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Chart Patterns

Best Chart Patterns in Price Action for Intraday & Swing Trading Last year I shared more than 1000 free swing and intraday trading signals for Forex, Gold, Silver, Oil, Crypto and Major Indexes. The majority of the setups were based on classic price action chart patterns. What I did through the trading year, I kept a record of each free signal that I posted: noting the winners, losers and the entry reason. In this article, I will share with you the most accurate and profitable patterns for trading by accuracy and winning rate. First, let me reveal the list of chart patterns that I traded this year: double top & double bottom, head & shoulders pattern, cup & handle, bullish and bearish flag, rising and falling wedge, horizontal channel, ascending, descending and symmetrical triangles. And I did not trade every pattern that I spotted. There were some specific criteria that I relied on to confirm the validity of the patterns. Keep reading and you will learn these criteria. Secondly, you can back test the performance of a trading setup and of each pattern that I shared on my official tradingview page by your own. Simply, use the filter to display the desired pattern. Tradingview does not allow removing the trading signal once it is posted, so all the results are 100% real. My TradingView Page - www.tradingview.com Thirdly, all the chart patterns that I trade strictly formed on key daily supports and resistances . I never trade the patterns beyond key levels. For example, the triangle chart pattern on an hourly time frame on EURAUD that I posted recently was formed on a key daily horizontal resistance. Please, note that the price action patterns alone that are formed far from strong supports and resistances will always have a lower winning rate. Also, I applied the chart patterns primarily for day trading and swing trading. The time frames that I used were daily/4h/1h. For scalping, the performance will be different. And the last thing that patterns in chart patterns trading is the direction of the market trend. The price action pattern that indicates a price movement against the trend will always have a lower accuracy than the one the aligns with the trend and give a trend following signal. In the trading setup above, I spotted not only a bullish price action pattern on an hourly time frame but also a strong bullish trend on a daily. Following all these criteria, here are the winning rates of chart patterns that I traded this year. Double top & double bottom pattern get 66% winning rate. That's the example of a perfect double bottom chart pattern for trading. Remember that the fact that the price formed a pattern does not provide a reliable signal, we trade only after a breakout of its neckline and a candle close beyond, that is our strong confirmation. Head & shoulders pattern and its inverted version get 69% winning rate. You can find a valid head and shoulders pattern above. It was formed on a key daily resistance, and the trade was opened strictly after a violation of the neckline. Cup & handle pattern and its inverted version has 67% accuracy this year. That's a very perfect cup and handle that the price formed on a key support. Confirmation is the violation of the horizontal neckline. Bullish and bearish flags get 62% accuracy. Examine the perfect flag pattern on USDJPY. The market is bullish on a daily and trades within a rising channel. The price formed a bullish flag on an hourly, approaching its support. Our signal to buy is the violation of its upper trend line. Rising and falling wedges get 64% accuracy. The rising wedge that the price formed on the chart above perfectly aligns with the up trend on a daily. Horizontal channel - the range achieves 68% winning rate. The horizontal range that the price formed after a breakout of a key daily support and its consequent test was broken to the downside, giving a reliable intraday confirmation signal. The accuracy of ascending and descending triangles gave correct signals in 67% of the trades. We made a nice profit, buying Bitcoin after a breakout of a neckline of the ascending triangle pattern that was formed on a retest recently broken daily resistance that turned into support. Symmetrical triangle got 61% winning chance. The violation of a falling trend line of a symmetrical triangle after a test of a key daily support gave a strong intraday bullish signal. The best and the most accurate trading setups were based on a combination of multiple patterns. It is a situation, when the market forms 2 or even more the-same biased patterns. The trading setup above combines 2 bearish price action patterns on a key daily resistance: rising wedge pattern and descending triangle. Breakouts the trend line and neckline of both patterns gave very accurate bearish signal. Such setups have a winning chance above 70%. The one setup that gave almost 83% winning rate this year was based on a combination of a falling wedge pattern and a cup & handle pattern within. In that setup, you can find not only a falling wedge pattern and its resistance breakout but also a cup & handle pattern that formed within and its neckline violation as well. Always record the results and the entry criteria of your trades. It will help you to identify the most efficient entry signals and the worst ones. I hope that my observations will help you in the next trading year. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
9
It precious metals oil dxy1.3.25 I find it helpful the categorize the market in ways that are more specific than trending or ranging. there are intermediate patterns that can give you solid information including what reasonable targets you can use before you actually start the trade. near the end of the video I stumbled on the silver market which actually triggered long and short trades with relatively small risk....... and one reason you could think as a stop in Reverse traitor in that market because it characteristically has higher volatility than most markets it because 1 point is 1000 of dollars. so if you like action and you don't mind spending more time in front of the screen you can get that from Silver. I am not recommending silver because it doesn't take too many mistakes to lose a lot of capital. in fact gold is not a trade to start out with for the same reasons but I think there is a smaller contract and I know there is a smaller contract for oil which I think is a great Market... so if you start out with oil make sure it's the qm I think.... the smaller contract... half the return but half the risk. always be risk adverse. I spent more time than I should have over 30 minutes for sure... I'm sorry about that, but there are some subtleties to patterns that that are not really that subtle when you look at them with a Discerning Eye. it is possible that the oil will trade higher from its current price and then I would add another range box above the current range box... I did not get to talk about that on this video. on the other hand while I am generally bullish on the precious metals, my gut feeling on gold is that it's going to range for a while until something happens that changes my mind... and that would influence the way I would trade that market.
TVC:DXYEducation
by ScottBogatin
1
VARAUSD - Hunting for Order Blocks (Order Walls)I've circled (or boxed in rather) the chart patterns which along with order flow data confirm the presence of large order walls. Yes, it is true that I could rely only on order flow data from BookMap to tell me where these are at because the heatmap clearly shows them. But BookMap takes a long time to download data and you have to let it run for a long time before it will catch up with the market so what if I want to draw my strategy right now? Statistics my friends. Study and compare enough and you will be able to pinpoint order walls with good enough accuracy. I know, a lot of traders draw lines all over the place but those lines do not mean anything today if they are way up there or way down below. Price movement could go up or down really fast absorbing those regions with ease, thus I like to stick with the range that the asset is currently in. To me the only thing that matters about what is happening with this asset is what has happened within this range. I trade the range until the range breaks, if the range holds then we trade, if it breaks, we get a new range, higher, lower, whatever time frame, weekly, daily. It is all the same strategy to me. Sentiment doesn't matter and it won't matter in the long run. Look at MAKER, that asset is still trading for $1500 roughly. Why? Is it worth that or is it being propped up? I mean who knows, sentiment can mean something but all I am saying is MAKER isn't even called MAKER anymore, its some weird SKY coin with some end game project the creator has lost his mind. VARA is a young coin with promise and a fresh new approach to programming D Apps. Is it popular today? Will it be listed on other exhanges or is that in the works? See sentiment is BS because we don't have all of the answers and we don't have control but what we do have is a range to trade. So, with that being said, I don't care about unlocks and I don't want to hear another word about it.
COINBASE:VARAUSDEducation
by fritbjorn
Ascending Triangle in Nikkei/Yen Futures: A 2025 Bullish Setup?1. Introduction The Nikkei/Yen Futures, a crucial instrument for traders aiming to capture movements in Japan’s equity index and its currency dynamics, presents an intriguing setup as we step into 2025. An ascending triangle pattern, a classic bullish formation, is emerging on the chart, signaling a potential breakout to the upside. Adding to the technical allure is the depletion of sell unfilled orders (UFOs) within a significant price zone between 40,420 and 39,685. This critical area, revisited six times since late July 2024, has seen a steady reduction of unfilled sell orders, opening the possibility for bullish momentum to dominate. With the price currently hovering near the 39,685 level, the stage appears set for a breakout opportunity. 2. The Technical Setup The ascending triangle, characterized by a series of higher lows converging toward a horizontal resistance level, often signifies bullish pressure. In the case of the Nikkei/Yen Futures, the horizontal resistance resides near 39,685, the lower boundary of a key sell UFO zone. This resistance has been tested repeatedly since July 2024, with each revisit chipping away at the sell orders within the zone. Such behavior suggests diminishing selling pressure, setting the foundation for a breakout. The anticipated target for this breakout, calculated using Fibonacci projection, is set at 41,380—aligning with historical price action and technical projections. Key Contract Specifications: o Regular Nikkei/Yen Futures (NIY1!) Contract Size: ¥500 x Nikkei 225 index Tick Size: ¥5 Point Value: ¥2,500 Margin Requirement: Approx. $ 1,500,000 JPY o Micro Nikkei/Yen Futures (MNI) Contract Size: ¥50 x Nikkei 225 index Tick Size: ¥5 Point Value: ¥250 Margin Requirement: Approx. $ 150,000 JPY These details ensure accessibility for both institutional and retail traders, with the micro contract enabling smaller capital commitments while maintaining exposure to the same underlying asset. 3. Forward-Looking Trade Plan The technical evidence supports a bullish trade plan for Nikkei/Yen Futures: Trade Direction: Long Entry Price: Above 39,685, confirming a breakout from the resistance level. Target Price: 41,380, based on Fibonacci projections. Stop Loss: 39,120, targeting a 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio to manage risk effectively. Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 3:1 (Calculated: 41,380 - 39,685 = 1,695 reward; 39,685 - 39,120 = 565 risk). The trade parameters apply to both the standard and micro contracts, offering flexibility in position sizing. Traders with smaller accounts may opt for the micro contract to manage margin requirements while engaging in this high-potential setup. 4. Importance of Risk Management Risk management remains the cornerstone of any successful trading strategy, particularly when trading leveraged instruments like futures. Here are key considerations for managing risk in the Nikkei/Yen Futures trade setup: Stop-Loss Orders: Placing a stop-loss at 39,120 ensures a predefined risk level, protecting traders from unexpected market reversals. It’s vital to adhere to this level to maintain discipline and avoid emotional decision-making. Position Sizing: The availability of micro contracts (MNIY1!) allows traders to tailor their position size according to their account size and risk tolerance. For example, trading one micro contract involves a significantly smaller margin commitment compared to the regular contract, making it suitable for retail traders. Defined Risk Exposure: Leveraged products like futures can lead to substantial losses if risk is not clearly defined. Using stop-loss orders and trading within calculated risk parameters prevents the potential for undefined losses. Precise Entries and Exits: Setting the entry above 39,685 ensures a systematic approach to triggering the trade based on the expected breakout. Similarly, targeting 41,380 using Fibonacci projections ensures that profit objectives align with technical analysis rather than arbitrary levels. By prioritizing these aspects, traders can mitigate risks while maximizing the potential reward from this bullish setup. 5. Closing Remarks The Nikkei/Yen Futures seem to be poised for a potential breakout as we enter 2025, driven by a combination of technical factors and diminishing sell-side unfilled orders. The ascending triangle formation strengthens the bullish bias, with the calculated Fibonacci projection of 41,380 offering an attractive target. Both the standard and micro contracts cater to different trader profiles, allowing participation regardless of account size. As the price approaches the critical 39,685 level, traders are encouraged to stay vigilant, using real-time CME data to track developments and validate entry triggers. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME:NIY1!Education
by traddictiv
Bitcoin:Digital Gold or the Most Sophisticated Mirage of Our EraImagine for a moment that you could travel back in time and explain the concept of paper money to someone from 500 years ago: "Are you telling me this paper is worth something just because we all agree it has value?" They would look at you as if you were crazy. Yet here we are, using paper money every day without thinking twice about it. Bitcoin generates today the same disbelief that paper money once provoked. Since its creation in 2009, it has been the subject of intense debates: Is it truly the digital gold of our era or the most sophisticated mirage in financial history? The answer is more fascinating than it seems. Like Schrödinger's cat, Bitcoin exists in a state of superposition: simultaneously embodying characteristics of digital gold and exhibiting speculative behaviors, without being exclusively either. Gold has endured for millennia as a store of value due to characteristics that Bitcoin replicates digitally: • Scarcity: Only 21 million units will ever exist. • Durability: The blockchain is immutable. • Divisibility: Each Bitcoin can be divided into 100 million Satoshis. • Accessibility: Instantly transferable across borders. When people debate whether Bitcoin is digital gold or a bubble, they're asking the wrong question. It's like asking whether the Internet in 1995 was a communication network or a passing fad. The reality is that it was something completely new, something that would change the world in unpredictable ways. Bitcoin, although speculative, has also proven to be a catalyst for profound changes in how we understand money, finance, and decentralization. Its evolution might resemble that of other disruptive innovations which, after a period of speculation, found their place in the world. As central banks print more money, Bitcoin emerges as an alternative to the traditional financial system. Its digital nature positions it perfectly in an increasingly globalized and technological world. Bitcoin has achieved something that seemed impossible: creating genuine scarcity in the digital world. It's not just "gold," it's the first successful experiment in native Internet money. The question is no longer whether Bitcoin is digital gold or a speculative bubble. The real question is: Are we witnessing the birth of a new financial standard? As financial institutions, companies, and governments increasingly adopt this asset, one thing becomes clear: Bitcoin is not simply a passing trend, but a window into a future where technology and finance merge in ways we're just beginning to understand.
Education
by JFSUAREZ37
The Quest for Market MasteryEssential Reading for Understanding Markets, Behavior, and Decision-Making Understanding financial markets and human behavior requires more than just technical knowledge - it demands deep insights into psychology, probability, and decision-making. I've curated a selection of groundbreaking books that together provide a comprehensive framework for mastering these interconnected domains. Let's start with Daniel Kahneman's "Thinking, Fast and Slow," a masterpiece that revolutionized our understanding of human decision-making. Kahneman introduces us to two systems that drive our thinking: the fast, intuitive System 1, and the slow, analytical System 2. This book is essential for anyone looking to understand their own cognitive biases and improve their decision-making process, whether in markets or in life. Building on these psychological insights, Richard Thaler and Cass Sunstein's "Nudge" explores how choice architecture influences our decisions. Their work demonstrates how subtle changes in how options are presented can significantly impact outcomes - crucial knowledge for both policymakers and investors. For those interested in the intersection of theory and practice, Nassim Nicholas Taleb's "Incerto" series (including "Fooled by Randomness," "The Black Swan," and "Antifragile") offers profound insights into probability, uncertainty, and risk. Taleb's work challenges conventional wisdom about randomness and helps readers develop more robust mental models for dealing with uncertainty. Moving to practical market applications, Edward O. Thorp's "A Man for All Markets" provides a fascinating journey from Las Vegas to Wall Street. Thorp, who pioneered quantitative investing, shares valuable lessons about probability, risk management, and the importance of maintaining a mathematical edge in any endeavor. Gregory Zuckerman's "The Man Who Solved the Market" tells the incredible story of Jim Simons and Renaissance Technologies. This book offers rare insights into how mathematical models and data science revolutionized trading, while also highlighting the importance of assembling exceptional teams and maintaining rigorous discipline. Finally, George Soros's "The Alchemy of Finance" introduces his theory of reflexivity, challenging traditional economic theories about market equilibrium. His insights about how market participants' perceptions affect market reality remain highly relevant today. Reading these books in combination offers several key benefits: A deep understanding of human psychology and decision-making Practical frameworks for dealing with uncertainty and probability Real-world applications of theoretical concepts Insights into different approaches to market analysis Lessons about risk management and system building The authors approach markets and decision-making from different angles - psychology, mathematics, philosophy, and practical experience. Together, they provide a rich tapestry of knowledge that can help readers develop more sophisticated mental models for understanding markets and human behavior. For beginners, I recommend starting with "Thinking, Fast and Slow" to build a psychological foundation, then moving to "Nudge" and the "Incerto" series. More market-focused readers might prefer beginning with Thorp's memoir before diving into the theoretical works. Remember that understanding markets and behavior is a journey, not a destination. These books don't offer simple formulas for success, but rather frameworks for thinking about complex problems. The real value comes from integrating these different perspectives into your own mental models and decision-making processes. Whether you're an investor, trader, policy maker, or simply someone interested in understanding how markets and humans interact, these books provide invaluable insights that can help you navigate an increasingly complex world. The time invested in reading and understanding these works will pay dividends far beyond the financial markets.
NASDAQ:NDXEducation
by Moshkelgosha
Trading While Tired: How Lack of Sleep Messed Me UpThere was a time in my trading journey when I thought staying up late would make me a better trader. I’d sit at my desk until the early hours, staring at charts and telling myself, “The more I watch, the more I’ll win.” At first, it seemed like it was working. I caught a few decent trades late at night and felt like I was ahead of the game. But then, it all started to go wrong. The Day It Hit Me One morning, after getting just four hours of sleep, I sat down to trade like I always did. But something felt off. I couldn’t focus on the charts—I kept missing obvious patterns. On one trade, I completely forgot to set a stop-loss, and it ended up costing me more than it should have. By the end of the day, I had made so many mistakes that I didn’t even recognize myself as a trader. I was losing money, and I felt like a mess. What Lack of Sleep Does Looking back, I can see how skipping sleep was hurting me. Here’s what I went through: - I Couldn’t Think Clearly: I felt foggy and couldn’t concentrate on my trading plan. - I Made Bad Choices: I rushed into trades without thinking them through. - I Was Moody: Losing trades hit me harder than they should have, and little things made me angry. - I Drank Too Much Coffee: I thought caffeine would fix my tiredness, but it just made me jittery. - I Broke My Rules: I was too tired to follow my trading strategy. How I Fixed It One day, after another sleepless night and a morning full of mistakes, I decided enough was enough. I told myself I needed to change. The first step? Making sleep a priority. At first, it was hard to turn off the charts and go to bed. I thought I’d miss out on opportunities, but the truth was the opposite. With proper rest, I became sharper, calmer, and more confident in my trades. What I Learned -Sleep is as important as trading skills—you can’t think clearly without it. -Watching the charts all night doesn’t help if you’re too tired to make good decisions. -A good night’s sleep leads to smarter, more focused trading. Are You Trading Tired? If you’re staying up late and feeling exhausted while trading, it’s time to change that. Trust me, your trades will get better when your brain has the energy to work properly. If you’re stuck or want to chat about how to balance trading with a healthy lifestyle, send me a DM. I’ve been there, and I’m here to help! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
KRAKEN:GALAUSDEducation
by Mindbloome-Trading
6
Mastering the Enigma Liquidity Concept: Understanding Candle MidIn this educational video, we delve into the Enigma Liquidity Concept, a powerful approach to understanding market bias and direction through the lens of liquidity. Learn how to analyze each candle's 50% midpoint and observe the market's behaviour as it seeks liquidity. By understanding the significance of candle closes above or below the midpoint and identifying liquidity grabs, you'll uncover the logic behind determining when to buy or sell. This video offers clear, actionable insights designed to elevate your trading precision and confidence. Perfect for the TradingView community looking to refine their edge!
Education
by Niko-picasso369
Catch Big Reversals Like a Pro Using the GOLDEN RSIHow to Catch Market Tops and Bottoms Using the GOLDEN RSI Indicator Trading market reversals can feel like a daunting task. But what if you had a secret weapon to help you identify tops, bottoms, and potential reversals with ease? Enter the GOLDEN RSI Indicator—a custom-built tool designed to revolutionize your trading strategy. In this tutorial, I’ll show you how to leverage this powerful indicator to spot reversal trades like a seasoned pro. What is the GOLDEN RSI Indicator? The GOLDEN RSI builds on the traditional RSI (Relative Strength Index) by adding optimized zones and visual signals that highlight potential bullish and bearish reversals. Unlike the standard RSI, which requires subjective interpretation, this indicator provides precise entry and exit signals by visually marking key market conditions. How to Use the GOLDEN RSI to Catch Market Reversals? Understand the Key Zones: Overbought Zone (Above 80): Signals a potential market top or reversal from bullish to bearish. Oversold Zone (Below 20): Indicates a potential market bottom or reversal from bearish to bullish. Neutral Zone (60-40): Consolidation phase where trends are less decisive. Spotting Bullish Reversals When the RSI dips into the oversold zone (below 20) and begins to reverse upward, the GOLDEN RSI will highlight a Bull signal. This suggests a potential upward move, ideal for long trades. Pro Tip: Look for confirmation with price action, such as a bullish candlestick pattern or a break of resistance. Spotting Bearish Reversals When the RSI climbs into the overbought zone (above 80) and starts to turn down, the GOLDEN RSI will mark a Bear signal. This indicates a potential downward move, perfect for short trades. Pro Tip: Combine with chart patterns like double tops or bearish engulfing candles to strengthen your confidence in the trade. The Hidden Power of Divergences Bullish Divergence: Price makes lower lows while the RSI makes higher lows. This signals potential bullish momentum. Bearish Divergence: Price makes higher highs while the RSI makes lower highs. This signals potential bearish momentum. The GOLDEN RSI visualizes divergences clearly, so you can spot them effortlessly. Use Risk Management Tools Set stop-loss levels below recent swing lows (for bullish trades) or above recent swing highs (for bearish trades). Use risk-reward ratios of at least 1:2 to maximize your profit potential. Real Trade Example Using GOLDEN RSI In the SPX 15-minute chart above, the GOLDEN RSI accurately identified: A Bearish Reversal near the market top, as the RSI entered overbought territory and started to fall. A Bullish Reversal as the RSI dipped into the oversold zone and recovered upward. These signals allowed for precise entry points, minimizing risk and maximizing rewards. Why the GOLDEN RSI is a Game-Changer Unlike generic RSI tools, the GOLDEN RSI is designed with traders in mind. It eliminates the guesswork by providing visual cues for market reversals. Whether you’re trading stocks, indices, or crypto, this indicator is a must-have in your toolkit. How to Get the GOLDEN RSI Indicator? Want to try it for yourself? Head over to TradingView and add the GOLDEN RSI Indicator to your chart. Use it alongside your favorite price action strategies to take your trading to the next level. Conclusion Reversals can make or break a trader’s portfolio. By mastering the GOLDEN RSI, you can confidently spot market tops, bottoms, and reversals with precision. Start using this custom indicator today and watch your trading results improve dramatically! Don’t forget to like, share, and follow me on TradingView for more tutorials like this one. Let’s catch those reversals together!
SP:SPXEducation
by thejamiul
20
7 Mindset Checks for Trading Success in 2025!Are You Psychologically Ready to Be a Trader? 🎯 As we step into the New Year, it's the perfect time to reflect on whether you're truly prepared to take on the world of trading. Here’s a checklist to assess your mindset and psychological readiness for the challenges ahead. 1️⃣ Do You Get Angry When You Lose? If you tend to get upset over a lost game or seek revenge, trading might amplify those emotions. With money at stake, it's easy to blame external factors like the news, politics, or distractions for a losing trade. But here's the truth: losses are part of the process. Successful traders embrace losses as learning opportunities and focus on the next profitable setup instead of dwelling on the past. Remember: Revenge trading is a trap. The market doesn’t cause losses—you do. Instead of seeking revenge, take responsibility, learn, and move forward. “The best fighter is never angry.” – Lao Tzu 2️⃣ Do You Think You’re Always Right? Ego is a trader's biggest enemy. Trading isn’t about being right or wrong—it’s about making money. If your ego drives your decisions, you might overestimate your abilities, skip your trading plan, and take unnecessary risks. Stay humble and let the market teach you. Ego-filled traders may call themselves analysts or influencers, but true traders prioritize discipline over arrogance. 3️⃣ Do You Fasten Your Seatbelt Every Time You Drive? Wearing a seatbelt is a simple yet critical risk management habit. Similarly, in trading, risk management is everything. Professional traders focus on controlling risk, not chasing rewards. Trading without a stop loss is like driving without a seatbelt—one mistake can ruin everything. Remember: the market can go anywhere. Be prepared for every outcome. 4️⃣ Are You a Follower? Successful traders carve their own paths. Blindly copying others’ strategies or trades on social media undermines your independence. You chose trading to be your own boss—embrace that responsibility. Develop and trust your own trading plan, tailored to your goals, personality, and style. “If you don’t design your own life plan, chances are you’ll fall into someone else’s plan. And guess what they have planned for you? Not much.” – Jim Rohn 5️⃣ Can You Wait for the Green Traffic Light? Patience is a cornerstone of trading success. Waiting for the right setup and following your plan with discipline ensures long-term profitability. Self-discipline isn’t innate—it’s built over time. Commit to your plan, refine your strategy, and trust the process. “The market pays you to be disciplined.” 6️⃣ Are You Committed to Long-Term Goals? Just as a long-term relationship or fitness journey requires dedication and focus, so does trading. Jumping from one strategy to another only leads to inconsistency. If your strategy is profitable, stick with it. Master it. Repetition and consistency turn your strategy into a money machine. Successful trading is supposed to be boring. Embrace the grind. 7️⃣ Do You Finish Your Popcorn Before the Movie Starts? If patience isn’t your strength, trading might test you. Most of your time as a trader is spent waiting—for setups, for trades to play out, and for profits to materialize. “The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.” – Warren Buffett 📚 The Takeaway Trading isn’t just about charts and strategies—it’s a test of your psychology, discipline, and patience. As we welcome the New Year, let’s focus on improving not just our trading skills but also our mindset. A strong foundation in trading psychology leads to better decision-making and long-term success. Work on your human psychology, develop your risk management, and commit to the journey. Remember, successful traders are made, not born. Here’s to a successful and prosperous trading year ahead! 🎉 You’ve got this! Let’s make 2025 your best trading year yet. ~ Rich
Education
by TheSignalyst
28
How to Identify a Bearish Reversal in Gold Trading In this article, I will explain to you 4 efficient strategies to identify a bearish reversal with technical analysis in Gold trading. You will learn price action, SMC and technical indicator strong bearish signals. First, let me remind you that different bearish signals may indicate a different magnitude and a degree of a potential reversal. While some signals will be reliable for predicting short term reversals, some will be more accurate in projecting long-term ones. One more thing to note is that one of the best time frames for bearish reversal confirmations on Gold is the daily . So, all the cases that will be explained will be on a daily time frame strictly. XAUUSD Bearish Reversal Signal 1 - Bearish Price Action Pattern. One of the perfect indicators of the overbought state of a bullish trend on Gold is bearish price action patterns. I am talking about classic horizontal neckline based patterns like head & shoulders, inverted cup & handle, double/triple top and descending triangle. Typically, these patterns leave early bearish clues and help to predict a coming downturn movement. A strong bearish signal is a breakout of a horizontal neckline of the pattern and a candle close below. The price may continue falling at least to the next key support then. Above is the example of a head and shoulders pattern on Gold, on a daily. Its formation was the evidence of the overheated market. Bearish breakout of its neckline confirmed that, and the price continued falling. Bearish Reversal Signal 2 - Rising Channel Breakout. When the market is trading in a healthy bullish trend, it usually starts moving with the boundaries of a rising channel. It can be the expanding, parallel or contracting channel. Its support will represent a strong vertical structure, from where new bullish waves will initiate after corrections. Its breakout will quite accurately indicate a change of a market sentiment and a highly probable bearish reversal. Look at this rising parallel channel on Gold chart on a daily. The market was respecting its boundaries for more than 3 months. A bearish violation of its support was an accurate bearish signal that triggered a strong bearish movement. Bearish Reversal Signal 3 - Change of Character & Bearish Price Action. One of the main characteristics of a bullish trend is the tendency of the market to set new higher highs and higher lows. Each final high of each bullish impulse is always higher than the previous. Each final low of each bearish movement is also higher than the previous. In such a price action, the level of the last higher low is a very significant point. The violation of that and a formation of a new low is an important event that is called Change of Character CHoCH. It signifies the violation of a current bullish trend. After that, one should pay attention to a consequent price action, because CHoCH can easily turn into just an extended correctional movement. If the market sets a lower high and a new lower low then, it will confirm the start of a new bearish trend. That is the example of a confirmed Change of Character on Gold on a daily. To validate the start of a new bearish trend, we should let the price set a lower high and a form a bearish impulse with a new lower low. Bearish Reversal Signal 4 - Death Cross. Death cross is a strong long-term bearish reversal signal that is based on a crossover of 2 moving averages. On a daily time frame, it is usually based on a combination of 2 Simple Moving Averages: one with 50 length and one with 200 length. The signal is considered to be confirmed when a 50 length SMA crosses below 200 length SMA. It is commonly believed that it signifies that the market enters a long-term bearish trend. On the chart, I plotted 2 Moving Averages. When the blue one crosses below the orange one, a global bearish trend on Gold will be confirmed The 4 bearish signals that we discussed will be useful for predicting short term, mid term and long term bearish reversals on Gold. While price action patterns will indicate local bearish movements, Death Cross will confirm a global trend change. Learn to recognize all the signals that we discussed to make more accurate trading and investing decisions. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
11
Is another big crash coming ?This chart displays the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) monthly candlestick data alongside its 200-month simple moving average (SMA), highlighting significant historical declines and their characteristics. Here's the analysis: Key Observations: 1. Bearish Phases (Highlighted in Blue Boxes): Major drawdowns over the years are shown, with the percentage drop, the number of bars (months), and the trading volume involved. These events align with historical financial crises or economic downturns: 2000-2003 (-36.94%): Reflects the Dot-Com bubble burst. 2007-2009 (-52.12%): Represents the Global Financial Crisis. 2020 (-37.58%): Associated with the COVID-19 pandemic shock. 2. Recovery Time: The recovery periods vary significantly: Dot-Com Bubble: Took 37 bars (1,127 days). Financial Crisis: Longer with 18 bars (548 days) of drawdown and prolonged recovery beyond the charted downturn. COVID-19 Crash: Shortest at 2 bars (58 days) due to rapid monetary intervention. 3. Trends and Momentum: The 200 SMA provides a clear indicator of long-term trend stability: Downturns saw temporary breakdowns below the SMA, followed by robust recoveries. Overall, the index reflects an upward trend over the decades. RSI (14) Indicator: RSI peaks correlate to market highs; lows often match oversold conditions in major bear markets. 4. Market Volatility and Volume: A noticeable spike in volumes coincides with large bearish moves (e.g., 2007-2009 and 2020 crises), signifying panic-driven trading activity. Recent periods (2020 onwards) show high volatility, accompanied by strong rebounds. --- Conclusions: Historically, even severe bear markets have seen the DJIA recover and continue its long-term uptrend, which aligns with the principle of compounding returns and economic growth. The market tends to break its long-term SMA during extreme crises but eventually recovers. Current RSI values suggest the market may not yet be overheated, but caution is advisable given previous patterns. Would you like a deeper technical analysis or possible forecasting based on this data?
DJ:DJIEducation
by AnkurDasTrader
Master High-Probability Breakouts with the GOLDEN Trading SystemWelcome to the GOLDEN Trading System (GTS) – a custom-designed strategy tailored for traders seeking high-probability breakout opportunities. Built on the foundation of TradingView's powerful indicators, GTS focuses on leveraging Camarilla Pivot Levels (H3-H4 and L3-L4) to spot and act on potential market trends. Whether you're a beginner or an experienced trader, this system simplifies the complexity of technical analysis, giving you an edge in the markets. Core Elements of the Strategy. 1. Key Levels to Watch: Green Band (H3-H4): Represents a resistance zone where bullish breakouts are likely to occur. A confirmed breakout above H4 often leads to a strong upward trend. Red Band (L3-L4): Acts as a support zone, signaling potential bearish moves when broken. A confirmed breakdown below L4 generally triggers a downward trend. 2. The Breakout Concept: When the price crosses either of these bands, it indicates a potential shift in market dynamics: Bullish Breakout: Price breaks above the Green Band, suggesting buyers have gained control. Bearish Breakout: Price breaks below the Red Band, signaling sellers have the upper hand. Why This Strategy Works? High Probability: Camarilla Pivot Levels are widely respected by traders, making breakouts from these zones more reliable. Trend Confirmation: The system minimizes false signals by focusing on specific breakout levels instead of broader zones. Clear Entry/Exit Points: You can easily determine when to enter a trade and set stop-loss or take-profit levels. How to Use the GOLDEN Trading System? Identify the Bands: Look for the Green Band (H3-H4) and Red Band (L3-L4) on your chart. Watch for Breakouts: Enter a long position when the price closes decisively above the Green Band (H4). Enter a short position when the price closes decisively below the Red Band (L4). Manage Your Risk: Use the opposite band (L3 or H3) as a stop-loss level to protect your trade. Consider trailing your stop-loss as the trend progresses. Add Confirmation: For greater accuracy, combine this strategy with other tools such as volume spikes, candlestick patterns, or higher timeframe trend analysis. Case Study Example: Take a closer look at the chart provided: The price broke below the Red Band (L3-L4), confirming a bearish breakout. Post-breakout, the price continued its downtrend, offering a high-reward opportunity for short-sellers. By adhering to the system's clear breakout rules, you could have entered the trade early and capitalized on the trend with confidence. Benefits of the GOLDEN Trading System: Simplicity: Focuses on straightforward rules, making it beginner-friendly. Consistency: Reduces emotional trading by adhering to defined breakout zones. Scalability: Works across multiple timeframes and markets, including indices, stocks, and commodities. Pro Tip for Advanced Traders: Combine GTS with volume analysis, RSI divergence, or moving averages to add layers of confirmation to your trades. This helps filter out false breakouts and improves your win rate. Join the GTS movement and elevate your trading game today! Share your feedback, results, and tweaks to make the strategy even better. Happy trading! 🚀
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by thejamiul
How to tell which swing high/low will hold?In this video I attempt to give a little bit of insight into determining which swing high or low will hold based on the current location of price in relation to the candle formations (PD Arrays) on multiple timeframes. I will be analyzing GOOG (Google) with the limited info in terms of past price action, as most of the chart is in a continuous uptrend. However, I do my best to determine the possible trajectory of price in the coming weeks. - R2F Trading
NASDAQ:GOOGEducation
by Road_2_Funded
1
Reversal Trading Strategy Using GOLDEN RSI Divergence Indicator Overview Reversal trading strategies capitalize on identifying turning points in the market where a potential reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend, or vice versa, occurs. In this post, I will introduce a strategy based on divergence patterns spotted with a custom RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator. This method enhances traditional RSI analysis by making divergence detection clearer and actionable. By combining it with a strong understanding of price action, traders can gain an edge in timing market reversals effectively. Key Features of This Strategy Divergence Analysis: The core of this strategy is to identify bullish or bearish divergences between the RSI and price action. Custom RSI Indicator: The custom RSI indicator simplifies divergence detection by highlighting critical levels and marking divergence points directly on the chart. Confluence with Price Action: Reversals are validated using trendlines, support/resistance zones, and candlestick patterns. Chart Example: S&P 500 Index In the attached chart: Bullish Divergence: The price made lower lows, while the RSI made higher lows (indicated by green arrows). This divergence signaled weakening bearish momentum and potential reversal. Entry Point: A clear breakout above the trendline validated the reversal. Enter long positions near this breakout level. Stop Loss: Place the stop loss just below the recent swing low. Target Profit: Aim for the next major resistance zone or use a fixed risk-reward ratio (e.g., 1:2 or 1:3). How to Spot Divergence Bullish Divergence: Price forms lower lows. RSI forms higher lows. This indicates waning bearish pressure and a potential upward reversal. Bearish Divergence: Price forms higher highs. RSI forms lower highs. This suggests weakening bullish pressure and a possible downward reversal. Why This Strategy Works Strength of RSI Divergence RSI divergence reflects the loss of momentum in the current trend. By detecting it early, traders can position themselves ahead of major reversals. Combining Confluence Factors The success rate of this strategy increases when RSI divergence aligns with other technical factors like: Horizontal support or resistance levels. Trendline breaks. Volume spikes. Practical Tips for Using This Strategy Use Multiple Timeframes: Confirm divergence signals on higher timeframes for stronger setups. Avoid Overtrading: Only act on clear and validated divergence setups to minimize false signals. Risk Management: Never risk more than 1-2% of your trading capital on a single trade. Conclusion This custom RSI-based divergence strategy is a powerful tool to identify high-probability reversal setups. When combined with proper risk management and confluence analysis, it can significantly improve trading outcomes. Start experimenting with this strategy on your demo account and refine your approach before deploying it in live markets. If you have questions or want to discuss this further, feel free to comment below!
SP:SPXEducation
by thejamiul
20
VARAUSD vs MATICUSD - This is a bull flagIf you only trade the VARA chart without understanding how the market is trading within the lines of correlation, you will mistaken one pattern for another. The two market patterns I have circled are both bull flags. The problem is that VARA has a much lower amount of liquidity i.e. standing buy orders to support lower order walls. This causes patterns on this chart to become smeared. This is why a trader must always compare against correlated assets. Which is why my chart will often have Polygon right up next to VARA even though VARA is probably going to show a little tigher correlation with Polkadot. It is a preference I. DXY, USDX, and a number of other indexes correlate to Bitcoin however often either against or with and overall doesn't change much on the daily. It doesn't take long to see correlation since often whenever USDX or DXY goes up JPYUSD or BTC will fall. Reverse correlation most of the time although JPYUSD has been a bad example overall since that asset typically tanks long term. And going back to the current chart, the chart patterns are ugly and the overall market structure is full of volatility, fear and greed. I use this to my advantage.
COINBASE:MATICUSDEducation
by fritbjorn