The Greatest Opportunity of Your Life : Answering QuestionsThis video is an answer to Luck264's question about potential price rotation.
I go into much more details because I want to highlight the need to keep price action in perspective related to overall (broader) and more immediate (shorter-term) trends.
Additionally, I try to highlight what I've been trying to tell all of you over the past 3+ years...
The next 3-%+ years are the GREATEST OPPORTUNITY OF YOUR LIFE.
You can't even imagine the potential for gains unless I try to draw it out for you. So, here you go.
This video highlights why price is the ultimate indicator and why my research/data is superior to many other types of analysis.
My data is factual, process-based, and results in A or B outcomes.
I don't mess around with too many indicators because I find them confusing at times.
Price tells me everything I need to know - learn what I do to improve your trading.
Hope you enjoy this video.
Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Chart Patterns
ICT Concepts for FX and GOLD traders: 2025 edition🔍 ICT (Inner Circle Trader) is a trading methodology developed by Michael J. Huddleston. It focuses on market structure, smart money concepts (SMC), and how institutions manipulate liquidity to trap retail traders.
📚 It's not about indicators or over-complication — it's about reading the price action like a pro, understanding where liquidity is, and trading with the banks, not against them.
📐 1. Market Structure
Understand Highs & Lows: Identify break of structure (BOS) and change of character (CHOCH)
Follow the macro to micro flow: D1 > H4 > M15 for precision entries
🧱 2. Order Blocks (OBs)
An order block is the last bullish or bearish candle before a major price move.
Banks and institutions place large orders here.
Smart traders look for price to return to these areas (mitigation), then enter with tight stop losses.
👉 Think of OBs as institutional footprints on the chart.
💧 3. Liquidity Zones
Equal highs/lows, trendline touches, support/resistance — these are liquidity traps.
ICT teaches that price often hunts liquidity before reversing. That’s why many retail traders get stopped out.
Learn to trade into liquidity, not off it.
🔄 4. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)
Also called imbalances — when price moves too fast and leaves gaps.
Price often retraces to "fill the gap" — a key entry point for ICT traders.
🥇 ICT for Gold & Forex in 2025
💰 Why It Works for XAUUSD & Majors:
Gold is a highly manipulated asset, perfect for ICT-style trading.
It responds beautifully to liquidity grabs, order blocks, and Asian–London–New York session transitions.
Forex majors (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, etc.) are also ideal since they’re heavily influenced by institutional flow and news-driven liquidity hunts.
🕐 Timing Is Everything
Trade Killzones:
📍 London Killzone: 2AM–5AM EST
📍 New York Killzone: 7AM–10AM EST
These are high-volume sessions where institutions make their moves.
📈 Typical ICT Setup
▪️Spot liquidity zone above or below recent price
▪️Wait for liquidity sweep (stop hunt)
▪️Identify nearby order block or FVG
▪️Enter on a pullback into OB/FVG
▪️Set tight SL just past the recent swing
Target internal range, opposing OB, or next liquidity level
👨💻 Why FX/GOLD Traders Love ICT
✅ It’s clean, no indicators, and highly logical
✅ Great for part-time trading — 1 or 2 trades a day
✅ Feels like "leveling up" your understanding of the market
✅ Perfect for backtesting and journaling on platforms like TradingView or SmartCharts
✅ Easy to integrate into algo-based systems or EAs for semi-automation
If you’re tired of indicators and guessing, and want to trade like the institutions, ICT is a game changer. In 2025, more prop firms and traders are applying ICT concepts to dominate markets like gold, forex, and even crypto.
🧭 Master the method. Understand the logic. Ride with the smart money.
🔥 Welcome to the next level of trading.
Master the Market with These 5 Wave Trading RulesHello,
In any business, rules are the backbone of success, providing the structure and discipline needed to thrive. Trading and investing are no exceptions—they must be treated with the same seriousness and rigor as any entrepreneurial venture.
As a wave trader, I rely on a refined set of rules that blend technical analysis with Wave Theory to understand market behavior. Wave trading is a powerful strategy that analyzes price patterns to uncover the cyclical nature of market trends, enabling traders to predict future movements and seize profitable opportunities.
Understanding Wave Trading
Markets don’t move randomly—they ebb and flow in predictable waves. According to Elliott Wave Theory (a type of wave theory), trends unfold in a series of five waves (known as impulses) followed by three waves (corrections). Mastering this rhythm allows you to anticipate where the market is headed next, giving you a strategic edge.
Our Trading Rules
Here’s a breakdown of the essential rules I follow as a wave trader, designed to guide you through the process with clarity and precision:
Identify Impulse & Correction
Impulse: A robust, directional price surge made up of five sub-waves, signaling the dominant trend.
Correction: A smaller, counter-trend move consisting of three sub-waves, acting as a pause or pullback.
Recognizing these phases reveals the market’s underlying structure. For example, spotting a five-wave impulse upward suggests a bullish trend, while a three-wave correction might signal a temporary dip—perfect for planning your next move.
Identify the Pattern Formations
Look for patterns that can help you anticipate the next moves e.g. the expanding triangle, Bullish flag or even reversal patterns.
Identify Entry Points
Timing is everything. Pinpoint the perfect moment to enter a trade based on your wave and pattern analysis.
Wait for confirmations like a breakout above a flag pattern or a signal from indicators such as moving averages or MACD that align with your wave count.
Look for Targets
Set clear profit targets to stay disciplined and secure gains.
Wave projections, like the expected end of wave 5 in an impulse.
Look for Exits in Case the Trade Doesn’t Go Your Way
Not every trade is a winner, and that’s okay. Protect your capital with stop-losses placed at logical levels.
Where to set them: Choose points that invalidate your analysis—like below a key support level or a wave pattern’s critical threshold. If the market breaks that level, your trade idea’s likely wrong, so exit calmly.
This removes emotion from the equation, safeguarding your account for the long haul.
The Power of Discipline
These rules aren’t just guidelines—they’re your shield against the emotional rollercoaster of trading. Write them down, pin them up, or keep them handy on your trading desk. Reviewing them before every trade reinforces your commitment to a systematic, objective approach. Discipline turns good strategies into great results.
Wishing you success on your trading journey!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Title: How to Spot Potential Price Reversals: Part 2A subject within technical analysis that many find difficult to apply to their day-to-day trading is the ability to spot reversals in price.
Yesterday we posted part 1 of this 2 part educational series, where we used GBPUSD as an example of how you could identify and trade a Head and Shoulders/Reversed Head and Shoulders pattern.
In today’s post we discuss a Double Top/Double Bottom, using a recent US 100 example.
Our intention is to help you understand why price activity is reversing and highlight how knowledge of this may be applied within your own individual trading strategies.
The Double Top Reversal:
The Double Top, is formed by 2 distinct price highs.
This pattern highlights the potential,
• reversal of a previous uptrend in price, into a phase of price weakness
• reversal of a previous downtrend in price into a more prolonged period of price strength.
In this example, we are going to talk about a bearish reversal in price called a Double Top.
Points to Note: A Double Top
• An uptrend in price must be in place for the pattern to form.
• A Double Top pattern is made up of 2 clear highs and one low, forming a letter ‘M’ shape on a price chart.
• This pattern reflects an inability of buyers to push price activity above a previous peak in price, potentially highlighting a negative shift in sentiment and sellers gaining the upper hand. This is regarded as a ‘weak test’ of a previous price failure high and leaves 2 price peaks at, or very close to each other.
• A horizontal trendline is drawn at the low between the 2 peaks, which highlights the neckline of the pattern. If this is broken on a closing basis, the pattern is completed, reflecting a negative sentiment shift and the potential of further price weakness.
Point to Note: To understand a bullish reversal, known as a ‘Double Bottom’ please simply follow the opposite analysis of what is highlighted above.
US 100 Example:
In the chart below, we look at the US 100 index and the formation of a Double Top pattern from earlier in 2025.
As with any bearish reversal in price, a clear uptrend and extended price advance must have been seen for the reversal pattern to be valid. On the chart above, this was reflected by the advance from the August 5th 2024 low up into the December 16th price high.
The Double Top pattern is made up of 2 price highs close or at the same level as each other, with a low trade in the middle, which forms a letter ‘M’ on the chart (see below).
In this example above, the highs are marked by 22142, the December 16th and 22226, the February 18th highs, with the 20477 level posted on January 13th represents the low traded in the middle, which helps to form the ‘M’.
The Neckline of the pattern is drawn using a horizontal line at the 20477 January 13th low, with the Double Top pattern completed on closes below this level. Potential then turns towards a more extended phase of price weakness to reverse the previous uptrend, even opening the possibility a new downtrend in price being formed.
Does the Double Top Pattern Suggest a Potential Price Objective?
Yes, it does. This can be done by measuring the height of the 2nd peak in price down to the Neckline level at that time, this distance is projected lower from the point the neckline was broken, suggesting a possible minimum objective for any future price decline.
In the example above, the 2nd high was at 22226, posted on February 18th 2025, with the Neckline at 20477, meaning the height of the pattern was 1749 (points). On February 27th the Neckline of the pattern was broken on a closing basis.
This means… 20477 – 1749 = 18728 as a minimum potential price objective for the Double Top pattern.
Of course, as with any technical pattern, completion is not a guarantee of a significant phase of price movement, with much still dependent on future sentiment and price trends.
Therefore, if initiating a trade based on a Double Top pattern, you must ALWAYS place a stop loss to protect against any unforeseen event or price movement.
This stop loss should initially be placed just above the level of the 2nd price high, as any break negates the pattern, meaning we were wrong to class the pattern as we did.
Hopefully, as prices fall after completion of the pattern, you can consider moving your stop loss lower, keeping it just above lower resistance levels to protect your position and lock in potential gains.
While both the Head and Shoulders and Double Top/Bottom patterns can take a prolonged period to form and we must be patient to wait for completion, they reflect important signals indicating potential changes in price sentiment and direction.
By understanding how and why these patterns form can offer an important insight to potential price activity that can help to support day to day decision making when deciding on trading strategies.
The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Entry Psychology Hey guys, Ray here, and I just entered a trade here.
Doesn't matter buy or sell,
or what currency your trading.
We all enter the market and none of us can ever know the "perfect price".
Therefore, our Stop Loss is inadvertently a key factor in our entries, lot sizes, and psychology.
In this video I explain what I mean...
Please comment if you found this insightful!
How to Spot Potential Price Reversals - Part 1: GBPUSD ExampleA subject within technical analysis that many traders find difficult to apply to their day-to-day trading is the ability to spot reversals in price.
The misreading of price activity when a reversal is materialising can often lead to incorrect decisions, such as entering a trade too early, which can result in being stopped out of a potentially successful trade before price activity moves in the intended direction.
In this piece today, and part 2 tomorrow, we want to look at 2 types of reversal in price – the Head and Shoulders/Reversed Head and Shoulders and the Double Top/Double Bottom.
The intention is to help you understand why price activity is reversing and highlight how knowledge of this may be applied within your own individual trading strategies.
The Head and Shoulders Pattern
This pattern highlights the potential,
• reversal of a previous downtrend in price into a more prolonged period of upside strength
• reversal of a previous uptrend in price into a phase of weakness
In this example, we are going to outline in more detail a bullish reversal in price, which is called a ‘Reversed Head and Shoulders’.
Points to Note: Reversed Head and Shoulders
• A downtrend in price must have been in place.
• A Reversed Head and Shoulders is made up of 3 clear troughs on a price chart.
• The middle trough (called the Head) is lower than the 2 outer price troughs (called the
Left Hand Shoulder and the Right Hand Shoulder).
• The 3rd low in price (Right Hand Shoulder) being higher than the Head, reflects the
inability of sellers to be able to break under a previous low in price. This is regarded as a
‘weak test’ of a previous price extreme, suggesting buyers may be gaining the upper hand,
readying for a potential positive sentiment shift and price strength.
• A trendline connecting highs in price that mark the upper extremes of the Head is drawn.
This highlights the Neckline of the pattern, which if broken on a closing basis, completes
the reversal, to represent a positive shift in sentiment and the potential of further price strength.
Point to Note: To understand a bearish reversal, known as a ‘Head and Shoulders Top’ please simply follow the opposite analysis of what is highlighted above.
GBPUSD Example:
In the chart below, we look at the recent activity of GBPUSD, which formed a bullish Reversed Head and Shoulders Pattern between December 20th 2024 and February 13th 2025, when the pattern was completed.
As with any bullish reversal in price, a clear downtrend and extended price decline must have been seen previously, for the reversal pattern to be valid. On the chart above, this was reflected by the decline from the September 20th 2024 high at 1.3434, into the January 13th price low at 1.2100.
The Head and Shoulders pattern is made up of 3 troughs in price and in this example, these are marked by the period between December 30th 2024 to January 7th 2025 which forms the Left Hand Shoulder , between January 7th to February 5th 2025 which was the Head developing , and between February 5th to February 13th 2025, which then formed the Right Hand Shoulder .
The Neckline of the pattern is drawn connecting the December 30th 2024 high and the February 5th 2025 highs, which was broken on a closing basis on February 13th 2025. It was on this day, the Reversed Head and Shoulders Pattern was completed with potential then turning towards a more extended phase of price strength.
Does the Head and Shoulders offer an Insight into a Potential Price Objective?
Yes, it does, by measuring the height from the bottom of the Head to the level of the Neckline at the time that low was posted, we can project this distance higher from the point the neckline was broken. This suggests a possible minimum objective for any future price strength.
In the example above, a low of 1.2100 was registered on January 13th 2025, at which time the Neckline stood at 1.2576. This means the height of the Head was 0.0476 (476 pips). On February 13th when the Neckline was broken on a closing basis, the Neckline stood at 1.2529.
As such…
1.2529 + 0.0476 = 1.3005, which would be the minimum potential price objective for the Reversed Head and Shoulders. This level was in fact achieved on March 18th 2025.
Of course, while the Head and Shoulders pattern is regarded as one of the most reliable patterns within technical analysis, it is not a guarantee of a significant price movement, as much will still depend on future sentiment and price trends.
Therefore, if initiating a trade based on a Reversed Head and Shoulders pattern, you must ALWAYS place a stop loss to protect against any unforeseen event or price movement.
The stop loss should initially be placed just under the level of the Right Hand Shoulder, as any break of this point negates the pattern, meaning we were wrong to class the pattern as we did.
However, if prices rise after completion of the pattern, you can consider moving a stop loss higher, keeping it just under higher support levels to protect your position.
We highlighted the formation of the potential GBPUSD reversed Head and Shoulders pattern on February 13th 2025, so please take a look at our timeline for further details.
Remember to watch out for tomorrow’s Part 2 post
The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Trading a Pause in the Price Action
Some candlestick patterns shout their intentions, while others quietly mark a pause before the next move. The Doji falls into the latter category—it doesn’t tell you which way the market is going next, but it does highlight a moment of indecision that often precedes a meaningful move.
While traders sometimes mistake it for a reversal signal, the real significance of a Doji comes when price decisively breaks beyond its range. Let’s explore what a Doji represents, why its range is key and how traders can use it in different market conditions.
What Is a Doji?
A standard Doji forms when a market opens and closes at or very near the same price. This creates a candle with a thin or non-existent body and wicks on either side, showing that price moved up and down during the session but failed to establish a clear direction by the close.
The key takeaway? A Doji does not indicate a directional bias—it simply reflects the natural market cycle between indecision and decisive direction. It tells us that neither buyers nor sellers had the upper hand during that period.
Standard Doji Pattern
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
The Doji’s Range: Why It’s Important
Rather than trading the Doji itself, the focus should be on its high and low. When price breaks and closes beyond the Doji’s range, that’s when a potential trade setup forms:
• A close above the Doji’s high suggests buyers have taken control, increasing the likelihood of further upside.
• A close below the Doji’s low signals sellers are in charge, making downside continuation more probable.
This makes the Doji a pattern that doesn’t rely on lagging indicators. It provides a forward-looking view, allowing traders to anticipate where momentum might emerge.
A single Doji can be significant, but clusters of Doji candles—where price hesitates over multiple sessions—can create even stronger setups, particularly when they resolve with a decisive breakout.
Doji’s Range Becomes Significant
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Doji Breakout
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
How to Use the Doji in Trading
The Doji pattern works across all timeframes, from intraday charts to daily and even weekly price action. Looking at USD/JPY on the daily timeframe (see chart below), four Doji formations highlight how the pattern plays out in real-world trading:
USD/JPY Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Pattern 1 (Monday, 25th November 2024): A Doji formed, followed by a strong break below its range, leading to a clear move lower.
Patterns 2 & 3 (Early December 2024): Two Doji candles appeared close together, forming a Doji cluster. This hesitation phase was followed by a steady directional move higher.
Pattern 4 (Early February 2025): The initial break below the Doji’s range led to a short-lived move lower. However, price then pulled back, retested the Doji, and only after that retest did a more sustained downside move develop.
These examples show that the Doji is not a trading signal in isolation—it needs a decisive break to confirm the next move.
Trading the Doji Breakout
If a trader is looking to enter based on a Doji setup, they should consider the following:
• Wait for Confirmation – The most important factor is the breakout. A Doji on its own is just indecision; it’s the next candle that provides the real clue.
• Identify the Key Level – The high and low of the Doji form a mini-range. A close outside this range is the real signal.
• Manage Risk Properly – A common approach is to place a stop-loss just beyond the opposite side of the Doji’s range.
Because Doji candles highlight hesitation, they often form at key support or resistance levels. When price is already in an established trend, a Doji can act as a temporary pause before continuation.
Summary:
The Doji is a pause in price action, not a guarantee of reversal or continuation. The real significance lies in how price reacts after the Doji forms—a decisive break and close beyond its range is the key trigger.
While traders often focus on patterns that appear to provide clear direction, the Doji offers something different—it marks the moment before clarity emerges. Whether it leads to a breakout, a trend continuation, or a reversal depends entirely on the price action that follows.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
My Entry Reasons & How To Make 2500 Pips 0 Drawdown Weekly !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
BTC EMA TRADING STRATEGYIn this video, I show you guys how I trade using the higher timeframe 12,21 EMA bands to find entries on 1min timeframe and capture the bigger trend with tight SL and huge R/R.
Benefits
1. Tight invalidation, leading to Massive winners
2. Entry and SL is based on pure Market structure.
3. Price first apporach
Mastering Market Movements: Understanding Impulses and CorrectioHello,
Navigating the stock market successfully isn’t just about luck—it requires a keen understanding of market trends and the ability to spot price patterns. One of the most useful concepts traders rely on is the interplay between impulses and corrections. Recognizing these alternating phases can provide valuable insights into potential price movements, allowing you to make more confident and informed trading decisions.
In this article, we’ll break down what impulses and corrections are, how to identify them, and how you can use them to improve your trading strategy.
Understanding Impulses and Corrections
Stock prices move in cycles, alternating between strong trends (impulses) and temporary retracements (corrections). These movements are driven by market psychology, where shifts in supply and demand dictate price action.
Impulses: The Driving Force of Trends
Impulses are powerful, directional moves in the market that reflect strong momentum. These often occur when sentiment aligns with fundamental catalysts, such as positive news, strong earnings reports, or broader market trends. Impulses are the backbone of trends and can provide great opportunities for traders who know how to recognize them.
To spot impulses, look for:
Strong Price Movement: Impulses are characterized by significant and sustained price shifts, indicating a surge in buying or selling pressure. This is as shown in the
Volume Expansion: When an impulse occurs, trading volume typically increases, confirming that more market participants are involved and supporting the price movement.
Break of Key Resistance or Support Levels: Impulses often push through important technical levels, signaling strength and the continuation of a trend.
Corrections: The Market Taking a Breather
Corrections, also called retracements or pullbacks, are temporary price reversals within an ongoing trend. They provide opportunities for the market to pause before resuming its dominant direction.
To identify corrections, watch for:
Counter-Trend Price Movement: Corrections move against the main trend but usually retrace only a portion (25% to 50%) of the previous impulse.
Lower Volume: Unlike impulses, corrections occur on decreased trading volume, suggesting a temporary decline in market participation.
Support and Resistance Levels: Corrections often find support or resistance at previously established price levels, which can serve as potential reversal zones.
Applying Impulses and Corrections in Trading
Understanding these market phases can significantly improve your trading approach. Here’s how:
Identifying Trends: By observing a sequence of impulses and corrections, you can determine the overall market direction and align your trades accordingly.
Finding Entry and Exit Points: Impulses signal strong trends, while corrections present opportunities to enter trades at better prices before the next move higher or lower.
Managing Risk: Setting stop-loss levels strategically—such as below key support levels during corrections—can help minimize losses while allowing room for potential gains.
Final Thoughts
Recognizing and utilizing impulses and corrections can make a huge difference in your trading success. By learning to identify these patterns, you’ll gain deeper insights into market behavior, improve your timing, and enhance your ability to make smart, strategic moves.
Take a look at the US500FU chart—it clearly illustrates impulses and corrections in action.
Good luck, and happy trading!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
How to Trade Descending Channels Like a Pro!
🚀 TRON (TRX) is stuck in a descending channel! But how can you trade this setup effectively? Let’s break it down:
📌 What is a Descending Channel?
A descending channel forms when price makes lower highs and lower lows, staying between two parallel trendlines. It shows a downtrend, but it also creates trading opportunities!
🔥 How to Trade It?
✅ Breakout Strategy: If price breaks above the channel and retests, it could signal a bullish move! (Potential target: $0.29)
✅ Breakdown Strategy: If price drops below the key level, it might dump to the next support ($0.19).
✅ Mid-Range Trades: You can short at resistance and long at support inside the channel – but only with strong confirmations!
💡 Pro Tip: Always wait for confirmation candles before entering a trade to avoid false breakouts!
📊 What do you think? Will TRX break out or dump? Comment below! 👇👇
🔄 Tag a trader who needs to learn this! 🚀 #CryptoEducation #TradingTips #TRX #TradingView
#Miracle #TradeWithMky #MegaAltseason 2025
Trading Is Not Gambling: Become A Better Trader Part III'm so thankful the admins at Tradingview selected my first Trading Is Not Gambling video for their Editor's Pick section. What an honor.
I put together this video to try to teach all the new followers how to use analysis to try to plan trade actions and to attempt to minimize risks.
Within this video, I try to teach you to explore the best opportunities based on strong research/analysis skills and to learn to wait for the best opportunities for profits.
Trading is very similar to hunting or trying to hit a baseball... you have to WAIT for the best opportunity, then make a decision on how to execute for the best results.
Trust me, if trading was easy, everyone would be making millions and no one would be trying to find the best trade solutions.
In my opinion, the best solution is to learn the skills to try to develop the best consistent outcomes. And that is what I'm trying to teach you in this video.
I look forward to your comments and suggestions.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Ultimate 2025 Forex Prop Trading FAQ + Strategy Guide🧠 Forex Prop Trading: What Is It?
Prop trading (proprietary trading) is when a trader uses a firm’s capital to trade the markets (instead of their own), and keeps a share of the profits – usually 70–90%.
✅ Low startup cost
✅ No personal risk (firm takes the loss)
✅ Big upside potential with scaling plans
📋 Step-by-Step Action Plan to Get Started (2025)
🔍 1. Understand the Prop Firm Model
🏦 Prop firms fund skilled traders with $10K to $500K+
🎯 You pass a challenge or evaluation phase to prove your skills
💵 Once funded, you earn a profit split (70%–90%)
🧪 2. Choose a Top Prop Firm (2025)
Look for reliable and regulated firms with transparent rules:
FTMO 🌍 – Trusted globally, up to $400K scaling
MyFundedFX 📊 – Up to 90% profit split, no time limit
E8 Funding ⚡ – Fast scaling and instant funding
FundedNext 💼 – 15% profit share during challenge phase
The Funded Trader 🏰 – Up to $600K with leaderboard bonuses
🔎 Compare features: fees, drawdown limits, trading style freedom
💻 3. Train & Master Your Strategy
🧠 Pick a clear, rule-based strategy (e.g. trend following, breakout, supply/demand)
📅 Backtest over 6–12 months of data
💡 Use AI tools & trade journals like Edgewonk or MyFXBook
🎯 Focus on:
Win rate (above 50–60%)
Risk-reward ratio (1:2 or better)
Consistency, not wild profits
🧪 4. Pass the Evaluation Phase
🔐 Follow risk rules strictly (daily & max drawdown)
⚖️ Use proper risk management (0.5–1% risk per trade)
🧘♂️ Trade calmly, avoid overtrading or revenge trades
📈 Most challenges:
Hit 8–10% profit target
Stay under 5–10% total drawdown
Trade for at least 5–10 days
🧠 Tip: Pass in a demo environment first before going live!
💵 5. Get Funded & Start Earning
🟢 Once approved, you trade real firm capital
💰 You keep up to 90% of profits, with withdrawals every 2 weeks to 1 month
🚀 Many firms offer scaling plans to grow your account over time
💬 FAQ – Prop Trading in 2025
❓ How much can you make?
🔹 Small accounts ($50K): $2K–$8K/month with 4–8% returns
🔹 Large accounts ($200K+): $10K+/month possible for consistent traders
💡 Many traders start part-time and scale as they build trust with the firm
❓ How much do I need to start?
💳 Challenge fees range from:
$100 for $10K
$250–$350 for $50K
$500–$700 for $100K+
⚠️ No need to deposit trade capital – just the challenge fee
❓ What are the risks?
You can lose the challenge fee if you break rules or over-leverage
You won’t owe money to the firm
The biggest risk is psychological – many fail from overtrading or emotional decisions
🚀 Final Tips to Succeed
✅ Trade like a robot, think like a CEO
✅ Journal every trade – self-awareness is key
✅ Avoid over-leveraging and gambling mindset
✅ Stick to one strategy and master it
✅ Focus on consistency over quick wins
Top and Bottom CSG Custom Signal Generator with Squeeze ScannerThis is what the full indicator suite looks like when deployed. See my scripts page to deploy the indicators. The suite is free and allows for proper identification of squeeze patterns as well as top and bottom signaling possible reversals. Keep in mind no indicator can replace order flow so always utilize order flow and open interest when available. While this suite of indicators does offer a volume reversal algorithm open interest would need to coincide with the volume and market structure before placing a bet either way. If you have any questions please post them in the comments of the applicable indicator and I will address them.
SMART MONEY FOOTPRINT ON NIFTY CHART, REVERSAL SIGN APPEAR ?Today on 21/03/2025 with upward rally, on hourly chart I found similarity or smart money footprint (sign of weakness) at the time of closing bell same as (sign of strength) on 28 February 2025. what was that? Let's try to Dig....
previous days when market was forming lower low, that was downtrend look at the time on 28 February 2025 that was 14.15 pm on hourly chart an ultrahigh volume rejection candle appear which volume was around164 M. thereafter short seller trapped to see big red candle and market move toward upward.
:
:
Today on 21/03/2025 also market gave a rejection candle on hourly chart with around 164 M ultrahigh volume Exact at 14:15 Pm so conclusion is that market may give correction after trapping Buyers or it may go downtrend again if fundamental don't support.
what is similarity?
: Same Time 14:15
: Same Volume
: same Candle body Size
: appear after strong moment
REVERSAL INDICATION:
Nifty may Facing resistance of downtrend channel on Daily Chart.
Away from 50 EMA on hourly chart.
Smart money Ultra High volume on Rejection candle indicating selling zone there
:
SO, INVESTOR NO NEED TO TRAP TO JUST SEE NEXT BIG GREEN CANDLE
How the Hammer Chart Pattern Signals a Market ComebackHello, Traders! 👋🏻
Let’s be honest — wouldn’t it be great if the market had clear signs that screamed, “Hey! The downtrend is over!”? Well, sometimes, it hints. One of those signals is the hammer candlestick pattern — a small but mighty formation that can indicate a shift in momentum.
But before you grab a hammer and start breaking things when the market dips, let’s talk about what this pattern really means. Is it a bullish hammer pattern, or is the market just playing games with your emotions? Let’s dive in.
What Is a Hammer Candlestick Pattern?
The hammer pattern is a single candlestick formation that typically appears after a downtrend. It has a small body and a long lower wick, showing that sellers tried to push the price lower but failed, as buyers stepped in and drove the price back up.
Imagine the market trying to take prices to new lows, but buyers show up and say, “Nope, not today!” That’s the essence of the hammer candle pattern — a potential sign of strength and reversal.
Key Features of the Hammer Pattern Candlestick:
✔ Small Candle Body at the Top.
✔ Long Lower Wick (at Least Twice the Size of the Body).
✔ Little to No Upper Wick.
✔ Appears After a Downtrend.
Sounds easy to spot, right? Well, not so fast. Sometimes, what looks like a hammer chart pattern might just be a random bounce. Context is everything.
The Inverted Hammer Pattern: A Bullish Twist
If the hammer candlestick pattern is the market’s way of pushing back against bears, its upside-down cousin—the inverted hammer candlestick pattern — is just as enjoyable.
The inverted hammer pattern looks like, well, a hammer flipped upside down. It has a small body at the bottom with a long upper wick, signaling that buyers attempted to push the price higher but didn’t fully succeed — yet.
While it still suggests a possible reversal, the inverted hammer pattern isn’t as strong as a regular hammer because it shows some hesitation from buyers. Think of it as the market raising its hand and saying, “I might be ready to reverse… but let’s wait and see.”
Why Do Traders Love the Hammer Trading Pattern?
Well, besides the fact that it looks kind of cool on a chart, it’s a psychological shift. It shows that buyers are fighting back, and if the momentum continues, a trend reversal could be on the horizon.
But here’s the catch — one hammer candle pattern doesn’t guarantee anything. Markets love to trick traders, and sometimes, a hammer pattern candlestick is just a temporary bounce before the trend continues downward.
So, next time you see a hammer chart pattern, ask yourself:
❓ Is This Really a Reversal, or Is the Market Just Messing With Me?
❓ Is There Enough Volume To Support a Strong Move?
❓ Are Other Indicators Confirming the Shift in Momentum?
Final Thoughts
The hammer trading pattern is one of those setups that traders love for its simplicity and reliability. But like any other pattern, it’s not a magic bullet — it’s a clue. And trading is all about putting the clues together to get the full picture.
So, the next time you see a hammer pattern candlestick, take a deep breath, check the context, and don’t rush into trades. After all, even the most substantial hammer won’t help if you’re trying to nail down the wrong trend.
What’s your experience with the hammer candlestick pattern? Let’s discuss it below!
Engulfing Candles: The Power ShiftIf there’s one candle pattern that represents an immediate shift in balance between buyers and sellers it is the engulfing candle.
Today we take a deep dive into some of the key nuances of this pattern and explain how context and confirmation are essential elements to making this pattern a useful tool in your trading toolkit.
Understanding the Engulfing Pattern
The Engulfing candle pattern occurs when a single candlestick completely engulfs the body of the previous candle. In a bullish engulfing, a large bullish candle fully covers the smaller previous bearish candle, while in a bearish engulfing, a large bearish candle engulfs the previous bullish one.
Within the space of a signal candle, the market has completely erased the previous candles price action and sometimes multiple prior candles price actions. This step change in momentum, is why it is often known as the ‘power shift pattern’ – when it is identified correctly can represent a key inflection point.
Bullish Engulfing: A bullish engulfing suggests that after a period of selling, buying pressure has taken over, overpowering the bears in one strong move. This may indicate a potential reversal, from a bearish trend to a bullish one.
Bearish Engulfing: A bearish engulfing indicates that after a period of buying, selling pressure has overwhelmed the bulls. This could signal a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend.
Example: Nvidia Daily Candle Chart
In this example, we see bullish and bearish engulfing candles form at the parameters of a range that formed on Nvidia’s daily candle chart.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
The Importance of Location and Context
Like any chart pattern, the Engulfing candle is most effective when it occurs in the right context. Its location is crucial to its reliability. Trading the pattern within a range or consolidation zone can be misleading, as there may not be a clear prevailing trend for the pattern to reverse.
For a bullish engulfing to be meaningful, it should ideally appear near a key support level, where buyers are likely to step in. In contrast, a bearish engulfing is more reliable when it appears near a key resistance level, where selling pressure may be about to take control.
In short, location is everything. An engulfing pattern at a support or resistance level holds more weight than one formed in the middle of a range or without a clear market direction.
Example: USD/CAD Daily Candle Chart
In this example, we see small bearish engulfing candles form within a consolidation range. These are not significant signals as the location and context is sub-optimal. We then see a large engulfing candle form at the parameter of resistance – creating a clear bearish signal.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Confirmation: The Next Candle is Key
A major element to watch for with the Engulfing candle is confirmation. The next candle after the engulfing one should trade in the direction of the engulfing candle.
For a bullish engulfing, the next candle should ideally close above the high of the engulfing candle. This confirms that the buying momentum is likely to continue.
For a bearish engulfing, the next candle should ideally close below the low of the engulfing candle. This suggests that selling pressure is likely to persist.
Without this confirmation, the pattern can be less reliable, and the initial move may not hold. The following candle helps validate whether the momentum shift is real or just a short-term fluctuation.
Stop Placement
Stop placement is a crucial aspect of trading the Engulfing pattern. Stops should generally be positioned just beyond the high or low of the engulfing candle, depending on the direction of the trade.
For a bullish engulfing, place the stop below the low of the engulfing candle to allow for some movement without being stopped out prematurely.
For a bearish engulfing, place the stop above the high of the engulfing candle to protect against any potential reversal or false breakouts.
Placing stops in these locations helps manage risk while giving the trade enough room to develop, without exposing the position to unnecessary losses.
The Engulfing Pattern Across Timeframes
One of the advantages of the Engulfing candle is its versatility. It can be used effectively on any timeframe, from short-term intraday charts to long-term daily or weekly charts.
On shorter timeframes, the Engulfing pattern may act as a signal for intraday trades, indicating a quick shift in momentum.
On longer timeframes, the pattern could signal a larger, more sustained trend change, suggesting a longer-term move in the market.
Regardless of the timeframe, the Engulfing candle remains an important pattern because it highlights a significant change in market sentiment, whether on a micro or macro scale.
Final Thoughts
The Engulfing candle is an effective pattern for identifying a shift in market momentum, either from bullish to bearish or vice versa. However, its effectiveness is heavily influenced by location and confirmation. When the pattern forms at a key support or resistance level and is followed by confirmation from the next candle, it can offer valuable insight into where the market may be headed. By combining these elements with good stop placement, traders can better manage risk and increase the reliability of the signals this pattern provides.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
A Triple Top Pattern: Signals and StrategiesA Triple Top Pattern: Signals and Strategies
Traders are always on the lookout for reliable analysis tools that can help them make informed trading decisions. One such tool is the triple top trading pattern. It is a bearish reversal formation that can help traders identify potential trend reversals and take advantage of market opportunities.
In this FXOpen article, we will explore what the triple top pattern is, what it indicates, and how to identify it on price charts. Keep reading to find examples that will help you understand how to use it in a trading strategy.
What Is a Triple Top Pattern?
A triple top is a technical analysis pattern that signals a potential reversal in a trend. Is the triple top bullish or bearish? It’s a bearish formation. The pattern occurs when the price of an asset hits the same resistance level three times, failing to break above it on each occasion. This indicates that buyers are losing strength and sellers are starting to dominate the market. It is often seen after a sustained uptrend.
Identifying a triple top involves spotting three distinct peaks at roughly the same price level, separated by two troughs. The peaks are formed when the price hits resistance but fails to push through, while the troughs occur when the price retraces after each failed attempt.
To confirm a valid triple top, the peaks should be close in height, and the troughs should create a roughly horizontal neckline. The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks below the neckline, signalling that sellers have overtaken buyers.
Triple Top Chart Pattern Trading Strategy
Once traders have identified the triple top formation, they can use various trading strategies to take advantage of it. However, there are common rules that are used as the basis:
- Entry: Traders enter a short position when the price breaks below the neckline, which is the level that connects the two troughs that separate the peaks. This level is a critical support level, and when it is broken, it confirms the triple top candlestick pattern and indicates that the trend is reversing.
- Stop Loss: To manage risk, traders place a stop-loss order above the neckline. If the price starts to rise again, the stop-loss order will limit potential losses. The theory states that traders can place a stop-loss on the neckline. However, the price often retests the support level after a breakout, so the risk of an early exit rises.
- Take Profit: There are several ways of determining a profit target. The most common technique is to measure the distance between the tops and bottoms and subtract it from the triple top breakout point.
Another strategy is to identify the target based on the closest support levels. However, this may limit potential returns if the support is too close to the entry point. Therefore, traders sometimes use trailing stops to lock in potential profits as the price continues to fall.
Trading Example
In the chart above, the price formed the triple top. We could have entered a short position once the price broke below the neckline and closed it either at the point equal to the distance between the peaks and the neckline or at the closest support level, as the levels are almost equal. However, selling volumes were low (1) at the breakout level, so we could have expected an upcoming bullish reversal. Therefore, we wouldn’t have kept the position beyond the initial take-profit target.
How Traders Confirm the Triple Top
To confirm the triple top pattern and ensure its validity, traders use a combination of technical tools and indicators. These help confirm that the trend is indeed reversing and not just experiencing a temporary pullback. Here are the key methods traders use:
- Neckline Break. The most important confirmation comes when the price breaks below the neckline, which is the horizontal level connecting the lows between the peaks. A clean break suggests a stronger reversal.
- Volume Analysis. Volume plays a crucial role in confirming the triple top. Traders look for a surge in selling volume when the price breaks the neckline. If the volume is low during the breakout, the pattern may not be reliable, and a bullish reversal could follow.
- Momentum Indicators. Traders often use momentum indicators like the Stochastic Oscillator or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). When these indicators show bearish divergence, it signals a potential downward reversal. A negative crossover in the MACD or Stochastic adds further confirmation.
- Retest of Neckline. Sometimes, after breaking the neckline, the price may retrace and retest this level as resistance. A failed retest, where the price does not move back above the neckline, confirms that sellers are in control.
Triple Top vs Triple Bottom
It is important to distinguish between the triple top and the triple bottom chart patterns, as the former is the bearish setup, while the latter is a bullish reversal formation. The triple bottom setup forms when the price hits a particular support level three times and fails to break through it. It suggests that the sellers have lost their strength, and the buyers are starting to take control. The bottoms are separated by two peaks, which occur when the price retraces some of its gains from the support level.
Traders use the same principles to trade the triple bottom as they would the triple top but vice versa. They enter a long position when the price breaks above the neckline and set a stop-loss order below it. The take-profit target might equal the distance between bottoms and peaks or be set at the closest resistance level.
Triple Top Challenges
While the triple top pattern is a valuable tool for spotting reversals, it has its limitations. Traders should be aware of the following challenges:
- False Breakouts. The price may break below the neckline only to quickly reverse back, leading to a false signal. This can cause traders to enter losing positions if they act too quickly without further confirmation.
- Extended Sideways Movement. Sometimes, the price can stay near the neckline after a breakout, leading to indecision and uncertain market behaviour. This sideways movement can make it difficult to determine if the trend has truly reversed.
- Retests Leading to Reversals. After the initial breakout, the price may retest the neckline and move back above it, invalidating the triple top pattern. Traders need to be cautious and set appropriate stop-loss orders to help potentially mitigate risk.
Final Thoughts
The triple top pattern offers traders a powerful tool for identifying potential market reversals. However, it’s crucial to confirm the pattern and integrate it with other forms of analysis to avoid false signals. Ready to put these insights into action? Open an FXOpen account today, and trade with a broker offering tight spreads, low commissions, and advanced trading platforms.
FAQ
What Does a Triple Top Mean in Trading?
The triple top pattern meaning refers to a bearish reversal formation indicating a potential end to an uptrend. It forms when the price reaches the same resistance level three times without breaking through, suggesting weakening buying momentum and increasing selling pressure. This pattern signals that the asset's price may soon decline.
How Do You Confirm the Triple Top Pattern?
To confirm a triple top pattern, traders watch for a decisive break below the neckline, which connects the lows between the peaks. Increased trading volume during the breakout strengthens the confirmation, indicating strong seller interest. Technical indicators like the Stochastic Oscillator showing bearish divergence can provide additional validation.
Is a Triple Top Bullish?
No, a triple top is not bullish; it is a bearish reversal pattern. It signifies that the asset's price has repeatedly failed to surpass a resistance level, indicating diminishing upward momentum. Traders see this as a cue to consider short positions or to exit existing long positions.
Is a Triple Top Stronger Than a Double Top?
A triple top is generally considered stronger than a double top pattern because the price has failed to break resistance three times instead of two. This extra failed attempt reinforces the strength of the resistance level and increases the likelihood of a significant reversal. However, both patterns are important and should be analysed with other market factors.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Liquidity Grab eurusd Supply & Demand Zones:
🔻 A major supply zone (resistance) is marked above 1.09618, where institutional selling pressure may appear.
🔹 A demand zone (support) is established below 1.09064, providing potential entry opportunities.
📈 Trading Plan & Targets:
✅ Expecting a bullish move from the demand zone as price reacts positively.
🎯 Target 1: 1.09064 – Mid-level liquidity area.
🎯 Target 2: 1.09618 – Major resistance & supply zone.
📌 Smart Money Concept (SMC):
🔹 Price is forming a liquidity sweep before a potential bullish push.
🔹 The structure suggests an accumulation phase, with a breakout confirmation above key levels.
💡 Key Takeaways:
🔹 Bullish bias unless price invalidates the demand zone.
Trading Is Not Gambling : Become A Better Trade Part IOver the last few weeks/months, I've tried to help hundreds of traders learn the difference between trading and gambling.
Trading is where you take measured (risk-restricted) attempts to profit from market moves.
Gambling is where you let your emotions and GREED overtake your risk management decisions - going to BIG WINS on every trade.
I think of gambling in the stock market as a person who continually looks for the big 50% to 150%++ gains on options every day. Someone who will pass up the 20%, 30%, and 40% profits and "let it ride to HERO or ZERO" on most trades.
That's not trading. That's flat-out GAMBLING.
I'm going to start a new series of training videos to try to help you understand how trading operates and how you need to learn to protect capital while taking strategic opportunities for profits and growth.
This is not going to be some dumbed-down example of how to trade. I'm going to try to explain the DOs and DO N'Ts of trading vs. gambling.
If you want to be a gambler - then get used to being broke most of the time.
I'll work on this video's subsequent parts later today and this week.
I hope this helps. At least it is a starting point for what I want to teach all of you.
Get some.
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Best GOLD XAUUSD Consolidation Trading Strategy Explained
In article , you will learn how to identify and trade consolidation on Gold easily.
I will share with you my consolidation trading strategy and a lot of useful XAUUSD trading tips.
1. How to Identify Consolidation
In order to trade consolidation, you should learn to recognize that.
The best and reliable way to spot consolidation is to analyse a price action.
Consolidation is the state of the market when it STOPS updating higher highs & higher lows in a bullish trend OR lower lows & lower highs in a bearish trend.
In other words, it is the situation when the market IS NOT trending.
Most of the time, during such a period, the price forms a horizontal channel.
Above is a perfect example of a consolidation on Gold chart on a daily.
We see a horizontal parallel channel with multiple equal or almost equal highs and lows inside.
For a correct trading of a consolidation, you should correctly underline its boundaries.
Following the chart above, the upper boundary - the resistance, is based on the highest high and the highest candle close.
The lowest candle close and the lowest low compose the lower boundary - the support.
2. What Consolidation Means
Spotting the consolidating market, it is important to understand its meaning and the processes that happen inside.
Consolidation signifies that the market found a fair value.
Growth and bullish impulses occur because of the excess of demand on the market, while bearish moves happen because of the excess of supply.
When supply and demand find a balance, sideways movements start .
Look at the price movements on Gold above.
First, the market was rising because of a strong buying pressure.
Finally, the excess of buying interest was curbed by the sellers.
The market started to trade with a sideways range and found the equilibrium
At some moment, demand started to exceed the supply again and the consolidation was violated . The price updated the high and continued growth.
Usually, the violation of the consolidation happens because of some fundamental event that makes the market participants reassess the value of the asset.
At the same time, the institutional traders, the smart money accumulate their trading positions within the consolidation ranges. As the accumulation completes, they push the prices higher/lower, violating the consolidation.
3. How to Trade Consolidation
Once you identified a consolidation on Gold, there are 2 strategies to trade it.
The resistance of the consolidation provides a perfect zone to sell the market from. You simply put your stop loss above the resistance and your take profit should be the upper boundary of the support.
That is the example of a long trade from support of the consolidation on Gold.
The support of the sideways movement will be a safe zone to buy Gold from. Stop loss will lie below the support zone, take profit will be the lower boundary of the resistance.
AS the price reached a take profit level and tested a resistance, that is a short trade from that.
You can follow such a strategy till the price violates the consolidation and establishes a trend.
The market may stay a very extended period of time in sideways, providing a lot of profitable trading opportunities.
What I like about Gold consolidation trading is that the strategy is very straightforward and completely appropriate for beginners.
It works on any time frame and can be used for intraday, swing trading and scalping
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
The Ultimate Guide to Price Action TradingIntroduction to Price Action
Price action trading is a powerful method that relies solely on analyzing price movements without using indicators. Instead of following lagging signals, traders use historical price movements to predict future market behavior. This approach helps in making informed decisions based on real market sentiment.
Why Use Price Action?
Many traders prefer price action because it simplifies trading by focusing only on the movement of price rather than complex technical indicators. Here are some key advantages:
Eliminates reliance on lagging indicators: Indicators often generate signals after the price has already moved significantly. Price action provides real-time insights.
Provides a clearer picture of market sentiment: By analyzing candlestick formations and key levels, traders can assess where the market is likely to move next.
Works across all timeframes and markets: Whether you trade stocks, forex, or crypto, price action techniques remain relevant.
Market Structure & Trend Analysis
Understanding market structure is key to recognising trends and making profitable trades. Price moves in patterns, forming trends, consolidations, and reversals.
Identifying Trends
A trend is a general direction in which the price is moving. Identifying trends early can give traders a significant edge.
Uptrend: Characterized by higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). This indicates strong buying pressure.
Downtrend: Identified by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL). This signals dominant selling pressure.
Ranging Market: Occurs when price moves sideways, forming equal highs and lows, showing indecision.
Using Market Structure to Trade
Follow the dominant trend for higher probability trades rather than trading against the market direction.
Look for breakouts from consolidation zones, which often lead to explosive moves in the market.
Identify trend reversals by observing changes in market structure, such as a break of previous highs or lows.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
Support and resistance levels help traders identify where price might react, leading to potential trade opportunities.
Types of Support & Resistance
Horizontal Levels: These are static price levels where the price has reversed multiple times, acting as strong barriers.
Trendlines: These dynamic levels move with price and act as diagonal support or resistance.
Psychological Levels: Round numbers like 100, 200, or 1.0000 in forex often act as key psychological barriers for traders.
How to Use Support & Resistance
Buying near support and selling near resistance is a classic strategy used by traders.
Breakout trading: If the price breaks a key level with strong momentum, it often continues in that direction.
Retest confirmation: After a breakout, the price may return to test the level before continuing its move. This offers a high-probability entry.
Candlestick Patterns & Their Meaning
Candlestick patterns provide insights into market sentiment and potential reversals or continuations.
Single Candlestick Patterns
Pin Bar (Rejection Candlestick): A pin bar has a long wick and a small body, showing strong rejection at a price level. It signals a potential reversal.
Doji: A candlestick with a small body and wicks on both sides, indicating indecision in the market.
Hammer & Shooting Star: The hammer forms at the bottom of a downtrend, signaling reversal, while the shooting star appears at the top, suggesting a potential sell-off.
Multi-Candlestick Patterns
Engulfing Pattern: A bullish engulfing pattern occurs when a large green candle completely engulfs the previous red candle, signaling a strong upward move. The opposite is true for bearish engulfing patterns.
Morning Star & Evening Star: These three-candle patterns indicate a shift in momentum, either bullish or bearish.
Head & Shoulders: A reversal pattern that suggests a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend or vice versa.
Price Action Strategies
Breakout Trading
Breakout trading involves identifying key price levels where a breakout is likely to occur. This can be from a range, a pattern like a triangle, or a resistance level.
Identify consolidation zones where price has been trading in a tight range.
Enter a trade when the price breaks above resistance or below support with strong volume.
Use stop-losses to avoid false breakouts, placing them just outside the consolidation zone.
Reversal Trading
Reversal trading focuses on identifying trend exhaustion and potential reversals.
Look for exhaustion at key levels, where price struggles to move further.
Confirm reversals with candlestick patterns such as pin bars, engulfing patterns, or head & shoulders formations.
Use risk-reward ratios of at least 1:2 to maximize profits on successful reversals.
Trend Continuation Trading
Enter on pullbacks within an established trend, rather than chasing breakouts.
Look for price bouncing off moving averages or trendlines as confirmation.
Ride trends until momentum weakens, using trailing stop-losses to lock in profits.
Trading Without Indicators
Analysing raw price action helps traders understand market movement without distractions.
Key Steps for Chart Analysis
Identify the overall market trend by checking higher highs or lower lows.
Mark key support and resistance levels to find potential trade areas.
Observe candlestick formations that provide confirmation for entries.
Wait for confirmation before entering a trade to avoid false signals.
Risk Management & Psychology in Price Action Trading
A strong mindset and risk management strategy are crucial for long-term success.
Risk Management Tips
Use stop-losses to limit risk and prevent large drawdowns.
Risk no more than 1-2% of capital per trade, ensuring longevity.
Always aim for a favorable risk-reward ratio, such as 1:2 or 1:3.
Psychological Tips
Stay disciplined and avoid emotional trading, as emotions can lead to impulsive decisions.
Accept losses as part of the process and learn from them.
Stick to a well-defined trading plan, reducing uncertainty in decision-making.
Final Thoughts & Next Steps
Mastering price action trading takes time, patience, and consistent practice. Here’s how you can improve:
Continuously analyze charts and refine your strategy by backtesting historical data.
Keep a trading journal to track progress and identify areas for improvement.
Stay updated with market conditions, as price action can behave differently in different market environments.
By applying these techniques, you can develop a strong foundation in price action trading and make more informed trading decisions. Stay disciplined, keep learning, and happy trading!
__________________________________________
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How To Properly Read Open Interest (OI) Identify Trends $VARAIn crypto, especially when trading shit coins, measure OI on BTC, ETH, and any other asset that has futures up against whatever you are trading.
Most importantly identify positive or negative correlation between the asset pair and TRADE accordingly.
i.e. if you are measuring OI for USDX or DXY know that it will have negative correlation toward your risk asset whatever it is.
Open Interest and Volume ARE NOT THE SAME THING!
Volume is the measure of contracts settled in a trading session (hourly, daily, monthly, etc.)
Open interest (or OI for short) is the total number of contracts still outstanding.
OI and order wall size are correlated.
OI is charted.
Increasing OI means an increase in liquidity i.e. open contracts.
Decreasing OI means that there is a decrease in liquidity i.e. liquidity is leaving the market either cash or asset.
Open Interest can help you identify trend shifts. Use it along with order flow the compliment each other.
OI Rising - Market trends up - Volume increasing - Trend will continue
OI Falling - Market trends up - Volume decreasing - Trend will turn bullish
OI Rising - Market trends down - Volume rising - Strong bearish continuation
OI Falling - Market trends down - Volume falling - Bearish bias is lessening
Notice in the above simplified examples that volume MUST be paired with OI to be useful.
One might mistake that volume on it's own can be used to judge trends.
Open interest will increase as more traders enter the market which means often that money is coming into the market.
OI will decrease as traders exit the market or as contracts are closed. This means that money is leaving the market i.e. less buyers