SHIB will go down! Why? A tutorial An example of Elliott impulse and correction waves for prediction of SHIB price. This chart is only a sample and is NOT a financial advice . Please do you own research and indulgence before investing.
Wave Analysis
The Markets Only Produce 2 Patterns On Any Chart and Timeframe.AriasWave is a methodology. In essence the markets produce a combination of waves using these 2 patterns.
If you can observe and understand these two patterns and how the combination of them form the foundation of all markets you will realize how they operate.
Go ahead and try to find the combination.
You will be surprised once you start to see that all markets are just made up of a simple fractal pattern.
In this video I give you a basic understanding of this foundational knowledge.
How you use absorb it is completely up to you.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Just remember: I am not a financial advisor, I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
Reversal Patterns & ContinuationHello Traders,
Today I would like to talk all about the different types of reversal patterns & continuation patterns, this can be whether you are a swing trader or a day trader we all must look for signals such as these as they are solid confirmations for our trading ideas.
Forex reversal patterns are on chart formations which help in forecasting high probability reversal zones. These could be in the form of a single candle, or a group of candles lined up in a specific shape.
Types of Reversal Chart Patterns
There are two basic types of trend reversal patterns; the bearish reversal pattern and the bullish reversal pattern.
The Bullish reversal pattern forecasts that the current bearish move will be reversed into a bullish direction.
The Bearish reversal pattern forecasts that the current bullish move will be reversed into a bearish direction.
Double Top and Double Bottom
We will start with the Double Top reversal chart pattern. The pattern consists of two tops on the price chart. These tops are either located on the same resistance level, or the second top is a bit lower. The double top pattern typically looks like the letter “M”.
The Double Top has its opposite, called the Double Bottom. This pattern consists of two bottoms, which are either located on the same support level, or the second bottom is a bit higher. The double bottom pattern typically looks like the letter “W”.
Head and Shoulders
The Head and Shoulders pattern is a very interesting and unique reversal figure. The shape of the pattern is aptly named because it actually resembles a head with two shoulders.
The pattern forms during a bullish trend and creates a top – the first shoulder. After a correction, the price action creates a higher top – the head. After another correction, the price creates a third top, which is lower than the head – the second shoulder. So we have two shoulders and a head in the middle.
Of course, the Head and Shoulders reversal pattern has its inverted equivalent, which turns bearish trends into bullish. This pattern is referred to as an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern.
Overall
Reversal patterns are a key part in trading and especially useful for confirmations in your trade ideas. You may not always find reversal patterns but when you do you will know the best possible entries!
Thanks for taking the time to read my post!
Please check out my other trade ideas!
😆😂😆😂😆😂😆😂
Third WaveWave 3 is the longest among the impulsive moves. Which is why some call it Money Wave.
Wave 3 moves fast with strength, and the direction of the trending price when price is within a third wave.
Invalidated/Stop loss:
If price moves beyond the invalid level our wave count is wrong. If the wave count is correct then price should not go beyond the invalidation point.
TRIANGLE Elliott Wave triangles are corrective patterns that consolidate the previous trend. Elliott Wave triangles consist of five waves labeled a-b-c-d-e. There are 3 ways of trading Triangles potentially in Elliott Wave.
1. Conservative Entry
2. Aggressive Entry
3. Supper Aggressive Entry.
Conservative Entry approach, we wait for the triangle to complete(A,B,C,D,E). We act i.e (Place out market orders) only when price has reached the end of Wave D and our Stop loss at the end of Wave C.
Aggressive Entry approach, we wait for the triangle to complete(A,B,C,D). We act i.e (Place out market orders) only when price has reached the end of Wave E and our Stop loss at the end of Wave C.
Understanding News ManipulationIt is crucial to understand the price action prior to a high impact news event.
Analysing the range to the left beforehand can help you determine what move is likely to come next.
In this example, we saw the price was driven down by the bears to stop out buyers, only to reverse immediately to the upside moments after the news had been released.
By studying and acquiring knowledge like this, you can predict market moves that are likely to come with fundamentals.
Find the liquidity and trade it, or be the liquidity.
CHFJPY - Identify These Moves - FULL Breakdown 📚A key part of technical analysis is to identify the different phases and patterns in the market.
So, what can we see?
- We can see that we're within a major ascending parallel channel and price has been respecting it. When price approaches either extremes of the channel, it rejects aggressively.
- There are 2 key phases at play here. The blue phase is the impulse and the red phase is the correction.
- The impulse phase is an upward movement and the corrective phase is a downward move
After identifying these phases, what next?
- So now that we know that the impulse phase ends at the upper limit of the channel, we know there's a corrective move coming back down to the channel support.
- If there's enough momentum, we can break the channel support and keep falling. As we're in an ascending channel, it is often a reversal pattern = there's a high chance that CHFJPY can come back down all the way to 109
- Now we need a trading plan to enter this trade
How do we trade it?
- The risk entry would have been at the rejection of the channel resistance
- The safe entry would be to identify when the impulse has ended. One way we can do this is by identifying when the uptrend has ended. This can be done by using a trendline (like the one we have) and watching for a break to indicate that the uptrend has ended and the next phase has begun.
Trade Idea:
Watch for the ascending red trendline to break and enter with stops above the channel.
First Target: Target the channel support for first targets (500pips)
Second Target: The bottom of the channel (1,600pips)
Hope this breakdown was helpful. If so, do leave a like and comment what you think!
Test of saved trendines on tradinviews replay hello
here i tried to test my strategy of trendlines.
as you will see it is reliable and useful to save and update your drawn line on your chart, because it guides you to know in advance the breath of your market.
it is like if you draw a path that it will be run by the market. like if you have a cristal ball showin you where and how our market decide.
be patient for my long video but trust me it deserve be watched.
good luck
DXY - How To Use DXY To Enter Trades 🎯For almost a year DXY has been in an uptrend but we may soon be at the end.
Last Friday, DXY closed with a bearish candle at the double top region, indicating that there are al lot of sellers at that level. If we continue to show bearish pressure, we can soon end that uptrend and take advantage of USD weakness across the board.
Here's a brief breakdown on how to use DXY:
DXY up = USD Strength. DXY down = USD weakness
1. Analyse DXY for reversal zones and identify what the next move is
2. On this chart we can see that DXY is indicating bearish price action
3. Now that DXY is at an important level, go on to your USD pairs and analyse them
4. Find out if there's any XXXUSD LONG ideas or if there's any USDXXX pairs that are at the best place to SELL
5. Correlate the DXY movement with the USD charts e.g. DXY showing bearish price action which makes EURUSD buy a great idea as EURUSD is at a key level.
Hope that helps!
Goodluck and as always, Trade Safe!
Elliott Wave BTC Future Targets.Long long term just wanted to make it once and follow or update would love to find out how it turns out not a trading advice do your own ta thanks. It's a leading diagonal and no sir no moon sorry till we see a deep deep correction after 75k max.
BTC analysis, which could serve as a guideline in the futureDear Market Traders,
As you can see, many of us are confused regarding Bitcoin's future path. I believe that many people are hitting SL these days, and once they enter the market, the price goes in the opposite direction.
I'd like to share an idea with you that may help you cease trading before Bitcoin reaches 57200~56200, which may occur on November 8th between 0GMT and 6GMT. The time may vary due to minor changes in the direction of the channel.
I hope my analysis aids you in the long term in analyzing the market more effectively.
Best wishes
How to trade at NFP? Usually, average hourly earnings don't print positive. I have seen very few times NFP and Hourly earnings published positive together in the last 13 years.
When companies hire more people, it's expected that they don't want to pay more and overtime. But, on the other side, companies don't recruit new people, and then they pay more overtime to their existing workers.
That's why most of the time, we see Either NFP prints post or hourly earnings.
Hourly earning is essential for the following CPI report. I mean, inflation reports are related to hourly earnings.
NFP is the main report; there is no doubt. But in some cases, hourly earnings and unemployment play a significant role than the NFP. Moreover, especially when central banks want to raise rates, in the meantime inflation is essential.
Central banks need more than 2% inflation to raise bank rates. In that case, hourly earnings are more important than NFP.
So, it is expected that NFP will print positively than the previous report today, and hourly earnings may not fulfill its forecast. But last CPI reports were positive, So, it won't be wrong as well.
What to do while you are trading NFP?
When central banks are not hiking bank rates market always follows NFP. Whatever the other's reports are. If NFP print is upbeat, we should buy the USD.
But keep in mind, though NFP reports are printed positive, hourly earnings and unemployment may drop.
It is essential to keep in mind always that the market follows NFP eventually, not initially.
So, if other reports print negative, The USD will become weak first. Then, after 5 minutes or 15 minutes, the USD will follow NFP from any swing area.
On the other hand, If other reports prints positive but NFP report prints negative. In that cases, the USD will spike to the upside, but ultimately it will drop.
Just keep in mind the situation that central banks are in rate-hiking mode or not. So give priority hourly earnings reports when the central banks are in rate-hiking mode. And usually, give priority NFP reports every time.
How To Handle Technically While Trading NFP?
If you want to handle the market at NFP, you should know swing trading and the uses of Fibonacci retracement and Fibonacci extension.
Use 5 minutes candle. For example, the market closed with 5 minutes bearish candle, NFP printed negative, and other reports printed positive. So, the USD will spike to the upside first.
So, if you are good at swing trade, you can sell from the swing area. Otherwise, you should use Fibonacci tools.
If the market closed with a bearish candle, that means it will correct to the upside nearly 50% fibo area. So, go short from fibo 50% area and use Fibonacci extension tolls to set your take profit area at 61.8%.
Just do opposite things if NFP prints positive and other reports prints negative.
5 YEAR BEAR MARKET AHEADMY Chart clearly show's that SPX just completed it's 5th wave expansion after major 4th wave which was ended on 2009
As per NEO wave analysis the ''TERMINAL 5 TH WAVE'' in S&P500 INDEX is ended this month after a spectacular Rally for 13 years.
Now the game has to change on the hands of BEARS for at least 5 years.
I invite any querries about my wave counts and timing.
B.selvam ,B.E,MBA,
ANALYST
Elliott Wave Zig Zag Proper Labeling Here is a visual representation of an Elliott Wave Zig Zag with some common labeling mistakes. Also has some idealized Zig Zag guidelines as well.
✅ How to approach Trendline BreakoutsIt's a very simple strategy. It is more reliable the longer the timeframe.
1. Find a TREND LINE
2. Wait for the BREAKOUT
3. Buy while price is RETESTING the TrendLine
4. During LATERAL movements Keep in mind other indicatores such as RSI or other support lines.
5. Enjoy profits during the UPWARD movement (Take profits gradually during the upward move)
Nifty50Upside range 18135, but 18150 cross Possible 18500-19000, 18135 Reverse 17600-17400, 17400-17600, 17600-17200 Possible Range, Always small stoploss with trade, Nonsebi Register (Only Education Purpose)
Natural gas-Bullish trend5.10-5.15 support, 5.28-5.30 breakout uptrend 5.5-5.68-5.8-5.88-6-6.20 Possible, but support stoploss with trade always, Nonsebi register analysis, education Purpose analysis
Why breakout never worksHello traders!
This is another educational post just to break your false perspective which will benefit you and it will also help you not to fall into the trap of uneducated traders.
I have seen traders who just make a trendline line and put a bullish arrow and say that after the breakout price will go to heaven but in reality breakouts never works and they are very far from reality.
If you buy a breakout blindly then there is only 1 out of 6 chance that you are correct. In other words, you will keep losing again and again with that strategy.
So why breakout never works?
The patterns that we see are illusions, they are not real but the market does react to the trendlines and patterns.
What I mean by the reaction is that after a breakout market forms different kinds of reactive patterns. These patterns help the market to move further up or they push the market back in the trendline and most of the time these pattern pushes the market back in the trend.
If you can figure out what pattern is formed after the breakout then you can predict easily that the breakout will work or it will fail.
Do your research and ask the questions.
Here is the tip: Selling on bullish breakouts is more effective than buying on bullish breakouts.
Gold Proven Trading strategy that will help to to achieve ..... Do you want to be a profitable and successful gold trader?
Know about the economic conditions in the USA.
Use Pure Price action.
Use your trading psychology.
As long you are good at a fundamental and technical chart, it will constantly develop your trading psychology.
Then use pure price action as I said in the video. if fundamental and analysis support help try to combine it \go
3 Wave Flat Patterns to Know and Understand📕📗📘In Elliott wave theory, a flat is a figure consisting of three waves, the ends of which are called ABC . This is a corrective pattern going against the trend. This pattern may look like a simple range that spends more time on sideways movement than on a real price increase. The pattern, as a rule, is a shallow pullback of the previous trend and can sometimes be a "flag" of the general flag pattern .
❗️In fact, there are 3 types of flat correction: regular (1), elongated (2) and launched (3). The name of the template by which you identify the correction is not as important as what it implies. In each of the above-mentioned corrections, lateral consolidation is implied, which will eventually resolve as a complete recovery of the model and continuation of the trend until entering the flat model.
📊Trying to define a plane Elliott wave , we are looking for several characteristics.
1.ABC-plane subwaves (regardless of the 3 types above) are divided into 3-3-5.
2.In the flat, look for the second wave or the "B" wave, which rolls back by 78-138% from the "A" wave.
📈The three waves on the plane ( ABC ) are divided into 3-3-5, which means that there are 3 sub-waves in leg "A", 3 sub-waves in leg "B" and 5 in leg "C". underwater waves in it. Since both branches "A" and "B" contain three subwaves each, this illustrates the struggle of the instrument to create a new trend against the previous trend. Consequently, prices eventually fluctuate sideways, eating up more time than prices.
📉When defining corrective patterns, one thing should be kept in mind: there will always be five sub-waves in the "C" legs (the only exception is triangles, since they contain only three sub-waves). Therefore, if you see a 5-wave movement preceded by several 3-wave movements, count in reverse order and see if the flat pattern works.
🚀Flats appear where any three-wave corrective movement can manifest itself. For example, you will find flats in the position of the 2nd or 4th wave of the pulse, in the wave "B" of the zigzag , in the waves W, Y, Z or X of the complex correction, or in the waves "A" of the wave of another flat. However, one corrective structure in which you won't find a flute is triangles. Triangles are constructed from zigzags or other triangles.
🍁As a result, their identification in real time may be difficult. Go to the next higher trend level to see what the larger structure might be, and use wave measurements to anticipate the end point of the pattern. Since they essentially form a range, range trading methods and risk levels are recommended for trading on them.
Elliott wave for beginners📓Back in 1930, Ralph Nelson Elliott decided to figure out how the market works. After a long analysis of the charts, Elliott made a discovery that still does not lose its relevance. Elliott was able to identify the "breath" of the market. This new method of graph analysis is called Elliott Wave Analysis . As it turned out, the theory of wave analysis can be used on all timeframes and assets.
🚀The basis of the analysis is the idea that the market moves by impulses and corrections. As Elliott noted, the trend movement consists of 5 waves - 3 impulsive and 2 corrective, after which a correlation of three waves against the trend begins.
❗️There are a couple of rules worth remembering when determining waves:
1. Wave 2 never recovers more than 100% of wave 1. Usually the recovery is from 50% to 61.8% of wave 1.
2. Wave 4 never recovers more than 100% from wave 3. It usually declines between 38.2% and 50% of wave 3.
3. Wave 3 always extends beyond the end of wave 1 and is never the shortest; Wave 3 usually expands by 161.8 x wave 1.
It is important to remember these rules in order to correctly identify the waves.
In order not to make a mistake or go ahead of time, it is worth looking for the end of the second wave and go to the third, since it is the strongest and will bring the most profit. Indicators such as: MACD, RSI can be used to accurately determine the wave.
📌There are a couple more observations that will help your profitable trading:
-If wave 3 is the longest wave, then wave 5 will be approximately equal to wave 1.
-Wave 2 and Wave 4 will alternate. If wave 2 represents a sharp correction, wave 4 represents a flat correction and vice versa.
-After the sequence of five Elliott waves is completed, the ABC corrective waves usually end near the bottom point of wave 4.
🏆In order to learn how to correctly identify waves, enter a position in time and exit it in time, you need experience, so follow the charts, analyze and eventually the profit will come to you. Good luck!
Channeling Bitcoin - Elliott Wave AnalysisTips and tricks on how to use channels in conjunction with Elliott Wave analysis to determine high probability targets and objectives.
Technical Analysis. HOW to identify trend,support and resistanceTechnical analysis
Technical analysis is a way to predict the future price movement according to the price chart. The price takes everything into account - this is the main idea of technical analysis. This idea means that we only need to see the price chart to find out where it will go in the future.
The main tools of technical analysis are trend lines, support and resistance lines. So how do you find them on the chart?
Downtrend and Uptrend.
The price is always in motion and when the price shows each new high below the previous one and each new low below the previous one - we say that there is a downtrend now and to make it clearly visible, analysts connect the highs and lows with lines - this is how the downtrend lines are drawn.
To identify an uptrend, the same idea is used, only in a different direction - every time the price forms new highs above the previous ones and new lows above the previous ones, we say that there is an uptrend now.
Support and resistance
Combining the highs and lows, technical analysts noticed that the price is facing resistance on the one hand and support on the other. These zones prevent the price from going higher or lower, depending on the trend. It is very important to see these zones, because, as a rule, trade is conducted from them.
Also, there are frequent moments when support, after its penetration, becomes resistance.
Remember
It is important to remember that the trend, resistance and support lines are just zones and the price sometimes goes beyond the lines, but then comes back. The price will make false breakouts of resistance or support from time to time. This is normal and it should always be remembered.
It is important that the price rebounds from these zones at least twice, so that there are reasons to draw lines and identify the trend.
Profitable Result
Thanks to these simple methods of technical analysis, a trader can easily determine the trend and avoid stupid money losses, the method will also help in the correct setting of stop orders, which will make your trading more accurate and more profitable.
Trend is your friend, be able to find it.
