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Using Fibonacci & FPT To Identify Trends/Entries/ReversalsLearn how powerful Fibonacci Retracements and Fibonacci Price Theory are when adequately deployed. It can tell where and when to target entries, trends, risks, and reversals. Anyone can do this when they learn to efficiently manage the ranges and use Fibonacci tools in Trading View. It's time you took a few minutes to learn the PRICE is the ultimate indicator. You don't need to use dozens of other indicators (unless you want to add to the core Fibonacci techniques). Watch this video, then follow my research/videos.
DJ:DJIEducation
by BradMatheny
✨Unlock Market Mastery: How Wyckoff Theory Made Me a fortune! The Wyckoff Model is a trading approach based on several key principles: 1. Law of Supply and Demand: Prices move based on the balance between supply (sellers) and demand (buyers). 2. Law of Cause and Effect: The market goes through phases of accumulation (building up) and distribution (selling off), leading to subsequent mark-up (price increase) and mark-down (price decrease) phases. 3. Law of Effort and Result: The relationship between the effort (volume) put into the market and the resulting price movement. 4. Accumulation and Distribution: Recognizing patterns where large players accumulate or distribute assets. 5. Analysis of Price, Volume, and Time: Understanding market movements by analyzing these three factors together. While the Wyckoff Model provides valuable insights, it's important to note that it rarely appears perfect and is often overlooked by many traders. However, experienced traders can spot its patterns across various markets. Higher volume and liquidity markets tend to offer better opportunities. In my years of trading Bitcoin, I've refined the Wyckoff Model into what I call the Trinity Model, which has been instrumental in many of my successful trades. Follow and boost for more insights! 📈✨🚀
Education
by Trade-Journal
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 07/05/2024At 8:35 AM EST, EURUSD initiated a liquidity grab above the 00:00 - 8:30AM EST Zone with a Bullish Marubozu candle. This move could potentially trap breakout traders, as it appears to signal an upward move, only for the price to swiftly reverse course. To avoid getting trapped, we waited for price to create a Break of Structure (BOS) to the opposite side (sell side) to indicate price wanted to sell. Subsequently, our focus shifted to identifying the initial Fair Value Gap within the displacement leg that broke structure. Our preferred entry strategy involves patiently awaiting price retracement into or touching the Fair Value Gap (FVG), with execution of the trade occurring upon the close of the first candle entering or touching the FVG. This approach was not arbitrary, rather, it emerged as the result of thorough backtesting of numerous entry techniques. We have found it consistently provides better entry points and occasionally prevents us from taking trades that might otherwise trigger a stop loss within the same entry candle. Following our trade's execution, we endured a brief drawdown of about 20 minutes. We were undeterred by this temporary setback because we had a prudent risk management approach in place, we had allocated only 1% of our capital to this trade, while eyeing a potential 2% gain. We maintained confidence in our strategy, given its extensive backtesting, which has demonstrated a win rate of 52.78% on EURUSD. While our data typically indicates an average trade duration of 8 hours and 27 minutes, our target was achieved in 2 hours and 15 minutes, securing a 2% gain on the trade where we had risked 1%
Education
by CleoFinance
TrendsThe trend represents the directional movement of prices and plays an essential role in most technical trading systems. Technical analysis differentiates between trending and non-trending markets, also called flat trending markets. Trending markets can be either moving upwards or downwards. The upward-moving market is called the bull market, while the downward-moving market is called the bear market. Normally, a market is considered to be in an uptrend when the price reaches higher peaks and higher troughs. On the contrary, the market is regarded to be in a downtrend when the price reaches lower troughs and lower peaks. The non-trending market occurs when there is no significant uptrend or downtrend, and the price moves within a certain range. Thus, the flat trending market is notorious for its sideways-moving price action. Key takeaways: Trends can vary in length and are classified into four main categories: primary, secondary, minor, and intraday. The primary trend is the most significant trend, lasting for months or years. It's characterized by the overall direction of the market. The secondary trend opposes the primary trend and usually lasts for weeks or months. Identifying trends is crucial for technical traders. Methods range from simple tracking of recent lows and highs to more complex mathematical formulas. Trend classification Trends tend to be of different lengths. According to these lengths, trends fall into four main categories: primary trend, secondary trend, minor trend, and intraday trend. The primary trend is the only inviolable trend and lasts for a long period, usually months or years. The secondary trend runs counter to the primary trend and is often measured in weeks or months. Further, the minor trend is measured in days, and the intraday trend is represented merely by daily fluctuations in price. The primary trend The primary trend can be subdivided into three distinctive phases. The first phase of the primary uptrend begins with the revival of investors' confidence from the prior primary downtrend. That is followed by the second phase, in which asset prices increase in response to growing corporate earnings. In the third stage, speculation becomes the dominant force driving markets higher. This environment, when asset prices are rising on the hopes, dreams, and expectations of individual investors, tends to foreshadow the beginning of the primary downtrend. Its first phase commences with the abandonment of hopes and dreams upon which investments were made. That is followed by selling pressure due to falling corporate earnings in the second phase, which later escalates into panic selling in the third stage. Illustration 1.01   The illustration displays the weekly chart of Nasdaq continuous futures (NQ1!) for the period between late 2001 and 2008. The primary bull market began after the bottom of the “dotcom” bubble and lasted until the peak of the real estate and credit crisis in 2007. Illustration 1.02   The image above presents the daily chart of gold (XAUUSD) during the 2008 bear market when it dropped 34%. The secondary trend The secondary trend is the intermediate-term trend. Its direction is opposite to the primary trend, and it represents any significant price drop in the primary bull market or price rise in the primary bear market. The secondary trend usually lasts for weeks or months. Its measure in percentage terms tends to range between 33% and 66% of the range of the primary trend. This trend is considered to be prone to market manipulation as opposed to the primary trend. Illustration 1.03   The picture shows Bayerische Motoren Werke's (BMW) daily chart throughout 2020 and 2021. The white dashed-line box indicates the primary uptrend, and the grey dashed-line boxes indicate the secondary trends, counter to the primary one.  The minor and intraday trend The minor trend lasts for a few days or weeks, yet always less than the secondary trend. It is more difficult to identify than previous types of trends since its amplitude in percentage terms is significantly less when compared to the primary and secondary trends. The same applies to the intraday trend that lasts for a few seconds up to several hours; it represents daily changes in the price and is regarded to have little predictive value. Trend identification Identifying a trend is crucial for a trend-based technical trader, and there are plenty of methods how to identify it correctly. These methods can be simple or very complex. The simplest method of identifying trends can be done by tracking recent lows and recent highs in the price of an asset. Other simple methods involve using lines, trendlines, and curves; more complex methods usually involve the use of mathematical formulas in order to generate a set of valuable data. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This article is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Education
by Tradersweekly
2
Hunting for Trend Days Part 3: Case Studies and PsychologyWelcome to the final instalment of our series on hunting for trend days. In Part 1, we covered the fundamental characteristics of trend days and essential tools for identifying them early. Part 2 delved into advanced strategies for maximising opportunities and effectively managing trades during trend days. Now, let's explore case studies of successful trend day trades and delve into the psychology behind trading trend days. Case Studies: Here are some real-world examples of how trades can be taken and managed on trend days using the techniques covered in Part 1 and Part 2. Each example will be viewed through the prism of the three C’s – Context, Catalyst, and Consistency . Context refers to conducting higher timeframe analysis on the daily candle chart. Catalyst refers to the confluence of evidence that a trend day is taking place. And Consistency refers to how we consistently select and manage trend day trades on the 5min candle chart. Case Study 1: EUR/USD Context: The higher timeframe daily candle chart provides valuable context for the impending trend day. We can clearly see that daily trading ranges have been contracting for several consecutive days. This puts day traders on high alert for an expansive range day in either direction. 15th Jan 2024: EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Catalyst: The following day, at the start of European trading, EUR/USD has already broken and held below the prior days low (PDL). EUR/USD has also broke below the daily compression pattern (highlighted above) and the market is holding below a downward sloping volume weighted average VWAP. This is enough confluence of evidence that a trend day is taking place and traders can start to position themselves accordingly. 16th Jan 2024: EUR/USD 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Consistency: Entering managing trades on trend days should not be over complicated, the most important aspect is consistency of method and approach. A simple trend following day trading entry and exit technique can be employed on trend days: Entry: Break below swing support and 9 period EMA Exit: Break and close above 9 period EMA. (Blue arrows = Entry, Red arrows = Exit) 16th Jan 2024: EUR/USD 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Case Study 2: Apple (AAPL) Context: Again, the higher timeframe context is key. As Apple’s share price approached a key level of long-term support the daily ranges started to contract and the market started to consolidate within a falling wedge pattern. This puts day traders on high alert for an expansive range day in either direction. 10th APR 2024: AAPL Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Catalyst: Prior to the trend day developing there were several early warning signs within the first hour of trading. Having gapped slightly higher at the open, the shares broke and held above the PDH. Price was also holding above an upward sloping VWAP and breaking above the falling wedge consolidation pattern that formed on the daily candle chart. 11th APR 2024: AAPL 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Consistency: Again, a simple trend following day trading entry and exit technique proves effective. Entry: Break below swing support and 9 period EMA Exit: Break and close above 9 period EMA. (Blue arrows = Entry, Red arrows = Exit) 11th APR 2024: AAPL 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Psychological Insights: 1. Patience and Discipline: Successful trading during trend days requires patience and discipline. It's essential to wait for confirmation of the trend and avoid impulsive decisions based on emotions or fear of missing out (FOMO). Stick to your trading plan and only take high-probability setups that align with your strategy. 2. Flexibility and Adaptability: While it's crucial to have a trading plan, it's also essential to remain flexible and adapt to changing market conditions during trend days. Be willing to adjust your strategy based on evolving price action and market dynamics, and don't hesitate to cut losses when necessary. 3. Emotional Control: Managing emotions such as greed, fear, and overconfidence is critical for successful trading during trend days. Avoid letting emotions dictate your trading decisions and maintain a rational and objective mindset at all times. Remember that losses are part of trading, and it's essential to stay focused on long-term profitability. Conclusion: Pursuing trend days can present both opportunities and challenges for day traders. While traders may benefit from consistent trending price movements, it's crucial to identify trend days early, apply effective trading strategies, and maintain psychological discipline to navigate the potential risks successfully. We hope this series has provided valuable insights and practical techniques for navigating trend days with confidence and competence. Remember to continuously refine your skills, adapt to changing market conditions, and always prioritise risk management. Happy trading, and may the trend days be ever in your favour! Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 84.01% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by Capitalcom
DCA - is for those who do not like to be nervousIn the fast-paced and often volatile world of cryptocurrency, finding best investment strategy can be a daunting task. While many traders seek quick gains through active trading, a more prudent and less stressful approach exists: Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA). What is DCA? DCA is an investment strategy that involves investing a fixed amount of money into a particular asset at regular intervals, regardless of the asset's price. This approach aims to reduce the impact of market volatility on investment returns by averaging out the purchase price over time. Why is DCA the Sleep-Well Strategy? DCA offers several advantages that make it an ideal strategy for investors seeking long-term growth and peace of mind: Emotional Discipline: DCA eliminates the emotional decision-making that often plagues traders. By investing consistently, regardless of price fluctuations, you avoid the urge to buy high and sell low. Reduced Risk: DCA averages out the purchase price, reducing the overall impact of market volatility. You may buy some coins at higher prices, but you'll also benefit from lower prices, evening out your investment cost. Long-Term Focus: DCA encourages a long-term investment mindset, discouraging impulsive decisions based on short-term price movements. It's about building wealth gradually and consistently over time. DCA vs. Trading: DCA stands in stark contrast to active trading, which involves buying and selling assets frequently to capitalize on short-term price movements. While active trading may appeal to experienced traders with high-risk tolerance, it often leads to emotional decision-making and can be time-consuming and stressful. DCA: A Proven Strategy with Remarkable Returns To illustrate the effectiveness of DCA, let's examine the returns of some prominent cryptocurrencies over the past few years, assuming a monthly DCA investment of $100: Bitcoin (BTC): Investing $100 monthly in BTC since January 2019 would have yielded a staggering 112% return, with a total investment of $12,000 growing to $25,440. Ethereum (ETH): A DCA approach for ETH since January 2019 would have resulted in an impressive 770% return. Solana (SOL): DCA into SOL since January 2021 would have generated a remarkable 304% return Fetch.ai (FET): Investing $100 monthly in FET since January 2019 would have yielded an exceptional 776% return Understanding the Coins: Technology and Applications Bitcoin (BTC): The world's first and most popular cryptocurrency, Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency that enables peer-to-peer transactions without intermediaries. Ethereum (ETH): A decentralized blockchain platform, Ethereum supports a wide range of applications, including smart contracts, decentralized finance (DeFi), and non-fungible tokens (NFTs). Solana (SOL): A high-performance blockchain known for its scalability and speed, Solana aims to provide a faster and more efficient alternative to Ethereum. Fetch.ai (FET): An AI-powered decentralized platform, Fetch.ai facilitates the development of autonomous agents for various applications, including open marketplaces and data monetization. Conclusion: DCA is a powerful investment strategy that allows individuals to build wealth in cryptocurrency while minimizing risk and emotional stress. By consistently investing fixed amounts, regardless of market fluctuations, DCA investors can reap significant rewards over the long term. Embrace DCA, sleep well, and let your investments grow steadily towards a brighter financial future.
Education
by Yaroslav_Krasko
Volume candles and how they can be used to make trade decisionsHello, Volume candlesticks are a very unique dataset that give us more information than the candlesticks we are used to. First, a candlestick is a type of price chart used in technical analysis that displays the high, low, open, and closing prices of a security for a specific period. Now with the Volume candlesticks, they are a type of chart that allows for a visual assessment of the volume of trades for each candle. These are still candlesticks, but the width of each candle depends on the volume of trades during the period of formation of this candle. The greater the trading volume during the formation period of the candle, the larger the width of the candle. What does a candlestick say? A candlestick will tell you what the market is doing and especially what the big traders are doing. Different candlesticks would tell you different situations in the market. Now let us look at classical examples using the charts herein. We will combine our knowledge on both the candlesticks and Volume candlesticks that is now available on Tradingview. From our chart above all these small candlesticks tell us that the stock is in a correction. A correction is a situation where the market is moving in a sideways movement. Trading corrections are very difficult for most traders and it is advisable to avoid them if you have no or little trading experience. All the candles in our above zone also do not have substantial width or length telling you that the volumes traded during corrections are usually low and hence the reason why markets rarely move during such times. understanding types of candles and their meaning It is easy to note that the volumes began coming at the bottom. This can be seen on this chart This is where the width of the candles began becoming bigger. This is a great significance that it's time to begin thinking of buying this stock since it was correcting and in an upward trend. The width kept becoming bigger and price kept moving upwards. At the top after the candle closed the thinnest, it is easy to conclude that the volumes have now dried up and therefore the beginning of a bigger correction is coming. This is a great time for you now to take your profits and focus on the next trade as you await the bigger correction to complete. We shall keep you updated when we see volumes return on this stock. This strategy coupled with technical analysis, fundamental analysis and market data is very strong in the trading cycle. All the best
NSEKE:SCOMEducation
by thesharkke
3
High Volume Times to Trade / Part 1 🔣Hello traders welcome back to another Concept video. In this video, we detail some of the best times to trade the Eur/Usd Currency pair. This happens to be at Session opens. We go through the 3 Session opens and walkthrough examples of increasing volume ( Large candles). Session opens can provide a great catalyst for 1) a continuation of momentum of the preceding trend or 2) a dramatic reversal. The Euro and the U.S. Dollar are not open during the Asian session and so the candles are much smaller and the average volatility is much less. However, the same concept applies regarding the former.
Editors' picks
Education
by ShrewdCatfx
11
Technical Analysis DOES NOT WORK in GOLD Trading Does technical analysis really work in Gold trading? In this article, we will discuss whether the traditional, classic methods of technical analysis: support and resistance, breakouts, patterns can be reliable in this specific market. We will explore the dynamics of Gold prices so far this year and discuss the most efficient way to trade Gold. So if you are a gold trader or simple interested in the market analysis, you should not miss this eye-opening discussion! First, let's discuss how Gold market behaves from the beginning of the year from technical analysis perspective. Gold started this year in a strong bullish trend, the market opened after setting a new higher high on a daily the second of January. After a formation of a higher high, the market became overbought and a correctional movement initiated. The price formed a bullish flag pattern and reached the level of the last higher low - a very important support. After the test of structure, the price bounced and violated a resistance line of a flag with a strong bullish candle. From the technical perspective, it was a very strong trend-following signal and a bullish continuation was anticipated. However, it turned out that it was a false signal, and instead of going higher, the market dropped, setting a new lower low. Why this false signal is so important is that the breakouts, key levels and price action analysis are the most reliable on a daily time frame. Such a strong combination: bullish trend, bullish pattern, key support; has a very high accuracy on a daily. That was the first time this year, when technical analysis on a daily was completely screwed . It felt like the market was turning bearish. The price violated a level of the higher low, setting a new lower low. For Smart Money traders, it is a very important event that is called a Change of Character. It strongly confirms a bearish reversal on the market. One more bearish confirmation that I spotted was a completed head and shoulders pattern formation with a confirmed violation of its neckline. That signal also confirms a bearish reversal. And again, these 2 bearish confirmations were the false signals. The price went back above the neckline and a bullish movement initiated. This time, a classic price action pattern did not work , and smart money concepts gave a false signal. Then I spotted a very bullish signal - the price violated a major falling trend line and closed above that. It clearly indicated that the market was returning to a global bullish trend. And again, that signal was completely false. And the price dropped. Trend line breakout in the direction of the trend - a classic trend-following confirmation did not work. Then we saw 2 strong bearish signals: a bearish breakout of a rising trend line and a key horizontal support with a high momentum bearish candle. It felt like now it confirms that the market is bearish and it should drop lower to the closest key support. And again, technicals failed miserably and after a retest of a broken horizontal structure and a trend line, the price just went higher completely neglecting them From the beginning of the year, technical analysis: key levels, patterns, smart money, breakouts do not work on a daily. All the signals that were spotted so far failed. If you just started trading, you may easily come to the conclusion that technical analysis does not make any sense on Gold. And you will be completely right, in that period it does not work at all. I am trading Gold and Forex for more than 9 years, and year after year I noticed that there always are the periods when some techniques, some strategies do not work. Sometimes these periods are very short, but some time they can be quite long. The only proven way to overcome such periods is consistency and proper risk management . Risking a tiny portion of your trading account per trade, you will be able to survive the stubborn market. The market always returns to normal conditions and starts respecting the technicals again. However, no one knows when. There is a famous quote by John Keynes: "Markets can remain irrational longer than you stay solvent"" And only proper risk management will keep you solvent longer than the market stays irrational. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
6
Options Blueprint Series: Ratio Spreads for the Advanced TraderIntroduction to Ratio Spreads on E-mini Dow Jones Futures In the dynamic world of options trading, Ratio Spreads stand out as a sophisticated strategy designed for traders looking to leverage market nuances to their advantage. Regular options on the E-mini Dow Jones Futures are a popular choice (YM). Defining the E-mini Dow Jones (YM) Futures Contract Before delving into the specifics of Ratio Spreads, understanding the underlying contract on which these options are based is crucial. The E-mini Dow Jones Futures, symbol YM, offers traders exposure to the 30 blue-chip companies of the Dow Jones Industrial Average in a smaller, more accessible format. Each YM contract represents $5 per index point. Key Contract Specifications: Point Value: $5 per point of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Trading Hours: Sunday - Friday, 6:00 PM - 5:00 PM (Next day) ET with a trading halt from 5:00 PM - 6:00 PM ET daily. Margins: Varied based on broker but generally lower than the full-sized contracts, providing a cost-effective entry for various trading strategies. CME Group suggests $8,400 per contract at the time of this publication. Ratio Spread Margins: Often require a careful calculation as they involve multiple positions. Traders must consult with their brokers to understand the specific margin requirements for entering into ratio spreads using YM futures. Margins for Ratio Spreads are often equal to the margin requirement when trading the outright futures contract. Understanding Ratio Spreads Ratio Spreads involve buying and selling different amounts of options at varying strike prices, but within the same expiration period. This strategy is typically employed to exploit expected directional moves or stability in the underlying asset, with an additional emphasis on benefiting from time decay. Types of Ratio Spreads: Call Ratio Spread: Involves buying calls at a lower strike price and selling a greater number of calls at a higher strike price. This setup is generally used in mildly bullish scenarios. Put Ratio Spread: Consists of buying puts at a higher strike price and selling more puts at a lower strike price, suitable for mildly bearish market conditions. Mechanics: Execution: Traders initiate these spreads by first determining their view on the market direction. For a bullish outlook, a call ratio spread is suitable; for a bearish view, a put ratio spread would be applicable. Objective: The primary goal is to benefit from the premium decay of the short positions outweighing the cost of the long positions. This is enhanced if the market moves slowly towards the strike price of the short options or remains at a standstill. Risk Management: It's crucial to manage risks as these spreads can lead to limited losses if the market moves against the trader, or surprisingly to many, to unlimited losses if the market moves sharply in the desired direction. Proper stop-loss settings, adjustments and continual market analysis are imperative. Focused Strategy: Bullish Call Ratio Spread In the context of the E-mini Dow Jones, considering the current upward trend with potential slow advancement due to overhead UFO (UnFilled Orders) Resistances, a Bullish Call Ratio Spread can be particularly effective. This strategy allows traders to capitalize on the gradual upward movement while keeping a lid on risks associated with faster, unexpected spikes. Strategy Setup: Selecting Strikes: Choose a lower strike where the long calls are bought and a higher strike where more calls are sold. The selection depends on the resistance levels indicated by the UFOs. Position Sizing: Typically, the number of calls sold is higher than those bought, maintaining a ratio that aligns with the trader's risk tolerance and market outlook. Market Conditions: Best implemented when expecting a gradual increase in the market, allowing time decay to erode the value of the short call positions advantageously. Real-time Market Example: Bullish Call Ratio Spread on E-mini Dow Jones Futures Given the current market scenario where the Dow Jones Index is experiencing a bullish breakout, it’s crucial to align our options trading strategy to take advantage of potential slow upward movements signaled by overhead UFO Resistances. This setup suggests a favorable environment for a Bullish Call Ratio Spread, aiming to maximize the benefits of time decay while managing risk exposure effectively. Setting Up the Bullish Call Ratio Spread: 1. Selection of Strike Prices: Long Calls: Choose a strike price near the current market level (Strike = 39000). Short Calls: Set the higher strike prices right at or above the identified UFO Resistances (Strike = 41000). The rationale here is that these levels are expected to cap the upward movement, thus enhancing the likelihood that these short calls expire worthless or decrease in value, maximizing the time decay benefit. 2. Ratio of Calls: Opt for a ratio that reflects confidence in the bullish movement but also cushions against an unexpected rally. A common setup might be 1 long call for every 2 short calls. Execution: Trade Entry: Enter the trade when you observe a confirmed break above a minor resistance or a pullback that respects the upward trend structure. Monitoring: Regularly monitor the price action as it approaches the UFO Resistances. Adjust the position if the market shows signs of either stalling or breaking through these levels more robustly than anticipated. Trade Management: Adjustments: If the market advances towards the higher strike more quickly than expected, consider buying back some short calls to reduce exposure. Risk Control: Implement stop-loss orders to mitigate potential losses should the market move sharply against the position. This could be set at a level where the market structure changes from bullish to bearish. This real-time scenario provides a practical example of how advanced traders can utilize Bullish Call Ratio Spreads to navigate complex market dynamics effectively, leveraging both market sentiment and technical resistance points to structure a potentially profitable trade setup. Advantages of Ratio Spreads in Options Trading Ratio Spreads offer a strategic advantage in options trading by balancing the potential for profit with a controlled risk management approach. Here are some key benefits of incorporating Ratio Spreads into your trading arsenal: 1. Maximizing Time Decay Optimized Premium Decay: By selling more options than are bought, traders can capitalize on the accelerated decay of the premium of short positions. This is particularly advantageous in markets exhibiting slow to moderate price movements, as expected with the current Dow Jones trend influenced by UFO resistances. 2. Cost Efficiency Reduced Net Cost: The cost of purchasing options is offset by the income received from selling options, reducing the net cost of entering the trade. This can provide a more affordable way to leverage significant market positions without a substantial upfront investment. The Net Debit paid is 403.4 (690 – 143.3 – 143.3) = $2,017 since each YM point is worth $5. Note: We are using the CME Group Options Calculator in order to generate fair value prices and Greeks for any options on futures contracts. 3. Profit in Multiple Market Conditions Versatile Profit Scenarios: Depending on the setup, Ratio Spreads can be profitable in a stagnant, slightly bullish, or slightly bearish market. The key is the strategic selection of strike prices relative to expected market behavior, enabling profits through slight directional moves while protected against losses from significant adverse moves. 4. Flexible Adjustments Scalability and Reversibility: Given their structure, Ratio Spreads allow for easy scaling or reversing positions depending on market movements and trader outlook. This flexibility can be a critical factor in dynamic markets where adjustments need to be swift and cost-effective. Risk Management in Ratio Spreads While Ratio Spreads offer several benefits, they are not without risks, particularly from significant market moves that can lead to potentially unlimited losses. Here’s how to manage those risks: Stop-Loss Orders: Setting stop-losses at predetermined levels can help traders exit positions that move against them, preventing larger losses. Position Monitoring: Regular monitoring and analysis are crucial, especially as the market approaches or reaches the strike price of the short options. Adjustments: Being proactive about adjusting the spread, either by buying back short options or by rolling the positions to different strikes or expiries, can help manage risk and lock in profits. Conclusion Ratio Spreads, particularly in the format of Bullish Call Ratio Spreads demonstrated with E-mini Dow Jones Futures, offer a sophisticated strategy that balances potential profit with manageable risks. This approach is suited for traders who have a nuanced understanding of market dynamics and can navigate the complexities of options with strategic finesse. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Education
by traddictiv
"The Bodies Tell The Story.. The Wicks Do The Damage" - ICTIn this video I'm going to go through one of ICT's most famous sayings, which is "The bodies tell the story, and the wicks do the damage". If haven't taken the time to understand what he means, then you are seriously putting yourself at a disadvantage if you are using his concepts. This is one of the most crucial and useful pieces of the ICT puzzle. You often hear him say that the wicks are painting outside of the lines, which he sees as permissable when he is trading his PD Arrays. So without further ado, I'll try my best to provide some insight. For illustrative purposes I'll use his Market Maker Sell Model. Just to note that this is not a video teaching about his market maker models, so the focus will not be on that or his other concepts. If you don't understand a certain term or concept, please check out ICT's YouTube Channel or the countless other resources online. This video will be predominantly shedding some light on candle bodies and wicks. I urge you to go into your own charts and do your own study. This will truly be something eye opening if it is the first time you've actually decided to take notice. - R2F
Education
by Road_2_Funded
2
Trading is execution - USD/JPY Live trading exampleThis is a short mentoring/educational session. The USD/JPY is the pair we are trading this evening, I analyse this based on the mtf wave structure. I explained the importance of the secondary trend, as a determinant tool or information for what may happen in the future. I also shared one of my waves of success strategy using the DMI and the VMP for trade execution. Finally, after taking the trade, I explained late Mark Douglas probabilistic principles which acts as a solid foundation of our behaviour and interaction with the market.
Education
by Charts247TradingAcademy
MARKET SAARTHI- STRONG BUY EXPLAINEDstrong buy @ max resistance area is level of highest resistance a script is likely to face from previous days of price action, though not computed those ways but in most cases, it represents the zone of call writers, historic resistance (in time frame u are trading) could bring reversal once we have price rejection from the area. it’s a area of high activity thus a user should be trading with caution and waiting out for strong buy signal for a highly trending move. rules for trading max resistance area: 1) strong buy candle should be fully green 2) in case follow up candle is big and meets first 2 levels in a single move, our entry should be on hold and wait for price to retrace back to max resistance area. 3) upon retracement if we get consolidation with green candles, we can plan an entry above high of reference candle with ref candle low being sl. 4) targets will be levels above 5) in case of strong buy till price is trading above max resistance area, upon breaking of each level new entries can be initiated by keep low of breakout candle as sl.
NSE:GRASIMEducation
by prasoon7007
📍Part # 8, Combination - Corrective Waves.👩🏻‍💻 Hello ! This time we're going to look at combinations. It may seem too complicated, but don't worry. In fact, any combination simply consists of two corrective patterns that you and I already know, only between these two patterns there is a connecting wave. Let's go straight to the rules and everything will become clear to you at once! ✅ Rules ✅ 📍A “double three” combination comprises two corrective patterns separated by one corrective pattern in the opposite direction, labeled 'X'. The first corrective pattern is labeled 'W', the second 'Y'. 📍A "double three" combination comprises (in order) a zigzag and a flat, a flat and a zigzag, a flat and a flat, a zigzag and a triangle or a flat and a triangle. 📍Wave 'X' appears as a zigzag or flat. 📍Wave 'X' always retraces at least 90 percent of wave 'W'. 📍Combinations have a sideways look. With respect to waves 'W' and 'Y' in a double three, only one of those waves in each type of combination appears as a single zigzag. 📍Combinations can occur in the same wave positions as flats and triangles (except for the triangle subwave) but cannot occur in waves 'W' and 'Y'. ✅ Guidelines ✅ 📍Wave 'X' is often 123.6-138.2% the 'W' wavelength, less often wave 'X' retraces 161.8% or more. Don't expect wave 'X' to be more than 261.8% of wave 'W'. 📍Wave 'X' is usually a single or multiple zigzag. 📍When a zigzag or flat appears too small to be the entire wave with respect to the preceding wave (or, if it is to be wave '4', the preceding wave '2'), a combination is likely. Thank you for your attention! There will be another lecture next week! Don't miss it! 🔔 Links to other lessons in related ideas. 🔔
Education
by Hellena_Trade
3
27 Articles That Helps You to Avoid MONEYGONE PatternAre you tired of feeling like your money disappears into thin air? Say goodbye to the ' MONEYGONE ' pattern with our collection of 27 articles packed with tips and tricks to keep your finances on track. In #VestindaTips we've put together this big guide all about how prices move and patterns in trading. Whether you're new to trading or you've been doing it for a while, we want to give you helpful info to understand the ups and downs of the financial world. So, let's learn together and get ready to navigate those tricky markets! Dynamics of Bull Market Cycles: Understanding the ebbs and flows of bull markets is essential for capitalizing on upward trends. Dive into the intricacies of bull market cycles to identify opportunities and optimize your trading strategies. Dynamics of Bear Market Cycles: Conversely, bear markets present unique challenges and opportunities. Explore the dynamics of bear market cycles to mitigate risks and maximize profits during downward trends. Diamond Pattern: How-To Guide: Uncover the secrets of the diamond pattern and learn how to recognize and interpret this rare yet powerful formation in trading. Drawing Trendlines: A Practical Guide: Master the art of drawing trendlines with precision and accuracy. This practical guide offers valuable tips and techniques to identify trends and make informed trading decisions. Think You Know Candlestick Patterns? Delve deeper into the realm of candlestick patterns and refine your understanding of these fundamental tools for technical analysis. What is a Bearish Pennant Pattern? Decode the mysteries of the bearish pennant pattern and discover how to spot this bearish continuation formation in the market. Market Gaps: Strategies, Types, Fills, and Crypto: Explore the phenomenon of market gaps and uncover effective strategies for navigating these price discontinuities across various asset classes, including cryptocurrencies. Three White Soldiers: Learn to recognize and interpret the significance of the three white soldiers pattern, a bullish reversal formation that signals a potential shift in market sentiment. Bullish Pennant Pattern: Gain insights into the bullish pennant pattern and harness its predictive power to identify lucrative trading opportunities in the market. How to Island Reversal Pattern: Navigate the waters of the island reversal pattern and understand its implications for trend reversal and market sentiment. The Triangles: With Real-Life Examples: Explore the various types of triangle patterns, including symmetrical, ascending, and descending triangles, with real-life examples illustrating their significance in technical analysis. Cracking the Short Squeeze: Demystify the phenomenon of short squeezes and learn how to capitalize on these explosive market dynamics for potentially substantial gains. Hammer of Trend Change: Discover the hammer candlestick pattern and its role as a potent signal for trend reversal, providing traders with valuable insights into market dynamics. Basics of Elliott Wave Theory: Unlock the foundational principles of Elliott Wave Theory and leverage this powerful tool for predicting market cycles and trends. The Core Confirmations Every Trader Must Know: Equip yourself with essential trading confirmations to validate your analysis and make well-informed trading decisions with confidence. What are Tweezer Top and Bottom Patterns? Unravel the mysteries of tweezer top and bottom patterns and learn how to interpret these candlestick formations for identifying potential trend reversals. How to Altseason Cycle || Cheat Sheet || Bitcoin Dominance: Navigate the altseason cycle with ease using this comprehensive cheat sheet, complete with insights into Bitcoin dominance and its implications for the broader cryptocurrency market. Rising and Falling Wedges Explained: Understand the characteristics of rising and falling wedges and learn how to effectively trade these patterns for profit. How to Head and Shoulders: Master the head and shoulders pattern, a classic reversal formation that can provide valuable insights into market trends and potential trend reversals. Double Top vs. Double Bottom Patterns: Distinguish between double top and double bottom patterns and learn how to identify and trade these reversal formations effectively. Triple Top vs. Triple Bottom Patterns: Explore the nuances of triple top and triple bottom patterns and their implications for market trends and price action. DIVERGENCE CHEATSHEET: Decode divergence patterns with this comprehensive cheat sheet, providing invaluable insights into market dynamics and potential trend reversals. Supply and Demand Zones: Buying Low, Selling High: Master the art of identifying supply and demand zones to capitalize on optimal entry and exit points in the market. Ascending Channels: The Guide: Navigate ascending channels with confidence using this comprehensive guide, complete with strategies for trading within these bullish formations. Wyckoff Accumulation & Distribution: Unlock the secrets of Wyckoff accumulation and distribution phases and learn how to spot these market manipulation tactics for profitable trading opportunities. The Cup and Handle Pattern in Trading: Discover the cup and handle pattern, a classic bullish continuation formation that can signal significant uptrends in the market. The ABCD Pattern: from A to D: Explore the ABCD pattern and its role in identifying potential entry and exit points in the market, providing traders with a structured approach to trading. With all the cool stuff you've learned from our guide on price action and patterns, you'll be ready to tackle the twists and turns of the financial world like a pro! It doesn't matter if you're just starting out or you've been at it for a while, getting the hang of these basic ideas is super important for making good trades and winning big. So, go ahead and dive in! Happy trading, everyone!
Education
by Vestinda
1
What Is a Fib Spiral in Trading?What Is a Fib Spiral in Trading? In trading, the Fibonacci sequence, notable for its mathematical and artistic significance, is adapted into tools like the Fibonacci retracement and spiral. These tools provide traders with a unique perspective on market trends and potential reversal points, using ratios derived from the sequence to analyse price charts. This article focuses on the Fibonacci spiral, exploring its application and interpretation in financial trading. The Fibonacci Sequence and Trading Traders often ask, “What is a Fib in stocks?”. A Fib refers to a tool using the Fibonacci sequence, typically a Fibonacci retracement. This series of numbers, where each is the sum of the two preceding ones, has long intrigued mathematicians and artists alike. In trading, the Fibonacci retracement uses ratios (23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%) to identify potential reversal points on price charts. These levels are drawn by taking two extreme points, usually a high and a low, and dividing the vertical distance by the key Fibonacci ratios. The concept extends to the Fibonacci spiral, a more complex tool that incorporates the same mathematical principles. The Fib spiral applies these ratios in a circular format, offering a unique perspective on potential price movements. By wrapping the Fibonacci sequence into a spiral, traders can visualise both time and price movements in a dynamic way. What Is the Fibonacci Spiral? The Fibonacci spiral, meaning a graphical representation of the Fibonacci sequence in a spiral format, is a unique tool in technical analysis. Originating from the same principles as the Fibonacci retracement, it’s constructed by drawing circular arcs that connect the opposite corners of squares in the Fibonacci tiling. This sequence of squares, each with sides of Fibonacci-number lengths, forms the basis of the spiral. In a trading context, the Fib spiral is overlaid on a price chart. Its curvature is intended to match significant highs and lows, helping to identify potential areas of support and resistance. These points can indicate where prices might find temporary stability or change direction. Unlike straight lines of Fibonacci retracements, the spiral offers a more dynamic view, considering both price and time factors and providing traders with a visually intuitive way to analyse market trends and potential reversal points. Golden Spiral Definition A closely related concept is the Golden spiral, defined as a logarithmic spiral whose growth factor is, the golden ratio (approximately 1.618). It appears frequently in nature and art and is known for its aesthetically pleasing properties. A Fibonacci spiral closely approximates the golden spiral by employing quarter-circle arcs that are inscribed within squares, the dimensions of which are derived from the Fibonacci sequence. Practical Application in Trading Applying the Fibonacci spiral in trading involves a few key steps. To try it out, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform. There, you’ll find the Fib spiral alongside other 1,200+ trading tools. Placement: The first step is to anchor the centre of the spiral at a significant low (for upward trends) or high (for downward trends). The second point is set at an opposing significant high or low, respectively. Scaling: Traders adjust the spiral so that it expands or contracts to align with key price levels. The aim is to fit it in a way that its curves intersect with significant price points or trend lines. Analysis: Once the spiral is placed, observe where it intersects with price levels. These intersections often signify potential support or resistance areas, offering clues for potential entry or exit points. Confirmation: Using other technical indicators, like moving averages or RSI, to validate the signals provided by the Fib spiral is a good idea. Such cross-verification may reduce false signals and enhance decision-making. Adaptation: The last step is to continuously adjust the spiral as new price data emerges. A dynamic approach helps traders stay aligned with current market trends and conditions. Interpreting the Fib Spiral Effectively interpreting the Fib spiral involves recognising its intersections with key price levels as potential indicators of future market movements. These intersections can signal areas of support and resistance, offering critical insights for traders. Support and Resistance: If a price level aligns with the spiral, it may act as support in an uptrend or resistance in a downtrend. A breach of these levels could indicate a stronger trend or a potential reversal. Timing: The spiral may help traders determine time frames for potential price movements. Where the spiral intersects with the price chart may coincide with significant turning points or continuations in the market. Trend Confirmation: In a strong trend, the price often respects the spiral levels, reinforcing the trend’s validity. Conversely, consistent breaks through the spiral might signal weakening momentum. Limitations and Considerations While the Fibonacci spiral is a valuable tool, traders must be aware of its limitations and use it judiciously: Subjectivity: The placement of the spiral is subjective, depending heavily on the trader's choice of start and end points. This can lead to varying interpretations among different traders. No Predictive Guarantees: The spiral provides potential areas of interest but does not guarantee future price movements. It's an analytical factor rather than a crystal ball. Best with Other Tools: Relying solely on the Fib spiral can be risky. It's most effective when combined with other technical analysis tools for cross-verification. Market Conditions: The spiral's effectiveness can vary across different market conditions and asset classes. It may be more useful in trending markets than in range-bound or highly volatile ones. Learning Curve: Properly using and interpreting the Fib spiral requires experience and understanding of market dynamics, which can be challenging for novice traders. The Bottom Line As we've explored the Fibonacci spiral, it's clear that this tool can be a valuable asset in a trader's toolkit. While it requires practice and complementing analysis methods, its insights into market trends and potential pivot points are invaluable. For those looking to apply these techniques in real trading scenarios, consider opening an FXOpen account. Once you do, you’ll gain access to hundreds of unique markets, lightning-fast execution speeds, and competitive trading costs. Good luck! This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
3
EDUCATIONAL: Creating ConfluenceUsing different time frames and indicators is a key aspect of a well-rounded trading strategy. By analyzing an asset across various time frames, traders can identify larger trends and shorter-term price action. Higher time frames provide a broader context, while lower time frames offer more detailed data on potential entry and exit points. Combining technical indicators such as linear regression, Bollinger Bands, Elliott Wave, Fibonacci retracements, and Ichimoku Kinko Hyo enhances your confluence and confirms trends or reversal points across different time frames. This approach offers a more comprehensive analysis of market trends and potential price movements. Confluence occurs when multiple indicators and time frames align, increasing the probability of a successful trade. For example, if a trend is confirmed across several indicators and time frames, it suggests that the trend may be more reliable. Traders should also be aware of conflicting signals that might arise from different time frames or indicators. In such cases, you must prioritize your decisions based on your trading strategy and risk tolerance. This educational video will guide you on developing your confluence using the mentioned indicators and time frames. Larger time frames draw the bigger picture, while lower frames provide baby steps toward the bigger frame. Additionally, you might find confluence in smaller time frames that could override other indicators on bigger time frames. In summary, incorporating different time frames and indicators improves the quality of your analysis and leads to more informed and strategic trading decisions -------///// When faced with conflicting signals from different time frames or indicators, prioritizing decisions can be challenging. Here are some strategies to help you navigate these situations and make informed trading choices: Favor Higher Time Frames: Generally, higher time frames (e.g., daily, weekly) provide a broader context and are more reliable in identifying the overall market trend. When signals conflict across time frames, prioritize the signals from higher time frames as they represent longer-term market movements. Confirm with Multiple Indicators: Look for confluence among various technical indicators. When multiple indicators align in support of a trend or reversal, the likelihood of the market moving in that direction increases. Conversely, if indicators disagree, exercise caution and avoid trading until the signals are clearer. Risk Management: In cases of conflicting signals, adjust your position size and risk exposure accordingly. Reducing your risk can help protect your capital from potential losses due to market volatility. Wait for Clarity: If signals are ambiguous or contradictory, it may be wise to wait for more definitive price action before making a decision. Avoid impulsive trades based on uncertain signals. Use Price Action: In addition to indicators, consider using price action (e.g., support and resistance levels, candlestick patterns) to guide your decisions. Price action can provide additional context and may help confirm or negate signals from indicators. Set Clear Entry and Exit Points: Define clear entry and exit points based on your analysis and stick to your trading plan. This discipline can help you navigate conflicting signals more effectively. Keep an Eye on Market Sentiment: Market sentiment can offer additional insights into potential market movements. For example, extreme bullishness or bearishness can signal a potential reversal, even if indicators show conflicting signals. Stay Flexible: Be prepared to adapt your strategy as market conditions change. Flexibility can help you navigate conflicting signals and adjust your positions accordingly. By employing these strategies, you can manage conflicting signals more effectively and make informed decisions that align with your overall trading strategy and risk tolerance.
EGX:EGX30Education
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Constructin of chartsThe first documented use of charts goes back to ancient Babylonia, where their early forms were used primarily for record-keeping by astrologists and merchants. Then, sometime between the 5th and 6th century A.D., these graphical representations developed into a form reminiscent of today’s charts. Further refinement and development of charting techniques continued through the centuries, influenced by advancements in mathematics, commerce, and technology, which propelled charts from hand-drawn illustrations to sophisticated computerized displays in the 20th century. Nowadays, there is a myriad of visualization options, but line charts, bar charts, and candlestick charts are the most widely used for the purpose of technical analysis. Key points: A chart is a graphical display of data, usually price and volume. In the context of financial markets, charts serve as tools for analyzing trends, patterns, and relationships in data. There is a wide array of visualization options available today, with line charts, bar charts, candlestick charts, and equivolume charts being among the most commonly used. Different types of charts are suitable for analyzing different aspects of data, ranging from long-term trends to short-term price movements and volatility. Line chart A line chart is represented by a single line that provides information about the price on the vertical axis and time on the horizontal axis. It is typically constructed by connecting a closing price. This type of chart is suitable for analyzing long-term trends, but its main drawback is that it provides only one piece of information, unlike a bar graph or a candlestick graph. Illustration 1.01 The illustration above shows the daily line graph of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) between 2020 and late 2022. Bar chart A bar chart is constructed with bars, each representing one particular time interval. These bars provide information about opening price, closing price, high, and low. As such, volatility and various price patterns can be easily observed. This type of chart fits short-term, medium-term, and long-term trend studies. Illustration 1.02 The image portrays the daily bar chart of silver (XAGUSD) throughout 2022 and early 2023. Candlestick chart A candlestick chart is very similar to a bar chart and provides information about opening price, closing price, high, and low. It consists of the real body and shadow. The real body is a rectangular area between the opening and closing prices. Shadows are the price extremes that occur within a trading session and are represented by thin bars above and below the real body. The shadow above the real body is called the upper shadow, and the shadow below the real body is called the lower shadow. Candlestick charts are appropriate for analyzing short-term, medium-term, and long-term trends. Illustration 1.03 Above is the weekly candlestick chart of gold (XAUUSD) between late 2007 and early 2017. Equivolume chart In an equivolume chart, the width of each bar or candlestick is proportional to the volume traded during that period, while the height represents the price range (high to low) for the same period. This type of chart aims to visually depict the relationship between trading volume and price movement, allowing traders to identify patterns and trends more effectively. Equivolume charts are especially useful for analyzing the strength of price movements in relation to trading activity. Illustration 1.04 The equivolume chart of silver (XAGUSD) is depicted above. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Education
by Tradersweekly
2
GOLD MACD StrategyRules for engagement: - Price must be below the 200SMA - MACD must cross above the 0 line (higher the better) - Price must then cross over short term SMAs (5&8) - Stops at previous high - Take Profits at the target low Here we saw price break down to create a new lower low and sweeping previous support. Price on the daily has broken below the 21 moving average and price is close to crossing the 200 moving average on the 4hr chart. Using the FIB we can set an expected target entry zone between the 382 and 618 zones which also aligns with previous support which could turn to resistance. We see price stall here and we look for entries short. two entries identified using the above rules with a 130SL and a 400+TP.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Youza
US30 Simple 8:am StrategyToday I'm explaining a very simple strategy that I use for trading US30 during the NY session. Basically just wait for the 8:am EST candle to close Once the candle closes, if it's red, you would enter a sell position with a 100 point profit target with a stop loss at 100 points as well. If it's green, enter a long position with a 100 point profit target and 100 point SL. If you end up getting stopped up, it's not a big deal. The following day you would just double the position size. Make sure you avoid trading Wednesday especially if there's anything related to the FED such as an FOMC. In terms of volume size to trade, for every $100k, start with a 1 standard lot position. If stopped out one day, the following day trade 2 lots, or execute two 1 standard lot positions at the same time. This is a very simple strategy with an 80% win rate. That's it - That's all Trade Safe
BLACKBULL:US30Education
by Michael_Harding
1