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Chart Patterns

A Renko Trading Strategy - Part 7Part 7: Some Examples of Analysis with Indicators First, let’s look at some of the key indicators that are included in the charts. Regardless of the brick size (10,25, or 50), all charts will have the same configuration. DEMA (12-period and 20-period) : These moving averages are designed to react more quickly to price changes than a traditional simple moving average (SMA). The 12-period DEMA is black, and the 20-period DEMA is red. We would look for the 12-period DEMA to cross above the 20-period as a potential bullish signal and below as a bearish signal. As you examine the charts going forward, pay close attention to these two when comparing them to the dynamics of the brick patterns. SMA (20-period) with Blue Dots : This moving average is plotted with blue dots and provides a visual indication of the longer-term trend. It's smoother and slower to react to price changes compared to the DEMA. WMA (9-period) on the 20-period SMA (Purple Line) : The WMA is used to confirm trends and reversals. When the WMA is above the SMA, it may indicate an uptrend, and vice versa for a downtrend. In terms of support and resistance, Renko bricks make it easier to spot these levels as they smooth out minor price fluctuations. Support and resistance would be identified by areas where the price has repeatedly reversed direction. When comparing the 12 and 20-period DEMA to the Renko bricks, look for areas where the DEMAs act as dynamic support or resistance to the price action indicated by the bricks. Similarly, the 20-period SMA and the 9-period WMA would be assessed for their interaction with the Renko bricks. For breakout patterns, we would look for a consolidation of Renko bricks, indicated by a tight clustering of bricks without clear direction, followed by a breakout above or below this consolidation with a corresponding move in the moving averages. Let’s identify any notable patterns or signals on the chart. We will look for: Crossovers between the DEMAs The relationship between the DEMAs and the Renko bricks Potential support and resistance levels Any consolidation patterns that might indicate breakout points The Average Directional Index (ADX) is used to determine the strength of a trend. The value of 35 that is used is higher than the standard 20 or 25, which implies the reduced noise in Renko charts. Here’s how you might interpret the ADX in conjunction with the DI lines: Consolidation : If the ADX is dropping and has crossed below the 35 level, it may indicate that the trend strength is weakening, suggesting a period of consolidation or range-bound market. ADX Below DI Lines : When the ADX drops below both the +DI (positive directional indicator) and -DI (negative directional indicator), it further suggests that neither buyers nor sellers are in control, reinforcing the consolidation signal. Watching for a Trend Change : If after dropping, the ADX starts to turn upward while below the DI lines, it could be an early sign that a new trend is starting to form. The direction of the trend would be indicated by which DI line the ADX crosses. If it crosses the +DI, it may signal the start of an uptrend; if it crosses the -DI, a downtrend might be beginning. To apply this to your Renko chart, you would look for periods where the ADX dips below 35 and pay attention to its direction relative to the DI lines. You'd also consider the brick color change on the Renko chart for confirmation of trend direction if the ADX starts to rise after the dip. Keep in mind that technical indicators should not be used in isolation; they are more effective when used in conjunction with other analysis tools and techniques. Renko charts themselves filter out smaller price movements, so the ADX on a Renko chart might not react the same way as it would on a traditional candlestick chart. Here's some ideas on how to analyze and correlate the given indicators to price action: Renko Bricks : Renko charts focus on price changes that meet a minimum amount and filter out minor price movements, thus highlighting the trend over time. A 50-tick Renko chart will only print a new brick when the price moves by 50 ticks, thereby smoothing out minor fluctuations and making trends easier to spot. The 1-hour timeframe means that each brick represents an hour's worth of price movement. Linear Regression Channel (1st and 2nd degree) : This tool is used to identify potential support and resistance levels and the overall trend direction. The 1st degree (linear) regression trendlines show the mean price movement, while the 2nd degree could show a parabolic trend which accounts for acceleration in price movement. The price often oscillates around the mean trendline, and deviations can be used to identify overbought or oversold conditions. Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) 12 and 20 : The DEMA is a faster-moving average that reduces lag time compared to traditional moving averages. In your setup, the DEMA 12 would be more reactive to price changes, potentially serving as a short-term trend indicator, while the DEMA 20 could be used to confirm medium-term trends. Simple Moving Average (SMA) 20 with 9 period Weighted Moving Average (WMA) : The SMA 20 is a common indicator for medium-term trend direction. When combined with the 9-period WMA, which gives more weight to recent prices, you could use crossovers between the two as potential buy/sell signals. Stochastic Oscillators (5,3,3 and 50,3,3) : Stochastic oscillators compare the closing price of a commodity to its price range over a certain period. The 5,3,3 stochastic is a fast indicator that can signal short-term overbought or oversold conditions. The 50,3,3 stochastic, being much slower, could be used to assess the longer-term momentum of the market. Average Directional Index (ADX) with the Directional Movement Index (DMI) : The ADX is used to measure the strength of a trend, whether up or down. The DMI includes both the Positive Directional Indicator (+DI) and Negative Directional Indicator (-DI), which help determine the trend direction. A rising ADX indicates a strong trend, while a falling ADX suggests a weakening trend. When analyzing the chart, consider the following correlations and insights: Renko and Regression Channel : Look for periods when the Renko bricks consistently stay on one side of the mean regression line. This could indicate a strong trend. If the price breaks through the regression channel, it might signal a potential reversal or a breakout. DEMA, SMA, and WMA : Watch for crossovers between these moving averages. A crossover of the DEMA 12 above the SMA 20 and WMA might indicate a bullish short-term momentum, while a crossover below could signal bearish momentum. Stochastic Oscillators : Look for divergence between the price and the stochastic oscillators. If the price makes new highs/lows but the stochastic does not confirm (known as a divergence), it could indicate a weakening trend. ADX and DMI : If the ADX is rising and the +DI is above the -DI, the uptrend is strong; if the -DI is above the +DI, the downtrend is strong. If the ADX is falling, the trend is considered weak or the market may be ranging. For trade setups, you might consider the following: Long Entry : A new Renko brick in the direction of the trend, a bullish crossover in moving averages, the stochastic coming out of oversold territory, and a rising ADX with +DI above -DI. Short Entry : A new Renko brick opposite the trend direction, a bearish crossover in moving averages, the stochastic coming out of overbought territory, and a rising ADX with -DI above +DI. It's crucial to back test these indicators and their correlations with historical price data to validate their predictive power. Additionally, always manage risk appropriately, as indicators are not foolproof and should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis and sound trading principles. Part 8: Working Through Some Examples to-follow
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by mxb1961
A Renko Trading Strategy - Part 6Part 6: How to Incorporate a Stop/Loss Strategy Incorporating stop-loss strategies into trading using Renko charts and options involves careful consideration of market dynamics, the specific characteristics of options trading, and the unique aspects of Renko charts. Here are some approaches tailored to this trading strategy: 1. Setting Stop Losses Based on Renko Chart Reversal Renko Brick Reversals : Since Renko charts are designed to filter out minor price movements, a reversal (change in brick color) can be a significant indicator. For options trading, consider setting a stop-loss order if there's a reversal that contradicts your position. For instance, if trading calls based on an uptrend indicated by Renko charts, a stop-loss could be triggered by the appearance of a certain number (e.g., two or three) of consecutive red bricks, signaling a potential downtrend. Percentage of Option Value : Determine a percentage loss of the option's value that you're willing to tolerate (e.g., 30-50% of the premium paid). This approach requires monitoring the option's value relative to market movements and Renko chart signals. 2. Volatility-Based Stop Losses Average True Range (ATR) Adjustments : Although traditional Renko charts do not incorporate time or volume, you can use an additional indicator like the Average True Range (ATR) of the underlying futures contract to set volatility-adjusted stop losses. This method involves setting a stop loss at a point where the option's underlying asset moves against your position by an amount that is significant based on recent volatility, indicating the trend might not be as strong as anticipated. 3. Time-Based Exits Option Time Decay : For options, time decay (theta) is an important consideration. You might set a time-based stop-loss strategy where positions are evaluated for potential exit if there hasn't been favorable movement within a certain timeframe, considering the decay's impact on your option's value, especially as it approaches expiration. 4. Technical and Fundamental Stop Losses Renko Chart Patterns : If your Renko charts show pattern breakouts or breakdowns (e.g., failure of a breakout pattern you traded on), use these as a basis for stop-loss orders. Fundamental News: For commodities like crude oil, fundamental news (e.g., geopolitical events, supply changes) can dramatically impact prices. If such events occur and are likely to adversely affect your position, consider them as triggers for your stop-loss strategy. 5. Dynamic Stop Losses Adjust According to Market Conditions: As market conditions change, regularly review and adjust your stop-loss levels. This dynamic approach ensures that your strategy remains aligned with the current market environment and Renko chart developments. 6. Mental Stop Losses Disciplined Execution : While physical stop-loss orders placed with a broker are automatic, mental stop losses rely on the trader's discipline to execute a trade when certain conditions are met. This approach allows for flexibility in response to market conditions but requires strict adherence to predetermined exit criteria to be effective. Conclusion Creating stop-loss strategies for options trading based on Renko charts involves a blend of technical analysis, understanding of options' characteristics, and disciplined risk management. By combining Renko chart reversals, volatility adjustments, time-based considerations, and both technical and fundamental factors, traders can develop a comprehensive stop-loss strategy that protects against undue losses while allowing room for the natural ebb and flow of the markets. Regular review and adjustment of these strategies in response to market changes are crucial for maintaining their effectiveness. Part 7: Some Examples of Analysis to-follow
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by mxb1961
A Renko Trading Strategy - Part 5Part 5: Devising a Strategy Based on Buying Calls/Puts When trading crude oil (CL) using options like puts or calls, the strategy involving Renko charts and pattern recognition can be finely tuned for option trading. The choice between puts and calls will depend on the identified trend and pattern signals across the three brick sizes. Here are scenarios that illustrate when to buy puts or calls based on the described strategy: Scenario 1: Buying Calls Signal : All three Renko charts (short-term, medium-term, long-term) show a clear uptrend with consecutive green bricks. The medium-term chart breaks out of a consolidation pattern upwards, and the short-term chart shows a reversal pattern from a minor pullback, indicating a continuation of the uptrend. Action : Buy calls as the uptrend signals an expectation of higher prices ahead. Example : If the long-term chart has been in a consistent uptrend, the medium-term chart shows a breakout, and the short-term chart indicates a reversal or continuation pattern, it suggests strong bullish momentum, making it an optimal time to buy calls. Scenario 2: Buying Puts Signal : All three charts indicate a downtrend with consecutive red bricks. A double top pattern appears on the short-term chart, suggesting a reversal from a minor rally within the downtrend. The medium-term chart starts trending downwards after a consolidation, aligning with the long-term downtrend. Action : Buy puts as the combined signals suggest a continuation of the downtrend. Example : After a brief rally indicated by a double top on the short-term chart, if both the medium and long-term charts reinforce a bearish outlook with consistent red bricks, it's an indication to buy puts, expecting the price to fall. Scenario 3: Buying Calls on a Reversal Signal : The long-term chart shows a downtrend, but the medium and short-term charts indicate a reversal pattern (e.g., an inverse head and shoulders or a double bottom). The medium-term chart starts showing green bricks, suggesting the beginning of an uptrend. Action : Buy calls to capitalize on the early stages of a potential reversal and uptrend. Example : Even if the long-term trend is down, a clear reversal pattern on the short and medium-term charts that aligns with an emerging uptrend suggests a shifting momentum, making it a strategic point to buy calls. Scenario 4: Buying Puts on a Failing Rally Signal : During an uptrend on the long-term chart, both the medium and short-term charts show a rally running out of steam, evidenced by a pattern of consolidation followed by a breakout to the downside on the medium-term chart, and a double top on the short-term chart. Action : Buy puts as the failing rally suggests a potential short-term downtrend, even within a larger uptrend. Example : If the long-term trend remains bullish but short-term indicators suggest a temporary reversal, buying puts can be a strategic move to profit from the expected downturn. General Approach for Options Trading with Renko Charts: Timing : Use short-term and medium-term charts for timing your entry into options trades. The short-term chart provides early signals, while the medium-term chart offers confirmation. Direction : The long-term chart sets the overall direction for the trade. Even in a bullish long-term trend, short-term downtrends provide opportunities to buy puts, and vice versa. Volatility : Consider the implied volatility of options before entering a trade. High volatility can increase option premiums, affecting the risk-reward ratio. Expiration : Choose expiration dates that give the trade enough time to work out. Longer expirations for calls in an uptrend or puts in a downtrend can be beneficial, allowing the market trend to fully develop. By aligning option buying strategies with Renko chart signals across different time frames, traders can enhance their ability to enter and exit trades with a higher probability of success, leveraging the clarity provided by Renko charts to navigate the volatility of the crude oil market. When buying puts or calls for Crude Oil (CL) futures with an approach akin to trading futures contracts but aiming to mitigate risk, particularly concerning options' time decay and other unique characteristics, a strategic approach is crucial. There are several key strategies to consider: 1. Choose the Right Expiration Time Horizon of Your Analysis: Align the expiration of the options with the time horizon of your market analysis. If your analysis based on Renko charts suggests a trend or reversal might play out over several weeks or months, consider options that expire at least 1-3 months beyond your anticipated trend reversal or continuation point. This buffer accommodates the time needed for the market to move in your favor while accounting for time decay. Avoid Short-Term Expiries: Short-term options are more susceptible to time decay (theta). While they may be cheaper and offer higher leverage, they also require the market to move quickly in your favor. Given the nature of Renko charts to filter out minor fluctuations and focus on more significant trends, a medium to longer-term option is generally more aligned with this strategy. 2. Consider Implied Volatility (IV) High IV: When IV is high, options premiums are more expensive, reflecting greater expected volatility. Buying options in high IV environments can be risky as you're paying a premium for the expected volatility. However, if your analysis strongly suggests a significant market move, this could still be profitable. Low IV: Buying options when IV is low can be advantageous because the premiums will be cheaper, reducing the cost of entry. If the market moves in your favor and volatility increases, the value of your option could rise both due to the directional move and the increase in IV. 3. Delta and In-The-Money (ITM) Options Delta : Consider the delta of the options. Delta close to 1 (for calls) or -1 (for puts) means the option price moves nearly in lockstep with the underlying asset, similar to owning the futures contract but with limited risk. Options with higher deltas are typically more expensive but less affected by time decay relative to their intrinsic value. ITM Options: Buying ITM options can be a strategic choice for mimicking futures trading. ITM options have intrinsic value and behave more like the underlying asset, with a higher delta and less sensitivity to time decay (theta) compared to out-of-the-money (OTM) options. 4. Rolling Options Strategy : To maintain a position in the market while managing time decay, consider rolling options. As the expiration date approaches and if your market outlook remains unchanged, you can sell the nearing expiration option and buy a further out expiration option. This strategy requires careful consideration of transaction costs and potential slippage but allows you to stay in the trade with a fresh time horizon. 5. Hedging and Risk Management Diversify Expirations : Instead of buying all options with the same expiration, consider staggering expirations. This diversification can help manage risk if the market moves against your position in the short term. Adjust Positions: Be prepared to adjust your position based on market movement and upcoming economic events. Use stop-loss orders or consider buying options with different strike prices to hedge your bets. Conclusion When treating options on Crude Oil futures like trading the futures themselves but with reduced risk, selecting the right expiration date is vital, taking into account your market outlook, time decay, and implied volatility. Medium to longer-term options with consideration for delta and ITM status can more closely mimic the behavior of trading futures while offering the risk mitigation benefits of options trading. Always incorporate risk management strategies and be prepared to adjust your positions as market conditions evolve. Part 6: How to Incorporate a Stop/Loss Strategy to-follow
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by mxb1961
2
A Renko Trading Strategy - Part 4Part 4: Incorporating Patterns with Strategy Incorporating pattern recognition into a trading strategy using three different brick sizes for Renko charts can enhance decision-making by providing multiple perspectives on market momentum and trend reversals. Applying this to the WTI (CL) market, using short-term, medium-term, and long-term views with different brick sizes. 1. Short-term Brick Size (e.g., 10 ticks, 1min) Entry Signal : Look for breakout patterns or reversal patterns like a double bottom or an inverse head and shoulders pattern. This brick size will be more sensitive to recent price movements, offering early entry points. Confirmation : Use this chart to get an early indication of a trend change or to catch the beginning of a new trend. However, due to its sensitivity, it's essential to wait for confirmation from the medium-term chart to reduce the risk of false signals. 2. Medium-term Brick Size (e.g., 25 ticks, 1min) Entry Signal : This chart size is great for confirming trends identified in the short-term chart. If the medium-term chart starts to show a series of green bricks after a reversal pattern in the short-term chart, it's a stronger signal that the trend is reversing. Strategy : Use this chart to solidify your decision for entry. For example, if you notice a consolidation pattern that breaks out in the same direction as the short-term trend, it can be a good entry point. The medium-term chart helps in filtering out the noise and focusing on more sustainable trends. 3. Long-term Brick Size (e.g., 50 ticks, 1min) Entry Signal : Long-term charts are excellent for identifying the overall market trend. A clear pattern of consecutive bricks (either uptrend or downtrend) can indicate a strong market direction. Strategy : Use the long-term chart for setting the direction of your trades. Enter trades that align with the long-term trend for higher probability outcomes. The long-term trend can also serve as a backdrop for assessing the strength of medium-term signals. Combining Signals for Entry Confluence Entry: The strongest entry signals will occur when patterns or trends align across all three brick sizes. For example, if the short-term chart shows a reversal pattern, the medium-term chart begins to trend in that direction, and the long-term chart supports this with a consistent trend, it's a strong signal for entry. Breakout Entry: A breakout from a consolidation pattern (rectangle) on the medium-term chart that is also supported by a long-term trend can be a robust entry signal. The short-term chart can be used to fine-tune the entry point, such as entering after a small pullback following the breakout. Risk Management Stop-Loss Orders : Place stop-loss orders based on patterns from the medium or long-term charts to give your trades more room to breathe while still protecting against significant losses. Take-Profit Points: Set take-profit levels based on significant resistance or support levels identified in the long-term chart to capitalize on the overall market movement. Example Scenario Scenario : The long-term chart shows a steady uptrend with consecutive green bricks. The medium-term chart shows a breakout from a consolidation pattern, and the short-term chart shows a double bottom, indicating a potential reversal from a recent minor pullback. Action : Enter a long position after the double bottom on the short-term chart, with the medium-term breakout providing additional confirmation. The long-term uptrend supports the overall bullish outlook. Risk Management : Place a stop-loss below the most recent low on the medium-term chart and set a take-profit near a significant resistance level identified on the long-term chart. Conclusion By using Renko charts with three different brick sizes and recognizing patterns across these timeframes, traders can develop a nuanced and layered approach to entering the crude oil market. This strategy allows for early detection of trends, confirmation across multiple timescales, and robust risk management, leading to potentially more informed and strategic trading decisions. Part 5: Devising a Strategy Based on Buying Calls/Puts to-follow
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by mxb1961
Redistribution or Accumulation, that is the question?!From the perspective of Wyckoff analysis, both accumulation and redistribution involve price action within a trading range (TR), but they represent vastly different underlying market dynamics: Accumulation: Underlying Trend: Accumulation typically occurs at the beginning of an uptrend. Supply and Demand: Smart money (institutions, experienced traders) are actively buying shares, causing demand to outweigh supply. This pushes the price upward with increasing volume. Price Action: The price action in an accumulation phase is characterized by testing and absorbing supply (support levels). There may be false breakdowns and narrow price ranges as buying pressure builds. Redistribution: Underlying Trend: Redistribution typically occurs within an existing downtrend. It's a pause in the downward movement before a continuation of the downtrend. Supply and Demand: Smart money is distributing (selling) their holdings, causing supply to outweigh demand. This puts downward pressure on the price, but volume may be lower compared to accumulation. Price Action: The price action in a redistribution phase may resemble accumulation with testing and absorbing support, but with key differences: False breakdowns may be weaker and fail to hold. **Upward movements may be less vigorous and lack confirmation from volume. Price tends to create lower highs compared to previous rallies. Distinguishing between the two: Differentiating between accumulation and redistribution can be crucial for informed trading decisions. Here are some additional points to consider: Context: Analyze the broader market trend and the stock's specific history. Volume: While not absolute, accumulation typically sees rising volume, while redistribution may have lower or stagnant volume. Confirmation: Look for confirmation signals such as breakouts above resistance for accumulation or breakdowns below support for redistribution.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by Moshkelgosha
9
Top-Down Analysis (The CORRECT Approach!)In this video I go through how to effectively do a top-down analysis, and avoid common mistakes. This can apply to any type of trading methodology, but here the focus will be on ICT’s liquidity and inefficiency concepts. This topic is important to traders who are keen on improving their win-rate and catching those higher RR trades. Whilst those things don’t define a successful trader, only consistent profitability and sound risk management do, I believe an effective top-down approach to framing trades is a worthwhile endeavor. Better trade setups give you less stress, more profits, and more freedom of time. What is a "top-down analysis"? It is basically doing your analysis on a higher timeframe to get in line with where you or your strategy is showing price is likely moving to, then on a lower timeframe to wait for your trade setup to form, and then either entering on that timeframe or going to an even lower timeframe for an entry signal. For example, if the weekly chart is bearish, and you see a bullish candle on the hourly chart, you may be fooled into trading in the wrong direction. For the highest probability, you need to be in sync with the higher timeframe. My approach is split into 3 parts: 1. I have my BIAS which is built on the monthly, weekly, and daily timeframe. This helps me determine the direction I want to trade in. If my analysis is bullish, I want to look for longs, and vice versa for shorts. 2. Then I have my NARRATIVE, aka my ‘story’ of how my setup may form on a lower timeframe, usually the 1-4h timeframe. For example, I may be looking for a specific pool of liquidity to be swept at a certain time of the day. 3. Thirdly, I have my CONFIRMATION, which is usually based on the 5-15m timeframe. I hope you found this video insightful and that it helps enhance your trading. If you need clarification about the content, or you are still struggling with finding your groove as a trader and need personal guidance or mentorship, feel free to reach out to me via TradingView’s private message or on X (formerly known as Twitter). Til next time, happy trading. - R2F
Education
by Road_2_Funded
Simple Xtrade Buy/Sell Entry ConditionSell Entry Condition: 🔰 If the SELL (red arrow) signal is confirmed on the 30-minute timeframe and aligns with the resistance level, wait for the SELL (red arrow) signal on the 1-minute timeframe before executing your entry. Take profit (TP) is set at 50-100 pips, stop loss (SL) is set at 50 pips, and set break even (BE) at 30 pips. Buy Entry Condition: 🔰 If the BUY (green arrow) signal is confirmed on the 30-minute timeframe, and the signal aligns with the support level, wait for the BUY (green arrow) signal on the 1-minute timeframe before executing your entry. Take profit (TP) is set at 50-100 pips, stop loss (SL) is set at 50 pips, and set break even (BE) at 30 pips. 1-2 Trades Daily
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDEducation
by Simple_Xtrade
A Renko Trading Strategy - Part 3Part 3: Patterns in Renko Charts Renko charts, like other charting methods, have identifiable patterns that traders look for as indicators of potential market movements. These patterns are appreciated for their simplicity and effectiveness in highlighting trends and reversals without the noise of minor price movements. Here are some common patterns observed in Renko charts, applicable across various markets: 1. Trend Patterns Uptrend/Downtrend: Consecutive bricks of the same color indicate a trend. An uptrend is shown by a series of green (or white) bricks, while a downtrend is depicted by red (or black) bricks. The more consecutive bricks, the stronger the trend. 2. Reversal Patterns Double Top and Double Bottom: These patterns occur when the price reaches a certain level twice but fails to break through. In Renko charts, a double top is indicated by the bricks failing to move higher after reaching a high point twice, suggesting a potential reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. Similarly, a double bottom indicates a potential reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. Head and Shoulders (and Inverse): This pattern is harder to spot in Renko charts due to their simplified nature but can still be identified. A head and shoulders pattern indicates a reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend, while an inverse head and shoulders suggests a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. 3. Consolidation Patterns Rectangles: These occur when bricks alternate colors within a range, indicating market consolidation or a period of indecision. A breakout from this pattern can indicate the direction of the next significant move. 4. Breakout Patterns Support and Resistance Breakouts: Renko charts clearly show support (a level where price consistently finds a floor) and resistance (a ceiling where price tends to top out). A breakout occurs when bricks pass through these levels, potentially indicating the start of a new trend. Strategy Implications Patterns in Renko charts can be used to devise trading strategies: Entry Points: Patterns like breakouts from consolidation ranges or reversals can provide clear entry points. Exit Points: Recognizing the end of a trend pattern or the completion of a reversal pattern can serve as a signal to exit a position to maximize gains or minimize losses. Stop-Loss Placement: Patterns can help identify significant levels for placing stop-loss orders, such as below a recent bottom in an uptrend or above a recent top in a downtrend. Advantages and Limitations The advantage of using Renko charts and identifying these patterns lies in the chart's ability to filter out minor price movements, making it easier to spot meaningful trends and reversals. However, because time and volume are not considered, Renko charts may not always reflect the full picture of market dynamics. Traders often use them in conjunction with other analysis tools to make more informed decisions. These patterns, while straightforward in theory, require practice to identify effectively and use within a comprehensive trading strategy. Part 4: Incorporating Patterns with Strategy to-follow
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by mxb1961
A Renko Trading Strategy - Part 2Part 2: Devising a Strategy with Renko Devising a trading strategy using Renko charts with three different brick sizes for the same market, like crude oil, and analyzing them on the same time scale can provide insights into market trends and momentum at various levels. The following is one of many possible approaches: 1. Choose Brick Sizes Select three different brick sizes that represent short-term, medium-term, and long-term market movements. For example: Short-term: 10 ticks Medium-term: 25 ticks Long-term: 50 ticks These sizes could be chosen based on the volatility of the market and your trading goals. 2. Set Up Charts Side by Side Prepare three Renko charts for crude oil, each with one of the chosen brick sizes. Analyzing them side by side or simultaneously will allow you to get insight into how they compare within the same time. 3. Define Your Strategy A strategy could involve looking for confluence among the charts, where signals on multiple brick sizes align, indicating a stronger trend or reversal. Here’s a potential approach: Trend Confirmation: A trend appears on the long-term chart (50 ticks), and you look for entries when the medium-term (25 ticks) chart aligns with this trend. The short-term chart (10 ticks) can provide specific entry points that minimize risk, as you're entering on minor pullbacks or consolidations within a larger confirmed trend. Trend Reversals: If the short-term chart shows a reversal pattern not yet visible on the medium- or long-term charts, it could be an early signal. Confirm this signal if the reversal starts to appear on the medium-term chart, suggesting a more significant shift in market sentiment. Divergence: If the short-term chart diverges from the medium- and long-term trends, it might indicate a potential reversal or a weakening trend. Use this information cautiously to either take profits from existing positions or prepare for a trend change. 4. Implement Risk Management Regardless of the signals, always have a clear risk management strategy. Decide on stop-loss levels and take-profit points based on the chart that you're using for entry signals. For example, if you're entering based on the short-term chart, you might set tighter stop-loss levels than if you're entering based on medium-term signals. 5. Continuous Monitoring and Adjustment The effectiveness of this strategy can vary over time due to changes in market volatility and conditions. Regularly review and adjust the brick sizes and strategy parameters as needed to align with the current market environment. 6. Example Strategy Execution Entry: Enter a trade when all three charts show a clear trend in the same direction. For example, if all charts show an uptrend, consider taking a long position. Exit: Consider exiting or taking profit if the short-term chart shows a significant reversal pattern, even if the medium- and long-term charts still indicate an uptrend. This could preempt a broader market reversal. Conclusion This multi-scale Renko chart strategy allows for a nuanced view of market dynamics, combining the clarity of trend confirmation with the sensitivity to early reversal signals. By integrating signals from different time perspectives, you can make more informed decisions and potentially improve the risk-reward ratio of your trades. Part 3: Patterns in Renko Charts to-follow
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by mxb1961
A Renko Trading StrategyPart 1: A Brief Overview In traditional Renko charts, time does not play a role in when a new brick is printed; bricks are purely based on price movement reaching a specified threshold. However, some variations and adaptations of Renko charts integrate time or other criteria to align more closely with certain trading strategies or preferences. Tradingview combines elements of time-based filtering with the price movement criteria of standard Renko charts. By allowing someone to set not only the size of the brick (representing the minimum price movement required to print a new brick) but also the length of time the price must remain beyond this threshold to validate the brick, this approach introduces a hybrid element to the construction of Renko charts. This modification can help to filter out even more noise by ensuring that only price movements that are sustained for the specified period contribute to the formation of the chart. It could be particularly useful for traders looking to avoid false signals that might result from brief, sharp price movements that don't represent a true change in market sentiment. Incorporating time into Renko charts can make them somewhat more similar to traditional time-based charting methods, providing a hybrid that retains the noise-filtering benefits of Renko while adding an extra layer of confirmation to the price moves. This can be a valuable tool for traders who wish to fine-tune their analysis by considering both significant price changes and the persistence of these changes over time. The size of the brick in Renko charts directly influences the chart's sensitivity to price changes, and as a consequence, it indirectly affects its sensitivity to time as well, although time is not explicitly considered in traditional Renko chart construction. A larger brick size makes the chart less sensitive to price movements. This is because a larger price change is required to add a new brick to the chart, which can lead to fewer bricks being printed over a given period. This reduction in sensitivity means that minor price fluctuations are effectively filtered out, highlighting more significant trends. Consequently, when you use a larger brick size, the chart might appear similar across different time frames because only substantial price movements are recorded, and these are less frequent. With WTI s an example, setting the brick size to 25 ticks filters out all price movements that are smaller than this. Whether you're looking at a 1-minute or an 11-minute timeframe, the chart will only update when the price moves by 25 ticks or more from the last brick. If the market is relatively stable or if price changes are within this 25-tick range, the Renko chart will remain unchanged, making the chart appear similar across these different time observations. This characteristic of Renko charts makes them particularly useful for identifying and trading based on longer-term trends, as it diminishes the impact of short-term volatility and noise. The choice of brick size is a fundamental decision for traders using Renko charts, as it needs to balance the desire to filter out insignificant price movements with the need to capture meaningful market moves timely. Part 2: Devising a Strategy with Renko to follow
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by mxb1961
Simple Xtrade Invalid/Valid Entry Points (GOLD)Invalid Entry Points (Gold): Random Price Spikes: Avoid entering trades based on sudden and random price spikes, especially without any significant fundamental or technical reasoning behind them. These spikes could be caused by temporary market noise and may lead to false signals. Ignoring Trend Direction: Entering trades against the prevailing trend without proper confirmation can lead to losses. Always consider the overall trend in Gold prices and look for entry points that align with the trend direction to increase the probability of success. Lack of Confirmation: Avoid entering trades solely based on a single indicator or signal. Without confirmation from multiple sources, the validity of the entry point is questionable. It's essential to wait for confirmation from various indicators or price action before making trading decisions. Emotional Trading: Trading based on emotions such as fear of missing out (FOMO) or greed can lead to impulsive decisions and invalid entry points. It's crucial to stick to a well-defined trading plan and avoid letting emotions dictate your trading strategy.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDEducation
by Simple_Xtrade
Can you learn a lesson even from a losing trade ? XAUUSD TRADE: I saw this trade on gold which I didn't later took due to personal reasons, I normally enter my trades using Smart Money Concept (SMC), where by i spot a break of structure from the previous market reaction and wait for some confluences like liquidity to occur then I select a nice indecision candle which aligns with my Fibonacci level of 70.50% or 79.00% correctly showing a discounted level. On Friday morning, gold reacted to my order block around 7:30AM which i didn't enter because i was not around to take it, after taking out liquidity price reacted on my entry and rallied up, which later hit my stoploss because there where some level of unmitigated below my entry, which price later filled in at 2016.74 level and later on price tapped my anticipated TP at 2034.92. So I learnt a lot from this trade, even though it was a loss, lesson well learnt.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by Corex_bm
3
Learning the Basics of Supply and DemandI feel its important for even the most advanced traders to take the time once in a while to re-assess the fundamentals. For newer traders trying to learn this is how I create models of supply and demand. I look on the daily or H4 chart for areas of consolidation followed by an engulfing candle and draw a line, if price returns to that line and doesn't break through it, I make it thicker. If it touches more than 3 times I redraw as a rectangle zone. Notice the 2 green lines. I drew the first when price action started to act bullish and push up against the trend. What I've identified are simple areas where there was an auction and one side clearly won and the price moved to a lower or higher fair value area. What to do with this information is to notice prices that attract buyers and sellers. Use these levels as targets to increase your probability of being positioned on the profitable side of a movement. The further you enter away from these extremum points, the more often you will end up in positions that may win, but will draw down significantly before doing so. Save yourself the stress and let price come to you at a zone where it has hard reversed in the past.
HEducation
by BestCentimeter
Education: Riding the UNI wave to completionIn the world of crypto, altcoins like UNI offer amazing opportunities and lessons in market dynamics. For novice investors, understanding these dynamics can be a stepping stone to successful investing. Let’s look into the case of UNI and what its recent market movements can teach us. Understanding UNI and Its Market Significance UNI is the native token of Uniswap, a leading decentralized exchange platform that facilitates the trading of cryptocurrencies without the need for a central authority. This feature makes UNI not just a cryptocurrency but also a part of the evolving decentralized finance ecosystem. The Breakout from a Downtrend In November 2023, UNI broke out from a downtrend line that had been in place since around July/August 2022. This was a significant event for several reasons. A downtrend line is drawn by connecting the high points of an asset's price chart, showing a downward trajectory. When a breakout occurs, it indicates that the asset’s price has managed to surpass this line, suggesting a potential reversal in trend from bearish to bullish. Why This Breakout Mattered For traders and investors, a breakout from a long-established downtrend is a bullish signal. It suggests a change in market sentiment and possibly the start of an upward movement. In the case of UNI, this breakout was particularly noteworthy because the trendline had been respected and retested multiple times over several months, proving its significance. The Strategy Behind the Investment Based on this breakout, the decision to purchase UNI targeted a price of $12, a figure inspired by the prior resistance level from April 2022. In trading, resistance levels are where the price tends to find opposition as it rises. Once surpassed, such levels can boost confidence among investors. The Importance of Strategy and Discipline The UNI scenario underscores a few key principles in trading: Breakouts Are Bullish : A breakout from a downtrend signals a potential reversal to a bullish market. Retests Are Common : After breaking out, it's common for the price to retest the trendline, but not always. Set Clear Targets : Using Fibonacci targets or horizontal resistance levels helps in setting realistic exit points. In volatile markets, identifying a "war zone" of Fibonacci levels can be an effective strategy to scale out or close positions. Respect Your Exit Strategy : Especially after a significant price spike, adhering to your predetermined exit plan is crucial to capitalize on gains and minimize losses. Final Thoughts For novice investors, the UNI case is a good lesson in the principles of market analysis and trading discipline. It teaches the importance of recognizing trend reversals, setting clear goals, and adhering to a strategy despite market volatility. As you go on your trading journey, remember that knowledge, strategy, and discipline are your best tools for navigating the crypto markets. Whether it's UNI or any other asset, informed decisions and a clear plan will guide your path to success.
Education
by bitdoctor
Candlestick patterns and chart patterns specific to GBP/USDWhen trading GBP/USD, traders often look for specific candlestick patterns and chart patterns to identify potential trend reversals, continuations, or other trading opportunities. Here are some candlestick patterns and chart patterns specific to GBP/USD trading: **1. Candlestick Patterns:** a. **Engulfing Pattern**: - Bullish engulfing: Occurs when a large bullish candle completely engulfs the previous bearish candle, signaling a potential reversal from bearish to bullish sentiment. - Bearish engulfing: Opposite of bullish engulfing, indicating a potential reversal from bullish to bearish sentiment. b. **Hammer and Hanging Man**: - Hammer: A bullish reversal pattern characterized by a small body with a long lower shadow, suggesting buying pressure after a downtrend. - Hanging Man: Similar to a hammer but occurs after an uptrend, signaling a potential bearish reversal. c. **Doji**: - Doji candlestick has a small body with wicks on both sides, indicating indecision in the market. A doji appearing after a strong trend may signal a potential reversal. d. **Morning Star and Evening Star**: - Morning Star: Consists of three candles - a long bearish candle, followed by a small-bodied candle (doji or spinning top), and a bullish candle that closes above the first candle's midpoint. Signals a bullish reversal. - Evening Star: The opposite of the morning star, comprising a long bullish candle, followed by a small-bodied candle, and then a bearish candle that closes below the first candle's midpoint. Signals a bearish reversal. **2. Chart Patterns:** a. **Head and Shoulders**: - A bearish reversal pattern characterized by three peaks - the middle peak (head) is higher than the other two (shoulders). It indicates a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish. - Inverse Head and Shoulders is its bullish counterpart, signaling a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. b. **Double Top and Double Bottom**: - Double Top: Formed when the price reaches a peak twice with a trough in between, indicating a potential bearish reversal. - Double Bottom: Opposite of double top, formed when the price reaches a trough twice with a peak in between, signaling a potential bullish reversal. c. **Flags and Pennants**: - Flags and pennants are continuation patterns that occur after a strong price move, representing temporary pauses before the trend resumes. - Flags are rectangular-shaped patterns, while pennants are small symmetrical triangles, both indicating consolidation before a continuation of the trend. d. **Rising and Falling Wedges**: - Rising Wedge: Formed when the price consolidates between two rising trendlines, signaling a potential bearish reversal. - Falling Wedge: Opposite of rising wedge, formed when the price consolidates between two falling trendlines, signaling a potential bullish reversal. Traders should combine these candlestick and chart patterns with other technical analysis tools and confirmatory indicators to increase the reliability of their trading signals when trading GBP/USD.
Education
by FrankFx14
Method : Anatomy of a TradeI'm not going to say very much, about this chart simply because this is not the place and anyone that makes even a little effort should be able to understand the story it tell. I know this technique doesn't exist elsewhere and there's not a more accurate, reliable, simpler or visually convincing alternative. We'll know soon enough if the rest of the story follows the prediction. When I eventually have the means to, I intend to publish everything I've learnt from this punishment I've inflicted upon myself.. ) Until then.
Education
by Rebelmedia
ALKS -TA tells you everything! How to spot the next breakoutHistory doesn't repeat itself but it often rhymes. And in the stock market, more specifically with technical analysis, we are able to understand why price moved the way it did in the past and, if it's doing something similar again, what to expect. So here, we see repeated controlled selling channels (magenta) being used to build liquidity for buyers. We also have stronger selling channel within (teal) that acts as our safeguard from retesting the more tapered magenta selling channel. When we see price staying within our controlled magenta channel, it typically goes something like this: 1. Price makes a breakout of controlled selling 2. Price hits resistance (usually at the top of a more tapered HTF buying algorithm (green)) and a new magenta channel is created using this point of resistance 2. Teal strong selling algorithm is activated and brings price down to a level of support (usually at the bottom of that same tapered buying channel that caused resistance) 3. Price uses our strong buying continuation algorithm (yellow) to bounce off support, break out of teal (our first indication of a retest of top of magenta as teal is no longer in control) and takes us back to the top of magenta channel (resistance) This pattern will repeat itself - UNTIL: 4. Having sold off in a controlled manner from top of green tapered buying (resistance), price now reaches the bottom of green tapered buying (support) and uses our yellow strong buying continuation channel to retest the top of magenta This is where the breakout happens: 5. With increased volume in this most recent yellow buying continuation channel, we retest the top of magenta, and again it acts as resistance - HOWEVER - instead of now going back to retest the bottom of magenta like usual, we instead are picked up by the bottom of our yellow buying channel. This means buyers are not only in control but are prepared to break out of our controlled magenta selling channel. AND.... Blast off. This is the theory of almost all of my trading - using ALKS and it's algorithm colors as an example - but if you can understand this and start to see it in your own charts, you are in for a fun (more predictable) ride! As always please feel free to respond in the comments with any questions or send me a personal message with thoughts, questions, love, etc. And please like this post (if you liked it) in order for it to reach and help others who could utilize this knowledge to upgrade their trading! And perhaps most importantly, Happy Trading :)
NASDAQ:ALKSEducation
by ReigningTrades
Introduction to GBP/USD chart layout on TradingViewThe GBP/USD chart layout on TradingView provides traders with a comprehensive view of the price movements and key technical indicators specific to the British Pound (GBP) against the United States Dollar (USD) currency pair. Here's an introduction to the GBP/USD chart layout on TradingView: 1. **Price Chart**: - The main component of the GBP/USD chart layout is the price chart, which displays the historical price movements of the GBP/USD currency pair over a specified timeframe. - Traders can choose from different chart types, such as candlestick, line, or bar charts, based on their preferences and analysis requirements. - The price chart provides valuable insights into the trend direction, price levels, and patterns formed by the GBP/USD exchange rate. 2. **Technical Indicators**: - TradingView offers a wide range of technical indicators that traders can overlay onto the GBP/USD price chart to enhance their analysis. - Popular technical indicators commonly used for GBP/USD trading include moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Bollinger Bands, and stochastic oscillator, among others. - By adding technical indicators to the chart, traders can identify trend reversals, momentum shifts, and potential entry and exit points for their trades. 3. **Drawing Tools**: - Traders can use drawing tools available on TradingView to annotate the GBP/USD chart with important levels, patterns, and trendlines. - Drawing tools include trendlines, horizontal lines, channels, shapes, and Fibonacci retracement levels, allowing traders to mark support and resistance levels, chart patterns, and other significant price levels. 4. **Timeframes**: - TradingView offers a variety of timeframe options, ranging from 1-minute to monthly intervals, allowing traders to analyze GBP/USD price movements across different time horizons. - Shorter timeframes (e.g., 1-hour, 15-minute) are suitable for intraday trading and short-term analysis, while longer timeframes (e.g., daily, weekly) are used for swing trading and long-term trend analysis. 5. **Volume and Market Depth**: - Traders can access volume and market depth information for the GBP/USD currency pair, providing insights into trading activity and liquidity levels. - Volume bars or histograms displayed beneath the price chart indicate the trading volume accompanying each price bar, helping traders assess the strength of price movements. Overall, the GBP/USD chart layout on TradingView offers a comprehensive toolkit for traders to analyze price movements, identify trading opportunities, and make informed trading decisions based on technical analysis indicators, drawing tools, and other features available on the platform.
Education
by FrankFx14
Customizing chart settings for GBP/USD tradingCustomizing chart settings for GBP/USD trading on TradingView allows traders to tailor the chart display according to their preferences and analysis requirements. Here's how to customize chart settings specifically for GBP/USD trading: 1. **Select GBP/USD as the Trading Instrument**: - Navigate to the TradingView homepage and click on the "Chart" tab to open a new chart window. - In the chart window, locate the search bar at the top left corner and enter "GBPUSD" or "GBP/USD" to select the GBP/USD currency pair as the trading instrument. 2. **Choose Chart Type and Timeframe**: - Once GBP/USD is selected, choose the preferred chart type (candlestick, line, or bar) by clicking on the "Chart Type" icon located at the top of the chart window. - Select the desired timeframe for analysis by clicking on the timeframe dropdown menu, which typically includes options such as 1-minute, 5-minute, 1-hour, 1-day, etc. Choose a timeframe that aligns with your trading strategy and time horizon. 3. **Add Technical Indicators**: - Customize the chart by adding technical indicators that can aid in analysis and decision-making. Click on the "Indicators" icon (looks like a wave) located at the top of the chart window. - From the list of available indicators, choose relevant indicators for GBP/USD trading, such as moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and Bollinger Bands, by typing their names in the search bar and clicking on them to add them to the chart. 4. **Draw Support and Resistance Levels**: - Utilize drawing tools to identify support and resistance levels on the chart, which can help in identifying potential entry and exit points. Click on the "Drawings" icon (pencil) located at the top of the chart window. - Select the trendline or horizontal line tool and draw lines on the chart to mark significant support and resistance levels based on historical price movements. 5. **Customize Chart Appearance**: - Customize the appearance of the chart to enhance readability and visual appeal. Click on the "Settings" icon (gear) located at the top of the chart window. - Adjust settings such as chart background color, gridlines, axis labels, and font size to suit your preferences. 6. **Save Chart Layout**: - Once you've customized the chart settings according to your preferences, you can save the chart layout for future use. Click on the "Layouts" icon (floppy disk) located at the top of the chart window, then select "Save As" to save the layout with a custom name. By following these steps to customize chart settings for GBP/USD trading on TradingView, traders can create a personalized charting environment tailored to their analysis needs and trading style.
Education
by FrankFx14
Creating an account and navigating the interfaceCreating an account on TradingView is a straightforward process that allows users to access the platform's wide range of features and tools. Here's a step-by-step guide to creating an account and navigating the interface: 1. **Sign-Up**: Visit the TradingView website (www.tradingview.com) and click on the "Sign-Up" button located at the top right corner of the homepage. 2. **Registration**: Enter your email address, choose a username, and create a password. Alternatively, you can sign up using your Google or Facebook account for a quicker registration process. 3. **Verification**: After submitting your registration details, you may need to verify your email address by clicking on the verification link sent to your email inbox. 4. **Personalize Profile**: Once your account is verified, you can personalize your profile by adding a profile picture and providing additional information about your trading experience and interests. 5. **Navigating the Interface**: - **Dashboard**: Upon logging in, you'll be directed to your dashboard, which serves as the central hub for accessing various features and tools. Here, you can view your watchlists, favorite symbols, recent activity, and recommendations. - **Charting**: To access the charting tools, click on the "Chart" tab located at the top of the screen. This will open up a new chart window where you can select your preferred trading instrument (such as GBP/USD), customize chart settings, and conduct technical analysis using drawing tools and indicators. - **Market Data**: TradingView provides access to real-time market data for a wide range of financial instruments, including stocks, forex, cryptocurrencies, and commodities. You can explore market data by clicking on the "Markets" tab and selecting your desired asset class. - **Social Community**: Engage with other traders and investors by participating in discussions, sharing trading ideas, and accessing user-generated content. Navigate to the "Ideas" tab to view trading ideas and analysis from the TradingView community. - **Notifications**: Stay updated on market movements and trading opportunities by setting up alerts and notifications. You can configure alerts based on price levels, technical indicators, and other criteria by clicking on the "Alerts" tab. 6. **Additional Features**: Explore additional features and tools offered by TradingView, such as screeners, backtesting, economic calendar, and news feed, to enhance your trading experience and analysis capabilities. By following these steps and familiarizing yourself with the TradingView interface, you'll be well-equipped to leverage the platform's features for conducting analysis, executing trades, and engaging with the trading community.
Education
by FrankFx14
1