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Wave Analysis

TRIANGLE Elliott Wave triangles are corrective patterns that consolidate the previous trend. Elliott Wave triangles consist of five waves labeled a-b-c-d-e. There are 3 ways of trading Triangles potentially in Elliott Wave. 1. Conservative Entry 2. Aggressive Entry 3. Supper Aggressive Entry. Conservative Entry approach, we wait for the triangle to complete(A,B,C,D,E). We act i.e (Place out market orders) only when price has reached the end of Wave D and our Stop loss at the end of Wave C. Aggressive Entry approach, we wait for the triangle to complete(A,B,C,D). We act i.e (Place out market orders) only when price has reached the end of Wave E and our Stop loss at the end of Wave C.
Education
by westbellisyfx
Understanding News ManipulationIt is crucial to understand the price action prior to a high impact news event. Analysing the range to the left beforehand can help you determine what move is likely to come next. In this example, we saw the price was driven down by the bears to stop out buyers, only to reverse immediately to the upside moments after the news had been released. By studying and acquiring knowledge like this, you can predict market moves that are likely to come with fundamentals. Find the liquidity and trade it, or be the liquidity.
Education
by AlkalineFX
10
CHFJPY - Identify These Moves - FULL Breakdown 📚A key part of technical analysis is to identify the different phases and patterns in the market. So, what can we see? - We can see that we're within a major ascending parallel channel and price has been respecting it. When price approaches either extremes of the channel, it rejects aggressively. - There are 2 key phases at play here. The blue phase is the impulse and the red phase is the correction. - The impulse phase is an upward movement and the corrective phase is a downward move After identifying these phases, what next? - So now that we know that the impulse phase ends at the upper limit of the channel, we know there's a corrective move coming back down to the channel support. - If there's enough momentum, we can break the channel support and keep falling. As we're in an ascending channel, it is often a reversal pattern = there's a high chance that CHFJPY can come back down all the way to 109 - Now we need a trading plan to enter this trade How do we trade it? - The risk entry would have been at the rejection of the channel resistance - The safe entry would be to identify when the impulse has ended. One way we can do this is by identifying when the uptrend has ended. This can be done by using a trendline (like the one we have) and watching for a break to indicate that the uptrend has ended and the next phase has begun. Trade Idea: Watch for the ascending red trendline to break and enter with stops above the channel. First Target: Target the channel support for first targets (500pips) Second Target: The bottom of the channel (1,600pips) Hope this breakdown was helpful. If so, do leave a like and comment what you think!
Education
by WicktatorFX
16
Test of saved trendines on tradinviews replay hello here i tried to test my strategy of trendlines. as you will see it is reliable and useful to save and update your drawn line on your chart, because it guides you to know in advance the breath of your market. it is like if you draw a path that it will be run by the market. like if you have a cristal ball showin you where and how our market decide. be patient for my long video but trust me it deserve be watched. good luck
COMEX:GC1!Education
by HASSOUNI-trading
2
DXY - How To Use DXY To Enter Trades 🎯For almost a year DXY has been in an uptrend but we may soon be at the end. Last Friday, DXY closed with a bearish candle at the double top region, indicating that there are al lot of sellers at that level. If we continue to show bearish pressure, we can soon end that uptrend and take advantage of USD weakness across the board. Here's a brief breakdown on how to use DXY: DXY up = USD Strength. DXY down = USD weakness 1. Analyse DXY for reversal zones and identify what the next move is 2. On this chart we can see that DXY is indicating bearish price action 3. Now that DXY is at an important level, go on to your USD pairs and analyse them 4. Find out if there's any XXXUSD LONG ideas or if there's any USDXXX pairs that are at the best place to SELL 5. Correlate the DXY movement with the USD charts e.g. DXY showing bearish price action which makes EURUSD buy a great idea as EURUSD is at a key level. Hope that helps! Goodluck and as always, Trade Safe!
TVC:DXYEducation
by WicktatorFX
9
BTC analysis, which could serve as a guideline in the futureDear Market Traders, As you can see, many of us are confused regarding Bitcoin's future path. I believe that many people are hitting SL these days, and once they enter the market, the price goes in the opposite direction. I'd like to share an idea with you that may help you cease trading before Bitcoin reaches 57200~56200, which may occur on November 8th between 0GMT and 6GMT. The time may vary due to minor changes in the direction of the channel. I hope my analysis aids you in the long term in analyzing the market more effectively. Best wishes
Education
by FireXForex
1
How to trade at NFP? Usually, average hourly earnings don't print positive. I have seen very few times NFP and Hourly earnings published positive together in the last 13 years. When companies hire more people, it's expected that they don't want to pay more and overtime. But, on the other side, companies don't recruit new people, and then they pay more overtime to their existing workers. That's why most of the time, we see Either NFP prints post or hourly earnings. Hourly earning is essential for the following CPI report. I mean, inflation reports are related to hourly earnings. NFP is the main report; there is no doubt. But in some cases, hourly earnings and unemployment play a significant role than the NFP. Moreover, especially when central banks want to raise rates, in the meantime inflation is essential. Central banks need more than 2% inflation to raise bank rates. In that case, hourly earnings are more important than NFP. So, it is expected that NFP will print positively than the previous report today, and hourly earnings may not fulfill its forecast. But last CPI reports were positive, So, it won't be wrong as well. What to do while you are trading NFP? When central banks are not hiking bank rates market always follows NFP. Whatever the other's reports are. If NFP print is upbeat, we should buy the USD. But keep in mind, though NFP reports are printed positive, hourly earnings and unemployment may drop. It is essential to keep in mind always that the market follows NFP eventually, not initially. So, if other reports print negative, The USD will become weak first. Then, after 5 minutes or 15 minutes, the USD will follow NFP from any swing area. On the other hand, If other reports prints positive but NFP report prints negative. In that cases, the USD will spike to the upside, but ultimately it will drop. Just keep in mind the situation that central banks are in rate-hiking mode or not. So give priority hourly earnings reports when the central banks are in rate-hiking mode. And usually, give priority NFP reports every time. How To Handle Technically While Trading NFP? If you want to handle the market at NFP, you should know swing trading and the uses of Fibonacci retracement and Fibonacci extension. Use 5 minutes candle. For example, the market closed with 5 minutes bearish candle, NFP printed negative, and other reports printed positive. So, the USD will spike to the upside first. So, if you are good at swing trade, you can sell from the swing area. Otherwise, you should use Fibonacci tools. If the market closed with a bearish candle, that means it will correct to the upside nearly 50% fibo area. So, go short from fibo 50% area and use Fibonacci extension tolls to set your take profit area at 61.8%. Just do opposite things if NFP prints positive and other reports prints negative.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Gold_Trading_Expert
1
Why breakout never worksHello traders! This is another educational post just to break your false perspective which will benefit you and it will also help you not to fall into the trap of uneducated traders. I have seen traders who just make a trendline line and put a bullish arrow and say that after the breakout price will go to heaven but in reality breakouts never works and they are very far from reality. If you buy a breakout blindly then there is only 1 out of 6 chance that you are correct. In other words, you will keep losing again and again with that strategy. So why breakout never works? The patterns that we see are illusions, they are not real but the market does react to the trendlines and patterns. What I mean by the reaction is that after a breakout market forms different kinds of reactive patterns. These patterns help the market to move further up or they push the market back in the trendline and most of the time these pattern pushes the market back in the trend. If you can figure out what pattern is formed after the breakout then you can predict easily that the breakout will work or it will fail. Do your research and ask the questions. Here is the tip: Selling on bullish breakouts is more effective than buying on bullish breakouts.
Education
by Aadil1000x
1
3 Wave Flat Patterns to Know and Understand📕📗📘In Elliott wave theory, a flat is a figure consisting of three waves, the ends of which are called ABC . This is a corrective pattern going against the trend. This pattern may look like a simple range that spends more time on sideways movement than on a real price increase. The pattern, as a rule, is a shallow pullback of the previous trend and can sometimes be a "flag" of the general flag pattern . ❗️In fact, there are 3 types of flat correction: regular (1), elongated (2) and launched (3). The name of the template by which you identify the correction is not as important as what it implies. In each of the above-mentioned corrections, lateral consolidation is implied, which will eventually resolve as a complete recovery of the model and continuation of the trend until entering the flat model. 📊Trying to define a plane Elliott wave , we are looking for several characteristics. 1.ABC-plane subwaves (regardless of the 3 types above) are divided into 3-3-5. 2.In the flat, look for the second wave or the "B" wave, which rolls back by 78-138% from the "A" wave. 📈The three waves on the plane ( ABC ) are divided into 3-3-5, which means that there are 3 sub-waves in leg "A", 3 sub-waves in leg "B" and 5 in leg "C". underwater waves in it. Since both branches "A" and "B" contain three subwaves each, this illustrates the struggle of the instrument to create a new trend against the previous trend. Consequently, prices eventually fluctuate sideways, eating up more time than prices. 📉When defining corrective patterns, one thing should be kept in mind: there will always be five sub-waves in the "C" legs (the only exception is triangles, since they contain only three sub-waves). Therefore, if you see a 5-wave movement preceded by several 3-wave movements, count in reverse order and see if the flat pattern works. 🚀Flats appear where any three-wave corrective movement can manifest itself. For example, you will find flats in the position of the 2nd or 4th wave of the pulse, in the wave "B" of the zigzag , in the waves W, Y, Z or X of the complex correction, or in the waves "A" of the wave of another flat. However, one corrective structure in which you won't find a flute is triangles. Triangles are constructed from zigzags or other triangles. 🍁As a result, their identification in real time may be difficult. Go to the next higher trend level to see what the larger structure might be, and use wave measurements to anticipate the end point of the pattern. Since they essentially form a range, range trading methods and risk levels are recommended for trading on them.
TVC:DXYEducation
by tima_tip
Elliott wave for beginners📓Back in 1930, Ralph Nelson Elliott decided to figure out how the market works. After a long analysis of the charts, Elliott made a discovery that still does not lose its relevance. Elliott was able to identify the "breath" of the market. This new method of graph analysis is called Elliott Wave Analysis . As it turned out, the theory of wave analysis can be used on all timeframes and assets. 🚀The basis of the analysis is the idea that the market moves by impulses and corrections. As Elliott noted, the trend movement consists of 5 waves - 3 impulsive and 2 corrective, after which a correlation of three waves against the trend begins. ❗️There are a couple of rules worth remembering when determining waves: 1. Wave 2 never recovers more than 100% of wave 1. Usually the recovery is from 50% to 61.8% of wave 1. 2. Wave 4 never recovers more than 100% from wave 3. It usually declines between 38.2% and 50% of wave 3. 3. Wave 3 always extends beyond the end of wave 1 and is never the shortest; Wave 3 usually expands by 161.8 x wave 1. It is important to remember these rules in order to correctly identify the waves. In order not to make a mistake or go ahead of time, it is worth looking for the end of the second wave and go to the third, since it is the strongest and will bring the most profit. Indicators such as: MACD, RSI can be used to accurately determine the wave. 📌There are a couple more observations that will help your profitable trading: -If wave 3 is the longest wave, then wave 5 will be approximately equal to wave 1. -Wave 2 and Wave 4 will alternate. If wave 2 represents a sharp correction, wave 4 represents a flat correction and vice versa. -After the sequence of five Elliott waves is completed, the ABC corrective waves usually end near the bottom point of wave 4. 🏆In order to learn how to correctly identify waves, enter a position in time and exit it in time, you need experience, so follow the charts, analyze and eventually the profit will come to you. Good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by tima_tip
2
Technical Analysis. HOW to identify trend,support and resistanceTechnical analysis Technical analysis is a way to predict the future price movement according to the price chart. The price takes everything into account - this is the main idea of technical analysis. This idea means that we only need to see the price chart to find out where it will go in the future. The main tools of technical analysis are trend lines, support and resistance lines. So how do you find them on the chart? Downtrend and Uptrend. The price is always in motion and when the price shows each new high below the previous one and each new low below the previous one - we say that there is a downtrend now and to make it clearly visible, analysts connect the highs and lows with lines - this is how the downtrend lines are drawn. To identify an uptrend, the same idea is used, only in a different direction - every time the price forms new highs above the previous ones and new lows above the previous ones, we say that there is an uptrend now. Support and resistance Combining the highs and lows, technical analysts noticed that the price is facing resistance on the one hand and support on the other. These zones prevent the price from going higher or lower, depending on the trend. It is very important to see these zones, because, as a rule, trade is conducted from them. Also, there are frequent moments when support, after its penetration, becomes resistance. Remember It is important to remember that the trend, resistance and support lines are just zones and the price sometimes goes beyond the lines, but then comes back. The price will make false breakouts of resistance or support from time to time. This is normal and it should always be remembered. It is important that the price rebounds from these zones at least twice, so that there are reasons to draw lines and identify the trend. Profitable Result Thanks to these simple methods of technical analysis, a trader can easily determine the trend and avoid stupid money losses, the method will also help in the correct setting of stop orders, which will make your trading more accurate and more profitable. Trend is your friend, be able to find it.
TVC:DXYEducation
by tima_tip
Master's way to use Fibonacci ToolHello traders and dear followers! I have not posted any idea since the start of this month but today I am back with a powerful strategy that will help your trading easy and the strategy is also very easy to apply. It works exactly as you have ever imagined/wished that God should give you. 1. A strategy that can predict the Target perfectly. 2. At the same time strategy should predict the next drop. 3. Plus strategy should also guide you through every up and down before reaching your target. LOL We will only use the Fibonacci retracement tool and you can select Fibonacci tool from the Tool column on your left and it's inside the third option. To make it your favorite toll hit the star button. In this strategy, you just have to find a chain of bullish candles. A chain should be of at least 3 or more continuous bullish candles and after that look for the first bearish candle and that's the first step. Now look at the chart it's W1 btcusdt candlestick chart. If we see from 14-dec-2020 there is a set of 4 continuous bullish candles. Start the Fibonacci toll from the bottom of the bullish candle and put '0.618' Fibonacci level at the point where the first bearish candle is closed. Now Fibonacci '0' level is your target. We can see BTC hit the Target and then drop. It's simple as that. Let's move to the second example The second example is the ethusdt D1 chart. In this chart, there are 2 examples. The first one has 4 continuous bullish candles and the second one has a set of 5 continuous bullish candles. I started the Fibonacci Retracement tool from the start of bullish candles then set my Fibonacci '0.618' level at the point where the first bearish candle is closed and '0' is the Target. We can see ETH has already achieved both targets. In the first case of ETH it dropped after completing the target and the current one is still live means it is ready to drop soon. You can use this tool in any timeframe. At the beginning I gave 3 points and above you saw it complete target which was my first point and all dropped well after completing the target which was my second point and for the third point set these Fibonacci pairs the same way in any pair in 4hr or above timeframe than after that change the timeframe to 15/30/1hr timeframe and you will be amze to see how perfectly Fibonacci levels are respected. If you want more just hit the like button and follow to stay connected.
Education
by Aadil1000x
14
You won't like this one BITCOINFor the die hard crypto fanatics; you won't like this idea one bit. This is coming from someone who was Bullish from 2011, so don't shoot it down without giving it a read either. You might have seen the film: Wall street, money never sleeps? Well, in this film Gekko shows a chart on the wall of his apartment; This chart shows the Tulip Mania curve, it was insane - below, I have taken the story from Investopedia (word for word) and below each section I will edit it ever so slightly... First - here's a little background. What Was the Dutch Tulip Bulb Market Bubble? The Dutch tulip bulb market bubble, also known as 'tulipmania' was one of the most famous market bubbles and crashes of all time. It occurred in Holland during the early to mid-1600s when speculation drove the value of tulip bulbs to extremes. At the height of the market, the rarest tulip bulbs traded for as much as six times the average person's annual salary. Today, the tulipmania serves as a parable for the pitfalls that excessive greed and speculation can lead to. Here's the chart up close; ================================================================================================================================================= History of the Dutch Tulip Bulb Market’s Bubble Tulips first appeared in Europe in the 16th century, arriving via the spice trading routes that lent a sense of exoticism to these imported flowers that looked like no other flower native to the continent. It is no surprise then that tulips became a luxury item destined for the gardens of the affluent: according to The Library of Economics and Liberty, "it was deemed a proof of bad taste in any man of fortune to be without a collection of tulips." -------------------------------- The first ₿itcoin appeared on the internet circa 2009; becoming a luxury item to own, a symbol of hope and freedom. it seem to mirror the quote exactly "a proof of bad taste in any man of fortune to be without a ₿itcoin wallet". ======================================================================== Following the affluent, the merchant middle classes of Dutch society (which did not exist in such developed form elsewhere in Europe at the time) sought to emulate their wealthier neighbors and, too, demanded tulips. Initially, it was a status item that was purchased for the very reason that it was expensive. -------------------------------- The middle class want affluence and wealth and see Crypto as a way to make money the easy way - thus driving up price, of such a status item. ////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// Cycles The market moves in cycles which can be broken down into waves, this can then be forecasted using tools such as Fibonacci to predict price in the future. In Elliott wave principle; You have cycles that fit into time. While exact time spans may vary, the customary order of degrees is reflected in the following sequence: Grand supercycle: multi-century Supercycle: multi-decade (about 40–70 years) Cycle: one year to several years, or even several decades under an Elliott Extension Primary: a few months to two years Intermediate: weeks to months Minor: weeks Minute: days Minuette: hours Subminuette: minutes So we would have to count the current move as a Cycle on the current count and a primary cycle inside of that (Monthly & weekly in essence) as in theory we are still inside a 1 move of anything larger. This is the current (perceived count); ========================================================================================================================================= Back to the Tulips According to Smithsonian Magazine, the Dutch learned that tulips could grow from seeds or buds that grew on the mother bulb. A bulb that grew from seed would take seven to 12 years before flowering, but a bulb itself could flower the very next year. So-called "broken bulbs" were a type of tulip with a striped, multicolored pattern rather than a single solid color that evolved from a mosaic virus strain. This variation was a catalyst causing a growing demand for rare, “broken bulb” tulips which is what ultimately led to the high market price. ------------------------------------ According to some technical guys, ₿itcoin can be mined and with enough equipment 1 full coin can flower over a year - due to the halving, which causes an increase in demand. It is driven to high market prices. ========================================================================================================================================= In 1634, tulipmania swept through Holland. The Library of Economics and Liberty writes, "The rage among the Dutch to possess was so great that the ordinary industry of the country was neglected, and the population, even to its lowest dregs, embarked in the tulip trade. ------------------------------------ In 2021 ₿itcoin swept the world reaching as far as El Salvador. The rage amongst the Tweeter crowd was so great that, every man and his dog neglected common sense and even with stimulus money being used to embark on the ₿itcoin ladder. ========================================================================================================================================== At this point; you probably hate this! I understand, majority of people only want opinions that mirror their own beliefs - trust me, I'm Bullish overall, I want a buy n hold strategy, but I cannot ignore factors out of my control. Regulation, Government stupidity and the world melting. ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// Some simple logic. Back in March I posted simple roadmap; Inside the post (click the image above) you will see exact co-ordinates for the move and the current situation. See below; +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ So where next and why? If we are seeing a monthly 3 being formed (cycle phase) then we will go into another decline. Collecting new found liquidity at the high. And this making larger cycle 1 when it hits the 5th of this current cycle. ==================================================================================================================================== Some more on Tulips A single bulb could be worth as much as 4,000 or even 5,500 florins—since the 1630s florins were gold coins of uncertain weight and quality it is hard to make an accurate estimation of today's value in dollars, but Mackay does give us some points of reference: among other things, 4 tuns of beer cost 32 florins. That's around 1,008 gallons of beer, or 65 kegs of beer. A keg of Coors Light costs around $90, and so 4 tuns of beer ≈ $4,850 and 1 florin ≈ $150.4 That means that the best of tulips cost upwards of $750,000 in today's money (but with many bulbs trading in the $50,000 - $150,000 range). By 1636, the demand for the tulip trade was so large that regular marts for their sale were established on the Stock Exchange of Amsterdam, in Rotterdam, Haarlem, and other towns. ------------------------------------------------------------ A single ₿itcoin could be worth as much as $67,000 which is hard to make an accurate estimation as it could be as little as $8,200 if you buy on Binance (and you have fast reflexes) Depending on where you drink beer, depends on how you can compare this. In Norway you can pay upward of $9, whereas In Antananarivo you can buy a beer for 6 cent. ==================================================================================================================================== It was at that time that professional traders ("stock jobbers") got in on the action, and everybody appeared to be making money simply by possessing some of these rare bulbs. Indeed, it seemed at the time that the price could only go up; that "the passion for tulips would last forever." People began buying tulips with leverage, using margined derivatives contracts to buy more than they could afford. But as quickly as it began, confidence was dashed. By the end of the year 1637, prices began to fall and never looked back. ----------------------------------------- At the time ETF's become available, it seems like the price can only go up. This Bull run will last forever, people start using leverage to buy ₿itcoin. Then - maybe a correction sets in. ==================================================================================================================================== Never happen I hear you say; I often get asked about Plan B and the model - which of course makes some sense. But people are only reading the words and not seeing the chart; Firstly, what happens when you see yellow dots? we go orange, yellow - boom. Ok and then secondary to that; look at the line straight across until mid 2024 > ==================================================================================================================================== Play this move out - another I posted in March this year, the logic was there for what I would regard as a weekly 3-4 move up for 5 giving a monthly 3. As per the Elliott post above in the roadmap. Here's the outcome; ====================================================================================================================================== Tulip conclusions; A large part of this rapid decline was driven by the fact that people had purchased bulbs on credit, hoping to repay their loans when they sold their bulbs for a profit. But once prices started their decline, holders were forced to liquidate—to sell their bulbs at any price and to declare bankruptcy in the process. Smithsonian Magazine indeed notes that "hundreds who, a few months previously had begun to doubt that there was such a thing as poverty in the land suddenly found themselves the possessors of a few bulbs, which nobody would buy," even at prices one-fourth of what they paid. By 1638, tulip bulb prices had returned to from whence they came. --------------------------------- A large part of what will be seen as a shock horror, will be people thinking they have diamond hands until the wife finds out they have over leveraged a position that might not come back for (2 years) - unable to pay back loans on money borrowed to buy crypto. No poverty in the world, is of course the dream. ====================================================================================================================================== The Bubble Bursts By the end of 1637, the bubble had burst. Buyers announced they could not pay the high price previously agreed upon for bulbs and the market fell apart. While it was not a devastating occurrence for the nation's economy, it did undermine social expectations. The event destroyed relationships built on trust and people's willingness and ability to pay. ------------------------------- Prior to 2024; people announced they could not afford to hold such positions and the game mostly passed to the wealthy who could buy when the blood is running in the streets. This destroying the trust and belief, re-affirming the "rich get richer and the poor, get REKT" ===================================================================================================================================== Bullish or Bearish - I hope you enjoyed it. I've been lucky, planted my bulbs and waiting for the to flower. If the price comes back right I'll add to the position. Just be careful, use proper risk management and don't just buy the hype. Do some research for your own entries. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
139
Trading Chaos Part 5 | CorrectionsHello, everyone! Last time we considered the Elliott waves 1-2-3-4-5 cycle. Today we are going to talk about correction types. Corrections contains of 3 waves A-B-C. Bill Williams recommends to trade only Simple Zigzag corrections, but we also should be able to distinguish other types of corrections. Let's go! Simple Zigzag Correction If you find that the corrective Wave A consists of 5 waves there is a high probability that current correction type is simple zigzag. If you decided to trade this correction, you should wait the Wave B end and execute the short trade. How to spot it's end? Find the target zone, usually it is between 50% and 62%, one of the three bars on the top should be the squat bar. Also you should find the fractal on the top.
Education
by Skyrexio
1