signals may indicate a different magnitude and a degree of a potential reversal. While some signals will be reliable for predicting short term reversals, some will be more accurate in projecting long-term ones. One more thing to note is that one of the best time frames for bearish reversal confirmations on Gold is the daily. So, all the cases that will be explained will be on a daily time frame strictly. XAUUSD Bearish Reversal Signal 1 - Bearish Price Action Pattern. One of the perfect indicators of the overbought state of a bullish trend on Gold is bearish price action patterns. I am talking about classic horizontal neckline based patterns like head & shoulders, inverted cup & handle, double/triple top and descending triangle. Typically, these patterns leave early bearish clues and help to predict a coming downturn movement. A strong bearish signal is a breakout of a horizontal neckline of the pattern and a candle close below. The price may continue falling at least to the next key support then. Above is the example of a head and shoulders pattern on Gold, on a daily. Its formation was the evidence of the overheated market. Bearish breakout of its neckline confirmed that, and the price continued falling. Bearish Reversal Signal 2 - Rising Channel Breakout. When the market is trading in a healthy bullish trend, it usually starts moving with the boundaries of a rising channel. It can be the expanding, parallel or contracting channel. Its support will represent a strong vertical structure , from where new bullish waves will initiate after corrections . Its breakout will quite accurately indicate a change of a market sentiment and a highly probable bearish reversal. Look at this rising parallel channel on Gold chart on a daily. The market was respecting its boundaries for more than 3 months. A bearish violation of its support was an accurate bearish signal that triggered a strong bearish movement. Bearish Reversal Signal 3 - Change of Character & Bearish Price Action. One of the main characteristics of a bullish trend is the tendency of the market to set new higher highs and higher lows. Each final high of each bullish impulse is always higher than the previous. Each final low of each bearish movement is also higher than the previous. In such a price action, the level of the l ast higher low is a very significant point. The violation of that and a formation of a new low is an important event that is called Change of Character CHoCH. It signifies the violation of a current bullish trend. After that, one should pay attention to a consequent price action, because CHoCH can easily turn into just an extended correctional movement. If the market sets a lower high and a new lower low then, it will confirm the start of a new bearish trend. That is the example of a confirmed Change of Character on Gold on a daily. To validate the start of a new bearish trend, we should let the price set a lower high and a form a bearish impulse with a new lower low. Bearish Reversal Signal 4 - Death Cross. Death cross is a strong long-term bearish reversal signal that is based on a crossover of 2 moving averages. On a daily time frame, it is usually based on a combination of 2 Simple Moving Averages: one with 50 length and one with 200 length. The signal is considered to be confirmed when a 50 length SMA crosses below 200 length SMA. It is commonly believed that it signifies that the market enters a long-term bearish trend. On the chart, I plotted 2 Moving Averages. When the blue one crosses below the orange one, a global bearish trend on Gold will be confirmed The 4 bearish signals that we discussed will be useful for predicting short term, mid term and long term bearish reversals on Gold. While price action patterns will indicate local bearish movements, Death Cross will confirm a global trend change. Learn to recognize all the signals that we discussed to make more accurate trading and investing decisions. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️

Education

by VasilyTrader

Mastering the Marubozu Candlestick Pattern in Trading Mastering the Marubozu Candlestick Pattern in Trading Have you been looking at a chart for hours, wondering when to buy or sell? In one moment, the chart is green, screaming “buy.” Next, it’s all red, and the price is falling. Buying or selling becomes a tough decision if you resonate with this. However, candlesticks on your chart can help you. This FXOpen article will help cover one of them – the Marubozu candle pattern. Tag along to learn about this candlestick, its types, and how to trade using it. What Is a Marubozu Candle? A Marubozu is a candlestick with no wicks that has a long body. It signals a strong price action as buyers or sellers dominate the session. “Marubozu” is a Japanese term meaning “bald” or “close-cropped.” It can be bearish (if the open price is above the close) or bullish (if the open price is below the close). When it occurs, traders prepare for a significant price movement. But first, how can you identify it? Marubozu in a Range In a range, the price moves within horizontal support and resistance. It indicates that the buyers and sellers are in a serious battle, and neither dominates. It also shows that traders have their hands folded with little activity. A Marubozu might break the range, indicating that momentum is starting to build up. Aside from range, the Marubozu candlestick pattern occurs in a trend. This might be at its beginning, middle, or end. Marubozu Starts a Trend A new trend starting with a solid price movement may contain a Marubozu. It might pop up due to important news events. Traders who come on board early might have more room to capture new opportunities. Marubozu in Mid-Trend Whether it’s a bull run or a bear market, trends often slow down for some time. This causes traders to slow their activities. Afterwards, trends pick up the pace and continue in the same direction. A Marubozu candlestick pattern may signal that traders’ momentum is back, and they can position themselves for market opportunities. This may occur mid-trend or after the trend halts for a period. Marubozu Ends a Trend The end of a trend is a spot where investors position themselves for new opportunities. Why? A new trend will likely begin, and catching it allows one to place a new trade. This is a reversal, and the Marubozu candlestick pattern can show when it occurs. Marubozu Candle Types There are two main types of the Marubozu pattern in forex, commodity, stocks, crypto*, and other markets. Bearish Marubozu Candlestick What does a red (bearish) Marubozu mean? A red Marubozu indicates strong selling pressure in the market. It forms when the open price is at the highest point of the period and the close price is at the lowest, meaning the price fell consistently throughout the session without any upward movement. You may consider these steps in trading the bearish Marubozu pattern: - Identify the bearish Marubozu. - Consider opening a short trade at the next candle or after a few candles form. - Place the stop-loss level above the nearest swing high. - Take profit at the next swing low, support level, or based on other technical analysis tools. Check this example for a vivid illustration: Bullish Marubozu Candlestick A bullish Marubozu is the opposite of the bearish version. It catches the eyes of bulls seeking buying opportunities. It opens at a low price and closes at a high, so it has no wicks. The significant length of the candle also indicates buying pressure. The theory states you can trade the bullish Marubozu candlestick pattern as follows: - Identify the bullish (green) Marubozu candle. - Consider going long at the opening of the next candle or after a few candles form. - Place a stop-loss level below the closest swing low. - Take profit at the next swing high, when the price begins to range, or when other technical analysis tools signal a price reversal. Here’s an example providing more details: How Can You Confirm a Marubozu? Confirming the Marubozu candlestick pattern involves more than just spotting its distinct body. Traders often look for additional signals to validate the strength and direction indicated by the Marubozu. Traders typically consider the following factors for confirmation: - Volume Spike: A significant increase in trading volume accompanying the Marubozu can suggest the price movement has conviction. The high volume shows that many market participants are behind the move. - Trend Context: Marubozu patterns within an established trend hold more weight. For instance, a bullish Marubozu during an uptrend is more likely to lead to continued bullish action than one in a sideways market. - Proximity to Key Levels: Traders often observe support and resistance levels. A Marubozu breaking through a key resistance or support level confirms momentum, as it shows the market overpowering those critical areas. - Candlestick Clustering: The following candles can provide additional context. For example, if after a bearish Marubozu, bearish candles appear, it reinforces the downward momentum. Limitations of the Marubozu Pattern While the Marubozu candlestick pattern signals strong momentum, it comes with certain limitations that traders must consider: - Lack of Context: A Marubozu doesn't provide enough context on its own. Without understanding the broader trend or the market conditions, it may not accurately determine future price movements. - False Signals in Sideways Markets: In ranging or choppy markets, a Marubozu can create false signals. The pattern might suggest a breakout, but if the market is indecisive, the movement may not follow through. - Absence of Retracement Information: The Marubozu doesn't indicate whether the price will retrace before continuing in the same direction. Traders may enter too early, only to face pullbacks that can hit stop-loss levels. - Dependence on Volume: While a Marubozu shows strong price action, low trading volume can render it unreliable. A lack of volume behind the move could indicate weak conviction from market participants. Trading Strategies Involving Marubozu Finally, let’s take a closer look at a couple of Marubozu trading strategies. Marubozu Retracement Breakout This strategy revolves around identifying a Marubozu candle in line with a broader trend and waiting for a brief price retracement before the trend continues—similar to the concept of a dead cat bounce. Traders can use this setup to capture trend breakouts. Entries After observing a Marubozu candle that aligns with the prevailing trend, traders typically wait for the moment when the price briefly moves against the trend before resuming. Once the retracement is identified, a stop order can be placed at the high (for bullish setups) or low (for bearish setups) of the candle formed before the retracement. Stop Loss Traders may place a stop-loss order above the opposite end of the retracement move. For a bullish setup, this means below the retracement low, while in a bearish setup, it would be above the retracement high. Take Profit Profits might be taken at a favourable risk-reward ratio, such as 1:3. Alternatively, traders may aim for a significant area of support or resistance where a reversal is likely. Marubozu EMA Strategy This strategy combines the Marubozu candlestick pattern with a pair of exponential moving averages (EMAs) to confirm strong trend momentum. Traders often use one short EMA and one long EMA, such as 12 and 28, though some may prefer alternatives like 9 and 21 or 20 and 50. Entries Traders typically look for the Marubozu candle to close strongly through one or, ideally, both EMAs. This signals strong momentum in the trend direction. Some traders may choose this as their entry point, while others may prefer to wait for extra confirmation, such as a crossover between the two EMAs, signalling a stronger trend continuation. Stop Loss Stop-loss orders might be set just beyond the high (for bearish setups) or low (for bullish setups) of the Marubozu candle. Alternatively, more conservative traders might place the stop beyond one of the recent highs/lows, depending on their risk tolerance and the specific setup. Take Profit Profits might be taken at a preferred risk-reward ratio, such as 1:3. Another common approach is to target a significant support or resistance level, where a reversal is more likely. Final Thoughts The Marubozu candlestick pattern, when combined with other forms of analysis and tools, offers traders a powerful way to capture market momentum. FXOpen provides an ideal platform for applying these strategies, offering more than 600 markets, blazing-fast speeds of trade execution, and competitive trading costs. Open an FXOpen account today to explore these opportunities and enhance your trading experience. Good luck! FAQ What Is a Marubozu in Candlestick? The Marubozu candle meaning refers to a candlestick with no upper or lower wicks, indicating that the price opened and closed at extreme levels during a session. Its long body reflects strong buying or selling momentum, depending on whether it’s bullish (green) or bearish (red). How Can You Identify a Marubozu? A Marubozu candlestick can be identified by its lack of wicks. In a bullish Marubozu, the open price is at the lowest point, and the close is at the highest, signifying strong buying pressure. A bearish Marubozu is the opposite, with the open at the highest point and the close at the lowest, showing dominant selling pressure. What Is the Difference Between Bullish and Bearish Marubozu? The difference lies in price movement. A bullish Marubozu opens at a low and closes at a high, reflecting strong buying pressure. In contrast, a bearish Marubozu candlestick pattern opens at a high and closes at a low, indicating strong selling momentum. How Can You Trade a Bullish Marubozu? Traders often look for a bullish Marubozu pattern in uptrends or at key support levels. It suggests further upward momentum. Confirmation through volume or other indicators, like moving averages, is often sought to enhance trading decisions. What Does a Marubozu Determine? A Marubozu determines strong market momentum, with a bullish Marubozu indicating continued upward movement and a bearish Marubozu signalling further downward pressure or a potential trend reversal, depending on the market context. How Does a Marubozu Work? A Marubozu works by showing a candlestick with no wicks, indicating that either buyers (in a bullish type) or sellers (in a bearish type) were in complete control throughout the trading session, signalling strong market momentum in the direction of the candlestick. *At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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Understanding Buying Climax, Stop, and Spring in VSA Mastering Institutional Trading: Understanding Buying Climax, Stop, and Spring in Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) Observation – Understanding Buying Climax, Stop, and Spring in Market Structure A buying climax (BC) occurs when price surges sharply alongside high trading volume, signaling strong buying activity. However, this aggressive move often exhausts demand, leading to a stop, where price movement either pauses or begins to reverse. At this point, the market assesses whether buyers can sustain the uptrend or if selling pressure will take over. In Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), a classic sequence is: 1. Buying Climax (BC): A sharp move up with high volume. 2. Stop Bar: Price consolidation or minor pullback after the climax. 3. Spring Bar: A downward shakeout followed by a reversal, indicating the presence of renewed buying interest. A spring bar after a stop is a bullish signal, suggesting that previous selling pressure has been absorbed and institutions may be accumulating positions. If confirmed by a strong up bar with high volume, this signals a potential breakout, as it demonstrates that buyers are stepping back into the market. The strength of the bar following the spring is crucial. A wide-range bullish candle with rising volume confirms that buying pressure is resuming, increasing the probability of an uptrend continuation. However, weak volume or failure to clear key resistance levels can indicate a fakeout, leading to further downside. 🔥 XAUMO Institutional Analysis – Gold (XAU/USD) Tokyo Session (Feb 18, 2025) Market Context – Tokyo Session vs. Prior Market Structure 📍 Current Price: $2,902.98 📍 Key Institutional Levels from Yesterday: • Resistance Rejection: $2,906.30 (VSA Liquidity High) • Support Zone: $2,891.67 - $2,888.11 (Institutional Demand Area) • XAUMO 2RC/Black Swan Stop Zones: $2,892.92 (Key Bullish Trigger or Stop Hunt Zone) Tokyo Session Key Observations ✅ Buying Climax (BC) → Strong price rally with high volume. ✅ Stop Bar Formation → Market paused following the aggressive buying. ✅ Spring Bar Emergence → Potential bullish reversal structure forming. ✅ VSA Condition: Neutral → The market is in transition; no clear trend yet. ✅ Volume Change: -10.7% (Slight decline, indicating caution among buyers). ✅ Spread Change: +23.27% (Wide price movements suggest liquidity testing by institutions). 📊 XAUMO Institutional Breakdown – Understanding Buying Climax & Spring 1️⃣ Buying Climax (BC) – Institutional Aggression & Liquidity Test 🔹 Yesterday, price reached resistance at $2,906.30 and pulled back. 🔹 A sharp rally (BC) on high volume suggested aggressive buying by institutions. 🔹 Liquidity was likely absorbed in the $2,892.92 - $2,891.67 range before the price pushed back up. 📌 XAUMO Key Takeaways: • A buying climax signals strong demand, but the pause suggests Smart Money is evaluating the next move. • The next confirmation move is crucial—continuation or reversal depends on volume and structure. 2️⃣ Stop Bar – Institutional Liquidity Testing 🔹 After the BC, price stalled and formed a stop bar (consolidation). 🔹 This stop represents either accumulation (buying) or distribution (selling). 📌 XAUMO Key Takeaways: • Break below $2,892.92 → Indicates deeper liquidity absorption; potential downside continuation. • Holding above $2,891.67 → Suggests institutions are accumulating for a bullish breakout. 3️⃣ Spring Bar – The Institutional Shakeout Before a Move? 🔹 Price dipped towards $2,891.67 before rebounding—forming a spring bar. 🔹 This can be a bullish signal, but confirmation is needed. 📌 XAUMO Key Takeaways: • If the next candle is a strong up bar with increasing volume → Confirms bullish continuation. • If the price struggles above $2,905+ or volume remains weak → Expect a fakeout and potential dump. 🚀 XAUMO Institutional Trade Plan – Tokyo Session Execution 📈 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (Spring Confirmation & Volume Increases) 💰 Buy XAU/USD @ $2,903.50 - $2,905 📍 Stop Loss: $2,892.92 (Institutional Stop Zone) 🎯 Target Levels: 1️⃣ $2,910 2️⃣ $2,916 3️⃣ $2,923 ✅ Probability: 75% 📌 Why? • The spring bar bounced from liquidity → Possible upside confirmation. • If the next bar shows strength, buyers are stepping in → Expect breakout above $2,906. 📉 Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection (Failure at $2,905 - $2,906 Again) 💰 Sell XAU/USD @ $2,905 📍 Stop Loss: $2,910 🎯 Target Levels: 1️⃣ $2,895 2️⃣ $2,892 3️⃣ $2,888 ✅ Probability: 70% 📌 Why? • If price rejects resistance at $2,906.30, Smart Money is distributing positions. • Volume drop (-10.7%) suggests buyers aren’t fully committed. • Break below $2,892.92 could trigger more sell pressure towards $2,888. 📢 XAUMO Execution Strategy – Final Institutional Outlook ✅ Next hourly bar confirmation is critical → The spring must be followed by a strong up bar for a bullish breakout. ✅ If price holds $2,892 - $2,891.67, upside potential remains valid. ✅ If price fails at $2,906 and volume weakens, expect another rejection and potential downside move. 🔥 Smart Money moves strategically—wait for confirmation before entering! 🚀 📖 XAUMO Institutional Strategy – Simplified for Beginners 1️⃣ Buying Climax (BC): The price surges fast, attracting late buyers, but Smart Money is already planning their next move. 2️⃣ Stop Bar: The price pauses or reverses. This is where institutions test liquidity to see if there’s enough demand for a move higher. 3️⃣ Spring Bar: A small drop that shakes out weak traders before a possible reversal. If confirmed, it means Smart Money is accumulating. 🔹 Next Step? • If buyers come back strong, price breaks higher (bullish). • If volume remains weak, Smart Money sells into the rally, and price drops again (bearish). 💡 Tip: Don’t rush in! Institutions don’t reveal their moves immediately—wait for confirmation before entering a trade. 🚀

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by ICHIMOKUontheNILE

AMN MODEL FOR BTCUSD.This is the most important strategy to use when trading BTCUSD ,because of its volatility.

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11:19

by tshepangtshepaone

Chart Patterns That Keep Showing Up (Are Traders Predictable?)In the grand theater of financial markets, traders often fancy themselves as rational actors, making decisions based on cold, hard data. Yet, time and again, their collective behavior etches familiar patterns onto price charts, as if choreographed by an unseen hand (the Invisible Hand?) All across the world economy , markets trade in patterns. The trick is to spot those patterns before they unfold. These recurring formations, known as chart patterns, are a testament to the predictability of human psychology in trading. Let's rediscover some of these enduring patterns, exploring why they persist and how you can leverage them. 🚿 The Head and Shoulders: More Than a Shampoo Brand Imagine a market trend as a partygoer who's had one too many. Initially, they're lively (the left shoulder), then they reach peak status of euphoria (the head), but eventually, they slump with one last “let’s go party people” (the right shoulder). This sequence forms the Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling a trend reversal from bullish to bearish. Traders spot this pattern by identifying three peaks: a central, higher peak flanked by two lower, similar-sized peaks on each side. The neckline, drawn by connecting the lows between these peaks, becomes the critical support level. A break below this line suggests the party's over, and it's time to exit or short the trading instrument. Conversely, the Inverse Head and Shoulders indicates a reversal from bearish to bullish, resembling a person doing a headstand—a strong sign the market's ready to flip. Ready to hunt down the charts for some Head and Shoulders? Try out the Head and Shoulders drawing tool . ⛰️ Double Tops and Bottoms: Déjà Vu in Trading Ever experience déjà vu? The market does too, in the form of Double Tops and Bottoms. A Double Top resembles the letter "M," where the price hits a high, retreats, and then tests that high again before declining. It's the market's way of saying, "I've been here before, and I'm not going higher." The Double Bottom, shaped like a "W," occurs when the price drops to a low, rebounds, and then retests that low before rising. It's akin to the market finding a sturdy trampoline at support levels, ready to bounce back. These patterns reflect traders' reluctance to push prices beyond established highs or lows, leading to reversals. ⚠️ Triangles: The Market's Waiting Game When traders are indecisive, prices often consolidate, forming Triangle patterns. These come in three flavors: Ascending Triangle : Characterized by a flat upper resistance line and a rising lower support line. Buyers are gaining strength, repeatedly pushing prices up to a resistance level. A breakout above this resistance suggests bullish momentum. Descending Triangle : Features a flat lower support line and a descending upper resistance line. Sellers are in control, and a break below support signals bearish continuation. Symmetrical Triangle : Both support and resistance lines converge, indicating a standoff between buyers and sellers. The eventual breakout can go either way, and traders watch closely for directional cues. Triangles epitomize the market's pause before a storm, as participants gather conviction for the next move. Feel like looking for some triangles on charts? Jump straight to our easy-to-use Triangle Pattern drawing tool . 🏁 Flags and Pennants: The Market Takes a Breather After a strong price movement, the market often needs a breather, leading to Flags and Pennants. These are short-term continuation patterns that indicate a brief consolidation before the trend resumes. Flag : Resembles a parallelogram sloping against the prevailing trend. It's like the market catching its breath before sprinting again. Pennant : Looks like a small symmetrical triangle that forms after a sharp move. Think of it as the market pitching a tent before continuing its journey. Recognizing these patterns helps traders position themselves for the next leg of the trend. 🧠 The Psychology Behind Pattern Persistence Why do these patterns keep appearing? The answer lies in human psychology. Traders, despite access to vast information, are influenced by emotions like fear and greed. This collective sentiment manifests in predictable ways, creating patterns on charts. For instance, the Head and Shoulders pattern emerges because traders, after pushing prices to a peak, become cautious. Early sellers take profits, causing a dip. A second rally (the head) attracts more participants, but if it fails to sustain, confidence wanes, leading to a sell-off. The final attempt (right shoulder) lacks conviction, and once support breaks, the downtrend ensues. Understanding the emotional drivers behind these patterns allows traders to anticipate moves and strategize accordingly. 🎯 Using Patterns to Your Advantage While recognizing patterns is valuable, it's crucial to approach them with a discerning eye: Confirmation is Key : Don't act on a pattern until it's confirmed. For example, in a Head and Shoulders, wait for a break below the neckline before taking a position. Volume Matters : Volume often validates a pattern. A genuine breakout is usually accompanied by increased trading volume, indicating strong participation. Contextual Awareness : Consider the broader market context. Patterns can yield false signals in volatile or news-driven environments. Risk Management : Always set stop-loss orders to protect against unexpected moves. Patterns suggest probabilities, not certainties. 🧬 The Evolution of Patterns in Modern Markets In today's algorithm-driven trading landscape, one might wonder if traditional chart patterns still hold relevance. Interestingly, even sophisticated trading algorithms (those used by hedge funds and investment managers) are programmed based on historical patterns and human behavior, perpetuating the cycle. Moreover, as long as markets are driven by human participants, emotions will influence decisions, and patterns will emerge. The tools may evolve, but the underlying psychology remains constant. 🤗 Conclusion: Embrace the Predictability In the volatile world of trading, chart patterns serve as a bridge between market psychology and price action. They offer insights into collective behavior, providing traders with a framework to anticipate movements. By studying these recurring formations, traders can align their strategies with market sentiment, turning the predictability of human nature into a trading edge. What’s your go-to technical analysis pattern? Are you and H&S trader or maybe you prefer to trade double tops? Share your approach in the comments!

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Leap Ahead with a Dual Breakout Setup on ES and MES The Leap Trading Competition: A Chance to Trade S&P 500 Futures TradingView’s "The Leap" Trading Competition gives traders the opportunity to test their futures trading strategies in a competitive environment. Participants have access to select CME Group futures contracts, including E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES) and Micro E-mini S&P 500 Futures (MES). This article presents a dual breakout trade setup, analyzing both bullish and bearish scenarios based on key Fibonacci levels and low volatility price ranges. The goal is to trade the breakout of a well-defined range and target either a Fibonacci extension to the upside or a retracement level to the downside. Understanding Breakouts and Fibonacci Levels A breakout occurs when price moves beyond a defined support or resistance level, often leading to a strong trend continuation. In this case, the trading range between 6146.75 and 6121.25 is the key level to watch. A breakout above this range suggests bullish momentum, while a breakout below signals bearish pressure. Fibonacci retracement levels are used to identify potential support or resistance zones based on past price movements. The 50% retracement level at 5985.75 aligns with a UFO support, making it a key downside target if price breaks lower. Fibonacci extension levels project potential price targets beyond the most recent high or low. The 100% Fibonacci extension at 6288.75 serves as the projected upside target if price breaks higher. The Dual Breakout Trade Setup In a bullish scenario, a breakout above 6146.75 confirms entry to the upside. The target for this trade is the 100% Fibonacci extension at 6288.75. A stop loss is placed below the breakout level at a distance that ensures a minimum 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio. In a bearish scenario, a breakdown below 6121.25 confirms entry to the downside. The target is the 50% Fibonacci retracement at 5985.75, which aligns with a UFO support zone. A stop loss is placed above the breakdown level, ensuring a minimum 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio. Risk management considerations include adjusting stop losses based on a trader’s preferred risk-reward ratio. Scaling out at intermediate levels can help manage volatility and secure partial profits. Contract Specifications and Margin Requirements E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES) details: Full contract specs: ES Contract Specifications – CME Group Contract size: $50 x S&P 500 Index Tick size: 0.25 index points ($12.50 per tick) Margin requirements depend on broker conditions and market volatility – Currently ≈$15,000 per contract. Micro E-mini S&P 500 Futures (MES) details: Full contract specs: MES Contract Specifications – CME Group Contract size: $5 x S&P 500 Index (1/10th of ES) Tick size: 0.25 index points ($1.25 per tick) Lower margin requirements make it more accessible for smaller accounts – Currently ≈$1,500 per contract. Leverage in ES and MES magnifies both potential gains and losses. Traders should consider margin requirements and market conditions when determining position sizes. Execution and Market Conditions Before executing a trade, a typical breakout trader would watch price confirm a breakout by sustaining above or below the key levels. Additional confirmation from volume trends and momentum indicators can improve trade accuracy. If price does not break out, the setup remains invalid. If a false breakout occurs, traders may need to reassess conditions before re-entering. Conclusion A dual breakout setup provides both bullish and bearish opportunities depending on price movement. Fibonacci extensions provide upside targets, while retracement levels align with strong support zones for downside moves. For participants in The Leap Trading Competition, this setup highlights the importance of disciplined execution, confirmation, and structured risk management. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.

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Breakdown Of My Personal Strategy On Dow Jones Tutorial I will be giving a breakdown on my own personal strategy on how I trade the Dow Jones Futures. I am writing this post for two reasons. First and foremost, to help people. Secondly, to help myself in better understanding. The way that I trade is using support and resistance, only I don't use the traditional sense of support and resistance that is taught. I use price levels that all traders have. The four price points of a candle stick. I also use major round numbers of 1000's and 500's. The Open The Low The High The Close I start by looking at the monthly. When a new month opens, I.E. February 1st for example, I mark the opening price in Orange. I use the 2 hour chart to look for buying and selling areas, using key price levels. I look for these key price areas and see how price behaves once they get there. Low of Month trades Low of the Week trades Low of the Day trades High of Month trades High of the Week trades High of the Day trades Example 1: The month of February opens at 44,444. I mark this with a horizontal trendline in Orange Level 4. I see price gapping down right into 44,000. A major round number of 1000. I then drill down to my entry timeframe of the 15 minute to find the buy or sell trigger entry. In this case, I saw the creeping push down into the 1000 level followed by a bull 180 bar. I entered in on the close of that bar. I used a 75 tick stop per ATR and a 200 tick target. This is an actual trade I took. I recently changed my target strategy. I will explain in a bit. I use the same concept for the following three timeframes. The Monthly candle The Weekly candle The Daily candle The Monthly candle: The Weekly candle: The Daily candle: Another example of a trade I took This creeping layering into a level is one of my favorite ways to get into a trade. What I am doing now is I will set my stop loss of 75 ticks and I will have no profit target. I will hold the trade until the end of the trading day and close it out before the market closes. On this particular trade, I closed it out at 44,820 for a 343 tick profit. The weekly template structure: Some obvious points but worth repeating. Each Weekly candle has an opening price. Within each weekly candle, there are 5 trading days. Monday-Friday. There is a high and low of the week. Within each trading day, there is also an open, high and a low. I find that when day trading, only to focus on the specific day itself and to not really worry about "multiple time frame analysis" All you need is the major key levels I laid out up above. Here is another trade that I took. I was looking for the Monthly open and 44,500 to be used as resistance for a continuation short trade back through the weekly open. Of course you can see, I lost on this trade. No strategy is ever guaranteed, and I do routinely take losses. My job as a trader is to preserve my capital and to stay alive. My money management strategy: One trade per trading day MAX If lose, DONE Close out near end of day if in profits, DONE 75 tick stoploss on ALL day trades. DO NOT TOUCH. Do not move up or down. Sometimes to Break-even but only if trade is seeming to fail (more of an intuition thing) Risk 0.75%-1.5% per trade Only make slight adjustments to strategy after every 20-trade sample size. By limiting my losses to only one trade per day, I can easily recover from a losing day with any winning day. Somedays I will either not see the market well, enter at a poor location or just overall, not be at my best. My statistics show that RARELY do I enter another trade after a losing trade, does that one succeed. This tells me that I am not seeing something that particular day. I will wrap it up and try again another day. Revenge trading does no good but to hurt yourself. I admit I am wrong on the day and come back again. By limiting myself to one trade per day, I am also cutting down on slippage and commissions. Because of slippage and commissions, trading is NOT a zero-sum game, but in fact a NEGATIVE sum game. Your winners are smaller than they ought to be, and your losses are bigger than ought. I know that I can have three losing days in a row and be right back to normal after one or two winning days. Therefore, who cares if I take a loss. I need to get through the losing trades to find the big, winning trades.

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by Dow_Jones_Maestro

Harmonic Pattern Trading: Ultimate Guide for 2025 Harmonic trading is a powerful price action-based strategy that uses Fibonacci ratios to identify high-probability reversal zones. These patterns fall under XABCD structure, meaning they have five key points (X, A, B, C, and D) and rely on Fibonacci retracements and extensions. By mastering harmonic trading, you can identify trend reversals early and achieve higher win rates compared to traditional technical analysis methods. 🔹 Key Principles of Harmonic Trading 1️⃣ Structure of Harmonic Patterns (XABCD) All harmonic patterns follow the same five-point structure: X → A: The initial move. A → B: The first retracement. B → C: A counter move. C → D: The final leg, forming the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). 2️⃣ Fibonacci Ratios in Harmonic Patterns Harmonic trading is Fibonacci-driven, meaning each pattern is defined by specific retracement and extension levels: Common Fibonacci Retracements: 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%, 88.6% Common Fibonacci Extensions: 127.2%, 141.4%, 161.8%, 200%, 224%, 261.8% 3️⃣ Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) The D-point of the pattern is where price is expected to reverse. This PRZ zone is validated by Fibonacci confluence, support/resistance, and other confirmation signals (RSI, MACD, divergence, etc.). Entry: Around D-point reversal confirmation Stop Loss: Beyond the PRZ invalidation zone Take Profit: Based on Fibonacci extension levels (often 61.8%, 100%, or 161.8% retracements). 🔷 Primary Harmonic Patterns & Their Structure 1️⃣ Gartley Pattern 🦋 ✅ Most popular & reliable harmonic pattern ✅ Predicts trend continuation or reversal ✅ Respects 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from XA Gartley Pattern Structure: AB = 61.8% retracement of XA BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB CD = 78.6% retracement of XA D-point PRZ → Strong reversal expected 🚀 Trading Tip: Look for confluence with trendlines, supply-demand zones, and RSI/MACD divergence. 2️⃣ Bat Pattern 🦇 ✅ High-probability reversal setup ✅ Stronger deep retracement of XA compared to Gartley ✅ Ideal for trend continuation & reversal trades Bat Pattern Structure: AB = 38.2% or 50% retracement of XA BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB CD = 88.6% retracement of XA D-point PRZ → Expect strong reversal 🚀 Trading Tip: Bat patterns often provide low-risk entries with tight stop losses due to their deep XA retracement. 3️⃣ Butterfly Pattern 🦋 ✅ Predicts deep trend reversals ✅ Used for aggressive counter-trend trades Butterfly Pattern Structure: AB = 78.6% retracement of XA BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB CD = 127.2% or 161.8% extension of XA D-point PRZ → Strong trend reversal expected 🚀 Trading Tip: Butterfly PRZ zones are more extended, so look for price exhaustion & divergence before entering. 4️⃣ Crab Pattern 🦀 ✅ The most extended harmonic pattern ✅ Strong 161.8% XA extension creates powerful reversals Crab Pattern Structure: AB = 38.2% or 61.8% retracement of XA BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB CD = 161.8% extension of XA D-point PRZ → Extreme overextension, likely strong reversal 🚀 Trading Tip: Use confluence with key support/resistance levels & volume analysis to confirm reversals. 5️⃣ Deep Crab Pattern 🦀 ✅ More reliable version of the Crab Pattern ✅ D-point extends further for deeper pullbacks Deep Crab Pattern Structure: AB = 38.2% or 61.8% retracement of XA BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB CD = 224% - 261.8% extension of XA D-point PRZ → Strong reversal expected 🚀 Trading Tip: Similar to the Crab, but requires stronger confirmation signals before entry. 6️⃣ Cypher Pattern 💠 ✅ High accuracy harmonic pattern ✅ Faster entries compared to other patterns Cypher Pattern Structure: AB = 38.2% to 61.8% retracement of XA BC = 127.2% to 141.4% extension of AB CD = 78.6% retracement of XA D-point PRZ → Price reversal likely 🚀 Trading Tip: Look for RSI/MACD divergence at the D-point for added confirmation. 7️⃣ Shark Pattern 🦈 ✅ Newer harmonic pattern variation ✅ Similar to Crab but uses different Fibonacci rules Shark Pattern Structure: AB = 113% - 161.8% extension of XA BC = 113% - 161.8% extension of AB CD = 88.6% retracement of XA D-point PRZ → Strong reversal expected 🚀 Trading Tip: Shark patterns often appear before larger trend reversals, so they work well for early trend detection. 🔷 Advanced Harmonic Patterns Overview 📌 3-Drives Pattern Predicts the end of trends using 3 equal price movements Each drive follows Fibonacci retracements/extensions Strong reversal happens after the 3rd drive completes 📌 Alternate Bat Pattern Similar to Bat but has a deeper B-point retracement (50% of XA instead of 38.2%) More accurate for identifying trend continuation trades 📌 White Swan & Black Swan Developed by harmonic trading expert Scott Carney Similar to the Crab, but focuses on psychological market structure 🚀 How to Trade Harmonic Patterns Successfully Step 1: Identify the Pattern & PRZ Use harmonic pattern scanners or manual Fibonacci tools. Step 2: Wait for Reversal Confirmation Look for candlestick patterns (pin bars, engulfing candles). Check RSI, MACD, and volume divergence. Step 3: Place Your Trade Entry: Once price reacts at PRZ. Stop Loss: Beyond PRZ invalidation level. Take Profit: Fibonacci retracement levels (38.2%, 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%). 🔥 Summary – Why Harmonic Trading Works ✅ High accuracy when Fibonacci ratios are respected ✅ Works across all timeframes (forex, stocks, crypto, indices) ✅ Combines price action, Fibonacci, and confluence factors If you master these harmonic patterns, you'll consistently spot reversals early, maximize profits, and minimize risks! 🚀📈

Education

by ProjectSyndicate

How to Trade With Cookie's A.I. Engulfing Screener In this video, I break down how to use **Cookie's Engulfing Band Screener**, a powerful tool designed to filter out false engulfing signals and improve trading accuracy. 🚀 **How It Works:** ✔️ **Trade signals inside the band are false.** ✔️ **Valid trade signals occur when price breaks or touches the upper/lower band.** ✔️ **Sell Entry** – When price touches or breaks above the upper band. ✔️ **Buy Entry** – When price touches or breaks below the lower band. ✔️ If price re-enters the band after breaking out, another entry signal is triggered. 🎯 **Key Features:** ✅ Works on any timeframe ✅ Automatically places buy/sell labels at the right spots ✅ Alerts for trade entries so you never miss an opportunity ✅ Helps you avoid bad trades and focus on high-probability setups 🔥 **Why Use This?** I've found this to be extremely effective in improving my trading accuracy, cutting out noise, and refining my entries. If you're looking for a simple yet powerful way to trade engulfing patterns with confidence, this is for you! 📈 **Watch the full breakdown and start trading smarter today!** 🔔 **Don't forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more trading strategies!**

Education

11:52

by TruthakaWallStreetakaCookie2

What Is a San-Ku (Three Gaps) Pattern?What Is a San-Ku (Three Gaps) Pattern? The intriguing and captivating San-Ku, or Three Gaps, pattern draws the curiosity of traders within financial markets. Its distinctive form and strategic placement on price charts make it a compelling subject for observation and analysis. This article aims to explore the intricacies of the San-Ku pattern, highlighting its importance and providing insights into how traders can incorporate it into their trading strategies. What Is a Three Gaps (San-Ku) Pattern? The San-Ku, or Three Gaps, pattern is a distinctive technical analysis formation characterised by three consecutive upward or downward price gaps. This pattern often signifies a significant shift in market sentiment and a potential trend reversal. Traders keen on spotting trend changes find the formation intriguing due to its clear visual representation on price charts. Identifying the setup involves recognising three successive gaps in the price movement, whether upward or downward. These gaps indicate abrupt shifts in market sentiment and are typically accompanied by increased trading volume. The pattern manifests itself as a series of price jumps, creating a visual sequence that stands out on a chart. How to Trade the San-Ku Three Spaces Traders may enter a position based on the assumption of a trend reversal. In a bullish formation, you may consider entering a long position after the third gap down, signalling a potential bullish trend. Conversely, in a bearish pattern, you may initiate a short position after the third gap, anticipating a bearish trend. To establish a take-profit level, you may assess the historical price behaviour around the formation. Look for significant support or resistance levels, trendlines, or Fibonacci retracement levels to gauge potential reversal points. Adjust your take profit accordingly, aiming for a favourable risk-to-reward ratio. Implementing a well-placed stop loss is crucial to manage risk. You may position the stop loss below the setup in an upward pattern and above the setup in a downward pattern. This may help mitigate potential losses if the market does not follow the expected reversal. Live Market Example Let's explore a live market example. In this scenario, we observe the setup, indicating a potential reversal of a bullish trend. A trader could enter a short position after the third candle closes, anticipating a bearish trend, setting the take-profit level at a support level based on historical price action. As the trader used a daily chart, the stop-loss level was supposed to be calculated based on the risk/reward ratio and placed above the Triple Gap. Final Thoughts Although San-Ku is an effective pattern, it can’t guarantee a trend reversal. As with any technical analysis tool, it's crucial to consider the broader market context and use risk management strategies to improve overall trading performance. Remember, no pattern guarantees success, and thorough analysis remains paramount in making informed trading decisions. If you want to test different trading approaches, you can open an FXOpen account. FAQ Is the Three Gaps Setup Suitable for All Types of Assets? This formation can be applied to various financial instruments, including stocks, currencies, commodities, and indices. However, it's essential to adapt your strategy to the specific characteristics of the asset you are trading and consider factors like liquidity and market behaviour. How Can Traders Stay Updated on Potential Three Gaps Formations? Traders can use charting platforms, technical analysis tools, and market scanners to stay informed about potential Three Gaps formations. Setting up alerts for specific price movements and gap occurrences can also help traders promptly identify opportunities as they arise. Are There Any Common Mistakes Traders Make When Interpreting the Three Gaps? One common mistake is relying solely on the setup without considering broader market conditions. Traders shouldn’t neglect the overall trend, market sentiment, and potential catalysts that could influence price movements. Additionally, thorough backtesting and analysis are crucial to validating the reliability of the pattern in different market conditions. Can I Find the Three Gaps Pattern on the NVDA Candlestick Chart? You can find this pattern in different markets, but remember that its effectiveness will depend on the timeframe you use and the strategy you implement. Keep in mind that the presence of the Three Gaps Pattern on a stock's chart does not guarantee future price movements. It's essential to conduct thorough technical and fundamental analysis and practise risk management when making trading decisions. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Education

Thoughts on Technical Analysis (Part 2) 1. Trading systems do not yield the same results in all markets (or across all timeframes). 2. All markets have their own characteristics. For example: XMR moves within ranges and experiences strong volatility spikes, while the S&P 500 is highly trend-driven with a strong upward bias (since 1984, it has closed bearish only 7 times). 3. Effective trading systems with lower win rates are generally the most profitable, as they are trend-following and have long periods of market exposure. *Note: Longer exposure period = Higher failure rate = Greater profits when catching a major trend.* 4. Reversal patterns in bullish trends with an upward slope are extremely dangerous, as such a slope indicates strong buying pressure. Reversal patterns in bearish trends with a downward slope are dangerous, as they indicate the presence of selling pressure. 5. Market participants are drawn to historical patterns, confluences, favorable risk-reward ratios, and protected stop-losses. (This is why it’s a bad idea to trade without a protected stop-loss or with a risk-reward ratio below 1:1). 6. Algorithmic trading systems are trained based on historical patterns and confluences. 7. Generally, when a good technical analyst is uncertain about what might happen next, it’s because many participants may be uncertain as well, so it’s wise to stay out of the market. The best opportunities present themselves clearly. “Strength manifests itself, it is not predicted.” 8. Catching prices in free fall (“catching falling knives”) or trying to halt bullish trends with extreme momentum (vertical rallies) is the quickest way to blow up an account. If there is no exhaustion pattern or formation, there is no protected stop-loss. Without a protected stop-loss, there’s no way to calculate the risk-reward ratio. Without these elements, participation drops drastically. 9. Reversal formations (e.g., Head and Shoulders) with descending necklines (in bullish trends) typically offer few opportunities for profitable trades. Reversal formations with ascending necklines (in bearish trends) generally provide few profitable trading opportunities. *Explanation: Placing the stop-loss behind the high (in bullish trends) or the low (in bearish trends) results in a risk-reward ratio below 1:1, which attracts little participation. This often triggers a correction that may draw opposing market forces.* 10. Classic authors emphasized market manipulation, used multi-timeframe analysis, and understood mass psychology deeply. Meanwhile, the daytrading industry was built to attract undercapitalized masses. Keep your timeframe above H4, and you’ll witness the magic.

Education

by Especulador96

How to trade with V patterns !!!In trading, a V pattern is a chart formation that resembles the letter "V" and is used in technical analysis to identify potential reversals in price trends. It is one of the most common and recognizable patterns, signaling a sharp decline followed by a quick recovery. Here's a breakdown of the V pattern: Characteristics of a V Pattern Sharp Decline (Left Side of the V): The price experiences a rapid and steep drop, often driven by strong selling pressure or negative market sentiment. This decline is usually quick and may occur over a short period. Reversal Point (Bottom of the V): The price reaches a low point where selling pressure exhausts, and buyers step in. This is the point where the trend reverses, often accompanied by high trading volume. Sharp Recovery (Right Side of the V): The price rebounds quickly, mirroring the steepness of the initial decline. The recovery is driven by strong buying pressure, often fueled by positive news or a shift in market sentiment. Types of V Patterns V Bottom (Bullish Reversal): Occurs at the end of a downtrend. Signals a potential reversal from bearish to bullish. Traders look for confirmation of the reversal, such as a breakout above a resistance level or increased volume. Inverted V Top (Bearish Reversal): Occurs at the end of an uptrend. Signals a potential reversal from bullish to bearish. Traders watch for a breakdown below a support level or decreasing volume as confirmation. How to Trade the V Pattern Identify the Pattern: Look for a sharp decline followed by an equally sharp recovery. Use trendlines or moving averages to confirm the reversal. Wait for Confirmation: Avoid entering a trade too early. Wait for the price to break above a resistance level (for a V bottom) or below a support level (for an inverted V top). Set Entry and Exit Points: For a V bottom, enter a long position after the price breaks above resistance. For an inverted V top, enter a short position after the price breaks below support. Use stop-loss orders to manage risk, placing them below the reversal point for a V bottom or above the reversal point for an inverted V top. Targets: Measure the height of the V pattern and project it upward (for a V bottom) or downward (for an inverted V top) to estimate potential price targets. Key Considerations Volume: Higher trading volume during the reversal confirms the strength of the pattern. Market Context: V patterns are more reliable when they align with broader market trends or fundamental factors. False Signals: Not all V patterns lead to sustained reversals. Always use additional indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) to confirm the trend. The V pattern is a powerful tool for traders, but it requires careful analysis and risk management to avoid false signals and capitalize on potential opportunities.

Education

by CobraVanguard

What is V pattern? V pattern is a basic trading pattern which happens when market gets chaotic! It has a sharp decline(left angle) and a sharp recovery (right angle) Most of the times, V patterns won't change anything and their effect on market is mostly nothing! The trends will continue after these patterns are crafted! for example look at the BINANCE:BNBUSDT Chart and you can see that the price was pretty stable. after a sharp deny and a sharp recovery, the price shall return to the ranging stat which It was in! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly. 👉 Follow me for daily updates, 💬 Comment and like to share your thoughts, 📌 And check the link in my bio for even more resources! Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨

Education

by CRYPTONIC_trend

Pattern Identification Exercise Here I run through an exercise I first started carrying out around 4 years ago. It is a brilliant tool to help train yours eyes to spot patterns within the market, log the data across multiple different instruments and find specific characteristics with that instrument. The importance behind carrying out an exercise like this is training your lens to spot these in the live markets, and also stacking your confidence so when you see these develop you are able to approach them in the best way possible. Any questions just drop them below 👇

Education

10:51

by JordanWillson

How To Locate Pivot Points Easily Using Free Indicators Here are some helpful links for all of you... My indicators on Trading View, I don't use that many. Bad Ass B-Bands by WyckoffMode (follow this guy on all platforms) Chart Champions CC Pocket VuManChu Cipher B Off of Trading View I use BookMap for order flow data. This is where I can pick out exact locations of order walls i.e. pivot points. My Tutorial on how to easily find squeezes Here are links to my watchlists (some new ones are missing from Coinbase, add new ones manually) Coinbase tradingview.com/watchlists/74158386/ Gemini tradingview.com/watchlists/74158590/ Kraken tradingview.com/watchlists/96996184/

Education

19:48

3 Tools for Timing Pullbacks Pullbacks in trends can offer some of the highest quality trading opportunities, but not all pullbacks are equal. Some offer high-probability setups, while others are warning signs of deeper corrections or trend reversals. So how do you time your entry with confidence? Here are three effective tools to help you navigate pullbacks with precision. 1. Keltner Channels: Spotting Pullbacks Within Volatility Keltner Channels are a volatility-based tool that adapts to changing market conditions. They consist of a central moving average with two outer bands—typically set at a multiple of the average true range (ATR). These bands expand and contract as market volatility changes. How to Use It: When price moves into or beyond the Keltner Channel’s outer bands, it signals that momentum is outpacing short-term volatility. This surge in momentum provides an ideal setup to anticipate a pullback. For timing entries, a steady retracement back to the basis line (middle band) often presents the best opportunity to join the trend. The strongest pullbacks tend to be controlled, showing reduced momentum compared to the initial move. In contrast, a deep retracement all the way to the opposite band suggests strong counter-trend pressure, which could indicate a shift in market dynamics rather than a simple pullback. Example: Gold Daily Candle Chart In this example, we see gold pushing into the upper Keltner Channel, retracing to the basis line, finding support, and then resuming its uptrend. This pattern repeated multiple times during last year’s bull run, offering traders several high-probability entry points. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 2. Anchored VWAP: Confirming Institutional Interest The Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) is a tool that’s widely used by institutional traders. It tracks the average price a market has traded at, weighted by volume, over a specific period. The key difference with Anchored VWAP is that you can "anchor" it to a significant price point (e.g., a breakout or major low), giving you a dynamic reference point for future price action. How to Use It: Anchor the VWAP to a key price level, like the low of the trend or a breakout point. A pullback to the anchored VWAP is often viewed as a high-probability area for entry. This is because institutional traders may be accumulating positions at this level, making it an important support or resistance zone. When the price pulls back to the VWAP and starts to hold above it, it suggests that demand is outweighing supply, making it a potentially good place to enter. Example: USD/JPY Daily Candle Chart Having it highs in November, USD/JPY underwent a steady pullback in December, forming a clear base of support at the VWAP anchored to the September trend lows. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 3. Fibonacci Retracement: Measuring the Depth of the Pullback The Fibonacci retracement tool is one of the most popular tools for measuring the depth of a pullback. It uses horizontal lines at key Fibonacci levels (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, etc.) to show potential support and resistance areas during a retracement. How to Use It: Identify the high and low of a trending move and apply the Fibonacci retracement tool to measure the distance of the pullback. Traders should be wary of applying too many Fib levels to their chart, so we would favour focusing on just the 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%. Never assume that Fib levels will hold, wait for price action-based evidence form confirmation. If price action holds at one of these levels and begins to reverse, it suggests that the trend is likely to resume. The deeper the pullback, the more cautious you should be, but price patterns that align with the 61.8% level should still be considered as potential entry points. Example: S&P 500 Daily Candle Chart We can see from this example that the 38.2% - 50% Fibonacci retracement zone was a useful tool for timing pullbacks on the S&P 500. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Bringing It All Together The best time to enter a pullback is when multiple tools align. For instance: A pullback to Keltner Channel's outer band that also aligns with a Fibonacci level could signal a strong buy zone. Anchored VWAP and Fibonacci levels acting together as support can further confirm the validity of the pullback. By combining these tools, you'll have a more comprehensive understanding of where the market is likely to resume its trend, increasing your chances of a successful entry. Example: EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart Here we can see EUR/USD breaks lower – down into the lower Keltner channel. This is followed by a pullback that end up reversing at a confluent zone that includes the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, the basis of the Keltner channel, and the VWAP anchored to the highs. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Summary: Timing pullbacks effectively can make a huge difference in trading success, and using the right tools helps separate high-probability setups from lower quality trades. Keltner Channels highlight volatility-driven pullbacks, Anchored VWAP identifies levels where institutions may be active, and Fibonacci retracements offer a structured approach to measuring pullback depth. When these tools align, they create confirmation zones that improve trade timing and risk management. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Education

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Select market data provided by ICE Data services. Select reference data provided by FactSet. Copyright © 2025 FactSet Research Systems Inc.© 2025 TradingView, Inc.

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