Education: Riding the UNI wave to completionIn the world of crypto, altcoins like UNI offer amazing opportunities and lessons in market dynamics. For novice investors, understanding these dynamics can be a stepping stone to successful investing. Let’s look into the case of UNI and what its recent market movements can teach us.
Understanding UNI and Its Market Significance
UNI is the native token of Uniswap, a leading decentralized exchange platform that facilitates the trading of cryptocurrencies without the need for a central authority. This feature makes UNI not just a cryptocurrency but also a part of the evolving decentralized finance ecosystem.
The Breakout from a Downtrend
In November 2023, UNI broke out from a downtrend line that had been in place since around July/August 2022. This was a significant event for several reasons. A downtrend line is drawn by connecting the high points of an asset's price chart, showing a downward trajectory. When a breakout occurs, it indicates that the asset’s price has managed to surpass this line, suggesting a potential reversal in trend from bearish to bullish.
Why This Breakout Mattered
For traders and investors, a breakout from a long-established downtrend is a bullish signal. It suggests a change in market sentiment and possibly the start of an upward movement. In the case of UNI, this breakout was particularly noteworthy because the trendline had been respected and retested multiple times over several months, proving its significance.
The Strategy Behind the Investment
Based on this breakout, the decision to purchase UNI targeted a price of $12, a figure inspired by the prior resistance level from April 2022. In trading, resistance levels are where the price tends to find opposition as it rises. Once surpassed, such levels can boost confidence among investors.
The Importance of Strategy and Discipline
The UNI scenario underscores a few key principles in trading:
Breakouts Are Bullish : A breakout from a downtrend signals a potential reversal to a bullish market.
Retests Are Common : After breaking out, it's common for the price to retest the trendline, but not always.
Set Clear Targets : Using Fibonacci targets or horizontal resistance levels helps in setting realistic exit points. In volatile markets, identifying a "war zone" of Fibonacci levels can be an effective strategy to scale out or close positions.
Respect Your Exit Strategy : Especially after a significant price spike, adhering to your predetermined exit plan is crucial to capitalize on gains and minimize losses.
Final Thoughts
For novice investors, the UNI case is a good lesson in the principles of market analysis and trading discipline. It teaches the importance of recognizing trend reversals, setting clear goals, and adhering to a strategy despite market volatility. As you go on your trading journey, remember that knowledge, strategy, and discipline are your best tools for navigating the crypto markets. Whether it's UNI or any other asset, informed decisions and a clear plan will guide your path to success.
Wave Analysis
How to Trade Broadening Formations. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Hello traders investors and community.
Today I show some important trading formations which can help to identify a profitable trading entry in the markets.
These types are when confirmed highly probable trading set-ups to open whether a LONG or SHORT position.
In volatile markets, these formations can develop quite often.
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1.) Ascending Broadening Wedge
2.) Descending Broadening Wedge
3.) Broadening Wedge Bottoms
4.) Broadening Wedge Tops
5.) Ascending Right-Angled Broadening Formations
6.) Descending Right-Angled Broadening Formations
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1.) Ascending Broadening Wedge
These wedges most often break-out in the direction where they came from. So it is a wise idea to trade the break-out in the direction, otherwise,
swing-trades can be traded from trend-line to trend-line in the broadening wedge.
The target is the full height of the pattern, from the lowest low to the highest high forming the trendlines. Identifying tradable ascending broadening wedges
can provide good risk and reward trades with high profit.
2.) Descending Broadening Wedge
This Wedge is similar to the Ascending Broadening Wedge.
We are looking for two touches for each trendline before a reversal and breakout happen as shown in my chart. The Breakout can be traded with a minimum
target of the percentage distance from the full height of the pattern, from the lowest low to the lowest high.
3.) Broadening Wedge Bottoms
Broadening Wedge Bottoms are as you can see in the picture provided in my chart. Reversals marking a significant reversal after a downtrend. The bottom is
formed with three touches of the lower trendline and three touches of the higher trendline.
The target is the highest high in the pattern minus the lowest low in the pattern.
4.) Broadening Wedge Tops
Broadeing Wedge Tops are similar to Bottoms. They develop in a rising trend forming higher highs and lower lows in a broadening scale-like seen in the
picture. Three higher highs marking the upper boundary of the formation and two lower lows marking the lower boundary of the formation.
The target projection is the same as with broadening bottoms.
5.) Ascending Right-Angled Broadening Formations
They develop with a horizontal trendline and a sloping trendline. The price broadens over time in the formation forming three lows and two highs as you can
see in the chart.
The wedge breaks in the direction where it came from and can be traded either with swing trades in the wedge or with a breakout entry to
trade the breakout.
The target is the height of the complete wedge at the breakout point and is projected from the breakout in the breakout direction to determine the
minimum target.
6.) Descending Right-Angled Broadening Formations
These are the same as Ascending Right-Angled Broadening Formation just with a little different structure. Here we have a horizontal lower trendline and
a sloping higher trendline which are forming the overall formation. We see two touches of the lower trendline and three touches of the higher trend-line
just as with the Ascending Right-Angled Broadening Formation.
The price projection is also the same and the formation can be wisely traded in the breakout direction.
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If you like this tutorial feel free to support my work.
Thank you.
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“The eye sees only what the mind is prepared to comprehend.”
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My view after two years (Sharp correction pattern)Hi there,
I wanted to share my thoughts on Sharp's corrective pattern with you. I have been studying this pattern for about two years now and it follows three basic rules. The pattern consists of five waves that are similar to the impulse pattern. Based on my personal experience, this pattern can also be labeled as a triple zigzag (W-X-Y-X-Z).
While analyzing different markets, I found a similar number of this pattern and often labeled it as an impulse pattern by following the rules. As per the wave principle, after the completion of five waves, we look for three corrective waves which may also become more complicated. However, we then look for five more waves to complete a good zigzag pattern. But the market often surprises an analyst at this point.
I hope my explanation helps you understand Sharp's corrective pattern a little better.
Good luck!
Elliott Waves: Natural Gas case study
Overview:
Since the significant bottom in June 2020, Natural Gas embarked on a compelling journey, forming a fresh impulse that concluded around the highs of August 2022 as Wave I in the Cycle Degree. The subsequent phase witnessed a corrective move, labeled as Wave II on the weekly timeframe, comprising three subdivisions: ((A)), ((B)), and ((C)). The current focus is on the ongoing Wave ((C)) on the Daily timeframe, expected to unfold in five subdivisions: (1), (2), (3), (4), and (5). Within this framework, Wave (1) to (4) are complete, and attention now turns to the unfolding of Wave (5) on the Four-Hourly timeframe.
Current Structure:
On the Four-Hourly timeframe, Natural Gas is in the process of forming Wave (5), consisting of Wave 1, 2, and the ongoing development of Wave 3. The details of Wave 3 are further observed on the Hourly timeframe as finished wave ((i)) & ((ii)) and now possibly we are unfolding Wave ((iii)) of 3 of (5) of ((C)) of II.
Elliott Wave Principles:
Corrective Structure:
Wave II is corrective, manifesting as a complex correction with three subdivisions, labeled ((A)), ((B)), and ((C)).
Impulse Formation:
The primary upward movement from June 2020 to August 2022 represents an impulse, characterized by a sequence of five waves.
Subdivision Details:
Each wave and subdivision unfolds according to Elliott Wave principles, maintaining the structural integrity of the overall pattern.
Learning Points:
Analyzing Market Cycles:
Elliott Wave Analysis serves as a valuable tool for understanding the cyclical nature of markets, providing insights into the psychology of both buyers and sellers.
Trend Anticipation:
Corrective waves within the Elliott Wave framework offer a strategic opportunity to foresee potential trends—whether they signify a resumption or reversal of the existing trend.
Elliott Wave Analysis is a tool to decipher market cycles, offering insights into the psychological dynamics of buyers and sellers.
Corrective waves provide an opportunity to anticipate trend resumption or reversal.
The principle of non-overlapping waves helps identify the structure of the market move.
Validation and Risk Management:
The integrity of this Elliott Wave structure is contingent on Wave II not surpassing the low of Wave I, identified at $1.440. A breach of this level would invalidate the current wave count.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
How did the price of gold change from 1970 to 2023?Hello everyone
How did the price of gold change from 1970 to 2023?
And the events that affected him
The price of gold has continued to rise over the past five decades, from an average of $36 in 1970 to $2,080 in 2023.
Despite gold's status as a long-term investment commodity, its value has declined several times. The periods of highs and lows coincided with difficult political and economic developments - investors' demand for gold as a safe haven rises when there are problems in the global economy, and weakens when things are going well.
What can we learn from the past to be able to make predictions for the future?
Gold is priced on a standard scale per ounce.
1 ounce = 31.1 grams
1970 - The average price of an ounce of gold is $36
In August 1971 - US President Richard Nixon abolished the dollar's peg to gold. The dollar was no longer converted into gold at a fixed value, $35 per ounce, and gold could be traded at fluctuating market prices
In December 1974 - For the first time in 40 years, American citizens were allowed to keep gold bullion and coins.
In June 1980 - Gold rose to a record high of $850 per ounce, as investors turned to the precious metal amid rising inflation due to strong oil prices, Soviet intervention in Afghanistan, and the impact of the Iranian Revolution.
From 1982 to 1988 - Fluctuations in global currency exchange rates, increasing concern about the US trade deficit and banking problems, and debt in Third World countries factor into gold fluctuations between $300 and $490.
From 1989 to 1991 - this period witnessed conflict in the Arabian Gulf, the collapse of the Soviet Union, a decline in the role of gold as a safe haven, and weak economic growth in general throughout the world.
From 1992 to 1996 - Gold remained relatively stable.
In August 1999 - The price of gold fell to its lowest level at $251.70 when central banks began reducing their gold reserves and mining companies sold gold in the futures markets to protect them from the decline.
In February 2003 - The price of gold rose after it was considered a safe haven in the period leading up to the war in Iraq.
December 2003 – Gold surpassed $400, reaching levels at which it was last traded in 1988. Gold was increasingly purchased by investors as a hedging tool for their investment portfolios.
November 2005 – Spot gold trading exceeded $500 for the first time since December 1987, when it reached $502.97.
May 12, 2006 - Gold prices rose to $730 per ounce as investors turned to commodities as a result of the weak dollar, stable oil prices, and political tensions over Iran's nuclear ambitions.
On June 2, 2008 - Spot gold exceeded $850.
March 13, 2008 – Trading in the benchmark gold contract exceeds $1000 for the first time in the US futures market.
On March 17, 2008 - the price of spot gold reached its highest level at 1030.80 per ounce.
On September 17, 2008 - the price of spot gold jumped nearly $90 per ounce - a single-day record, as investors sought a safe haven amid turmoil in the stock market.
February 20, 2009 – Gold once again rose above $1,000 per ounce to reach $1,005.40 during the financial crisis.
December 1, 2009 – Gold exceeds $1,200 per ounce for the first time as the dollar declines.
On May 11, 2010 - Gold recorded a new high, exceeding $1,230 per ounce after investors resorted to gold as a safer investment haven with continued concerns about debt contagion in the Eurozone.
September 17, 2010 – Gold reached a new record high exceeding 1,282 per ounce, driven by a weak dollar and economic uncertainty.
September 2011 – The Eurozone debt crisis prompts investors to shift money into gold, causing its price to rise to 1,923 per ounce.
From 2012 to 2015 - Gold continued to decline as fears of a full-blown banking crisis eased after 2011, with gold reaching $1,094 in August 2015.
In June 2016 - Brexit and its unknown consequences fuel a gold rush. Gold rose to its highest level in two years at $1,358.
June 2017 – Gold reaches a year-high of $1,294 before falling back to an average of $1,200.
On August 3, 2020, gold rose to the highest level in its history at 2,075 per ounce, as concerns about the economic repercussions of the coronavirus outbreak prompted investors to rush towards safe havens.
Gold prices witnessed a record high with the start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, exceeding the threshold of $2,070 per ounce.
Over the course of five days in March 2023, three small-to-mid-size U.S. banks failed, triggering a sharp decline in global bank stock prices and a swift response by regulators to prevent potential global contagion. Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) failed when a bank run was triggered after it sold its Treasury bond portfolio at a large loss, causing depositor concerns about the bank's liquidity. Silvergate Bank and Signature Bank, both with significant exposure to cryptocurrency, failed in the midst of turbulence in that market.
The escalation in Gaza directly affected gold, with prices rising by about $2007 per ounce, which reflects investors’ demand for safe havens.
I hope you got some knowledge from this!
if you have any questions let me know...
Thanks
The truth about Buy at the bottom & sell at the topHello,
If you're here, you've likely encountered the timeless advice of "buying at the bottom and selling at the top " is an advice you must have heard by now. However, executing this is one of the most difficult things for most people to do. This is majorly because most people cannot tell where the stock is at during any particular point in time.
Fundamentals will tell you the estimated valuation of a stock, what the company does as a core business activity, where it derives its revenues, where it burns most of its cash and all other metrics including the cashflow situations.
However, the stock market chart is very key in your valuation and price entry journey. The historical price chart would tell you the lowest and highest points a stock reached during a certain time period. Noting these key points can greatly amplify your results and giving you an edge against other traders.
Notice how the current price of our chart IBM is nearing its highest point in a decade, suggesting it's not an opportune time for purchases. This is because structure can change once we get to the top and room for making a proper reward against risk is much limited. Investors who bought at the bottom in 2020 will begin liquidating their position which might result in stock prices coming down.
For the chart I will be keeping a keen eye at the top to see how price would react.
This can be shown over & over in many other charts to help investors with entry points.
Goodluck & please feel free to share your comments.
A B C WAVE BULL RUNI am looking at this unfolding. An A,B,C wave up. Most of the people commenting we are going down are trolls or uneducated. Just look at where we came from not to long ago at 13k so how is 40k a bear run, LOL. It is important to understand that reading different time charts is required to understand where we are going with price action. to find out where we are going for the hour, I look at the 4 hour , 6 hour and last 3 days. You have to zoom out to see and read the day and hours to understand the micro supports and resistance. I also hunt liquidity because thats a MM move. MM will always make money, so why not follow the MM along with reading maps and charts. we are definitely in a bull run. The ocean high and low tides have different up and down size waves, trading is like watching the ocean waves and predicting the behavior patterns of it, now translate that action in to human emotions, witch no one should trade with, but 80% do, so use it with MM. You have to follow the crowd to get in to the show, only a few selected can use the back stage doors. Cheers all. This is all just my observation and Opinion.
Trading a Symmetrical Triangle with Traffic Light SystemTrading a Symmetrical Triangle with Traffic Light System: Identifying, Trading Fakeouts, and Ensuring a consistent profitable Positive Expectancy
Identify the Symmetrical Triangle:
Locate the symmetrical triangle pattern on the chart, formed by converging trendlines with symmetry.
Implemention of TLS:
Green Light (Action): Observe consolidation above or below and outside of the triangle.
Amber Light (Consolidation): As the price nears key levels and the apex, signaling potential volatility and future retest areas.
Red Light (Action): Beyond the triangles upper or lower border/trendline, prepare for a significant price movement in the other direction or a strong continuation of the trend prior.
Identifying a Fakeout:
Look for sudden and sharp price movements that seem to break the trend but lack confirmation through increased volume or strong technical signals.
Trading a Fakeout:
Stay cautious during the amber light phase. If a potential fakeout is suspected, avoid entering trades until there's clear confirmation.
Creating Positive Expectancy:
Utilize the TLS to filter out false signals and improve trade accuracy. Focus on high-probability setups, and use a favorable risk-reward ratio for each trade.
Recovering from a Trap:
If caught in a fakeout, implement the "Test and Break" theory. Wait for a retest of the original breakout/breakdown point. If the price fails to break past this point, consider it a false move and adjust your trade accordingly.
Positive Recovery Approach:
Rather than accepting the loss, adapt your strategy based on the TLS signals and the retest theory. Use this as an opportunity to learn and refine your approach for future trades.
Monitor and Adjust:
Continuously monitor the trade, adjusting stop-loss and take-profit levels based on TLS signals and retest observations. This active management helps to maximize gains and minimize losses.
Remember to apply risk management strategies and conduct thorough analysis before making any trading decisions. Stay adaptable and leverage the TLS to enhance the reliability of your trading strategy, turning potential setbacks into learning opportunities.
Navigating Breakouts and Retests: Strategies with the Traffic Light System (TLS)
Discover effective trading strategies for breakouts and retests, enhanced with the clarity of the Traffic Light System (TLS).
Breakouts and Retests:
Understand the dynamics of breakouts and subsequent retests, crucial for seizing market momentum. The TLS provides a clear signal for favorable entry points.
Identifying Fakeouts:
Sharpen your skills in recognizing false breakouts by evaluating volume, market sentiment, and multiple indicators through the TLS.
Trading Strategy:
Wait for confirmed breakouts, use retests as entry points, and execute with confidence and risk management, guided by the TLS signals.
TLS in Action:
Integrate the TLS into your analysis, enhancing precision in decision-making during breakouts and retests.
Mastering breakout and retest trading involves technical analysis, market awareness, and the strategic use of the TLS, leading to confident and precise decision-making.
DON't USE TRENDLINE FOR TRADESHello guys. I want to tell sm about trendlines and their lacks. As you know every trader has a personal thoughts about markets and strategies. So also about drawing TRENDLINES. This varietion Causes false signals for trading + smart money knows that retail traders what doing in charts. Based on this you can see various false signal when using trendlines. I suggest you do not use trendline for trades and replace it by finding best orderblocks
It's big title for explaining only i want to tell briefly about it
I would like to trade with BIG BOYS NOT A retails.
THINK WISELY NOT SILLY
Market Structure: Seeing In SwingsMarket Structure is simply making distinctions in price flow. its putting structure around what looks like chaos so that we have a way to measure and orient ourselves to any market in any timeframe. When I look at a market, I want to see objectively in swings.
Swings are the common thread that weaves through all markets and timeframes, providing a clear indication of who is in control at any given moment. They consist of distinct components and follow a process, forming the foundation of my trading strategies and setups.
Market Structure Definitions:
Confirmed Swing High/Low: A new high confirms a
swing low and a new low confirms a swing high.
Relative:
Major Swing: The largest reaction leg in your frame.
Minor Swing: the next largest reaction leg.
Balanced/Relative Swing: Same size reaction legs.
Expanded Swing: Reaction leg larger than previous reaction leg.
Components of a Swing:
Impulse Leg: The leg that takes out a previous high or low.
Reaction Leg: The retracement or pullback after the impulse leg.
Impulse Leg Shelf: a small range at the end of an impulse leg
Reaction Leg Shelf: A small range at the bottom of a reaction leg
Bitcoin REALISM I am definitely not going to win any popularity competitions with my comments and thoughts. But that's not the point when it comes to making money.
The main issue for me still in Crypto Land is the lack of realism. The image on the front cover was from a google search of "realism" I guess the confused face made my day. This is exactly how you need to be looking when you read these points below.
I have explained the logic of every major move over the last couple of years and this guys - is no different.
So let's start by exploring the reality of market cap for one. When you buy a stock you have a number of stocks in circulation times that by the price and you can get a market cap. Of course, unlike most companies on the exchange Bitcoin CANNOT just issue new stock. We have to remember some Bitcoin are gone and lost forever so this number will likely end up around 20million and not the full 21m.
The current Market cap is roughly 19,806,000 x $42,897.
Let's call it a little over 820 Billion.
At the ATH of $69,000 we saw $1.302 Trillion.
Lets look at what is needed and an angle of attack if Bitcoin was to hit $500k by Jan 25, 26, 27, 28 or 2029.
This is only one aspect of the story.
Prior to the ETF launch people were saying silly things like "Trillions coming in, $100k imminent"
Blackrock's largest ETF is roughly $354 Billion. This is the SP500 fund founded back in 2001. So 23 years old roughly now.
Here's the actual chart.
What does this mean?
Well, let's say Blackrock decided to close their biggest ETF and throw it all into Bitcoin. That level would still not take us back to the current ATH.
Bullish, Bullish, Bullish - we are still $25,000+ under the current ATH.
So what about other ETF's? Obviously the market is bigger than just Blackrock. Let's look at this aspect too.
Look at the end of 2021 as the ETF market collectively was at it's high. We are talking about $10Trillion in 8,552 ETF's.
I've posted several times about the current COT landscape.
Clearly social media Bitcoin is buzzing and everyone is about to become rich, it's different this time and so on. Well, COT says otherwise.
Back at the top when everyone was calling for $135,000 I said the reason for the drop would be liquidity.
So why is this different?
I said there were two likely scenario's on the table as we moved down. The first was we were in an early stage accumulation, we needed to go up to 32k and back down to the low 20's. This would allow us to travel much higher and sustain such a large move.
The second option was bearish.
Well, I guess the second move played out.
The momentum is still clearly not with us - we are still FWB:25K + under the current ATH - not what one would or should expect after 12 Bitcoin specific ETF's obtaining approval & launching.
Look at the momentum
People seem to fall into the echo chamber and all logic leaves the building. I have been at this game a long, long time. Seen it all before and I am sure I will see it again.
This does not mean I am Bearish or anti Bitcoin - not for one second. I am one of the lucky ones in at the right time, sold a lot on the way up and happy with the current holdings.
All I am trying to emphasis here - is don't get sucked into the void which is not supported by ANY sound logic.
I recently watched a couple of video's with Warren Buffet, another with Jim Rickards.
They both explained something very interesting in a very clear way. Although Anti Bitcoin - what they said made a lot of sense. The same lesson kinda applies to things like gold.
When you buy an asset, the asset can produce for you. So assume you buy a house - you get rental income each month and with the price of the property going up over time you make gains there. Buy a business same thing - Buffet explained this using a farm as the example. Sell grains, cows or whatever you farm. Over time you still hold the asset.
This isn't true for the likes of diamonds, gold or Bitcoin.
Hence it fits into the greater fool theory.
If I sell you my last bitcoin I picked up for less than $200.
You buy it all today at $42,850. You have to find someone else willing to pay you more than the $42,850 in the future. For me, this is the main reason I don't personally care up or down or sideways here. But many in the echo chamber do.
The average price across the breakeven addresses are around $37k - this is Breakeven not profit. So imagine majority of the retail crowd with an average entry after DCA'in at $37k.
These are all things to keep in mind when your playing shorter term moves. ETF's are structured in such a way long term growth can be expected, volatility get's somewhat reduced. You noticed what's happened on the weekends since the launch?
So whilst I expect it to go up in the long run. We need a healthy pullback as to be expected. This gives more time for real accumulation to happen - but this will also put some stress on that average (BE) level of $37k.
Just keep this in mind and one more thing if you want to comment on "oh your wrong - up only" give some logic to support it or I won't bother responding. This move will take time. For me, nothing has changed since 2022. We are not ready for new highs - YET...
Anyway enjoyed or not I thought it was worth another educational post.
Stay safe!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Leading Diagonal : Elliott wave Analyisis (Elliott Baba)Leading Diagonal : Elliott wave Analyisis
This pattern subdivides into 5 waves.
Wave 2 never ends beyond the starting point of wave 1.
Wave 3 always breaks the ending point of wave 1.
Wave 4 usually breaks beyond the ending point of wave 1.
Wave 5 in the absolute majority of cases breaks the ending point of wave 3.
Wave 3 can't be the shortest.
Wave 2 can't be a triangle or a triple three structure.
Waves 1, 3 and 5 can be formed like impulses or zigzags.
CONTRACTING TRIANGLE a- Usually happens in wave B or wave 4
b- Wave D in triangle itself
c- If in second then 2 will be zigzag and this will happen in B of zigzag
d- X wave of Double Three correction and XX wave of Tripple Three
e- XX wave of Double Zigzag correction
f- Wave D in triangle itself
Subdivided into three (3-3-3-3-3)
Subdivision of ABCDE can be either ABC, wxy, or flat
SKEWED TRIANGLEa- Usually happens in wave B or wave 4
b- Wave D in triangle itself
c- If in second then 2 will be zigzag and this will happen in B of zigzag
d- X wave of Double Three correction and XX wave of Tripple Three
e- XX wave of Double Zigzag correction
f- Wave D in triangle itself
Subdivided into three (3-3-3-3-3)
Subdivision of ABCDE can be either ABC, wxy, or flat
Building a Solid Portfolio: Using an Index (THE CAC 40 INDEX)Hello,
Embarking on the journey of creating a portfolio of stocks can be both exciting and challenging. One strategy that many investors consider is using a well-established index as a basis for their portfolio. In this article, we will explore the steps involved in building a portfolio with the CAC 40 Index, a benchmark index representing the 40 largest stocks listed on Euronext Paris.
Step 1: Understand the index.
Understanding an index is very key since it creates the thesis of why you should consider using it. In our case, the simplest definition of the CAC 40 index is as below
The CAC 40 is a benchmark French stock market index. The index represents a capitalization-weighted measure of the 40 most significant stocks among the 100 largest market caps on the Euronext Paris.
2: Define your investment goals
whether you are looking at strong companies that will provide consistent dividends for you or strong companies that will easily deliver price appreciation for your stocks will be very key in your next move.
Understanding your risk horizon & tolerance is also very important at this stage.
3: Understand the components of the Index.
The CAC 40 has 40 companies as its components. The companies are as follows;
Air Liquide, Airbus, Alstom, ArcelorMittal, Axa, BNP Paribas, Bouygues, Capgemini, Carrefour, Crédit Agricole, Danone, Dassault Systèmes, Edenred, Engie, EssilorLuxottica, Eurofins Scientific, Hermès, Kering, L'Oréal, Legrand, LVMH, Michelin, Orange, Pernod Ricard, Publicis, Renault, Safran, Saint-Gobain, Sanofi, Schneider Electric, Société Générale, Stellantis, STMicroelectronics, Teleperformance, Thales, TotalEnergies, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield, Veolia, Vinci, and Worldline
4: Research Individual Companies
Once you have a sense of the companies you want exposure to, delve into the individual companies. Conduct thorough research on each company, considering factors such as financial health, earnings growth, competitive positioning, and management quality. This step is crucial in identifying the specific stocks you want to include in your portfolio. This will greatly help you in selecting the great companies among the components. We will look at 1 company among the components of the CAC 40 & you can try and look at the rest.
The company we shall explore is DANONE . Below is its chart to show its historical price move
Next understand what the company does: Danone SA engages in the food processing industry. It operates through the following geographical segments: Europe; North America; China, North Asia & Oceania; and Rest of the World. . This data can be found on Tradingview via link www.tradingview.com
Next understand the financials of the company: The same can be interrogated on the link shared before. The most important metric is the Income statement because it shows you where the company derives its value from in form of income. It also will tell you how the company spends its money. You cannot however ignore the Balance sheet and the Cashflow statement. www.tradingview.com
Once you have an understanding of the company as a whole now its key to look at structure to understand and pick great entry points. This is where we begin structure drawing and identification of patterns.
Here is the link with clear Impulses & corrections.
Very key for you to note is that the price is in a correction and close to where the 1st target would be. This tells us even though this might be a great company from all other metrics, it might not be a great company to buy from the current point. Now that we have looked at the Danone company, back to our CAC 40 index.
5: Research on all other companies that make the index.
By following these above steps, you can construct a well-rounded portfolio that aligns with your financial goals and risk tolerance.
All the best in your investment journey.
Using price action & tradingview tools to trade betterHello,
Price action is a vital aspect of trading, and analyzing candlestick patterns is key to understanding market dynamics. The size of candles, representing the range between opening and closing prices, is crucial for traders. Large candles signal strong momentum and potential trends, while smaller candles suggest indecision or lack of clear direction. Traders use candle size to identify entry and exit points, manage risk, and gauge market sentiment. By examining the relationship between candle sizes and volume, traders can make informed decisions based on visual representations of price movements. In summary, candle size is a valuable tool in price action analysis, helping traders interpret market behavior for better decision-making.
A key tool you can use to measure the momentum of an asset is the Date & price range tool . This tool allows users to place points vertically on two different prices. A Text appears along the box displaying the total size of the price moving in terms of actual share price, percentage and time the move took. E.g the chart below shows the move took 3234 days and was +1024.43% in terms of increase.
Once you've got the hang of price action and figured out which way the trend is going, the next big thing is spotting patterns that tell you when to jump in. We focus on two things: motive moves, which show the trend, and corrections, which give us good entry points . Motive moves are like the big, important moves we want to trade, and corrections are where we can get in on the action. Recognizing these patterns helps us know when it's smart to join the market and increases our chances of making successful trades. a good example of these can be identified below
Once you've identified patterns, the next step is deciding when to get in. There are two main types: risk entries and risk-averse entries. Risk entries often align with motive moves, indicating a trader's willingness to take on more risk for potentially higher rewards. Below is a great way of looking at both of this
Risk taking entry
Risk averse entry
This is where the correction has already been broken and a trend determined. The Risk to reward ratio is lower and therefore less profit can be achieved here.
Next we shall be looking at how to look at the indicators to support your trading hypothesis and make better trades.
Good luck and all the best.
Wyckoff Optimism-Pessimism Index Discussion on BitcoinWe show why our proprietary indicator is much better than a normal On Balance Volume indicator, by showing three recent chart points where our indicator warned you of an possible trade, where as the On Balance Volume did not.
We are launching a suite of Wyckoff indicators here on TradingView in the coming days that will be Invite-Only but very affordable.
HOW TO IDENTIFY STOPLOSS HUNTER AND TAKE PART ON IT - SETUP - HI BIG PLAYERS!
Today I want give you smart WAY to take part on stoploss hunters. I know everyone of us hate it to be stopped out. But to be honest, stoploss levels means a huge volume level, that institutions use for cheap entries.
This is why I want explain how I take part on stoploss hunting. I look on 4h chart for high demand and supply zones. On touching these area we all can expect more trade exchange and more volume.
If the price bounce of this zone and break with CHOCH (change of character ) the last trend, a lot of trader try to trade early as they can and the stoploss becomes calculatable .
As soon as the old trend is resumed, but in a narrow form, so that it is almost a sideways phase, then I identify stoploss hunter. The setup looks similar like this structure:
The good news: the stoploss to the last local point is very close and Risk-Return-Ratios of 1:3 are possible.
Comments are welcome!
Best regards
NXT2017