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Chart Patterns

Trading is not a get rich quick scheme🔸Patience ▪️Market Timing: Not every moment is the right time to trade. Waiting for the ideal setup is crucial. For example, a patient trader waits for patterns, trends, or specific signals to align with their strategy. ▪️Compounding Growth: Wealth through trading often comes from compounding small, consistent gains rather than chasing big wins. This takes time to materialize. ▪️Recovery Time: Losses are inevitable. Patience allows traders to focus on gradual recovery rather than impulsively trying to "win back" losses. 🔸Discipline ▪️Sticking to the Plan: A trading plan is your blueprint. Discipline ensures you execute trades based on logic, not emotion. ▪️Avoiding Overtrading: The temptation to trade constantly can lead to unnecessary risks. A disciplined trader knows when to step back. ▪️Risk Management: Proper position sizing, setting stop losses, and avoiding over-leveraging are all practices rooted in discipline. 🔸Consistent Effort ▪️Continuous Learning: Markets evolve, and so must traders. Keeping up with new strategies, tools, and market conditions is essential. ▪️Routine Analysis: Reviewing past trades to learn what worked and what didn’t helps improve strategies. ▪️Building Experience: Expertise comes from time spent observing patterns, managing emotions, and handling a variety of market scenarios. 🔸Mindset ▪️Long-Term Thinking: Focus on building wealth slowly rather than chasing immediate profits. ▪️Resilience: Markets can be unpredictable. A strong mindset helps traders stay focused after setbacks. ▪️Adaptability: Successful traders adapt their strategies to fit different market conditions instead of forcing trades. 🔸The Journey, Not the Destination ▪️The idea of "getting rich" in trading is often a trap that leads to rushed decisions and excessive risk-taking. Instead, embrace the process: ▪️Track your progress: Measure success in terms of skill improvement, not just profits. ▪️Celebrate small wins: These build confidence and keep you motivated for the long haul. ▪️Remember, trading is a craft—those who approach it with respect, patience, and consistent effort are the ones most likely to achieve sustainable success.
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
9
What I wish I knew when I started Trading1. Study and Trade One Pair Only Focusing on a single currency pair can streamline your learning and help you master market dynamics. 🔸Choose a Pair: Start with major pairs like EUR/USD or USD/JPY. These have high liquidity and predictable patterns. 🔸Understand Its Behavior: Learn the fundamentals and technical characteristics of the pair, such as its volatility, reaction to news, and typical trading hours. 🔸Backtesting and Practice: Use historical data to understand how the pair moves under different market conditions. 2. Losses Are Part of Trading No trader is immune to losses. Handling them effectively is crucial for long-term success. Mindset: 🔸Accept Losses as Learning Opportunities: View losses as part of the cost of doing business, akin to inventory in retail. 🔸Detach Emotionally: Avoid the temptation to revenge trade or let losses affect your confidence. Practical Strategies: 🔸Set Risk Parameters: Only risk 1-2% of your trading account per trade. This limits the damage of a losing streak. 🔸Use Stop Losses: Predetermine the point at which you will exit a trade if it goes against you. This protects you from devastating losses. 🔸Keep a Journal: Document each trade, including reasons for entering, outcomes, and what you learned. Over time, patterns will emerge to guide improvement. 3. Develop Discipline and Patience 🔸Stick to a Trading Plan: Define your entry, exit, and risk management strategies before trading. 🔸Trade Less, Win More: Focus on high-probability setups instead of trading excessively. 🔸Give Yourself Time: Mastery in Forex trading can take years. Trust the process and aim for consistent improvement. 4. Build Resilience to Handle Losses Self-Care: 🔸Step away from the charts after a big loss to regain perspective. 🔸Engage in activities that reduce stress, like exercise or meditation. Review and Improve: 🔸Evaluate losing trades to identify errors. 🔸Adjust your strategy if recurring issues are found. 🔸Focus on the Big Picture: 🔸Track your performance over months or years, not days. This helps put individual losses into perspective.
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
13
Ticker: Celsius Elliot Wave Reference Model Here’s a reference model for Elliot wave & the 5 Motive Waves . This is ticker NASDAQ:CELH Please leave a like 👍 & a positive comment. Studying for success Assuming you had correctly identified the wave you were in, you could have protected your capital from significant losses. Celsius’ price plummeted from $99 to below $28, a sharp drop that highlights the importance of wave analysis in safeguarding your investments. This strategy & screening methodology can serve as a valuable addition to your trading toolkit. It’s currently 3 a.m. in Toronto, and I’ve spent the last three hours trying to solve this puzzle. 🧩 This is an Extended Wave 3 count. While other primary waves can extend, this is most common wave to extend. That means this charting principle & identification technique will work majority of the time at least on equities. Other assets have varying chart rules. Step 1: Identifying Wave 3 - Look for RSI in overbought territory (70+). - Switch to the highest time frame and identify the highest RSI level on both the price chart and RSI indicator. - This price area often coincides with the highest volume. Highlight the highest volume bars on your chart for confirmation. - Mark this point as Wave 3 and then work backward to identify the preceding waves. Step 2: Identifying Primary Wave 1 & primary wave 2 As you are aware primary wave 1 is the first of the primary wave. Find an area on a chart where price has declined significantly and has created an accumulation box. Mark out the strongest impulse from the box, this should signify wave 1. Wave 1 can be seen as the start of the major move. - Perform a visual scan of the ticker you’re analyzing: - Identify and mark accumulation zones using a rectangular box. - A strong price breakout from an accumulation zone typically signifies the start of Wave 1. - If you’ve already identified Wave 3, you’ll notice Wave 1 is connected to it by a retracement (Primary Wave 2). This relationship should make Wave 1 & 2 &3 (sub 3)easier to spot. Step 3 Primary Wave 3 / Sub wave 4 Retracement & final wave 3 - Wave 3(4) Extension: This retracement might appear to be a Primary Wave 4, but it’s actually the final wave before the extended Wave 3(5). Confusing? I know! Wave extensions are complex. Pay close attention to RSI levels to accurately judge this subwave. Quick Tip: Use the Fibonacci extension tool: 1. Drag from the bottom of Primary Wave 1 to the top. 2. Then drag again to the end of Primary Wave 2. 3. This will mark the 1.618 level, which is often where Subwave 3 of Primary Wave 3 ends. This is the highest price point before Subwave 4’s deep or flat retracement. • Now that you’ve identified Subwave 3 and Subwave 4, you can confirm the Primary Wave 3, which connects to Subwave 4. This will be the next impulse. Step 4 Identifying Wave 4 - Notice the next major accumulation / basing pattern / deep retracement after primary wave 3. Done! Very nice! Step 5: Identifying Wave 5 Similarly to how wave 1 connect to 2 wave 4 connect to wave 5. Done ! b]Final Mentions Point 1 - Notice M pattern extended wave 3(5) aka ( wave 3 final) and primary 5. (M) pattern often called double top. Point 2 - Notice the connections of both the top & bottoms of waves 3(5) and primary 5. Creates a symmetrical triangle pattern which would flash warning signs before the huge price descent. Point 3 - Notice the RSI where you think a new wave started it was just a sub wave in an extensions or a higher time degree Elliot wave. Point 4( can be seen on 4hour time frame) Note the head & shoulder which triggered & signified the end of wave 🌊 sent price from $98 to $26. That is it for this tutorial / reference guide. Please leave a like and a positive comment this took lots of time. If you got to this Part drop your favourite emoji in the chat there are mine : 🌊🤝🎯 Thanks, C Lemard
NASDAQ:CELHEducation
by coilemard
How are risk free trades done (a simple way)🟢 How are risk free trades done (a simple way) ✴️ Rationale The video shows how to take advantage of an incredibly famous chart pattern: 🥇 The TRIPLE BOTTOM chart pattern🥇 This pattern shows a strong support that have worked at least 3 times, and the video shows how to act when the 4th bottom is unfolding. The video shows how trade RISK FREE avoiding the risk as soon as the market allows you to do so. Step 1: Split Use 50% of your money for the risk free strategy and the other 50% to Take large profits. Step 2: Set up Stop Loss for both strategies Both strategies should share the Stop Loss, usually around 3 to 6% and trying to use some previous minimum/maximum prices to adjust. Step 3: Set up a Risk Free take profits The first 50% of your capital will have more or less the same Stop Loss and Take profits. Both will be around 3 to 6% of the buy level. If the take profits is hit, you earn enough to pay for the Stop Loss of the other 50%. Step 4: Find a reasonable Take profits for the returns strategy The other 50% of your money needs a take profits far away of the buy zone, meaning that you can potentially earn more than 3 times the risk. So at least find for 10% targets, if that's not posible this is not a feasible trade, there is too much risk. Always check previous support and resistance levels. Step 4: Enjoy There are 3 outcomes: 1. Both strategies do Stop Loss and you lose around 3 to 6% of the amount of the trade. 2. Your Risk free trade take profits work but your return strategy fail. this is a 0 to 1% return. 3. Both strategies work as expected giving you over 10% return on average. In the video you'll see opportunities in: NYSE:OXY 🟢 +10% trade finished (risk free gains) 🟢 +10% trade finished (risk free gains) 🔵 0% trade finished (risk free) 🟢 +25% unfolding (risk free phase) NASDAQ:DLTR 🟢 +15% trade unfolding (risk free phase) The idea: FX:EURUSD 🟢 200 pips trade unfolding (risk free phase) The idea:
NYSE:OXYEducation
by TopChartPatterns
Dollar's Rise, Gold's Demise◉ Abstract The US Dollar Index (DXY) and gold prices have a historically inverse correlation, with a stronger dollar typically reducing gold demand. Key drivers of this relationship include inflation, geopolitical tensions, and interest rates. With a 73-95% negative correlation observed over time, investors should note the current market outlook: the DXY is poised to break out above 107, potentially surging to 114, while gold prices may drop 5% to 2,400 and then 2,300. Understanding this dynamic is crucial for making informed investment decisions and capitalizing on potential trading opportunities. ◉ Introduction The relationship between the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and gold prices is significant and typically characterized by an inverse correlation. Understanding this relationship is crucial for investors and traders in the gold market. ◉ U.S. Dollar Index Overview The U.S. Dollar Index measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a basket of six major foreign currencies, including the euro, Japanese yen, and British pound. It serves as an indicator of the dollar's strength or weakness in global markets. When the index rises, it indicates that the dollar is gaining value relative to these currencies, while a decline suggests a weakening dollar. ◉ Inverse Relationship with Gold Prices Gold is priced in U.S. dollars on international markets, which directly influences its price based on fluctuations in the dollar's value: ● Strengthening Dollar: When the DXY index increases, it generally leads to a decrease in gold prices. This occurs because a stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for investors using other currencies, thereby reducing demand. ● Weakening Dollar: Conversely, when the DXY index falls, gold prices tend to rise. A weaker dollar makes gold cheaper for foreign investors, increasing its demand and driving up prices. Research indicates that this inverse relationship has been consistent over time, particularly in long-term trends. For instance, historical data shows that gold prices often rise when the dollar depreciates, reflecting a negative correlation of approximately 73% to 95% over various time intervals. ◉ Short-Term Deviations While the long-term trend supports this inverse relationship, short-term anomalies can occur under specific market conditions. For example, during periods of extreme volatility or economic uncertainty, gold and the dollar may exhibit a positive correlation temporarily as both assets are sought after as safe havens. This behaviour can confuse investors who expect the typical inverse relationship to hold. ◉ Additional Influencing Factors Several other factors also affect gold prices beyond the dollar's strength: ● Inflation: Rising inflation often leads investors to flock to gold as a hedge against currency devaluation. ➖ E.g. In 2022, as inflation rates surged to 9.1%, demand for gold increased by 12% year-over-year, pushing prices higher. Historical data shows that during periods of high inflation from 1974 to 2008, gold prices rose by an average of 14.9% annually. ● Geopolitical Events: Uncertainty from geopolitical tensions can drive demand for gold regardless of dollar fluctuations. ➖ E.g. In late 2023, escalating conflicts such as the Israel-Palestine situation and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war contributed to a surge in gold prices, with reports indicating increases of over 3% in a week due to these tensions ● Interest Rates: When the Fed raises interest rates, it typically strengthens the dollar as higher yields attract foreign capital. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, which can reduce demand. ➖ E.g. During the Federal Reserve's rate hikes from March 2022 to early 2023, many investors moved away from gold as they sought higher returns from bonds and other fixed-income securities. This shift contributed to downward pressure on gold prices during that period. ◉ Technical Standings ● U.S. Dollar Index TVC:DXY The US Dollar Index has been stuck in neutral for two years. But if it clears the 107 hurdle, get ready for a surge to 114. ● Gold Spot/USD OANDA:XAUUSD ➖ Gold prices skyrocketed to 2,790, then plunged. Expect a 5% drop to 2,400. If that support cracks, 2,300 is the next safety net.
TVC:DXYEducation
by NaranjCapital
DOGE/USDt: Famous Pattern Indicates Continuation To The Upside Falling peaks and rising valleys have built famous Triangle pattern on the hourly chart of DOGE/USDt. It's a consolidation after a big rally, which means more upside move is ahead. Watch the price to break out of the pattern. The target is located at the widest part of Triangle added to the break point. Its located at 0.533 Breakdown of Triangle would invalidate the pattern. RSI has managed to keep above the neutral point during this consolidation. This supports the idea of further move to the upside
Education
by aibek
EMA, The correct way of usage - Part Two - PullbackOur core belief in ARZ Trading System: Trading, is to have an "expectation" from the market. If not, at any movement, the trader will be confused! If you look at the market and don't have any expectations, don't trade! In a future article, we will discuss what to do if an expectation is not met. In the case of Pullback, Price is not a ball, and EMA (or any other kind of S&R) is not a brick wall, especially in this case. If you put an EMA with any period, you'll see that the price crosses it easily most of the time! Then, it might come back as a shadow or a Fake Breakout. This means we should have a confirmation system for accepting or rejecting a Pullback. Otherwise, we'll always see a pullback shaping! Key Note 1: the higher the EMA period is, the longer will take for a pullback to shape! Key Note 2: Never trust and trade based on just one S&R level! Always have at least 2 or 3 levels to confirm your pullback. Either in a classical way by drawing trendlines and channels, or using any kind of Indicator as a means of dynamic S&R level. Key Note 3: a flat EMA is supposed to break easily! If not, it'll reject the price strongly. It means we have to wait for what will happen at a flat EMA to decide what to do next or expect the price will breach it (Please refer to article part one). Key Note 4: An ascending EMA can only act as a support, and a descending one acts as a resistance, not the other way! This is critical, believe me! Accepted ways of confirming a pullback in the ARZ System are: 1. Wait for a strong reversal pattern to shape at S&R. Never jump the gun! 2. Use a Volume Indicator like WAE (Waddah Attar Explosion) to confirm your entry at the S&R level. In this chart: - Pullback #1 (Bearish Engulfing) is not accepted, because it's just based on one S&R (13EMA) and the reversal pattern closed near the support of MC. - Pullback #2 (Bullish Engulfing) is strong but closed near 100EMA. Can't trust it. - Pullback #3 is awesome! This is a multi-candle Evening Star (Key Note 1&2), of 100EMA & Resistance of UTP & MC. - Pullback #4 is again good but has closed near the low of MC and is risky to take.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by forexise
SPY Day Trading Using @mwrightinc Indicators Give a man a fish, and you feed him for a day. Teach a man to fish, and you feed him for a lifetime. In this video, I explain how I use 4 free TradingView indicators to identify entries on SPY. There is a lot of information out there about creating support and resistance zones. But, drawing reliable ones only comes with experience. In my 3 years of options trading and indicator building, I've found a few patterns that seem to work pretty reliably with SPY. Order blocks, and SPY price levels at $2.50 increments, are 2 of the most predictable. To capture price movements based on these, I explain how I use the QQQ and SPY Price Levels and Magic Order Blocks indicators with SPY options and /MES futures trading. Additionally, volume weighted average price (VWAP), plays an important role every day because institutional (large) investors commonly use it for entries and exits. It is a great gauge of daily trends. ATR bands (also known as Keltner Channels) can also provide an at-a-glance look at what can be expected of price action in the near future. To monitor these, I explain how I use the ATR Bands (Keltner Channels) SRSI and Wick Signals and Multi VWAP indicators. Specifically, how they were used on the 11/13/2024 Trading day. All of the indicators are free and open source, and were built with the goal of making everyone a better trader. I hope you find the content useful. - Mo
CME_MINI:MESZ2024Education
by mwrightinc
Retail Traders Are Waking Up | Here’s How to Spot the SignsWhy Are Our Parents Texting Us About Bitcoin? It’s Getting Weird Thanks to crypto,now I know my entire extended family and even my ancestors! Some of them hadn’t spoken to me in a thousand years, but now they’re calling me “Bruh” (And no, I’m not a vampire, by the way!) Here’s why I think a retail fueled wave might be about to hit the crypto market 1/ A spike in Google searches for "crypto" 2/ Coinbase App Store rankings The Coinbase app just shot up from #155 to #18 in two days 3/ Dogecoin and Squirrel on the rise Retail traders have a soft spot for Doge , Cardano and memecoins. Guess which top 10 tokens surged the most in the last week? bunch of retail traders who’ve held CRYPTOCAP:DOGE and CRYPTOCAP:ADA since the last bull run are probably getting alerts that their investments are bouncing back.(That’s one way to grab their attention) 4/ Bitcoin featured on Bloomberg's front page Mainstream news = mainstream visibility = more pump = more lambo! 5/ Texts from our parents ( Are you winning son? ) The unique skill of being both endearing and critical at once a true dad specialty 6/ Ronald McDonald has joined the chat… McDonald's just teased a new collaboration with Doodles (yes, the NFT project). It kicked off last week…Now, any one of these signs might not mean much alone But taken together, they start to tell a different story. Falling air pressure, strengthening winds, darkening skies… it looks like a retail storm might be on the horizon..Brace yourselves! The good news? This time might not be different. Earlier in the year, there was concern about a potential “left translated cycle.” (Translation: crypto prices rising faster than expected). At first, that sounds great! (Who wouldn’t want a quicker path to wealth?) But the catch is, the shorter the window for prices to peak, the harder it is to time safely (you’d have days instead of weeks or months to sell near the top) When Bitcoin reached all time highs ahead of the halving in March (a first), many traders started feeling “left-translated” jitters. If we stay on this track and hit the same average returns as the past three halving years, we could be looking at a ~$ 126k Bitcoin by year’s end! Here’s hoping this time really isn’t different! BTC just hit a new ATH again!! STOP
Education
by moonypto
Triple Bottom Pattern Tutorial: 5/8 Bullish Chart PatternsTriple Bottom Pattern Tutorial: 5/8 Bullish Chart Patterns A bullish triple bottom is a reversal chart pattern that signals the potential end of a downtrend and the start of an upward trend. Here's a breakdown: Three Lows: The pattern is characterized by three distinct lows that are roughly equal in price. These lows form after a significant downtrend, indicating strong support at that level. Rallies Between Lows: Each low is separated by two intermediate rallies that create peaks. These peaks form the resistance level known as the neckline. Neckline: The horizontal line connecting the highs of the intermediate rallies is called the neckline. This is a crucial resistance level that the price must break through to confirm the pattern. Breakout: A breakout above the neckline, typically accompanied by increased trading volume, confirms the triple bottom pattern. This breakout signifies a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Price Target: The expected price target is often calculated by measuring the distance from the pattern's lowest low to the neckline and projecting that distance upwards from the breakout point. Traders view the triple bottom as a strong indication that the selling pressure has been exhausted and that buyers are starting to gain control, suggesting a potential upward price movement.
AMEX:IWMEducation
by RonnieV29
4
Bullish Double Bottom Pattern Tutorial: 4/8 Bullish PatternsGive me the description for a bullish double-bottom A bullish double bottom is a powerful reversal chart pattern that signals the potential end of a downtrend and the beginning of an upward trend. Here’s how it forms: Two Troughs: The pattern starts with a significant price decline, forming a low (the first bottom). The price then rebounds to create a peak (the middle of the "W" shape) but soon declines again to form a second bottom roughly at the same price level as the first bottom. This double bottom resembles the letter "W." Neckline: The horizontal line that connects the peak of the middle rebound is called the neckline. This is a key resistance level that the price needs to break through to confirm the pattern. Breakout: A breakout above the neckline, typically accompanied by increased volume, confirms the double bottom pattern and signals a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. Price Target: The estimated price target for the upward move is usually determined by measuring the distance from the bottoms to the neckline and projecting this distance upwards from the point of breakout. Traders view the double bottom as a strong indication that the previous downtrend has exhausted and the bulls are gaining control, leading to a potential significant upward movement.
NYSE:SMREducation
by RonnieV29
2
Ascending Triangle Pattern Tutorial: 3/8 Bullish PatternsAscending Triangle Pattern Tutorial: 3/8 Bullish Patterns An ascending triangle is a bullish continuation chart pattern that signals the potential for an upward breakout. Here's how it forms: Flat Upper Trendline: The upper trendline is flat, indicating a resistance level where the price consistently faces selling pressure and fails to move higher. Rising Lower Trendline: The lower trendline is ascending, showing higher lows as buyers step in at increasingly higher prices. Price Convergence: The price action gets squeezed between the two trendlines, leading to a tightening range. Breakout: Eventually, the price breaks above the resistance level, indicating a continuation of the upward trend. This breakout is typically accompanied by a surge in volume. Ascending triangles are popular among traders because they offer clear entry and exit points. The height of the triangle, measured from the base to the horizontal resistance, can be used to estimate the potential price target following the breakout. LIKE l FOLLOW l SHARE
NASDAQ:METAEducation
by RonnieV29
6
Using a Hanging man candlewww.tradingview.com If you are knowledgeable about Candle patterns, you would know what a hanging man candle is. As defined by Steve Nison, it is a candle with small real body with a long lower shadow that is at least 2x the height of the real body, and MUST follow or be in an uptrend. A hanging man candle can be considered a potential bearish reversal if and only if there is bearish confirmation immediately following the hanging man candle itself. But, a bullish continuation candle immediately following the hanging man, can be a powerful bullish momentum signal. So, since we are hitting many highs in the markets, we here at Candlecharts.com use hangingman candles to see if we are getting a reversal, or continuation. So, since this has been working well, we continue to use Nison Candle Scanner to scan for these hanging man candles in multiple markets: www.candlecharts.com
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by NisonCandleScanner
Symmetrical Triangle Pattern what is it/ how to draw it? 2/8Symmetrical Triangle Pattern what is it/ how to draw it? 2/8 Bullish Charting Patterns A symmetrical triangle is a chart pattern that forms when the price of an asset converges with two trendlines that are moving towards each other, creating a triangular shape. Here’s how it works: Converging Trendlines: The upper trendline is formed by connecting the descending highs, and the lower trendline is formed by connecting the ascending lows. These trendlines converge at a point called the apex. Volume Decrease: As the pattern develops, trading volume typically decreases, indicating a period of consolidation and indecision in the market. Breakout: Eventually, the price breaks out from the triangle, which can occur in either direction – upwards or downwards. The direction of the breakout often dictates the future trend of the asset. Symmetrical triangles are considered continuation patterns, meaning they usually signal that the prevailing trend (upward or downward) before the pattern will continue after the breakout. Traders often use the height of the triangle (the distance between the initial high and low points) to estimate the potential price target following the breakout. Like l Follow l Share Stay tuned for the other 6 BULLISH CHARTING PATTERNS
NASDAQ:ULTAEducation
by RonnieV29
6
What is a BULL Flag Charting Pattern and How to draw it? 1/8This is video 1/8 of this series of BULLISH Chart Patterns. A bull flag is a continuation pattern that appears in a strong uptrend, signaling that the prevailing upward trend may continue. Here's how it looks: Flag Pole: A sharp, steep rise in price forms the flag pole. Flag: A period of consolidation with lower highs and lower lows, forming a flag that slopes against the prevailing uptrend. Breakout: A strong move upwards out of the flag, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. The bull flag pattern is popular among traders because it provides clear entry and exit points and is relatively easy to identify. It's a great indicator for momentum traders looking to capitalize on the continuation of a bullish trend. Like l Follow l Share Stay tuned for the other 7 BULLISH CHARTING PATTERNS
NASDAQ:GOOGEducation
by RonnieV29
14
Understanding GBPUSDToday we will be taking a closer look at understanding GBPUSD . GBP -no global business -risk currency -more linked to the UK economy, politics, central banking USD -global business currency -safe haven globally -Petrodollar UNDERSTANDING THE CURRENCY PAIR -we have to understand that within this pair “ GBPUSD ” one is a “ risk ” currency ( GBP ). ( USD ) is a “ safe haven currency ” and is also known as the world reserve currency. During times of economic uncertainty our doubt , or during any periods of times where we have more $ strength, which can be induced by the FED central banking, interest rate hikes and so forth, we will always have the $ dominate, even if the other currency can have some short term strength. THE USD IS THE WORLD RESERVE CURRENCY What does this mean? -this means that the majority of INTERNATIONAL business is denominated in USD. We can see this very relevant when we are looking at the OIL industry and how oil is always exchanged in USD. Hence the name “PETRODOLLAR”.
Education
by FxPocket
Finding Ranging Market Before Happening! (X Empire)In the heart of ARZ Trading System, is a candle that we call it MC (Master Candle). Any time that we see a candle that matches following description, most likely we will have a ranging market, with specified range of oscillations: 1. Candle itself is in the direction of the trend 2. Body of the next candle is within high to low of this candle 3. In the next candle(s), price could retrace most of the MC candle The main ranging area is the high to low of the MC candle. The exact size of this area, from high to upper is UTP (here $0.00062), and from low to lower is LTP (here $0.00011). This means price could fluctuate between these levels. If market is going to continue the trend (here is uptrend), price should break the UTP level and continue strongly.
Education
by forexise
Practical Application of Order Blocks in Trading🔸In trading, especially in the context of institutional and supply-demand-based strategies, order blocks, imbalances, breakers, and entry points are all critical elements for spotting potential high-probability trade setups. Here’s a breakdown of each: 1. Order Blocks 🔸Definition: Order blocks are areas where large institutional orders (by banks, funds, etc.) are believed to have been placed, often leading to sharp price movements. These typically form after a period of consolidation, when a large entity enters the market to create momentum in a particular direction. Types: ▪️Bullish Order Block: An area where institutions have placed buy orders, resulting in an upward price move. It’s generally identified by a down candle (in a bullish trend) before a strong upward move. ▪️Bearish Order Block: An area with concentrated sell orders, leading to a strong price decline. It’s marked by an up candle (in a bearish trend) before a sharp downward move. ▪️Use in Trading: Traders look for price to return to these areas as potential entry points, expecting the area to act as support (for bullish order blocks) or resistance (for bearish order blocks). 2. Imbalances 🔸Definition: Imbalances (also called Fair Value Gaps or FVG) occur when there is a strong price movement in one direction, leaving a "gap" in liquidity. ▪️IThis happens when there’s more demand or supply than what the current orders can fulfill, leading to a price spike. ▪️Identification: Look for consecutive candles moving in the same direction without much overlap in their wicks. This often leaves a gap between the high of one candle and the low of the next. ▪️Use in Trading: Since price often "rebalances" itself, traders may expect price to return to this area before continuing its trend, using it as a potential point for entries in the direction of the larger trend. 3. Breakers 🔸Definition: A breaker is a failed attempt at reversing a trend, usually involving a break of structure that indicates a reversal but then fails, with price moving back in the original trend's direction. Types: ▪️Bullish Breaker: When a downtrend is invalidated, but instead of continuing downwards, price reverses back up. The previous support level that price broke and closed below may now act as a support zone. ▪️Bearish Breaker: When an uptrend is invalidated, but price moves back down, often causing previous resistance to act as resistance again. ▪️Use in Trading: Breakers are often used to identify failed reversals where traders might enter in the direction of the initial trend, as these zones tend to have strong support or resistance. 4. Bullish and Bearish Breakers in Trading Bullish Breaker: ▪️A level created after a failed bearish structure, turning into support as the price breaks upward. Look for confirmation of price moving above this level, with entry points often at or just above the zone. Bearish Breaker: ▪️A level created after a failed bullish attempt, creating a resistance zone as price breaks lower. Traders enter trades when price retests this breaker level and shows signs of rejection. 5. When to Enter Trades ▪️Order Block Entry: Look for price to return to an order block zone (after creating it), confirming it as a valid area of support or resistance. Confirmation methods include candlestick patterns or lower timeframe support/resistance creation. ▪️Imbalance Entry: Price may "fill" imbalances, and traders can look to enter as price retraces to this level with signs of rejection or confirmation. Watch for candles rejecting at the edge of the imbalance zone. ▪️Breaker Entry: Wait for price to test the breaker zone and show signs of rejection, typically with a smaller time-frame entry trigger (like a lower high or low in structure). ▪️Risk Management: When entering trades based on these points, place stops beyond the zone or recent high/low, and target areas of the next significant support/resistance or opposite liquidity pools. 6. Tips for Effective Use 🔸Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Check higher timeframe levels for stronger order blocks or breakers and use lower timeframes to refine entry. 🔸Wait for Confirmation: Often, a test of these areas with a reversal candlestick pattern (like a pin bar or engulfing candle) on a lower timeframe will provide better entries than immediately entering. 🔸Volume Confirmation: Higher volume in these areas can suggest more institutional interest and improve the chance of a successful trade. 🔸Mastering these concepts involves observing how price interacts with these levels across different market conditions, which enhances accuracy over time.
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
18
Smart Money Market Structure Order Block Trading🔸The principles of "smart money" trading focus on understanding the behavior of institutional investors, often referred to as "smart money," to make informed trading decisions. By analyzing market structure, order blocks, supply and demand zones, and market cycles, traders aim to predict price movements and make profitable trades. Here’s a breakdown of these key concepts and how they interact: 1. Market Structure Market structure is the fundamental flow of price movement, typically defined by highs and lows that indicate trends. The market can be seen in three primary states: ▪️Uptrend: Characterized by higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). ▪️Downtrend: Defined by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL). ▪️Consolidation (Range-bound): Prices oscillate between a support (demand) and resistance (supply) level. ▪️Understanding market structure helps traders identify when a market is trending or ranging, which is essential for timing entries and exits. 2. Order Blocks Order blocks are areas on a price chart where large institutional traders, like banks and hedge funds, execute significant orders. These blocks often indicate strong levels of support or resistance due to the substantial buying or selling activity. ▪️Bullish Order Block: Typically found before a strong upward move. It's the last bearish (down) candle before the price rallies, signaling a demand zone. ▪️Bearish Order Block: Typically found before a strong downward move. It's the last bullish (up) candle before the price drops, indicating a supply zone. ▪️Order blocks provide clues to where "smart money" has entered the market, suggesting areas where price may return for liquidity and where retail traders may find good entry points. 3. Supply and Demand Zones Supply and demand zones are similar to support and resistance levels but with a focus on identifying imbalances. They represent areas where supply (sellers) and demand (buyers) are significantly unbalanced: ▪️Demand Zone: A price range where buyers are strong enough to prevent further price drops. This often corresponds to an area of support. ▪️Supply Zone: A price range where sellers have historically stepped in to prevent further price increases, serving as resistance. ▪️Prices often revert to these zones due to liquidity needs, creating entry points for trend continuations or reversals. 4. Lower Highs (LH) and Higher Lows (HL) These are essential markers in identifying trend changes: ▪️Lower Highs (LH): In a downtrend, the price fails to reach a previous high, indicating seller dominance and potential continuation of the downtrend. ▪️Higher Lows (HL): In an uptrend, the price creates higher lows, suggesting that buyers are gradually gaining strength, signaling a continuation of the uptrend. These structural points help traders understand potential trend reversals or continuations. 5. Accumulation and Distribution Phases These phases are critical to the Wyckoff Market Cycle: ▪️Accumulation: This phase represents a period where "smart money" accumulates positions at low prices. It typically occurs after a downtrend and is characterized by a consolidation or sideways price movement. This phase often signals a future uptrend. ▪️Distribution: This is the phase where institutional players offload positions after a significant price increase. Like accumulation, distribution appears as consolidation, often preceding a downtrend. ▪️Accumulation and distribution are often analyzed using volume patterns and price action to gauge when a trend may begin or end. 6. Market Cycles (The Wyckoff Theory) Market cycles are a sequence of phases that price undergoes over time. According to Wyckoff’s methodology, there are four phases: ▪️Accumulation: Institutions build positions, often at a market bottom. ▪️Markup: After accumulation, the price starts to increase as demand outstrips supply. ▪️Distribution: Institutions sell off their positions, often at the top of the cycle. ▪️Markdown: Price declines as supply overwhelms demand, leading to a downtrend. ▪️Understanding these phases allows traders to anticipate potential turning points, which is critical in smart money trading. Applying These Principles in Trading The smart money trading approach uses these principles collectively: 🔸Identify Market Structure: Determine whether the market is trending or ranging, then identify order blocks, supply and demand zones, and significant highs and lows. 🔸Recognize Key Levels: Watch for accumulation and distribution phases at these levels, helping to anticipate likely future movements. 🔸Confirm with Volume: Use volume analysis to confirm accumulation or distribution activity. 🔸Set Entries and Exits at Smart Money Zones: Utilize identified order blocks and supply/demand zones to enter trades with the trend (markup or markdown) or exit before a reversal. 🔸By combining these elements, traders seek to align with the strategies of institutional investors, capturing trends early and minimizing exposure during less favorable periods.
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
12
SWING TUTORIAL - ABSLAMCIn this tutorial, we analyze the stock NSE:ABSLAMC (Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limited) identifying a lucrative swing trading opportunity following its all-time high in Oct 2021. The stock declined by nearly 57%, forming a Lower Low Price Action Pattern, but subsequently reversed its trend. At the same time, we can also observe the MACD Level making a contradictory Pattern of Higher Lows. This Higher Low Pattern of the MACD signaled the start of a Bullish Momentum, thereby also signaling a good Buying Opportunity. The trading strategy yielded approximately 114% returns in 63 weeks. Technical analysis concepts used included price action analysis, MACD, momentum reversal, trend analysis and chart patterns. The MACD crossover served as the Entry Point, with the stock rising to its Swing High Levels of 720 and serving as our Exit too. As of wiring this tutorial, we can also notice how the stock is making a breakout and retest of the Swing High levels and trying to continue its momentum further upward trying to make a new All Time High. KEY OBSERVATIONS: 1. Momentum Reversal: The stock's price action shifted from a bearish to a bullish trend, indicating a potential reversal. 2. MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line showed steady upward momentum, signaling increasing bullish pressure. 3. MACD Crossover: The successful crossover in May 2023 confirmed the bullish trend, creating an entry opportunity. TRADING STRATEGY AND RESULTS: 1. Entry Point: MACD crossover in May 2023. 2. Exit Point: Swing High Levels - 720. 3. Return: Approximately 114%. 4. Trade Duration: 63 weeks. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS CONCEPTS USED: 1. Price Action Analysis 2. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) 3. Momentum Reversal 4. Trend Analysis 5. Chart Patterns NOTE: This case study demonstrates the effectiveness of combining technical indicators to identify bullish momentum. By recognizing Price Action, MACD movements, and Reversal patterns, traders can pinpoint potential entry and exit points. Would you like to explore more technical analysis concepts or case studies? Share your feedback and suggestions in the comments section below.
NSE:ABSLAMCEducation
by thepranam
Best Price Action Pattern For GOLD Trend Following Trading This bullish pattern is very powerful . Being spotted on a daily/4h/1h, any time frame, it will help you to accurately predict a strong bullish movement on Gold . In this article, I will teach you to identify a buying volumes accumulation on Gold chart and as a bonus, I will show you how I predicted a recent bullish rally with this price action pattern. The initial point of this pattern will be a completion point of a strong bullish impulse. At some moment, the price finds a strong horizontal resistance, stops growing and retraces. The second point of the pattern will be a completion of a retracement. It should strictly be a higher low - it should be higher than the low of an initial bullish impulse. After a retracement, the price should return to a horizontal resistance and set an equal high , that will be the third point of the pattern. Then, the price should retrace AT LEAST one more time from a horizontal resistance and set a new higher low. After that, the price should set one more equal high. 3 equal highs and 2 higher lows will compose a bullish accumulation pattern. Please, note, that the price may easily set more equal highs and more consequent new higher lows and keep the pattern valid. Above is the example of a bullish accumulation pattern on Gold on an hourly time frame. The price set 3 equal highs and 3 consequent higher lows. This pattern will signify the weakness of sellers and the accumulation of buying volumes. The point is that each consequent bearish price movement from a resistance is weaker than a previous one. It means that fewer sellers are selling from the resistance and more buyers start buying, not letting sellers go lower. In our example, we can clearly see the consequent weakening, bearish price movements. This pattern indicates a highly probable breakout attempt of the resistance. A candle close above that provides a strong bullish signal. The broken resistance will turn into support and will provide a safe point to buy the market from. In our example, the market broke the underlined horizontal resistance and closed above that. It indicates the completion of a bullish accumulation and a highly probable bullish trend continuation. You can see that Gold retested a broken structure and then a strong bullish wave initiated. In a strong bullish market that we currently contemplation on Gold, this bullish pattern will provide a lot of profitable trading opportunities. No matter whether you are scalping, day trading or swing trading Gold, this bullish accumulation pattern will help you to predict long-term, mid-term and short-term bullish movements. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1