Gap TheoryThe gap theory is short and simple. Not everything needs to be lengthy and laborious. "Everything should be simple as possible, but not any simpler"
Break-Away Gap
Once a new cycle has begun and you see a breakaway gap in the STARTING of a move, you get confirmation of this new cycle. HOLD.
Run-Away Gap
Once the trend is continuing for some time and then you see a second gap, this is a confirmation that you are somewhere in the MIDDLE of the move, so you know a further movement in price is expected. HOLD.
There is a possibility that you can get multiple runaway gaps.
Exhaustion Gap
After a move in price had already happened, a gap that signals the END of the move happens. If this is your 3rd gap on the, you should look very closely to distinguish if it is a runaway gap or exhaustion gap. SELL.
How do you tell the difference between the exhaustion gap and the runaway gap?
Easy, if after the gap happens the price shoot straight up without closing the gap in the next few days ---> runaway gap. HOLD.
if after the gap happens the price is closing the gap in the next few days ---> exhaustion gap. SELL.
If you like it, follow and like so it will be saved in your saved ideas for future reference.
Wave Analysis
A simple Elliot Wave lessonI thought this would provide a good demonstration of Elliot wave theory with Dogecoin. I spotted this on a 2/5 minute chart but it displays nicely here too. Elliot wave theory depicts a retracement period, with waves a, b, c, and d (down, up...) all forming a horizontal triangle. Wave E breaks the down trend which fits perfectly with Elliot Wave theory. Watch for a breakout, or a false break with a continued horizontal retracement, AND more horizontal triangles...
Wyckoff Yöntemi CR Binance AcademyA Fazı
İlk faz, yerleşmiş bir yükseliş trendinin azalan talep nedeniyle yavaşlamaya başlamasıyla ortaya çıkar. Öncü Arz (Preliminary Supply (PSY)) satış gücünün kendini göstermeye başladığını işaret eder ancak halen yükseliş trendini durdurmaya yetecek kadar güçlü değildir. Daha sonra yoğun bir alım faaliyeti sonucunda Alım Zirvesi (Buying Climax (BC)) oluşur. Bu genellikle deneyimsiz tacirlerin duygusal alımlarından kaynaklanır.
Daha sonra, aşırı talep piyasa yapıcılar tarafından karşılandıkça, yukarı yönlü güçlü hareket bir Otomatik Reaksiyona (Automatic Reaction (AR)) neden olur. Bir diğer deyişle Kompozit Adam varlıklarını geç gelen alıcılara dağıtmaya başlar. İkinci Test (Secondary Test (ST)) piyasa yeniden BC bölgesine ulaştığında ve genellikle daha düşük bir tepe noktası oluşturduğunda ortaya çıkar.
B Fazı
Dağıtımın B Fazı düşüş trendinin (Sonuç) öncesinde oluşarak bir birikim bölgesi (Neden) gibi hareket eder. Bu faz boyunca Kompozit Adam kademeli olarak varlıklarını satar ve piyasa talebini absorbe ederek zayıflatır.
Genellikle, alım satım aralığının üst ve alt bantları defalarca test edilir ve bu süreç kısa vadeli ayı ve boğa tuzakları içerebilir. Piyasa bazen Alım Zirvesi (BC) tarafından oluşturulan direnç seviyesinin üstüne çıkarak Yükselme (Upthrust (UT)) olarak da adlandırılan bir İkinci Test'e (ST) sebep olabilir.
C Fazı
Bazı durumlarda piyasa, birikim fazının ardından son bir boğa tuzağı daha sunabilir. Buna Dağıtım Sonrası Yükselme (Upthrust After Distribution)(UTAD)) denir. UTAD temelde, Birikim sürecindeki Spring'in tersidir.
D Fazı
Dağıtımın D Fazı Birikimdeki D Fazının neredeyse ayna görüntüsü gibidir. Genellikle aralığın ortasında bir Son Arz Noktası (Last Point of Supply (LPSY)) yer alır ve daha düşük bir tepe oluşturur. Bu noktadan destek bölgesinin etrafında ya da altında yeni LPSY'ler oluşur. Piyasa, destek çizgilerinin altına indiğinde belirgin bir Zayıflık Noktası (Sign of Weakness (SOW)) ortaya çıkar.
E Fazı
Dağıtımın son fazı düşüş trendinin başlangıcını işaret eder. Talebe kıyasla arzın güçlü egemenliği sonucu alım satım aralığının belirgin şekilde kırıldığı görülür.
BTC still making bullish patterns on the top. what's going on?If you want to understand what the market is doing, the best thing you can do is spot these pattern combinations.
Elliott's wave principle is not a theory, it's a principle. that word itself means it explains the behavior of the waves. how they start.
it's a big different concept from a hypothesis, which may or not happen, a theory.
We get impulsive, corrective, impulsive sequence every time the market moves. slow, and fast movements.
At a certain Fibonacci levels and proportions, these pictures get drawn in every time frame.
When smaller forms are completed, they start drawing bigger formations.
the bigger the formation, the more significant movement is coming.
and inside bigger formations, smaller patterns can be found.
Size translate into a different time, price and shapes.
Wouldn't you like to read the markets?
Here's a Language you can learn.
It requires no technical indicators, no news/ fundamental analysis ..
You only need to see them once, to start seeing them twice.
Let me know if you are ready to start.
I'll start analyzing different pattern combinations so that you can see them too.
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Lito
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The Wave Principle begins with the fact that everything in the universe moves according to the Law of Nature following a mathematical pattern of contraction and expansion. (Fibonacci).
This applies to human beings and everything created by them, including the financial market.
According to the Wave Principle, markets always move in waves of action and reaction (impulses and corrections) of greater and lesser degree. Different shapes, strength, and time to complete.
Recognizing these patterns with Fibonacci and Golden Ratio (Phi | 0.618) can help us understand the market behavior to anticipate the next move.
#WavePrinciple #WaveAnalysis #WaveTrader #WaveTheory #Phi #GoldenRatio #Forex #Bitcoin
#BTC #Charts #TA #TechnicalAnalysis #Crypto #Cryptocurrency #RalphNelsonElliott #ElliottWaves
#ElliottTheory #NeoWave #NelsonElliott #TheWaveAcademy
HOW TO COUNT 9WAVES N THIS WEEK'S PRICE MOVEMENT IN H1I was asked how to count 9 waves from Tuesday to Thursday.
So I answer it here also this weeks price movement because it's important.
I analyze mainly H4 on weekdays, Weekly chart on Saturday or Sunday, and sometimes H1 to see detailed price movements in H4.
I think that there were 9 waves from last Tuesday to Thursday.
There's some ways to count waves but when you can't count well, Fractal could help you.
As counting with Fractals, you can see 9 waves.
However, it's really difficult to count that way. But if you find 9 waves, crash would come, this is a big hint to count bearishly and sell for later.
After lime9 yesterday, the price couldn't make the new high, where became Pink2, also could be the Right Shoulder of Triple-top.
Pink1 could be a neck.
Head-Neck : Neck-Target=1:1, so Target would be 1.3713
*Head(1.3809).Neck(1.3761)
Also, to the end of yesterday, the price was getting convergent like >, this is the sign of explosion.
Because the price was convergent, counting should be detailed like 2_1,2_2,2_3,2_4...
Tip: explosion often makes 9 waves.
We had those tips at the begining of today.
Then, to make Pink3, the price dropped as 2_1, 2_2, 2_3, 2_4, 2_5=Pink3
If lime 9 is the begining of the bearish impulse, we wanna sell at pink4. The bearish waves are not over yet, it is thought.
So where could be the pink 4?
Fib(Pink2-Pink3)38.2(1.3751) and 61.8(1.3772) look like the best spot to sell.
If Pink2(RightShoulder) is broken, this idea would be invalid.
PLEASE DO NOT FORGET TO LIKE👍🏻 AND FOLLOW ME❤ IT MOTIVATES ME TO THE NEXT IDEA! THANK YOU 🎉
Be Realistic ! there are always alternative scenariosit is vital for all traders to control their emotions. getting excited is natural for everyone but if you want to be a successful trader you have to learn how to control your feeling. we trade based on the facts not feelings!.
there are always alternative scenarios and a wise trader should be prepared in advance. being aware of alternatives can help you to control your feelings and manage your trade well. one tool to manage the trade is using Multi Unit Trade Strategy which will be discussed in another separate post. Here I want to introduce some alternatives for market path when a trader enters to a trade after an ABC correction .
First I should emphasize that I used BIDU chart just as an example and I do not claim that BIDU will follow what has been shown on the chart.
Alternatives after a possible ABC corrections are:
1- starting a new impulse wave and making a new major high : traders hope for this scenario and enter into the trade for making noticeable profit but does it always happen?
2- what we consider a wave C is not actually what we considered and it was in fact wave 3 of a descending impulse wave. experienced traders have faced this scenario many times. I showed this possible scenario on the BIDU Chart.
3- Stock may make a flat correction. this alternative has been drawn on the chart and you can see it's internal structure. flat corrections can be very misleading. be cautious !.
4- Dobule or triple Three correction. this scenario may pose huge loses to unexperienced traders when they feel correction is over and they see market is going up but suddenly every thing will change. Also recognizing a new entry point is not so easy in this type of correction. an example of a Double Three Correction has been shown on the chart.
Good Luck Friends
HOW-TO use whale jump out of ocean indicator
Whale and Banker Fund Tracking Indicator
I have been working on developing indicators on how to track the banker funds or whales. In my open-source indicators published, you can search for the keywords "Banker" or "Whale" to find and use these indicators. After three years of development and hard work, I have perfectly combined the banker fund/whale mathematical model and the unique Fibonacci space-time indicators. This is named as "L5 Whales Jump Out of Ocean X" indicator that I will introduce today. First of all, I want to state the three premises for using this indicator.
1. This indicator is not an open-source indicator, it is an Invite-Only indicator based on Tradingview scheme. You need to use TradingView Coin or cryptocurrency to redeem usage permissions for a period. I strongly recommend that more people use the free and open-source indicators I published. This L5 indicator is only for or suitable for TradingView community members who have a strong desire to use it and don't mind the closed-source form of the script.
2. "L5 Whales Jump Out of Ocean X" indicator is only suitable for discretionary trading, and does not support automatic trading system/bots with alerts. Users who are willing should know the scope of use of this indicator in advance, and determine whether it is suitable for your own situation before deciding whether to redeem the permission to use it.
3. You cannot delegate the full responsibility of your trading decisions to this indicator, I hope you will do so knowing that much more trading knowledge, skills and live trading experience than access to this script is needed to become a successful trader.
This indicator introduces three independent judgment standards. They are whales & waves, Fibonacci time windows and dynamic Fibonacci retracement arrows. Whales and waves are banker fund/ whale behavior modeling based on my unique moving average technology. Fibonacci time and space indicators are a unique improvement I made to traditional indicators of the same kind to make them more powerful.
Application Scenarios
This indicator is basically applicable to all markets, but requires traders to choose the most suitable trading pair to operate. This indicator is used for multiple periods. Because the smaller the period, the more unstable the data, the larger the period, the more stable the Fibonacci space-time indicator. I use this indicator for the operation of cryptocurrency, commodities, forex, local stocks and ETFs. When this indicator is combined with the candle patterns of Japanese candlesticks, it will often produce higher quality signals, so I suggest that people who use this indicator should have the basic knowledge of Japanese candlesticks in order to better use this indicator.
What are "Long Whales" and "Short Whales "?
One of the biggest differences between cryptocurrency and traditional financial markets is that cryptocurrency is based on blockchain technology. Individual investors can discover the direction of the flow of large funds through on-chain transfers. These large funds are often referred to as Whale. Whale can have a significant impact on the price movements of cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin . Therefore, how to monitor Whale trends is of great significance both in terms of fundamentals and technical aspects.
We often see whales suddenly jump out of the ocean and then set off huge waves. What we need to do is to surf the wave according to the trend after the whale jumps out of the sea. This is really an exciting sport!
Therefore, in this indicator. "Long Whales" denotes banker fund is pumping the price, which is presented as fuchsia and red stick bars (Motive waves with fuchsia color; corrective waves with red color). On the ohter hand, "Short Whales " means banker fund is dumping the price, which is described by yellow and red green stick bars (Motive waves with yellow color; corrective waves with green color).
Concepts of whales and waves are inroduced to judge the power balance between long and short, respectively. There are two types of whales: long whales (fuchsia-red stick bars) and short whales (yellow-green stick bars). In response to this, there are two types of waves: long waves (fuchsia-red areas) and short waves (yellow-green areas). The color is mainly used to distinguish whether it is a motive wave or a corrective wave (if you have been exposed to Elliott wave theory, this concept will be much clearer). Long whales and waves use fuchsia color represents motive waves (bullish), red represent corrective waves (bearish); short whales and waves use yellow color represent motive waves (bearish), and green color represent corrective waves (bullish). Because the behavior of this model is indeed very close to the phenomenon of whales jumping out of the ocean to stir up waves in nature, it is named. When using, you need to pay attention to the amplitude of long and short waves and the comparison between the two. For example: If the amplitude of the short wave is gradually higher than the long wave until a certain level, there will be a short whale ermerging, that is to say, the short-whale goes out of ocean and stimulates a short wave amplitudes. This is a good time to go short until the yellow stick bar turns into a green stick bar (the motive short wave becomes a corrective short wave). Once the green stick bar appears, it is the time to close the short position. The same goes for long.
What are "Long Waves" and "Short Waves"?
Waves are generated by whales and they will forcast when whales emerge. In this indicator, fuchsia and red areas (Motive waves with fuchsia color; corrective waves with red color) stand for long Waves; while yellow and red green areas (Motive waves with yellow color; corrective waves with green color) stand for Short Waves.
Long whales and short whales are used to track the trading of banker funds. How to judge when the banker funds do not move? The answer is to use wave conditions for observation. When there are no whales, please observe whether the wave is dominated by long waves or short waves. Long motive waves are represented by fuchsia color, long corrective waves are represented by red; short motive waves are represented by yellow, and corrective waves are represented by green.
The wave characteristics of this indicator are used to predict whether whales will appear in addition to the normal long-short power comparison. Before the whale goes out of ocean, in nature, the waves on the sea will fluctuate greatly. This phenomenon also appears in this indicator. As long as banker funds start to take action, they will definitely be reflected in the waves. This phenomenon can predict the trend of banker funds. For example: when the long wave gradually surpasses the short wave, and continues to rise and rise, so as to exceed the normal level in the past, this may indicate that the whale is going to jump out to pump or dump.
Fibonacci Time Window Background Color Indicator
The Fibonacci time window is an indicator that suggests periodic price positions. Its principle is to judge the number of times the current candle appears on the time axis when the retreat time period is a Fibonacci number. If the current candle is in the historical data, multiple times coincide with the price high or low of the cycle that the Fibonacci number will retreat, and the number of times exceeds a certain threshold, the indicator will determine that the current candlestick is in Fibonacci time window. On the Fib time period, it is usually the time point near the long-short reversal. The principle of this indicator is completely dependent on time and historical price highs and lows. It is a technical indicator independent of price trends and volume. Combining it with whale-wave can effectively improve the signal quality. Once resonance occurs, signal reliability will also be improved. The Fibonacci time window is represented by the indicator background color. When the Fibonacci time window indicates that the current candlestick is a potential lowest point in time, the background color is green; when the Fibonacci time window indicates that the current candlestick is a potential highest point in time, the background color is red.
Fibonacci Space Retracement Arrow Indicator
At present, there are many technical indicators related to Fibonacci retracement in the community. Fibonacci retracement levels are horizontal lines that indicate where support and resistance are likely to occur. They are based on Fibonacci numbers. Each level is associated with a percentage. The percentage is how much of a prior move the price has retraced. The Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. While not officially a Fibonacci ratio, 50% is also used.
However, in "L5 Whales Jump Out of Ocean X", a smarter way than the traditional Fibonacci retracement is adopted. First of all, my Fibonacci retracement is dynamically configured and adaptive. The Fibonacci retracement position is dynamically represented by up and down arrows with different color intensity (if you are used to using traditional Fibonacci retracement indicators, you may need to adapt to this new model). In other words, you do not need to configure a fixed-length back-off period to find high and low points. It counts the results of Fibonacci retracements of multiple short, medium and long periods (periods are still not fixed values here, but adaptive under an upper limit). If there are many times in this statistical result that the current candlestick falls on the key Fibonacci retracement positions of multiple short-term, mid-term and long-term historical data, a stronger chromatic arrow (brightest) will be displayed. Conversely, if only a few statistics are hit, the arrow with the weaker chromaticity (darkest). These arrows are dynamically deployed on the whale and wave oscillators, and "SUP" indicates the Fib support level, "RES" indicates the Fib resistance level, "*SUP" indicates a preparatory signal, and the support level will appear later, and "*RES" indicates a preparatory signal, the resistance level will appear later.
SPECIAL NOTE : Because Tradingview limits the number of labels (Label) used on the server side in order to save resources, not all historical data will have a dynamic Fibonacci retracement arrow sign. Instead, the Fibonacci arrow display is only performed on the finite period of the latest data retreat.
Preparatory Signal X
Another major feature of this indicator is to provide preliminary signals for support and resistance levels. Please note: Preliminary signals are not signals of support or resistance levels. They are only early reminders that one candle or a few candles will touch the support and resistance of historical data. So don't be nervous, it is best to see the state after the price touches or breaks through the support and resistance levels before making a decision. The preparatory signal is indicated by a cross "×" in the indicator. If the preliminary signal is red "×" and displays "*RES", the market meaning of this preliminary signal is that the subsequent price may touch the historical resistance level; if the preliminary signal is green "×" and displays "*SUP", this market implication of the preliminary signal is that the price may touch the historical support level later. Finally, the preliminary signals will not fluctuate with the value of the indicator, they will only appear on the zero axis.
Multi-Timeframe Observation
This indicator is suitable for multiple time frames. Generally speaking, multiple time frames of observation are helpful to determine whether the signal is reliable. You can use Tradingview's chart to focus on two time frame levels at the same time, typically the multiplier is 4 to 6 times. For example: if your operation level is 1H, you can also pay attention to the trend changes on the 4H. This helps to make the right decision without being affected by the subtle fluctuations of the current time frame.
Wolfe Waves Example!This is not a forecast or a signal! it's just an example of an occasion which a pattern like Wolfe Waves worked well !
This chart has almost followed the rules of Wolfe waves , unless the first point is not exactly on the right place!
1st point: Start of the wave
2nd: First top of the channel
3rd: First low of the channel
4th: Second high of the channel regarding thee pivots!
the next 2 pivots are useless since they are not a place to be considered as a Wolfe waves' points!
5th point: as it should be broke to channel!
Open Trade: OT is breaking back to channel!
Stop Loss: SL is just below the 5th point in long option and reverse of it, in short trades!
I personally distinguish the pattern so late! but the Wolfe waves is a great way to find very profitable trades which is not so trending in these days
0904 DAILY PLAN AUDNZD to sell with RR>3Hello traders
Remember our last idea on this ratio?
There was chance to open buy on 4h chart with broken channel.
But this ratio turn down very soon BY TESTING 4H RESISTANCE ZONE twice.
If you open a trade on the circle position on 4h chart we marked out, now the reversal japanese pattern ( engulfing pattern) beneath 4H resistance zone was a signal to decice if you want to close manually or just wait till SL hit. ( I will close manually with break even).
Go back on daily chart, there is a strong daily bearish signal by running beneath average band of BB for last few days. On such case with broken daily trend line, it would be a ideal chance to sell to next daily support.
And if you taking 4h price action into consideration, you could make a setup with RR>3. Not bad, right?
This is a ratio that goes slowly than popular pair. This is what you should know. So this is only for enducation purpose. Wont be a signal for my people.
Good luck!!!
LESS IS MRE!
How to build your Trading System?How to build your Trading System?
A simple trading system should include:
Step 1 Strategy to decide which direction to trade.
Step 2 Before you enter a trade, set realistic profit targets and risk/reward ratios. What is the minimum risk/reward you will accept? Many traders will not take a trade unless the potential profit is at least RR>3. For example, if your stop loss is $1 per share, your goal should be a $3 per share in profit.
After step 1, it does not mean you can open a position anywhere, anytime you like. You should wait for a confirming entry signal. Usually, we would use RSI and Bollinger Band with candle pattern to help us on this step.
Step 3 No one can be 100% accurate. Control risk could help you have more chances to trade.
How much of your portfolio should you risk on one trade? This will depend
on your trading style and tolerance for risk. It should probably range from around 1% to 5% of your portfolio on a given trade. And you should not trade too many times a day since trading opportunities do not happen all the time.
Step 4 A trade always end with three possibilities: target hit, stop loss hit or manually close with your Exit Rules.
Step 5 Do Your Homework. Many experienced and successful traders are also excellent at keeping records. If they win a trade, they want to know exactly why and how. More importantly, they want to know the same when they lose, so they don't repeat unnecessary mistakes.
If you already a profitable trading system and keen on planning and recording all your trades, congratulations, you are in the minority on the way to trading successfully.
Good luck!!!
LESS IS MORE!
Elliot Waves Complete Guide | Chapter 3.5 - "Double Three"Hello Traders. Welcome to Chapter 3.5, where we talk further about two more different types of triangles - the Barrier and Expanded triangle. In the previous chapter we talked about the running flat and contracting triangle, but for these two, they are essentially the same but different overall shape! Most importantly, these are very common patterns within the realm of technical analysis and these textbook patterns also have Elliot Wave patterns within these common patterns. So, as you can see, if you can memorize the simple patterns, then you can start applying more advanced theories on top of them!
Chapter 3 Glossary:
3.1 Zig-Zag Waves
3.2 Flat Correction , Expanded Flat
3.3 Running Flat, Contracting Triangle
3.4 Barrier Triangle, Expanded Triangle
3.5 Double-Three
3.6 Triple-Three
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Double-Three
A double-three pattern is most often distinguished by all the segments in the pattern being almost equal. This is also known as an accumulation period! Yes, most people who like to accumulate when markets are flat, even have Elliot Wave patterns applied. To have this outcome, the x-wave should be included in this category as well. It merely means that we can only look for flat patterns for corrections that form both before and after the x-wave. In a way, such a pattern resembles a double-flat pattern, the only difference being that the x-wave retraces more than 61.8% into the territory of the first correction (more on fib levels in the future chapters).
When compared with the double flat pattern, a double three has no channelling component. Even in the case of a double flat, the channelling component is different from what channeling in general means. An important factor in trading a double three is knowing the timeframe the pattern is forming on. If it is forming on a longer timeframe, such as daily, weekly or monthly, then the market is basically taking a lot of time to consolidate, and it is not wise to take a trade based on the move that should follow such a consolidation. The reason for this is that swaps are going to be paid throughout all this time, and swaps are mostly negative. As a quick reminder of what a swap is, it is the difference between the interest rates of the currencies that make up a currency pair; and at the end of a trading day, providing the trades are not closed, a small amount is deducted or added to the trade. Paying a negative swap when trading a double three on the longer timeframes can prove to be an extremely expensive thing to do, and should therefore be avoided.
Technicals:
Again, apart from the normal and shorter corrections, there are actually more complex variations like the double or triple three (the triple three will be talked about in the next sub-chapter). These patterns are a combination of single and simple correction patterns like the zig-zag pattern, the flat, or the triangle variation. These single corrections are associated by a connecting X wave, which can take any corrective form, but is USUALLY in the form of a zig-zag pattern. Characteristics for complex corrections is a sideways movement (consolidation) as indicated by the blue rectangle box.
Rules:
• Zig-Zag patterns and triangles only happen once in this type of combination.
• Triangles only appear as a Wave Y.
• The difference to a double Zig-Zag correction apart from the components, is the horizontal orientation. A Zig-Zag corrects sharper and more against the major trend.
→ It is possible that two flats are appearing, but a flat followed by a triangle is a more common example. As the single corrections tend to alternate in form.
The count for a double three is a W-X-Y. Double three’s are common in the more shallow part of the wave 4.
❗The purpose of double or triple threes is to expand the DURATION of the correction.
❗Watch out for a triangle or a final wave C to catch the continuation of the primary trend. This is where you want to possibly take the trade!
If you have no idea what you are reading, start from chapter 1!
Sceptical indicators, strategies or tools? Thoughts? So this post is a little different - it's not an analysis or really a tutorial. I am looking to see what the community sees as the strangest, craziest, most colourful, most interesting or pointless indicator, strategy or tool?
About 2 years ago I was shown a strategy/technique - I assumed it was complete rubbish, it talks about Lunar dates, cycles. Now although cycles play a role in the market - I wasn't convinced it was powered by the moon. At first, I was very dubious about the concept of what seemed a sceptical idea.
Over the years I have studied Fibonacci, Elliott, Gann, Wyckoff and often see logic to the idea. Now and again something pops up on the radar & I like to explore it. I've tested Algo's and Robots, strategies that claim 97% success rate. You name it and it's possibly sitting in the junk hard drive with my FX/trading pdfs, indicators & videos.
Delta Phenomenon
In the early 80's, Welles Wilder founded the Delta Society International. His purpose was to share the “secret of the order behind the markets.” This order, the Delta Phenomenon, is the basis of all market movement relative to time. All other methods of technical analysis are enhanced by this timing tool. As you will learn, the Delta Phenomenon gives a higher probability of trading success to existing systems. Mr. Wilder states "I have solved the Delta Phenomenon for many different markets over hundreds of years of data and I have never seen a failure in this order."
Now at this point - I'm thinking, why isn't this mainstream or this guy not locked up in a nuthouse?
I had read other Wells Wilder books and found them to be overly simplistic. In that regard, I was not disappointed. Now as I said at the start of this article, I'm not looking to teach the method - it's such a strange concept, I thought there must be other people out there with things they find interesting or pure crazy?
Pitchforks for example - why do they work, how do they work? (not a question, more a statement)
How about Gann? Why and how can Gann techniques plot trend lines for the future?
Master of the Universe - Fibonacci levels - Again, why???
If you look at the dates on the chart above - these are forecasted using the delta technique, in theory, it's trying to predict moves in the market using moon cycles. Blank circles are daily turn points, circles & dots are major moves and the large circles with both, are dates whereby both near and medium dates co-exist.
I am keen to hear what you think? Do you know of the delta phenomenon? Have you used it? What about something else similar? or just something you find interesting or/and random? How about something you are sceptical about?
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
BREAKOUT STRATEGY - TREND BREAKOUTBreakouts are one of the most common trading strategies. They involve identifying a key price level you expect the price to break through, and then buying or selling at that price in order to take advantage. Generally breakouts are used when the market is already near the extreme high or low of the recent past.
GOOD VS BAD REJECTION PATTERNSHello Traders and welcome to out channel. GOOD VS BAD REJECTION PATTERNS. If u like this educational content please support it with a like so we can keep posting more content like this. If you have any additional questions let us know in the comments and we will provide you with the answer! SharkFx wish you a wonderfull weekend and successful trading week ahead!
MOST HEAVILY TRADED CURRENCIES Hello Traders and welcome to out channel. MOST HEAVILY TRADED CURRENCIES. If u like this educational content please support it with a like so we can keep posting more content like this. If you have any additional questions let us know in the comments and we will provide you with the answer! SharkFx wish you a wonderfull weekend and successful trading week ahead!
Fibonacci Extension (How To Use Tool)The tool can be applied to any time frame, from tick charts all up to daily or monthly charts; no matter what time frame you trade on the application of the tool is the same.Use the Fibonacci extensions tool to provide profit targets on trending trades. For slowing or weak trends, the 61.8 level tends to work best. For medium trends, the 100 level, and for stronger trends the 161.8 or higher targets are acceptable. Apply the Fibonacci extension tool to multiple waves, and even different time frames to be aware of different levels which may affect the price of an asset.
Proponents of Fibonacci assert that each price wave has a mathematical relationship to waves that occur before and after it. This relationship is based on the “Golden Ratio” and a series of “Fibonacci Numbers” which help define the numerical relationship of one thing to another. The “Golden Ratio” is derived from this sequence. As the sequence progresses, if a number is divided by the prior number it produces a ratio: 3/2 is 1.5, 13/8 is 1.625. As the numbers progress the relationship reaches the Golden Ratio of 1.618.
The Fibonacci Extension tool is applied to one wave of a price move, which in turn helps to predict where future waves in that trend will go to, and possibly reverse.These are commonly used Fibonacci extension levels:61.8%, 100%, 138.2%, 161.8%, 200%, 238.2%, 261.8%. These Fibonacci Expansion levels are attained by finding relationships between the numbers in the Fibonacci sequence, discussed above, through various calculations. The level the price stops at will vary depending on the strength of the trend. Most often we see the price pause or reverse at 61.8 (weaker trend), 100 (medium trend), or 161.8 (strong trend). Once the reversal occurs we can then draw another Fibonacci extension, but we will keep the old one(s) on the chart as well, since down the road there are additional levels which can still be used such as the 200, 238.2, 261.8 and 300.
Use the Fibonacci Expansion tool in all markets and on all time frames. It is a trend following tool and helps isolate potential profit targets for trades. It is also used to spot areas where the price could reverse, although using it to predict reversals isn’t encouraged. The price may not stop exactly at a Fibonacci level, rather Fibonacci levels are just zones. We also don’t know if the price will reverse off a Fibonacci level, just stall or only pullback slightly. Sometimes the price will completely disregard Fibonacci levels, especially when major news occurs. In conclusion: Noted on daily GBPUSD is an Fibonacci Extension tool with a target/reversely at 161.8 (golden ratio)- up to 235 pips in profit on this swing trading. Risk management is always #1 when trading Forex.