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Chart Patterns

How are risk free trades done (a simple way)🟢 How are risk free trades done (a simple way) ✴️ Rationale The video shows how to take advantage of an incredibly famous chart pattern: 🥇 The TRIPLE BOTTOM chart pattern🥇 This pattern shows a strong support that have worked at least 3 times, and the video shows how to act when the 4th bottom is unfolding. The video shows how trade RISK FREE avoiding the risk as soon as the market allows you to do so. Step 1: Split Use 50% of your money for the risk free strategy and the other 50% to Take large profits. Step 2: Set up Stop Loss for both strategies Both strategies should share the Stop Loss, usually around 3 to 6% and trying to use some previous minimum/maximum prices to adjust. Step 3: Set up a Risk Free take profits The first 50% of your capital will have more or less the same Stop Loss and Take profits. Both will be around 3 to 6% of the buy level. If the take profits is hit, you earn enough to pay for the Stop Loss of the other 50%. Step 4: Find a reasonable Take profits for the returns strategy The other 50% of your money needs a take profits far away of the buy zone, meaning that you can potentially earn more than 3 times the risk. So at least find for 10% targets, if that's not posible this is not a feasible trade, there is too much risk. Always check previous support and resistance levels. Step 4: Enjoy There are 3 outcomes: 1. Both strategies do Stop Loss and you lose around 3 to 6% of the amount of the trade. 2. Your Risk free trade take profits work but your return strategy fail. this is a 0 to 1% return. 3. Both strategies work as expected giving you over 10% return on average. In the video you'll see opportunities in: NYSE:OXY 🟢 +10% trade finished (risk free gains) 🟢 +10% trade finished (risk free gains) 🔵 0% trade finished (risk free) 🟢 +25% unfolding (risk free phase) NASDAQ:DLTR 🟢 +15% trade unfolding (risk free phase) The idea: FX:EURUSD 🟢 200 pips trade unfolding (risk free phase) The idea:
NYSE:OXYEducation
by TopChartPatterns
Dollar's Rise, Gold's Demise◉ Abstract The US Dollar Index (DXY) and gold prices have a historically inverse correlation, with a stronger dollar typically reducing gold demand. Key drivers of this relationship include inflation, geopolitical tensions, and interest rates. With a 73-95% negative correlation observed over time, investors should note the current market outlook: the DXY is poised to break out above 107, potentially surging to 114, while gold prices may drop 5% to 2,400 and then 2,300. Understanding this dynamic is crucial for making informed investment decisions and capitalizing on potential trading opportunities. ◉ Introduction The relationship between the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and gold prices is significant and typically characterized by an inverse correlation. Understanding this relationship is crucial for investors and traders in the gold market. ◉ U.S. Dollar Index Overview The U.S. Dollar Index measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a basket of six major foreign currencies, including the euro, Japanese yen, and British pound. It serves as an indicator of the dollar's strength or weakness in global markets. When the index rises, it indicates that the dollar is gaining value relative to these currencies, while a decline suggests a weakening dollar. ◉ Inverse Relationship with Gold Prices Gold is priced in U.S. dollars on international markets, which directly influences its price based on fluctuations in the dollar's value: ● Strengthening Dollar: When the DXY index increases, it generally leads to a decrease in gold prices. This occurs because a stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for investors using other currencies, thereby reducing demand. ● Weakening Dollar: Conversely, when the DXY index falls, gold prices tend to rise. A weaker dollar makes gold cheaper for foreign investors, increasing its demand and driving up prices. Research indicates that this inverse relationship has been consistent over time, particularly in long-term trends. For instance, historical data shows that gold prices often rise when the dollar depreciates, reflecting a negative correlation of approximately 73% to 95% over various time intervals. ◉ Short-Term Deviations While the long-term trend supports this inverse relationship, short-term anomalies can occur under specific market conditions. For example, during periods of extreme volatility or economic uncertainty, gold and the dollar may exhibit a positive correlation temporarily as both assets are sought after as safe havens. This behaviour can confuse investors who expect the typical inverse relationship to hold. ◉ Additional Influencing Factors Several other factors also affect gold prices beyond the dollar's strength: ● Inflation: Rising inflation often leads investors to flock to gold as a hedge against currency devaluation. ➖ E.g. In 2022, as inflation rates surged to 9.1%, demand for gold increased by 12% year-over-year, pushing prices higher. Historical data shows that during periods of high inflation from 1974 to 2008, gold prices rose by an average of 14.9% annually. ● Geopolitical Events: Uncertainty from geopolitical tensions can drive demand for gold regardless of dollar fluctuations. ➖ E.g. In late 2023, escalating conflicts such as the Israel-Palestine situation and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war contributed to a surge in gold prices, with reports indicating increases of over 3% in a week due to these tensions ● Interest Rates: When the Fed raises interest rates, it typically strengthens the dollar as higher yields attract foreign capital. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, which can reduce demand. ➖ E.g. During the Federal Reserve's rate hikes from March 2022 to early 2023, many investors moved away from gold as they sought higher returns from bonds and other fixed-income securities. This shift contributed to downward pressure on gold prices during that period. ◉ Technical Standings ● U.S. Dollar Index TVC:DXY The US Dollar Index has been stuck in neutral for two years. But if it clears the 107 hurdle, get ready for a surge to 114. ● Gold Spot/USD OANDA:XAUUSD ➖ Gold prices skyrocketed to 2,790, then plunged. Expect a 5% drop to 2,400. If that support cracks, 2,300 is the next safety net.
TVC:DXYEducation
by NaranjCapital
DOGE/USDt: Famous Pattern Indicates Continuation To The Upside Falling peaks and rising valleys have built famous Triangle pattern on the hourly chart of DOGE/USDt. It's a consolidation after a big rally, which means more upside move is ahead. Watch the price to break out of the pattern. The target is located at the widest part of Triangle added to the break point. Its located at 0.533 Breakdown of Triangle would invalidate the pattern. RSI has managed to keep above the neutral point during this consolidation. This supports the idea of further move to the upside
Education
by aibek
EMA, The correct way of usage - Part Two - PullbackOur core belief in ARZ Trading System: Trading, is to have an "expectation" from the market. If not, at any movement, the trader will be confused! If you look at the market and don't have any expectations, don't trade! In a future article, we will discuss what to do if an expectation is not met. In the case of Pullback, Price is not a ball, and EMA (or any other kind of S&R) is not a brick wall, especially in this case. If you put an EMA with any period, you'll see that the price crosses it easily most of the time! Then, it might come back as a shadow or a Fake Breakout. This means we should have a confirmation system for accepting or rejecting a Pullback. Otherwise, we'll always see a pullback shaping! Key Note 1: the higher the EMA period is, the longer will take for a pullback to shape! Key Note 2: Never trust and trade based on just one S&R level! Always have at least 2 or 3 levels to confirm your pullback. Either in a classical way by drawing trendlines and channels, or using any kind of Indicator as a means of dynamic S&R level. Key Note 3: a flat EMA is supposed to break easily! If not, it'll reject the price strongly. It means we have to wait for what will happen at a flat EMA to decide what to do next or expect the price will breach it (Please refer to article part one). Key Note 4: An ascending EMA can only act as a support, and a descending one acts as a resistance, not the other way! This is critical, believe me! Accepted ways of confirming a pullback in the ARZ System are: 1. Wait for a strong reversal pattern to shape at S&R. Never jump the gun! 2. Use a Volume Indicator like WAE (Waddah Attar Explosion) to confirm your entry at the S&R level. In this chart: - Pullback #1 (Bearish Engulfing) is not accepted, because it's just based on one S&R (13EMA) and the reversal pattern closed near the support of MC. - Pullback #2 (Bullish Engulfing) is strong but closed near 100EMA. Can't trust it. - Pullback #3 is awesome! This is a multi-candle Evening Star (Key Note 1&2), of 100EMA & Resistance of UTP & MC. - Pullback #4 is again good but has closed near the low of MC and is risky to take.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by forexise
SPY Day Trading Using @mwrightinc Indicators Give a man a fish, and you feed him for a day. Teach a man to fish, and you feed him for a lifetime. In this video, I explain how I use 4 free TradingView indicators to identify entries on SPY. There is a lot of information out there about creating support and resistance zones. But, drawing reliable ones only comes with experience. In my 3 years of options trading and indicator building, I've found a few patterns that seem to work pretty reliably with SPY. Order blocks, and SPY price levels at $2.50 increments, are 2 of the most predictable. To capture price movements based on these, I explain how I use the QQQ and SPY Price Levels and Magic Order Blocks indicators with SPY options and /MES futures trading. Additionally, volume weighted average price (VWAP), plays an important role every day because institutional (large) investors commonly use it for entries and exits. It is a great gauge of daily trends. ATR bands (also known as Keltner Channels) can also provide an at-a-glance look at what can be expected of price action in the near future. To monitor these, I explain how I use the ATR Bands (Keltner Channels) SRSI and Wick Signals and Multi VWAP indicators. Specifically, how they were used on the 11/13/2024 Trading day. All of the indicators are free and open source, and were built with the goal of making everyone a better trader. I hope you find the content useful. - Mo
CME_MINI:MESZ2024Education
by mwrightinc
2
Retail Traders Are Waking Up | Here’s How to Spot the SignsWhy Are Our Parents Texting Us About Bitcoin? It’s Getting Weird Thanks to crypto,now I know my entire extended family and even my ancestors! Some of them hadn’t spoken to me in a thousand years, but now they’re calling me “Bruh” (And no, I’m not a vampire, by the way!) Here’s why I think a retail fueled wave might be about to hit the crypto market 1/ A spike in Google searches for "crypto" 2/ Coinbase App Store rankings The Coinbase app just shot up from #155 to #18 in two days 3/ Dogecoin and Squirrel on the rise Retail traders have a soft spot for Doge , Cardano and memecoins. Guess which top 10 tokens surged the most in the last week? bunch of retail traders who’ve held CRYPTOCAP:DOGE and CRYPTOCAP:ADA since the last bull run are probably getting alerts that their investments are bouncing back.(That’s one way to grab their attention) 4/ Bitcoin featured on Bloomberg's front page Mainstream news = mainstream visibility = more pump = more lambo! 5/ Texts from our parents ( Are you winning son? ) The unique skill of being both endearing and critical at once a true dad specialty 6/ Ronald McDonald has joined the chat… McDonald's just teased a new collaboration with Doodles (yes, the NFT project). It kicked off last week…Now, any one of these signs might not mean much alone But taken together, they start to tell a different story. Falling air pressure, strengthening winds, darkening skies… it looks like a retail storm might be on the horizon..Brace yourselves! The good news? This time might not be different. Earlier in the year, there was concern about a potential “left translated cycle.” (Translation: crypto prices rising faster than expected). At first, that sounds great! (Who wouldn’t want a quicker path to wealth?) But the catch is, the shorter the window for prices to peak, the harder it is to time safely (you’d have days instead of weeks or months to sell near the top) When Bitcoin reached all time highs ahead of the halving in March (a first), many traders started feeling “left-translated” jitters. If we stay on this track and hit the same average returns as the past three halving years, we could be looking at a ~$ 126k Bitcoin by year’s end! Here’s hoping this time really isn’t different! BTC just hit a new ATH again!! STOP
Education
by moonypto
Triple Bottom Pattern Tutorial: 5/8 Bullish Chart PatternsTriple Bottom Pattern Tutorial: 5/8 Bullish Chart Patterns A bullish triple bottom is a reversal chart pattern that signals the potential end of a downtrend and the start of an upward trend. Here's a breakdown: Three Lows: The pattern is characterized by three distinct lows that are roughly equal in price. These lows form after a significant downtrend, indicating strong support at that level. Rallies Between Lows: Each low is separated by two intermediate rallies that create peaks. These peaks form the resistance level known as the neckline. Neckline: The horizontal line connecting the highs of the intermediate rallies is called the neckline. This is a crucial resistance level that the price must break through to confirm the pattern. Breakout: A breakout above the neckline, typically accompanied by increased trading volume, confirms the triple bottom pattern. This breakout signifies a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Price Target: The expected price target is often calculated by measuring the distance from the pattern's lowest low to the neckline and projecting that distance upwards from the breakout point. Traders view the triple bottom as a strong indication that the selling pressure has been exhausted and that buyers are starting to gain control, suggesting a potential upward price movement.
AMEX:IWMEducation
by RonnieV29
4
Bullish Double Bottom Pattern Tutorial: 4/8 Bullish PatternsGive me the description for a bullish double-bottom A bullish double bottom is a powerful reversal chart pattern that signals the potential end of a downtrend and the beginning of an upward trend. Here’s how it forms: Two Troughs: The pattern starts with a significant price decline, forming a low (the first bottom). The price then rebounds to create a peak (the middle of the "W" shape) but soon declines again to form a second bottom roughly at the same price level as the first bottom. This double bottom resembles the letter "W." Neckline: The horizontal line that connects the peak of the middle rebound is called the neckline. This is a key resistance level that the price needs to break through to confirm the pattern. Breakout: A breakout above the neckline, typically accompanied by increased volume, confirms the double bottom pattern and signals a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. Price Target: The estimated price target for the upward move is usually determined by measuring the distance from the bottoms to the neckline and projecting this distance upwards from the point of breakout. Traders view the double bottom as a strong indication that the previous downtrend has exhausted and the bulls are gaining control, leading to a potential significant upward movement.
NYSE:SMREducation
by RonnieV29
2
Ascending Triangle Pattern Tutorial: 3/8 Bullish PatternsAscending Triangle Pattern Tutorial: 3/8 Bullish Patterns An ascending triangle is a bullish continuation chart pattern that signals the potential for an upward breakout. Here's how it forms: Flat Upper Trendline: The upper trendline is flat, indicating a resistance level where the price consistently faces selling pressure and fails to move higher. Rising Lower Trendline: The lower trendline is ascending, showing higher lows as buyers step in at increasingly higher prices. Price Convergence: The price action gets squeezed between the two trendlines, leading to a tightening range. Breakout: Eventually, the price breaks above the resistance level, indicating a continuation of the upward trend. This breakout is typically accompanied by a surge in volume. Ascending triangles are popular among traders because they offer clear entry and exit points. The height of the triangle, measured from the base to the horizontal resistance, can be used to estimate the potential price target following the breakout. LIKE l FOLLOW l SHARE
NASDAQ:METAEducation
by RonnieV29
6
Using a Hanging man candlewww.tradingview.com If you are knowledgeable about Candle patterns, you would know what a hanging man candle is. As defined by Steve Nison, it is a candle with small real body with a long lower shadow that is at least 2x the height of the real body, and MUST follow or be in an uptrend. A hanging man candle can be considered a potential bearish reversal if and only if there is bearish confirmation immediately following the hanging man candle itself. But, a bullish continuation candle immediately following the hanging man, can be a powerful bullish momentum signal. So, since we are hitting many highs in the markets, we here at Candlecharts.com use hangingman candles to see if we are getting a reversal, or continuation. So, since this has been working well, we continue to use Nison Candle Scanner to scan for these hanging man candles in multiple markets: www.candlecharts.com
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by NisonCandleScanner
Symmetrical Triangle Pattern what is it/ how to draw it? 2/8Symmetrical Triangle Pattern what is it/ how to draw it? 2/8 Bullish Charting Patterns A symmetrical triangle is a chart pattern that forms when the price of an asset converges with two trendlines that are moving towards each other, creating a triangular shape. Here’s how it works: Converging Trendlines: The upper trendline is formed by connecting the descending highs, and the lower trendline is formed by connecting the ascending lows. These trendlines converge at a point called the apex. Volume Decrease: As the pattern develops, trading volume typically decreases, indicating a period of consolidation and indecision in the market. Breakout: Eventually, the price breaks out from the triangle, which can occur in either direction – upwards or downwards. The direction of the breakout often dictates the future trend of the asset. Symmetrical triangles are considered continuation patterns, meaning they usually signal that the prevailing trend (upward or downward) before the pattern will continue after the breakout. Traders often use the height of the triangle (the distance between the initial high and low points) to estimate the potential price target following the breakout. Like l Follow l Share Stay tuned for the other 6 BULLISH CHARTING PATTERNS
NASDAQ:ULTAEducation
by RonnieV29
6
What is a BULL Flag Charting Pattern and How to draw it? 1/8This is video 1/8 of this series of BULLISH Chart Patterns. A bull flag is a continuation pattern that appears in a strong uptrend, signaling that the prevailing upward trend may continue. Here's how it looks: Flag Pole: A sharp, steep rise in price forms the flag pole. Flag: A period of consolidation with lower highs and lower lows, forming a flag that slopes against the prevailing uptrend. Breakout: A strong move upwards out of the flag, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. The bull flag pattern is popular among traders because it provides clear entry and exit points and is relatively easy to identify. It's a great indicator for momentum traders looking to capitalize on the continuation of a bullish trend. Like l Follow l Share Stay tuned for the other 7 BULLISH CHARTING PATTERNS
NASDAQ:GOOGEducation
by RonnieV29
14
Understanding GBPUSDToday we will be taking a closer look at understanding GBPUSD . GBP -no global business -risk currency -more linked to the UK economy, politics, central banking USD -global business currency -safe haven globally -Petrodollar UNDERSTANDING THE CURRENCY PAIR -we have to understand that within this pair “ GBPUSD ” one is a “ risk ” currency ( GBP ). ( USD ) is a “ safe haven currency ” and is also known as the world reserve currency. During times of economic uncertainty our doubt , or during any periods of times where we have more $ strength, which can be induced by the FED central banking, interest rate hikes and so forth, we will always have the $ dominate, even if the other currency can have some short term strength. THE USD IS THE WORLD RESERVE CURRENCY What does this mean? -this means that the majority of INTERNATIONAL business is denominated in USD. We can see this very relevant when we are looking at the OIL industry and how oil is always exchanged in USD. Hence the name “PETRODOLLAR”.
Education
by FxPocket
Finding Ranging Market Before Happening! (X Empire)In the heart of ARZ Trading System, is a candle that we call it MC (Master Candle). Any time that we see a candle that matches following description, most likely we will have a ranging market, with specified range of oscillations: 1. Candle itself is in the direction of the trend 2. Body of the next candle is within high to low of this candle 3. In the next candle(s), price could retrace most of the MC candle The main ranging area is the high to low of the MC candle. The exact size of this area, from high to upper is UTP (here $0.00062), and from low to lower is LTP (here $0.00011). This means price could fluctuate between these levels. If market is going to continue the trend (here is uptrend), price should break the UTP level and continue strongly.
Education
by forexise
Practical Application of Order Blocks in Trading🔸In trading, especially in the context of institutional and supply-demand-based strategies, order blocks, imbalances, breakers, and entry points are all critical elements for spotting potential high-probability trade setups. Here’s a breakdown of each: 1. Order Blocks 🔸Definition: Order blocks are areas where large institutional orders (by banks, funds, etc.) are believed to have been placed, often leading to sharp price movements. These typically form after a period of consolidation, when a large entity enters the market to create momentum in a particular direction. Types: ▪️Bullish Order Block: An area where institutions have placed buy orders, resulting in an upward price move. It’s generally identified by a down candle (in a bullish trend) before a strong upward move. ▪️Bearish Order Block: An area with concentrated sell orders, leading to a strong price decline. It’s marked by an up candle (in a bearish trend) before a sharp downward move. ▪️Use in Trading: Traders look for price to return to these areas as potential entry points, expecting the area to act as support (for bullish order blocks) or resistance (for bearish order blocks). 2. Imbalances 🔸Definition: Imbalances (also called Fair Value Gaps or FVG) occur when there is a strong price movement in one direction, leaving a "gap" in liquidity. ▪️IThis happens when there’s more demand or supply than what the current orders can fulfill, leading to a price spike. ▪️Identification: Look for consecutive candles moving in the same direction without much overlap in their wicks. This often leaves a gap between the high of one candle and the low of the next. ▪️Use in Trading: Since price often "rebalances" itself, traders may expect price to return to this area before continuing its trend, using it as a potential point for entries in the direction of the larger trend. 3. Breakers 🔸Definition: A breaker is a failed attempt at reversing a trend, usually involving a break of structure that indicates a reversal but then fails, with price moving back in the original trend's direction. Types: ▪️Bullish Breaker: When a downtrend is invalidated, but instead of continuing downwards, price reverses back up. The previous support level that price broke and closed below may now act as a support zone. ▪️Bearish Breaker: When an uptrend is invalidated, but price moves back down, often causing previous resistance to act as resistance again. ▪️Use in Trading: Breakers are often used to identify failed reversals where traders might enter in the direction of the initial trend, as these zones tend to have strong support or resistance. 4. Bullish and Bearish Breakers in Trading Bullish Breaker: ▪️A level created after a failed bearish structure, turning into support as the price breaks upward. Look for confirmation of price moving above this level, with entry points often at or just above the zone. Bearish Breaker: ▪️A level created after a failed bullish attempt, creating a resistance zone as price breaks lower. Traders enter trades when price retests this breaker level and shows signs of rejection. 5. When to Enter Trades ▪️Order Block Entry: Look for price to return to an order block zone (after creating it), confirming it as a valid area of support or resistance. Confirmation methods include candlestick patterns or lower timeframe support/resistance creation. ▪️Imbalance Entry: Price may "fill" imbalances, and traders can look to enter as price retraces to this level with signs of rejection or confirmation. Watch for candles rejecting at the edge of the imbalance zone. ▪️Breaker Entry: Wait for price to test the breaker zone and show signs of rejection, typically with a smaller time-frame entry trigger (like a lower high or low in structure). ▪️Risk Management: When entering trades based on these points, place stops beyond the zone or recent high/low, and target areas of the next significant support/resistance or opposite liquidity pools. 6. Tips for Effective Use 🔸Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Check higher timeframe levels for stronger order blocks or breakers and use lower timeframes to refine entry. 🔸Wait for Confirmation: Often, a test of these areas with a reversal candlestick pattern (like a pin bar or engulfing candle) on a lower timeframe will provide better entries than immediately entering. 🔸Volume Confirmation: Higher volume in these areas can suggest more institutional interest and improve the chance of a successful trade. 🔸Mastering these concepts involves observing how price interacts with these levels across different market conditions, which enhances accuracy over time.
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
18
Smart Money Market Structure Order Block Trading🔸The principles of "smart money" trading focus on understanding the behavior of institutional investors, often referred to as "smart money," to make informed trading decisions. By analyzing market structure, order blocks, supply and demand zones, and market cycles, traders aim to predict price movements and make profitable trades. Here’s a breakdown of these key concepts and how they interact: 1. Market Structure Market structure is the fundamental flow of price movement, typically defined by highs and lows that indicate trends. The market can be seen in three primary states: ▪️Uptrend: Characterized by higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). ▪️Downtrend: Defined by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL). ▪️Consolidation (Range-bound): Prices oscillate between a support (demand) and resistance (supply) level. ▪️Understanding market structure helps traders identify when a market is trending or ranging, which is essential for timing entries and exits. 2. Order Blocks Order blocks are areas on a price chart where large institutional traders, like banks and hedge funds, execute significant orders. These blocks often indicate strong levels of support or resistance due to the substantial buying or selling activity. ▪️Bullish Order Block: Typically found before a strong upward move. It's the last bearish (down) candle before the price rallies, signaling a demand zone. ▪️Bearish Order Block: Typically found before a strong downward move. It's the last bullish (up) candle before the price drops, indicating a supply zone. ▪️Order blocks provide clues to where "smart money" has entered the market, suggesting areas where price may return for liquidity and where retail traders may find good entry points. 3. Supply and Demand Zones Supply and demand zones are similar to support and resistance levels but with a focus on identifying imbalances. They represent areas where supply (sellers) and demand (buyers) are significantly unbalanced: ▪️Demand Zone: A price range where buyers are strong enough to prevent further price drops. This often corresponds to an area of support. ▪️Supply Zone: A price range where sellers have historically stepped in to prevent further price increases, serving as resistance. ▪️Prices often revert to these zones due to liquidity needs, creating entry points for trend continuations or reversals. 4. Lower Highs (LH) and Higher Lows (HL) These are essential markers in identifying trend changes: ▪️Lower Highs (LH): In a downtrend, the price fails to reach a previous high, indicating seller dominance and potential continuation of the downtrend. ▪️Higher Lows (HL): In an uptrend, the price creates higher lows, suggesting that buyers are gradually gaining strength, signaling a continuation of the uptrend. These structural points help traders understand potential trend reversals or continuations. 5. Accumulation and Distribution Phases These phases are critical to the Wyckoff Market Cycle: ▪️Accumulation: This phase represents a period where "smart money" accumulates positions at low prices. It typically occurs after a downtrend and is characterized by a consolidation or sideways price movement. This phase often signals a future uptrend. ▪️Distribution: This is the phase where institutional players offload positions after a significant price increase. Like accumulation, distribution appears as consolidation, often preceding a downtrend. ▪️Accumulation and distribution are often analyzed using volume patterns and price action to gauge when a trend may begin or end. 6. Market Cycles (The Wyckoff Theory) Market cycles are a sequence of phases that price undergoes over time. According to Wyckoff’s methodology, there are four phases: ▪️Accumulation: Institutions build positions, often at a market bottom. ▪️Markup: After accumulation, the price starts to increase as demand outstrips supply. ▪️Distribution: Institutions sell off their positions, often at the top of the cycle. ▪️Markdown: Price declines as supply overwhelms demand, leading to a downtrend. ▪️Understanding these phases allows traders to anticipate potential turning points, which is critical in smart money trading. Applying These Principles in Trading The smart money trading approach uses these principles collectively: 🔸Identify Market Structure: Determine whether the market is trending or ranging, then identify order blocks, supply and demand zones, and significant highs and lows. 🔸Recognize Key Levels: Watch for accumulation and distribution phases at these levels, helping to anticipate likely future movements. 🔸Confirm with Volume: Use volume analysis to confirm accumulation or distribution activity. 🔸Set Entries and Exits at Smart Money Zones: Utilize identified order blocks and supply/demand zones to enter trades with the trend (markup or markdown) or exit before a reversal. 🔸By combining these elements, traders seek to align with the strategies of institutional investors, capturing trends early and minimizing exposure during less favorable periods.
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
12
SWING TUTORIAL - ABSLAMCIn this tutorial, we analyze the stock NSE:ABSLAMC (Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limited) identifying a lucrative swing trading opportunity following its all-time high in Oct 2021. The stock declined by nearly 57%, forming a Lower Low Price Action Pattern, but subsequently reversed its trend. At the same time, we can also observe the MACD Level making a contradictory Pattern of Higher Lows. This Higher Low Pattern of the MACD signaled the start of a Bullish Momentum, thereby also signaling a good Buying Opportunity. The trading strategy yielded approximately 114% returns in 63 weeks. Technical analysis concepts used included price action analysis, MACD, momentum reversal, trend analysis and chart patterns. The MACD crossover served as the Entry Point, with the stock rising to its Swing High Levels of 720 and serving as our Exit too. As of wiring this tutorial, we can also notice how the stock is making a breakout and retest of the Swing High levels and trying to continue its momentum further upward trying to make a new All Time High. KEY OBSERVATIONS: 1. Momentum Reversal: The stock's price action shifted from a bearish to a bullish trend, indicating a potential reversal. 2. MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line showed steady upward momentum, signaling increasing bullish pressure. 3. MACD Crossover: The successful crossover in May 2023 confirmed the bullish trend, creating an entry opportunity. TRADING STRATEGY AND RESULTS: 1. Entry Point: MACD crossover in May 2023. 2. Exit Point: Swing High Levels - 720. 3. Return: Approximately 114%. 4. Trade Duration: 63 weeks. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS CONCEPTS USED: 1. Price Action Analysis 2. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) 3. Momentum Reversal 4. Trend Analysis 5. Chart Patterns NOTE: This case study demonstrates the effectiveness of combining technical indicators to identify bullish momentum. By recognizing Price Action, MACD movements, and Reversal patterns, traders can pinpoint potential entry and exit points. Would you like to explore more technical analysis concepts or case studies? Share your feedback and suggestions in the comments section below.
NSE:ABSLAMCEducation
by thepranam
Best Price Action Pattern For GOLD Trend Following Trading This bullish pattern is very powerful . Being spotted on a daily/4h/1h, any time frame, it will help you to accurately predict a strong bullish movement on Gold . In this article, I will teach you to identify a buying volumes accumulation on Gold chart and as a bonus, I will show you how I predicted a recent bullish rally with this price action pattern. The initial point of this pattern will be a completion point of a strong bullish impulse. At some moment, the price finds a strong horizontal resistance, stops growing and retraces. The second point of the pattern will be a completion of a retracement. It should strictly be a higher low - it should be higher than the low of an initial bullish impulse. After a retracement, the price should return to a horizontal resistance and set an equal high , that will be the third point of the pattern. Then, the price should retrace AT LEAST one more time from a horizontal resistance and set a new higher low. After that, the price should set one more equal high. 3 equal highs and 2 higher lows will compose a bullish accumulation pattern. Please, note, that the price may easily set more equal highs and more consequent new higher lows and keep the pattern valid. Above is the example of a bullish accumulation pattern on Gold on an hourly time frame. The price set 3 equal highs and 3 consequent higher lows. This pattern will signify the weakness of sellers and the accumulation of buying volumes. The point is that each consequent bearish price movement from a resistance is weaker than a previous one. It means that fewer sellers are selling from the resistance and more buyers start buying, not letting sellers go lower. In our example, we can clearly see the consequent weakening, bearish price movements. This pattern indicates a highly probable breakout attempt of the resistance. A candle close above that provides a strong bullish signal. The broken resistance will turn into support and will provide a safe point to buy the market from. In our example, the market broke the underlined horizontal resistance and closed above that. It indicates the completion of a bullish accumulation and a highly probable bullish trend continuation. You can see that Gold retested a broken structure and then a strong bullish wave initiated. In a strong bullish market that we currently contemplation on Gold, this bullish pattern will provide a lot of profitable trading opportunities. No matter whether you are scalping, day trading or swing trading Gold, this bullish accumulation pattern will help you to predict long-term, mid-term and short-term bullish movements. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
The U.S. Election: Why Investor Psychology Outweighs Politics?As the 2024 U.S. presidential election between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris draws to a close, discussions on its potential impact on the stock market are intensifying. The common belief is that elections like these have significant influence on market direction, with some expecting substantial shifts based on which candidate emerges victorious. Yet at Vital Direction, our perspective is that the market’s underlying forces—those stemming from social mood, collective psychology, and well-established cycles—play a far greater role than any singular political event. The Market’s Independence from Political Events There exists a widespread assumption that major political events, such as presidential elections, are central drivers of long-term market trends. This belief, though popular, fails to account for the market’s inherent self-direction. Stock markets don’t respond as simply as a cause-and-effect model would suggest; instead, they operate according to internal patterns and psychological shifts within the investor community. The Elliott Wave Theory offers an invaluable lens into this perspective. Developed as a way to understand market movements, it proposes that markets progress in identifiable cycles driven by waves of investor optimism and pessimism. These waves transcend individual events and reflect broader, longer-term patterns. Whether in response to an election or any other newsworthy event, the market’s primary direction remains bound to these underlying cycles, not to short-lived political fluctuations. Elections: Short-Term Volatility, Not Long-Term Direction The 2024 election will no doubt introduce some degree of short-term volatility. Markets may experience fluctuations in response to immediate reactions, whether from policy expectations or from shifts in investor sentiment. However, such volatility is more indicative of temporary emotional responses than a change in the overall trend. Historically, markets have witnessed reactions to elections, but these are typically fleeting. A notable example is the 2016 election: though it spurred temporary market movement, the longer trend was driven by broader cyclical forces, unaffected by any one political outcome. This view echoes what is outlined in Socionomic theory, which suggests that markets are less about reaction to events and more about reflecting the underlying social mood. This perspective implies that it is not political events but rather the collective psyche of investors that drives market cycles. In other words, while elections can spark volatility, they do not chart the course of long-term market movement. The Role of Investor Psychology and Cycles At Vital Direction, we place considerable emphasis on investor psychology as the core driver of market behaviour. Techniques such as Elliott Wave Theory and technical analysis allow us to understand this psychology in action, mapping market movements as a series of waves that reflect collective emotional shifts. Whether optimism, fear, or greed, these emotions unfold in repeating cycles, showcasing the natural rhythm of the market. Likewise, Socionomics further reinforces the concept that social mood—bullish optimism or bearish fear—shapes markets from the ground up, regardless of political events. By viewing the market through this lens, we see that people’s collective psychology builds self-perpetuating cycles that continue regardless of transient events. This view aligns with the insights of technical analysis, including the application of Fibonacci retracements and Hurst cycles, which help reveal recurring investor cycles. These analytical methods enable us to anticipate market behaviour based not on who wins an election but on how collective sentiment evolves over time. Tools like these reveal that the stock market has its own rhythm, largely impervious to the outcomes of political events. Concluding Thoughts: The Market’s Own Path To conclude, the U.S. presidential election, while undoubtedly an important social and political event, has a limited impact on the stock market’s overall direction. Political events might momentarily capture the headlines and trigger brief volatility, but the primary market trend persists, following its own inherent cycles. Whether Trump or Harris wins, we at Vital Direction expect the market to continue adhering to its established patterns, driven by the deeper forces of investor psychology. For investors, understanding this can be a powerful tool amidst the noise of election speculation. By focusing on the patterns and cycles inherent to investor psychology, traders can engage the market with a clear view that looks beyond short-term fluctuations, aligning instead with the stable, cyclical forces that guide the market’s enduring direction. In short, trust in the cycle, not the headlines. The market’s true course is set not by elections but by the collective sentiment of those who invest in it.
SP:SPXEducation
by VitalDirection
Fundamentals and Strategy... The key.The result is clear and obvious, several factors had to be taken into account when operating this movement, first of all, the time had to be taken into account, it was still early to enter and I made them clear, then the fundamentals, the Yesterday I had announced in the morning that if Trump won, the movement would not only be upward but that we would break maximums and I had no doubts. and finally the fomo, where there was a sector divided between bulls and bears. I simply analyzed those 3 factors and waited for my zone, the last one was at the lowest point of the SL. Now? corrections and up, does the bullrun start? We'll see, since that would consist of movements of more than 5k per day
Education
by CriptoSolutions
1
Intra-Day Strategies: Part 1 – Mean ReversionWelcome to a three-part series on intra-day trading, a focused and fast-paced trading approach that, when executed with precision, can sharpen your trading skills and deepen your market understanding. We’re starting with mean reversion, a method centred on spotting price overextensions and profiting from quick corrections. What is Intra-Day Trading? Intra-day trading involves capturing small, rapid price movements through a series of trades opened and closed within the same day. Unlike swing traders or position traders who wait for larger price moves, intra-day traders zoom in on micro-movements around key levels in the market. They capitalize on the cyclical nature of price volatility, harnessing expansion phases that follow periods of contraction. While this style can be rewarding, it demands quick decision-making, refined technical skills, and strict risk management. It offers the chance to gain valuable experience and refine trading accuracy through regular practice. Pros and Cons of Intra-Day Trading Before diving into the mean reversion strategy, it’s helpful to consider some unique aspects of intra-day trading. Pros: Intra-day trading offers frequent trading opportunities, especially in volatile markets, providing the potential for steady profits. It also allows traders to refine their skills in real-time, building expertise at a faster pace than longer-term strategies. Cons: This style requires intense focus and continuous monitoring, which can be mentally demanding. The frequency of trades can also increase transaction costs, which may impact profitability if trades aren’t carefully planned. Mean Reversion Strategy The Elastic Band Effect Think of mean reversion like an elastic band. When a price is pushed too far from its “normal” level—perhaps by a sudden burst of buying or selling—the band stretches. Eventually, that tension snaps back, pulling the price toward its mean. Mean reversion traders aim to capture this snapback, profiting from the return to the average. The key is to spot when the band is overstretched and position yourself to capture the correction. Spotting Mean Reversion Setups on the Chart In mean reversion, timing and precision are essential. Here’s a three-step approach to identifying setups for this strategy: Level Identification: Start by identifying a clear support or resistance level, like the previous day’s high or low. The more timeframes that confirm this level, the stronger the opportunity for an intra-day trade. Such levels attract price reactions, especially when volatility is high. RSI Divergence: Use the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to spot divergences at overbought or oversold levels. If the price is pushing toward a key level while RSI diverges from the trend, this signals that the “elastic band” is overstretched. For example, if price reaches a strong resistance while RSI diverges downward, a pullback is likely. Candlestick Patterns: When levels and RSI align, watch for candlestick patterns as entry signals. Key patterns include: • Fakeout: When price briefly pierces a level before reversing, signalling that the trend might stall or reverse. • Engulfing Pattern: A strong reversal sign where a candle “engulfs” the prior one, indicating momentum has shifted. • Double Top/Bottom: A pattern where price hits a level twice before reversing, suggesting resistance or support is holding firm. Combining these three elements creates a high-probability setup, allowing traders to capitalize on short-term corrections effectively. Example: EUR/USD In this example, we’re using the 5-minute chart for clarity, though trades can be executed on lower timeframes, depending on market conditions. The first entry setup (labeled Fakeout 1) forms as the market tests the prior day’s high, with RSI divergence indicating a possible snapback. A second opportunity (Fakeout 2) appears on a retest, where both the price pattern and RSI continue to align for a high-confidence entry. EUR/USD 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Stop Placement and Trade Management Intra-day traders must pay careful attention to stop placement and management, as short-term moves can quickly go against you. In a mean reversion setup, stops are generally placed just beyond the key level identified in step one. For example, if entering at resistance, place a stop just above that level to protect against a breakout. For trade management, keep these principles in mind: • Initial Target: Aiming for a 1:1 or 1:1.5 risk-to-reward ratio potentially allows for more frequent profit-taking, which can build up over time. • Trailing Stops: As price moves in your favour, a trailing stop helps secure gains. This allows you to capture more profit while staying protected against a reversal. • Exit Triggers: Be prepared to exit if the price quickly re-approaches your entry level or if RSI and candlestick patterns begin to weaken. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. 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Education
by Capitalcom