Get started

Chart Patterns

Smart Money Orderflow M15 ApproachIn this context, we define an intelligent order flow, which is a convergence of flows, in this case, downwards, leading the price to create congestions, i.e., internal breaks, and then consolidation phases, i.e., external breaks, which bring the price into the demand zone, where we should consider opening a long position subsequently. The pattern is clear: demand zone on H4 after a defined structural change with the main consolidation phase, and then we expect a retest in the demand zone, where it is highly likely that the price may reverse its direction, especially when analyzing the market from an M15 perspective. I remain available for further clarifications, greetings, and happy studying to all.
Education
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
How to Trade Triangles.________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Hello, Traders Investors And Community, here I show the important triangle-formations and how to trade them properly. These formations come in every-shape from big to small in today's markets and are sometimes quite often spotted. There are however some important and significant differences in trading them which I explain further. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1.) Bullish Ascending Triangle 2.) Bearish Ascending Triangle 3.) Bearish Symmetrical Triangle 4.) Bullish Symmetrical Triangle ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1.) Bullish Ascending Triangle This formation is a typical known textbook bullish uptrend-formation. Normally it develops within a bullish trend and is a continuation-formation. Suggesting that the bulls make a break before going higher upward. It is formed by the typical horizontal higher boundary with steady-highs and the rising lower boundary with higher-highs. It is a logical mechanism that this formation breaks to the upside because the bulls are clearly stronger. The price projection range is taken by the first touch with the higher boundary and the ground of the lower boundary to project the minimum target in the breakout-zone where the triangle broke out to the upside. The triangle can be traded with immediate entry and stop-loss below the last low or conservative with the breakout to the upside. 2.) Bearish Ascending Triangle This formation is the logical and coherent counterpart of the ascending broadening wedge, the main difference here is that it breaks to the upside and is normally seen as a continuation to the downside. Here we see steady lows with a horizontal lower boundary and lower highs with a declining upper boundary. The formation breaks to the downside because the bulls getting weaker every new lower high is formed. When projecting the price to the downside we can take the measure from the first touch with the lower boundary and the equivalent point with the higher boundary to project our minimum. target. The triangle can be traded aggressively with entry before the breakdown or with confirmation after the breakdown. 3.) Bearish Symmetrical Triangle Here we have an interesting formation that must conform to the downside to give us the proper signal that it is actually really a bearish symmetrical triangle. Here we get lower highs with a descending upper boundary and higher lows with an ascending upper boundary. This formation has also an end-date, it is the date in which the lower and upper boundary come together which means that the formation has definitely ended at this date. We can measure our target from the touch with the lower boundary and its equivalent point at the upper boundary. The wisest way tot trade the triangle is after the breakout and confirmation. 4.) Bullish Symmetrical Triangle This formation is the bullish counterpart to the bearish symmetrical triangle and the difference here is that we get the first price touch with the upper boundary indicating a bullish outcome. We see lower highs with a descending upper boundary and higher lows with an ascending lower boundary before breaking to the upside. The breakout can be heavy which depends on the time symmetrical triangle has confirmed, the longer we stay in the triangle the stronger the breakout will be. We will get a minimum target when projecting the first touch of the higher boundary and its equivalent point of the lower boundary to the point where the triangle broke to the upside. The best way to trade the triangle is after breakout and confirmation of the boundary. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ If you like this tutorial feel free to support. I also made an tutorial about broadening wedges which you find when scrolling down on my account. Will be great to see you there. Have a good day and all the best. Thank you. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ “An investment in knowledge pays the best dividend” ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by VincePrince
6
Best Technical Analysis Strategies for Trading Gold If you want to trade Gold, but you don't know what strategy to trade, I prepared for you the list of 4 simple and profitable gold trading strategies. Please, note that my list includes the indicator, swing, price action and smart money strategies, so you will certainly find the one that suites you. Also, all the strategies will be strictly structure based. It means that no matter which strategy you choose, you should start your analysis with identification of key levels on a daily time frame. Example of structure analysis on Gold. 1. Breakout trading on a daily time frame With that approach, we will be aiming to catch swing moves. Your bearish confirmation will be a bearish breakout - a daily candle close below a key support. A bearish continuation will be anticipated to the next closest daily support then. Your bullish signal will be a bullish breakout of a key daily resistance. Then you can buy aggressively or on a retest, expecting a bullish continuation to the next strong resistance. In the example above, bearish breakout of a key daily support was a strong bearish signal that triggered a massive selloff. This strategy is based only on a daily time frame analysis, the next 3 strategies will be more sophisticated and involve multiple time frames analysis. 2. Price action confirmation strategy With that approach, you should patiently wait for a test of one of the key structures that you spotted on a daily. After that, you should monitor the reaction of the price to that on 4h/1h time frames. Your signal to buy will be a formation of a bullish reversal price action pattern on a key support, while your bearish confirmation will be a bearish pattern on a key resistance. Once you spotted a confirmation, you can anticipate a bullish/bearish movement, at least to the closest 4h structure. In the example above, Gold tested a key daily support. The price formed a double bottom formation on that. Its neckline breakout was a strong bullish signal. A bullish movement initiated to the closest 4H resistance then. 3. Moving average confirmation strategy For that method, you will need 2 moving averages: simple MA with 9 length and exponential MA with 20 length. Once the market tests a key support, you should look for a crossover. A simple MA should be above the exponential MA. It will be your bullish signal. After a test of a key resistance, look for an opposite crossover. A simple MA should be below the exponential MA. It will give you a strong signal to sell. Here is how the MA crossover would help you to predict a bullish movement on Gold on an hourly time frame. 4. Smart money confirmation strategy With that approach, you should look for a break of key daily structure on 4h/1h time frames. After a violation of a key support, you should look for a bullish imbalance so that the price should return above the broken structure. That will be your signal to buy. After a violation of a key resistance, look for a bearish imbalance. The price should come back below a broken structure. It will be your signal to sell. After a test and a violation of a key daily resistance, Gold formed a bearish imbalance on a 4H time frame. It was a strong bearish signal. All these strategies are very efficient. However, they will work after you learn to correctly identify key structures. Let me know in a comment section which strategy do you prefer. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
6
Quiet Before the Volatility Storm: WTI Crude Oil Options PlaysStay tuned! Beyond this exploration of WTI Crude Oil options plays, we're excited to bring you a series of educational ideas dedicated to all types of options strategies. More insights coming soon! Introduction to Market Volatility In the realm of commodity trading, WTI Crude Oil stands out for its susceptibility to rapid price changes, making market volatility a focal point for traders. This volatility, essentially the rate at which the price of oil increases or decreases for a given set of returns, is a crucial concept for anyone involved in the oil market. It affects not only the risk and return profile of direct investments in crude oil but also plays a pivotal role in the pricing of derivatives and options tied to this commodity. Volatility in the crude oil market can be attributed to a myriad of factors, ranging from geopolitical developments and supply-demand imbalances to economic indicators and natural disasters. For options traders, understanding the nuances of volatility is paramount, as it directly influences option pricing models through metrics such as Vega, which indicates the sensitivity of an option's price to changes in the volatility of the underlying asset. By delving into both historical and implied volatility, traders can gain insights into past market movements and future expectations, respectively. Historical volatility provides a retrospective view of price fluctuation intensity over a specific period, offering a statistical measure of market risk. Implied volatility, on the other hand, reflects the market's forecast of a likely range of movement in crude oil prices, derived from the price of options. Incorporating volatility analysis into trading strategies enables options traders to make more informed decisions, particularly when considering positions in WTI Crude Oil options. Whether aiming to capitalize on anticipated market movements or to hedge against potential price drops, volatility remains a critical element of successful trading in the oil market. News as a Catalyst for Volatility The crude oil market, with its global significance, is incredibly sensitive to news, where even rumors can precipitate fluctuations in prices. Recent events have starkly demonstrated this phenomenon, showcasing how geopolitical tensions, OPEC+ decisions, and inventory data can serve as major catalysts for volatility in WTI Crude Oil markets. 1. Geopolitical Tensions: Middle East Conflicts Geopolitical events, especially in oil-rich regions like the Middle East, have a pronounced impact on oil prices. For instance, conflicts or tensions in this area can lead to fears of supply disruptions, prompting immediate spikes in oil prices due to the region's significant contribution to global oil supply. Such events underscore the market's vulnerability to geopolitical instability and the swift reaction of oil prices to news suggesting potential supply threats. 2. OPEC+ Production Decisions The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, known as OPEC+, play a pivotal role in global oil markets through their production decisions. An announcement by OPEC+ to cut production usually leads to an increase in oil prices, as the market anticipates a tighter supply. Conversely, decisions to increase production can cause prices to drop. These actions directly influence market sentiment and volatility, illustrating the significant impact of OPEC+ policies on global oil markets. 3. Inventory Data Releases Weekly inventory data from major consumers like the United States can lead to immediate reactions in the oil market. An unexpected increase in crude oil inventories often leads to a decrease in prices, reflecting concerns over demand or oversupply. Conversely, a significant draw in inventories can lead to price spikes, as it may indicate higher demand or supply constraints. These inventory reports are closely watched by market participants as indicators of supply-demand balance, affecting trading strategies and market volatility. Each of these events has the potential to cause significant movements in WTI Crude Oil prices, affecting the strategies of traders and investors alike. By closely monitoring these developments, market participants can better anticipate volatility and adjust their positions accordingly, highlighting the importance of staying informed on current events and their potential impact on the market. Technical Analysis Tools: Bollinger Bands and the 14-Day ADX A sophisticated approach to navigating the fluctuating markets of WTI Crude Oil could involve the combined use of Bollinger Bands and the 14-day Average Directional Index (ADX). While Bollinger Bands measure market volatility and provide visual cues about the market's overbought or oversold conditions, the ADX offers a unique perspective on market momentum and trend strength. The 14-Day ADX is pivotal in assessing the strength of a trend. A rising ADX indicates a strengthening trend, whether bullish or bearish, while a declining ADX suggests a weakening trend or the onset of a range-bound market. For options traders, particularly those interested in the long strangle strategy, the ADX provides valuable information. A low or declining ADX signals a weak or non-existent trend. Bollinger Bands® serve as a dynamic guide to understanding market volatility. In this case an idea could be to apply Bollinger Bands® to the 14-Day ADX values instead of the WTI Crude Oil Futures prices. When combined, a pierce of the lower Bollinger Bands®, may suggest an opportune moment to establish a long strangle position in anticipation of a forthcoming breakout while options prices may be underpriced. This combined approach allows traders to fine tune their entry and exit points. By waiting for the ADX to signal a nascent trend and Bollinger Bands to indicate a period of low volatility, traders can position themselves advantageously before significant market movements. Strategizing with Bollinger Bands and ADX: In the dance of market analysis, the interplay between the ADX and Bollinger Bands choreographs a strategy of precision. Traders can look for moments when the market is quiet and options are underpriced. This dual-focus approach maximizes the potential of entering a long strangle options trade at the most opportune time, aiming for potential gains from subsequent volatility spikes in the WTI Crude Oil market. Strategies for Trading WTI Crude Oil Options In the volatile landscape of WTI Crude Oil trading, strategic agility is paramount. One strategy that stands out for its ability to harness volatility is the long strangle. This strategy is especially relevant in periods of low implied volatility (IV), providing traders with a unique opportunity to capitalize on potential market shifts without committing to a specific direction of the move. Understanding the Long Strangle The long strangle options strategy involves purchasing both a call option and a put option on the same underlying asset, WTI Crude Oil in this case, with the same expiration date but at different strike prices. The call option has a higher strike price than the current underlying price, while the put option has a lower strike price. This setup positions the trader to profit from significant price movements in either direction. The beauty of the long strangle lies in its flexibility and the limited risk exposure it offers. The total risk is confined to the premiums paid for the options, making it a controlled way to speculate on expected volatility. This strategy is particularly appealing when the IV of options is low, implying that the market expects calm but the trader anticipates turbulence ahead. Risk Management and the Importance of Timing Risk management is a critical component of successfully implementing the long strangle strategy. The key to minimizing risk while maximizing potential reward is timing. Entering the trade when IV is low—and, consequently, the cost of options is relatively cheaper—allows for greater profitability if the anticipated volatility materializes and the price of the underlying asset moves significantly. The Implications of a Limited Risk Strategy A limited risk strategy like the long strangle ensures that traders know their maximum potential loss upfront—the total amount of premiums paid. This predefined risk exposure is particularly advantageous in the unpredictable oil market, where sudden price swings can otherwise lead to substantial losses. Moreover, the limited risk nature of the long strangle allows traders to maintain a balanced portfolio, allocating a portion of their capital to speculative trades without jeopardizing their entire investment. It's a strategic approach that leverages the inherent volatility of WTI Crude Oil, potentially turning market uncertainties into opportunities. Case Studies: Real-world Applications of the Long Strangle in WTI Crude Oil Trading In the ever-volatile world of WTI Crude Oil trading, several events have starkly highlighted the efficacy of the long strangle strategy. These case studies exemplify how sudden market movements, driven by unforeseen news or geopolitical developments, can provide significant opportunities for prepared traders. Here, we explore instances where shifts in volatility facilitated lucrative trades, underscoring the potential of strategic options plays. Case Study 1 : Geopolitical Escalation in the Middle East Event Overview: An unexpected escalation in geopolitical tensions in the Middle East led to concerns over potential supply disruptions. Given the region's pivotal role in global oil production, any threat to its stability can significantly impact crude oil prices. Trading Strategy: Anticipating increased volatility, traders employing the long strangle strategy before the escalation could imply significant gains. As prices surged in response to the tensions, the value of a strangle would have potentially increased. Case Study 2 : Surprise OPEC+ Production Cut Announcement Event Overview: In a move that caught markets off-guard, OPEC+ announced a substantial cut in oil production. The decision aimed at stabilizing prices instead triggered a sharp increase in volatility as traders scrambled to adjust their positions. Trading Strategy: Traders with long strangle positions in place could have capitalized on the sudden price jump. Case Study 3 : Major Hurricane Disrupts Gulf Oil Production Event Overview: A major hurricane hit the Gulf Coast, disrupting oil production and refining operations. The immediate threat to supply lines led to a spike in oil prices, reflecting the market's rapid response to supply-side shocks. Trading Strategy: The long strangle strategy could be invaluable for traders who had positioned themselves ahead of the hurricane season. The abrupt increase in crude oil prices following the hurricane highlighted the strategy's advantage in situations where directional market movements are expected but their exact nature is uncertain. Conclusion These case studies illustrate the practical application of the long strangle strategy in navigating the tumultuous waters of WTI Crude Oil trading. By strategically entering positions during periods of low implied volatility, traders can set themselves up for success, leveraging market movements to their advantage while maintaining a controlled risk profile. The key takeaway is the importance of vigilance and readiness to act on sudden market changes, employing comprehensive risk management practices to safeguard investments while exploring speculative opportunities. The essence of trading in such a dynamic market lies not just in predicting future movements but in preparing for them through well-thought-out strategies and an acute understanding of market indicators and global events. The long strangle options strategy, with its limited risk and potential for significant returns, exemplifies this approach, offering a compelling method for traders aiming to capitalize on the inherent volatility of WTI Crude Oil. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by traddictiv
Smart Money Concept: A Focus on Liquidity and Trade ExecutionSmart Money Concepts (SMC) empower traders to understand the invisible hand of institutional players ("smart money") in markets. By analyzing liquidity, the lifeblood of price movements, SMC equips you to anticipate potential breakouts and identify high-probability entry points. Let's dive into key concepts: Liquidity Types: ● ERL (External Range Liquidity) : Areas of past significant price swings (highs and lows), attracting orders and potentially acting as support/resistance. Look at Previous Day/Week/Month H/Ls and Previous Trading Sessions H/Ls (Aisa, London, & NY) ● IRL (Internal Range Liquidity) : Areas within the current trading range where the price paused or reversed, indicating potential order clusters, like FVGs. Price moves from one Liquidity Zone (ERL) to the other (IRL) & vice versa! Price Zones: ● Premium/Discount Array : Based on the recent price leg, calculate the 50% midpoint (fair value) and extend 50% above and below to create a high-probability trading zone in regards to where the price should be going next, for example, if the price is in the lower part of the recent leg, then we should expect a move back into the Premium Array. Highs & Lows: ● LTH/LTL (Long Term High/Low) : Turning points over longer timeframes, often acting as strong magnets for price. ● ITH/ITL (Intermediary Term High/Low): Significant swing points, usually highest / lowest point when the price reaches an imbalance zone. ● STH/STL (Short Term High/Low): Recent swing points within the current trading range, acting as potential pivots, you will find those on both sides of the ITL/L. Identifying Imbalances: ● Gaps: Unfilled price spaces suggest imbalanced supply/demand, potentially leading to price retracements to fill the gap. ● FVG (Fair Value Gaps): Areas where price gapped through support/resistance, leaving an "unfair" imbalance, attracting corrective moves to rebalance price. Trade Execution: ● OTE (Optimal Trade Entry): Look for confluences of various SMC elements (liquidity zones, imbalances, price patterns) for high-probability entry points that match the 61.8 / 70 Fibonacci levels. ● Kill Zones: Increased volatility during major market openings (London, New York) can offer high-risk, high-reward opportunities. This is when you should be trading! Remember: ● SMC is a complex framework, master each element before combining them for strategic analysis. ● Backtest and paper trade your SMC strategies to build confidence before risking real capital. ● Market dynamics are fluid, adapt your analysis and trade execution based on evolving price action. By understanding these SMC concepts and their interplay with liquidity, you'll gain a good understanding of market movements and improve your trade execution. Remember, practice, patience, and disciplined risk management are crucial for success in any trading strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by financialflagship
Mitigation + BOS M15 Setup In this scenario, we examine a very common approach: trend continuation. The particular aspect of viewing it in this light compared to simply looking at trendlines is how we can identify demand zones and structural changes called BOS. Prices always tend to retrace in these zones before continuing. Personally, I identify demand or supply zones at H4, and once the price retraces, I look for rebounds at M15. In that timeframe, I aim to identify a structural change to the upside if I'm looking for a long position. Sometimes during an uptrend, it's very common to identify inefficiencies or FVG, which in turn support the price during retracement. Best wishes and happy trading to all.
Education
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
How to Trade Broadening Formations. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Hello traders investors and community. Today I show some important trading formations which can help to identify a profitable trading entry in the markets. These types are when confirmed highly probable trading set-ups to open whether a LONG or SHORT position. In volatile markets, these formations can develop quite often. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1.) Ascending Broadening Wedge 2.) Descending Broadening Wedge 3.) Broadening Wedge Bottoms 4.) Broadening Wedge Tops 5.) Ascending Right-Angled Broadening Formations 6.) Descending Right-Angled Broadening Formations ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1.) Ascending Broadening Wedge These wedges most often break-out in the direction where they came from. So it is a wise idea to trade the break-out in the direction, otherwise, swing-trades can be traded from trend-line to trend-line in the broadening wedge. The target is the full height of the pattern, from the lowest low to the highest high forming the trendlines. Identifying tradable ascending broadening wedges can provide good risk and reward trades with high profit. 2.) Descending Broadening Wedge This Wedge is similar to the Ascending Broadening Wedge. We are looking for two touches for each trendline before a reversal and breakout happen as shown in my chart. The Breakout can be traded with a minimum target of the percentage distance from the full height of the pattern, from the lowest low to the lowest high. 3.) Broadening Wedge Bottoms Broadening Wedge Bottoms are as you can see in the picture provided in my chart. Reversals marking a significant reversal after a downtrend. The bottom is formed with three touches of the lower trendline and three touches of the higher trendline. The target is the highest high in the pattern minus the lowest low in the pattern. 4.) Broadening Wedge Tops Broadeing Wedge Tops are similar to Bottoms. They develop in a rising trend forming higher highs and lower lows in a broadening scale-like seen in the picture. Three higher highs marking the upper boundary of the formation and two lower lows marking the lower boundary of the formation. The target projection is the same as with broadening bottoms. 5.) Ascending Right-Angled Broadening Formations They develop with a horizontal trendline and a sloping trendline. The price broadens over time in the formation forming three lows and two highs as you can see in the chart. The wedge breaks in the direction where it came from and can be traded either with swing trades in the wedge or with a breakout entry to trade the breakout. The target is the height of the complete wedge at the breakout point and is projected from the breakout in the breakout direction to determine the minimum target. 6.) Descending Right-Angled Broadening Formations These are the same as Ascending Right-Angled Broadening Formation just with a little different structure. Here we have a horizontal lower trendline and a sloping higher trendline which are forming the overall formation. We see two touches of the lower trendline and three touches of the higher trend-line just as with the Ascending Right-Angled Broadening Formation. The price projection is also the same and the formation can be wisely traded in the breakout direction. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ If you like this tutorial feel free to support my work. Thank you. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ “The eye sees only what the mind is prepared to comprehend.” ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by VincePrince
14
Understanding the ICT BREAKAWAY GAPIn this video I go through the ICT Breakaway Gap and how YOU can use it to your advantage. I include some tips and tricks with a real trade setup demonstration. The Breakaway Gap may have been an elusive concept to understand, but I present a simple way you can spot them on the chart and frame your trades around them. It is a powerful weapon that can be used to snag some awesome trades. Simple put, the Breakaway Gap is a gap that does not get traded into with the NEXT FEW CANDLES. Emphasis on the last part because price is fractal, and the best way to frame a trade with ICT's Concepts is by taking a few candles on the higher timeframe for your bias, and going to a lower timeframe to form your narrative, and either entering on that timeframe or even going to a lower timeframe for your entry. Hopefully this gives you some insight into one of the many concepts that ICT has bestowed upon the public. If you need clarification about the content, or you are still struggling with finding your groove as a trader and need personal guidance or mentorship, feel free to reach out to me via TradingView’s private message or on X. Happy trading and happy studying! - R2F
Education
by Road_2_Funded
4
Ditch the stress! Bye-by losses! Range strategy to level up!Embark on a journey of transformation and mastery in the world of trading as I unveil the secrets behind my game-changing range trading strategy. Gone are the days of uncertainty and losses – with this strategy, I've not only closed the performance gap but soared to new heights of success. At the heart of my approach lies a meticulous process of identifying and understanding market ranges. It all starts with a keen eye for detail, pinpointing range highs and lows with precision. These anchor points serve as the foundation of my trading decisions, providing clarity amidst the chaos of market fluctuations. But it doesn't stop there. Within these ranges, I've learned to identify supply zones – key areas where the market is primed for a potential shift in direction. Armed with this knowledge, I position myself strategically, ready to capitalize on emerging opportunities. Yet, what truly sets my strategy apart is the integration of powerful indicators like the fixed range volume and Fibonacci indicator. These tools act as guiding lights, illuminating high-probability predictive areas within the range. With their aid, I can anticipate market movements with unprecedented accuracy, giving me the edge I need to succeed. But here's the real kicker – I've learned to leverage these insights to not only profit from market rallies but also from downturns. By adhering to the principle of longing in discount and shorting in premium, I've unlocked a whole new realm of profitability. It's a dynamic approach that allows me to thrive in any market environment, whether bullish or bearish. So, if you're tired of riding the rollercoaster of uncertainty and ready to take control of your trading destiny, it's time to embrace the power of range trading. Join me on this journey of discovery and mastery, and together, we'll conquer the markets like never before.
Education
by Trade-Journal
Pullback After Breakout Entry M15 ApproachIn this model, we define an approach that I personally use a lot, namely the creation of a demand or supply zone on the H4. In this case, we are observing a demand zone. Once the zone has been plotted on the chart, we wait for a retracement on the M15, and as soon as the market shows a structural change, in this case to the upside during the three London, pre-NY, and NY sessions, always considering to have the midnight open behind us, we can enter the market. The target will be the nearest swing high level, always considering to have at least a risk/reward ratio of 1.5. Best regards and have a good day everyone.
Education
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
2
Mastering Risk Management: Guide from TOP investorWelcome to the comprehensive guide on mastering risk management in cryptocurrency trading. In this detailed tutorial, we'll walk you through the essential principles of calculating stop losses, determining risk percentage per trade, and strategically placing stops for optimal risk mitigation. Whether you're a novice or an experienced trader, understanding and implementing effective risk management is paramount for sustained success in the volatile crypto market. Opening a Position on TradingView Brief overview of TradingView and accessing the "projection" section for long positions. A step-by-step guide on how to initiate a long position using TradingView. The 5 Fundamental Principles: Introduction to the five key principles of effective risk management. 1: Trend Following 2: Not Gambling but Trading 3: Entry after retest 4: Stick to your strategy 5: Don't overtrade Calculating Stop Losses 2.2 Risk Percentage Per Trade: Explanation of the concept of risk percentage per trade (e.g., 0.5% of the trading capital). Position sizing is the process of allocating a specific percentage of your crypto assets for trading, with the goal of managing risk effectively. To calculate your position size: Determine Your Risk Per Trade: Decide the percentage of your total account value you're comfortable risking on a trade. Typically advised to risk 1–3% of your trading balance per trade. For example, with a $5,000 balance and a 2% risk, you'd only lose $100 per trade. Set Your Stop-Loss: Determine your stop-loss level, the point at which you exit a trade if it moves against you. The stop-loss helps control losses and is crucial for risk management. Consider Position Size: Use your risk percentage and stop-loss to calculate the position size. Position size varies based on the distance of the stop loss; it's smaller for wider stops and larger for tighter stops. Proper position sizing ensures consistent risk, regardless of the trade amount. By following these steps, you can strategically size your positions, balancing risk and potential rewards in your crypto trading endeavors. Strategic Placement of Stop Losses Hiding Behind Local Lows: The rationale behind placing stop losses just below local lows for effective risk containment.Beneath Manipulation Zones: Strategic placement of stop losses under zones susceptible to manipulation. The importance of avoiding regions where price is unlikely to return if manipulation has occurred. Practical Examples The Anatomy of a Good Stop Loss: Visual representation of a well-placed stop loss using real-life chart examples. 4.2 Pitfalls of Poorly Placed Stop Losses: Analysis of common mistakes in stop loss placement and their consequences. Conclusion: Empowering Your Trading Journey As we conclude this in-depth guide, remember that effective risk management is the cornerstone of successful trading. From understanding the basics of stop losses to strategically placing them based on market dynamics, each step contributes to minimizing potential losses and maximizing gains. Implement these principles in your trading strategy, adapt them to your risk tolerance, and embark on a journey of informed and calculated trading decisions. 💡 Mastering Risk | 📊 Setting Stop Losses | ⚖️ Calculating Risk Percentage | 🎯 Strategic Placement | 📈 Empowering Your Trades 💬 Engage in the discussion: Share your experiences with risk management, ask questions, and join a community committed to fostering intelligent and secure trading practices. 🌐✨
Education
by Yaroslav_Krasko
Navigating Sympathy Plays: A Guide to Trading BITCOIN & COINBASE** Introduction ** Sympathy trading, a strategic approach rooted in both technical and fundamental analysis, capitalizes on correlated movements between assets to uncover profitable opportunities. In this article, we delve into the nuanced realm of sympathy trading using Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) as case studies, exploring how a blend of technical and fundamental analysis can enhance trading strategies. ** Understanding Sympathy Trading ** Sympathy trading hinges on discerning and exploiting the symbiotic relationship between correlated assets. It involves analyzing both technical indicators and fundamental factors to identify potential entry and exit points, as well as underlying drivers influencing price movements. ** BTCUSD and COIN: A Sympathetic Relationship ** BTCUSD and COIN exemplify a compelling case study in sympathy trading within the cryptocurrency domain. Bitcoin's price dynamics often exert a significant influence on Coinbase's stock value, reflecting the exchange's dependency on Bitcoin's performance and trading volumes. Technical Analysis Insights: Technical analysis provides crucial insights into price trends, momentum, and support/resistance levels. Key technical indicators for trading BTCUSD and COIN include: 1.Moving Averages: Analyzing moving average crossovers and trends helps identify potential entry or exit points. Golden crosses (short-term moving average crossing above long-term moving average) or death crosses (opposite) can signal trend reversals. 2.Volume Analysis:  Monitoring trading volumes in both BTCUSD and COIN can confirm price movements and signal changes in market sentiment. An increase in volume accompanying price movements suggests stronger market conviction. 3.Chart Patterns:  Identifying chart patterns such as triangles, flags, and head and shoulders formations can provide insights into potential price reversals or continuation patterns, guiding trading decisions. Fundamental Analysis Insights: Fundamental analysis delves into underlying factors driving asset valuations and market sentiment. Key fundamental factors influencing BTCUSD and COIN include: 1.Regulatory Developments:  Changes in regulatory frameworks governing cryptocurrencies can impact investor sentiment and trading activity. Positive regulatory developments may boost confidence in BTCUSD and COIN, while regulatory uncertainties could lead to volatility. 2.User Adoption and Trading Volumes:  Monitoring user adoption rates and trading volumes on Coinbase's platform can provide insights into the exchange's revenue prospects and growth trajectory. Increased user activity often correlates with higher revenues for the exchange. 3.Market Sentiment and News Catalysts:  Market sentiment surrounding Bitcoin, such as institutional adoption, macroeconomic factors, or geopolitical events, can influence both BTCUSD and COIN prices. News catalysts, such as product launches, partnerships, or earnings reports from Coinbase, can drive short-term price movements. ** Crafting Sympathy Strategies: ** Sympathy trading strategies integrating technical and fundamental analysis may involve: 1.Confirmation of Technical Signals:  Confirming technical signals with fundamental catalysts can strengthen trading convictions. For example, if a bullish technical pattern emerges in BTCUSD, traders may look for positive fundamental catalysts supporting the uptrend in COIN. 2.Event-Based Trading: Leveraging fundamental analysis to anticipate market-moving events, traders may position themselves ahead of key announcements or developments. For instance, if positive regulatory news is expected for cryptocurrencies, traders may preemptively buy COIN in anticipation of increased trading activity. ** Risk Management Considerations: ** Effective risk management is paramount in sympathy trading to mitigate potential losses: 1.Position Sizing:  Determine appropriate position sizes based on risk tolerance, account capital, and trade conviction. Avoid overexposure to a single trade and diversify across multiple assets to spread risk. 2.Stop-Loss Orders:  Implement stop-loss orders to limit potential losses and protect capital. Place stop-loss levels based on technical levels, volatility considerations, or predetermined risk-reward ratios. ** Case study in action ** Let's look at the charts, both on the 1W time-frame in order to catch and get an understanding of the bigger trends and see if the theory is applied on the price action. Bitcoin has provided 5 excellent Sympathy Play signals for Coinbase in the last 2 years. Starting with a Bear Flag that was rejected on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), Bitcoin initiated a huge decline on Coinbase (red shape), proportionally much stronger that its own. Then as its was attempting to find a market bottom, it provided 2 recovery signals that gave a proportionally bigger rise on Coinbase. Then a BTC Bull Flag again turned into a proportionally bigger rise on Coinbase with the last signal coming on October 2023. As you can see during this significantly sample, Bitcoin tends to provide strong early buy/ sell signals on Coinbase. It is worth noting that even though Coinbase is a stock, it follows Bitcoin's price movements more closely than the S&P500 stock index, which we have illustrated on the right chart by the grey trend-line. As you can see there have been numerous occasions where Coinbase failed to follow a big stock market rally and instead was tied to BTC with the most notable examples being recently in January 2024, March 2023 and October 2022. ** A few things to consider that distinguish Bitcoin from Coinbase: ** Market Factors:  Bitcoin's price is influenced by various market factors such as supply and demand dynamics, investor sentiment, macroeconomic trends, regulatory developments, and technological advancements. Coinbase's stock price, on the other hand, is influenced by factors specific to the company, including financial performance, earnings reports, regulatory compliance, competition, and market sentiment towards the cryptocurrency industry. Liquidity and Trading Volume:  Bitcoin, being the largest and most well-known cryptocurrency, typically exhibits higher liquidity and trading volume compared to Coinbase's stock. As a result, Bitcoin may experience more significant price movements and volatility compared to COIN, which could impact their respective charts differently. Correlation vs. Causation:  While Bitcoin's price movements may influence sentiment towards Coinbase and vice versa, correlation does not necessarily imply causation. While there may be periods where BTC and COIN prices move in tandem due to shared market sentiment or external factors, they are ultimately distinct assets with their own fundamental drivers. Market Participants:  Bitcoin is traded on cryptocurrency exchanges by a diverse range of market participants, including retail investors, institutional investors, miners, and traders. Coinbase's stock, on the other hand, is traded on traditional stock exchanges and may attract a different set of investors, including institutional investors, hedge funds, and retail traders. ** Conclusion: ** Sympathy trading using BTCUSD and COIN as case studies demonstrates the synergy between technical and fundamental analysis in identifying trading opportunities and managing risk. By integrating insights from both disciplines, traders can enhance their trading strategies, navigate market dynamics with confidence, and strive for consistent profitability in the dynamic cryptocurrency market. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Editors' picks
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by TradingShot
5
Mastering Trading with Support and Resistance LevelsTrading with support and resistance levels is a fundamental strategy that offers insights into market psychology and potential trade entry and exit points. This guide will explore how to effectively trade using these levels, highlighting the importance of confirmation, rejection patterns, candlestick patterns, and confluence with other indicators. Understanding Support and Resistance - Support : A price level where a downtrend may pause due to a concentration of demand. - Resistance : A price level where an uptrend can pause or reverse because of a concentration of selling interest. The Significance of Confirmation Confirmation is crucial when trading with support and resistance, as it ensures that the price respects these levels before making a trade. Waiting for confirmation reduces the risk of false signals. Candlestick Patterns: The Language of the Markets Understanding candlestick patterns is essential for interpreting market sentiment at support and resistance levels. Patterns like bullish engulfing or bearish engulfing suggest strong reversals. Finding Confluence with Other Indicators Confluence enhances the reliability of trading signals. Combining support and resistance analysis with other indicators like moving averages or the stochastic RSI can provide stronger entry or exit signals. Integrating Support and Resistance into Your Trading Identify key levels : Mark clear support and resistance levels on your chart. Wait for confirmation : Confirm the level is holding through candlestick patterns or price action before trading. Look for rejection patterns : Observe candlestick formations for reversal signals. Seek confluence : Use other indicators to validate your trading signals. Manage your risk : Always set a clear stop-loss order to manage potential losses. By employing these strategies, traders can enhance their market navigation skills, focusing on managing risk and seizing the right opportunities. With patience and practice, trading with support and resistance levels can be a vital part of a successful trading approach.
Education
by AlgoAlpha
The Best Entry on the MarketIn this model, we will examine a tactical approach to achieve high-performance entry. It all starts with an uptrend characterized by continuous structural changes. In fact, there are continuous directional changes until the retest of the supply zone on M30. Subsequently, the market reacts to this zone by pushing downwards and generating a CHoCH. Here, switching to a 1-minute timeframe, it will be possible to wait for a retest of the supply zone before entering. The trade will target the session or daily low. Greetings and happy trading to all.
Education
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Understanding LIQUIDITYIn this video I try to explain liquidity as it pertains to training in a simple manner. Liquidity are basically orders in the marketplace. Since trading is a zero-sum game, without liquidity, there is no trading. Simply put, If you wanted to BUY, then you would need someone to SELL to you, and vice versa. Smart Money has deep pockets and needs a large amount of liquidity to facilitate their positions. They want to be able to get in and our of their trades, as well as to be able to trade with capital that would be worth the reward. The largest pools of liquidity usually reside above swing highs and lows, and equal highs and lows (double/triple tops and bottoms). Support and Resistance ideologies dominate the market, and besides that, psychologically it makes sense to put stoplosses at such areas rather than at some random area within a range. There are also breakout traders who see price breaking out of an area as a sign of strength (or weakness if bearish) and they set their entries above/below these levels. This is how liquidity is "engineered" in the market and sentiment manipulated. These pools of liquidity can be seen as a magnet, drawing price to these levels, either to grab liquidity before reversing or continuing in its current direction. - R2F
Editors' picks
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Road_2_Funded
14
The Contraction, Expansion, and Trend PhaseContraction, Expansion, and Trend Phase *also known as the Forex Master Pattern * The contraction, expansion, and trend phase, or the Forex master pattern, is a trading methodology that focuses on identifying and capitalizing on the recurring patterns and phases that occur in the markets. They are based on the concept of these three market cycles. Institutional players play a significant role in shaping these market cycles observed in the markets. 1.Contraction Phase This phase represents a period of low volatility and consolidation in the markets During contraction phases, institutional players often accumulate positions and establish their trading biases. Institutional accumulation during this phase can create the necessary liquidity and order flow for a breakout in the subsequent expansion phase. 2. Expansion Phase The expansion phase occurs when market volatility increases and the market breaks out of consolidation, leading to bigger price movements. Institutional players execute their strategies by inducing price movements to entice retail participation. Depending on their goals, institutions may manipulate prices upward or downward, creating liquidity for their trades while taking advantage of retail sentiment. Institutional buying during this phase can increase the movement in price and volatility, leading to rapid changes in markets and trends. 3. Trend Phase Once the market establishes a clear direction following the breakout, it enters the trend phase. The trend phase marks the end of the contraction, expansion, and trend phases, which are marked by sustained directional movements powered by institutional profit-taking activities. Retail traders often find themselves on the wrong side of the trade during this phase, triggering panic, liquidations, and potential market reversals. The panic caused in this phase can eventually lead to liquidations. While this is not a strategy, it is a versatile methodology that works on any timeframe and assets as long as it has enough volume on the market. You can develop many different types of strategies using the Contraction, Expansion, and Trend Phase .
Education
by Traders_Endeavors
New Approach on Forex: Inducement LowIn my analysis model, I focus on a bearish structure, where I identify the so-called "false demand zones" (SM Trap). It all starts with a supply zone, where the price begins to decline, creating a liquidity zone with a double bottom. Subsequently, the price retests the supply zone, declines again, and breaks the false demand zone, generating another one. Then, the market starts forming decreasing lows and highs, clear signals of the ongoing bearish trend. This is where I pay attention, as it constitutes a clear signal of the developing trend. To enter the market, I prefer identifying an FVG M15, targeting weekly, daily lows, or the H4 timeframe, in line with my trading plan. I find it crucial to observe the evolution of lows and highs, as their decrease further confirms the bearish trend. I wish everyone happy trading and success in their operations.
Education
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Guide to Identifying Potential Profit Altcoins in 2024 Navigating the Altcoin Landscape in 2024 In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrencies, identifying altcoins with the potential to deliver substantial profits is an art that demands a keen understanding of market dynamics. This comprehensive guide aims to equip you with the tools and insights needed to spot the most robust altcoins poised for success in 2024. Through detailed examples and comparisons, we'll delve into the nuances of strength, resilience, and upward potential. INJ vs BTC - Riding the Trend Waves 1. Analyzing INJ's Resilience: Explore the trading patterns of Injective Protocol (INJ) against Bitcoin (BTC). Highlight instances where INJ, despite mirroring BTC's patterns, has displayed remarkable resilience by not breaching crucial support lines. 2. Drawing Conclusions: Discuss the implications of INJ's refusal to break support lines. Emphasize the importance of following the trend and INJ's potential for continued upward momentum. MAV vs BTC - Decoding Bullish Structures 1. Unveiling MAV's Bullish Structures: Examine the consistent creation of higher lows by Mav Protocol (MAV) against Bitcoin. Contrast MAV's bullish structures with Bitcoin's struggles during various market movements. 2. Strategic Considerations: Extract trading insights from MAV's persistent creation of higher lows. Discuss the potential for MAV to outperform Bitcoin based on its bullish structure. AVAX vs BTC - Capitalizing on Market Shakeouts 1. Assessing AVAX's Post-Shakeout Strength: Analyze the aftermath of the recent market shakeout on Avalanche (AVAX) against Bitcoin. Highlight AVAX's substantial rebound in contrast to Bitcoin's more modest recovery. 2. Implications for Trading: Discuss the significance of AVAX's robust bounce after the shakeout. Explore the potential for AVAX to outpace Bitcoin in subsequent market movements. Conclusion: Forging Profitable Paths in 2024 As we conclude this exploration of potential altcoin powerhouses for 2024, remember that each comparison offers unique insights into the strength and potential of these digital assets. The ability to discern resilience, bullish structures, and post-shakeout strength positions you strategically in the cryptocurrency market. Stay vigilant, adapt your strategy as the market evolves, and use these insights to navigate the dynamic landscape of altcoin trading. 💡 Unveiling Altcoin Strength | 📈 Riding Trends | 🚀 Decoding Bullish Structures | 💪 Capitalizing on Market Shakeouts 💬 Engage in the discussion: Share your observations on altcoins displaying strength, inquire about nuanced trading strategies, and connect with a community dedicated to deciphering the potential winners in 2024. 🌐✨
Education
by Yaroslav_Krasko
2
TradingView is Everything You Need to Start Trading If you are planning to start Forex and Gold trading, I prepared for you a list of 6 essential things that you will need for a successful start. 1 - Charting Software Obviously, if you want to trade, you should analyze the charts. Most of the beginners apply metatrader 4 or 5 for that. Even though meta trader is good as a trading terminal, from charting perspective it is already outdated. My recommendation to you is to apply TradingView for chart analysis. It is very user-friendly, it offers all popular trading instruments, and it has a wonderful community where you can check ideas and forecasts of experienced traders. 2 - Set up Your Watch List There are hundreds of different trading instruments for Forex traders: major and minor pairs, exotic pairs, cfds on gold, silver, oil, etc... Your task as a beginner is to focus on a very narrow list of trading assets. Build a trading list of maximum 8 instruments , learn to trade them and expand the list as you mature in trading. Here is the example of a watch list for beginners: 7 major USD forex pairs. 3 - Make a Trading Plan There are hundreds of different trading strategies and techniques in Forex trading. And obviously, you can not trade them all. Pick a strategy that you like, that makes sense to you. Focus on that and practice, practice, practice. 4 - Economic Calendar Even if you decide to trade only technical analysis, you should not forget to check fundamentals in the economic calendar and learn their impact on the markets. You need an economic calendar for that. There is an economic calendar on TradingView, it is very reliable and you can find the important news there Pay attention to important 3-star news, and preferably don't trade ahead of the releases while you are learning. 5 - Demo Account Trading education is a long journey. While you are studying trading basics and trying different trading strategies, you should strictly trade on a demo account. I recommend paper trading on TradingView, so that you could have the analysis and the trades on the same chart. 6 - Position Size Calculator You should learn to calculate lot size for your trades from the beginning. You should always know how much is your risk per trade. For that reason, placing the trades on a demo account, you should measure lot sizes for your trades. If you demo trade on TradingView, it offers a default position size calculator when you can set the lot size according to a desired risk. Good luck in your journey and be prepared to work hard!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
3
The truth about Buy at the bottom & sell at the topHello, If you're here, you've likely encountered the timeless advice of "buying at the bottom and selling at the top " is an advice you must have heard by now. However, executing this is one of the most difficult things for most people to do. This is majorly because most people cannot tell where the stock is at during any particular point in time. Fundamentals will tell you the estimated valuation of a stock, what the company does as a core business activity, where it derives its revenues, where it burns most of its cash and all other metrics including the cashflow situations. However, the stock market chart is very key in your valuation and price entry journey. The historical price chart would tell you the lowest and highest points a stock reached during a certain time period. Noting these key points can greatly amplify your results and giving you an edge against other traders. Notice how the current price of our chart IBM is nearing its highest point in a decade, suggesting it's not an opportune time for purchases. This is because structure can change once we get to the top and room for making a proper reward against risk is much limited. Investors who bought at the bottom in 2020 will begin liquidating their position which might result in stock prices coming down. For the chart I will be keeping a keen eye at the top to see how price would react. This can be shown over & over in many other charts to help investors with entry points. Goodluck & please feel free to share your comments.
NYSE:IBMEducation
by thesharkke
3