Elliott Waves - How to Identify Ending Diagonal?Why is it critical to be able to identify Ending Diagonal waves - because normally their completion is followed by the reversal of trend and in some cases with explosive price movements.
Above are the general rules for all the internal waves and for different variations of the pattern - Expanding and Contracting Ending Diagonals.
Why is Ending Diagonal forming instead of Impulse
When in wave 5 - usually it occurs at the end of a growth cycle like we are observing now when the risks of investment (in case of equities) are increasing, and energy of bulls is slowly getting overwhelmed by the strength of bears, and a rapid reversal happens with some trigger point - Covid in 2020
When in wave C of zig-zag - similar but in reverse, the energy of bears is weakening when forming a correction and bulls are taking over and a new growth cycle begins
It is important to note though that with great potential gains for investors, Ending Diagonal can be confused in some cases with complex corrections so traders need to be careful and considering only those cases where there is a very clear structure of waves.
Here are few examples from the real equities to see the different types of this extremely important wave structure.
Booking Holdings - an Expanding Ending Diagonal has been forming since the crash of the great financial crisis and with the current poor fundamentals the upcoming correction may be very deep
Tesla - just recently a lengthy Running Flat correction has completed with an Ending Diagonal in wave C (although it is still risky to assume this scenario given fundamental risks)
Amazon - the historic high in July 2021 was completed by an Ending Diagonal and notice how deeply it has corrected since then
And here are few examples where an Ending Diagonal is potentially developing:
Berkshire Hathaway - waves 1 to 4 have been formed and we are awaiting the final zig-zag of wave 5
AMD - after forming historic high the price has been correcting with ABC pattern and potential Ending Diagonal in wave C
HP - waves 1 to 4 of a global impulse have been formed and it is noticeable how choppy is the movement in the final wave 5 which is likely to be an Ending Diagonal
MA - similar situation as in HP
Thank you for reading my post.
Also let me know if you would like to see other stocks, indices, Forex or Crypto analysed using Elliott Waves.
Wave Analysis
Wave personality (PART 1)Characteristic waves "1":
-Commonly,during the bottom start of waves "1"the accompanied news is generally bad, the period often exhibits the occurrences of recession (during intermediate wave degrees),or even depression and war(during large wave degrees).
-At this point and given that the input information on the current economic situation dos not look good,fundamental analysts continue to lower their earning estimates.
-Quite commonly, wave "1" are formed as a part of the bottoming phase or more generally, during periods of disbelief and thus, tend to demonstrate deeper corrective movement in wave "2"
-Wave"1",the rebound from a preceding bear trend, is constructive and offers a more structured rebound from undervalued price levels.this move often displays a subtle increase in volume and is relatively supported by market breadth.
-The short interest level peaks as the majorly of market participants believe that the overall trend is to the downside.investors view the rally as last chance to sell and get out.
-When waves"1" rise from either large base formed by the previous correction, or from extreme compression. They appear as dynamic and dramatic , and result is that only moderate retraced is seen in waves"2"
Characteristic waves "2":
-Waves"2"act so as interrupt the progress and the directional move of price.They tend to heavily retrace (but not extend) wave"1",especially, since they themselves occur mostly during the periods of disbelief,prior to the market-up phase.
-More often then not,news ans fundamentals tend to be worse during the end (bottom) of wave"2"when compared to the beginning(bottom) of wave"1".
-systematically,during wave"2",investors are convinced that the bear market is proceeding once more following the termination of wave"1"or what they had perceived to be another counter trend rally.
-Waves"2"are often associated with downside non-confirmations.This usually takes the shape of a wakening downside momentum and breadth.adding to this , waves "2" are often accompanied by low volume an volatility,indicating a drying up of selling pressure. It is not uncommon for waves"2"to take more time in formation compared to their preceding waves "1".
Characteristic waves "3":
-Waves"3"are strong and broad;the trend at this point is unmistakable.waves"3" occur are confirmed during the start of what the classic approach highlight as the 'mark-up' phase.
-Turnaround fundamentals stories begin to flow in the financial arena,causing an investor confidence re-build.
-Waves"3" usually generate the greatest volume and price movement,as they most often extended beyond their normal limits,with respect to both time and distance.
-During waves"3",successful classical pattern-breakouts are commonly observed;multi-continuation gaps,volume expansions,exceptional breadth(since almost all share price and market sectors participate),as well as major Dow Theory confirmations and runaway price movement,which create large gains in the market,depending on the wave degree.
-Corrections in waves"3' are usually weak and short-lived as those who bet on buying pull-backs suffer the likelihood of missing the move.
Characteristic waves "4":
-In principle,the occurrence of wave "4" implies that the best part of the growth phase which was evident in wave"3" has ended.
-More often then not, waves"4" appear as a form of a sideways interruption.they develop as part of the building of a base for the final fifth wave move.in part,wave "4"is seen as the "public participation phase" as termed by the classical approach(Dow Theory).
-Lagging stocks build their tops and begin declining during this wave,since only the strength of wave "3" is thought to have pulled them along for the upside participation.This initial deterioration in the market sets the stage for breadth divergences,non-confirmations and subtle signs of weakness during the fifth wave.
Characteristic waves "5":
-specifically,in stocks,waves"5"are always less dynamic than waves"3" in terms of breadth.With the exception fifth wave extensions,they usually display a weaker momentum as well.
-As a general feature, volumes in waves"5" tend to be less when compared to wave"3" volumes.
-during advancing waves"5",optimism runs extremely high as further public participation emerges, despite a narrowing of breadth. Nevertheless,market action dose improve relative to prior corrective wave rallies.
-Commonly,during the top (end) of waves"5",the accompanied news is positive,implying that prosperity and peace guaranteed forever as arrogant complacency becomes evident in the financial community and financial news.
Characteristic waves "A":
-During "A" waves of bear markets;the investment world is generally convinced that this reaction is just a pullback pursuant to the next leg of advance. the public surges to the buy side despite the first valid technically damaging cracks in trend patterns of individual stocks.
-The "A" waves set the tone for the waves that follow. A five-wave "A" indicates a start of a directional or trending mode,while a three-wave "A" indicates that a flat or sideways mode will likely follow.
Characteristic waves "B":
-"B" waves are phonies. They are sucker plays,bull traps , speculators paradise, orgies of oddlotter mentality or expressions of dumb institutional complacency (or both).
-They are often accompanied by an emotional advance of narrow list of stock,which would be evident through non-confirming signs of TA-breadth and momentum indications.
-"B" waves are often unconfirmed by all/broader market indices and are almost always expected to be completely retraced by the following wave "C".
Characteristic waves "C":
-"C"waves inherit most of characteristic and properties of third waves in the sense that they are persistent and broad .
-In the case of bearish "C"waves:
+They are usually devastating in their destruction .
+There is virtually no place to hide except cash
+The false impression that the bull trend is "back on track" which was held throughout its preceding waves "A" and "B" tend to fade away,as fear and occasionally multiple panic phase take over.
+Fundamentals ultimately collapse in response of the market action.
-In the case of bullish "C" waves:
+They are constructive and often render sizable gains or return in waves of large degrees.
+They usually give a fake indication that the bull trend is back to stay.
Source IFTA
Morning Star Pattern: how to trade?🌟
❗️The Morning Star pattern is a market reversal pattern consisting of three candlesticks that indicate bullish superiority. This pattern warns us about the weakness of the ongoing downtrend, which, in turn, suggests the beginning of an uptrend.
⚠️Traders observe the formation of the "Morning Star" pattern on the price chart, and then confirm with the help of other technical tools on the Forex currency market.
✅Morning Star pattern: Three forming candles
⏺Big Bearish Candle
⏺A small bullish or bearish candle
⏺Big Bullish Candle
The most important thing to remember is always that the market must be in a downtrend in order to trade according to the "Morning Star" pattern.
In order to confirm the downtrend, mark the lowest lows and the lowest highs.
1️⃣The big bearish candle is the first part of the Morning Star reversal pattern. This candle indicates that the bears are in full control of the market, which means that sellers continue to pressure the market.
At the moment, you should only look for sale deals, since there are no signs of a reversal yet. Here the Morning Star pattern is just beginning its formation.
2️⃣A small bullish/bearish candle is the second candle that starts with a bearish gap down. This candle indicates that sellers are unable to lower the price, despite very great efforts.
The price action ends with the formation of a rather small bullish/bearish candle (Doji candle).
If this candle is bullish, then we have an early sign of a trend reversal.
3️⃣A large bullish candle is the third candle that has the greatest significance, because here the real pressure of buyers is manifested. If the candle starts with a break, and buyers can push prices up by closing the candle even above the first red candle, this is a clear sign of a trend reversal.
✅Morning star: how to trade this pattern on Forex?
As we already know, the Morning Star pattern is a reversal pattern. As a rule, it indicates that bulls are capturing the trend, and bears are losing control.
Most beginners trade using the "Morning Star" pattern on their own, without using technical tools, or at least tips from more professional traders.
We do not recommend doing this — it is not as reliable as it may seem. Always connect this pattern with other reliable indicators, support and resistance levels, as well as trend lines.
So, in this strategy, we combined the Morning Star pattern with volume. Volume plays an important role in the formation of the model.
If the first red candle shows a low volume, then this is a good sign for us. Then, if the second candle is green and the volume is growing, this indicates buyer pressure.
After all, the volume of the third long green candle should be high. The large volume of the last candle indicates the confirmation of the upcoming trend and the entrances to purchase transactions.
If the third bullish candle has a low volume, do not pay attention to the fact that the Morning Star is forming. This volume does not indicate a bullish reversal.
To sum up: do you observe the closing of the third candle with a large volume? Open buy positions and move along with the uptrend until there are signs of a reversal.
✅Morning Star pattern: entry, take profit and stop loss
We have to open a deal when the next green candle closes. There are many ways to lock in profits.
We can close a position in any resistance zone or supply-demand zone. In this deal, we hold our positions because we have opened a deal since the beginning of a new trend.
You can also close your positions when the price approaches a significant resistance level on the higher timeframe.
⚠️Combining this pattern with volumes makes trading more reliable. Therefore, you need to place a stop loss just below the second candle.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
What to Consider When Opening a Position After I Post an IdeaHi Everyone! I have posted this before in a video in the past. I've had a lot of new followers lately. So, thought this would be a good time to REMIND older followers while introducing Phoenix Ascending and Bad Ass B-Bands indicators to new followers.
This is worth your valuable time!
Stay Awesome!
David
How To Analyze Any Chart From Scratch - Episode 1Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
Today we are going to go over a practical example on USDCHF, but you can apply the same logic / strategy on any instrument.
Feel free to ask questions or request any instrument for the next episode.
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
What makes trading different from gambling? [No Trading Zone]#Notradingzone #Tocademy #PrincipleTrading #Confluence
Hello traders from all over the world.
Observing thousands of retail traders during my lessons, lectures, and consulting, I realized that a lot of novice traders in contemporary market have some bad trading habits. Especially if you are a daily trader or scalper who usually take small and many short-term trades, please pay attention! Someday in the future, hopefully, you will eventually realize that the best and most ideal position in the world is to take neutral position. What I mean here doesn't imply that you should not trade at all and rest the whole time.
After entering this world of trading, within the process of becoming a mature trader there is a time when you realize the power of the TA(Technical Analysis). Once you start to practically utilize what you have studied and even see how the numbers on your account grow, you literally become mesmerized. This magical thing called ‘Trading’ would feel like the ONE you have been searching for the whole life. I know, calm down! It feels great when the price reacts to the lines and indicators you have drawn and put on the chart by yourself. In this particular stage, I see many traders sit in front of the monitors or watch their smartphones all day long, being addicted to trading. Well, here’s a truth that I deducted through years of my trading career and the data that I have researched; addictive traders hardly become successfully.
Always remember that our ultimate purpose of trading is to solely make money, not just for fun. Of course, making money would be fun but for some of you, the priorities of these two are switched. Before you even notice, you might find yourself gambling rather than trading. Now put your hands down, close your eyes, and think for a minute.
Are you anxious when you are not in a position?
Do you frequently regret that you closed your position too early?
Do you become angry when you miss big long or short?
Are you so urgent to recover your loss as soon as possible?
Does trading disturb your primary work? (Hard to focus both, isn’t it?)
Does trading masses up your lifestyle and relationship with people?
If you replied ‘Yes’ to majority of the questions, please cancel all of the pending orders right now, turn off the chart, get some rest, and forget about trading just for a while. I understand more than anyone that you are full of desire to chase all these micro trends or minor waves in 1 minute chart. Especially those who are trying to recover all the losses you made this week ASAP, before you encounter a bigger loss, trust me, take some time, and cool your head.
I am sorry to say but you might be more of a gambler than a trader right now. Sure, there would be few that still do fine with all those conditions but if you eventually keep ending up bad due to excessive entries or lose entire seed at one cue after series of consecutive wins, your addiction might be interfering your judgment. Irrational trading decisions are the biggest risk that human traders have to face and restraining our emotions during trading is integral. (Please click the image/link below for details)
As the image below indicates, since we humans cannot perfectly control our emotions every single day, the total number of trades and the net performance are not always proportional in a short-term period. In other words, spotting thousands of entries in a single day does not always lead to daily accumulative profit. Not only you pay high transaction fees, but your physical and mental exhaustion can lower your concentration seducing your irrationalized perceptions to break your trading principles. Accordingly, the more excessive amount of time spent looking into the chart, the more likely our logical sense becomes numb and vague which can easily cause FUD and FOMO.
Researches have shown that the relationship between the entry rates and the performance (per certain period of time) of retail traders is averaged out as a curved shape with a local maximum coordinate. This peak point implies the ideal amount of profit and entries of a trader. It would be different for each trader depending on their preferences, capabilities, and other circumstances. For instance, 3~4 entries and $10,000 profit per day might be ideal set or oriented goals for some traders, while 10~15 entries and $100 profit per day might be those for other traders. Hence it is important for us to figure out each of our own boundary and refer to it when designing strategies and PnL first of all.
Therefore, a well systematically designed strategy that can effectively weigh and quantify technical signals based on the scientific and reliable evidences must be adapted. Once validities of each are scaled, we would be able to comprehend which signals are relatively more reliable than others. Shown on the main image above, even though entering a 80% credibility zone will provide low entry rate, higher RR ratio and win-rate can be achieved. We need to train ourselves to be able to call “No Trading Zone” when the identified trends and derived price action zones do not meet the minimum standards of our own.
Some of the talented and successful daily traders I’ve met are not very much different from most of us here. They analyze the market and design trading setups just like we do. If anything, that made them superior, they have a proficient sense for spotting the “No Trading Zone”. They are amazingly good at consistently stepping aside if the signals are not reliable enough or do not meet their standards. They know time is on their side and they wait in patient. It's just simply deciding whether to take certain trades or not, filtering out some of less potential entries and maintaining no position when they are less convinced about the signals, but these tiny differences ultimately result in a huge difference in performances.
Investors who trade with technical charts like us can measure the credibility of signals based on the confluency of technical signs and indicators. Here are two traders: trader A and B. Trader A considers eight signals (techniques, indicators, and theories). For example, trader A observes volumes, trendline, Fibonacci levels, moving averages, Bollinger band, Ichimoku cloud, RSI, Stochastic, and Elliott wave theory. Trader A won’t enter position unless majority of those signals are giving signs simultaneously relatively at the same price and time. On the other hand, trader B only considers trendline and moving averages. If only one of the two gives a signal, trader B enters immediately. Which trader would be more successful? Even though entry rate is low, trader A would be able to secure higher RR ratio and win-rates because the trends and price action zones that trader A has deducted through TA are more reliable than those deducted by trader B.
As mentioned, Confluence Zone is an area where multiple technical evidences overlap at the same price or time period. In TA world which is 2-dimensional, a price action zone would be expressed with a dot, a line or a box. When multiple indicators signal certain trends and PRZs both in price and time wise, we need to keep our eyes on those coordinates. We as a trader, need to utilize these confluence zones which indicate major price range within certain time period, to design trading setups. The more overlapping elements there are, the higher RR ratio and win-rate we can secure. And this is what makes gambling different from trading. Both of us fight with numbers, but we can control that numbers while gambler cannot manipulate the RR ratios and the win-rates they are given.
Thanks for reading my post. I will see you guys next time!
Your subscriptions, likes, and comments are the greatest motivations for me to write more posts!
Description of Each Indicator WITHIN Phoenix Ascending IndicatorHi Everyone! Josue, has been a "gift" sent to us all in regard to updates to Phoenix Ascending indicator and Bad Ass B-Bands Indicator. Josue, has provided a more descriptive explanation of each indicator within Phoenix Ascending. So, I'm sharing this with everyone here today.
Also, I'm no longer going to say, "Blue LSMA," "Red RSI," "Green RSI" and "White Energy." Instead, I'm going to say, "Blue Line," "Red Line," "Green Line" and "Energy." This will make it easier for me to say during publications with less syllables to say.
Here's Josue's brief description:
I am going to provide further information regarding the Phoenix Ascending indicator, based on my research, so this kind of discussion regarding what each indicator line is better understood in the future. All the lines inside the Phoenix Ascending (P.A.) Indicator are based on the GREEN line. This is the conclusion of my research:
# Phoenix ascending
## Green line
The Green line is the average of three indicators:
1. Wave trend oscillator
Refs:
usethinkscript.com
2. Money flow indicator
www.investopedia.com
3. RSI over three candles.
The following indicators are also computed inside P.A. script:
1. Money flow index.
2. Williams %R.
However, they are not used to compute the green line in the final version.
## Red line
It is a simple moving average of the green line over six candles.
## Blue line
It is a linear regression of the green line over the last 32 candles.
## White energy
It is the difference of the green and red lines multiplied by two and centered around 50
Hence, the energy (or momentum) tells as the difference between the current green line, and its average over the last six candles. This idea is similar to how MACD is used to find buy/sell points. This is why I have mentioned multiple times in the past that the energy is just the difference between the green line and the red line. If you have time, check all the information I have posted above to have a further understanding of the P.A. (Phoenix Ascending) indicator.
If you are wondering how I (Josue) found this information, I simply followed the P.A. (Phoenix Ascending) script's code and looked for the scripts of the cited authors in the script.
The indicators that form the green line, and the calculation of the red line has been tuned by David. So you will find some minor differences. Also, the blue line was added by David as he has mentioned in the past.
This is the original God Mode Oscillator indicator
End of Josue's explanation...
Me (David) talking again:
I want to thank Josue again for his due diligence and attention to detail.
I hope this was helpful to everyone and I look forward to saying less "syllables" in future video publications. LOL
As always, you know the drill, Let's all "Stay Awesome!"
David
PS - I first began playing around with Godmode in September, 2016 (changing inputs, adding an LSMA, etc...)
In April, 2017 I posted my first publication for Godmode indicator and some changes I made to it. I've learned a LOT since then. Of course I also added "Bad Ass B-Bands" since then. Why? Phoenix Ascending (Godmode) helped me determine the "odds" for potential movement of price action going up or down AND for how long price action could potentially "continue" up OR "continue" down. The "issue" was Phoenix Ascending (Godmode) could not tell us WHERE the price action could go WHEN it moves up OR down. THIS is where "Bad Ass B-Bands" came into play to help solve that dilemma.
Here is that first post from April, 2017:
Higher Timeframe analysis Hi, fellow traders
I find that majority of traders have common problems when doing MTF (multi-timeframe) analysis, usually, most of the traders are applying the same strategy all over the timeframes, so they end up using entry strategy on higher timeframes, and then also on lower timeframes, which puts then in an ever-spinning situation, where they end up being too early or too late and flip flop all over the place.
it is important to understand :
1) you need flow / structure / direction analysis
2) that will enable to create trade plan
3) based on trade plan you execute your trading strategy
Regardless what is trading strategy: Elliot wave correction waves, harmonic waves, candle patterns, confluence of indicators, pivot points .... what ever. Strategies are mainly not problematic. What is problematic is where you use them. On the internet there is this false theory that strategies go through periods with profitable performance and that this profitable performance periods need to make up/cover up for the losing performance period. That Idea is generally false.
for Example:
If on given day,EUR/USD was trending LONG,
from 1.038 to 1.064 value, in London Session. Every strategy that gave LONG trade signal between 1.038 to 1.05 was highly likely correct, and trader pocketed few pips of profit.
THIS is not because of trading strategy, but because trader took LONG trades in UP MOVING DIRECTION.
Major problem with strategies is that they are used all over the place cross all timeframes.
If Price is moving up, majority of strategies that gave long signal in that UP MOVE , were correct, this has nothing to do with Elliot wave, or RSI, or MACD or Pivots. IF was long signal in long direction.
If we now return to beginning of this post:
Based on flow/structure/direction/bias analysis you can create you trade plan.
For Example: EURUSD was trending SHORT, it stoped at 1.035. Based on manipulation of LOW (price broke short, than imediatly retrace back to 1.035 and is now holding around 1.035 but above it) You can assume that there is:
A) no selling interest
B) buying value
Trader can't know which one it is, but can assume and speculate on future direction. Out of this information trader can create Trade plan.
FOR EXAMPLE: take every opportunity LONG between 1.035 and 1.065.
Many times traders MIX zig zag drawings , with trade plan. Now that the trader has some idea of what might happen. He/She can open up his strategy. And take only the trade signals in direction of his trade plan, within the given range. Meaning if speculation is that High will be at 1.065, taking a long trade at 1.06 would be too late. But taking long between 1.035 and 1.05 will give enough room to at least scale out if not closing the entire trade.
On the picture above, you can see what I use to determine direction. I seek potential Buying and selling values on HTF, after selling or buying value is confirmed I take trades in that direction on much smaller timeframe until Price action on HTF changes.
Cheers
EURO under pressure - Key element to watchEURO under pressure - Key element to watch
Context :
Since 2000 EUR/USD is evolving between 0,82 and 1,60 providing two clear floor and cap level following the trend of global macro economy and the strategies deployed in the differents major central banks.
The last past weeks following the decision to lower the Quantative Easing, the different actions took in the world in order to control the inflation and the good figure confirming the pursuit of the accumulation of the growth (even slower than last year) in the develop countries - The consensus for the Euro were quiet clear => main research highlighted 1,08/1,12 as strong support area and 1,18/1,23 as strong resistance for a further trading range without significant element for EUR or USD to take significant advantage regarding Growth, inflation and monetary policy.
Today the situation is a bit different with less visibilty regarding the situation in Ukraine and even if we can exclude potential risk of global war, we can't ignored the risk about bilateral sanction between NATO countries and Russia. It means significant problem with energy/metals/commodities supply and price, political destabilisation, cyber attack, etc... This kind of modification take time to be absorbe and modified in order to set up a new strategy were russia will stay isolated from global economy for a while.
The first economy to be impacted will be definitely the Europe in this crisis and the EURO since one week is in a free fall mode.
So what to understand from EURUSD chart and what to focus on? :
- Only a Weekly Chart Basis
1/ The previous upside trend ABC 0,82 to 1,60 has been follow by a consolidation in ABC towards 1,02 (or a construction of the long-term downside swing within a huge triangle)
2/ For now the ABC downside pattern within the bearish channel seems to be finished with the test of the 1,02 support - Then we are evolving within a range/triangle dynamic (Blue Frame)
---> That the graphical situation illustrating the context above.
3/ If the ABC downside pattern is not finished we gonna see a downside breakout from the triangle/range structure on going (inside the blue frame) to open further downside risk
----> Risk = Irregular running Range (Test of the 1,0075/0,9750)
----> Risk = poursuit of the bearish channel within a complex ABC X ABC pattern towards 0,8450
4/ RSI indicators is approaching support but didn't reached the previous oversold area where bullish reaction started = It is more likely to see more bearish momentum to be developed.
5/ Moving averages are now capping the market at 1,1530
Analysis
Regarding the key elements and giving more weight to the Waves structures and the recurrence of Fibonacci levels, we can still giving more credit to see a development of a further trading range (blue frame) than a free fall of the Euro within the bearish channel towards 0,8450.
Where it is more tricky to to have conviction is between a range in irregular with the test of parity before swinging up or triangle pattern with 1,0750 as key support before developing a new upside swing
The key resistance is for now clearly set at 1,1530 and only a break out of this resitance can lower the downside risk significantly.
Trading
=> Intraday/multi days traders will use 1,0750 as stop loss level to catch the dip and play agressive recovery with for now the Moving Average as Target to watch
=> Mid-term Institutional trader seems already in restructuration of the strategy by activating action to hedge the commodities upside risk and the pressure on Europe, so i would say that the hedge in place is between 1,0750/0,97 for the downside risk and 1,1530 (Neutrality area protection to adjust option)
Don’t bite the bait. Time is money. This is a case of comparative advantage. Which means the less time it takes the coin to produce oil or energy, maybe even transactions. All will go down and then pop back up, much like a sinking ship.
Within the next 5 hours, an entry point will be present. It’s time to glean for Q2, because after this the prices will hit an all time high and then go back down until July. A lot will assume now is too soon, but yesterdays price isn’t todays price.
However, the cup and handle has presented its self. Now the next sign of equilibrium the price will make will be like a Nike check. Or a Wolfe wave. The eagle has left the nest.
2. API CRUDE OIL U.S.: anything under 5 is a sink. Forecast is in the -1.0 range.
TOTAL VEHICLE CAR SALES: Elon and Twitter
Don’t hire the bait just yet.
Keep your trading charts clean!🧹
✅Keeping Charts Clean: Since a trader's charting platform is his or her portal to the markets, it is important that charts improve rather than hinder a trader's market analysis. Easy-to-read charts and workspaces (the entire screen, including charts, news feeds, order entry windows, etc.) can improve a trader's situational awareness, allowing him to quickly decipher market activity and react to it. Most trading platforms allow you to largely customize the color and design of the chart, from the background color, style and color of the moving average to the size, color and font of the words that appear on the chart. Setting up clean and visually appealing charts and workspaces helps traders use indicators effectively.
✅Information overload: Many modern traders use multiple monitors to display multiple charts and order entry windows. Even if six monitors are used, you should not consider every square inch of the screen as technical indicators. Information overload occurs when a trader tries to interpret so much data that in fact they are all lost. Some people call this analytical paralysis; if too much information is presented, the trader will most likely not be able to respond. One way to avoid information overload is to exclude any extraneous indicators from the workspace; if you don't use it, lose it – this will help reduce clutter. Traders can also view charts to make sure they are not burdened with multicollinearity; if multiple indicators of the same type are present on the same chart, one or more indicators can be deleted.
✅Tips for organizing: Creating a well–organized workspace using only relevant analysis tools is a process. The set of technical indicators that a trader uses may change from time to time depending on market conditions, strategies used and trading style.
❗️On the other hand, charts can be saved if they are configured in a user-friendly form. There is no need to reformat the charts every time the trading platform closes and reopens. Trading symbols can be changed together with any technical indicators without disturbing the color scheme and layout of the workspace.
✅Recommendations for creating easy-to-read diagrams and workspaces include:
⏺Colors. The colors should be easy to view and provide great contrast so that all data can be easily viewed. In addition, one background color can be used for order entry charts (the chart that is used to enter and exit a trade), and a different background color can be used for all other charts of the same symbol. If more than one symbol is traded, you can use a different background color for each symbol to simplify data isolation.
⏺Layout. Having more than one monitor helps to create a comfortable workspace. One monitor can be used for entering orders, and the other for price charts. If the same indicator is used on several charts, it is recommended to place similar indicators in one place on each chart using the same colors. This makes it easier to find and interpret market activity on individual charts.
⏺Sizes and fonts. Bold and clear font makes it easier for traders to read numbers and words. Like colors and layout, font style is a preference, and traders can experiment with different styles and sizes to find a combination that creates the most visually pleasing result. Once convenient labels are found, fonts of the same style and size can be used on all diagrams to ensure continuity.
⚠️It is important to note that technical analysis deals with probabilities, not certainty. There is no combination of indicators that accurately predicts market movements in 100% of cases. While too many indicators or improper use of indicators can blur a trader's view of the markets, traders who use technical indicators carefully and effectively can more accurately determine trading attitudes with high probability, increasing their chances of success in the markets.
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1977 Interactive Double Zigzag Elliott Wave TheoryS&P 500 Index (SPX)
Trying to dive into some Elliott wave theory and I have a more "interactive" chart to present based off of historical data. I chose this sequence and timeframe because it seems easiest to understand with confirmed examples from some of my own reading materials. This was notated by previously known EWT masters to be a "Double Zigzag" corrective wave, in a bull market. I have taken the time to attempt to notate the subdivisions more clearly. This may not be perfect, but it is the best I can provide of a learning resource at this moment from my current understanding of EWT. The wave degrees may be slightly wrong but I think the wave count is technically correct as long as the first wave C of the first move down is actually some sort of diagonal. I also speculated that it could be a triple-three but I think a diagonal impulse makes more sense in that phase of wave C. Thanks for checking it out! Follow for more EWT ideas!
My Elliott wave analyses could be wrong at any moment , this is practice solely for educational purposes. Please do your own research as always!
Thanks for tuning in :) Disclaimer, anyone in the trade needs to do their own due diligence and decide what is right for YOU. My charts can be wrong at any time and it's very important that you have your own strategies and plans in place. I run this channel for my own educational purposes of learning to trade, and I will never be 100% right, so please do not let me confirm any bias for you! (Dangerous to do so, stay safe and remember the basics & rules of risk assessment.) Expect the unexpected and happy trading!
Pattern Trading\EW Impulse BTC 2018-20 ExplainedPattern trading with the knowledge of how to set targets and an understanding of busted patterns and their respective probabilities can lend accurate data with which to build stratagems for long term investing. I believe targets are eventually met and often lead into other patterns that create new targets along the way. A long term trader\investor must be patient with the market and wait for conditions to be met. Set your targets as you journey along with PA. Here we see a series of LTF events carving out a cup on the HTF along the way. The handle itself, after a pullback, triggered the 1st EW impulse wave which led to a wave 5 peak of 64k. For a complete guide into pattern trading, busted patterns, EW analysis and candlestick patterns check out www.thepatternsite.com. The site has a wealth of information for trading. I recommend knowing and understand Reversal, Continuation and Bilateral patterns and how to use them to set targets. Also know the odds of single, double, and triple busted patterns with each type of triangle and EW principles. Thank you for taking time out of your day to read this, I wish you well on your trading journey. If you have any questions please feel to ask, I'll do my best to answer them ASAP.
Why do I need a stop loss and how to set it?📈
❗️A stop loss is a limit order that protects you from further losses when the price moves against your position.
Correctly used stop loss:
🟢Allows you not to lose the entire deposit in one transaction.
🟢Liquidates losses and frees margin for new transactions.
🟢Minimizes possible losses.
✅Trading with a stop loss limits your losses and saves your trading deposit from a sudden price movement that is not in your favor. You can perceive a stop loss as a kind of insurance. You have to constantly pay small premiums, but insurance will protect you from large monetary losses in case of sudden market movements against your position.
✅The rules for setting a stop loss are often misunderstood in conventional retail. However, it should be clear that you can never enter a trade without a stop loss. Not only because you risk losing too much on one trade, but you also easily fall victim to emotional trading mistakes.
✅When you know where your stop loss is (and why you are placing it there), you will feel less tempted to break your stop loss rules and are more likely to stick to your original plan.
🟡What are the ways of setting stops?
There are three ways to set stop losses that can be used in trading:
1️⃣Volatility based stop loss.
2️⃣Time based stop loss.
3️⃣Structure based stop loss.
1️⃣Volatility based stop loss.
The volatility stop loss takes into account the current price volatility in the market. The indicator that measures volatility is the average true range or the ATR indicator.
You need to determine the current ATR value and multiply it by the coefficient of your choice.
2️⃣Time based stop loss
The time stop determines when to exit the trade depending on the time that has passed since the start of the position opening. Instead of exiting the market depending on the value of the price, you exit after a certain amount of time has passed.
3️⃣Structure based stop loss.
The structural stop loss takes into account the current state of the market relative to the levels. For example, the price usually reverses from the support level and goes up. Therefore, the stop loss can be placed under the support level.
In this method, you know exactly when you will be wrong if the market structure is broken. On the other hand, if the levels are far apart, you will need a fairly large stop loss. Therefore, you will have to reduce the position size in order to maintain the current level of risk.
⚠️Stop losses should not be used in situations where the reasons for the transaction are exclusively fundamental. The price should have the opportunity to "take a walk" before the idea is implemented. Risk management is carried out by selecting the optimal share of the portfolio allocated to the transaction. Often, stop-losses are not used in long-term portfolio investment based on an unambiguous fundamental approach.
❗️Stop losses should be used in transactions where there are clear technical grounds for its placement. In such strategies, many adhere to the tactic that the potential profit exceeds the possible loss in a ratio of at least 2 to 1 or 3 to 1 (this is individual). Stop-losses are necessary for speculative trades with large "shoulders" and/or trades with a small movement potential, where the filigree execution of entry and exit is important.
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Elliott Wave Theory - Corrective WavesThe Elliott Wave Principle at its core consists of motive waves, movement in the direction of the larger trend, and corrective waves, any correction against the main trend. Market prices alternate between a motive phase, and a corrective phase on all time scales of trend
Please refer to Elliott-Wave-Theory - Motive-Waves post covering rules and tendencies of motive waves, participants psychology at every stage of an motive wave and how to identify/forcast them using both fibonacci relations as well as channeling technique (price action).
This post is about Corrective waves . Corrective waves have a lot more variety and less clearly identifiable compared to Motive waves and are an important component of the Elliott Wave Theory. Corrective waves needs more attention and to be mastered to become a successfull Elliott wave practitioner
Corrective Waves
Corrective waves, consist of three—or a combination of three—sub-waves that make net movement in the direction opposite to the trend of one larger degree
There are many corrective patterns ranging from simple to complex yet they are just made up of three very simple easy-to-understand formations
Disclaimer: below presented figures displays guidelines that elliott waves may form. Guidelines are tendencies, not set in stone rules
a - ZigZag Corrective Wave (5-3-5)
Consist of three sub-waves against the main trend and labeled as ABC. ZigZag is a 5-3-5 structure internally
b - Flat Corrective Wave (3-3-5)
Consist of three sub-waves against the main trend and labeled as ABC. The labelling is the same as ZigZag, the difference is in internal structure. Flat is a 3-3-5 structure internally and differs from ZigZag in the subdivision of the wave A.
There are three different types of Flats: Regular, Running and Expanded Flats.
c - Triangle Corrective Wave (3-3-3-3-3)
Triangle formations are corrective patterns that are bound by either converging or diverging trend lines. Corrective structure consist of five sub-waves labelled as ABCDE, subdivision of a triangle is 3-3-3-3-3
Triangle corrective waves types can be listed as : Ascending, Descending, Symmetrical, and Expanding Triangles
d - Complex Corrective Waves - Double (3-3-3) and Tripple Three (3-3-3-3-3)
Double three is a sideways combination of two corrective patterns, labelled as WXY
Triple three is a sideways combination of three corrective patterns, labelled as WXYXZ
Please refer to Difference between ABC and WXY , for further details and structures of Complex Corrective waves as well as the differences between Simple corrective structures
The Elliott Wave Theory provides constructive insight that can help technical analysts monitor and understand the movements of financial asset prices over the short and long term.
Please note that these patterns do not provide any kind of certainty about future price movement, but rather, serve in helping to order the probabilities for future market action. They can be used in conjunction with other forms of technical and fundamental analysis, including technical indicators, to identify specific opportunities.
Technical Indicators
Ocsillators to detect divergencies (includes 15 different ocsillator) : OSCs
Elliott Wave Oscillator : EWO
Auto Fibonacci Retrecment/Extentions : Auto Fib Retrecment-Extentions
Volume Profile : Volume-Profile-and-Volume-Indicator
Other indicators that are referred among elliott wave practitioners
Pitchforks ( how to apply ), Pitchfans , FibFans ( how to apply ), FibChannels ( how to apply ), FibTime , Linear-Regression-Channel ( what it is ), Raff Regression Channel ( what it is )
How to use different types of Fibonacci in TradingViewWave Relationships and their relation by Fibonacci Ratios are among the most helpful tools for target prediction.
There are different types of Fibonacci and different tools with different names in different software packages. This may make users somehow confused . Here, we try to shed some light on various mostly used Fibonacci types and explain their usage for target prediction. Also we explain their related tool in TradingView and their way of implementations.
As shown on the chart, there are four main types of Fibonacci :
1- Internal Retracement
2. External Retracement (Extension)
3. Expansion
4. Projection
Before going through details, it is worth to mention that knowing wave relationships is a key to implement Fibonacci tools accurately. Different types of wave relationships is beyond the scope of this publication. Here, for simplification, we show most simple type of wave cycle which is ascending complete cycle with one 5 leg up impulse and one abc form of correction . Also, we try to explain more typical Fibonacci Ratios for target prediction and skip less often ones.
1. Internal Retracement:
This is simply for calculation of the amount of correction in the main trend. It means we can predict where a counter trend correction may end.
As shown on the chart, it can be used for target prediction of wave 2 and 4 in an up trend and also wave B in a down trend. It can also be used for calculation of end of wave C which is the end of correction of whole up going wave. Green arrows on the picture show the direction of using this tool which is "Fib Reracement" in TradinView. For example, we put first point at the start of wave 1 and second point at the end of this wave for obtaining possible targets for wave 2 and so on.
Wave 2 can end at 0.382, 0.5, 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci Retracement levels of wave 1. Fibonacci levels at which wave 2 ends can send us a signal about the amount of next waves. This is again beyond the scope of this publication.
Wave 4 can typically end at 0.382 or 0.5 Retracement of wave 3. Less and more amount of Retracements are also possible, but those make wave relations more complicated and does not match with our simple shown example.
Wave B typically corrects 0.382 , 0.5 and 0.618 of wave A in a simple zigzag correction. More Retracements signals for more complicated corrections e.g a flat correction.
Wave C Retracement levels are similar to wave 2 in shown wave cycle since it is end of a larger degree wave 2.
2. External Retracement:
This Fibonacci which is also called " Extension" can be used for calculation of end of wave 3 or 5 in an up trend and end of wave C ( which is end of whole correction) in a down trend.
We have same tool as internal retracement in TradingView however ,unlike internal Retracement, an extension should be drawn from a high to a low in an up trend and vice versa as shown by green arrows on the related figure.
Wave 3 Fibonacci Ratios by extension depends on the amount of wave 2 correction. For example, 1.618 or 2.618 extension of wave 2 can be the target for wave 3. Robert. C. Miner has proposed a very useful table for targets using external retracement.
Wave 5 typical targets are 1.272, 1.414 and 1.618 extensions of wave 4. This ratios are also the same for calculation of end of wave C.
3. Expansion:
Based on my experience, Fibo expansion is most useful when we have over extended waves for example over extended wave 3. In this case , 1.618 or even 2.618 Fibo levels can be the typical targets.
Related tool in TradingView is Trend-Based Fib Extension. Please note that this tool in TradingView is a three point Fibonacci while expansion is two point Fibonacci tool. Therefore, Implementing this tool for obtaining Expansion levels is a little tricky. For example, for calculation of wave 3 we should put first point at the start of wave 1 and double click on end of wave 1.
There are also more details in implementing Fibo expansion for example we have different types of Fibo expansion. We can skip details here to keep this publication as simple as possible.
4. Projection:
This is the only 3 points Fibonacci that we have. Some software packages call this Fibonacci as Expansion !!. Its related tool in TradingView is Trend-Based Fibo Extension. It is a very useful tool for calculation of end of wave 3, 5 and C.
Again green arrows show how to use this tool . For example, For wave 3 target calculation we set first point at the start of wave 1, second point at end of wave 1 and third point at the end of wave 2 or start of wave 3.
1.618 and 2.618 Fibo levels are typical for end of an extended wave 3 when using Fibo projection.
100 % Projection of wave 1 from low of wave 4 is a typical one for end of wave 5 target. Also 0.382 or 0.618 projection of wave 1-3 from low of wave 4 is a helpful ratio for wave 5 target calculation.
For a wave C, most common projection is 100 % of wave A from top of wave B.
How to make a Potential Reversal Zone ( PRZ) :
We can make our potential reversal zone stronger by combining all proposed tools . Take another look at the figures. What can we see? yes. We know four tools now for calculation of end of wave C. Suppose how strong a possible buy zone can be when 4 different tools suggest it as potential reversal target !
Hope this to be helpful. Please do not hesitate to ask questions if you feel need to ask.
Good luck every one.
Running triangle and Leading DiagonalsTriangles are corrective patterns and diagonals are motive patterns.
Upon completing a triangular pattern the trend resumes.
Ending diagonal marks the end of a major wave or a trend and signals upcoming trend reversal or major correction.
Leading diagonal marks the start of a major wave or a trend after a major correction or reversal to previous trend. After a leading diagonal, a short correction can be expected before the trend resumes in the direction of leading diagonal.
In the previous post, the comparison is between running triangle and ending diagonals.
This post compares running triangle and leading diagonals.
Chart1: Running triangle and leaning diagonal in uptrend
As mentioned the comparison is in an uptrend. Accordingly upward move is termed as directional move and move to the downside is termed as non-directional.
A running triangle has non-directional momentum ie faster moves to the downside (wave A, C and E) than the upward moves (Waves B and D). These non-directional moves donot retrace the previous move completely.
On the contrary, Leading diagonal has directional momentum ie faster moves to the upside (waves 1, 3 and 5) in the direction of trend and these upward moves completely retrace the previous non-directional corrective moves (wave 2 and 4).
Chart2: Running triangle and leading diagonal in downtrend
As mentioned the comparison is in a downtrend. Accordingly downward move is termed as directional move and move to the upside is termed as non-directional.
A running triangle has non-directional momentum ie faster moves to the upside (wave A, C and E) than the downward moves (Waves B and D). These non-directional moves donot retrace the previous move completely.
On the contrary, Leading diagonal has directional momentum ie faster moves to the downside (waves 1, 3 and 5) in the direction of trend and these downward moves completely retrace the previous non-directional corrective moves (wave 2 and 4).
What is a breakout? #breakout #Candlestick #TA #Tocademy
Hello. This is Tommy.
The lecture material I prepared today is a concept that must be well informed by TA(Technical Analysis) traders, especially in recent market where untraditional patterns, price actions and trends, as we call ‘scam moves’ occur all the time.
I bet you are familiar seeing retail traders or chart analysts shouting “breakout!”. In order to derive market trends and price action/momentum, we find millions of technical variables such as trendline, channel, Fibonacci retracements, pivot levels, and other indicators, etc. Then we seek for behavior of price action by observing whether these variables are kept valid (not broken) or become invalid as soon as they are broken. Understanding and utilizing this behavior, we make trading decisions by deducting optimal zones to enter position(support/resistance), set stoploss/target price(bottom/top), and statistically giving weights on particular scenarios.
In TA world, breakout means that the price has pierced through certain variables. It is commonly known that when the technical factors are broken, additional price momentum is expected towards the direction of the breakout. As the example above, let’s say that we found a falling trendline that are being formed, meaning that at certain point or area, trendline keeps pushing the price down forming LH(Lower High)s. As soon as the price pierce through the trendline, meaning that the trendline failed rejection, we say “trendline is broken above” and can expect more bullish rally. The direction of the trend would be vice versa when trendline under the price is broken below.
So, we buy when PA is broken above and sell when PA is broken below. That sounds so simple huh?
If it was that easy, everyone would be rich right now. I'm sure most of you reading this post are already aware that it's never easy. Why? It’s simple. In this world, there is no such thing as 100% “breakout”. To put it simply, everything we do based on the technical chart is somewhat relative, abstract, and subjective concept. It’s not like breakout has 100% succeeded, or failed but rather is more like breakout has succeeded in 60~70% chance. In other words, there are more than two possible future cases when we search and utilize breakout behavior.
So, we traders need a reliable standard to statistically quantify the ‘degree of breakout’. The most basic way according to the ‘textbook’ is to consider closing price of candlestick firstly crossing the variable. As the price of the candlestick closes above the trendline as case 3, we give a decent weight on breakout scenario.
However, case 2 is the one that confuses us every time. This is when the price did pierce through the trendline but closes below, usually leaving a long tail as a trace which sometimes is interpreted as a whipsaw. As soon as this happens, we have to admit that the chances and reliability is definitely lower than the case 3. It might be regarded as a false breakout or a noise if the trend continues afterwards and it might not actually. It’s a 50:50 call I would say.
When you encounter case 2, to give you a little tip, try waiting a little more to observe next following candles. If the next following candlesticks keep closing prices below, I would raise the probability that the breakout is a false one. In fact, it is best to just not give any meaning on breakout in case 2. It itself is a risk to confirm whether the breakout is successful, not successfully, or false and thus try not take aggressive trades in this very case.
Thank you for reading my posts. Trade Well!
Your likes, comments, and subscriptions are the greatest motivations for me to upload more posts.
KISS Candle Analysis, let's predict next week's candle togetherWe know that not all candles are the same. Statistically, various candle patterns are only as reliable as flipping a coin. I'm stating this, having analyzed candle patterns in the past early in my journey. Many don't talk about looking at each candle for what it is and reading the story that it tells you. Every candle tells us a battle that was fought and which side won. It's still a reflection of the past, but the momentum and energy carry forward, usually ending with a climax where the tides shift.
Similar to how many have enlightened my understanding in this journey, I want to share a bit of my knowledge with you today. I'm calling this the KISS candle analysis (KISS = keep it simple, stupid). The idea is that a few simple things can tell us a lot more than a complicated bunch of indicators, trend lines, fibs, pivots, fractals, etc. All we need to know is in the candle right there in front of us. Let's get right into it!
What we have is the weekly candle chart of BTC. I've highlighted the area showing the 5-week candles (I) in the recent past and the area from the past four weeks. They look somewhat similar, and some might call these even the same. However, reading each candle in detail tells us a different story. Each wick at the top of the past candles shows us a strong bearish force fighting the price down and then winning for a short while. Also, the bullish force that fought it. We can get an idea of that force and compare it to what we have witnessed over the past three weeks. Are they now the same? Which side is winning this battle, and how much further in the direction will the price reach, its top and the bottom? Is there a minimum distance price must travel in either direction?
Share your thoughts in the comments, and if I sparked your curiosity, please like so others might also join this discussion. I'm happy to share more if there is interest.
DXY - Elliott Wave Breakdown ✅Following on from our last post on DXY, we have moved up a considerable amount. In our last post we identified the higher timeframe impulsive move and waited for a catalyst, NFP, to move the market in our direction. See our previous post below:
In Elliott Wave Theory, the impulsive wave can be broken down into the following 5 waves:
Wave 1 - is made up of 5 subwaves (impulse)
Wave 2 - Is a corrective wave made up of 3 waves (ABC correction)
Wave 3 - is another impulse wave made up of 5 subwaves (impulse)
Wave 4 - is a corrective wave made up of 3 waves (ABC correction)
Wave 5 - Can be either an impulse or a correction - But its made up of 5 waves.
In this scenario, the 5th wave is appearing to be an impulsive move. We have a channel which we will be using as a guide to help us identify when the 5th wave will finish.
The way to use DXY is by doing the following: Bullish DXY = USD Strength. Bearish DXY = USD weakness
1. Analyse DXY for reversal zones and identify what the next move is
2. In our last post, we identified a reversal zone and we were waiting for NFP to be the catalyst to get the market moving (FEB 4th)
3. When DXY approaches the reversal zone, we go on to USD pairs and analyse them
4. Find a pair where you think USD will bounce/reject (depending on whether you're trading USD/XXX or XXX/USD)
e.g. in the VIP, we correlated DXY with EURUSD. We identified that we were bullish DXY = Bearish EURUSD. We had a trade setup ready and we were waiting for confirmation.
See below for the the VIP setup we had. Went into 10pip drawdown and hit TP of over 500pips = 1:50 RR.
Hope this post helped a little!
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
Market Manipulation: Crypto Pump and Dump SchemesIf you look at the price charts for many cryptocurrencies, there is often a very sharp, sudden spike in their earlier days.
Most cryptocurrencies’ charts either have a more or less gradual decline or increase in price, or display a virtually straight horizontal line, indicating not so much a lack of volatility as a lack of trading or interest altogether in the project. You can also sometimes see big waves where the cryptocurrency was gradually manipulated or affected by markets.
But, in many cryptocurrencies, particularly the smaller, lesser-known ones, at one or more times in their history there is a sudden vertical needle in the charts, an almost instantaneous increase in its price by hundreds of percent, and then, shortly, or often even almost instantly, after, just as rapid a decline in its price, back to where it started.
If it didn’t happen so frequently, one might be forgiven for thinking it’s a blip in the charts, a mistake or a problem with the exchange. Except these needles happened all too frequently on charts of many of the smaller cryptocurrencies. These needles – sudden price increases in the hundreds of percent followed by a sharp collapse, were caused by a particular type of very legally grey trade known as the pump and dump.
In the world of crypto pump and dumps, some made money, often a lot, and most lost it all, often within seconds and often without really knowing what had hit them.
Manipulation of markets has gone on since trading began. Unfortunately for those wanting to profit from manipulating stocks and traditional assets, doing so is highly illegal, and tends to result in high fines and jail time.
However, greed, money, and success can be big motivators and there are always some who will keep pushing the grey areas of the law until they either get their way or get caught.
In crypto, there have been a lot of grey areas and the markets were volatile enough for individuals to manipulate to part hundreds of thousands of people, if not more, from their money in a whole series of promotions designed to pump and dump, project after project.
Stock exchanges that don’t take adequate measures to prevent stock manipulations can face heavy legal penalties, so for the most part they play above the law. Unlike traditional stocks where markets are heavily monitored and regulated, cryptocurrency, as we have already seen, has been a bit of a Wild West. Regulation is starting to come, but until then, crypto markets have been treated as a free-for-all adventure ground where anything goes.