Ultimate Winrate KDJ Strategy by reset parameter!(best tutorial)You've ever had this happen?
Bought a stock at rock bottom, and it starts to rise a bit, and then the J line turns down on the KDJ indicator, telling you to sell. So, you sell, but then it quickly shoots up, leaving you pretty blue. like you missed out on a fortune. Was the KDJ indicator down?
Nope
Hold tight, cause we're about to see a miracle. By just tweaking a bit the KDJ indicator's parameters, you can nail those short-term highs and be on your way to the success.
So, how do you find the right KDJ indicator parameters?
Stick around, and I'll spill the beans!
First off, why do we need to optimize this lil' parameter?
Well, every stock moves differently cause the folks trading it are different. So, a one-size-fits-all KDJ indicator won’t always work well on every stock at every stage. To up our chances, we gotta tweak those parameters to find the best fit for our stock.
Now, onto the second question: how do you find the right ones?
Let’s go back to the Tesla stock chart.
After changing the KDJ indicator parameters to 74, the sell point lines up perfectly with the peak.
Why 74?
Well, from point A to point B, there’s exactly 74 candles. Why use the number of candles between those two points as the KDJ parameter?
Here’s the crux of it.
The KDJ indicator is a momentum oscillator, calculating the close price at latest candle with the highest and lowest prices of the previous nine candles since the default KDJ parameter is 9.
so If the price breaks above the highest price of those nine candles, it will be constantly giving false sell signals.
So, we need to set the KDJ parameter to the number of candles from the previous high to the low. This way, the highest price and lowest price are not broken.
Then, the KDJ works accurately.
Still lost? Let’s look at another example. Here’s an Apple stock chart.
With the default parameter of 9, we bought after the golden cross, but few days later, it prompt to sell signal, and then the price soared. Feeling furious yet?
But if we set the KDJ parameter to 95, we’d have sold right near the top, securing a nice profit!
Why 95?
Same method: from the highest point A to the lowest point B, there’s 95 candles.
Got it? Ain’t it something?
Check your stocks with this method. Got questions? Leave a comment, and I’ll get back to ya ASAP! Today we focused on using KDJ to find sell points. It’s just as magical for buy points, which I’ll cover in future videos.
So, please follow me and hit that boost bell so you don’t miss out!
Wave Analysis
Understanding Complex Structures: Elliott Wave Theory in ActionTechnical Analysis on Exampled chart of RBL Bank Ltd. using Elliott Wave Theory
Understanding Complex Structures: Elliott Wave Theory in Action
This analysis uses Elliott Wave Theory & Structures, which involve multiple possibilities. The analysis presented focuses on one potential scenario. The provided information is for educational purposes only, not trading advice. There is a risk of being completely wrong, and users are warned not to trade or invest solely based on this study. The content is not advisory and does not guarantee profits. We are not responsible for any kind of profits and losses; individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Elliott Wave Principles
Elliott Wave Theory, developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott, is a widely used method of technical analysis. It helps traders analyze financial market cycles and forecast market trends by identifying patterns of investor psychology, reflected in price movements. According to Elliott, market prices unfold in specific patterns, termed as "waves". These waves are categorized into:
Impulse Waves: Move in the direction of the overall trend and consist of five sub-waves.
Corrective Waves: Move against the trend and consist of three sub-waves.
Impulse waves are labeled as 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5, and corrective waves are labeled as A, B, and C. Complex corrections are labeled as W, X, Y, and sometimes Z.
Chart Analysis Exampled of RBL Bank Ltd.
Here's a breakdown of the wave counts as illustrated in the chart:
Impulse Wave 1 - 5 as a bigger degree wave (3)
- Starting from the bottom left, the stock initiates an upward movement labeled as waves (i), (ii), (iii), (iv), and (v), culminating in a larger degree Wave (3). This indicates a bullish impulse wave consisting of five sub-waves.
Corrective Wave W-X-Y Correction as a bigger degree Wave (4)
- The chart shows a complex correction starting from top of Wave (3) with set of double correction as wave W-X-Y
Current Market Scenario
- Currently, the stock appears to be completing another corrective wave (Y), marked with sub-waves (a), (b), and potentially completing (c). of wave ((y)) of larger degree wave Y to finish one more larger degree wave (4). Can show some Dips to complete wave (4) along with Bullish Divergences.
Future Projection
Based on the Elliott Wave count, the stock seems to be in the final stages of completing Wave (c) of ((y)) of Y of (4). After this correction, it is anticipated that a new impulsive wave cycle might begin, potentially forming Wave (5) of a larger degree. The projected target for this next upward wave, post-correction, could reach above the previous high near the 300 level or more.
By understanding these principles and analyzing the provided chart, traders can gain insights into potential market movements and make more informed trading decisions.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Faith in the wave principleThis serves as a reminder to adhere to the wave principle discovered by Ralph Nelson Elliott. I'm sharing this photo as it's the only documentation of the diagnosis before the development of this analytical idea. It's essential to pay attention to signs that confirm an idea when sharing it with friends, such as the invalidation of the analysis, the passing of the price of the aggressive and conservative idea, as well as the formation of each correction and action pattern. This is a detail I want to emphasize because I don't want anyone to experience the psychological suffering of losing capital. I wish everyone success and recovery in the field of analysis and trading. I am nobody, which is why I chose the nickname Mr. Nobody.
BULLISH STRUCTURE SMC How to identify a bullish market structure according to SMC
In a bullish structure, identify the top, the high after the bos is only confirmed as a top when the price scans idm (RECENT PULLBACK)
When there are 2 confirmed highs, the lowest level between the 2 highs will be the bottom (the bottom does not need to be confirmed with an uptrend)
Thanks
Navigating the Waves: Elliott Wave Theory and Key IndicatorsEducational Technical Analysis on example chart of UFO Moviez India
Elliott Wave Analysis and Key Moving Averages
Disclaimer
This study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading or investment advice. The analysis presented focuses on one potential scenario based on Elliott Wave Theory and other technical indicators. Trading and investing involve substantial risk, and individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any decisions.
Introduction to Elliott Wave Theory
Elliott Wave Theory is a form of technical analysis that traders use to analyze financial market cycles and forecast market trends by identifying extremes in investor psychology, highs and lows in prices, and other collective activities. The theory posits that stock prices move in predictable patterns or "waves" based on investor sentiment.
Principles of Elliott Wave Theory
1. Wave Patterns: According to Elliott, market prices move in five waves in the direction of the main trend (impulse waves) and three waves in a correction against the main trend (corrective waves).
2. Wave Degrees: Waves are fractal in nature, meaning that smaller waves form part of larger waves, and this pattern repeats on all time frames.
3. Wave Characteristics:
- Wave 1: Usually the smallest impulse wave.
- Wave 2: Corrects Wave 1 but does not exceed its starting point.
- Wave 3: Typically the strongest and longest wave.
- Wave 4: Corrective wave that is usually less severe.
- Wave 5: Final leg in the direction of the main trend.
Current Analysis of example chart of UFO Moviez India
Based on the chart and Elliott Wave Theory, UFO Moviez India is currently suggesting an impulsive and momentum-driven 3rd of the 3rd wave ahead, with an invalidation level at 106.
Key Observations:
1. Wave Count:
- Wave (1): An initial 5-wave impulse has completed.
- Wave (2): A corrective ABC pattern.
- Wave (3): Currently unfolding with sub-waves i, ii, iii, iv, and v marked.
- Wave 3: In the larger context is forming.
2. Breakout:
- There is a breakout above the downward trendline with good volumes, indicating strong bullish momentum.
3. Key Moving Averages:
- Price Trading Above:
- 50 EMA, 100 EMA, and 200 EMA
- 50 WEMA, 100 WEMA, and 200 WEMA
- Crossed above 20 MMA
Technical Indicators and Levels
- Price: 148.54 INR (as of the latest close)
- Support Levels:
- Nearest Invalidation Level: 106 INR
- Major Support: 57.20 INR
- Resistance Levels:
- Immediate Target: 175.58 INR (Wave 1 of larger degree)
- Fibonacci Extension Target: 220.51 INR (1.618 extension of Wave 1)
Conclusion
The Elliott Wave analysis of example chart of UFO Moviez India indicates a potentially strong bullish trend as the stock is in the 3rd wave of a larger impulse. The breakout above the trendline with significant volume further supports this bullish outlook. However, it is crucial to monitor the invalidation level at 106 INR, as a break below this level could invalidate the current wave count and suggest a different scenario.
Educational Purpose Notice
This analysis is provided for educational purposes only. It is not an investment or trading advice or tip. Trading and investing in financial markets involve risk, and it is important to do thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Less is more...If you don't know me, I have been a trader a very long time. Nearly 25 years to be exact.
Over the years, I have spent a lot of time studying a wide array of techniques, tools, patterns and market sentiment. Lucky enough, the markets have also been very kind to me.
I've been fortunate enough to have two trading books published by large traditional publishing companies. So it's safe to say, I live and breathe trading.
I am going to do a series of posts here covering a couple of key educational topics - starting with Elliott Wave theory.
When it comes to Elliott Wave theory, there seems to be a love hate relationship for many people. Some get it, some see it as not relevant. To be honest, both are correct.
Now before you jump on the high horse "it doesn't work for crypto" - let me start by saying, this is not a lesson on how to use Elliott Theory. I covered that in these posts below;
And step two;
In terms of using Elliott, it's not as simple as trying to figure out each and every move. (this is often why, it does not work.) Instead the benefit of Elliott, is to accept it as a bias tool that aids in understanding the current market sentiment.
We often see posts online about things like the Wall Street cheat sheet. I also covered this in another post here on @TradingView
Where the theory has any real value, is simply to obtain a bias. The market is always searching for liquidity. In order to obtain liquidity, the market needs to attract players for the game.
Now, you have probably entered a trade and felt almost immediately that the market has pushed against you, it's out to get you and the brokers are playing 1 vs 1 against you.
This is where sentiment really comes in.
As a retail trader you have likely been exposed to tools such as RSI, MACD or even dabbled with Elliott and Wyckoff. But the reason the market does, what the market does, is not to get you as an individual, instead it's there to collect liquidity from a crowd.
Elliott wave theory isn't a technical tool, it's a sentiment tool.
So instead of trying to guess every internal and nested swing, you can make an awful lot of money by simply giving a directional bias.
I wrote an article in 2021 here -
About the emotions, I used the Simpsons to get the point across. The general idea is to understand where liquidity is likely to be and use that to make informed trading decisions.
If you have any specific questions, even topics you would like covered, leave a comment below. I'll add to this in another post as part of this series.
Stay safe and wish you all the best.
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Predicting Bitcoin's Cycle Using the Elliott Wave Theory, Part 2Hello traders. In this article, we dive deeper into another detailed way of seeing Bitcoin's potential end-of-cycle pattern. This is the 2nd part to the previous post that discusses Bitcoin's cycle using the Elliott Wave Theory - a comprehensive and subjective theory. Here, we will be exploring an alternative scenario that builds on our previous concept of Bitcoin fractals since its inception in 2009. By addressing some of the subjectivity in the wave theory and leveraging market psychology and algorithmic fractals, this post is aimed to provide another organized and insightful look at the structure of Bitcoin's price movements.
If you are interested in seeing the first scenario, here is a link for your convenience:
For this alternative scenario, as mentioned above, it addresses some of the subjectivity that arises from the Elliott Wave Theory, specifically the observation of multiple 1-2 scenarios presented in our previous idea. Although the idea was supported by evidence from market psychology and algorithmic fractals, the problem arises by having the possibility of infinite 1-2 nested structures that works upon extending each internal wave - which is a pretty rare observation in any markets; however, Bitcoin has been able to withstand year by year and work on a pretty timely schedule. Based on the expectations, we used that observation to create the scenario of nested 1-2's. Nevertheless, due to its possible subjective count, this idea focuses more on the structural integrity of the basic 5-wave pattern and being able to fit the whole price action from inception as a 5-wave pattern.
Simply put, this thesis aims to create a more organized structure. As many are still eager to determine how far Bitcoin might correct after this bull run ends, I hope this idea can also give you confidence to help build your own thesis.
There is one thing that is for sure, however: the evidence portrayed from both of these scenarios strongly suggests that we will see higher levels before lower levels, though no theory can be 100% accurate, we could technically see a reversal even now. But my duty is to make sure to narrow down the scenarios as best as I can.
For this specific idea, we have structured this whole move up as 5 waves since inception, sticking as closely as possible to the basic Elliott Wave model of the 5-wave impulse. To achieve this, we made some simple adjustments from the first thesis in the previous post.
The challenge for many arises when trying to fit a wave 3 that must be the longest or second longest wave compared to waves 1 and 5. In this chart, since primary wave 1 in yellow is the longest, wave 5 must be technically shorter than wave 3, which is a strict rule and must be obeyed.
To accomplish this, we can use the 2017-2020 price action as a range initself for wave 4. Previously, we considered the pandemic crash as a technical bottom. If we use that as a sideways range, the only viable sideways patterns are triangles and flats (as we have exhausted the zigzag family correction patterns for wave 4 already). For more details on these patterns, please refer to the previous guide on triangle and flat patterns in my Elliott Wave Theory guide on my main page.
By using the 2017-2020 range as a triangle, our subwave E has resulted in an extremely short subwave, known as a failure or truncation. After breaking out of the triangle, the next step is to figure out on how to form wave 5, which is the final part of the 5-wave motive impulse.
Currently, the only way we can see wave 5 concluding is through a possible diagonal given the current data. Why? We would typically expect a basic 5-wave move for wave 5, but since wave 5 has to be short and wave 1 was extended, we do not expect the last primary wave 5 in yellow to be extended.
Thus, the only remaining option is a possible diagonal pattern to complete wave 5, since we have also assumed it will be short due to wave 1 already being the longest wave and wave 3 being the 2nd longest wave.
This Ending Diagonal, which consists of 5 waves (unlike a Leading Diagonal, which appears in waves 1 or A), they are only observed in wave 5s or wave Cs.
To construct our Ending Diagonal, the five subwaves must be zigzags (simple ABCs) or complex zigzags (WXYs). We are currently observing a mix of these, which is normal in diagonals:
* Subwave (1): ABC. Observed as a long wave A and short wave C. This can be debated, but longer wave As compared to wave Cs are not uncommon.
* Subwave (2): WXY. A WXYXZ could fit as well like we observed in our previous post, but that deviates significantly from the traditional structure. A WXY is the next best alternative, and even that can be subjective as we typically observe simple ZigZags (ABCs) within diagonals.
* Subwave (3): Currently being created. With the available data, it could be an ABC, though it may become more complex going forward.
* Subwave (4) / (5) : To be determined. Must belong to the zigzag family.
As we are still working on subwave (3) within the ending diagonal, the interest level for a pullback remains the same as in our previous idea, THAT IS THE KEY. This significant pullback could validate this idea, so we will monitor it up to that point.
This larger picture presents a wide range between subwaves 4 and 5, similar to waves 1 and 2.
Once subwaves 4 and 5 are created, it will technically terminate the larger degree wave 5 of the entire 5-wave impulse cycle. After termination, a significant downside correction is possible, potentially reaching levels as low as $3,000.
Alternatively, we also have a completely different count where this cycle wave 1-2 may be already in play, and it can be achieved by using a larger flat idea that may also help with separation and further deepend subjectivity. Here is that approach:
In conclusion, while the evidence strongly suggests that Bitcoin will reach higher levels before any significant correction, it is crucial to remain adaptable as market conditions evolve. The analysis presented here offers merely a potential roadmap. No theory can predict market movements with absolute certainty. By staying informed and considering multiple scenarios, investors can better navigate the complexities of the cryptocurrency market.
I invite EVERYONE to share your thoughts and engage with this post in the comments below.
Options Blueprint Series: Bear Put Diagonal Fly on Euro FuturesIntroduction
Euro FX EUR/USD Futures are a key instrument in the futures market, allowing traders to speculate on the future value of the Euro against the US Dollar. Trading Euro FX EUR/USD Futures provides exposure to the currency markets, enabling traders to hedge risk or capitalize on market movements.
Key Contract Specifications:
Contract Size: 125,000€
Tick Size: 0.00005
Tick Value: $6.25
Margin Requirements: Approximately $2,100 (varies by broker and market conditions and changes through time)
These contract specs are crucial for understanding the potential profit and loss scenarios when trading Euro Futures. The tick size and value help determine the smallest price movement and its monetary impact, while the margins indicate the amount of capital required to initiate a position.
Strategy Explanation
The Bear Put Diagonal Fly is an advanced options strategy designed to profit from a bearish market outlook. This strategy involves buying and selling put options with different expiration dates and strike prices, creating a diagonal spread.
Bear Put Diagonal Fly Breakdown:
Buy 1 Put (longer-term expiration): This long put provides downside protection over a longer period, benefiting from a significant decline in the underlying asset.
Sell 1 Put (intermediate-term expiration): This short put helps to offset the cost of the long put, generating premium income and partially financing the trade.
Buy 1 Put (shorter-term expiration): This additional long put offers further downside protection, particularly for a shorter duration, enhancing the overall bearish exposure.
Purpose of the Strategy: The Bear Put Diagonal Fly is structured to take advantage of a declining market with specific price movements over different time frames. The staggered expiration dates allow the trader to benefit from time decay and volatility changes.
Advantages:
Cost Reduction: The premium received from selling the put helps to reduce the overall cost.
Enhanced Bearish Exposure: The additional shorter-term put provides extra exposure.
Flexibility: The strategy can be adjusted or rolled over as market conditions change.
Potential Risks:
Time Decay: If the market does not move as expected, the long puts may lose value due to time decay.
Volatility Risk: Changes in market volatility can impact the value of the options.
Application on Euro Futures
To apply the Bear Put Diagonal Fly strategy on Euro Futures, careful selection of strike prices and expiration dates is crucial. This strategy involves three options positions with different expirations to optimize the potential profit from a bearish market move.
Selecting Strike Prices and Expiration Dates:
Long Put (longer term): Choose a strike price above the current market price of Euro Futures to benefit from a significant decline.
Short Put (intermediate term): Select a strike price closer to the market price to maximize premium income while reducing the overall cost of the strategy.
Long Put (shorter term): Pick a strike price below the market price to provide additional bearish exposure.
Why This Strategy is Suitable for Euro Futures:
Market Conditions: As seen on the upper chart, the current market outlook for the Euro suggests potential downside due to technical factors, making a bearish strategy appropriate.
Volatility: Euro Futures often experience significant price movements, which can be advantageous for the Bear Put Diagonal Fly strategy, as it thrives on volatility.
Flexibility: The staggered expiration dates allow for adjustments and management of the trade over time, accommodating changing market conditions.
Futures (underlying using the 6E1! continuous ticker symbol) Entry, Target, and Stop-Loss Prices:
Short Entry: 1.09000
Target: 1.08200
Stop-Loss: 1.09400
Options Trade Setup (using Futures September cycle with 6EU2024 ticker symbol):
The Bear Put Diagonal Fly on Euro Futures involves a structured approach to setting up the trade. Here’s a step-by-step guide to executing this strategy:
1. Buy 1 Put (Sep-6 expiration):
Strike Price: 1.095
Premium Paid: 0.0102 (or $1,275 per contract)
2. Sell 1 Put (Aug-23 expiration):
Strike Price: 1.09
Premium Received: 0.0061 (or $762.5 per contract)
3. Buy 1 Put (Aug-9 expiration):
Strike Price: 1.085
Premium Paid: 0.0021 (or $262.5 per contract)
Risk Calculation:
Net Cost = ($1,275 + $262.5) - $762.5 = $775
Risk: The initial net cost of the strategy. Risk = $775
Trade and Risk Management
Effective risk management is essential when trading options strategies like the Bear Put Diagonal Fly on Euro Futures. Effectively managing the Bear Put Diagonal Fly on Euro Futures is crucial to optimize potential profits and mitigate risks. Here are common guidelines for managing this options strategy:
Using Stop-Loss Orders:
In the Bear Put Diagonal Fly strategy, setting a stop-loss at 1.0940 ensures that if Euro Futures move against the expected direction, the losses are contained.
Avoiding Undefined Risk Exposure:
The Bear Put Diagonal Fly is a defined risk strategy, meaning the maximum loss is known upfront and limited to the initial net cost.
Precise Entries and Exits:
Timing the Market: Entering and exiting trades at the right time is crucial. Using technical analysis tools such as UFO Support or Resistance levels can help identify optimal entry and exit points.
Monitor Time Decay:
Keep a close eye on how the time decay (theta) impacts the value of the options. As the short put approaches expiration, assess whether to roll it to a later date or let it expire.
Volatility Changes:
Changes in market volatility can affect the strategy’s profitability.
Rolling Options:
If the market moves unfavorably, rolling the options to different strike prices or expiration dates can help manage risk and maintain the strategy’s viability.
Regular Check-ins:
Review the position regularly to ensure it aligns with the expected market movement. Adjust if the market conditions change or if the position starts to deviate from the initial plan.
Profit Targets:
Set predefined profit targets and consider taking profits when these targets are reached.
Exit Strategies:
Have a clear exit plan for different scenarios, at least for when the stop-loss or target is hit.
By implementing robust risk management practices, traders can enhance their ability to manage potential losses and improve the overall effectiveness of their trading strategies. Managing the Bear Put Diagonal Fly requires active monitoring and the flexibility to adjust the positions as market conditions evolve. This proactive approach helps in maximizing potential returns while mitigating risks.
Conclusion
The Bear Put Diagonal Fly is an advanced options strategy tailored for a bearish outlook on Euro Futures. By strategically selecting options with different expiration dates and strike prices, this strategy offers a cost-effective way to capitalize on anticipated declines in the Euro while managing risk.
Summary of the Bear Put Diagonal Fly Strategy:
Cost Reduction: The short put helps to offset the cost of the long puts, making the strategy more affordable.
Enhanced Bearish Exposure: The additional long put provides extra downside protection.
Flexibility: The staggered expiration dates allow for adjustments and trade management over time.
Why This Strategy Could Be Beneficial:
The current market conditions suggest potential downside for Euro Futures, making a bearish strategy like the Bear Put Diagonal Fly appropriate.
The defined risk nature of the strategy ensures that maximum potential losses are known upfront.
Effective trade and risk management techniques can further enhance the strategy’s performance and mitigate potential risks.
By understanding the mechanics of the Bear Put Diagonal Fly and applying it to Euro Futures, traders can leverage this advanced options strategy to navigate bearish market conditions with greater confidence and precision.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Elliott Wave DemonstrationDemonstration of Elliott Wave Principles using Bitcoin chart:
Rules:
Wave 2 never goes below end of Wave 1 => checked
Wave 3 is not the shortest of Wave 1, 3 and 5 => checked
Wave 4 never goes below end of Wave 1 => checked
Guidelines:
Guideline of Alternation: Wave 2 and 4 alternates in form (sharp vs sideways), retracement (shallow vs deep) and duration (long vs short) => checked
Guideline of Wave Equality: Two out of three waves (1,3 and 5) tend to be equal in length and duration, Wave 1 and 5 meeting this guideline => checked
Momentum is highest during end of wave 3, end of Wave 5 normally creates divergence with price => checked
Volume during Wave 3 is normally the highest amongst Wave 1,3 and 5
Relations with Fib ratios:
Wave 2 retraced Wave 1 by 78.6% (deep)
Wave 3 was equal to 261.8% of Wave 1 (longest)
Wave 4 retraced Wave 3 by 38.2% (shallow)
Wave 5 was equal to 100% of Wave 1 (Guideline of Wave equality)
Mastering Elliott Waves: Key Rules You Can't IgnoreEducational Idea : Understanding Key Principles of Elliott Wave Theory
Introduction
Elliott Wave Theory is a powerful tool used by traders to analyze market cycles and forecast future price movements. Understanding its core principles can help you make more informed trading decisions. In this article, we will delve into three fundamental principles of Elliott Wave Theory that cannot be violated. Remember, this video is purely for educational purposes and not intended as trading advice or tips.
1. Wave 2 Can Never Retrace More Than 100% of Wave 1
The first principle of Elliott Wave Theory is that Wave 2 can never retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. In other words, Wave 2 cannot go below the starting point of Wave 1. If it does, it invalidates the wave count and suggests that the initial impulse wave (Wave 1) was incorrectly identified. This rule ensures that Wave 2 is a correction wave within the larger trend and not a reversal of the trend itself.
Example Illustration:
- If Wave 1 starts at 100 and peaks at 150, Wave 2 can retrace to any level above 100, but not below it.
2. Wave 3 Can Never Be the Shortest Among All Three Impulse Waves (1-3-5)
The second principle states that Wave 3 can never be the shortest among the three impulse waves (Waves 1, 3, and 5). Typically, Wave 3 is the longest and most powerful wave, characterized by strong momentum and volume. If you find that Wave 3 is shorter than either Wave 1 or Wave 5, the wave count is incorrect, and you need to re-evaluate your analysis.
Example Illustration:
- If Wave 1 is 50 points and Wave 3 is only 30 points, while Wave 5 is 40 points, this violates the rule as Wave 3 is the shortest.
3. Wave 4 Cannot Enter the Territory of Wave 1 (Except in Diagonals & Triangles)
The third principle asserts that Wave 4 cannot enter the price territory of Wave 1. This means that the lowest point of Wave 4 should not overlap the highest point of Wave 1. An exception to this rule occurs in diagonal and triangle patterns, where some overlap is permissible. This rule helps maintain the integrity of the impulse wave structure.
Example Illustration:
- If Wave 1 peaks at $150 and Wave 4 retraces to $145, this overlaps and invalidates the wave count unless the pattern is a diagonal or triangle.
Conclusion
By following these principles, you can ensure that your Elliott Wave analysis remains robust and accurate, helping you navigate the complexities of the financial markets with greater confidence. Understanding and applying these key principles of Elliott Wave Theory can significantly enhance your market analysis and trading strategies. Keep these rules in mind as you study and apply Elliott Wave Theory in your trading journey. Remember, this video is purely for educational purposes and not any kind of trading advisory or tips.
This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Feel free to share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Happy trading!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Charting the Future: An Elliott Wave ApproachTechnical Analysis of Rajesh Exports Using Elliott Wave Theory
Monthly Time Frame Analysis
Elliott Wave Count and Structure:
- The monthly chart of Rajesh Exports shows a clear Elliott Wave pattern, suggesting the completion of a corrective wave (C) of a larger degree wave ((2)) in Black, implying that a new bullish impulse is likely to begin wave ((3)) in Black.
- The recent price action indicates the end of Wave (C), part of a larger correction that followed a significant impulse wave (5) earlier of wave ((1)) in Black.
- This suggests that the stock is about to start a new bullish cycle, labeled as Wave (1) in Blue of a new impulse higher Primary degree wave ((3)) in Black.
Bullish Divergence:
MACD: The price shows hidden bullish divergence with the MACD, as the MACD line forms higher lows while the price makes lower lows on Monthly time frame.
RSI: Similar hidden bullish divergence is observed with the RSI too on monthly time frame, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
Daily Time Frame Analysis
Bullish Divergence:
MACD: The price shows bullish divergence with the MACD, with the MACD line forming higher lows while the price forms lower lows.
RSI: The RSI also shows bullish divergence, adding further weight to the bullish scenario.
Trigger Point:
Trendline Breakout:
The daily chart indicates a trendline breakout accompanied by a significant increase in volume. This breakout suggests a strong bullish sentiment and confirms the start of a new upward trend.
Invalidation Level:
The invalidation level for this bullish scenario is set at 261. If the price falls below this level, the bullish wave count would be invalidated.
Targets:
According to Elliott Wave Theory, the third wave (3) is typically the most powerful. Using the Fibonacci extension, the 161.8% target of Wave (1) places the possible price target near or above 1800.
Summary
Elliott Wave Count: Indicates a potential start of a new bullish impulse wave.
Bullish Divergence: Both MACD and RSI on the daily and monthly charts show bullish divergence.
Trendline Breakout: Confirmed with high volume, suggesting strong upward momentum.
Invalidation Level: 261
Target: 161.8% Fibonacci extension of Wave (1) projects a target near or above 1800.
The overall analysis suggests that Rajesh Exports is poised for a significant upward movement, with strong bullish indications from both the Elliott Wave counts and technical indicators.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Charting with Elliott Waves & Technical AnalysisUnderstanding how to do Technical Analysis of any chart based on Elliott Waves
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as trading advice. Multiple scenarios are possible in the real market, and there is a risk of being wrong. It is essential to consult with a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. We are not responsible for any profits or losses incurred based on this analysis.
Wave Rules:
Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1.
Wave 3 is never the shortest wave.
Wave 4 should not overlap with Wave 1's price territory, except in diagonal triangles.
Applying Elliott Wave Theory
Elliott Wave Theory is a powerful tool for traders, but it requires practice and a deep understanding of market psychology. By analyzing wave patterns, degrees, and Fibonacci relationships, traders can gain insights into potential market trends and make informed trading decisions. It is important to combine Elliott Wave analysis with other technical indicators and risk management strategies to enhance the accuracy and reliability of market forecasts.
Elliott Wave Theory provides a comprehensive framework for understanding market cycles and predicting price movements. By mastering its principles and applying them with discipline, traders can enhance their ability to navigate the financial markets and capitalize on emerging trends.
Let's understand study of this chart
Elliott Wave Analysis:
The chart represents the Possible Elliott Wave counts for TATA STEEL, currently indicating the completion and projection of waves within an impulsive structure.
Wave Count Overview:
The chart demonstrates a five-wave impulsive structure labeled as:
Wave (i), Wave (ii), Wave (iii), Wave (iv), Wave (v)
The blue zone highlights a previous resistance area, which is now acting as a potential support zone.
The current wave structure projects wave (v) of ((v)).
Invalidation Level:
The nearest invalidation level for this wave count is at 155.00. A drop below this level would invalidate the current wave count.
Potential Targets:
The projected target for wave (v) of ((v)) is around level of 184.60 & more.
This target is derived from typical characteristics of the fifth wave in Elliott Wave Theory, often extending to new highs before the completion of the impulse wave.
Elliott Wave Principles and Characteristics of Wave (v):
Elliott Wave Theory posits that market prices move in repetitive cycles, consisting of five waves in the direction of the main trend (impulse waves) and three corrective waves.
Wave (v) in an impulse sequence is typically the final wave of the trend and often displays characteristics such as:
Completing the overall five-wave pattern.
Extending beyond the previous high of wave (iii).
Exhibiting momentum divergences (where price makes a new high but momentum indicators do not).
Sometimes driven by fundamental news or events, leading to sharp price movements.
Key Levels to Watch:
Current Price: 160.31
Nearest Invalidation Level: 155.00
Potential Target for Wave (v) of ((v)): 184.60
Educational Note:
Students of Elliott Wave Theory are encouraged to practice drawing their own wave counts and verifying whether all subdivisions align with higher-degree wave principles. This practice will enhance your study, making it more accurate and practical. Always remember, in real markets, multiple possibilities exist, and this analysis focuses on one potential scenario. There is a risk of being completely wrong.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Top 7 Books to Learn Advanced Technical Analysis for StocksTop 7 Books to Learn Advanced Technical Analysis for Stocks
Mastery of advanced technical analysis is one of the factors that separates casual traders from experienced ones. Financial markets are not simple, so it’s important to understand the subtleties of price movements and chart patterns.
This FXOpen article is best suited for experienced traders who already have basic trading knowledge but are looking to delve into advanced technical analysis. We’ve compiled a list of the 7 best books to learn stock trading that explain its complexities and offer invaluable insights and strategies to potentially enhance your trading.
What Are the Best Books to Learn Stock Trading?
Typically, sketchy knowledge from blogs or YouTube videos won’t be enough to allow someone to understand and improve technical analysis. Then, people turn to reading, trying to find the best books to learn the stock market that are available.
The best stock market books are characterised by their practicality, expertise, and ability to provide valuable insights for investors and traders. They often cover a range of topics and are authored by experienced professionals in the field. Below, you’ll see a list of 7 books and their descriptions.
1. The Art and Science of Technical Analysis: Market Structure, Price Action, and Trading Strategies
Author: Adam H. Grimes
This book is a pioneering work that connects an academic view of markets, technical analysis, and effective trading. It explores why randomness dominates markets most of the time but not always. The author focuses on how technical analysis can be used to identify statistically validated patterns in certain market conditions.
In reviews of the work, readers state that the book demolishes TA misconceptions and provides insight into the psychology of market players. The book is supported by extensive research and helps readers recognise technical patterns.
2. The Definitive Guide to Point and Figure
Author: Jeremy Du Plessis
One of the top books on stock trading is the work of Jeremy Du Plessis. This book is dedicated to technical analysis and Point and Figure charting. It includes a detailed explanation of the history and development of the technique from its invention to the present day and covers the construction of graphic patterns, the reasons for their creation, and ways of interpreting them. According to reviewers, the book provides knowledge that gives you an edge. After reading it, you will no longer look at price targets and risk-reward ratios like you used to.
3. Elliott Wave Principle: Key to Market Behavior
Authors: Robert R. Prechter Jr., A.J. Frost, Charles J. Collins
This book is a worthy reference for technical traders. It gives a good understanding of the Elliott wave principle, a form of technical analysis that traders use to analyse financial market cycles and trends. It’s not for amateurs, but experienced traders love it.
The book is rather specialised as it contains material on one narrow topic, so it’s not a complete guidebook to mastering trading. Nevertheless, it’s very informative and concentrated. Reviewers note that the book teaches readers how to apply Elliott wave theory not only on stocks but also on commodities and forex markets.
4. Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns
Author: Thomas N. Bulkowski
This book is dedicated to trading on news and significant events, including quarterly earnings announcements, retail sales, and stock upgrades and downgrades. It offers empirical data illustrating the effectiveness and ineffectiveness of the patterns.
The Bulkowski Encyclopedia has been a bestseller for a long time, and now the author has released an updated, improved version and added many new patterns and strategies, as well as updated market statistics. Everything you will read in the theoretical part is backed up with figures and calculations and validated.
5. Technical Analysis Using Multiple Timeframes
Author: Brian Shannon
This is one of the books for the stock market dedicated to many aspects of trading at once. You will learn how you may enter established trends with low risk, recognise and take advantage of cyclical capital movements in all markets, evaluate the potential of a trade using technical analysis, and much more.
Reviewers mention that it provides powerful insights into how to use different timeframes to determine trends, confirm signals, and manage risk. The book is not complicated, but it is suitable for experienced traders, as it collects and systematises a huge block of information about the market.
6. Beyond Candlesticks: New Japanese Charting Techniques Revealed
Author: Steve Nison
This book provides a detailed analysis of Japanese candlestick charting techniques and how to use them in technical analysis. It discusses how to use candlestick patterns to identify trends, confirm signals, and manage risk.
Readers value its step-by-step instructions, detailed charts and graphs, and clear guidance on tracking results. Moreover, the book helps readers understand the psychology of traders in the stock market and the logic behind their decisions.
7. Effective Trading In Financial Markets Using Technical Analysis
Authors: Ashish Kyal, Smita Roy Trivedi
Along with other books in this list, the work of Ashish Kyal and Smita Roy Trivedi explains how to use technical analysis in financial markets. It covers technical analysis tools, backtesting, and algorithmic trading in detail. It teaches readers how to use technical indicators and chart patterns, confirm signals, and manage risk.
Readers say that it’s written in simple language, and there are multiple examples, case studies, comparisons, and figures for different assets and markets. Unlike many classic trading books, this work focuses a lot on the Indian market. It will be useful to those who are interested in that region.
Final Thoughts
It’s not an easy task to list the best books for trading in the stock market. If everything is clear in terms of materials for those who are just entering the world of trading, advanced books are harder to choose.
Experts say that if you already have background knowledge, you can select books that either combine and systematise information about trading or deal with one specific area in detail. The more you read, the more experience and skills you will gain. And if you want to put your knowledge into practice, you can open an FXOpen account. Log in to the TickTrader trading platform to see real-time asset charts and try out your strategies.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
PART 4 67years back in timeWe have previously established the close relationship between the 1899-1929 period and the 1997-2028 market cycle. Various arithmetic sequences and planetary cycles that influenced the price movement during the 1899-1929 cycle are true to happen in the current cycle. As we saw in this video, the price movements already recorded obeyed the same laws as of the 1899-1929 period and would continue to do same..
Check back for PART 5 as we look at the small timeframe and possible ways we can trade the market.
Investment or Trade Mindset With ExampleNow looking to this chart, if we have long term vision then my question is "How long ?" and "Why Long?". Many of you are already familiar with technical or fundamental analysis but my point is how to discriminate your mind into two half for a same script or same sector.
Coming to the solution:
Let's know about benefits -"FAYDA". If we can then we can ride long term and short term both and by hypothetical calculation it will shock will brain like anything else.
Personally I have no interest to be biased for long term or short term. I can see only "Munafa" means profit.
It's very simple.
Step 1: For long term holding hold the script in account "A"
And for short term use different account "B"
Step 2: Well Define your long term system and short term system and place it in-front of your working table or place.
Step 3: Even for analysis use two different drawing.
Step 4: Even after doing these all your mind will disturb you. Just take a break of your screen by placing alert on your system.
I hope this can help you. Kindly let me know something that I can discuss and share with you.
In this way I am also learning.
Thank you for reading.
Charting with Elliott WavesUnderstanding how to do Technical Analysis of any chart based on Elliott Waves
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as trading advice. Multiple scenarios are possible in the real market, and there is a risk of being wrong. It is essential to consult with a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. We are not responsible for any profits or losses incurred based on this analysis.
Wave Rules:
Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1.
Wave 3 is never the shortest wave.
Wave 4 should not overlap with Wave 1's price territory, except in diagonal triangles.
Applying Elliott Wave Theory
Elliott Wave Theory is a powerful tool for traders, but it requires practice and a deep understanding of market psychology. By analyzing wave patterns, degrees, and Fibonacci relationships, traders can gain insights into potential market trends and make informed trading decisions. It is important to combine Elliott Wave analysis with other technical indicators and risk management strategies to enhance the accuracy and reliability of market forecasts.
Elliott Wave Theory provides a comprehensive framework for understanding market cycles and predicting price movements. By mastering its principles and applying them with discipline, traders can enhance their ability to navigate the financial markets and capitalize on emerging trends.
Let's understand study of this chart
Current Wave Structure
Primary Wave Count:
- The chart illustrates a completed five-wave impulse sequence (1-2-3-4-5) followed by a corrective phase.
- The primary impulse wave (labeled in red) has completed its cycle, marked by a significant peak at Wave 5.
- The subsequent corrective wave (labeled in blue as (4)) has also completed, indicating a potential beginning of a new impulse sequence.
Subwave Count:
- The internal structure of the primary waves shows clear subwaves, especially within the third wave, which is typically the strongest and longest.
- The chart depicts detailed labeling of smaller degree waves (i-ii-iii-iv-v), ensuring adherence to Elliott Wave principles.
Recent Breakout Analysis
Breakout Confirmation:
- Recently, the price has broken out from a consolidation zone, supported by increased trading volumes. This is a positive sign indicating strong market interest and momentum.
- The breakout occurred after the price retested the previous resistance level, which now acts as a support. This successful retest enhances the credibility of the breakout.
Future Projections
Impulsive Bias:
- Based on the wave structure, the stock appears to be in the early stages of a new impulse wave. This suggests a bullish outlook with potential for significant upward movement.
- The immediate target for this impulse wave is the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level at INR 2,976.60, aligning with typical Elliott Wave projections for Wave 3.
Invalidation Level:
- The nearest invalidation level for this bullish scenario is marked at INR 1,651.40. A break below this level would suggest a re-evaluation of the wave count and the current bullish bias.
Conclusion
The technical analysis of Dalmia Bharat Ltd. indicates a favorable outlook for continued upward movement, supported by a clear Elliott Wave structure and recent breakout confirmation with good volume. However, traders should monitor the invalidation level closely.
I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
ELLIOTT WAVES CHEAT SHEET 🏄♂️ 10 RulesHello, here is a cheat sheet for Elliott Waves for top 10 Rules, so you can print this out and keep on your desk.
The Elliott wave principle is a form of technical analysis that finance traders use to analyze financial market cycles and forecast market trends by identifying extremes in investor psychology, highs and lows in prices, and other collective factors. Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871–1948), a professional accountant, discovered the underlying social principles and developed the analytical tools in the 1930s. He proposed that market prices unfold in specific patterns, which practitioners today call Elliott waves, or simply waves. Elliott published his theory of market behavior in the book The Wave Principle in 1938, summarized it in a series of articles in Financial World magazine in 1939, and covered it most comprehensively in his final major work, Nature's Laws: The Secret of the Universe in 1946. Elliott stated that "because man is subject to rhythmical procedure, calculations having to do with his activities can be projected far into the future with a justification and certainty heretofore unattainable." The empirical validity of the Elliott wave principle remains the subject of debate.
Mastering Your Emotions in the Financial Markets: Essential TipsHello
Navigating the financial markets can be a rollercoaster of emotions— fear, greed, FOMO, and more. These feelings often drive irrational investment decisions. Understanding and managing these emotions is crucial for successful trading. So, how can investors sharpen their psychological edge?
One must-read book on market psychology is "Trading in the Zone" by Mark Douglas. Douglas likens a top trader to a world-class athlete, both achieving success through mental discipline and consistent systems. To help you reach this "zone," here are five valuable tips:
1. Develop a Trading Plan
A trading plan is your roadmap through the financial markets. It outlines the conditions for buying, selecting companies, and selling. By adhering to this plan, you remain accountable and avoid impulsive decisions.
2. Keep a Trading Journal
A trading journal is essential for assessing your progress and identifying areas for improvement. Document your trades, thoughts, and market observations. This self-analysis will help you refine your strategies and understand your trading psychology.
3. Set Realistic Expectations and Build Confidence
Confidence is key in trading. Confident traders take calculated risks and accept the outcomes. Build confidence by practicing on a demo account, treating it as real money, and setting achievable goals.
4. Practice Risk Management
Effective risk management is non-negotiable. Determine risk/reward ratios, use stop losses, and trade reasonable sizes. These practices safeguard your capital and ensure long-term success.
5. Consider a Trading Therapist
Yes, trading therapists exist! Like athletes with coaches, traders can benefit from psychological support. A trading therapist helps shift your mindset from emotional to logical, improving your risk management and decision-making.
Embrace these strategies to handle your emotions and enhance your trading performance. Remember, mastering market psychology is as important as understanding market trends.