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Wave Analysis

Why Learn Candlestick Patterns? Explained!👨‍🏫 1. Candlestick Chart Patterns Signal Earlier Because its patterns constitute one candle or multiple, it signals much faster than classical technical analysis such as Moving Average (MA) and chart patterns such as triangles. Early signals inform us to close our open positions or initiate a new one, and both cases are beneficial. 2. Low risk In candlestick charting techniques, the bottom of the top of the pattern acts as a support or resistance line. Compared to other charting techniques, such as classical chart patterns, the risk is much lower because you have to wait until the price breaks the support or resistance line.But, in candlestick patterns, you do not have to wait. Thus, using a candlestick chart, you can profit more by closing earlier and entering earlier. 3. Reading Candlestick Chart Is Easy Every candle or combination of candles has something to say.For example, a doji means indecision. If it appears at the end of an extended trend, it implies that the current trend has lost strength. And market participants are in an indecision moment. Thus, a counterattack is enough to change the direction. 4. Candlestick Chart Patterns Are Reliable Candlestick chart patterns are reliable if used properly. I mean that traders should look at broader pictures to make a decision on what a candlestick pattern says.For example, supporting signals should confirm a pattern. And if there is no confirmation, it is better to avoid trading. 5. Learning Candlestick Charting Is Easy Learning candlestick chart techniques is easy due to the body and shadows of candles. Any size of tails and candles transfers a meaning. For example, a long body without shadows indicates that drivers are potent, and 4-price doji means that bulls and bears are equal in power. 6. Candles Can Help Other Techniques You can use candles with every other tool and technique. It is complementary to technical indicators and confirms their signals. 7. Studying Charts Become Easier Learning history is easy with candlesticks. For example, if you want to study the GDP impacts on a specific financial asset, you can find all of them and conclude. 8. Candlestick Charting Is the Best Option For Day traders Day traders open and close their position on the same day. So, they need technical analysis that triggers signals quicker to initiate a new one or close their current position.Candlestick patterns signals faster than any other. The disadvantage of Candlestick Chart Patterns Everything has good and bad sides. Candlestick chart is no exception. Probably the biggest disadvantage of candlestick chart patterns is that they do not define take-profit level. However, you offset it by using other tools such as Fibonacci retracement. As mentioned earlier, you can combine candles with other techniques to validate your analysis. Final Words Candlestick chart analysis is a great method for the examination of financial assets.The best way to use it is to combine it with other tools and experiences.
Education
by TopTradingSignals
8
WHAT'S THE NEXT LEVEL WE WILL SEE ON LKR ( LANKAN RUPEES )?Check out the trade plan for USDLKR today based on the technical analysis. Hope this analysis is useful, make sure to hit the thumbs and also follow my tradingview profile for future updates. Thank you! We have seen an 83% of boost in the USD/LKR Pair since March 2022. Here I have attached the chart and update for reference👇🏻 Sri Lanka pegged in both directions in March amid ‘float’ ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s central bank bought 196 million US dollars in March from commercial banks and sold 207 million dollars in a pegged exchange rate, despite an attempt made to shift to a floating regime, official data shows. The weekly timeframe is holding a distribution zone on the top after the massive breakthrough in March. Price is under control inside the distribution zone. We are required to confirm the direction with a clean breakout confirmation on price action. Check the chart below 👇🏻 By any chance, if the price confirms a bullish breakout on the distribution, then we have a greater chance of seeing these targeted price levels on the USD/LKR pair. There is no specific timeframe to achieve these targets and we have to wait for confirmation. Check the chart below 👇🏻 On a bearish breakout, we will see a correction close to 50% on the bullish trend formed. Check the chart below 👇🏻
Education
by traderchamp_
Elliott Wave DegreesRalph Nelson Elliott acknowledged 9 degrees of waves from the Grand Super Cycle degree which is found in weekly and monthly time frame to the Sub-minute degree which is found in the hourly time frame. He labelled them as below mentioned. 1 Grand Super Cycle 2 Super Cycle 3 Cycle 4 Primary 5 Intermediate 6 Minor 7 Minute 8 Minuette 9 Sub-Minuette It is a good understanding to start applying a wave count to a market from higher degree to all the way lower degree which you want to trade. you need to first learn about the labeling of wave degrees. Elliott Wave is a very helpful to understand the charts of any assets. the waves from the main degree are subdivided into intermediate waves which also subdivided into minor waves and the minor waves are also subdivided into minutes waves and then to sub-minutte waves, each degree of waves consists of one full cycle of motive and corrective waves. each degree of trend is labelled with a different style of label for a better understanding. If you want to trade in 4H so then you will look for and count the monthly, weekly and the daily charts is will. Hope you understand the concept of wave degrees.
Education
by TheLoserMan
Series 1 of 2: Can Turtles be Successful Traders Once Again? Flashback: I’m a novice trader in the early 1990’s and I’m hooked. Like most novice traders, I begin to mentally spend my trading profits through visions of exotic cars, mansions and trips to places I cannot pronounce. Two years into trading for my own account, I lost a lot of money. The amounts those losses totaled will remain unmentioned for fear my wife may read this post one day. But in my defense, it was not my fault. That dubious distinction belonged to two men I had never met. Their guilt was undeniable....in my mind. Those men were Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt. You see, in the 1980’s Dennis and Eckhardt decided to hatch an experiment (more on that in a moment). Let’s start with a brief background of these two co-conspirators. Richard Dennis in the 1980’s was regarded as one of, if not the best, traders in the world. You can use the Google machine to read all about these guys, but suffice to say, He was a legend. Dennis started out with a $5,000 account balance, and turned it into a $100 Million. Yeah...you read that right. William Eckhardt was a mathematician, and a trader, who like RN Elliott, developed a thesis of using probabilistic outcomes in commodity pits at the Chicago Merc. I imagine Dennis to be the Trader, and Eckhardt to be the rules-process based mathematician. Although Eckhardt did average just under 20% per year, for over 20 years. That type of consistency is as probabilistic as Dennis’ rocket ride to riches. Ok back to the experiment. Their constant debates regarding their individual trading successes turned into somewhat of a bet/experiment. Dennis believed anyone could be taught to trade for profit successfully, whereas Eckhardt believed that Dennis (in all his success) was unique. That he possessed some sort of superhero DNA for trading. Dennis initially recruited 18 individuals and only spent 2 weeks training them his methods. I’ll let you research all the details of the Turtles but suffice to say in five years they generated an aggregate total of $175 Million in profits. Now, as reasonable reader here on Trading View, I’m sure you can see why I faulted Dennis and Eckhardt for my initial losses. Clearly, I was sold an outcome that had no probability of success in reality. But in all seriousness, I think about those early days from time to time. I think about the audacity of the experiment, and the success story that followed. How inspired I was back then. However, the truth of the matter is these two gentlemen had as much to do with my losses as I had to do with their turtles' successes. ZERO. Nothing...NADA. Therein lies the first rule of trading I learned. Take personal responsibility for your losses. I only say losses because most novice traders are quick to tell stories of their successful trades. It’s the management of losses that make a good trader, not the wins. Yes, I do believe average people can be taught to trade successfully over long periods of time. Trading is hard work. I’m sure there are those out there that will comment and say, look at me, I’m knocking out of the park. My response to those individuals is, I’m truly am happy for you. But to minimize trading success to something that is easy is misleading, and potentially harmful to novice traders who may mentally spend their future easy winnings on exotic cars, mansions and travel. Only to find out the hard way, that what Momma said so many years ago is still true today. THERE ARE NO GET RICH QUICK SCHEMES. Richard Dennis ultimately flamed out and quit trading for the public after losing most of his clients investments in the crash of 1987. So, how can anyone learn to become a successful trader? You need to have the mindset of a Richard Dennis, while simultaneously having the skepticism but academic approach of a William Eckhardt. Part II of this series will be a detailed list of the things that I have learned since my early days being introduced to Dennis and Eckhardt’s teachings and how they have helped me trade for profit. Best to all, Chris
FTX:SOLUSDEducation
by maikisch
13
Trading Basics | How to Identify The Market Trend 📈📉 Hey traders, In this article, we will discuss a proven price action based way to identify the market trend. ❗️And let me note, before we start, that no matter what strategy do you use in your trading, you should always know where the market is going and what is the current trend. Your judgement should be based on strict and objective rules that proved its accuracy. There are a lot of ways to identify the market trend. One of the simplest and efficient ones is price action based method. This method relies on impulse legs. The market never goes just straight up or down, the price action always has a zigzag shape with a set of impulses and retracements. The impulse leg is a strong directional movement, while the retracement is the correctional movement within the boundaries of the impulse. 📈The market is trading in a bullish trend if 3 conditions are met: 1️⃣the price forms an initial bullish impulse, 2️⃣retraces, setting a higher low, 3️⃣then starts growing again and sets a new high with the second bullish impulse. Once these 3 conditions are met, we consider the market to be bullish, and we expect a bullish continuation in such a manner. 📉The market is trading in a bearish trend if 3 following conditions are met: 1️⃣the price forms an initial bearish impulse, 2️⃣retraces, setting a lower high, 3️⃣then drops lower and sets a new low with the second bearish impulse. Once these 3 conditions are met, we consider the market to be bearish, and we expect a bearish trend continuation. ➖The third state of the market is called consolidation. The market is trading in a consolidation if the conditions for bullish or bearish trend are not met. The price chaotically forms bullish and bearish impulses, usually trading within the range. Knowing the current trend, one always knows whether a current trading position is trend-following or counter trend, or it is a sideways consolidation trade. Learn these simple rules and try to identify the market trend with them. ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
9
Elliott Wave Cheat SheetAlthough Elliott Wave Theory is vast subject and needs in depth study, I'm sharing a cheat sheet for those who have started to learn about the same. This should help them in understanding things better. Also, try to correlate the cheat sheet with Nifty50 daily chart and be amazed to see how nicely the Elliott wave principles were followed there in the recent wave. At the same time, please use discretion while following this cheat sheet as this sheet covers only the basic aspects of Elliott Wave principles. Keep (l)earning and keep sharing!!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by MalayKJ
3
An idea for managing transactionsThis idea helps you to know how control your positions either in profit or loss . We will tell you when you can close your position in profit and how to manage your position in loss by decreasing entry price It's all about money management that we will teach you Our strategy based on : Price action Divergence Golden EMA crosses Conversion line and base line cross Zone of buy and sell Most importantly money management We wish you could connect to circle of abundance and making a lot of money
Education
by mahababaji203
2
Wyckoffian logicWhen you understand the Wyckoffian phases of the market, you can determine when to be in or out of the market. You begin to understand how the large accounts determining market the trend, change of trend and price action. Wyckoff Phases of Accumulation Phase A: In phase A, supply has been dominant and it appears that finally the exhaustion of supply is becoming evident. The approaching exhaustion of supply or selling is evidenced in preliminary support (PS) and the selling climax (SC) where a widening spread often climaxed and where heavy volume or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests. Once these intense selling pressures have been expressed, and automatic rally (AR) follows the selling climax. A successful secondary test on the downside shows less selling that on the SC and with a narrowing of spread and decreased volume. A successful secondary test (ST) should stop around the same price level as the selling climax. The lows of the SC and the ST and the high of the AR set the boundaries of the trading range (TR). Horizontal lines may be drawn to help focus attention on market behavior. It is possible that phase A will not include a dramatic expansion in spread and volume. However, it is better if it does, because the more dramatic selling will clear out more of the sellers and pave the way for a more pronounced and sustained markup. Where a TR represents a reaccumulation (a TR within a continuing up-move), you will not have evidence of PS, SC, and ST. Instead, phase A will look more like phase A of the basic Wyckoff distribution schematic. Nonetheless, phase A still represents the area where the stopping of the previous trend occurs. Trading range phases B through E generally unfold in the same manner as within an initial base area of accumulation. Phase B: The function of phase B is to build a cause in preparation for the next effect. In phase B, supply and demand are for the most part in equilibrium and there is no decisive trend. Although clues to the future course of the market are usually more mixed and elusive, some useful generalizations can be made. In the early stages of phase B, the price swings tend to be rather wide, and volume is usually greater and more erratic. As the TR unfolds, supply becomes weaker and demand stronger as professionals are absorbing supply. The closer you get to the end or to leaving the TR, the more volume tends to diminish. Support and resistance lines usually contain the price action in phase B and will help define the testing process that is to come in phase C. The penetrations or lack of penetrations of the TR enable us to judge the quantity and quality of supply and demand. Phase C:In phase C, the stock goes through testing. It is during this testing phase that the smart money operators ascertain whether the stock is ready to enter the markup phase. The stock may begin to come out of the TR on the upside with higher tops and bottoms or it may go through a downside spring or shakeout by first breaking previous supports before the upward climb begins. This latter test is preferred by traders because it does a better job of cleaning out the remaining supply of weak holders and creates a false impression as to the direction of the ultimate move. A spring is a price move below the support level of a trading range that quickly reverses and moves back into the range. It is an example of a bear trap because the drop below support appears to signal resumption of the downtrend. In reality, though, the drop marks the end of the downtrend, thus trapping the late sellers, or bears. The extent of supply, or the strength of the sellers, can be judged by the depth of the price move to new lows and the relative level of volume in that penetration. Until this testing process, you cannot be sure the TR is accumulation and hence you must wait to take a position until there is sufficient evidence that markup is about to begin. If we have waited and followed the unfolding TR closely, we have arrived at the point where we can be quite confident of the probable upward move. With supply apparently exhausted and our danger point pinpointed, our likelihood of success is good and our reward/risk ratio favorable. Phase D:If we are correct in our analysis and our timing, what should follow now is the consistent dominance of demand over supply as evidenced by a pattern of advances (SOSs) on widening price spreads and increasing volume, and reactions (LPSs) on smaller spreads and diminishing volumes. If this pattern does not occur, then we are advised not to add to our position but to look to close out our original position and remain on the sidelines until we have more conclusive evidence that the markup is beginning. If the markup of your stock progresses as described to this point, then you’ll have additional opportunities to add to your position. Your aim here must be to initiate a position or add to your position as the stock or commodity is about to leave the TR. At this point, the force of accumulation has built a good potential as measured by the Wyckoff point-and-figure method. In phase D, the markup phase blossoms as professionals begin to move into the stock. It is here that our best opportunities to add to our position exist, just as the stock leaves the TR. Phase E: Depicts the unfolding of the uptrend; the stock or commodity leaves the trading range and demand is in control. Sell offs are usually feeble. Wyckoff Accumulation Events PS: Preliminary support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a prolonged down-move. Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end. SC: Selling climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually climaxes, as heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. Often price will close well off the low in a SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests. AR: Automatic rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly diminished. A wave of buying easily pushes prices up; this is further fueled by short covering. The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation TR. ST: Secondary test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand balance at these levels. If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be significantly diminished as the market approaches support in the area of the SC. It is common to have multiple STs after a SC. Shakeouts: (and or Springs) usually occur late within a TR and allow the stock’s dominant players to make a definitive test of available supply before a markup campaign unfolds. A “spring” takes price below the low of the TR and then reverses to close within the TR; this action allows large interests to mislead the public about the future trend direction and to acquire additional shares at bargain prices. A terminal shakeout at the end of an accumulation TR is like a spring on steroids. Shakeouts may also occur once a price advance has started, with rapid downward movement intended to induce retail traders and investors in long positions to sell their shares to large operators. However, springs and terminal shakeouts are not required elements.. Test: Large operators always test the market for supply throughout a TR (e.g., STs and springs) and at key points during a price advance. If considerable supply emerges on a test, the market is often not ready to be marked up. A spring is often followed by one or more tests; a successful test (indicating that further price increases will follow) typically makes a higher low on diminished volume. SOS: Sign of strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. Often a SOS takes place after a spring, validating the analyst’s interpretation of the prior price action. LPS: Last point of support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after a SOS. Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistance, on diminished spread and volume. On some charts, there may be more than one LPS, despite the ostensibly singular precision of this term. BU: Back-up. This term is short-hand for a colorful metaphor coined by Robert Evans, one of the leading teachers of the Wyckoff method from the 1930s to the 1960s. Evans analogized the SOS to a “jump across the creek” of price resistance, and the “back up to the creek” represented both short-term profit-taking and a test for additional supply around the area of resistance. A back-up is a common structural element preceding a more substantial price mark-up, and can take on a variety of forms, including a simple pullback or a new TR at a higher level. Wyckoff Phases of Distribution Phase A: In Phase A, demand has been dominant and the first significant evidence of demand becoming exhausted comes at preliminary supply (PSY) and at the buying climax (BC). It often occurs in wide price spread and at climactic volume. This is usually followed by an automatic reaction (AR) and then a secondary test (ST) of the BC, usually upon diminished volume. This is essentially the inverse of phase A in accumulation. As with accumulation, phase A in distribution price may also end without climactic action; the only evidence of exhaustion of demand is diminishing spread and volume. Where redistribution is concerned (a trading range within a larger continuing down-move), you will see the stopping of a down-move with or without climactic action in phase A. However, in the remainder of the trading range (TR) for redistribution, the guiding principles and analysis within phases B through E will be the same as within a TR of a distribution market top. Phase B: The building of the cause takes place during phase B. The points to be made here about phase B are the same as those made for phase B within accumulation, except clues may begin to surface here of the supply/demand balance moving toward supply instead of demand. Phase C: One of the ways phase C reveals itself after the standoff in phase B is by the sign of weakness (SOW). The SOW is usually accompanied by significantly increased spread and volume to the downside that seem to break the standoff in phase B the SOW may or may not “fall through the ice,” but the subsequent rally back to a “last point of supply” (LPSY), is usually unconvincing for the bullish case and likely to be accompanied by less spread and/or volume. Last point of supply gives you your last opportunity to exit any remaining longs and your first inviting opportunity to exit any remaining longs and your first inviting opportunity to take a short position. An even better place would be on the rally that tests LPSY, because it may give more evidence (diminished spread and volume) and/or a more tightly defined danger point. An upthrust is the opposite of a spring. It is a price move above the resistance level of a trading range that quickly reverses itself and moves back into the trading range. An upthrust is a bull trap — it appears to signal a start of an uptrend but in reality marks the end of the up-move. The magnitude of the upthrust can be determined by the extent of the price move to new highs and the relative level of volume in that movement. Phase C may also reveal itself by a pronounced move upward, breaking through the highs of the trading range. This is shown as an upthrust after distribution (UTAD). Like the terminal shakeout in the accumulation schematic, this gives a false impression of the direction of the market and allows further distribution at high prices to new buyers. It also results in weak holders of short positions surrendering their positions to stronger players just before the down-move begins. Should the move to new high ground be on increasing volume and relative narrowing spread, and price returns to the average level of closes of the TR, this would indicate lack of solid demand and confirm that the breakout to the upside did not indicate a TR of accumulation, but rather a formation of distribution. Successful understanding and analysis of a trading range enables traders to identify special trading opportunities with potentially very favorable reward/risk parameters. When analyzing a trading range, we are first seeking to uncover what the law of supply and demand is revealing to us. However, when individual movements, rallies, or reactions are not revealing with respect to supply and demand, it is important to remember the law of effort versus result. By comparing rallies and reactions within the trading range to each other in terms of price spread, volume, and time, additional clues may be discovered as to the stock’s strength, position, and probable future course. It will also be useful to employ the law of cause and effect. Within the dynamics of a trading range, the force of accumulation or distribution gives us the cause and the potential opportunity for substantial trading profits. The trading range will also give us the ability, with the use of point-and-figure charts, to project the extent of the eventual move out of the trading range and will help us determine if those trading opportunities favorably meet or exceed our reward/risk parameters. Phase D: Phase D arrives and reveals itself after the tests in phase C show us the last gasps or the last hurrah of demand. In phase D, the evidence of supply becoming dominant increases either with a break through the ice or with a further SOW into the trading range after an upthrust. In phase D, you are also given more evidence of the probable direction of the market and the opportunity to take your first or additional short positions. Your best opportunities are at rallies representing LPSYs before a markdown cycle begins. Your legging in of the set of positions taken within phases C and D represents a calculated approach to protect capital and maximize profit. It is important that additional short positions be added or pyramided only if your initial positions are in profit. Phase E: Depicts the unfolding of the downtrend; the stock or commodity leaves the trading range and supply is in control. Rallies are usually feeble. Wyckoff Distribution Events PSY: Preliminary supply, where large interests begin to unload shares in quantity after a pronounced up-move. Volume expands and price spread widens, signaling that a change in trend may be approaching. BC: Buying climax, during which there are often marked increases in volume and price spread. The force of buying reaches a climax, and heavy or urgent buying by the public is being filled by professional interests at prices near a top. A BC often occurs coincident with a great earnings report or other good news, since the large operators require huge demand from the public to sell their shares without depressing the stock price. AR: Automatic reaction. With demand substantially diminished after the BC and heavy supply continuing, an AR takes place. The low of this selloff helps define the lower boundary of a distribution TR. ST: Secondary test, in which price revisits the area of the BC to test the demand/supply balance at these price levels. If a top is to be confirmed, supply will outweigh demand, and volume and spread should decrease as price approaches the resistance area of the BC. A ST may take the form of an upthrust (UT), in which price moves above the resistance represented by the BC and possibly other STs, then quickly reverses to close below resistance. After a UT, price often tests the lower boundary of the TR. SOW: Sign of weakness, observable as a down-move to (or slightly past) the lower boundary of the TR, usually occurring on increased spread and volume. The AR and the initial SOW(s) indicate a change of character in the price action of the stock: supply is now dominant. LPSY: Last point of supply. After testing support on a SOW, a feeble rally on narrow spread shows that the market is having difficulty advancing. This inability to rally may be due to weak demand, substantial supply or both. LPSYs represent exhaustion of demand and the last waves of large operators’ distribution before markdown begins in earnest. UTAD: Upthrust after distribution. A UTAD is the distributional counterpart to the spring and terminal shakeout in the accumulation TR. It occurs in the latter stages of the TR and provides a definitive test of new demand after a breakout above TR resistance. Analogous to springs and shakeouts, a UTAD is not a required structural element: the TR in Distribution. AR - Automatic rally or reaction BC - Buying Climax BOI - Backing upto ice BTI - Breaking the ice BUEC - Backup to edge of creek CREEK - Critical support FTI - First time over ice ICE - Critical resistance JAC - Jumping across the creek (or JOC) LPS - Last point of Support (Demand) LPSY - Last point of Supply MD - Mark down MU - Mark up PS - Preliminary support (Demand) PSY - Preliminary supply SOS - Sign of strength SOW - sign of weakness ST - Secondary test TSO - Terminal shake out (Spring) TUT - Terminal thrust UTAD - Up thrust after distribution SC - Selling Climax TR - Trading Range UT - Up thrust Best regards EXCAVO
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by EXCAVO
95
GOLD - The Entire Wave Caught 🔥In March this year, we posted a higher timeframe analysis where we identified that price was in wave 4 and that we were in an ABC correction. See full post below: Once we identified where we are in the wave sequence, it just came down to counting the waves correctly and trading according to our trading rules. We know that Wave C consists of 5 waves and follows the impulse schematic. Waves 1, 3 and 5 have 5 waves. Waves 2 and 4 have 3 waves. Ofcourse there are complexities where there are variations of waves within waves. However, once you understand the fundamental, you can slowly work your way down to lower timeframe and know whats next. That is exactly what we did. We followed the basic fundamental rules of Elliott Waves and worked our way through the entire wave C. How do we enter? Our entries are almost always trendline break entries. A trendline break tells us that momentum is shifting in the other direction and there are strict parameters for entry and stoploss which we don't deviate from. Entry: Break of trendline Bullish entry stoploss: below the candles once trendline breaks Bearish entry stoploss: above the candles before the trendline breaks If you go through the ideas in the chart, you will see that our entry is almost always trendline break entries. People may say trendlines do not work - sometimes it doesn't... if not used correctly. We mostly use trendlines when a correction is already formed. Using a trendline here to catch the breakout is perfect. The market isn't static. Things change. You will see that whilst the overall analysis remained the same, the lower timeframe analysis changed as moves overextend and its our job as traders to adapt to these changes. Do let us know what you think. As always, trade safe!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by WicktatorFX
19
ELLiOTT WAVE DIAGONAL Motive Wave: DIAGONAL Rules:All diagonals consist of 5 waves Diagonals can be ‘leading’ or ‘ending’ diagonals, depending on whether they form at the start or end of a trend. Diagonals therefore can only form in the positions of wave 1 (leading) or 5 (ending) of an impulse, or the positions of wave A (leading) or C (ending) of a zigzag . Within an ending diagonal , all 5 waves must be zigzags (simple-, double-, and triple-zigzags are all valid) Within a leading diagonal , at least waves 2 and 4 must be zigzags (simple-, double-, and triple-zigzags are all valid). Waves 1, 3 and 5 can be impulses or zigzags. (If 1, 3, and 5 are impulses, be aware that it could easily be a 1-2, 1-2, 1-2 sequence instead of a diagonal) Wave 2 must not retrace more than 100% of wave 1 Wave 4 must overlap with wave 1(please note that opinions differ over this rule. There are some Elliott Wave researchers who believe that ending and leading diagonals can be valid without wave 4 needing to move into territory of wave 1, although they still consider it unusual) Wave 4 never moves beyond the end of wave 2 Leading and expanding diagonals must not have a truncated 5th wave. Contracting diagonals always have a shorter wave 3 than wave 1 (in terms of percentage gain/loss) Contracting diagonals always have a shorter wave 5 than wave 3 (in terms of percentage gain/loss) Contracting diagonals always have a shorter wave 4 than wave 2 (in terms of percentage gain/loss) Expanding diagonals always have a longer wave 3 than wave 1 (in terms of percentage gain/loss) Expanding diagonals always have a longer wave 5 than wave 3 (in terms of percentage gain/loss) Expanding diagonals always have a longer wave 4 than wave 2 (in terms of percentage gain/loss) Guidelines: Contracting diagonals form within two converging trend lines (contracting wedge ) Contracting diagonals can overshoot its trend line during wave 5 (called throw-over) and still be valid as long as wave 5 remains smaller than wave 3 Contracting ending diagonals can also undershoot its trend line during wave 5 (truncation). Contracting ending diagonals should always show a corresponding decrease in momentum as they progress towards their culmination. Many small candles that take a lot of time to gain further ground is a good sign that an ending diagonal is indeed occurring. Conversely, strong big candles within a potential diagonal formation should be a warning sign that you are probably witnessing a 1-2, 1-2, 1-2 extension of the trend, and therefore not an ending diagonal . Expanding diagonals form within two diverging trend lines (expanding wedge ). They are more rare than contracting diagonals Wave 2 and 4 of any diagonal very often retrace their wave 1 and 3 much deeper when compared to wave 2 and 4 of impulses The internal zigzags of any diagonal can sometimes subdivide into more complex double or triple zigzags Any diagonal can begin to be confirmed with higher certainty once wave 4 is close to being complete Diagonals are more rare in general (although they do occur quite frequently within sub-waves of very small wave degrees that are visible on timescales of M15 and lower) If wave 1 is a leading diagonal , wave 3 is usually extended. A place to watch out for potential expanding leading diagonals is at the start of stock market declines (due to the opposing forces that are in play during this transitional period). Diagonals occur because of transitory forces of trend changes act against each other Ending diagonals are followed by a strong reversal most of the time Elliott Wave and Fibonacci Retracement with Extension Guidelines: Refer to image for key retracements and extension targets Correctiv
Education
by Mr16K
LEARN HARMONIC PATTERNS TRADING | ABCD PATTERN 🔰 Hey traders, Harmonic ABCD pattern is a classic reversal pattern. This pattern is composed of 3 main elements (based on wicks of the candles): 1️⃣ AB leg 2️⃣ BC leg 3️⃣ CD leg The pattern is considered to be bullish if AB leg is bearish. The pattern is considered to be bearish if AB leg is bullish. AB leg must be a strong movement without corrections within. A is its initial point and B is its completion point. BC leg is a correctional movement from B point after a completion of AB leg. The price may fluctuate within that. B is its initial point and C is its completion point. CD leg must be a strong movement without corrections within. C is its initial point and D is its completion point. ❗️ABCD movement is harmonic if the length and the time horizon of AB and CD legs are equal. By the length, I mean a price change from A to B point and from C to D point. By the time, I mean a time ranges of AB leg and CD leg. If the time and length of AB and CD legs are equal, the pattern is considered to be harmonic, and a reversal will be expected from D point at least to B point. 🛑If the pattern is bullish, stop loss must be placed below D point. 🛑If the pattern is bearish, stop loss is placed above D point. Initial target level is B point. Usually, after reaching a B point the market returns to a global trend. What pattern do you want to learn in the next post? ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
10
Wyckoff Schematics broken downBack last year I posted an educational post on the Wyckoff Distribution schematic I was seeing on Bitcoin. This was the logic behind the "Rocket Call" back last March. It was knowing where to search for an accumulation (which it was not) or a distribution. There are a couple of tell tail signs outside of Wyckoff literature that can assist in knowing which is which for various reasons (not for this post). So at the 60k marker first time around, I could see the logic for a Distribution and it revealed it's hand very early on. I wrote this educational post around the topic. Knowing Wyckoff - it's more to do with human psychology than technical analysis - many people said at the time, oh it's 100 years old, can't work in crypto etc, etc. Unfortunately as the human race, we are getting dumber and dumber, making these schematics almost more valuable in today's markets. After we had our move "Rocket" post. I covered another educational post hinting at the accumulation phase - naturally, the price drops and rises as the waves. In this post I covered the key for the terminology used in these schematics. Below you will see some info on the phases of an accumulation schematic. Accumulation Schematic Phase A The selling force decreases, and the downtrend starts to slow down. This phase is usually marked by an increase in trading volume. The Preliminary Support (PS) indicates that some buyers are showing up, but still not enough to stop the downward move. The Selling Climax (SC) is formed by an intense selling activity as investors capitulate. This is often a point of high volatility, where panic selling creates big candlesticks and wicks. The strong drop quickly reverts into a bounce or Automatic Rally (AR), as the excessive supply is absorbed by the buyers. In general, the trading range (TR) of an Accumulation Schematic is defined by the space between the SC low and the AR high. As the name suggests, the Secondary Test (ST) happens when the market drops near the SC region, testing whether the downtrend is really over or not. At this point, the trading volume and market volatility tend to be lower. While the ST often forms a higher low in relation to the SC, that may not always be the case. Phase B Based on Wyckoff’s Law of Cause and Effect, Phase B may be seen as the Cause that leads to an Effect. Essentially, Phase B is the consolidation stage, in which the Composite Man accumulates the highest number of assets. During this stage, the market tends to test both resistance and support levels of the trading range. There may be numerous Secondary Tests (ST) during Phase B. In some cases, they may produce higher highs (bull traps) and lower lows (bear traps) in relation to the SC and AR of the Phase A. Phase C A typical Accumulation Phase C contains what is called a Spring. It often acts as the last bear trap before the market starts making higher lows. During Phase C, the Composite Man ensures that there is little supply left in the market, i.e., the ones that were to sell already did. The Spring often breaks the support levels to stop out traders and mislead investors. We may describe it as a final attempt to buy shares at a lower price before the uptrend starts. The bear trap induces retail investors to give up their holdings. In some cases, however, the support levels manage to hold, and the Spring simply does not occur. In other words, there may be Accumulation Schematics that present all other elements but not the Spring. Still, the overall scheme continues to be valid. Phase D The Phase D represents the transition between the Cause and Effect. It stands between the Accumulation zone (Phase C) and the breakout of the trading range (Phase E). Typically, the Phase D shows a significant increase in trading volume and volatility. It usually has a Last Point Support (LPS), making a higher low before the market moves higher. The LPS often precedes a breakout of the resistance levels, which in turn creates higher highs. This indicates Signs of Strength (SOS), as previous resistances become brand new supports. Despite the somewhat confusing terminology, there may be more than one LPS during Phase D. They often have increased trading volume while testing the new support lines. In some cases, the price may create a small consolidation zone before effectively breaking the bigger trading range and moving to Phase E. Phase E The Phase E is the last stage of an Accumulation Schematic. It is marked by an evident breakout of the trading range, caused by increased market demand. This is when the trading range is effectively broken, and the uptrend starts. There is an awful lot more when it comes to understanding Wyckoff - such as volume, but it is too much to put in a handful of posts. These posts are done to give you an insight into trading Wyckoff. Another useful post on this topic is this below; People tend to look at Wyckoff on a Tick chart, a 1min or 15 minute chart - the same rules apply and are potentially more beneficial and applicable on the higher timeframes, seeing a weekly move play out in terms of a schematic could take several months. It's all about knowing what to look for. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
25
WHAT IS BULL TRAP?📊 ⚠️A bull trap is a false signal about an uptrend in stocks, indices or other stock assets, in which, after an impressive rally, the rate reverses and breaks through the previous support level. Such a change seems to "catch" traders or investors who acted on a buy signal, and brings losses on long positions. A bull trap can also be called a "saw" trend. The opposite of a bull trap is a "bear trap", it occurs when sellers cannot push the price below the resistance level. ❗️A bull trap is a reversal of the exchange rate, due to which market participants hoping for an opposite price movement close positions with unexpected losses. ❗️Bull traps occur when buyers fail to continue the rally that has broken through the resistance level. ❗️Traders and investors may fall into bull traps less often if they analyze the probability of further growth after the breakdown using technical indicators and/or divergence patterns. ✅The essence of the concept ⏺A bull trap occurs when a trader or investor buys an asset that has broken through the resistance level – a generally accepted strategy based on technical analysis. Although there is often a rapid growth of the exchange rate after the breakdown, the price can quickly change direction. This situation is called a "bull trap" – traders and investors who bought the breakdown are "caught" in a trading "trap". ⏺It can be avoided if you observe additional signs of a level breakdown. In particular, the growth of above-average trading volume and the appearance of bullish candles after the breakdown can confirm that the price is likely to continue to rise. And a breakdown in which the volume decreases, or candlesticks with a small body – for example, the doji star – may be signs of a bull trap. ⏺From the point of view of psychology, bull traps occur when bulls are unable to continue the rally after the breakdown of the level, this may be due to the lack of momentum and/or profit taking. Bears, if they see discrepancies, may seize the opportunity to sell the asset and thereby push prices below the resistance level, which may trigger stop-loss orders. ⏺The best way to deal with bull traps is to recognize warning signs in advance, such as a low breakdown volume, and exit the deal as soon as possible. Stop losses, especially if the market is moving fast, can help in this and prevent you from making a decision under the influence of emotions. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
8
Zigzags (5-3-5) on BTCUSDZigzags (5-3-5) Zigzags and their complex combinations are the only corrective patterns which can temporarily “resemble” Impulsive patterns. To avoid misinterpretation, very specific limits must be placed on zigzag behavior. Below are the minimum requirements which allow a pattern to be categorized as a zigzag: The A-wave should not retrace more than 61.8% of the previous impulse wave of one larger degree (if present). The B-wave should retrace at least 1% of wave A. Wave-C should move, even if only slightly, beyond the end of wave A. If the wave group has followed these three minimum parameters, it is time to check to adherence to the maximum limits imposed on the B-wave of a zigzag: No part of wave B should retrace more than 61.8% of wave A. If a part of wave B retraces more than 61.8% of wave A, that part will not be the end of wave B. It is likely to be the first segment of a more complex correction for wave B. The end of wave B will complete at 61.8% of wave A or less. The deciding factor for categorizing a zigzag formation is the length of the C-wave: If the C-wave is less than 61.8% of wave A, this is a truncated zigzag. If the C-wave is between 61.8% and 161.8% of wave A (inclusive), this is a normal zigzag. If the C-wave is more than 161.8% of wave A this an elongated zigzag (be careful with this pattern, it could be part of an impulse wave). Truncated zigzag This is quite a rare zigzag variation. To be justified, this formation must meet the following criteria: Wave C cannot be shorter than 38.2% of wave A but should be less than 61.8% of wave A. After completion of the zigzag, the market must retrace at least 81% of the entire zigzag, and preferably, it should retrace 100% or more. This will confirm the counter-trend strength indicated by the extremely short C- wave. A truncated zigzag will most likely be found as one of the five sub-waves of a Triangle, oras a segment of one of the sub-waves of a Triangle Normal zigzag In a normal zigzag, the C-wave can be from 61.8% to 161.8% of wave A. To identify this pattern, it should satisfy the below conditions: Wave B must not retrace more than 61.8% of wave A. Wave C should be at least 61.8% but less than 161.8% of wave A. Elongated zigzag An elongated zigzag is characterized by an oversized C-wave, that is why it temporarily resemble impulsive activity. An elongated zigzag is the best imitator of impulsive behavior. This makes them very difficult to recognize while they are unfolding. Usually, they can be only confirmed after they have completed. When the third wave in a sequence is more than 161.8% of the first wave, the pattern is likely to be the first three waves in a five-wave impulse, rather than an elongated zigzag. The retracement following the third wave helps to decide between the two different patterns. After an elongated zigzag, the price should reverse and retrace more than 61.8% of the C-wave before the end of the C-wave is exceeded. If these conditions are met, the pattern is likely to be an elongated zigzag, if the conditions are not met, there is likely to be forming an impulse pattern.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by behzadasghari1
1