XAUUSD 1H - Consolidations Trading Setups - C.I.R.C. MethodThe chart above showcases various consolidations and their formation dynamics.
Consolidation, Initiation, Retracement, Continuation (CIRC)
Consolidations
What are “consolidations”?
Consolidations, often labeled as “ranges” in mainstream trading, hold a deeper meaning at T.T.T. Here, consolidations are the playgrounds of the BFI, zones where prices oscillate between highs and lows, as illustrated below. Within these confines, intentions simmer as BFI stack orders to propel future price movements. We confidently trade consolidations, fully aware of the intricate dynamics unfolding within the market’s underbelly.
Chart Patterns
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 17/06/2024 Following a successful trading week, we approached our trading desks in high spirits, eagerly anticipating the start of the trading session. While our week included trading FX:EURUSD , FX:GBPUSD , OANDA:NZDUSD we’re showing this classic example using $AUDUSD. At 8:25 AM EST, we began the day by running through the essentials on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which includes:
- Setting the timezone to New York time
- Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Identifying the high and low of the zone
Now that our zones are demarcated, we anticipate a liquidity sweep on either side of the trading zone, as this will assist in establishing a bias for the trading session. Liquidity was taken at the lows after 5 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential buying opportunities.
To increase the likelihood of success of our trades, we wait for a break of structure (BOS) towards the buy side. Once the BOS occurs, we anticipate price to retrace to the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) created during the formation of the leg that broke the structure.
We patiently waited for price to retrace into the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and executed our trade upon the closing of the first candle that entered the FVG, as all the conditions on our checklist for trade execution were satisfied.
Ideally, our stop loss should be set at the low of 0.65854, but that would place our stop loss at approximately 6 pips, which is too tight for our strategy. Extensive backtesting has shown that tight stop losses are often triggered before price reverses and moves in our intended direction. Consequently, we have implemented a minimum stop loss of 10 pips for all our trades.
After executing the trade, we experienced a minor drawdown for approximately 25 minutes before price shifted in our favor. During the drawdown, we remained calm as we had only risked 1% of our trading account with the goal of achieving a 2% return.
Price was progressing well in our direction, and all that was required of us was patience for the Take Profit (TP) to be reached. We expected to be in this trade for roughly 8 hours and 6 minutes, so we stayed composed and had faith in our strategy.
After 3 hours and 50 minutes, our Take Profit was triggered, and our patience paid off as we hit our target on AUDUSD, resulting in a 2% gain from a 1% risk on the trade.
Monitoring and AdjustingMonitoring and adjusting in gold trading involves continuously tracking your investments and the overall market to ensure your strategy remains effective. Regularly review your portfolio’s performance and compare it against your set objectives and benchmarks. Stay informed about market trends, economic news, and geopolitical events that can impact gold prices. Adjust your strategy as needed, which may include rebalancing your portfolio, modifying entry and exit points, or updating risk management measures like stop-loss orders. This ongoing process helps you stay responsive to market changes and maintain alignment with your trading goals and risk tolerance.
Choosing a Trading PlatformChoosing a trading platform for gold trading is a crucial step to ensure a smooth and secure trading experience. Look for a platform that offers robust security features to protect your investments and personal information. The platform should provide real-time data and market analysis tools to help you make informed trading decisions. Low transaction fees are important to maximize your profits. Additionally, the platform should have a user-friendly interface and reliable customer support to assist you when needed. By selecting the right platform, you can enhance your trading efficiency and overall experience.
3 technical reasons for the growth of #Bitcoin ?!This post has an educational aspect, and in it I checked the reasons and conditions for the growth of Bitcoin based on different time frames
1-The first reason (daily time frame):
Hitting two key daily time frame supports
1- Daily timeframe pivot level (pivot indicator)
2- Midline of the descending channel
Hitting support, especially support of higher timeframes, can lead to positive reactions and growth.
Important note: Pay attention to the shadows involved. As you can see in the photo above, after hitting the pivot support, the daily candle formed a long lower shadow. which must be closed under this shadow to fall. That is a difficult thing
2- The second reason (4 hours time frame):
Formation of a falling wedge pattern on the support of a higher timeframe (previous photo)
Important point: when the downward trend before the wedge pattern consists of 3 waves, the validity of the wedge pattern for reversal is higher
3- The third reason (4-hour time frame):
Triple divergence:
If the orange and blue lines of the MACD indicator cross again, the triple divergence is confirmed and the possibility of forming a bottom doubles.
This post is educational in nature and you are responsible for any investment decisions.
Thank you for your support
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 49 - GBPSGD - (18th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing GBPSGD, starting from the 3-Month chart.
If you want to learn more, check out my profile.
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 48 - HKDTWD - (18th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing HKDTWD, starting from the 3-Month chart.
If you want to learn more, check out my profile.
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 47 - USDTWD - (18th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing USDTWD, starting from the 4-Month chart.
If you want to learn more, check out my profile.
Intraday Trading Strategy With Breakout FilterIntraday Trading Strategy With Breakout Filter Overview:
This strategy is the combination of two scripts:
1. Intraday Trading Script : It exclusively for M1 and M15 timeframes.
2. Breakout Filter Script: It works at all timeframes.
Note: Please read the explanation details about the script respectively.
EMA lines help to understand market sentiment and identify potential support or resistance levels.
MACD indicator is added to help confirm potential entry points based on momentum.
Setup:
Use TradingView's multi-chart layout feature, setting a minimum of two charts per layout (M1 and M15). Three charts (M1, M15, and DTF) are preferable.
Add the Intraday Trading Script and Breakout Filter scripts to the layout.
Note:
In this example, the lowest timeframe to publish the trading idea publicly is M15. Therefore two chart in the layout is chosen for M15 and DTF. The optimum setup is M1, M15 and DTF.
During Market Hours:
Check the TOP GAINERS list for active counters.
In TradingView:
1. Verify if the price has already broken the SnR line on the M15 chart.
2. The Breakout Filter must also appear, with a minimum of Filter 2. If Filter 3 appears at M1, M15, or DTF, it shows even stronger upward momentum.
3. If these two are valid, long entry can be considered. TAYOR.
EMA 9 can represent a strong support at M15.
Intraday trading requires high discipline. Follow the planned Risk to Reward ratio for entry/exit.
TAYOR.
ZONES AND MULTIPLE ENTRY INSIGHTSometimes the zone is right but requires at least three chances for correctness.
So take the chance when the setup is right. The first bullish engulfing was stopped out but the second came through.
When price is in a zone, even if you have placed a trade, stay vigilant to recognize another signal to enter more positions if your risk management plan can accommodate multiple entries in one pair.
SWING TUTORIAL - SHARDACROPA typical Convergence Divergence is in play here.
Stock is also in a Long term Lower Low Pattern formation.
Could this Convergence Divergence indicate a breakout from the Lower Low Trendline?
Or is the price going to go down further?
Give your comments in the Comments Section below:
Options Blueprint Series: Swap Strategies for High VolatilityIntroduction
CME Group Gold Futures have always been a cornerstone in the commodities market, offering investors and traders a way to hedge against economic uncertainties and inflation. With the current market environment exhibiting heightened volatility, traders are looking for strategies to capitalize on these fluctuations. One such strategy is the Straddle Swap, which is particularly effective in high volatility scenarios.
By utilizing the Straddle Swap strategy on Gold Futures, traders can potentially benefit from price swings driven by news events, economic data releases, and other market-moving occurrences.
Strategy Explanation
The Straddle Swap strategy is designed to capitalize on high volatility by leveraging options with different expirations. Here’s a detailed breakdown of how this strategy works:
Components of the Straddle Swap:
1. Buy one call option (longer expiration)
This long call option benefits from upward price movements in Gold Futures.
2. Sell one call option (shorter expiration)
This short call option generates premium income, which offsets the cost of the long call option. As it has a shorter expiration, it benefits from faster time decay.
3. Buy one put option (longer expiration)
This long put option benefits from downward price movements in Gold Futures.
4. Sell one put option (shorter expiration)
This short put option generates premium income, which offsets the cost of the long put option. It also benefits from faster time decay due to its shorter expiration.
Rationale for Different Expirations:
Longer Expirations: The options with more days to expiration provide a longer timeframe to capture significant price movements, whether upward or downward.
Shorter Expirations: The options with less days to expiration decay more quickly, providing premium income that reduces the overall cost of the strategy. This helps mitigate the effects of time decay on the longer-dated options.
Market Analysis Using TradingView Charts:
To effectively implement the Straddle Swap strategy, it’s crucial to analyze the current market conditions of Gold Futures using TradingView charts. This analysis will help identify optimal entry and exit points based on volatility and price trends.
The current price action of Gold Futures along with key volatility indicators. Recent data shows that the 1-month, 2-month, and 3-month Historical Volatilities have all been on the rise, confirming a high volatility scenario.
Application to Gold Futures
Let’s apply the Straddle Swap strategy to Gold Futures given the current market conditions.
Identifying Optimal Entry Points:
Call Options: Buy one call option with a 100-day expiration (Sep-25 2024) at a strike price of 2370 @ 64.5. Sell one call option with a 71-day expiration (Aug-27 2024) at the same strike price of 2370 @ 53.4.
Put Options: Buy one put option with a 100-day expiration (Sep-25 2024) at a strike price of 2350 @ 63.4. Sell one put option with a 71-day expiration (Aug-27 2024) at the same strike price of $2350 @ 52.5.
Target Prices:
Based on the relevant UFO support and resistance levels, set target prices for potential profit scenarios:
Upper side, target price: 2455.
For put options, target price: 2260.
Potential Profit and Loss Scenarios:
Scenario 1: Significant Upward Movement
If Gold Futures rise sharply above 2370 within 100 days, the long call option will generate a potentially substantial profit. The short call option will expire in 71 days, limiting potential losses.
Scenario 2: Significant Downward Movement
If Gold Futures fall sharply below 2350 within 100 days, the long put option will generate a potentially substantial profit. The short put option will expire in 71 days, limiting potential losses.
Scenario 3: Minimal Movement
If Gold Futures remain relatively stable, the premiums collected from the short options (71-day expiration) will offset some of the cost of the long options (100-day expiration), minimizing overall losses. Further options could be sold against the long 2350 call and long 2350 put once the shorter expiration options have expired.
Specific Action Plan:
1. Initiate the Straddle Swap Strategy:
Enter the positions as outlined above following your trading plan, ensuring to buy and sell the options at the desired strike prices and expirations.
2. Monitor Market Conditions:
Continuously monitor Gold Futures prices and volatility indicators.
Adjust or close the strategy if necessary based on significant market changes.
3. Manage Positions:
Use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
If the market moves favorably, consider exiting the positions at the target prices to lock in profits.
4. Reevaluate Periodically:
Periodically reevaluate the positions as the options approach their expiration dates.
Make any necessary adjustments to the strategy based on updated market conditions and volatility.
By following this type of trade plan, traders can effectively implement the Straddle Swap strategy, taking advantage of high volatility in Gold Futures while managing risk through careful monitoring and the use of stop-loss orders.
Risk Management
Effective risk management is crucial for success in options trading, particularly when employing strategies like the Straddle Swap. Here, we will discuss the importance of risk management, key techniques, and best practices to ensure that traders can mitigate potential losses and protect their capital.
Importance of Risk Management:
Minimizing Losses: Trading inherently involves risk. Effective risk management helps minimize potential losses, ensuring that a single adverse move does not significantly impact the trader’s overall portfolio.
Preserving Capital: By managing risk, traders can preserve their capital, allowing them to stay in the market longer and capitalize on future opportunities.
Enhancing Profitability: Proper risk management allows traders to optimize their strategies, potentially increasing profitability by avoiding unnecessary losses.
Key Risk Management Techniques:
1. Stop-Loss Orders:
Implementing stop-loss orders helps limit potential losses by automatically closing a position if the market moves against it.
For the Straddle Swap strategy, set stop-loss orders for the long call and put options to exit positions if prices reach predetermined levels where losses would exceed the desired trade risk set by the trader.
2. Hedging:
Use hedging techniques to protect positions from adverse market movements. This can involve purchasing protective options or futures contracts.
Hedging provides an additional layer of security, ensuring that losses in one position are offset by gains in another.
3. Avoiding Undefined Risk Exposure:
Ensure that all positions have defined risk parameters. Avoid strategies that can result in unlimited losses.
The Straddle Swap strategy inherently has limited risk due to the offsetting nature of the long and short options.
4. Precision in Entries and Exits:
Timing is crucial in options trading. Ensure precise entry and exit points to maximize potential gains and minimize losses.
Use technical analysis key price levels such as UFO support and resistance prices, and volatility indicators to identify optimal entry and exit points.
5. Regular Monitoring and Adjustment:
Continuously monitor market conditions and the performance of open positions.
Be prepared to adjust the strategy based on changing market dynamics, such as shifts in volatility or unexpected news events.
Additional Risk Management Practices:
Diversification: Spread risk across multiple positions and asset classes to reduce the impact of any single trade. Other liquid options markets could be WTI Crude Oil Futures; Agricultural products such as Wheat Futures, Corn Futures, or Soybean Futures; Index Futures such as the E-mini S&P 500 Futures; and even Bond and Treasury Futures such as the 10-Year Note or the 30-Year Bond Futures.
Position Sizing: Carefully determine the size of each position based on the trader’s overall portfolio and risk tolerance.
Education and Research: Stay informed about market conditions, economic indicators, and trading strategies to make well-informed decisions.
By incorporating these risk management techniques, traders can effectively navigate the complexities of options trading and protect their investments. Ensuring more precision with entries and exits, using stop-loss orders, and implementing hedging strategies are essential practices that contribute to long-term trading success.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
A Trading Plan Is Important For Success - Here Is MineIn this video we take a look at a trend continuation trading strategy. I explain my approach to trading how I identify a trend and what I look for for high probability trade opportunities. As always the information is for educational purposes only and not to be construed as financial advice.
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 46 - USDPLN - (17th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing USDPLN, starting from the 3-Month chart.
If you want to learn more, check out my TradingView profile.
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 44 - EURNOK - (17th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing EURNOK, starting from the 3-Month chart.
If you want to learn more, check out my TradingView profile.
Navigating Investment Decisions with Tradingview: Apple exampleHello,
Investing and trading can easily scare participants in most cases. However, the different tools that Tradingview offers can make the work easier for you the investor. In this case I will be using a candlestick chart, a closer look at the price action, The date & price range tool, The vertical line tool and a combination of the financial data provided on the TV platform.
1st, My goal is to seek to understand the company. This can be done on the tradingview platform. This is very important because it builds a base on how the company makes its revenue as well as how its costs would look like. As per the platform.
www.tradingview.com
Apple, Inc engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other variety of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific.
Investing is greatly an act of faith and understanding how the organization has performed in numbers is very key. Although this cannot be assurance that the company will keep performing that way in future, the Tradingview platform gives you a historical view of how the company has performed, its asset quality vs liabilities as well as the cashflow positions. The above for our specific company can be found here www.tradingview.com
Once you have understood the story of the company and linked your narrative to the numbers, very key is to understand key upcoming events for the company and also how investors have reacted to the share price over a considerable period of time.
Our company apple has ranged between prices of USD 165 & USD 200. This is since July 2023. The company continues to be in a range for that period and is currently trading at around USD 168.45. This gives us a great entry price since the company's fundamentals remain quite strong. Using the date & range tool shows us that the company took 99 days to move from price USD 198 to USD 166. This represents an erosion of -16% but still a short opportunity. The company then took 51 days to move back to its top of USD 198 per share.
Just by merely looking at how fast the company is rising when it hits our bottom is great to show that the upwards momentum is stronger. Using this I shall be looking for buy opportunities from our current level with my target at the top.
The vertical line is very key in helping us know where we begin our analysis.
Very key also to bring into the analysis is the aspect of risk management which helps us set targets as well as identify areas where we need to exit our trades & relook at our analysis once again.
Conclusion:
Tradingview offers powerful tools that empower investors to make informed investment decisions. By leveraging features such as financial data analysis, market sentiment tracking, technical analysis, and risk management, investors can navigate the complex world of investing with confidence. Using Apple Inc. as a case study, we've demonstrated how Tradingview's tools can enhance investment strategies and drive success in the dynamic financial landscape.
Swing Trading - Using Market Side and Opening Range FiltersSwing trading is a short-term strategy where traders aim to capitalise on small price movements within a financial instrument over a specific period. The goal is to capture gains from these "swings" in the market rather than focusing on long-term trends.
In this example, I am trading the GBP/JPY using the market side and the session opening range as filters to determine high probability trading direction:
Market Side: This helps to identify the overall trend or sentiment in the market.
Session Opening Range: This is the price range between the high and low during the initial period after the market opens. It is used to set reference points for potential entry and exit levels.
Here's a simple breakdown:
Below the Market Side and Opening Range: If the price is below both the market side indicator and the opening range, this signals a bearish sentiment, and you look for selling opportunities.
Above the Market Side and Opening Range: If the price is above both the market side indicator and the opening range, this indicates a bullish sentiment, and you look for buying opportunities.
I use the Charts247_WT Custom Indicator Candles for entries and exits, which provide specific signals to enter trades and exit existing positions. This combination of trend filters and entry signals helps improve your trades' accuracy and timing, aligning your actions with the broader market context.
Forex Market Liquidity: Analysis and Implications for TradersForex Market Liquidity: Analysis and Implications for Traders
The foreign exchange market is renowned for its dynamic and fast-paced nature. As traders navigate this landscape, understanding the concept of liquidity becomes crucial. In this article, we analyse its components, explore factors that influence it, measure and analyse its impact, discuss potential risks for traders, and present real-life examples to illustrate its implications.
What Is Liquidity in the Forex Market?
Liquidity in the forex market refers to the ease with which a currency pair can be bought or sold without causing a significant change in its price. Highly liquid assets are usually easily tradable, while less liquid assets may experience more considerable price fluctuations during transactions and bear higher spreads.
Liquidity Components
The liquidity of a currency pair is influenced by several factors, which traders need to consider when constructing a liquidity-proof trading strategy. These include the market depth, the bid-ask spread, and the trading volume.
- Market depth represents the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels in the order book. A deep market with many orders at different price levels typically suggests higher liquidity.
- The bid-ask spread is the difference between the highest price a buyer agrees to pay and the lowest price a seller agrees to accept. A narrower spread typically indicates higher liquidity, while a wider spread reflects lower liquidity. Traders often monitor the spread to gauge current conditions.
- Trading volume refers to the total number of currency units traded within a specified period. Higher trading volume generally indicates greater liquidity, signalling a robust trend. Low trading volume could indicate liquidity issues.
Risks for Traders Arising From Liquidity Levels in Forex
Liquidity is a crucial consideration for traders as it directly affects transaction costs and the ease of entering or exiting positions. High levels generally result in lower transaction costs and less slippage, providing traders with potentially more exciting conditions. Additionally, liquidity may contribute to price stability, reducing the impact of large trades on prices.
Low levels, on the other hand, can pose certain risks that traders must be aware of. In illiquid markets, larger trades can have a more pronounced impact on prices, potentially resulting in random price movements and unfavourable execution prices. Forex market liquidity implications suggest that low liquidity can lead to increased volatility, making it challenging to analyse price movements accurately. In low liquidity conditions, traders may also experience slippage and delays in order execution, impacting the efficiency of trades.
Factors Influencing Liquidity in Forex Trading
Various factors influence current market liquidity in the forex market, and understanding these dynamics is essential for traders:
- Market Participants: The presence of a diverse range of participants, including retail traders, institutional investors, and central banks, contributes to liquidity. A balanced mix of participants often leads to a more liquid market.
- Economic Indicators: Economic releases, such as employment data, GDP figures, and interest rate decisions, can significantly impact a currency’s trading activity. Traders often witness increased volatility before and after such data is released, affecting market liquidity.
- Time of Day: Forex operates 24 hours a day, five days a week. Volume varies depending on the time of day, with peak liquidity during the overlap of major trading sessions.
Forex Market Liquidity Indicators and Measures
Assessing quantitative metrics is a fundamental initial step in a profound forex market liquidity analysis. Let’s discuss some popular indicators which can help evaluate the liquidity level using the trading volume:
- On-Balance Volume (OBV): OBV assesses the strength of a price trend by evaluating the relationship between volume flow and price movements. Higher liquidity often accompanies stronger and more sustained price trends.
- Volume Oscillator: When the volume oscillator is positive or above a specific threshold, it indicates that the recent trading volume has been relatively high. This may suggest that there is more liquidity in the asset.
- Money Flow Index (MFI): The MFI considers trading volume as a component of its calculation. A high trading volume, when combined with significant price movements, can result in a higher MFI reading, indicating strong market participation and potentially higher liquidity. A low trading volume during price movements may result in a lower MFI reading, suggesting reduced liquidity and potentially less market interest.
Price Gaps: In illiquid markets, there are fewer participants and lower trading volumes. In such conditions, price gaps are more likely to happen and can be more substantial. With fewer participants, it becomes challenging to match buyers and sellers efficiently. As a result, a significant order or news event can lead to a notable price gap when the market reopens.
You can visit FXOpen and explore new trading opportunities for some of the most liquid currency pairs through the free TickTrader trading platform.
Real-Life Examples of FX Liquidity
To illustrate the importance of considering liquidity in a forex strategy and how it can impact trader behaviour, let’s consider some real-life examples:
The 2015 Swiss Franc Depegging
In 2015, the sudden decision by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to remove the Swiss Franc (CHF) peg against the euro had a profound impact on the forex. The depegging in January 2015 led to a sudden drop in value, causing not only an unprecedented shift in trading dynamics but also triggering a significant price gap. The market experienced a reduction in trading volume, highlighting the challenges of liquidity in the face of unexpected events.
High Volumes During Trading Session Overlaps
The EUR/USD currency pair experiences varying trading volumes throughout different global sessions, primarily influenced by the overlap of major trading hours. The chart below depicts the significant volume spikes occurring during the overlap between the European (UTC 08:00 - 17:00) and North American (UTC 13:00 - 22:00) sessions, commonly known as the "London-New York overlap." This period witnesses peak trading volumes, providing traders with optimal conditions for executing trades.
Takeaway
Understanding liquidity is paramount for traders navigating the complexities of the financial markets. By comprehending the components of trading activity and analysing influencing factors and their impact on real-life trading, traders may make more informed decisions to potentially reduce risks and optimise their trading strategies. You trade forex and commodity, stock, and index CFDs today by opening an FXOpen account!
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Understanding my SPY Cycle Patterns - Bottom-103This video highlights the Bottom-103 pattern and how price action (support/resistance/rejection) can be used to confirm and execute better trades.
This is something most traders will easily understand as a BOTTOM pattern reflects a possible bullish price trend - except when price rejects this setup and trends downward.
Learn how my SPY cycle patterns can help you become a better trader.