Get started

Wave Analysis

HOW-TO: Wolfe Strategy [Trendoscope]Just made this short video to explain the concepts of Wolfe Strategy which I recently published. Wolfe wave is popular concept among option traders. However, I have made some tweaks in this strategy to standard wolfe pattern trade rules. Entry price based on breakout No moving target - using flat target. Entry is done based on risk reward Not time bound Intelligently decides whether to place stop order or limit order Few possible future improvements Make bidirectional trades possible Better filters to chose long and short trades or when to trade Lot can be improved on Wolfe scanner to identify more patterns Exit strategy - can introduce optional trailing Thanks for listening. Hope you enjoyed and learnt something from this :)
Education
by Trendoscope
5
Trading with Candlesticks Harmony - Above 80% Win RateIn this video I discuss how to use simple wave-analysis and how to use candlesticks harmony in 5 or 15 minutes time-frames to trade with success. This sterategy even works on 1 minute time-frames for some forms of countable harmonies... --- Gerald Mann was born Mr. Peiman Ghasemi on February 16, 1988. He got deported from Turkey to Iran where he is exit banned now. Alongside trading, he is also wishing to gain the freedom to leave the country. On the other side the silence of the related governmental departments of the U.S. is obvious. There is no answer.
SP:SPXEducation
by GeraldMann
Wave exhaustionThe main purpose of analyzing waves is to understand when the current wave is exhausted aka overextended aka overbought aka oversold. What is every1 seem to miss is that exhaustion is not based exclusively on "price gone too far", but also on "too much time passed" and "not much volume was traded" as well. That's one of the main reasons why your comparative analysis, divergences on so called "indicators" do not work properly. It simply can't. These methods do not gain time & volume information from the data. When you analyze order flow on any resolution, be it 1 minute, 5 years or tick chart, you're interested in 2 waves: current wave and *the very last (previous) wave in the same direction . * including the imaginary waves Don't forget to turn in log scale when it's needed! You compare these 2 as the current wave develops and keep updating the answer to the binary question, "which of these two waves is weaker". Strength of a wave = it's ability to continue. Every wave starts strong and goes weaker and weaker, the factors are: 1) Time. Horizontal size of a wave (in bars), more time (more bars) - weaker ; 2) Range. Vertical size of a wave, higher range - weake r; 3) Volume, or inferred volume. You sum up all the volume within a wave, or sum up all the bar sizes within a wave. Less volume - weaker .* * in order not to sum up anything within a wave yourself, here you can turn in volume/range bars and simply count em. And from that moment it's like "Best of 3" comparison. 1) Time. Wave A 10 bars, wave B 5 bars. Wave B is stronger; 2) Range. Wave A 546 points, wave B 890 points. Wave A is stronger; 3) Volume. Wave A 10k, wave wave B 8k. Wave A is stronger; So at that point, wave A was stronger = wave B was weaker. This will be giving you a binary answer which wave is weaker. When the current wave becomes weaker than the last wave in the same direction, current wave is considered exhausted. P.S.: wave start in time (first bar of the wave) is the level origin itself or the first bar that touched a level if we talked about a new wave starting from an already positioned level, or about a wave started after clearing a positioned level. The more you'll think about the more it'll make sense. An example. Remember seeing fast price jumps? After some, the price reverses very fast and goes back, after others prices continues in the direction of the jump. In most of the cases the current wave (the jump) gets exhausted in terms of price, but not exhausted in terms of time (the jump was very fast). So in terrms of time and price both waves are 50/50. What is different is volume. If the current wave (the jump) had a huge volume, overall it's still not exhausted, hence it continues. Sounds familiar? Sounds logical? Just the last simple and obvious thing, in most cases you won't need to calculate sum volumes/ranges, usually at the moment of analysis the current wave is already longer and higher than the previous one in the same direction, hence the current wave is already exhausted. Yessir
SP:SPXEducation
by gorx1
2
Real wavesFrom all the dudes tryna solve it Wyckoff was the closest. He even figured out how levels get positioned as supports/resistances (he called it accumulations, re-accumulations, distributions and re-distributions). The only thing he was missing are the actual levels hehe (all these 4 volume absorption processes never happen "in the air", ain't no Phil Collins in this particular case, there's always a level). Levels & waves, one doesn't exist without another one . It's all simple: every formation of a new level and every test of existing non-cleared level starts a new wave, either in the opposite or in the same direction. Check the chart, I've marked some waves and made 2 schemes. Every distinct wave has a different color. Why? How? Wave sounds cool, "uninterrupted continuous order flow in the same direction" sounds lame and boring af. Interrupted? Each level interrupts the order flow, even for a lil sec, there's always a volume absorption process happening when levels get formed and when levels get positioned, also when levels get cleared (consumption of liquidity at the level). So, checking the level-to-level buying and selling waves is a perfect way to measure order flow aka incoming volume. Remember about fractal nature of the market => propagation of principles? It works on tick charts => it works on 1 minute charts, and on 1Q charts, and on every other possible resolutions.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by gorx1
Imaginary wavesAgain as with the levels, first ima tell how to locate both real & imaginary waves, then I'll explain the principle itself, what are they, why it works etc, why we need em & how to use em. It's really easier this way. Let's start with imaginary waves. First, pls read the linked "Imaginary levels: fair price aka value", it has an explanation and another common example & about the imaginary levels. As with imaginary levels, imaginary waves are, well, imagined xd, when there's nothing else, but a decision has to be made. Look at the chart as if you're in 2k13 (when ASAP dropped Trap Lord) as in the previous example in the linked study, we have an overridden wave 520-1923.7, we have an imagined fair price level somewhere around 1200. When we have an overridden wave -> we have the imaginary fair price level somewhere ~ in the middle of this wave -> that fair price level divides the real wave into 2 imaginary waves. As with imaginary levels, imaginary waves can be used for further processing.
COMEX:GC1!Education
by gorx1
WHAT IS A PIP AND HOW TO MEASURE IT?WHAT IS A PIP? The pips is the unit with which we measure the price movement of a pair. Example: If the USD/MXN pair is used. If the dollar is worth 20.7 and rises to 20.8, it is said to rise to 1 cent but in FOREX it is not measured with cents, it is measured with pips. The price of the USD/MXN chart has 3 extra decimal places 20.8 000 those 3 extra decimal places are what the pips are measured with: the pip is the fourth number after the point . If the price changes from 20.8100 to 20.80101 the price moves 1 pips, if the price moves from 20.80100 to 20.80110 the price moves 10 pips and if the price moves from 20.80100 to 20.80300 the price moves 200 pips. Pips are calculated differently depending on the pair, pairs with Japanese YEN and pairs WITHOUT Japanese YEN PAIRS WITH YEN
Education
by Ed_Ale
2
Simple Strategy with Good R&R (Works bullish or bearish) 1. identify the trend ; whether up (bullish) or down (bearish) . 2. Identify an impulse move to the up or down side. 3. Watch for a correction from the impulse, then wait for a retest and or bounce of the 800-day ema. 4. Wait for a bullish order block (OB) that closes above the 800-day ema. Then enter on the retest of the 800-day ema and go long or short accordingly. 5. stop loss below the corrections lowest low and take profit at the impulses highest high. This works on all types of assets from AMEX:SPY to FX:EURUSD to BINANCE:BTCUSDT and even CME_MINI:ES1! .
Education
by greg7077
1
GOLD | Elliot Wave | A Text Book Example?GOLD | Elliot Wave | A Text Book Example? It is extremely rare that in reality, we find patterns in textbook examples. Gold is currently presenting such an opportunity which I will explain in detail. According to Elliot's Wave theory, an impulsive wave is created by 5 waves. 3 of these waves are impulsive (1,3 and 5) 2 waves are corrective (2 and 4) According to the books, each impulsive wave is composed of 5 waves of the lower degree that can be seen in the lower chart time frames. In our real-time example, the price has created the 3rd wave of a daily chart (in red). So it should be ready for the 4th wave correction. If we look at the 4-hour chart, we can see that the 3rd wave can be broken down into 5 other waves (in blue) And the 5th wave of the third wave (in blue) seems to be completed by 5 other waves (in black) Maybe this is the moment we can see an ABC correction before the price goes up again for the 5th wave (in red). The price correction zone is expected to be 1748 - 1730 in order for the price to rise again. Thank you and Good Luck! Daily Chart! 4-Hour chart:
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by KlejdiCuni
20
Depth of corrective waves. Elliott Wave.Elliott Wave Guidelines: Depth of Corrective Waves Understanding Elliott Waves is much more then the basic rules and 3s and 5s. A largely underused aspect of Elliott Waves is the Elliott Wave Guidelines. These go beyond the guidelines for each specific pattern and are meant to assist in determining the most probabilistic wave pattern. This is just the primary guideline of this larger Elliott Wave guideline. If you have found this inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Also, check out the links in my signature to get to know me better! Cheers!
Education
by CryptoKnee
Strange similarity between BTCUSDT 4H and USDJPY 3M I found some intriguing similarities between the BTCUSDT 4h-TF chart and the USDJPY 3M-TF chart. Although one is a chart of a short to middle timeframe, and the other is of the very long term, the similarity tells something of how a price conversatio shapes under a significant, horizontal supply zone. Regardless of whether they are the bottom formations or the variations of the bear flag, I read an Elliott-wise flat correction from both charts- what would you think? For my detailed analysis of both currency pairs, please look at my previous ideas of the links below.
Education
by jackrabbitrage
Harmonic Decomposition of Trend Exhaustion - - ALGOUSD (1h)L I N E - W O R K : The foregoing, and more, populate my Object Tree, which is summarized as a separate item, below. Any line or drawing tool that I use frequently is saved as a color-coded template for rapid repetition. Fib Space - A concrete Leading Indicator comprising several overlapping Fibonacci Trend-Based Extensions and a Retracement or two. Rather than to find Support & Resistance, its purpose is to target Volatility as the areas between highlighted zones. AVWAP Array - A fluid Leading Indicator comprising several overlapping Anchored VWAPs, as well as some some standard and nonstandard deviations and anchor-points. Although Price itself behaves violently when interacting either with VWAPs, experience shows that the crossing of key VWAPs is a Leading Indicator of high Volatility. Among the VWAps, three in particular deserve special attention, namely the 1.272 Std Deviation VWAP since the chart’s inception, below the current price, as well as those marked by this year’s dates of 2.24 (two-tone red) and 9.8 (two-tone green), above the price. Further line-work includes a Schiff Pitchfork implied by the right wing of the pattern (points ABC), and a section of a larger bullish arrow consequent to a larger Bullish Harmonic Reversal Pattern that does not fit within the hourly chart. Notice the use of S-Curves as projected future trend lines, following the conservative path of Maximum Market Pain. Price is like a pendulum. It does not move in straight lines; rather, it describes the struggle between buyers & sellers pulled into maximum commitment before shorter term swings. See below for more on Harmonics. . . . . . . . . . . . . V O L U M E : The various horizontal histograms of volume simply indicate accumulation and distribution. Volume Profiles, however, serve two purposes. 1) As a Lagging Indicator, to discover ranges of Supply & Demand, and the all-important Mean, and 2) as a Leading Indicator to corroborate entries, profit targets and stop-losses, as well as any discretionary management of the latter, if needed. Notice that each day, beginning with the Tokyo Session at 12:00 UTC, has its own 24-hour Volume Profile (see the Object Tree, below). None of these are as useful as the custom construction in my Object Tree under the name AWAP Array. In this case, Volume has been healthy partially due to the ongoing FTX Crash (as of this writing), and ALGO tends to have high Volume in general, making it a good indicator of the health of the sector. A recent spike in selling has dropped price to point C which, for those less familiar with them, is NOT considered complete until confirmation at D. . . . . . . . . . . . . V O L A T I L I T Y : This is the least understood of the the three fundamental axes of trading, or at least of my style. In any timeframe, price rises more slowly than it falls, which is to say that Volatility is the opposite of price variation. To see Volatility with any hope of clarity, it is essential to remove innate directional bias. In general, it rises sharply and declines slowly. The Question, even more than HOW FAR?, is WHEN? The mystery of Volatility tests, and rewards, patience. Generally and in this case, too, the greatest Volatility occurred at X, which coincides approximately the 9.8 VWAP and the midpoint between the price drop begun near the 2.24 VWAP and the bottom of that swing, at A. As expected, there is a rise leading into the midpoint of the pattern, B, which is also the second highest price (so far). Another peak in Volatility may be expected at D, if it is reached. Again, see below for more on Harmonics. . . . . . . . . . . . . T R E N D - E X H A U S T I O N : In order to maximize the Risk:Reward ratio, one must act at the edges, or as close as possible. Therefore, one needs an improving sense of where the potential for reversal is highest BEFORE price reaches it. Like Volatility, and unlike Volume, it is impossible to measure directly, and yet with clean Line-Work and a sound market narrative, or trade thesis, various containment and decomposition techniques exist to estimate probable areas in a chart where price vectors will reverse. In this case, a Schiff Pitchfork is implied by interwoven patterns, among other evidence. Although the Price Action in the near term may be described by it, a larger Bullish Reversal Pattern (to large for the hourly chart) appears to have completed as well, implying an even larger set of Pitchforks. . . . . . . . . . . . . H A R M O N I C S : Whether by definition or analogy, harmony implies cooperation between two or more agents. To draw X5 patterns without understanding which elements one seeks to reconcile is like a chimpanzee playing with an iPad. When I draw them, I visualize the interplay of 1) the Range between Supply & Demand, 2) the Volume Spread and 3) Probability over Time. In this case, in addition to the much larger (green) Bullish pattern completing, a smaller such pattern can be seen in the (red) Bearish Reversal Pattern whose CD Leg comprises the vector of the trade. In effect, the trade can also be seen as the AD Retracement of the smaller Harmonic Bull, since it coincides with the ABC Fib-Based Trend Extension. Upon the Red W-Pattern are superimposed two smaller bullish patterns, one completed and one potential. Of these, the second marks a point, or an area, of risk along CD Leg. . . . . . . . . . . . . F O R E C A S T : Trading the CD Leg of a Reversal Pattern is technically premature, and risky. In this case, not only the coincidence of the Fib ratios but several factors of the Big Picture, as well as the Indicators make this a decent t proposition. As always, there is a point between 1/2 and 2/3 up the vector when it will be tested (and where it tends to fail, if it does fail) therefore some profit may taken along the way. Considering the high R:R Ratio and the duration of the swing, it’s not a bad idea to de-risk. On this timeframe as of this writing, price is testing the 1.0618 custom “Overthrow” line in the template marked as a “Moving Stop Loss”. Considering recent price drops, this retest near the prospective bottom suggests support rather than a further run to the downside. Also, being a holiday weekend with other markets closed, crypto may indeed have an upsurge due to bored and/or her-eager traders. Setting the left edge of the window to the peak above X, near the 8.9 VWAP, shows the Point of Control of the Visible Range Volume Profile to be above the current price, further suggesting a price reversal in this zone. _____________________________________________________________________ O B J E C T - T R E E : The most overlooked tool in Tradingview is the Object Tree. When cleverly rooted, it enables the chartist to arrange (i.e layer) the Drawings and Indicators (if any) and then selectively toggle them on and off. I am sometimes asked about my suite of indicators, which I have listed below, per the order in which they are layered. (The settings I use are beyond the present scope.) A more relevant detail is that the major Volatility Indicators are placed in the upper windows while those which measure Volume appear in windows below the price action. In the main window, the preference is inverted. Any original Line-Work that I might create is collected beneath all (12) Indicators. Again, the purpose of this groundwork to deliberately overlap objects and to selectively turn them on or off like light bulbs in order to discover and/or important but not obvious facts about the potential action space. . . . . . . . . . . . . Tesla Coil ____________________________________ Average Volatility Movement ____________________________________ Buying & Selling Pressure Average True Range (Line) Average True Range (Histogram) ____________________________________ ALGOUSD, COINBASE, 1h Indicators VSA v6 Volume Pressure Analysis Time Segmented Volume Bands Visible Range Volume Profile Periodic Volume Profile Daily High/Low/Mid/Open/Close+Weekly/Monthly Open Volatility Stop MTF Volatility Bands by DGT Double SuperTrend ATR Moving Average Shaded Fill Area Crossover EMA Moving Average Ribbon >📁”Object Group 1” >📁”Object Group 2” >📁”etc.” ____________________________________ Time Segmented Volume Bands ____________________________________ Heatmap Volume Volume Analysis Time Segmented Volume Bands . . . . . . . . . . . . R E M A R K S : I will attempt to post a larger, higher timeframe view of the position, showing the major Bullish Reversal possibly beginning, or at least the end of selling pressure. 🧸
COINBASE:ALGOUSDEducation
by TheLeadingIndicator
2
Knowing if a trend is still valid or is beginning to failin the above image you can see, that when all moving averages do not cross or overlap one another, this indicates a strong trend/price sentiment in this direction, even after a major pullback, you'll notice the moving averages still dont cross or overlap. also on the chart image ive touched upon the very popular 1, 2, 3 trading pattern and highlighted that there's a not so obvious 4 reset wave before the 1, 2, 3 pattern starts again, the trick is check to see if the phase 4 wave causes any of the moving averages to cross/overlap before setting up your 1, 2, 3 move! because if they have crossed or one of them is overlapping the other, this signals the trend is weakening and the market may be looking at beginning a range or and new trend in the opposite direction.
Education
by algoquantix
The magic triangle of investingIdeal investment instrument = highest return, lowest risk, highest liquidity. Risk and uncertainty are an integral part of investment projects and are an important component of investment decision-making. In fact, the connection of return, risk and liquidity represents the magic of the triangle . More precisely, their combination is the result of trying to achieve the best result on one vertex, which results in a loss on another vertex. For example, the best result on all three peaks cannot be achieved simultaneously. This is the basic principle of how investing works. Also, it is popular as the "alpha and omega" of investing. It consists of return, risk and liquidity - three factors that you should take into account in every investment in the financial market. Return The return is one of the three peaks that influence the investor whether to buy the given asset or not. Under income, we include all earnings of an investment from the moment we put funds into it and it lasts until the time of the last possible income from this investment. Most investors seek to maximize return, given the potential risk and liquidity. However, investment return isn’t guaranteed in most stocks. It is also necessary to distinguish between historical (ex post-was or could have been achieved) and expected return. Liquidity The term liquidity refers to the speed with which we are able to exchange our investments back into cash at the lowest possible transaction costs. However, the degree of liquidity depends mainly on the financial instrument itself and the nature of the market. In fact, it is reasonable to know the degree of liquidity, especially when investing. Investors look for goods that are highly liquid, so that in case of a sudden price reduction, they can sell the goods before the prices hit the bottom. For some types of assets, their liquidity is determined by contractual conditions such as the period of deposit in term deposits. Yet with most financial instruments, the degree of liquidity of the given financial instrument is conditioned by the demand and supply for it. In addition, there is an opinion that the rate of return corresponds to the risk. Different instruments – different degrees of liquidity – in different markets. Highly liquid are foreign exchange markets, financial derivatives markets, and government bonds. For example, the most liquid assets are shares, where there is no problem of converting them into cash on the stock market without major losses. On the one hand, the least liquid assets appear to be the real estate which, in certain cases can even become non monetizable . This means that they have minimal, close to zero, liquidity. On the other hand, the higher the profitability of the object and location, the higher the demand for them and thus also their liquidity. Therefore, every investor should consider the composition of assets with different liquidity when compiling an investment portfolio. Also, they should mind the fact that they keep a certain part of the funds as a financial reserve, whether in the form of cash or highly liquid assets. Risk Risk is a synonym for a certain degree of uncertainty related to expected returns. In other words, risk appears as the investor's danger that they won’t achieve the expected return. So, the actual return will be different from the expected one in the future and thus there will be a deviation from the expectation. In addition, risk represents a quantity that is difficult to quantify, as it is influenced by several factors, or their combination. Anyone who wants to invest should determine the maximum level of risk that they are willing to bear and forward. If there is no such thing as the ONE perfect investment, then the logical conclusion is: don't put all your available capital into one and the same investment. Therefore, diversification is the magic word. Those who combine several types of investment spread their risk and fulfill each of the criteria of the magic triangle in the addition of all investments.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by vf_investment
2
Macro Harmonics of Bitcoin: How & When the Bull will RIseHARMONIC: Whether by definition or analogy, harmony implies cooperation between two or more agents. To draw X5 patterns without understanding which elements one seeks to reconcile is like a chimpanzee operating a flight simulator on an iPad. When I draw Harmonic Patterns, I visualize the interplay of: 1) the Range between Supply & Demand 2) the Volume Spread 3) Probability over Time. I use this particular chart layout to forecast the Big Picture, and another for trading on the small time frames. The BTC/USD Index has the longest price history, and these data appear both in the Fib Space and in the AVWAP Array. For live trading, different data are needed. I post this now as a reference for the future, and a point of comparison with other charts and ideas in other time frames that I hope to post in the coming days and weeks. For what it's worth, my goal is to get enough followers to start streaming here. With that in mind, I welcome technical questions. Cheers.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by TheLeadingIndicator
7
Educational Clarification on Events in DistributionHi Everyone! The purpose of this video was to provide a correction on a statement made in a previous video and to provide further clarification on common events in different phases of distribution when using Wyckoff Method 2.0. The following link provides a BASIC understanding of Wyckoff Method 1.0 (Classical Wyckoff Method). What I teach is my own MODERN version of Wyckoff Method that I call, "Wyckoff Method 2.0." Here is the link to BASIC understanding of classical wyckoff method: school.stockcharts.com I do NOT use Point and Figure Charts nor do I use Volume bars like classical wyckoff method. Some may argue I'm not practicing Wyckoff Method if I'm not using Volume Bar Analysis and Point and Figure. Well, to the contrary, I HAVE BETTER TOOLS than Volume Bars and Point & Figure to draw a better conclusion about current events and up-coming events in phases of Distribution or Accumulation. Richard D. Wyckoff would be THRILLED to have these tools I'm using. He did everything MANUALLY back in his day. I guarantee you he would be using the tools I'm using if he were still here with us today. I hoped this helped provide a bit more clarification about COMMON events in Phases of Distribution for Wyckoff Method 2.0. Thank you for your valuable TIME and support! Stay Awesome! David M Ward Jr
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by WyckoffMode
2
📚 The Difference Between a Reversal and a Continuation!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst. Today I want to share an interesting pattern that I always use to speculate (to an extent) the next move of an asset after an impulse movement. First , locate an impulse movement, bullish or bearish. Second , wait for the correction movement to start. 📌In case of a bullish impulse: 1- if the correction movement is bearish , then expect a continuation bullish impulse to follow. 2- if the correction movement is bullish , then expect a reversal bearish movement to follow. And vice versa... 📌In case of a bearish impulse: 3- if the correction movement is bullish , then expect a continuation bearish impulse to follow. 4- if the correction movement is bearish , then expect a reversal bullish movement to follow. 📉 We can clearly see this pattern is playing out nicely on BTC weekly chart . I have highlighted many example with its pattern number respectively. And you can always refer to the cheat sheet on the left inside the two circles. If we apply the same logic to the current price action. Is BTC currently in a bearish correction as per our case #4? 🗒What do you think? Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! And always remember: All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Education
by TheSignalyst
49
Smart money dumb tradesThe major issue with 99% of retail, is that they seek tops and bottoms. They watch a video or read a post and DIVE not knowing, or understanding some simple logic. To be a successful trader you need a level head. As soon as you realise profits are made in a range and not by trying to time market tops and bottoms, there more you succeed. There are thousands of techniques out there, some that have a high hit rate, others that don't, some are complex and some are simple. In instruments such as Bitcoin - you also now have tools such as on chain data. The issue is and will always be, liquidity. Money is made by someone else losing! Retail will see things like Elliott wave and dismiss it - "ah it's old, ah it's broken, ah I don't get it..." We as humans can find the good, the bad and the ugly with all techniques. All we are really trying to do is, re-affirm our personal opinions, defending loyalties and find angles to attack anything that is not aligned with our desired outcome. Hindsight equals the ability to explain the past but in doing so, creates an illusion that we "now understand" it all makes sense. People don't understand because they cannot explain it. Regardless of wanting to or not. Our own unique perspective is built on our own unique experiences - trying to make sense of the complicated situation. The reason I talk about this - is that when you only take snippets of data from one source, or worse, several sources. It's so easy to get confused and mix up your own beliefs. In this current BTC scenario - people are desperate for a bottom to be in. It's all they seek, so when an influencer or educator mumbles the words - bottom, they assume it's to the moon we go. Thus, supporting the personal belief and desire. Every professional trading strategy, requires confirmation. If the expectation is we rise from here - we need logic as to why? if it is we are likely to drop - then, what's the reason for that drop? Over the last 2 years, I have made some of my Bitcoin calls public. There is a lot more behind the scenes that does not get posted, so what you should not do is - read a small percentage of a post or watch the first few minutes of a live stream and dive in. Your missing the bigger picture! This doesn't just apply to my posts - this is in general. This will help you in the long run. You need your own level of understanding for the logic behind the move. I can show post like this back in March this year; And the outcome was as predicated - We grabbed liquidity and dropped seeking a better accumulation range. I've talked about value areas - this post goes back another year... The outcome - For me, it's knowing the "why". The lesson here - is no obtain a bias of your own. Work on that to see inside the move. My view is pretty much as I have talked about this last 14-18 months... We have seen some stopping action. Now you look out for a range - Obvious liquidity in this zone. So this is 100% a lesson and not a call. Now look at the range in detail, you will see a fair value level hidden in there. Same goes for knowing the "why" - as Bitcoin becomes more institutional, it becomes more and more respectful. But as it does, tops and bottoms are still not what your targeting. Look at this from Feb last year from the first rally all time high. Look at the post date. These things are playing a game - it's all about understanding the rules. On the way back up from the low shown in March last year, why would there be evidence for a truncation? This image was the 24th of August. We go on to climax just above the 65k region... Liquidity is the name of the game.. This post is the first in the Liquidity series of posts here on @TradingView Have a great weekend! Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
27
Bitcoin and Elliot playing in the waves of time!This chart by no means is a price prediction. It's a look into a possible future for bitcoin in the coming years based on Elliot wave theory. In this chart I am are assuming that Bitcoins next move is the start of wave 5 in Elliot wave theory. When ever it ends the theory states that a massive ABC correction will follow, which would kill the mania and be bitcoins first true BIG bear market. This correction ( crash ) would not only be devastating by price but also by time, as it would most likely last multiple years and be the longest bear market to date. It would physiologically kill the market, and it's this this bear market that would likely kill all the shit coins and show which projects will last for years to come. It's only a devastating crash like that would cleans the market of scams, that would then catapult all the survivors to the next level in the eventual impulse wave 3! Time frame My time frame for this to start is 2026 to 2029. It all depends on how long it takes for the first impulse wave of wave 5 takes. How long will the bear market crash last? The question that everyone would answered is the one question that no one can answer. It could be that some or most people might not see new highs for the rest of their natural lives... So 10 to 30 years... But I would say most likely 10 to 15 years would be in the cards. What about adoption? I believe that in this bear market is when the true adoption and the realization of the use and necessity of Bitcoin/blockchain/defi to the masses. This is where Bitcoin gains critical mass in my opinion, but it will take a long time. This is all hypothetical of course providing we haven't lost technology through war or any other interruptions. This is my outlook for the next decade or so, but I might be getting ahead of my self. Let me know what you think in the comment section down below. Thanks for looking *The only certainty is, that there is no certainty *
BNC:BLXEducation
by WeAreSat0shi
Chart Patterns - Bear Market Scenario Hi there, i have been sharing the chart patterns which are seen on any type of price charts. (CANDLESTICK CHART) and after research and experience, i see that the price move via various ways or concepts. as per my experience, i see that the price move via waves & correction, and react to supply and demand levels. please share it and one may need it. and this is seen any type of instruments like stocks, forex, commodities, Futures & options. crypto. etc. in time frame for BEAR MARKETS ONLY. Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves. we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle. Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price. Keep it simple, keep it Unique. please keep your comments useful & respectful. Thanks for your support.... Tradelikemee Academy
NSE:PATANJALIEducation
by Tradelikemee