ELLIOTT WAVES and REAL CHART RUNE ANALYSISElliott Wave Theory Interpretation
The Elliott Wave Theory is interpreted as follows:
Five waves move in the direction of the main trend, followed by three waves in a correction (totaling a 5-3 move). This 5-3 move then becomes two subdivisions of the next higher wave move.
The underlying 5-3 pattern remains constant, though the time span of each wave may vary.
Let's have a look at the following chart made up of eight waves (five net up and three net down) labeled 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, A, B, and C.
Waves 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 form an impulse, and waves A, B and C form a correction. The five-wave impulse, in turn, forms wave 1 at the next-largest degree, and the three-wave correction forms wave 2 at the next-largest degree.
The corrective wave normally has three distinct price movements – two in the direction of the main correction (A and C) and one against it (B). Waves 2 and 4 in the above picture are corrections. These waves typically have the following structure:
Wave Degrees
Elliott identified nine degrees of waves, which he labeled as follows, from largest to smallest:
[
*]Grand Super Cycle
Super Cycle
Cycle
Primary
Intermediate
Minor
Minute
Minuette
Sub-Minuette
Wave Analysis
Another Update to Phoenix Ascending Indicator: SETUP VideoHi Everyone! I have changed the "default colors" for Phoenix Ascending and added Level 120 (purple upper) and Level -20 (purple lower). I prefer to "un-check" level 120 and level -20 and only show them when I actually need them. Otherwise, your indicator can be too scrunched up. I will post the updated version of Phoenix Ascending Shortly.
Happy Trading and Stay Awesome!
David
Classic Example of Over Extending; Meaning TRAPHi Everyone! I've said this before and I wanted to say it again. If I point out the "Potential" for the price action to do this or that, please be SURE to go to your Immediate Group of time frames to make sure the Red RSI and Blue LSMA are lined up and ready to do as I suggested in my "opinion" BEFORE executing a trade based off my "opinion." This publication shows WHY you should do this regardless of who's "opinion" you get. Whether it be my opinion or anyone else's "opinion."
Happy Trading and Stay Awesome!
David
Father of all strategiesHello traders!
This is a detailed and most importantly a correct analysis of the previous pump and dump.
There is always a reason behind everything and there is also a reason behind this whole formation. There is a complete cycle that forms before this formation and this formation is a reaction of that cycle.
Let's talk about this formation
After a deep search, I have figured out that the market never leaves any Support/Resistance untested and if it happens then we will see this type of formation and when the formation is completed we will see the market will move back to that untested Support/Resistance.
(Tip 1: You can trade every breakout but on the opposite side of breakout because the market always show retracement after the breakout)
At the start of this Formation the time the first pattern we see is a 'J' pattern.
Now, what is the J pattern?
'J' pattern is itself a reversal pattern only if it is formed above the support area but in this case, 'J' pattern is not connected with the support area so it kept pushing up.
The Next pattern after J is a correction/consolidation pattern and in total, we will see 3 consolidation/correction patterns in this formation.
(Tip 2: After every breakout there is a reaction pattern and 5 out of six times market moves back after a breakout so follow tip#1)
After the 'J' pattern the second pattern is an Expanding triangle and if you are aware of this pattern then I must tell you that you were always taught wrong because you must be taught that trade towards the direction of the breakout and it's a wrong way. As I told you 5 out 6 times market moves back after breakout and you can see the charts yourself. So trying your luck on 5 out of 6 probability is better than trying your luck on 1 out of 6 probability.
(Tip # 3 is don't be fooled and follow tip # 1 and always use stop-loss to save yourself from unwanted loss and save your account for new trades)
The third and final pattern is a correction breakout without any reaction pattern and this is a pattern that pushed the Bitcoin back to the pavilion.
Happy new year guys and I hope you will make millions in the year 2022.
Don't forget to hit the like button and follow to stay connected.
the way of market when u can tell were is the force goinghey guys when I start publishing market lessens I consider 3 possibilities for the btc/usdt u can also predict market as well sometimes its obvious but you but position open therfore greed comes to you in dec25th I know tat market have no way but go down so I sold all my perpetual contact's.
remember experience in right direction can give you vision
LOOKING FOR SHORT TERM TRADESLook for a correction after a strong impulse once you have identified the trend and trade that way. A correction is usually a point where the price struggles sideways. It signifies traders are either taking positions or they are taking profits from the previous motive move
Physics and mathematics and its relationship with this marketbutterfly Effect=Chaos Theory=Fractal
Butterfly effect is the name of a phenomenon that occurs due to the sensitivity of turbulent systems to the initial conditions.
Butterfly effect means that a slight change in the initial conditions can lead to far-reaching and unpredictable results in the system.
So what does this have to do with this market?
For example, the company related to these cryptocurrencies did not do anything positive during this period, which caused the currency cryptocurrency to rise sharply. Rather, the past work of this company during this period showed its effect.
This video is just to show how the motion of the waves is related to the laws of mathematics and physics. It also shows that the motion of the waves (price) is not random and is related to different elements.
Therefore, the future can be predicted in certain ways. Of course, technically. The old patterns and techniques are quite practical for this market, but they need to be updated.
NOTE: I emphasize again that this video is just to show a broader view to the cryptocurrency market
GOOD LUCK
XAUUSD - Elliott Wave Rules & Guidelines of Wave FormationThis publication will focus on some of the rules and guidelines of wave formation in Elliot Wave theory in relation to the correctional sequences of Wave 4 and zigzags.
Whilst Elliott Wave rules are requirements and form the basis of counting waves, understanding the guidelines of wave formation is as crucial in identifying wave structure and the likely scenarios that could unfold. Guidelines are not the same as hard and fast rules that cannot be broken, they are not always observed. However, they have proven to be very reliable over time.
Alternation guidelines within an impulse dictate that; Wave 4 has a tendency to differentiate both in depth and form, from the previous Wave 2 of the same degree. Often trending sideways for the final Wave 5 to breakout from impulsively.
Whilst a more common formation for Wave 4, the simple sideways correction (flat structure) formed as a Wave 2 between from July 2016- August 2018. Keeping in mind the alternation guideline of wave formation highlighted above, the potential for Wave 4 to play out as the alternate, more complex sharp correction is highly probable.
Having reached the current ATH in August 2020, the ensuing correctional Wave 4 played out an initial Wave A which had a sub-division of 5 waves. This further enhanced the likelihood of Wave 4 being a zigzag correction consisting of the following rules.
Rules for Zigzag (5-3-5)
• Zigzag is a corrective 3 waves structure (ABC)
• Sub-division of Wave A and C is 5 waves
• Wave B can be any corrective structure
• Wave B of a zigzag never moves beyond the origin of Wave A.
•Wave B of a zigzag always subdivides into a zigzag, flat, triangle, or combination of the three.
Wave B failed to surpass the origin of Wave A and in doing so respecting the following rule; Wave B never moves beyond the origin of Wave A.
This added further confluence to the correctional sequence being identified as a zigzag and we can assume that there is a higher probability that Wave C will end with going beyond the completion of Wave A according to the following guideline; Wave C of a zigzag will often end beyond the pivot of wave A. Although truncation cannot be ruled out entirely.
Another guideline which is important to note here is of the guidelines for channeling. One particular guideline states that; Wave C in a zigzag will often end at the projected trendline of the parallel channel. The obstacle here being the trendline of the larger degree channel. For this reason, it is my personal opinion that the wave C will not meet the trendline of its parallel channel. Rather, ending at the trendline of the larger degree.
In any case, both scenarios are possible as a further channel guideline accommodates the possibility of a throw-under; a possible throw-under could also occur with wave 4 falling below the trendline. This would allow for Wave C to end at the trendline of the larger degree channel. Although this would mean that the completion of Wave C will need to be much sharper and a significant throw-under which is less likely to occur. For this reason, I should think the guideline of Wave C ending beyond Wave A to be sufficient.
The guidelines covered above aren’t exhaustive, those highlighted are for the purpose of this analysis. I hope you have found the above information educational. Please remember that Elliot Waves are most effective for the long term analysis of markets and one should not make any trading decisions based on this theory unless they fully understand it.
If you found this helpful, I would most appreciate it if you would like the publication and leave a comment. You are most welcome to follow if you are interested in reading further publications/ideas of a similar nature. A breakdown of the lower degree wave counts will be published soon.
Thank you for taking the time.
BeyondEdge
UPDATE Made to Phoenix Ascending Indicator; See SetupHi Everyone! I added more "levels" and color coordinated those levels with the Bad Ass B-Bands. Simply letting you know you may have to refresh your browser window in order to incorporate the new update to your charts.
Happy Trading and Stay Awesome!
David
MONEY WAVE The Money Wave is the holy grail of the Elliott wave. The money wave is the third wave of an Elliott wave structure.
The third wave starts at the completion/end of wave 2 and aggressive entry can be upon a clear reversal candlestick while more positions can be added upon the breakout at the end of wave 1.
Targets are 161.80% or 200% of wave 1. It might sometimes exceed this if there is elongation.
Third waves move fast with strength, and the direction is clear when the price is within a third wave. Day traders may trade short-lived third waves seen on hourly charts. More long-term traders may trade third waves at larger degrees on daily and weekly charts. Long-term investors would trade third waves on weekly and monthly charts. Which degree you are looking to trade will depend upon your risk appetite and your experience.
As a general rule, trading waves below a minor degree involve more buying and selling. You have to watch the market daily, even hourly. The more times you enter and exit the market the more room for error, and so the greater the risk. Trading at minor, intermediate, and primary degrees involves fewer entries and exits and there is less risk. If your wave count is correct and you identify a third wave you can hold a position for weeks or months for profit.
Learn the following ratio of Fibonacci Level you need to determine the point of Entry and Exit.
1.Wave 2 should end at 50%, 61.8%,76.4%, 78.6% or 85.4% of Wave1
2.Wave 3 use to be 161.8% of Wave 1-2 but it can also be 200%, 261.8%,323.6% of Wave 1-2.
3. Wave 4 should end at any of this level of Fib 14.6%, 23.6%, 38.2%, or 50% of Wave 3 but not more than 50%.
4. Wave 5= Wave 1 length or 61.8% of Wave 1-3 or 123.6%, 161.8% of Wave 4.
TRIANGLE Triangle is found in the position of wave 4, wave B of A-B-C correction, or in wave X in double zig-zags (W-X-Y) or triple zig-zags (W-X-Y-X-Z). Triangles usually tell that the price will move in the dominant trend once more.
We have four types of triangles:
1. Barrier Triangle: Wave D ends at the same endpoint as wave B.
2. Contracting Triangle: Trendlines prices usually converge.
3. Expanding Triangle: Trendlines prices usually diverge.
4. Running Triangle: Wave B moves above the start of wave A.
Running & Contracting triangles are common.
Barrier& Expanding triangles are less common.
Triangles take time and move price sideways. It is very easy for a trader to label a triangle ABCDE. If a triangle is seen then expect the price to exit the triangle in the same direction it entered, and that the movement out of the triangle to be the last movement in that direction.
🌊 ELLIOTT WAVES CHEAT SHEET 🌊10 Rules to 🏄♂️ them all! Hello, You may have never heard of Elliott Wave Theory before! Here is a cheat sheet for Elliott Waves for top 10 Rules, so you can master them all! print this out and keep on your desk.
How do you read Elliott waves?
The Elliott Wave Theory is interpreted as follows: Five waves move in the direction of the main trend, followed by three waves in a correction (totaling a 5-3 move). This 5-3 move then becomes two subdivisions of the next higher wave move (fractal).
The Elliott wave principle is a form of technical analysis that finance traders use to analyze financial market cycles and forecast market trends by identifying extremes in investor psychology, highs and lows in prices, and other collective factors. Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871–1948), a professional accountant, discovered the underlying social principles and developed the analytical tools in the 1930s. He proposed that market prices unfold in specific patterns, which practitioners today call Elliott waves , or simply waves. Elliott published his theory of market behavior in the book The Wave Principle in 1938, summarized it in a series of articles in Financial World magazine in 1939, and covered it most comprehensively in his final major work, Nature's Laws: The Secret of the Universe in 1946. Elliott stated that "because man is subject to rhythmical procedure, calculations having to do with his activities can be projected far into the future with a justification and certainty heretofore unattainable." The empirical validity of the Elliott wave principle remains the subject of debate.
OpenSea version in signature below
Bitcoin's Market Cycle Explained Through Elliott WavesThis is an educational post on Elliott Impulse Wave structures, and how the theory can be applied to Bitcoin's chart, in order for us to identify the overall market trend.
Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. I am not responsible for the profits or loss generated from your investments. Trade and invest at your own risk.
Basic Elliott Wave Structure
- 80% of the time, an Elliott Impulse Wave would have a structure as the diagram demonstrated above.
- After the first impulse wave, we have wave 2, which is a short term corrective wave, play out.
- Most of the time, the second wave demonstrates a zig zag pattern, in which we can count ABC waves.
- When the second wave is a zigzag, there's a high probability that the fourth wave demonstrates a complex correction, such as a double three (WXY), or a triple three (WXYXZ).
- Also, when the second wave is a zig zag pattern, there's a high probability that the length of the third wave is 1.618x of the first wave's length.
- In this case, there's also a high probability that the length of the fifth wave is equal to that of the first wave.
- Keep in mind that these are all probabilities. There are no rules set in stone that state that waves have to move a certain way, in a certain length, but they tend to demonstrate this structure under certain conditions
Bitcoin's Elliott Wave Structure
- However, as you can notice from Bitcoin's Elliott Wave count chart above, Bitcoin's second wave did not demonstrate a zig zag pattern.
- Instead, Bitcoin demonstrated a triple three (WXYXZ) leading to a sharp final drop caused by the Covid outbreak.
- When the second wave demonstrates a triple three pattern, there's a high probability that the fourth wave demonstrates a zig zag pattern.
- Also, when the second wave is a complex correction, there's a high probability that the third wave's length is 2.618x of the first wave's length.
- Additionally, when the second wave is a complex correction, there's a high probability that the final wave's length is 1.618x of the first wave's length.
Bitcoin Weekly Chart Elliott Wave Analysis
- Taking into consideration the Elliott Wave structures explained above, we can now see that Bitcoin's trend can be explained by the second diagram.
- We saw a complex correction (triple three, WXYXZ) pattern on Bitcoin's second wave.
- We're currently completing wave 4, which seems to be a running flat pattern (ABC).
- While this isn't exactly a zig zag pattern, it's a variation of the zig zag pattern, and part of the larger concept of simple corrections.
- For a more in-depth explanation on this corrective trend for the short term, make sure to check out my previous analysis by clicking the chart below:
Revealing My Secret Method: Technical Symmetry Analysis
Summary
I believe that there's an extremely high probability that Bitcoin's bull run isn't over. While December's price action may be rather disappointing, as we're in the process of completing the final corrective wave within a bigger impulse trend, we could expect a parabolic rally as we move towards Q1 of 2022. Using Elliott Waves isn't about accurately predicting the exact price and period of an asset's price action. While a lot of people try to correct each other on "wrong counts", unless the general rules are kept, there really isn't a strictly correct way or incorrect way of using this theory as a tool. In my opinion, Elliott Waves are best used on longer time frames, to identify the overall trend, and which point of the market cycle we are at.
Analysis way - Buyers Vs Sellers ShiftsAnalyzing buyers vs sellers .
Very simple way of analyzing and trading supply demand in its purest form.
Identify where buyers has stepped in and showed interest in price and where is potential that they can step in again.
Identify where sellerss has stepped in and showed interest in price and where is potential that they can step in again.
Drop timeframe lower and -
1. see that for example Buyers are defending that level. and there is interest of buying.
2. identify shift of buyers vs sellers. see that the buyers have won battle against the sellers.
Price target: In uptrend price keeps breaking highs consistently. Once this stops and market keeps breaking lows trend changes. This highs and lows act as price target that If trend would continue price should hit and break higher.
Shifts: Shift where buyers won the battle against sellers and via versa.
Accumulation scheme We got different phases within this accumulation zone ranked from A to E. It starts with phase A is all about the end of the downtrend with often high volume and a big sell off. phase B serves the function of “building a cause” for a new uptrend. The main sign of this phase is an accumulation of positions by institutions. Phase C is the zone where we see a lot of testing and the zone where you want to look for opening positions long. You can see a lot of fake-outs in this phase where the weak hands will get stopped out. In phase D we looking for signs of strengths were prices are breaking out of its previous levels and then retests. In phase E of Wyckoff accumulation, the market leaves the TR, demand is in full control, and the markup is obvious to everyone
How an "Ending Diagonal" really forms and what it meansI've written most of the tutorial on the chart. Some will just call this a different form of a triangle. But I find this to be my favourite pattern of all and when they are clear, there is no doubt on the reversal They happen most often at the top of wave 3, because they form as a battle between Bulls and Bears. (or vise versa). I remember when I spotted my first one about 14 years ago and the incredible powerful turn that ensued. I thought it was magical.
Wyckoff theory and Volume tradingHere is a breakdown on LTC because some have complained about my call to short LTC. I have not changed my bias. I want to give an example of the phases as I see it now and what I am looking for before I go LONG. This will be interesting for breakout traders since they usually don't realize that the break and retest trade is contained within phase C and may or may not contain a spring. But when it does it is a type 1 schematic and we see it pinpointed with a volume pattern we call the stop hunt pattern. Currently we are in Phase B.
What constitute a trend... While going through the popular ideas in trading view, I come across MATIC and I felt I should share my wave count on this coin. While the publisher uses conventional technical analysis it is worth mentioning that it come with a lot of shortcomings which the wave principles did indeed provide. For example, the region highlighted in green does does constitute a valide trend and as such we dont expect to see trending price action in coming days. I will recommend you look for lower price action and possibly correlate it with BTC that way you increase your chances of success.
Are You a Swing Trader or Investor? You Need to Watch ThisHi Everyone! This video is not necessarily regarding crypto investing. This video is EDUCATIONAL for ALL TYPES of asset classes. Meaning, this also goes for the FOREX trader, Tech Stock Trader, Industrial Stock Trader, Commodities Trader, FUTURES Trader, INDEX Trader, etc... This WILL be "worth" your VALUABLE TIME... Trust me...
Happy Trading and Stay Awesome!
David