Relative Strength vs Relative Strength IndexRelative Strength vs Relative Strength Index: What Are the Differences?
While the Relative Strength and Relative Strength Index indicators might share similar names, it’s important to know the difference between the two. In this article, we’ll discuss their unique characteristics, offer insights into their differences, and help determine which one is best for you.
Understanding Relative Strength
Relative Strength (RS) is a method that helps traders assess the performance of a particular security compared to a benchmark or another security. For example, a trader may use Relative Strength to compare the performance of Microsoft’s MSFT stock to the S&P 500 and determine whether the stock is outperforming its benchmark.
Relative Strength is expressed as a ratio. It’s calculated by dividing the price of the chosen security by another. In this example, we would divide Microsoft’s current share price of approximately $280 by the market value of the S&P 500, around $3,980. This results in a Relative Strength of ~0.07.
In isolation, this figure doesn’t mean much. But plotted over time, it can show the trend of a security’s relative strength against a comparative security or benchmark. If this 0.07 value were to rise, it would mean that MSFT is outperforming the S&P 500, and vice versa if it were to decrease.
Relative Strength can be used as a tool to help highlight market leaders and laggards, as well as identify overvalued or undervalued assets. For instance, if an asset’s Relative Strength is well below its historical average, it could be undervalued and ready for a reversal.
Understanding the Relative Strength Index
While they share similar names, Relative Strength and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shouldn’t be confused. The RSI is a popular technical analysis tool and momentum oscillator that indicates overbought and oversold conditions in the market. RSI measures the speed and change of price movements, oscillating between 0 and 100.
To calculate RSI, the average gain and average loss of the security over a specific period, usually 14, are determined. The ratio of these averages is then used to calculate the RSI value. Formally, RSI can be expressed as:
RSI = 100 - (100 / (1 + (Average Gain Over Period / Average Loss Over Period)))
An RSI value above 70 indicates overbought conditions, suggesting the security may be due for a pullback. Conversely, an RSI value below 30 indicates oversold conditions, hinting that the price may see a bullish reversal. Furthermore, moves above the midpoint, 50, can confirm bullishness, while action below can show bearishness.
Traders predominantly use RSI to find potential entry and exit points in the market. For example, when the RSI moves above 70, traders might consider selling or shorting the security. Divergences, where the price forms a new high or low, but RSI fails to do the same, can offer additional opportunities to find reversal or continuation setups.
Want to see how RSI works firsthand? Hop on to our free TickTrader terminal at FXOpen to get started with RSI and dozens of other tools ready to help you navigate the markets.
Key Differences Between Relative Strength vs Relative Strength Index
So what exactly are the most significant differences between RS vs the RSI indicator?
Purpose
RS aims to compare the performance of a security to a benchmark or another security. Meanwhile, RSI measures the speed and change of price movements to identify overbought and oversold conditions in a single asset.
Calculation
This difference can be seen when comparing their calculations. Relative Strength is a simple ratio of two securities’ prices, whereas RSI is calculated using a more complex formula that accounts for average gains and losses over a specified period. In this sense, Relative Strength provides a broad picture of a security’s performance, while RSI is concerned with recent price action.
Use Case
When putting both into practice, traders will use Relative Strength and RSI in vastly different ways. Relative Strength can show which sectors, industries, or individual assets are outperforming their peers. This might help a trader formulate a hypothesis supporting a decision to invest in a particular market, like a stock or an Exchange Traded Fund (ETF).
Meanwhile, RSI focuses on a single asset’s momentum and is used to gauge potential trend reversals or the strength of the overall trend. This makes it better suited for entering and exiting positions rather than conducting top-down analysis.
Relative Strength vs RSI: Which Is Better?
Determining whether Relative Strength or RSI is better ultimately depends on the individual trader. Both indicators have unique strengths and different utilities.
Relative Strength may be better for helping longer-term traders and investors to identify trending markets. Throughout a day’s trading, Relative Strength might not indicate much; MSFT’s comparative performance to the S&P 500 can easily change each day. But, over weeks or months, a strong RS reading can demonstrate that MSFT is likely to continue outperforming the benchmark, making it a potential candidate for swing or position trading.
Likewise, traders looking to capitalise on trending sectors can use Relative Strength to determine attractive markets. For example, a trader may consider consumer staples a strong industry that could outperform the S&P 500 and then compare the S&P 500 Consumer Staples Sector ETF’s (ICSU) Relative Strength readings to the S&P 500 to confirm their prediction.
In contrast, while RSI can be applied across all timeframes, its focus on short-term price action may make it a better option for those interested in trading recent movements. As a versatile indicator, traders can use RSI to highlight potential reversals and trends through both its absolute value and divergences. This makes it ideal for someone looking to find specific entry and exit points rather than general market trends or long-term outperformance.
Relative Strength Index vs True Strength Indicator: What Is the Difference?
The True Strength Index (TSI) indicator is another momentum oscillator commonly confused with RSI. It’s calculated by smoothing price differences over a specific period and dividing the result by a double-smoothed average of the absolute price differences.
The resulting TSI value oscillates around a zero line, with positive values indicating bullish momentum and vice versa. It also features a signal line, which is an average of the TSI line.
While their plots are relatively similar, there are differences between RSI and TSI. The primary difference is in their interpretation. RSI mainly identifies overbought and oversold levels, while TSI indicates the overall trend direction using its value relative to the zero line. Their calculations also differ, resulting in a smoother TSI compared to the more erratic RSI.
Test Your Skills
Now that you have a solid overview of the differences between Relative Strength and RSI, it’s time to put your knowledge into action. You can open an FXOpen account to gain access to dozens of tradeable instruments and advanced technical analysis tools, including the RSI indicator. Good luck!
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Chart Patterns
📍Part 5: Corrective Waves - Simple - Triangle.Hello!
➡️In this lecture, we will cover one of the most common or popular correction options - triangles. I remind you that we are now considering various correction structures that are encountered both separately and can be part of more complex structures.
➡️Triangles are probably the most popular pattern for all beginners, yes, and not only beginners. It is quite often seen on the chart and most likely everyone tried to trade it according to classical recommendations, for example from books or a course, when essentially everything comes down to breaking dynamic resistance on one of the sides where you buy or sell.
➡️In history, everything looks pretty harmonious as usual, but in real-time, it turns out to be not that simple, and here maybe just the rules from wave analysis will help to avoid a certain number of errors.
➡️So let's take a look at the main rules and guiding norms for triangles!
✅ General Rules ✅
📍A triangle always subdivides into five waves.
📍At least four waves among waves "a", "b", "c", "d" and "e" are subdivided into a single zigzag.
📍In a triangle, only one subwave can be a multiple zigzag or triangle.
✅ General guidelines ✅
📍Usually, wave "c" or wave "d" subdivides into a "multiple zigzag" that is longer lasting and contains deeper percentage retracements than each of the other subwaves.
📍Alternating waves of a triangle may be in Fibonacci proportion to each other by a ratio of 0.618 for contracting triangles and 1.618 for expanding triangles. For example, in a contracting triangle, look for wave "c" to equal 0.618 of wave "a".
📍A triangle can be correction wave "4" in the impuls, wave "b" of a zigzag, wave "x" of a double or second wave of an "x" of a triple zigzag, sub-wave "c", "d" or "e" of a triangle and the last structure of a combination.
✅ Contracting Triangle ✅
Rules
📍Wave "c" never moves beyond the end of wave "a", wave "d" never moves beyond the end of wave "b", and wave "e" never moves beyond the end of wave "c". The result is that going forward in time, a line connecting the ends of waves "b" and "d" converges with a line connecting the ends of waves "a" and "c".
📍Waves "a" and "b" never subdivide into a triangle.
📍In a running contracting triangle, wave "b" should be no more than twice as long as wave "a".
Guidelines
📍Sometimes one of the waves, usually wave "c", "d" or "e", subdivides into a contracting or barrier triangle. Often the effect is as if the entire triangle consisted of nine zigzags.
📍About 60% of the time, wave "b" goes beyond the beyond the start of wave "a". When this happens, the triangle is called a running contracting triangle.
✅ Barrier Triangle ✅
Rules
📍Wave "c" never moves beyond the end of wave "a", wave "d" never moves beyond the end of wave "b", and wave "e" never moves beyond the end of wave "c". The result is that going forward in time, a line connecting the ends of waves "b" and "d" converges with a line connecting the ends of waves "a" and "c".
📍Waves "b" and "d" end at essentially the same level.
📍In a running barrier triangle, wave "b" should be no more than twice as long as wave "a".
Guidelines
📍About 60% of the time, wave "b" goes beyond the start of wave "a". When this happens, the triangle is called a running barrier triangle.
📍When wave "5" follows a barrier triangle, it is typically either a brief, rapid movement or an exceptionally long extension.
✅ Expanding Triangle ✅
Rules
📍Wave "c", "d" and "e" each moves beyond the end of the preceding same-directional subwave. (The result is that going forward in time, a line connecting the ends of waves "b" and "d" diverges from a line connecting the ends of waves "a" and "c.")
📍Subwaves "b", "c" and "d" each retrace at least 100 percent but no more than 150 percent of the preceding subwave.
Guidelines
📍Subwaves "b", "c" and "d" usually retrace 105 to 125 percent of the preceding subwave.
Fib Retracement - better/important than most believeFibonacci.
introduced by Italian mathematician "father of the Fibonacci sequence" Leonardo Da Pasa (born around A.D. 1170) in 1202 in his book Liber Abaci "book of calculations" which he handwrote as the printing was not yet invented, which also became the first book to be introduced to the Hindu-Arabic numeral system as it was a new way to write numbers and do calculations.
Fibonacci in trading.
the most important/popular fib tool in the trading/investing community is the Fibonacci Retracement applied from the Fibonacci sequence which is a set of steadily increasing numbers where each number is the sum of the preceding 2 numbers.
Fibonacci retracement, is derived based on high and low price/ valley and peak in supply and demand terms.
The most important Fibonacci ratios/percentage of the retracement measure is - 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 100%, with the ratio/percentage being represented by horizontal lines on the price chart.
calculated by :
in bull market, high price - (high price-low price) x percentage
in bear market, low price + (high price-low price) x percentage
Significance of Fib Retracement.
these are very important too traders as the indicate significant price levels/areas like :
- support and resistance
- liquidity pool - using rectangle drawing tool to connect two fib retracement levels together as a zone not a singular ratio level. based on current market conditions and trading criteria.
- price targets, exit price (Take Profit)
- Stop Loss
- stop and limit orders (set and forget for supply and demand traders)
Fibonacci retracement also compliments other trading tool and indicators well and can be used by all sorts of traders, from position traders to scalpers. it works best on trending market conditions to identify reversals, corrections, pullbacks continuation moves.
important note :
- Leonardo did not invent Fibonacci, it was actually used and known to Indian mathematicians since the 6th century.
- the 50% is not really a Fibonacci number instead is taken from Dow theory that assets usually retrace half their prior move.
put together by : Pako Phutietsile as @currencynerd
STOP LOSS more important than you think!Set STOP-LOSS and stop your loss!
The Vital Role of Stop-Loss in Forex and Crypto Trading
In the fast-paced realms of forex and cryptocurrency trading, where market volatility is the norm, the integration of a stop-loss strategy holds paramount importance. A stop-loss order acts as a critical risk management tool, shielding traders from excessive losses and preventing impulsive decision-making in turbulent market conditions. However, its significance goes beyond risk mitigation; stop-loss orders also play a pivotal role in guiding traders towards selecting optimal entry points. Let's delve into why incorporating stop-loss orders into your trading approach is essential for achieving long-term success.
Fostering Discipline and Psychological Resilience
One of the primary rationales for the necessity of stop-loss lies in its capacity to nurture discipline and psychological resilience among traders. By establishing predetermined exit points, traders not only manage risk effectively but also cultivate a disciplined mindset crucial for navigating the complexities of financial markets. Adhering to stop-loss levels compels traders to conduct thorough analyses of entry points, thereby refining their decision-making processes. This disciplined approach not only mitigates the influence of emotional trading but also fosters rationality and consistency, pivotal attributes for sustainable trading success.
Empowering Effective Risk Management Practices
Effective risk management forms the bedrock of successful trading endeavors. Without the implementation of stop-loss mechanisms, traders expose themselves to the peril of unchecked losses, which could potentially erode their entire trading capital. Stop-loss orders serve as a bulwark against such scenarios, capping losses at predetermined levels. By calculating appropriate position sizes relative to stop-loss distances, traders ensure that each trade aligns with their risk tolerance and overarching trading strategy. Moreover, the process of setting stop-loss levels inherently prompts traders to meticulously assess entry points, reinforcing the importance of selecting optimal trade setups.
Optimizing Risk-Reward Dynamics
An often-overlooked aspect by novice traders is the critical importance of maintaining favorable risk-to-reward ratios. Trading without stop-loss not only compromises risk management but also distorts the risk-reward dynamics of each trade. Well-placed stop-loss orders enable traders to define risk upfront, enabling them to seek out trades with favorable risk-reward profiles. By aligning potential losses with anticipated gains, traders can pursue asymmetric returns, where profit potential outweighs risk undertaken. This strategic alignment not only enhances profitability but also instills confidence in traders, empowering them to execute trades with conviction.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the integration of stop-loss orders into your forex and crypto trading endeavors is indispensable for cultivating discipline, managing risk effectively, and optimizing profitability. Beyond serving as a risk management tool, stop-loss orders nurture psychological resilience, refine decision-making processes, and uphold the principles of disciplined trading. Moreover, stop-loss implementation inherently encourages traders to scrutinize entry points meticulously, reinforcing the importance of selecting optimal trade setups. Therefore, traders must recognize the pivotal role of stop-loss in safeguarding capital and fostering long-term success in the dynamic world of financial markets.
3 Triangle Patterns Every Trader Should Know Hello, friends!Some EDU today!💪
Triangle chart patterns, a discreet yet powerful tool in the world of technical analysis, hold the key to deciphering market trends.
These geometric formations are not just lines and shapes on a chart; they are windows into the psychology of market participants, offering insights that can guide strategic decision-making.
How to Trade Triangle Chart Patterns
A triangle chart pattern is characterized by the price gradually narrowing within a specific range over time, visually representing a battle between bulls and bears.
The triangle pattern typically falls under the category of a "continuation pattern." This means that once the pattern completes, it is generally assumed that the price will continue in the same direction as the trend before the pattern's emergence.
To identify a triangle pattern, it usually requires at least five touches of both support and resistance lines. For instance, you might observe three touches on the support line and two on the resistance line, or vice versa.
There are three primary types of triangle chart formations: symmetrical triangles, ascending triangles, and descending triangles.
Symmetrical Triangle
A symmetrical triangle is a chart pattern where the slopes of the price's highs and lows converge, forming a triangular shape. During this formation, the market experiences lower highs and higher lows, indicating a lack of clear trend direction.
In a hypothetical battle between buyers and sellers, this would result in a draw. It's essentially a period of consolidation.
As the two slopes get closer to each other, it signifies an impending breakout. The direction of the breakout is uncertain, but it's highly likely to occur. Eventually, one side of the market will give in.
To capitalize on this situation, traders can place entry orders above the slope of the lower highs and below the slope of the higher lows within the symmetrical triangle. Since a breakout is expected, traders can ride the market in whichever direction it moves.
Ascending Triangle
An ascending triangle forms when there's a resistance level and a series of higher lows. During this period, there's a level that buyers struggle to surpass, but they gradually push the price up, as evidenced by the higher lows.
This pattern indicates that buyers are gaining strength as they consistently create higher lows. They exert pressure on the resistance level, making a breakout likely.
However, the direction of the breakout remains uncertain. Many sources suggest that buyers often win this battle, causing the price to break past the resistance. But it's not always the case; sometimes, the resistance is too strong, and buyers lack the power to breach it.
Traders should be prepared for movement in either direction. Entry orders can be set above the resistance line and below the slope of the higher lows within the ascending triangle.
Descending Triangle
Descending triangles are the opposite of ascending triangles. In this pattern, a series of lower highs forms the upper line, while the lower line represents a strong support level.
Typically, the price eventually breaks below the support line and continues to decline. However, in some instances, the support line proves to be formidable, causing the price to bounce off it and make a significant upward move.
Regardless of the price's ultimate direction, what's important is recognizing that it's poised for movement. Traders can place entry orders above the upper line (the lower highs) and below the support line.
In each of these scenarios, the subsequent price movement can present profitable trading opportunities, depending on the direction of the breakout.
In conclusion, triangle chart patterns are more than just lines and shapes; they are a trader's roadmap to understanding market dynamics. By recognizing these patterns, traders gain an edge in predicting potential price movements and making informed decisions. Whether it's the symmetrical tug-of-war, the ascending climb, or the descending descent, triangles offer a glimpse of supply and demand on the market.
Remember, while triangles provide valuable insights, they are not crystal balls. Risk management and ongoing analysis are crucial in trading. With the right strategies and discipline, you can navigate these patterns to seize profitable opportunities and master the art of trading.
Happy trading! 🚀
Your Kateryna!
Keltner Channels vs Bollinger BandsKeltner Channels vs Bollinger Bands: Which Indicator Should You Use?
If you’re a trader, you likely know that indicators are a valuable tool for identifying trends and finding entry and exit points. Two popular indicators are Keltner Channels and Bollinger Bands. Both help you measure volatility, but which one is better? In this article, we’ll dive into the differences between the two, explain their components, and discuss which one is best.
Keltner Channels
The Keltner Channel is an indicator that helps traders determine trends, momentum, and potential reversal areas in a given market. It’s named after Chester Keltner, who first introduced it in the 1960s. Keltner Channels are composed of three lines, forming an envelope.
The middle of these three lines is an exponential moving average (EMA), usually set to 20 periods. The upper and lower lines are multiples of the Average True Range (ATR) added or subtracted from the EMA, often double. The ATR measures the volatility of an asset by taking the average of the true ranges of its price movements over a certain period.
We can interpret Keltner Channels in several ways. The upper and lower bounds act as dynamic support and resistance levels, and traders use them to determine entry and exit points. Additionally, when price breaks through one of the bounds, it may signal a potential reversal or a continuation of the current trend, depending on price action and other technical factors.
For instance, a market in a strong bullish trend will appear to stick close to the upper line, often retracing to the EMA before continuing higher. Meanwhile, closes far outside of the lines may sometimes signal a reversal, given how far price has moved beyond its expected true range. Following a ranging market, determined when the lines are effectively horizontal, these kinds of extreme moves may signal a breakout.
Bollinger Bands
The Bollinger Bands is a widely used technical indicator that helps us identify an asset's volatility and potential price movements. It was created by John Bollinger in the 1980s and has since become a popular tool among traders of all levels.
Like Keltner Channels, the Bollinger Bands tool comprises three components: the middle line and two outer lines. The middle line is a simple moving average (SMA), typically 20 periods long. The upper and lower bands are calculated by adding and subtracting a multiple of the price’s standard deviation from the SMA, respectively. This multiple is set to two by default, but some will adjust it according to their preferences.
Instead of using the true range, Bollinger Bands use standard deviation (STD) – the square root of the variance of a set of price movements over time. Because they utilise standard deviation, Bollinger Bands are slightly more responsive to volatility than Keltner Channels. When the range constricts, volatility is low; and when the range expands, volatility is increasing. Many traders prefer Bollinger Bands to gauge volatility in the market.
As with Keltner Channels, the bands show dynamic support and resistance levels. They’re also quite effective when used to detect reversals – explained shortly. Additionally, we can apply Bollinger Bands to detect trends/breakouts when price hugs the bounds, though arguably not as well as Keltner Channels.
Keltner Channels vs Bollinger Bands
So, we know that using Keltner Channels and Bollinger Bands helps us to measure volatility while trading. But what exactly are their key differences?
ATR vs STD
The first and most fundamental difference is how each indicator measures volatility. ATR, used in Keltner Channels, takes the average of absolute changes in price, or an average of the true range. The standard deviation used by Bollinger Bands indicates how much price may deviate from its average.
While the difference may seem subtle, it can be significant in certain market conditions. Standard deviation gives more weight to larger values over smaller ones, effectively making Bollinger Bands more responsive to volatility.
EMA vs SMA
The second is the moving average both indicators use. Keltner Channels employ an exponential moving average, which is more responsive to recent price action than other moving averages.
Bollinger Bands implement the simple moving average, which reacts slower than the EMA. The impact isn’t as significant as ATR vs standard deviation, but the more responsive nature of the EMA may help traders get into positions more often if they’re trading pullbacks.
Trading Trends
To determine a trend with Bollinger Bands, we typically look for the bands to start widening, which indicates volatility (usually following a breakout). When the bands become tight, it’s expected that a new trend could be about to form.
To identify a trend using Keltner Channels, we can examine whether it slopes up or down. Given that Keltner Channels are often slower moving, multiple closes outside the channel can show us that an asset has momentum and is looking to continue the trend.
Trading Reversals
Statistically, 95% of price action should be inside Bollinger Bands with two standard deviations. This is significant for identifying potential overbought and oversold areas; moves beyond the bounds indicate that the price action is extreme and has a strong likelihood of reversing.
Keltner Channels can be used to find reversals, but it’s often much harder than with Bollinger Bands. A price will regularly breach or close outside of the channel in a strong trend while not crossing Bollinger Bands. It’s best to apply Keltner Channels to trend trading and identifying breakouts.
Using Keltner Channels and Bollinger Bands in a Strategy
Overall, Bollinger Bands are a more responsive indicator that may help us identify when volatility could be about to pick up (tightening) and when a new trend has likely started (widening). They’re well suited to trading reversals, thanks to the statistics of standard deviations.
Keltner Channels tend to be less responsive to volatility, but they may be much better at identifying strong trends, especially when price hugs or continuously closes beyond the lines. When price ranges, Keltner Channels often show a new trend forming much faster than Bollinger Bands, thanks to the telltale sloping of the channel.
So which one is best? Ultimately, it comes down to the individual trader and their style. Some may prefer to trade reversals with Bollinger Bands or jump on board breakouts with Keltner Channels. You could play around with both in the free TickTrader platform from us at FXOpen to get an idea of how to apply both indicators while trading.
Closing Thoughts
You should now have a solid overview of the differences between Keltner Channels and Bollinger Bands. While they may seem similar, taking the time to experiment with them will show you the qualities of each and how they could be applied to various scenarios.
Once you settle on your favourite, why not combine it with other indicators, like RSI or Stochastic oscillator, to develop your own strategy? Then, when you’re ready, open an FXOpen account and start using your system for real trading!
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Trade Entry and Management Techniques Using Swing High PivotsIn today's video idea, we will delve into a comprehensive strategy for trade entry and management, centered around utilizing swing high pivots as crucial reference points. We will also explore the effective integration of technical tools such as Outer Bands, ribbons, and Target View Trades (TV-Trades) to enhance precision in trading decisions. By the end of this tutorial, you will gain valuable insights into determining trade viability and optimizing trade execution.
Understanding Swing High Pivots:
Swing high pivots serve as pivotal landmarks in market analysis, offering valuable insights into potential trade setups. When identifying swing high pivots, focus on significant price peaks that indicate potential trend reversals or continuation points. These points will serve as key references for evaluating trade opportunities and managing risk effectively.
Trade Entry Strategies:
Utilizing swing high pivots as reference points, assess the market conditions to determine the viability of trade entry. Look for confluence with other technical indicators such as Outer Bands and ribbons to validate trade setups. Prioritize trades that align with the prevailing market trend and exhibit strong momentum, increasing the probability of success.
Managing Trades:
Once you enter a trade, it is essential to implement effective management techniques to optimize profitability and mitigate risks. Continuously monitor price action relative to swing high pivots and technical indicators to gauge trade performance. Implement trailing stop-loss orders to protect profits and minimize potential losses as the trade progresses.
Integration of Technical Tools:
Explore the functionalities of technical tools such as Outer Bands, ribbons, and Target View Trades (TV-Trades) to refine trade entry and exit points further. Outer Bands provide larger trend information, aiding in direction, trade confirmation and risk management. Ribbons offer visual cues for trend direction and momentum, enhancing trade precision. Target View Trades (TV-Trades) provide a systematic approach to identify optimal entry and exit points, facilitating disciplined trading execution.
Conclusion:
Mastering trade entry and management techniques is essential for navigating the dynamic landscape of financial markets successfully. By incorporating swing high pivots and leveraging technical tools effectively, traders can make informed decisions, capitalize on lucrative opportunities, and achieve consistent profitability in their trading endeavors. Continuously refine your skills through practice and experimentation, adapting to evolving market conditions for sustained success.
Swing Mapping Part 2: Trade Entry TechniquesWelcome to part 2 of our 3-part series on swing mapping – a highly underestimated technique that can be applied to any market on any timeframe.
In Swing Mapping Part 1 we outlined the key principles of swing mapping which involved identifying potential swings, monitoring them, and drawing conclusions about market structure as swings levels are held or broken.
Today, we will take this a step further and look at how swing mapping can be used to identify trade entry setups without the need for any additional indicators. We will showcase four simple entry setups that have the potential to unlock a plethora of trading opportunities.
Swing Mapping Entry Setups: Breakouts and Reversals
Swing mapping entry setups fall into two broad categories: breakouts and reversals.
Breakouts involve entering with momentum as the market breaks above a swing that you have identified.
Reversals on the other hand, involve entering against the prevailing momentum on a certain type of reversal that occurs at a swing level.
The breakout and reversal swing mapping entry techniques that we will outline below can be applied to any market on any timeframe.
Breakout Entry Setups
1. Break & Retest
The break & retest setup can occur in a trending market structure or in a range bound market structure.
Entry Trigger:
Break and close above (below) a key level of swing resistance (support). This should be followed by a retest of the broken resistance (support) level. The entry trigger occurs when the market forms a small swing low (high) at the broken resistance (support) level.
Stop Placement:
Below (above) nearest swing low.
Example: S&P 500 5min Candle Chart
In this example the market breaks above a key level of swing resistance. This is followed by a retest of the broken resistance level during which the market formed a cluster of small swing lows – indicating that broken resistance had become support.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
2. Cluster Breakout
The cluster breakout setup should only be taken when a clear trend has developed. During pullbacks in trends, a market tends to form clusters of small swings. The cluster breakout setup looks to enter on a breakout above (below) a cluster of swing highs (lows). The breakout should occur in the direction of the prevailing trend.
Entry Trigger:
Breakout above two or more small swing highs (lows) that have formed during a pullback in an established uptrend (downtrend).
Stop Placement:
Below (above) nearest swing low.
Example: S&P 500 5min Candle Chart
Sticking with the same example, shortly after the break & retest entry setup occurred a strong uptrend developed during which the market formed a cluster of swing highs as the trend consolidated. When the market broke through the small cluster of swing highs, our entry setup was triggered.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Reversal Entry Setups
1. Fakeout
A fakeout occurs when the market breaks above a swing level only to reverse within the same or following two candles – trapping those traders who had anticipated a breakout.
Entry Trigger:
Break above (below) swing resistance (support) level followed by a close back below (above) the swing resistance (support) level within the same or following two candles.
Stop Placement:
Below (above) fakeout low (high)
Example: Tesla Daily Candle Chart
This example from Tesla’s daily candle chart highlights the plethora of trading opportunities the fakeout entry setup can offer. We see multiple instances of long and short opportunities when the market threatens to break above (below) a swing level only to fakeout.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
2. Hot Touch: Double Top/Bottom
The ‘hot touch’ is a specific variation of the classic double top/bottom. The market must touch and reverse from a swing level within the same candle like a cat that’s just touched a hot tin roof!
Entry Trigger:
An exact double top/bottom forms from a single candle.
Stop Placement:
Below (above) the double bottom (top).
Example: EUR/USD 5min Candle Chart
In the below example a hot touch double top forms in a range bound market – causing prices to reverse sharply and retest the bottom of the range. It is also worth noting the two fakeout patterns that also occurred.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 84.01% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Smart Money Concepts Detailed Learning Plan. 5 Essential Topics
If you want to learn Smart Money concepts, but you don't know what to start with, this article with help.
I will share with you 5-steps Smart Money Concepts learning plan . 5 important topics to study in SMC.
Topic 1:
Market Structure - the analysis of a behavior of a price on a chart.
In the contest of Smart Money Concepts you should learn:
-SMC structure mapping
-Market trend identification
-Trend change
-Trend reversal
-SMC important events: BoS, CHoCH
Learn Trend Analysis
Leach ChoCH
Topic 2:
Liquidity Zones - learn to identify the areas on a price chart where liquidity concentrates.
Learn How to Identify Liquidity Zones
Topic 3:
Imbalance - one of the most accurate signals of the presence of big players / smart money on the market.
Learn How to Identify Imbalance with Candlestick
Topic 4:
Order Block - the specific areas on a price chart where institutional traders / smart money are placing significant number of trading orders.
Top 5:
Top-Down Analysis - structured and consistent analysis of multiple time frames.
After you study Topic 1, 2, 3, 4, you should learn to apply these knowledge and techniques on multiple time frames, to make informed decisions, following long-term, mid-term, short-term analysis.
Learn Top - Down Analysis
The 5 topics that we discussed are essential for your success as a smart money trader.
Study these topics with care, and I guarantee you that you will achieve exceptional results.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Full Explanation How To Find H&S Pattern And How To Use It !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
How to Trade the Cypher Harmonic PatternHow to Trade the Cypher Harmonic Pattern
If you’re an avid trader, you’re probably familiar with harmonic patterns. One of the rarer and more advanced patterns is the Cypher, which can be an effective tool for identifying potential trend reversals and entry points.
However, successfully trading the Cypher pattern requires a thorough understanding of its structure and rules. In this article, we’ll delve into the specifics of the Cypher pattern, how you can spot it, and offer some practical tips on how to trade it.
What Is the Cypher Chart Pattern?
The Cypher is a type of harmonic pattern used by traders to identify potential buying and selling opportunities in the markets. Specifically, it’s used to help find areas where a reversal may occur.
The pattern is made up of five swing points (X, A, B, C, D) and four legs (XA, AB, BC, CD). It’s characterised by an “M” shape when bullish and a “W” shape if bearish. Traders typically place orders at D to catch the potential reversal.
Like other harmonic patterns, the Cypher requires that specific Fibonacci ratios be met before it is traded. However, the ratios used for the Cypher are relatively unique, which makes the formation one of the less common harmonic patterns.
The Cypher is also more advanced than other patterns, like the Gartley, Bat, or Butterfly, so you may need to spend some extra time learning how to recognise and trade it effectively. Once you master the skill, however, you’ll find that the Cypher can be a valuable addition to your trading arsenal.
Identifying the Cypher Pattern
At its simplest, the Cypher pattern comprises an impulse leg, XA, that retraces to form AB. Another impulse beyond the swing point A creates the BC leg, and a final retracement to D generates the CD leg.
Here are the Cypher harmonic pattern rules that must also be met:
AB retraces XA by 38.2% to 61.8%.
BC extends XA by 127.2% to 141.4%.
CD retraces XC by 78.6%.
It’s acceptable if the ratios don’t line up exactly. For example, if AB retraces XA by 63% and the rest of the pattern looks correct, you can still consider trading. This is especially true for the final rule. Generally speaking, CD often moves slightly beyond the 78.6% area before reversing but can sometimes stop just short of the actual point, so don’t be discouraged if the ratios aren’t perfect.
Drawing the Cypher Pattern
Now that we know how to identify the Cypher, we can begin plotting it on live charts. To help develop your Cypher drawing skills, try using the TickTrader platform offered by us at FXOpen. You’ll be able to use the built-in XABCD drawing tool, as seen in the chart above. To draw the Cypher pattern:
Choose the XABCD tool from the sidebar in “Patterns.”
Click to place X at your first swing point.
Add the following A, B, and C points at the corresponding swing highs and lows.
Place D at 78.6%. To be notified as soon the price reaches the area, open an FXOpen account to gain access to customisable alerts.
You may notice that the ratios on the chart are expressed as numbers instead of percentages. Just multiply the number by 100 to get the percentage, such as 1.272 = 127.2%.
Using the Cypher Pattern While Trading
So, now we know how to identify and draw the Cypher pattern, but how do you trade it? Follow these steps to get an idea of how you can apply the Cypher pattern to forex and other markets.
Entry
Traders have two options when it comes to entering a Cypher pattern. They can either set a limit order at the 78.6% level or use a market order after confirming that the price is beginning to reverse.
Setting a limit order runs the risk of missing an entry if the price just goes beyond the level, but it can also make life easier since you don’t need to actively watch for confirmation. Meanwhile, looking for validation, like if D begins to reverse at a support/resistance level or with a candlestick pattern (such as a pin bar or tweezer tops/bottoms), and entering with a market order may potentially offer you a worse risk/reward ratio, but can get you into trades with more certainty.
Stop Loss
Since X should always be the most extreme point out of X, B, and D, stop losses can be placed just above (bearish Cypher) or below X (bullish Cypher). Beyond X, the setup becomes invalid, so this is a suitable area to set a stop.
If entering with a market order, you could set a stop loss above (bearish Cypher) or below (bullish Cypher) the candle you entered on for potentially greater risk/reward, but be aware that the price could still hit your stop loss and take off without you.
Take Profit
Many traders begin to partially close their position at A, although you could choose C if you want to take a more aggressive approach. Beyond the structure, you could set targets based on Fibonacci extension levels, like 1.272 or 1.618. This is done by applying the Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension tool to X, A, and B, which will project levels outside the formation.
Bullish Cypher Pattern Example
Here, we have an almost perfect AB retracement of 61.4%, followed by a pinpoint CD retracement to the 78.6% level. Note that the tool shows the pullback as 73.7%, but we know by applying the Fibonacci retracement tool to X and C that it actually hit the expected level. Even if you weren’t using the Fibonacci retracement tool, you could still consider the hammer and following bullish engulfing candle signs of a reversal and enter with a market order.
The stop loss was placed suitably, just below X. Given how well this example aligns with the ratios, you could decide to be more aggressive and set a profit target at C. You might also use the Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension tool, as we’ve used here, to find further targets, such as 127.2%.
Bearish Cypher Pattern Example
In this example, we can see a bearish Cypher forming as part of a larger downtrend. The AB retracement of 62.9% and BC extension of 129.6% are very close to the ratios of 61.8% and 127.2%, so we can be confident that the price is likely to reverse at 0.786 before breaking down further.
As such, a limit order at 78.6% would have been ideal, as the price retraced to 79% before plummeting. The risk/reward ratio here is also attractive with a stop loss just above X. A conservative profit-taking approach would be to partially close the position at A, although C would have also been suitable in this scenario. Using the Fibonacci extension tool applied as described above showed us an optimal second target at 161.8%.
Your Next Moves
Now that you have an overview of what the Cypher pattern is, how to identify it, and how to trade it, you can put your knowledge to the test. You can follow these steps:
Head over to TickTrader and hunt for the hallmark “W” and “M” shapes the Cypher creates to get used to spotting them.
Once you’ve identified a few, try using the guide and examples above to determine how you would have traded the pattern and note the results.
Take a look at the Cypher pattern indicator to help you identify formations you might have missed.
Draw up some rules around how you’d like to incorporate Cyphers into your own system. You could also explore how other technical factors, like trendlines, support/resistance levels, and chart patterns, can add confluence to your Cypher trades.
Open an FXOpen account and have a go at trading Cyphers in live markets, continuing to refine your strategy.
Broaden your horizons by learning more about harmonic patterns. If you’ve mastered the Cypher, you’re probably ready for other advanced patterns, like the Shark, 5-0, and Three Drives.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
How To Trade A Symmetrical Triangle Break-Out A symmetrical triangle is a geometric formation found in technical analysis, often appearing during periods of market consolidation. It's characterized by converging trendlines, typically drawn by connecting a series of lower highs and higher lows. This pattern reflects a balance between buyers and sellers, signaling indecision in the market regarding the future price direction.
Here's how a symmetrical triangle pattern typically looks:
Upper Trendline: Connects a series of lower highs.
Lower Trendline: Connects a series of higher lows.
As the price oscillates between these trendlines, the trading range becomes narrower, forming the triangle pattern.
Trading a breakout in forex involves capitalizing on a significant price movement that occurs when the price breaks out of the symmetrical triangle pattern. Traders employ a systematic approach to identify, confirm, and capitalize on these breakouts:
Pattern Identification: Recognizing the symmetrical triangle pattern entails observing the converging trendlines and confirming their formation with multiple swing highs and swing lows.
Determining Breakout Direction: Traders closely monitor price action within the triangle, looking for signs of an impending breakout. Breakouts can manifest in either direction, and traders seek confirmation through a decisive breach of a trendline, often accompanied by increased trading volume.
Confirmation and Entry: Patience is key as traders await confirmation of the breakout. Some may wait for a close above or below the trendline, while others may enter trades immediately upon breakout, anticipating further momentum.
Risk Management: Implementing effective risk management strategies is crucial. This involves setting stop-loss orders to mitigate potential losses if the breakout fails or reverses.
Monitoring and Adjusting: Traders diligently monitor price action post-breakout, anticipating volatility and potential retests of breakout levels. They adjust stop-loss and take-profit levels based on evolving market conditions and price movements.
Trade Management: Once in a trade, traders adhere to their predefined trading plans. They consider scaling out of positions as price reaches predetermined targets or if market conditions shift.
Successful breakout trading in forex requires discipline, patience, and effective risk management. It's imperative to integrate technical analysis with other market factors like fundamentals and sentiment for well-informed decision-making.
Understanding Trends: Indicators, Trendlines, and PivotsIn this video I describe trends, what the are, what a proper trend should look like and ways of indentifying a trend.
I cover the following tools to identify trends:
Trendlines (with consistency)
Internal Trendlines
Indicators: Linear regression, EMA, Channels/Bands
Pivot swings
I think no matter how YOU define a trend, it should be the following things:
Consistent
Measurable - so you can analyze it later
Fit your trading style
I hope you learned something new in this video. Please drop a comment if you like the content.
GAPS- HOW TO TRADE THE "GAP - OPENING"This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
(Earlier video was missing the mouse pointer, it is rectified in this video)
Education chart - SIMPLE ZIGZAGS in WXY DOUBLE ZIGZAGI started to assemble own ibrary of ElliottWave patterns and rules.
Here simple zigzags occured in: wave W and wave Y of WXY double zigzag
Zigzag 1 - wave W
Wave A - leading diagonal
Wave B - double zigzag
Wave C - ending expanding diagonal ending at the top line of the parrallel channel
Zigzag 2 - wave Y
Wave A - impulse
Wave B - double zigzag
Wave C - ending expanding diagonal ending at the middle of the parrallel channel
-----------------------------------------
## Rules for Simple ZigZag
- Subdivide into three waves.
- Wave A is always an impulse or leading diagonal (expanding or contracting)
- Wave C is always an impulse or ending diagonal (expanding or contracting).
- Wave B is any corrective pattern.
- Wave B never moves beyond Wave A start
- Wave B always ends in Wave A territory
- Wave A and C cannot be both diagonals of the same type (contracting/contracting or expanding/expanding), other combinations are possible
## Norms
- Waves A and C are frequently impulse waves but even more often they alternate between impulse and diagonal modes. Waves A and C may occasionally alternate between contracting and expanding diagonals
- Waves A and C cannot be diagonals of the same type
- Wave C must travel past Wave A's top. In Elliott Wave Theory, failure to do so is referred to as truncation
- Wave C should not go below 90% of Wave A
## Guidelines
- Wave C is typically equal to 0.618 (occasionally 1.618 or 2.618) of wave A
- Wave B typically retraces 38-79% of Wave A
- in case B is a triangle it retraces **38-50%** of Wave A
- in case B is a running triangle, the retracement can be **10-40%**
- in case B is zigzag, the expected retracement is **50-79%**
- The parallel channel that connects Wave A's start and Wave B's finish may provide a hint of where Wave C might conclude by extrapolating the other line from Wave A's end
- If waves A and C are both strong, wave C will reverse at the channel's top line
- If wave C appears weaker than wave A, it may reverse at the channel's middle
- If Wave C performs stronger than A, a double channel will be used as a target of the reversal point.
## Occurs in
Wave 2
Wave 4 (unless happened in wave 2)
Wave W, Y of WXY double zigzag
Wave W or Y of a combination
Wave B of ABC flat
Waves 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 in contracting diagonal
Wave B of ABC zigzag
Wave X of WXY double zigzag
SBIN showed Strong Recovery after giving Box Breakout The Stock remained in Box Range for Many Months
■ It witnessed Breakout above the consolidation with Rise In Volume & Made High near 800 level
Track & Practice Box Pattern in other Charts also 👍
* For Educational Purpose Only
Learn & Practice Price Action Setups
How to use Fibonacci Retracement ⁉️‼️ Forex traders use Fibonacci retracements to pinpoint where to place orders for market entry, taking profits and stop-loss orders. Fibonacci levels are commonly used in forex trading to identify and trade off support and resistance levels. After a significant price movement up or down, the new support and resistance levels are often at or near these trend lines . Usually the price retracts to 50% or until OTE (0.62, 0.705, 0.79) before another impulse movement occurs.
CHOCH vs BOS ‼️WHAT IS BOS ?
BOS - break of strucuture. I will use market structure bullish or bearish to understand if the institutions are buying or selling a financial asset.
To spot a bullish / bearish market structure we should see a higher highs and higher lows and viceversa, to spot the continuation of the bullish market structure we should see bullish price action above the last old high in the structure this is the BOS.
BOS for me is a confirmation that price will go higher after the retracement and we are still in a bullish move
WHAT IS CHOCH?
CHOCH - change of character. Also known as reversal, when the price fails to make a new higher high or lower low, then the price broke the structure and continue in other direction.
What is Confluence❓✅ Confluence refers to any circumstance where you see multiple trade signals lining up on your charts and telling you to take a trade. Usually these are technical indicators, though sometimes they may be price patterns. It all depends on what you use to plan your trades. A lot of traders fill their charts with dozens of indicators for this reason. They want to find confluence — but oftentimes the result is conflicting signals. This can cause a lapse of confidence and a great deal of confusion. Some traders add more and more signals the less confident they get, and continue to make the problem worse for themselves.
✅ Confluence is very important to increase the chances of winning trades, a trader needs to have at least two factors of confluence to open a trade. When the confluence exists, the trader becomes more confident on his negotiations.
✅ The Factors Of Confluence Are:
Higher Time Frame Analysis;
Trade during London Open;
Trade during New York Open;
Refine Higher Time Frame key levels in Lower
Time Frame entries;
Combine setups;
Trade during High Impact News Events.
✅ Refine HTF key levels in LTF entries or setups for confirmation that the HTF analysis will hold the price.
HTF Key Levels Are:
HTF Order Blocks;
HTF Liquidity Pools;
HTF Market Structure.
Market Structure Identification ✅Hello traders!
I want to share with you some educational content.
✅ MARKET STRUCTURE .
Today we will talk about market structure in the financial markets, market structure is basically the understading where the institutional traders/investors are positioned are they short or long on certain financial asset, it is very important to be positioned your trading opportunities with the trend as the saying says trend is your friend follow the trend when you are taking trades that are alligned with the strucutre you have a better probability of them closing in profit.
✅ Types of Market Structure
Bearish Market Structure - institutions are positioned LONG, look only to enter long/buy trades, we are spotingt the bullish market strucutre if price is making higher highs (hh) and higher lows (hl)
Bullish Market Structure - institutions are positioned SHORT, look only to enter short/sell trades, we are spoting the bearish market strucutre when price is making lower highs (lh) and lower lows (ll)
Range Market Structure - the volumes on short/long trades are equall instiutions dont have a clear direction we are spoting this strucutre if we see price making equal highs and equal lows and is accumulating .
I hope I was clear enough so you can understand this very important trading concept, remember its not in the number its in the quality of the trades and to have a better quality try to allign every trading idea with the actual structure