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Chart Patterns

A Renko Trading Strategy with Multiple IndicatorsThis study will walk through several concepts in analyzing crude oil. The primary chart type will be a Renko chart with the block size (ticks) set to 25 (0.25 in TV) and with a timeframe set to 15 minutes. The significance of timeframe is that in TV, it will take this amount of time for the price to maintain a full block change (25 cents) in order for it to be ‘printed’. In times of high volatility, a 15-minute window can allow for more than one block to print at the same time. While this may be a disadvantage in trading CL futures either day or swing trading, it helps filter out noise in the type of trading I do. The basic strategy I’m wanting to establish using this setup is the buying of options, either puts or calls, that are as near to the market as possible and to limit risk to a % of the value of the purchase price of the option. So, for example, if I pay $2,500.00 USD for a CLQ24 85 Call, I will limit my loss to 10% of that price should the market go against what I had expected. The chart setups and scenarios in this study will be based on Renko charts along with various indicators that will be discussed (for the most part individually). A view of 2024 based on the Renko setup. I will start with this basic view that has the Renko chart configured as outlined above with two linear regression drawings manually drawn on it. There is an indicator for LR which will follow each block change and change accordingly based on the lookback configuration. With the drawing tool, you can start and end the LR based on your strategy. In mine, I want to base the LR on price from a major low to a major high and then adjust based on if a new high or low is obtained. In this chart, I picked the low as that of late December (the first long black arrow). As an exercise, you can hit the new highs from this point to see how the LR adjusted and how future price flowed within it. There are two LR drawings on this chart; one with an upper and lower deviation set to 2/-2 and the second with a upper and lower deviation set to 1/-1 (these are the ones with dots for a boundary). In this specific chart, I’ve started with the latest high to be that on 01-March and with the LRs both extended to the right, you can see the price movement against these LR into the future. As price broke through the top of the LR recently, a new high was put in on 24-March and the adjustment of the LR will be shown next. With this new high confirmed, the LRs are both move to end at this high while keeping the original starting point the same. In this view, price pulled back to the top of the LR 1std and close here. With the LR extended, you can see where the mean is and a potential price target if just considering the LR itself. An expanded view of above: Next, I’ll introduce the DEMA and simple MA on the chart. There are two DEMAs added to the chart with one set to a period of 12 and one set to a period of 20. The significance of the two is that when the 12 (black on this chart) is above the 20 (red on this chart), then the trend is bullish and when the opposite, the trend is bearish. I use these two more for confirmation than for timing. If you study these, you’ll see that they lag for the most part but there are key times that they will provide insight to the direction of a market during times of consolidation. The next two indicators that I’ll introduce are the Stochastic and Directional Movement Index (DMI with the ADX). The experience of using these indicators on a Renko chart is like that on a candle chart except that the period is not for time but the number of bars that have been printed or committed. There are two Stochs used (5,3,3 and 25,3,3). The intent of the 5,3,3 is to provide a fast-moving change in momentum while the 25,3,3 is designed to provide insight to the momentum of the longer trend. Insight as to timing the entry and exit of trades may be possible with an in-depth understanding of the crossover of the 25,3,3 between the %k and the %d. The DMI can be used like it is against a candle chart but with settings at 5,5. This provides a faster moving indicator and, with some study, can determine the importance of the interactions between the 3 lines. There is one key aspect of this indicator with the Renko that works similar to the candle and that is of identifying pending consolidation of the market. In a traditional setup of the DMI on a candle chart, the settings are 14,14 and the line of 20 in the indicator is traditionally the line of strength. Meaning that when the ADX falling at or below the 20 line, then the trends are weak and the market is entering consolidation. During this time, the guidance from various sources is to look for patterns on the market and signs of a breakout. For the Renko charts, the are to watch for trend strength and consolidation is between the 35 and 20 area based on the analysis I’ve done. On the following chart, I’ve highlighted some of these areas of consolidation. Additionally, there is a notion of a high-swap of the +/-Dis which is when price has started moving strongly in one direction and then pivots to change direction and build into a strong trend from this. While in hindsight these look compelling, they can be difficult to trade in real-time, it’s difficult to differentiate between a high-swap and a future degradation of the trend that leads to consolidation. I think that the more reliable setup is finding the longer points of consolidation and prepare to trade in the breakout direction. As you can see on the close Friday, price has moved off of a new recent high and could now be trending down into a period of consolidation (if one were to use just the combination of the DMI and ADX). If you’ve not read “Secrets of a Pivot Boss” by Franklin O. Ochoa, I would encourage you to do so as it has many extremely valuable and innovative ideas in trading off volume, value, and pivots. The following discussions will be based on concepts from this book. The first covered will be that of volume area. I will not dig into the specifics of this but to just show one of the many indicators available in TradingView for these concepts. The volume indicators will work with Renko charts and the specific one I’m using allows me to set the increment of volume based on rows or ticks. I’ve chosen ticks and set the number to 5. With a 25 tick Renko chart, this will allow for a granularity of 5 rows per block for displaying the volume profile. In the chart below, I’ve highlighted a concept outlined in the book of the volume area that is extended out to the next trading day and is what forms the basis for 2-day volume area analysis. There are 6 scenarios that go with this analysis and the pink channels on the chart are intended to enable this view. The volume profile I’ve picked in the indicator is for the week so the analysis I do is for the week and not daily. One of the key setups from the book is an ‘inside day’ which you can see at the black arrow. An inside day is a day to watch for breakout (in this case it would be an inside week) and, after support was found, the price went higher. The last set of indicators that I’ll cover is the Camarilla Pivots. These too are covered in depth in the book referenced above as well as a wealth of details on the web. These pivots do not work on Renko charts so I will create a candle chart with an 8hr setting and then set up the monthly and yearly pivots on it. From this chart, I’ll copy key lines over to the Renko chart. This first chart is a view of the 25 tick, 15 minute chart going back to the beginning of 2024. I’ve labeled some of the key lines on this chart for both the year 2024 and the month of March. This is zoomed into the month of March. I believe a key concept that makes these pivots on the Renko with the timeframe powerful is the ability to see the tests that happen around the various pivots for both support and resistance. There is an entire trading strategy that is outlined in the book referenced above. The current price action seems to imply that price should come back to either the March R3 or the 2024 R3 (which is also the top of the value area for 2023). If price action does come back to these lines, careful attention should be paid to how support plays out and if a buying or selling opportunity arises from it. Next, I’ll provide a view with all of the reviewed items in one view. I’m standing aside on trading this for now until the current price action plays out and a cleaning view of potential trade comes into focus. Some observations considering what’s been discussed individually in this study: The DEMA is currently swapped to the bearish trend. The -DI is over the +DI which is a bearish trend. However, The ADX has been dropping to the 35 line but has not dropped in the 35 to 20 range to indicate a consolidation phase. The Stoch has not completely bottomed out long term and could see more downward movement. While price is at the top of the 1std of the LR, it could drop further. A drop and hold of the 2024 R3, March R3, top of the 2023 volume area, and the median of the current LR (all would be within proximity of each other) could be a strong buy setup. A break below these lines with an ensuing test from the bottom could be a strong sell setup. The relationship of the past two weeks’ volume area is bullish.
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by mxb1961
💰The #1 Commodity Market Watch📉🎢-- What you will hear in this video: -- 1-Learning how to trade commodities 2-Trend analysis 3-Support levels 4-Resistance levels 5-Market psychology -- And more... Watch this video to learn more -- **Disclaimer:** The information provided above or below is for educational and informational purposes only. -- It does not constitute financial advice, and trading always involves -- a risk of substantial losses, regardless of the margin levels -- used. Before engaging in any trading activities, it is crucial to -- conduct thorough research, consider your financial situation, -- and, if necessary, consult with a qualified financial advisor. Past -- performance is not indicative of future results, and market -- conditions can change rapidly. Trading decisions should be made -- based on careful analysis and consideration of individual -- circumstances. The user is solely responsible for any decisions made -- and should be aware of the inherent risks associated with trading in -- financial markets.
ICEUS:CC1!Education
by lubosi
2
3 Tips to Improve Your TimingTiming is everything in trading. The ability to enter and exit positions at the right moment can significantly impact your profitability. Here are three simple tips to help you enhance your timing and make better trading decisions: 1. Lower Your Execution Timeframe Lowering your trading timeframe can provide more precise insights into short-term market dynamics. Example: Combining Breakouts Maybe your trading strategy is buying breakouts from flag patterns on the daily candle chart that align with long-term uptrends. The best breakout trades occur simultaneously across multiple timeframes and achieve high levels of participation. Lowering your execution time frame to the 1hr candle chart can potentially help you to achieve a more precise entry. Flag Breakout Daily Candle Chart: Amazon (AMZN) Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Flag Breakout Hourly Candle Chart: Amazon (AMZN) Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Example: Timing Pullbacks Maybe your trading strategy is buying pullbacks on the hourly candle chart. A pullback on a higher timeframe is a downtrend on a lower timeframe. Traders can add precision to timing their pullbacks by looking for trend reversal patterns on lower timeframes that align with the higher timeframe trend. In the below example, a trader who buys pullbacks to the 20 – 50 period moving averages on the hourly candle chart could use trend reversal patterns on the 5min candle chart to precisely time their entry. Timing Pullbacks Hourly Candle Chart: GBP/USD Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 5min Candle Chart Adds Precision: GBP/USD Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 2. Use Pre-Alerts If you’ve been trading for a while, chances are you’re already utilising the valuable tool that is price alerts – ensuring you will be notified when a price hits a certain level. However, if you’re a momentum trader and setting price alerts at breakout levels, you may want to rethink where you’re placing your price alerts. The best breakouts are powerful, high-volume events where price is moving quickly. Placing an alert at the breakout level can make trading the breakout rushed and stressful – making for suboptimal timing. Pre-alerts are price alerts set at levels that prior to the breakout occurring. When used properly they have the potential to bring a number of benefits: Depth and Detail: Pre-alerts help you observe the breakout in real time. This can provide more detail about the breakouts conviction than if you’re only monitoring the market post breakout. Reduced Stress: A pre-alert ensures you are prepared and focused on execution prior to the breakout. This will reduce stress levels which should ultimately help you to make better decisions. Faster Execution: If you’re ready and at your desk prior to the breakout occurring, you stand a better chance of achieving a better entry price. 3. Combine Technical and Fundamental Catalysts Integrating technical analysis with fundamental catalysts can enhance your timing and decision-making process. Here are some practical strategies for combining catalysts effectively: Stay Informed: Stay updated on relevant market news, economic data releases, and corporate earnings announcements that may impact the markets you trade. Utilise financial news websites, economic calendars, and real-time news feeds to stay informed about upcoming events and their potential implications on market dynamics. Validate Technical Signals: Confirm technical setups with supporting fundamental factors. For example, if you identify a bullish chart pattern, look for positive news or fundamental developments that align with the pattern's bullish bias. Be Selective: Prioritise quality over quantity when selecting news events to incorporate into your trading analysis. By focusing on impactful catalysts, you can streamline your analysis process and allocate your resources more effectively to capitalise on the most promising trading opportunities. For more information on the power of combining technical and fundamental catalysts, check out our two-part Trade The News series (link at the bottom of the page). Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 84.01% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NASDAQ:AMZNEducation
by Capitalcom
How I got funded six figures with 1 trade!!Trading is tough when you're juggling a 9-5 job and trying to make it full time. With my strategy you can take a trade and wait a week and make 6% with only monitoring every few hours or so. What we have here is a clear uptrend, with a high volume order block which is isolated to one period of time meaning a whole lot of orders were created. We had a strong push down before big push up and I always believe we you will have a strong push down before a push up or a strong push up before a big push down. Follow for more
Education
by Theintuitontrader
BITCOIN Chart without inflation BTCUSD divided by the average of USDCNY, USDPKR, USDINR, USDNGN, and EURUSD, multiplied by 148.68. The number 148.68 is just a placeholder; don't worry about it. In this chart, I'm looking at the five biggest crypto countries: China, India, Pakistan, Nigeria, and Europe. These countries do a lot of cryptocurrency trading, so averaging their currencies gives us a clearer view. Right now, the chart shows that the price is staying about the same. The chart might be confusing because the value of the dollar is going down. We're at a really important point in the price movement. If we break past this point, the price will probably go up a lot. so watch out for this chart :) this is for educational purpose, it shows what else we can do with tradingview chart :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by CryptoSlazy
1
📍Part #2, Elliott Waves: "Motive Waves - Impulse".👩🏻‍💻 Welcome to the 2nd lecture on Elliott Waves. So, Elliott Wave Theory suggests that price behavior follows a wave structure, with three waves being impulse waves and 2 being corrective waves. It can be said that these 5 waves look like the image above. ➡️For example, let's take an upward impulse, where the impulse refers to all these five waves. We observe the first wave of growth, then the second wave is corrective to the first, meaning the second wave is specifically a correction for the first wave. Next, the third wave is a growth wave, the fourth is corrective for the third, and the fifth wave concludes the impulse. Following the completion of the impulse or the five-wave sequence, a correction occurs in the form of A, B, C. ➡️This entire structure is fractal, meaning that if our upward impulse has three waves, and they are also impulse waves, such as the first, third, and fifth, and as impulse waves, as we already know, consist of five waves, then each impulse within this larger five-wave sequence has the same structure of five waves. Furthermore, in the correction A, B, C, waves A and C also have a five-wave structure, but more on that in the next lessons. ➡️If you ask about the timeframes to work with waves, I would say that the 1-hour timeframe is the threshold below which it is not recommended to consider the structure! Next, I will describe the basic rules and regulations concerning impulses in the form of pictures, which are convenient to save and use as a hint when analyzing charts. ➡️Now let's consider some rules that are mandatory for all impulse movements. Rules An impulse always subdivides into five waves. Strong guidelines 📍Wave A almost always will alternate with wave B. Alternation can be expressed in two ways: 1) In the type of correction: sharp/sideways or vice versa 2) In the presence of extension: in waves 2 and 4 of the impulse, two sideways patterns are possible, but only one of them will have an extreme beyond the peak of the previous wave. 📍Wave 4, as a rule, significantly violates the channel formed by the subwaves of wave 3. 📍As a strong norm, no part of wave 4 should enter the price territory of wave 1 or 2. 📍As a strong norm, the peak of wave 4 should not extend beyond the doubled channel constructed from the peaks of waves 1, 2, and 3, while the midline of the channel will serve as the minimum achievable target. 📍Second waves of impulses tend to go beyond the previous fourth wave. When using this norm, the previous fourth wave serves as the minimum target. 📍Sometimes wave 5 does not move beyond the end of wave 3 (in which case it is called a truncation). 📍Often, waves 1 and 5 of the impulse form impulses, but more often they alternate in the type of motive waves: if wave 1 is an impulse, expect wave 5 in the form of a diagonal, and vice versa. Less commonly, waves 1 and 5 form diagonals, but in this case, alternation will be expressed in the form of a pattern: contracting/expanding. So there are also many other lesser indications, but they are too numerous and less frequent. Therefore, I recommend that we focus on the main ones for the time being. 📣This concludes the lecture on impulse waves. Save the images and practice. Next week I'll start talking about the Leading and Ending diagonals. 🔔 Links to other lessons in related ideas. 🔔
Education
by Hellena_Trade
11
Backtesting strategies using TradingView's replay featureBacktesting trading strategies using TradingView's replay feature is a valuable tool to evaluate the effectiveness of your strategy in different market conditions and timeframes. Here's a step-by-step guide on how to backtest strategies using TradingView's replay feature: **1. Define Your Strategy:** - Clearly define the rules and parameters of your trading strategy, including entry and exit conditions, stop-loss and take-profit levels, and any other relevant criteria. **2. Access the Replay Feature:** - Open the chart for the GBP/USD pair on TradingView. - Click on the "Replay" button located at the bottom of the chart. This will activate the replay feature, allowing you to scroll back and forth through historical price data. **3. Set the Timeframe and Date Range:** - Choose the timeframe (e.g., 1-hour, 4-hour, daily) that matches the trading frequency of your strategy. - Select the specific date range you want to backtest your strategy on. You can adjust the date range using the timeline at the bottom of the chart. **4. Apply Indicators and Drawing Tools:** - Apply any indicators, drawing tools, or overlays that are part of your trading strategy to the chart. - Ensure that the parameters of your indicators are set according to your strategy's rules. **5. Start the Replay:** - Begin the replay by clicking on the play button in the replay control panel. - You can adjust the playback speed using the speed slider to simulate different market conditions and trading environments. **6. Execute Trades:** - As the replay progresses, identify potential trade setups according to your strategy's rules. - Manually execute trades (open, close, or modify positions) based on your predefined entry and exit conditions. **7. Record Results and Observations:** - Keep track of the performance of each trade, including entry and exit prices, profit or loss, and any deviations from your strategy's rules. - Take note of any observations or insights gained during the backtesting process, such as areas of strength or weakness in your strategy. **8. Analyze Results and Refine Strategy:** - Analyze the overall performance of your strategy, including profitability, win rate, maximum drawdown, and risk-adjusted returns. - Identify areas for improvement or optimization based on the results of your backtesting. - Consider making adjustments to your strategy's parameters, entry/exit rules, or risk management techniques to enhance its effectiveness. **9. Repeat and Iterate:** - Repeat the backtesting process on different timeframes, market conditions, and historical periods to validate the robustness of your strategy. - Continuously iterate and refine your strategy based on feedback from backtesting results and real-time trading experience. By utilizing TradingView's replay feature for backtesting, you can gain valuable insights into the performance of your trading strategy and make informed decisions about its suitability for live trading.
Education
by FrankFx14
Options Blueprint Series: Straddle Your Way Through The UnknownIntroduction Options trading offers a dynamic avenue for investors to navigate the financial markets, and among the myriad of strategies available, the Straddle strategy stands out for its unique ability to capitalize on market volatility without necessitating a directional bet. This article, part of our Options Blueprint Series, zooms in on utilizing Options on S&P 500 Futures (ES) to employ the Straddle strategy. The S&P 500 index, embodying a broad spectrum of the market, presents a fertile ground for options traders to implement this strategy, especially in times of uncertainty or ahead of major market-moving events. Understanding S&P 500 Futures Options Options on S&P 500 Futures offer traders and investors a versatile tool for hedging, speculating, and portfolio management. These options grant the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the underlying S&P 500 Futures at a predetermined price before the option expires. Trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), these instruments encapsulate the market sentiment towards the future direction of the U.S. economy and stock market. Their popularity stems from the leverage they offer, alongside the efficiency and liquidity provided by the CME, making them an effective instrument for executing sophisticated strategies like the Straddle. The Core of the Straddle Strategy The Straddle strategy in options trading is a powerful method to exploit volatility. It involves simultaneously buying a call and put option on the same underlying asset, with identical strike prices and expiration dates. This non-directional strategy is designed to profit from significant price movements in either direction. For S&P 500 Futures options, this means traders can position themselves to benefit from market swings without trading the trends. The beauty of the Straddle lies in its simplicity and the direct way it captures volatility, making it a commonly used strategy in times of economic reports, earnings announcements, or geopolitical events that can trigger substantial market movements. Executing the Straddle Strategy on S&P 500 Futures Options Implementing a Straddle with S&P 500 Futures options involves a calculated approach. The first step is selecting the right expiration date and strike price, typically at-the-money (ATM) or near-the-market values of the ES options, to ensure a balanced exposure to price movements. Timing is crucial; initiating a Straddle ahead of anticipated volatility spikes can be more cost-effective, as option premiums tend to rise with increased uncertainty. Utilizing TradingView's comprehensive analysis tools, traders can gauge market sentiment, identify potential volatility catalysts, and choose the optimal entry points. Managing the trade requires vigilance, as the key to maximizing profits with a Straddle lies in the ability to respond adeptly to market shifts, possibly adjusting positions to mitigate risks or capture emerging opportunities. Market Analysis for Straddle Execution For a successful Straddle execution on S&P 500 Futures options, thorough market analysis is indispensable. Volatility, the lifeblood of the Straddle strategy, can be assessed using various technical indicators available on TradingView, such as the Average True Range (ATR) or the CME Group Volatility Index (CVOL). Economic indicators and scheduled events also play a crucial role. Traders should closely monitor the economic calendar for upcoming reports or news that could sway the market, adjusting their strategies accordingly. By analyzing past market reactions to similar events, traders can better predict potential price movements, enhancing their Straddle trade's effectiveness. Implied Volatility and CVOL Understanding Implied Volatility (IV) when trading Straddles is essential. IV reflects the market's expectation of a security's price fluctuation and significantly influences option premiums. Since the S&P 500 Futures is a CME product, examining CVOL could provide an advantage to the trader as CVOL is a comprehensive measure of 30-day expected volatility from tradable options on futures which can help to understand if options are underpriced of overpriced at the time of the trade. Strategic Risk Management for Straddle Trades Risk management is paramount in options trading, especially with strategies like the Straddle that involve multiple option positions. Setting predefined exit criteria can help traders lock in profits or cut losses, ensuring that one side of the Straddle does not negate the other's gains. It's also vital to consider the time decay (theta) of options, as it can erode the value of positions as expiration approaches. Utilizing stop-loss orders or adjusting the Straddle to a more defensive setup, like transforming it into an Iron Condor, are ways to manage risk. Moreover, traders must keep an eye on liquidity to ensure they can adjust or exit their positions without significant slippage. Case Study: Navigating Market Uncertainty with a Straddle on ES Options Let's examine a hypothetical scenario where a trader employs a Straddle strategy on S&P 500 Futures options ahead of a potential major expected movement as the S&P 500 gaps up significantly after making a new all-time high which may lead to an unsustainable market condition. The trader selects ATM options with a 50-day expiration, expecting a sharp price movement in either direction. Key S&P 500 Contract Specs Tick Size (Minimum Price Fluctuation): 0.25 index points, equivalent to $12.50 per contract. Trading Hours: Nearly 24-hour trading, starting from Sunday evening to Friday afternoon (Chicago times) with a 1-hour break each day. Cash Settlement: No physical delivery of goods; contracts are settled in cash based on the index value. Margin Requirements: Traders must post an initial margin and a maintenance margin, set by the exchange as a recommendation, to hold a position. These margins can vary based on market volatility and changes in the index value. Currently: $11,800 per contact. Trading Venue: S&P 500 Futures are traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). Access and Participation: Available to individual and institutional investors through futures brokerage accounts. Leverage and Risk: Futures offer leverage, meaning traders can control large contract values with a relatively small amount of capital, which also increases risk. Long Straddle Trade-Example Underlying Asset: E-mini S&P 500 Futures (Symbol: ES1!) Strategy Components: Buy Put Option: Strike Price 5200 Buy Call Option: Strike Price 5200 Net Premium Paid: 195 points = $9,750 Micro Contracts: Using MES1! (Micro E-mini Futures) reduces the exposure by 10 times Maximum Profit: Unlimited Maximum Loss: Net Premium paid Conclusion The Straddle strategy, when applied to S&P 500 Futures options, offers traders a potent tool to potentially profit from market volatility without taking a directional stance. By understanding the nuances of the S&P 500 Futures options market, meticulously planning their Straddle setups, and employing rigorous risk management practices, traders can navigate the complexities of the options landscape with confidence. Continuous learning and practice, particularly in simulated trading environments, are essential for refining strategy execution and enhancing trade outcomes. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by traddictiv
Finding MACD Crossovers On TradingViews Screener 2.0The MACD is one of the most often used indicators by traders of all levels due to its ability to communicate a wide variety of signals such as momentum, value, change of direction etc. Here is how to use TradingViews new 2.0 Screener to easily spot and get alerts for stocks that meet these conditions. If I was to make this video again, what I would do is instead of showing stocks that have JUST crossed today. I would show stocks that have crossed but are still below the zero line - so they may have had a couple of days of momentum to show the strength of the change in direction. You can of course take this same approach with pretty much any common indicator and settings you wish to apply. Hope its useful.
NASDAQ:AFRMEducation
by zAngus
4
Why You Should Never Hold on to Your Positions Beyond a CertainGood day, traders. I would like to take this opportunity to advise both new and experienced traders that holding onto your position indefinitely is not recommended. Based on percentage calculations, the return required to recover to break even increases at a considerably faster pace as losses grow in size due to compound interest. After a loss of 10%, a gain of 11% is needed to make up for it. When the loss is 20%, it takes a 25% gain to return to break even. To recover from a 50% loss, a 100% gain is required, and to reach the initial investment value after an 80% loss, a 400% gain is necessary. Investors who experience a bear market must understand that it will take some time to recover, but compounding returns will aid in the process. Consider a bear market where the value drops by 30% and the stock portfolio is only worth 70% of what it was. Suppose the portfolio increases by 10% to reach 77%. The subsequent 10% gains bring it to 84.7%. After two further years of 10% gains, the portfolio reaches its pre-drop value of 102.5%. Consequently, a 30% decline requires a 42% recovery, but a four-year compounding rate of 10% returns the account to profitability. I will be doing a second part of this post on the idea of "DOLLAR COST AVERAGING" (DCA). The math behind stock market losses clearly demonstrates the need for investors to take precautions against significant losses, as depicted in the graphic above. Stop-loss orders to sell stocks or cryptocurrencies that are mental or limit-based exist for a reason. If the market is headed towards a bear market, it will start to pay off once a particular loss threshold is reached. Investors occasionally struggle to sell stocks they enjoy at a loss, but if they can repurchase the stock or cryptocurrency at a lesser cost, they will like it. Never stop learning! I would also appreciate hearing your thoughts and opinions on the topic in the comment section. Thank you.
Education
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
A Basic Guide to Trading a Balanced Volume ProfileBasic Principles of Trading a Balanced Node Rule 1: Unless the price breaks and holds Value High or Value Low we should expect buyers and sellers to maintain the current balance. Rule 2: If we break and re-bid from Period Value High we should treat that level as supportive until it is reclaimed ( buy-side acceptance outside of balance) Rule 3: If we break and push away from Period Value Low we should treat that level as resistance on retest until it is reclaimed (sell-side acceptance outside of balance) Rule 4: If we recover Value Low and it becomes supportive we look for our Period POC and Period Value High as our targets above ( return to balance) Rule 5: If we fail to hold Period Value High and sellers make it resistance on re-offer we look for our Period POC and Period Value Low as targets (return to balance) Balance between Value Low and Value High will remain between buyers & sellers until we see a value shift and acceptance above/below on one of our "edges". Utilizing these rules we can look for opportunities around our Value Edges and have a better understanding how to trade around them.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by TheFinancialCloud
High Volume Times to Trade / Part 2 🔢Hello Traders welcome back to another concept video. This is the second video in our series -- High Volume Times to Trade -- We talk about 1) 4Hr Candle Opens/Closes 2) New York Stock Exchnage Open 3) London Close Scalping/Intra-day trading during these times, in my experience, can provide unique opportunities to profit on Eur/Usd. Similar to Part 1 of our series, these additional times to trade can provide that extra volume for 1) a nice continuation of the preceding trend 2) a short-term reversal of the preceding trend and 3) act as a catalyst for the beginning of a higher timeframe trend
Education
by ShrewdCatfx
TradingView Screener Update - Now with CHART views !!!This has to be one of the best updates on TradingView in a while - certainly from my perspective. The TradingView Screener was what initially brought me to using TradingView to be able to quickly and easily filter thousands of stocks down to just the handful that met my criteria and that I wanted to research further to look at investing in. If you have ever had to rely on signal services or other people to tell you what and when to buy and sell, I would STRONGLY recommend you spend some time on the screener. No matter how you like to trade - technicals, fundamentals, indicators, price action, RSI, MACD, volume etc etc, the TradingView Screener can quickly help you narrow down any stocks that meet your criteria. Well worth exploring. Great update by the team!
Editors' picks
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by zAngus
19
: Trade the News: Part 2 - ForexTitle bar: Trade the News: Part 2 - Forex Content: Welcome back to our two-part series designed on how to harness the additional volume and volatility that news breaths into the market. In part 1 we unveiled a 3-step template for trading scheduled newsflow effectively in the stock market, in part 2, we delve into the 24-hour world of forex trading. A News Trading Paradise The forex market, with its deep liquidity and 24-hour execution, stands as an ideal arena for news traders. Deep liquidity ensures minimal slippage, even during heightened market activity, giving traders a significant advantage. This abundance of liquidity allows for the accommodation of large order sizes without causing substantial price fluctuations. Operating 24 hours a day, five days a week, the forex market provides an uninterrupted trading environment. News can break at any time, offering traders a constant stream of opportunities. Whether it's the Asian, European, or North American trading session, the forex market is alive, creating a dynamic backdrop for traders to capitalise on global news events. Central Bank Bingo Forex markets, particularly major currency pairs, sway to the decisions of central banks and their monetary policies. In the game of 'central bank bingo,' the market closely analyses statements from major central banks like the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) or European Central Bank (ECB). Every word, tone, and nuance is scrutinised, comparing them to previous statements and underlying expectations. Key Types of Scheduled News Events in Forex Scheduled news events in forex primarily fall into two categories: economic data and central bank news. 1. Economic Data: Inflation Data: Central banks closely monitor inflation as it directly impacts monetary policy decisions. Gross Domestic Product (GDP): Forex traders track GDP releases to assess the overall economic health of a nation, influencing currency strength. Employment Data / Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP): Employment data, especially U.S. non-farm payrolls (NFP), is a significant indicator of economic health. This data is crucial for the USD and has a big impact on major currency pairs. 2. Central Bank News: Interest Rate Decisions: It goes without saying that interest rate decisions have a direct impact on currency values – a surprise rate hike or cut has the potential to create high levels of volatility. Central Bank Statements: Verbal cues from central bank officials play a pivotal role in guiding market expectations. Central bank statements provide insights into the thought process and considerations influencing monetary policy. Traders carefully analyse these statements for indications of potential policy changes. Central Bank Live Press Conference: Following an interest rate decision, the head of the central bank often conducts a live press conference. This event is considered the toughest to plan for, as it introduces an element of unpredictability. Central bank officials may provide additional context, clarification, or unexpected statements during the press conference, leading to potential curveballs that impact currency markets. Traders need to stay vigilant and adapt quickly to any surprises that may arise during this live interaction. Trading Forex: E.R.T. 3-Step Method Revisited Let's revisit the E.R.T. framework outlined in Part 1 and tailor it to forex trading. Step 1: Expectation: Understand theoretical and real-world expectations. Theoretical expectations are clearer in forex and easily obtained from financial calendar websites. Gauging real-world expectations involves recognizing signs of overbought/oversold conditions. Use higher and lower timeframes to gauge market expectations prior to a news event. Step 2: Reaction: Analogies of the damp firework, grower, or shock still apply. Beware of 'fakeouts,' where the market initially breaks in one direction before a sharp reversal. Step 3: Trade: Combine news-based catalyst with a technical catalyst to create a trade setup. Major forex pairs offer guaranteed liquidity, allowing exploration of lower timeframes like the 5-minute chart for precise entries. Have a small playbook of patterns that you are comfortable trading. For ideas, check out our Power Patterns series (link at bottom of the page). Case Study: EUR/USD: January Non-Farm Payrolls 1. Expectation Theoretical Expectations: Consensus analyst estimates for January NFP was 180k versus 333k the month prior. Average hourly earnings were expected to be 4.1 versus 4.4 the month prior, and the unemployment rate was expected to be 3.8% versus 3.7% the month prior. Market Expectations: Higher Timeframe (daily candle chart): On the daily candle chart, we can see that market positioning is relatively neutral / mildly bearish for EUR/USD – reflecting a slight disconnect to the theoretical expectations. Theoretical expectations are for a weak NFP number which would in theory send EUR/USD higher. However, the RSI is at the 50 mark and the market has formed a small descending channel in recent weeks – signalling mild levels of USD strength. EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Lower Timeframe (5min candle chart): Ahead of the release of the NFP data at 1:30pm UK time, we can see that the market is coiled in a tight range at the top of the descending channel. This indicates that the market is positioning for a weak / in-line NFP reading. We can assume that a strong NFP reading should see prices break swiftly lower. EUR/USD 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 2. Reaction The NFP number hits our screens, the number is 353k! A massive beat, Average Hourly Earnings (4.5%) and Unemployment Rate (3.7%) also beat theoretical expectations. On the 5min candle chart, the market prints a large bearish momentum candle – breaking below multiple levels of support. At this point we do not look to chase the market, instead we check our playbook for momentum continuation trades and look to take one of those setups. EUR/USD 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 3. Trade The trade setup we’re going for here is a pullback to anchored volume-weighted average price (VWAP). Using the Trading View anchored VWAP tool, we can anchored our VWAP to the NFP breakout. We look to sell into a pullback towards the anchored VWAP with stops placed above the swing highs on the 5min chart. Our target on the trade is the bottom of the descending channel formed on the daily candle chart. EUR/USD 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 84.01% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Education
by Capitalcom
"Introducing the 'FasterThanthePriceShadow' Principle: A Unique In the world of technical analysis, the Elliott Wave Principle has long been revered for its ability to identify market trends and predict price movements. However, in volatile markets, deviations from the traditional five-wave pattern can occur, often attributed to the powerful forces of fear and greed driving investor behavior. One such deviation that I've personally noticed is the occurrence of three-wave movements instead of the expected five within correction patterns, such as ascending triangles. This phenomenon challenges conventional Elliott Wave theory, where corrections are typically composed of three waves, while impulse waves consist of five. In volatile market conditions, the "FasterThanthePriceShadow" principle comes into play, reflecting the rapid and sometimes erratic behavior of market participants. Fear and greed can override the usual wave structures, causing corrections to be truncated or extended beyond what Elliott originally observed. When fear and greed dominate the market sentiment, investors may exhibit impulsive and irrational behavior, leading to incomplete or exaggerated wave formations. In the context of ascending triangles, this could manifest as a shorter consolidation phase or a more pronounced breakout, deviating from the traditional Elliott Wave guidelines. By acknowledging the influence of fear and greed on market dynamics, traders can adapt their strategies to account for these unpredictable movements. While Elliott Wave theory provides valuable insights, the "FasterThanthePriceShadow" principle reminds us to remain flexible and open-minded in our analysis, especially in volatile market conditions. As we continue to navigate the complexities of financial markets, incorporating alternative perspectives like the "FasterThanthePriceShadow" principle can enhance our understanding and decision-making processes, ultimately leading to more informed trading outcomes.
Education
by DataSeer_TB