PEPE - This is why price explode - Speed Index ReadingThere is always a reason why price explodes either true or fake. The criteria to look at are:
- Location - very important - where is the price locate - higher probability trades accomplished when the price leaves a significant location such us Fib, Sup/Res, AVWAP
- The volume waves - nothing moves without volume - sometimes is not so visible by the volume waves alone because they distribute or accumulate little by little, that's why we have Speed Index
- Reading Speed Index
- The proper entry signal
In the attached chart I will demonstrate how I read it using the above criteria (annotations are in sync with the chart):
1. Price entering Fib Area 50-61.8 - possibility of buyers to come in
2. Price touching AVWAP (three blue lines) coming from the bottom of a previous swing acting as resistance - another possibility of buyers to come in.
3. Speed Index 6.4, that's an abnormal speed index , that what I call first push up or PU, price never drops below the beginning of this wave
4. Speed Index 11.1, that's another abnormal speed index and that's what I call a hard to move down (HTMD) . What's happening here is that all the sell orders are absorbed by buy orders and price breaks on the up wave the origin of the HTMD wave.
5. Finally the entry Long with a PRL (Plutus Reversal Long) signal an up,up,up, we go!!!
I hope my years of work helps you out on reading charts!
Enjoy!
Wave Analysis
LTC Long - Learn to read Weis Wave with SI- Target hit overnightLearning to read the chart using Weis Wave with Speed Index will help you understand how the market works. Speed Index is very valuable to understand if there is absorption happening in the market. Remember that absorption takes time, it takes hours or sometimes days, so you have to be patient. In this chart I will explain how to read this 1HR LTC chart using Speed Index and why we had this explosion in price. I have entered long (my target was hit overnight). Annotations on chart are in sync with my below notes.
Reading:
1. We had a high volume down move (buyers could be in there but I am not sure yet)
2. We have touched 50-61.8 Fib area - If buyers would like to enter this is a great area.
3. Speed Index 29 that's an Abnormal Speed Index. Why is it abnormal? Because at that time the average Speed Index of 30 waves back was 15. I call this as the first Push or the first absorption. Buyers are entering.
4. Speed Index 78.7 another abnormal SI -> more buying
5. Speed Index 37 on a down wave that's what I call a HTMD (Hard to move down) more buying and finally a PL (Plutus Long signal) breaking by a bit the previous resistance level. This is where I have Entered Long.
6. Another HTMD , hard to move down wave with Speed Index 32.2, more buying and another Plutus long signal PRL.
Therefore the explosion is completely justified because it has a history of several hours of absorption. If you were to read just volume waves you would not be able to see this coming Speed Index alerts that something is cooking and when the time is right you enter (PL signal)
I hope my above explanations helped you.
Enjoy!
Bitcoin Stabilizes at $94,000 — What's Next?Following a strong rally in early 2025, Bitcoin is now showing signs of stabilization, hovering around the $94,000 mark. For a notoriously volatile asset, this steady price movement might seem unusual. However, this calm may be the calm before the storm—either a breakout or a pullback. So, what’s behind this current phase of Bitcoin’s price?
Firstly, all eyes are on the U.S. Federal Reserve. Investors are nervously anticipating its next interest rate decision. As always, monetary policy acts as a major catalyst for risk assets. A rate cut could boost inflows into the crypto market, while a hike might lead to capital outflows and dampen sentiment.
Secondly, retail investor activity appears to be cooling. Trading volumes have declined compared to the high levels seen in February and March, when the market was filled with euphoria. Now, we are witnessing a period of cautious waiting. The "Fear and Greed Index" reflects this, hovering around neutral territory, indicating market indecision.
From a technical standpoint, analysts identify two key levels: strong resistance near $100,000 and a support zone around $90,000. As long as Bitcoin remains within this range, short-term traders are operating in a sideways market while longer-term investors remain on standby.
Beyond macroeconomic factors, crypto-specific developments will also influence BTC’s price. Important upcoming events—such as Ethereum’s upgrade, potential regulatory changes in the UK and Japan, and global crypto conferences—could all act as catalysts.
Institutional investors are another major factor. Companies like MicroStrategy continue to accumulate Bitcoin, adding confidence to the asset’s long-term outlook. If more institutions follow suit, Bitcoin could see increased demand and stronger bullish momentum.
In the near term, market participants are advised to stay cautious. Bitcoin may continue consolidating until a clear macro or market-specific catalyst emerges.
All in all, $94,000 is more than just a number. It represents a temporary equilibrium of forces—bullish and bearish. The question is not whether Bitcoin will move again, but when and in which direction.
This is how to read the chart using Weis Wave with Speed IndexReading the chart:
1. We have bottom down and we pull back with high up volume waves, approaching the Fib area. Notice how SI is increasing on the up waves as we are reaching Fib from 13.3 to 15.7 to 18.4 and last not able to break previous resistance at 20.4. This means sellers are absorbing all buy orders of people entering long thinking that the trend will continue.
2. Notice the up volume wave with SI 20.4 and respective pip move right above it which is small compared to the amount of volume used - This is absorption.
3. The highest PVR bar at the beginning of the down wave - more sellers
4. Entry Short on the Plutus Short signal
Notice all the Short signals following confirming the continuation of the down move!
Simple as that, if you are able to read the chart and not just following signals from an indicator.
Enjoy!
Learn KEY PRINCIPLES of Technical Analysis in Gold Forex Trading
In the today's article, we will discuss the absolute basics of trading - 3 key principles of technical analysis in Forex & Gold Trading.
1️⃣History Repeats
History tends to repeat itself in the Forex market.
Certain trends are cyclical and may reemerge in a predictable manner, certain key levels are respected again and again over time.
Take a look at the example:
Silver perfectly respected a historical horizontal resistance in 2011 that was respected in 1980 already. Moreover, the price action before and after the tests of the underlined zone were absolutely identical.
2️⃣Priced In
All relevant information about a currency pair: economical and political events, rumors, and facts; is already reflected in a price.
When the FED increased the rate 26th of July by 25 bp, EURUSD bounced instead of falling. Before the rate hike, the market was going down on EXPECTATIONS of a rate hike. The release of the news was already price in.
3️⃣Pattern DO Work
Some specific price models can be applied for predicting the future price movements.
Technicians strongly believe that certain formations - being applied and interpreted properly, can give the edge on the market.
Depending on the trading style, different categories of patterns exist: harmonic patterns, price action patterns, wave patterns, candlestick patterns...
Above, I have listed various price action patterns that are applied by many traders and investors as the main tool for analyzing the financial markets.
If you believe in these 3 principles, you are an inborn technician!
Study technical analysis and learn to apply these principles to make money in trading.
b]❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gravions IG: Why Apple's Shift to India Could Trigger a Drop in Apple is betting heavily on changing its production geography, planning to move a significant portion of iPhone assembly from China to India by 2026. Analysts at Gravions IG have assessed the situation and concluded that this move could negatively impact the company’s stock value in the near term.
Key Risks of Production Relocation
Indian manufacturing facilities, although growing rapidly, have not yet achieved the level of quality and logistical efficiency seen at Chinese plants. Gravions IG emphasizes that reconfiguring production processes takes time, and potential disruptions in supply chains or reduced quality in the early batches could trigger dissatisfaction among consumers and partners.
According to their analysis, the transition could increase product costs and squeeze profit margins, putting pressure on Apple’s financial results over the next few quarters.
Investor Reactions
Current market behavior reflects investor caution: Apple's share price has already fallen nearly 17% since the start of the year, with technical indicators suggesting further declines. The formation of a "death cross" — where the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average — heightens concerns about a prolonged downtrend.
Gravions IG stresses that until the Indian production lines are fully operational and stable, Apple's stock will likely remain under selling pressure.
Strategic Perspective: Opportunity or Risk?
In the long run, diversifying manufacturing could benefit Apple by reducing its dependence on China and insulating it from potential geopolitical or economic shocks. Additionally, the Indian government's efforts to bolster its manufacturing sector could provide Apple with a stronger foundation for future expansion.
Still, Gravions IG insists that until Indian facilities reach consistent quality and scale, Apple will be vulnerable to market sentiment swings and potential reputational risks.
Conclusion
Relocating production is a strategically sound but high-risk move for Apple in the short term. Gravions IG advises investors to closely monitor product quality and supply chain stability in India before making long-term investment decisions regarding Apple's stock.
Solvery IG Predicts Bitcoin to Reach $105,000 by May 10, 2025The cryptocurrency market continues to surprise even the most seasoned investors. Against this backdrop, the analytical firm Solvery IG has released an ambitious forecast: according to their calculations, Bitcoin's price could reach $105,000 by May 10, 2025.
Factors Supporting Bitcoin's Growth
In recent months, the market has shown strong positive momentum. Several key factors have contributed to this trend:
Institutional Investments: Major banks, funds, and corporations are increasingly incorporating Bitcoin into their portfolios as a hedge against risks.
Macroeconomic Instability: Inflationary pressures and weakening fiat currencies are driving investors to seek alternative assets.
According to Solvery IG experts, it is the combination of these factors that creates a "perfect storm" for the continued growth of the leading cryptocurrency.
Analysis and Potential Risks
Despite the optimistic forecast, potential threats should not be overlooked. The cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile. Possible tightening of regulations in the U.S. and Europe, as well as sudden shifts in Federal Reserve policies, could exert downward pressure on the market.
Nevertheless, Solvery IG highlights a crucial technical point: according to their data, Bitcoin has successfully held above key support levels between $60,000 and $65,000. This indicates strong buyer sentiment and supports expectations for a continued upward trend.
The impact of the halving event, which occurred in April 2024, should also be taken into account. Historically, Bitcoin has shown significant growth 12–18 months following a halving, and the current market behavior aligns closely with these cyclical patterns.
What This Means for Investors
If Solvery IG’s forecast comes true, Bitcoin would achieve more than a 50% increase compared to current levels. This presents significant opportunities for long-term investors. However, experts advise exercising caution, diversifying risks, and avoiding allocating all funds to a single asset.
Cryptocurrencies remain high-risk instruments, and successful investing requires a deep understanding of the market and a realistic assessment of all potential scenarios.
Conclusion
Solvery IG’s prediction of Bitcoin reaching $105,000 by May 10, 2025, sounds promising, especially given the positive momentum in recent months. However, investors should always remember: high returns come with high risks.
How to use Correlation for your tradingHello,
Understanding correlation is key to elevating your trading success for two main reasons:
Avoid Trading Against Yourself: When you buy one asset and sell another that is positively correlated, you risk offsetting your gains with losses. This often results in a zero-sum outcome, as one trade may profit while the other incurs a loss. Recognizing correlated pairs helps you avoid this pitfall and trade more strategically. Using the chart below its clear that it will be unwise to sell GBPUSD while buying EURUSD since both pairs move in the same direction.
Capitalize on Lagging Pairs:
Identifying correlated pairs and their movement patterns enables smarter trading decisions. By spotting which pair tends to lead and which lags, you can focus on trading the lagging pair to increase your probability of success. While risks remain, this approach allows for more calculated and potentially profitable trades.
The charts provided illustrate the positive correlation between GBPUSD and EURUSD, showing how they move in tandem. This insight allows you to confidently buy or sell one pair based on the movement of the other, optimizing your trading strategy.
Goodluck in your trading.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Elliott Wave Principles: A Study on US Dollar IndexHello friends, today we'll attempt to analyze the (DXY) US Dollar Index chart using Elliott Wave theory. Let's explore the possible Elliott Wave counts with wave Principles (Rules).
We've used the daily time frame chart here, which suggests that the primary cycle degree in Black weekly wave ((A)) and ((B)) waves have already occurred. Currently, wave ((C)) is in progress.
Within wave ((C)) in Black which are Weekly counts, Subdivisions are on daily time frame, showing Intermediate degree in blue wave (1) & (2) are finished and (3) is near to completion. Post wave (3), we can expect wave (4) up in Blue and then wave (5) down in Blue, marking the end of wave ((C)) in Black.
Additionally, within blue wave (3) Intermediate degree, we should see 5 subdivisions in red of Minor degree, which is clearly showing that waves 1 & 2 are done and now we are near to completion of wave 3 in Red. followed by waves 4 and 5, which will complete blue wave (3).
Key Points to Learn:
When applying Elliott Wave theory, it's essential to follow specific rules and principles. Here are three crucial ones:
1. Wave 2 Retracement Rule: Wave two will never retrace more than 100% of wave one.
2. Wave 3 Length Rule: Wave three will never be the shortest among waves 1, 3, and 5. It may be the largest most of the time, but never the shortest.
3. Wave 4 Overlap Rule: Wave four will never enter into the territory of wave one, meaning wave four will not overlap wave one, except in cases of diagonals or triangles.
Invalidation level is a level which is decided based on these Elliott wave Principles only, Once its triggered, then counts are Invalidated so we have to reassess the chart study and other possible counts are to be plotted
The entire wave count is clearly visible on the chart, and this is just one possible scenario. Please note that Elliott Wave theory involves multiple possibilities and uncertainties.
The analysis we've presented focuses on one particular scenario that seems potentially possible. However, it's essential to keep in mind that Elliott Wave counts can have multiple possibilities.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Elliott Wave Analysis of DLF: A Technical PerspectiveHello friends, let's analyze the DLF chart on a daily time frame. Currently, we're observing a corrective phase, where the stock has completed a flat correction pattern (A-B-C) with a 3-3-5 structure. Following this correction, we've seen a significant drop, accompanied by a strong double divergence in the RSI indicator. Where Fibonacci Retracement of last long Rally on Weekly is near 50% - 55% which is less than 61.8% should consider as a Healthy Retracement
As the price is currently moving upwards, completing wave counts, a breakout above the downward trend line would increase our conviction in the analysis.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not a tip or advisory. If the price breaks out and stays above the trend line while maintaining the low of 601, we can expect further upside momentum. However, 601 would remain a crucial invalidation level, and a breakdown below it would require us to reassess our wave counts.
Key points:
1. DLF chart analysis on daily time frame
2. Flat correction pattern (A-B-C) with 3-3-5 structure
3. Healthy Retracement
4. Strong double divergence in RSI indicator
5. Breakout above trend line increases conviction (Which is pending yet)
6. 601 as invalidation level
Please note that this is a Educational technical analysis post and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Monitor Price action with Trendlines / Gan Fan*And over here, Sir/Madam, we have the 3.5L six-cylinder, 800-horsepower, 95-cubic feet
truck with a diesel engine. It goes 0 to 60 in 0.5 seconds and comes fully equipped with an 18-foot lift kit and did I mention the 80 inch strobe lights.”*
Some days, wave counting feels exactly like that—like you’ve been dragged to a dealership and hit with a barrage of numbers you didn’t ask for.
Information you have to painstakingly puzzle through.
All you really want to know is: Does it drive? *Where will it take me?*
That’s the heart of my wave counts. I don’t care about the extra fluff. I want clarity, direction, and purpose.
But doing the two-step between multiple asset classes—forex, indices, FANG stocks—feels like a dangerous tango. One where my precious money is on the line.
* *
There’s a Chinese proverb that sums it all up:
**“Life is really simple, but we insist on making it complicated.” — Confucius**
In this quick article, I’ll show you a dead-simple concept that can clear up your charts and your thinking. A quick read. Quick to understand. So for one night, you don’t have to do a dirty tango with crazy numbers.
**Cue: Gann Fans and Trend Lines.**
You’ve seen trend lines.
But have you seen *three*?
When you use three trend lines, you’re not just capturing the obvious. You’re measuring *acceleration*, *deceleration*, and *breakout momentum*. One line to show the base trend. One to catch the slowdown. And one to anticipate the breakout.
Pair that with s&r levels and suddenly you’re seeing *speed* and *time* like never before. A break of a key level or a sharp lift off your trend line isn’t random—it’s often the market shifting gears.
You didn’t think I’d drop all this without sprinkling in some wave counts, did you?
Welcome to the fiesta.
- Tango intensities*
Here’s where it ties in:
A **double bottom** formation near the end of a trend often isn’t just a reversal—it’s a *setup*.
What you’re likely seeing is a **Wave 3-4-5** squeeze into completion. That double bottom is the market catching its breath.
And when it breaks the trend line on the upside? That’s often the beginning of a brand new wave structure in the opposite direction.
If this breakout fails it is just as easy to exit the position with easy to identify stop out points.
It doesn’t have to be complicated.
Just structured.
Best,
Coi
LiteCoin (LTC) - Chart reading with Weis Wave with Speed Index
Lesson 15 Methodology:
1. Largest up volume wave at the bottom after while (probable buyers but let's confirm using AVWAP and Weis Wave with Speed Index and it's Plutus Signals.
2. Placed AVWAP at the beginning of the previous down wave and wait for price to pullback to it.
3. Price Respects AVWAP.
4. Abnormal Speed Index 40.8 is a sign that price has a hard time to move down.
5. Enter Long on PL signal.
... and up we go!!!!
Target Fib area which was reached!
No entries now - Fib could risky!
Trading A Divergence Trade (Breakdown) with Pivots and LiquidityTrading divergences was always a problem for me in the past. I did the same thing you did and got it wrong every time. I was trading divergences when i saw them instead of realizing a divergence is a flip of support and resistance levels. I just needed to know where they are.
In this video:
Internal vs External Pivot divergence confirmation:
You can have two types of pivots on your chart. One for long term and one for short term.
Using them to confirm short and long term price action is intuitive as youll be able to see the market squeezing on the short term while knowing where your long term price structure exists.
Price action to Divergence Confirmation:
A divergence on a short term pivot is an indication of short term loss of trend or reversal.
If the short term has no divergence but the long term does, you are about to end up with some pretty large price moves.
Youll be confirming the divergence by looking for highs, lows, and closes moving the wrong way from current price action.
This video will give you a method you can use to draw out your support zone / resistance zone / divergence zone and use them to your advantage.
The "Divergence Zone" that you draw out is the very reason why so many people fail at divergences.
Bare in mind that when you have a divergence, support and resistance are on the WRONG sides as their normally are so you'll learn here how to find those zones as well.
Then in the end of the video ill show you how to use lower timeframes to confirm the new move of the market.
Thanks, everyone. For coming through to the CoffeeShop.
Connecting Your Tickmill Account to TradingView: A Step-by-Step In this step-by-step guide, we’ll show you exactly how to connect your Tickmill account to TradingView in just a few seconds.
✅ Easy walkthrough
✅ Real-time trading from charts
✅ Tips for a smooth connection
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All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Swing Trading: Unique Features and StrategiesSwing Trading: Unique Features and Strategies
Swing trading stands out as a dynamic approach in the trading world, blending elements of both short-term and long-term strategies. In this article, we will explore the unique features of swing trading, including its reliance on technical analysis, the use of chart patterns, and the strategic timing of entries and exits. Whether you're new to trading or seeking to refine your approach, understanding the nuances of swing trading can provide valuable insights into navigating the financial markets.
The Basics of Swing Trading
Swing trading meaning refers to a style that involves holding short- and medium-term positions - usually from a couple of days to a few weeks - with the aim of capitalising on the “swings” in the market.
What is a swing trader? A swing trader’s definition is simple: swing traders are those who typically enter and exit markets at significant support and resistance levels, hoping to capture the bulk of expected moves.
These traders tend to look at hourly to weekly charts to guide their entries, although the timeframe used will depend on the swing trader’s individual approach and the asset being traded. Swing trading can be used across all asset classes, from stocks and forex to cryptocurrencies* and commodities. In the stock market, swing trading can be especially effective, as stocks tend to experience high volatility and are subject to frequent news and events that can drive prices.
Swing traders predominantly use technical analysis to determine their entries and exits, but fundamental analysis, like comparing the interest rates of two economies, can also play a significant role. It can help determine a price direction over the course of days or weeks.
Swing Trading vs Other Styles
To better understand the unique features of swing trading, let’s compare it with our styles.
Position trading involves holding trades for weeks and months, focusing on capturing long-term trends. Position traders are less concerned with short-term fluctuations and are more likely to use fundamental analysis, such as economic data and company earnings, to make their decisions. This style requires patience and a long-term perspective, with fewer trades but potentially larger returns per trade.
Swing trading involves holding trades for several days to a few weeks, aiming to capture short- and medium-term price movements within a larger trend. This style balances the need for active market participation with the flexibility to not monitor trades constantly. Swing traders primarily rely on technical analysis to identify entry and exit points, focusing on chart patterns and indicators.
Day trading requires traders to buy and sell assets within the same trading day, often holding positions for just minutes or hours. The goal is to capitalise on intraday price movements, and traders close all positions before the market closes to avoid overnight risk. This style demands constant market monitoring and quick decision-making, with a strong reliance on real-time technical analysis.
Scalping is an ultra-short-term trading style where positions are held for seconds to minutes, aiming to make small profits on numerous trades throughout the day. Scalpers rely almost entirely on technical analysis and need to act quickly, often executing dozens or hundreds of trades daily. The focus is on high-frequency trading with very tight stop-losses, requiring intense concentration.
Swing Trading: Benefits and Challenges
Although swing trading provides numerous opportunities which makes it popular among traders, it comes with a few challenges traders should be aware of.
Benefits:
- Lower Time Commitment. One of the most significant benefits for swing traders is the reduced time commitment. This style can be adapted to suit a trader’s individual schedule.
- Flexibility. It is often more flexible than other styles. Not only does it offer time flexibility, but it allows for a wider range of tools to be used to determine price swings. Also, it can be applied to many assets. The most common is swing trading in forex and swing trading in stocks.
- Technical Analysis Focus: Utilises technical indicators and chart patterns to identify entry and exit points, providing clear criteria for decision-making.
- More Opportunities Compared to Long-Term Techniques. Because swing traders usually hold positions for a few days to a few weeks, they have the ability to take advantage of shorter-term market movements that might not be reflected in longer-term price trends.
Challenges:
- Exposure to Overnight Risk. Positions held overnight or over weekends can be affected by unexpected news or events, leading to potential gaps or adverse price movements.
- Requires Patience: Effective swing trading requires waiting for trades to develop over days or weeks, which may test a trader's patience.
- Market Volatility: Performance can be impacted by periods of low volatility or choppy markets, where price movements may not align with your expectations.
Popular Tools to Use When Swing Trading
The effectiveness of a swing traders’ strategies will ultimately depend on their ability to correctly identify price movements. For this, traders use different chart patterns and technical indicators. Here are three common tools that can be used as part of a swing trading strategy.
Channels
Traders can use channels to take advantage of well-identified price trends that play out over days and weeks. To plot a channel, you first need to identify a trending asset that’s moving in a relative zig-zag pattern rather than one with large jumps in price. Traders will often use the channel to open a swing trade in the direction of the trend; in the example above, they might look to buy when the price tests the lower line and take profit when the price touches the upper line of the channel.
Moving Averages
Moving averages (MAs) are one of the commonly used indicators and they can help swing traders determine the direction of the trend at a glance. The options here are endless:
- You could pair fast and slow moving averages and wait for the two to cross; this is known as a moving average crossover. When a shorter MA crosses above a longer one, the price is expected to rise. Conversely, when a shorter MA breaks below a longer one, the price is supposed to decline.
- You could stick with one and observe whether the price is above or below its average to gauge the trend. When the price is above the MA, it’s an uptrend; when it’s below the MA, it’s a downtrend.
- You could use an MA as a support or resistance level, placing a buy order when the price falls to the MA in an uptrend and a sell order when it rises to the MA in a downtrend.
Fibonacci Retracements
Lastly, many swing traders look to enter pullbacks in a larger trend. One of the most popular ways to identify entry levels during these pullbacks is the Fibonacci Retracement tool. Traders typically wait for a shift in price direction, then apply the tool to a swing high and swing low. Then, they enter at a pullback, usually to the 0.5 or 0.618 levels, to take advantage of the continuation of the trend. As seen above, this strategy can offer entry points for those looking to get in early before a trend continues.
The Bottom Line
Swing trading stands out for its ability to balance the demands of active trading with the flexibility of longer-term investing. The unique features of swing trading, such as its moderate holding periods and strategic use of technical indicators, allow traders to potentially manage risk and adapt to various market conditions. Embracing swing trading strategies can help traders refine their approach. As with any trading style, continued learning and disciplined execution are key to achieving consistent results.
FAQ
What Is Swing Trading?
Swing trading is a style that involves holding positions over a period of several days to weeks to take advantage of price movements within a trend. Swing traders use technical analysis, including chart patterns and indicators, to identify potential entry and exit points, balancing the need for active participation with a longer-term perspective.
What Is Swing Trading vs Day Trading?
Swing trading and day trading are distinct methods. The former focuses on capturing price movements over several days to weeks, allowing for less frequent trading and requiring less constant market monitoring. In contrast, the latter involves buying and selling assets within the same trading day, often holding positions for minutes or hours, and requires continuous market observation and quick decision-making.
What Is the Downside of Swing Trading?
The downsides of swing trading include exposure to overnight and weekend risks, as positions held outside market hours can be affected by unexpected news or events. Additionally, this method requires patience and discipline, as trades may take time to develop, and performance can be impacted by periods of low volatility or choppy markets.
*Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Dogecoin Daily Chart Analysis: A Fresh Start Ahead ?Hello friends, let's analyze Dogecoin, a cryptocurrency, from an Elliott Wave perspective. This study uses Elliott Wave theory and structures, involving multiple possibilities. The analysis focuses on one potential scenario and is for educational purposes only, not trading advice.
We're observing the daily chart, and it appears we're nearing the end of Wave II, a correction. The red cycle degree Wave I ended around 2024 December's peak. Currently, we're nearing the end of red Wave II, which consists of black ((W)), ((X)), and ((Y)) waves. Black ((W)) and ((X)) are complete, and black ((Y)) is nearing its end.
Within black ((Y)), we have Intermediate degree blue (W), (X), and (Y) waves. Blue (W) and (X) are complete, and blue (Y) is nearing its end. Inside blue (Y), red A and B are complete, and red C is nearing its end. Once red C completes, blue (Y) will end, Once blue (Y) completes, means black ((W)) will end that means higher degree cycle wave II in red will end.
If our view remains correct, the invalidation level for this Elliott Wave count is 0.04913. If this level holds and doesn't touch below it, we can expect a significant reversal to unfold wave III towards new highs. This is an educational analysis, and I hope you've learned something by observing the chart and its texture.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Skirt Lengths as Market Indicators: A Socionomics PerspectivePart of the #Socionomics series.
How fashion and societal moods shifted in the first half of the 20th century.
1900–1910
Economy: The rise of industrialization in the U.S. — Ford’s assembly line (1908), booming cities, and a growing wealth gap between the elite and the working class. In Europe, colonial powers raced for survival, fueling military spending (sound familiar?).
Mood: Faith in technological progress clashed with protests against exploitation. Suffragettes smashed London storefronts (1908), while New York’s Triangle Shirtwaist Factory fire (1911) galvanized labor rights movements.
Fashion: Rigid corsets and floor-length skirts symbolized Victorian morality. Yet rebels like designer Paul Poiret introduced hobble skirts — a tentative step toward freedom of movement.
1910–1920
Economy: World War I (1914–1918) reshaped the globe: Europe lay in ruins, while the U.S. profited from arms sales. Postwar hyperinflation crippled Germany, and the Spanish Flu (1918–1920) claimed millions.
Mood: Women replaced men in factories, only to be pushed back into domestic roles after the war. A feminist explosion: American women won voting rights in 1920.
Fashion: Skirts rose to ankle-length for practicality. By the decade’s end, the flapper emerged — straight-cut dresses, beaded necklaces, and cigarettes in hand, defying tradition. A sign of the stock market’s brewing boom.
1920–1929
Economy: The "Roaring Twenties" — jazz, speculation, and Prohibition. The stock market quadrupled; ordinary Americans borrowed heavily to invest, then borrowed again against rising shares.
Mood: Hedonism reigned. Speakeasies and Gatsby-esque parties masked pre-crash euphoria.
Fashion: Knees on display! Fringed dresses, bobbed haircuts, and gartered stockings. By 1929, subdued silhouettes crept in — an omen of crisis.
1930–1940
Economy: The 1929 bubble burst: Wall Street crashed, triggering the Great Depression (1929–1939). U.S. unemployment hit 25%. Europe veered toward fascism and war.
Mood: Despair from Dust Bowl migrations and hunger marches. Yet Hollywood’s Golden Age offered escapism.
Fashion: Skirts lengthened — modesty returned. Long dresses dominated, while cheap fabrics and turbans (to hide unwashed hair) became staples.
1940–1950
Economy: World War II (1939–1945). Postwar Europe rebuilt via the Marshall Plan; the U.S. embraced consumerism.
Mood: Patriotism ("Rosie the Riveter") and postwar hope. The baby boom idealized domesticity.
Fashion: War mandated minimalism: knee-length skirts and padded shoulders. In 1947, Christian Dior’s New Look rebelled — voluminous ankle-length skirts symbolized postwar opulence.
1950–1960
Economy: America’s "Golden Fifties" — middle-class expansion, cars, and TV. Europe recovered, but colonial wars (Algeria, Vietnam) exposed crises.
Mood: Conformity (suburban perfection) vs. teenage rebellion (James Dean, Elvis’s rock ‘n’ roll).
Fashion: Sheath dresses and midi skirts emphasized femininity. By the late 1950s, Mary Quant experimented with mini-skirts — a harbinger of the sexual revolution.
1960s: Peak of Postwar Prosperity
Economy: U.S. GDP grew 4-5% annually; unemployment dipped below 4%. Baby boomers (1946–1964) fueled suburban housing and education demand.
Fashion: The mini-skirt became an era-defining manifesto of freedom, paired with bold go-go boots. Economic optimism bred experimentation: neon synthetics (nylon, Lycra) and psychedelic hues.
Conclusion
Women’s fashion mirrors its era. Crises (1930s) hide knees; liberating times (1920s, 1960s) bare them. Even war skirts (1940s’ knee-length pragmatism) carried hope.
💡 Like and subscribe for insights your economics textbook won’t reveal!
#beginners #learning_in_pulse #interesting
#socionomics #history #fashiontrends
DCA Buy Alert Script for Long-Term InvestorsHello, TradingView traders!
I'm sharing a simple Pine Script for cautious DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) entries.
This script helps accumulate only on weakness — no buying blindly. (Use only on high volatility altcoins!)
🔍 Strategy logic:
• RSI < 40 → market is oversold
• Price below EMA 21 → short-term trend is down
• Price below SMA 200 → long-term trend is weak
Only when ALL three conditions are met, the script triggers a BUY alert.
✅ How to use:
1. Add the script to your chart
2. Create an alert: choose “Cautious DCA Buy Signal”
3. You’ll get notified when the market dips into a DCA zone
//@version=6
indicator("Cautious DCA on Dips", overlay=true)
rsi = ta.rsi(close, 14)
sma = ta.sma(close, 200)
ema = ta.ema(close, 21)
buySignal = rsi < 40 and close < sma and close < ema
plotshape(buySignal, title="Buy Signal", location=location.belowbar, style=shape.labelup, size=size.normal, color=color.green, text="Buy", textcolor=color.white)
plot(sma, title="SMA 200", color=color.orange)
plot(ema, title="EMA 21", color=color.blue)
alertcondition(buySignal, title="Buy Alert", message="DCA Buy Signal: RSI is low and price is below EMA and SMA")
🔔 This script reduces noise and waits patiently for real dips.
Useful for long-term investors who want to buy with discipline.
Let me know how it works for your strategy!
#DCA #LongTerm
Using Fibonacci/Measured Moves To Understand Price TargetThis video is really an answer to a question from a subscriber.
Can the SPY/QQQ move downward to touch COVID levels (pre-COVID High or COVID Low).
The answer is YES, it could move down far enough to touch the pre-COVID highs or COVID lows, but that would represent a very big BREAKDOWN of Fibonacci/ElliotWave price structure.
In other words, a breakdown of that magnitude would mean the markets have moved into a decidedly BEARISH trend and have broken the opportunity to potentially move substantially higher in 2025-2026 and beyond (at least for a while).
Price structure if very important to understand.
Measured moves happen all the time. They are part of Fibonacci Price Theory, Elliot Wave, and many of my proprietary price patterns.
Think of Measured Moves like waves on a beach. There are bigger waves, middle waves, smaller waves, and minute waves. They are all waves. But their size, magnitude, strength vary.
That is kind of what we are trying to measure using Fibonacci and Measured Move structures.
Watch this video. Tell me if you can see how these Measured Moves work and how to apply Fibonacci structure to them.
This is really the BASICS of price structure.
Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Calibrating Trading Indicators for Different MarketsCalibrating Trading Indicators for Different Markets: A Beginner's Guide
(Simple Steps to Adjust RSI , MACD , and Other Tools for Better Results)
Key Idea : Just like you'd tune a guitar differently for rock vs. classical music, trading tools like RSI or MACD need adjustments depending on what you're trading (stocks, crypto, forex) and how it moves. This guide shows you how to tweak these tools using price swings (pivot points) to make them work better for your specific asset.
---
Why "One Size Fits All" Doesn't Work
Most traders use default settings for indicators (like RSI's 14-day period). But these defaults were created for "average " markets. Real markets aren't average!
Example:
- Crypto ( CME:BTC1! ) : Super volatile → Needs faster, more sensitive indicators.
- Blue-Chip Stocks ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) : Less wild swings → Needs slower, smoother indicators.
If you use the same RSI settings for both, you'll get bad signals. Calibration fixes this.
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The Pivot Point Method for Calibration
One effective approach to calibration is measuring the natural rhythm of price swings between high and low points. Here's how to do it step by step:
Step 1: Find Pivot Points on Your Chart
Pivot points are like "price turning points." Use TradingView's ZigZag indicator (or draw them manually) to spot these swings.
How to Add ZigZag on TradingView :
1. Open your chart.
2. Click "Indicators" → Search " ZigZag " → Select it.
3. Adjust settings (defaults work fine for starters).
The ZigZag will draw lines between significant highs (peaks) and lows (valleys).
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Step 2: Measure the "Rhythm" of the Market
Count the bars (candles) between pivot points to find the market's natural cycle.
Example :
- If Bitcoin swings from peak to peak every 14 bars on average, its "cycle" is 14 bars.
- If Apple does this every 16 bars, its cycle is 16 bars.
In the picture above, we used the Williams Fractal to identify pivots.
Formula for Indicator Settings :
- RSI Period = Half the average cycle → If cycle = 16 bars → RSI = 8 days.
- MACD Settings : Fast EMA = ¼ cycle, Slow EMA = ½ cycle → Cycle = 16 → Fast EMA = 4, Slow EMA = 8
---
Step 3: Test Your Calibrated Indicators
Backtest on TradingView :
1. Add your indicator (e.g., RSI) with the new settings.
2. Use the Strategy Tester (click "Add to Chart" → " RSI Strategy ") to see if signals improve.
Look For :
- Fewer false signals (e.g., RSI saying "oversold" too early).
- Clearer trends (MACD crossovers matching price moves).
---
Calibrating Popular Indicators (Simple Rules)
1. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
- Default : 14 days.
- Calibrated : Half the average cycle length.
- Example : Cycle = 16 bars → RSI = 8 days.
Why It Works : Shorter RSI reacts faster to volatile markets (like crypto).
2. MACD
- Default : 12, 26, 9.
- Calibrated :
- Fast EMA = ¼ of cycle.
- Slow EMA = ½ of cycle.
- Signal Line = ⅙ of cycle.
- Example : Cycle = 20 → Fast = 5, Slow = 10, Signal = 3.
Why It Works : Matches the asset's natural momentum shifts.
3. Williams %R
- Default : 14 days.
- Calibrated : Same as RSI (half the cycle).
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How to Avoid Common Mistakes
Mistake 1 : Overfitting (Making It Too Perfect for the Past)
- Problem : If you calibrate too precisely to old data, it might fail in the future.
- Fix : Test on 2 types of data:
1. Training Data : First 70% of your chart (to calibrate).
2. Testing Data : Last 30% (to check if it still works).
Mistake 2 : Ignoring Market Changes
- Problem : What works today might not work next month.
- Fix : Recheck your settings every 3 months or after big news (e.g., Fed rate hikes).
---
Free Tools to Help (No Coding Needed)
1. TradingView's "Auto-Detect Cycle" Scripts
Search for indicators like "Cycle", "RSI Adaptive" or " Rainbow Adaptive RSI " in TradingView's public library. These automatically calculate cycle lengths (Not tested).
2. Adaptive MACD/RSI Indicators
Try pre-built adaptive indicators like:
- Adaptive MACD : Adjusts itself based on volatility.
- Dynamic Pivot : Uses pivots to set stop-loss and take-profit levels.
---
Building a Simple Pivot Calibration System
Basic ZigZag Calibrator Method :
1. Add ZigZag to your chart.
2. Manually count the bars between 5 recent swings.
3. Calculate the average → Divide by 2 → Use that number for your RSI/MACD.
Example :
- Swings: 12, 14, 16, 10, 8 bars → Average = 12.
- Calibrated RSI = 6 days.
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Why This Works (Without the Math)
Markets move in waves. By matching your indicator's speed to the wave length, you "surf" the trend instead of fighting it. Research shows adaptive methods like this beat default settings.
The Science Behind It
When you calibrate to an instrument's natural rhythm:
- Oscillators (RSI, %R) catch extremes at the right time
- Trend indicators (MACD) signal changes faster
- Volatility bands (Bollinger Bands) expand and contract appropriately
---
A Step Further: Multi-Timeframe Calibration
For even better results, calibrate across timeframes:
1. Calculate cycles on daily charts for swing trading
2. Calculate cycles on 4-hour charts for day trading
3. Use both calibrated indicators together for confirmation
---
Final Tips for Beginners
1. Start Small : Calibrate one indicator (like RSI) first.
2. Use Free Tools : TradingView has thousands of free scripts to automate calculations.
3. Keep Records : Document what settings work for which assets.
4. Be Patient : Finding the right calibration takes time, but the results are worth it.
Calibration isn't about being perfect—it's about making your tools work better for specific markets . Happy trading!
Trend Changing Pattern (TCP) ExplainedIntroduction
One of the most important skills in forex trading is learning how to read price action and understand what the market is telling you. Price is not just numbers — it’s the collective perception of traders, making it the most reliable leading indicator available.
Today, I want to explain a powerful concept known as the Trend Changing Pattern (TCP) — a crucial tool for identifying potential market reversals and shifts in trend direction.
📈 What Is a Trend Changing Pattern?
In any trending market, whether it's an uptrend or downtrend, the trend won’t change easily. The strength of the trend and the timeframe you're trading on will determine how long it takes for a true reversal to occur.
One key signal of a trend change is a shift in momentum:
In an uptrend, when a momentum low forms during a pullback, it can be a sign that the trend is beginning to reverse.
In a downtrend, a momentum high during a pullback can signal a potential bullish reversal.
These are what we refer to as Trend Changing Patterns (TCPs) — moments where the structure of the market starts to shift.
⚠️ Watch for Manipulation After the TCP
After a TCP appears, it's common to see price manipulation before the new trend fully takes hold:
In an uptrend, price may return to manipulate the previous high before continuing down.
In a downtrend, price often dips to manipulate the previous low before reversing higher.
Being aware of this common liquidity grab helps traders avoid being trapped and instead position themselves in alignment with the new trend.
🧠 Final Thoughts
Understanding how to spot and interpret a Trend Changing Pattern gives you a major edge in forex trading. It helps you stay ahead of the market and make informed decisions based on price action, not emotion.
🎥 In the video, I go into more detail about momentum highs and lows, and how to recognize these key patterns in real time. Be sure to check it out if you want to sharpen your trend reversal strategy.
Wishing you success on your trading journey! 🚀
A Closer Look at Bitcoin's Elliot Wave PatternHello friends, today we'll attempt to analyze the Bitcoin chart using Elliot Waves. Our approach will involve using Elliot Wave theory and structures, which involve multiple possibilities. The analysis we present here focuses on one potential scenario that seems possible to us.
Please note that this information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered trading advice or investment tips. There's a risk of being completely wrong, so never trade based solely on this post. We're not responsible for any profits or losses. Individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Now, let's discuss the Bitcoin chart. On the daily chart, we can see that a black primary degree wave has completed its ((4th)) wave, and the ((5th)) wave has started. Within the fifth wave, an intermediate degree wave is unfolding, which will have its own set of waves (1), (2), (3), (4), (5). The primary black degree wave five will be complete once the intermediate degree wave is finished.
We've drawn accounts on the chart, illustrating the entire structure, including the nearest invalidation level at around $76,666 and the real invalidation level below $50,000.
I hope this analysis based on Elliot Wave theory has helped you understand the chart better and learn something new. Please keep in mind that this is for educational purposes only.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.