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Wave Analysis

Today’s Notable Sentiment ShiftsHigh-Beta – AUD, CAD and NZD benefited from rising commodity prices on Tuesday, as markets set aside concerns about the spread of the Delta coronavirus variant. The notable outperformer in the commodities complex was oil prices, with WTI approaching $68 per barrel, up almost $2.50/+3% on the day. Indeed, following today’s strong performance in WTI, TD Securities noted that: “With the impact on demand fueling chatter that OPEC+’s next monthly output hike could be delayed, and China’s “Zero-Covid” strategy appearing to have quickly contained the outbreak, crude oil could once again have a solid footing to challenge the $70s.”
OANDA:WTICOUSDEducation
by thunderpips
5
📈📉How Market Cycles Work | Bull & Bear Market 🐿 All the financial markets are cyclical : after a sharp and strong bullish trend always comes a severe bearish rally. After panic & massive selloffs, the market tends to recover and awakens optimism closing a vicious circle. Watching carefully how the price acts during these cycles, an observer can identify the recurring stages . #1 Accumulation The accumulation stage starts once the market finds its bottom. Bearish pressure weakens and the market starts trading in sideways. While the crowd remains cautious, smart money like banks and hedge funds start buying the asset considering that to be undervalued. It leads to occasional moderate spikes of a price. Being the best time to buy the market, the accumulation stage is the hardest to spot correctly. Global pessimism and disbelief make the investor scared to buy the asset. #2 - 3 Public Participation & Excess Stage The accumulation stage and the actions of smart money make the crowd buy the asset steadily. Pushing the market to new highs and generating sufficient profits, the crowd brings more and more liquidity into the market. Bullish trend is universally confirmed. The optimism steadily transforms into euphoria and the asset quickly becomes overvalued. Greed starts to dominate the crowd. Record highs are reached and no one doubts further growth. #4 Distribution At some moment the market stops growing. Even though everyone is very confident in a bullish continuation, the market naturally refuses to grow. Moreover, the market starts to slow down and volatility drops steadily. The market starts ranging and trade in sideways. Smart money starts selling their positions steadily to a greedy crowd. #5 Bearish Trend With an absence of growth, more and more market participants start selling the asset. Optimism steadily vanishes and pessimism comes into play. Contemplating negative figures, the crowd starts to panic, making the market fall sharply. The outlook is dark and no one believes in recovery. Then the market suddenly starts slowing down and the cycle repeats. Watch how the price acts, learn the price action & master the market cycles to benefit from any of them. ❤️ Please, if you enjoyed this article, like it and share your feedback in a comment section. Thank you! ❤️
Education
by UnitedSignals
4
AUDUSD - How To Trade This Channel! 😍 📚AUDUSD is in a really nice channel where price is respecting both the limits of the channel. We saw a nice bounce off the channel support and looks like we'll be heading towards the channel resistance very soon. The basic rules of trading within a channel are the following: - Buy on bounce off channel support - Sell on rejection off channel resistance - Stoploss outside of the channel - Targets should be the outer limit of the channel ** For descending channels, the move down will always be bigger than the move up ** For ascending channels, the move up will always be bigger than the move down Do your best to identify channels in your trading - easy trades! Goodluck and as always trade safe!
Education
by WicktatorFX
5
AUDUSD - How To Trade This Channel! 😍 📚AUDUSD is in a really nice channel where price is respecting both the limits of the channel. We saw a nice bounce off the channel support and looks like we'll be heading towards the channel resistance very soon. The basic rules of trading within a channel are the following: - Buy on bounce off channel support - Sell on rejection off channel resistance - Stoploss outside of the channel - Targets should be the outer limit of the channel ** For descending channels, the move down will always be bigger than the move up ** For ascending channels, the move up will always be bigger than the move down Do your best to identify channels in your trading - easy trades! Goodluck and as always trade safe!
Education
by WicktatorFX
2
FCPO Trading SchematicThere is 3 type of price reaction towards SnR i) Rejection ii) Breakout iii) False breakout How to trade (i) rejection @ M15? 1. Price close with reversal CS - long wick 2. M5 has engulfed at least 60% 3. Set Limit order near the neck of close M15 CS. How to trade (ii) breakout @ M15? 1. Price close outside the SnR 2. 2nd CS also close outside SnR 3. Entry after rejection @ M5 How to trade (iii) false breakout @ M15? 1. Price close outside SnR 2. 2nd CS close inside SnR 3. Immediate entry after 2nd CS close. 4. Usually the aftermath range is the biggest after price consolidation. Another addition entry is Rejection-continuation : 1. Always happen in strong trend as a pullback 2. CS rejection @ M15 3. CS engulf @ M5 4. Immediate entry after rejection CS close
MYX:FCPO1!Education
by ArifHasbollah
NVDA, Continuation of correction or making new ATH ?Is NVDA on the way to make a new ATH or correction still continues? We have to follow. NVDA is a beautiful example of different scenarios possibility! If we look at the chart (right side) we simply may consider that correction is completed at 0.382 Retracement of last rally with clear abc form of correction but, is this the only possible scenario? Of course NOT Flat corrections may mislead many traders. Being aware about flat corrections and its characteristics is necessary but not enough at all. Being realistic is a key. We have to consider all possible scenarios and control our emotions. Traders who are long from the last low may not want to see the other possible scenario. They certainly wish to see new ATH but it may takes some more time than they expect!. On the left side of the chart we can see the flat correction. In a flat correction wave (a) is a 3 leg wave. wave (b) typically goes above 0.618 Retracement and touches 0.786 and even goes higher to 0.88 Retracement . Then, when every one expect a new high it suddenly goes for a 5 leg down wave (c). Which scenario is going to happen? No one knows. We have to use some risk management tools to manage our risk . Of course opening a position at such conditions is gambling not trading. We always trade objectively and try to see all possible scenarios. Don't we?
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by SaeedSajedi
3
TRADING WITH ELLIOT WAVESDear friends, Most of the time we first guess, then assume and finally start calculating whether the price of an instrument is to go up or down.We then make a strategy either to go long or short, still a number of times we fail to gain the profit as per calculations. It is because of the swings that creates confusion and we have to close our positions in fear. but if the strategy is based on logical theories, then a trader can trust on his logic to stay rather to close the position. Such is the beauty of this market is it agrees with almost all kinds of theories. Here in this example I have tried to show through elliot waves theory how crude oil have classically reacted to the price action levels mentioned in the books. I have taken 4 hour candle chart. The most interesting part is sometimes we need a bit of luck also to become successful in the market , because from the example at the point 4928 where 3rd impulsive wave is ending at 1.618, an expectation comes in mind that it might reverse at maximum .5 retracement to continue its 5th wave journey. Often it happens, but as a trader it is not wise to expect something from the market we have to go with the going. We can see at that point script has paused for 4 hours, giving an inside candle. and that is becoming the decider candle as breaking the high of that candle has taken the price confirming the bearish trend has overtaken and changed to a bullish one. But once the low of that candle broken, it confirmed the bears have taken control of trend as per the elliot wave theory. It came all along 1.0 impulsive of the 5th wave to complete the 5th wave and an identical 1.0 retracement happened to complete the wave A. Also a natural wave B formed with a gap down from where it should have make a journey to 5288. but it did not happened. At this point a long time consumed by both buyers and sellers to decide the trend which finally again controlled by the sellers just to confirm that wave Y is to take control of the trend which is likely to take the price to 4158. So from the chart we see that even if the price moved as per the wave theory, still if stoploss not set intelligently, instead of making money one would lose money. One more thing we can note from this example that if we can not remember the price levels we will never become a successful trader as the swing lows and swing highs always confuse us. Finally I request all friends to comment on this observation if something is missed by me.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Education
by Somanathrout
NIFTY WILL CORRECT UPTO11300Using my vast experience in Elliot wave labelling, I charted a super cycle count for NIFTY INDEX. NIFTY Completed its 5 legged 3rd wave and extended its ''B'' Wave recovery(Running flat correction)to16700 A five legged wave 'C' of WAVE ''4'' will bring the index to minimum 38.2% to 11300 before April 22 and oscillate up and down till July24 We have more time to resume 5 th wave ,which will make you richer again to 25000 NOW its time to play with bears
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by selvamB
7
📈📉How Market Cycles Work | Bull & Bear Market 🐿 All the financial markets are cyclical : after a sharp and strong bullish trend always comes a severe bearish rally. After panic & massive selloffs, the market tends to recover and awakens optimism closing a vicious circle. Watching carefully how the price acts during these cycles, an observer can identify the recurring stages . #1 Accumulation The accumulation stage starts once the market finds its bottom. Bearish pressure weakens and the market starts trading in sideways. While the crowd remains cautious, smart money like banks and hedge funds start buying the asset considering that to be undervalued. It leads to occasional moderate spikes of a price. Being the best time to buy the market, the accumulation stage is the hardest to spot correctly. Global pessimism and disbelief make the investor scared to buy the asset. #2 - 3 Public Participation & Excess Stage The accumulation stage and the actions of smart money make the crowd buy the asset steadily. Pushing the market to new highs and generating sufficient profits, the crowd brings more and more liquidity into the market. Bullish trend is universally confirmed. The optimism steadily transforms into euphoria and the asset quickly becomes overvalued. Greed starts to dominate the crowd. Record highs are reached and no one doubts further growth. #4 Distribution At some moment the market stops growing. Even though everyone is very confident in a bullish continuation, the market naturally refuses to grow. Moreover, the market starts to slow down and volatility drops steadily. The market starts ranging and trade in sideways. Smart money starts selling their positions steadily to a greedy crowd. #5 Bearish Trend With an absence of growth, more and more market participants start selling the asset. Optimism steadily vanishes and pessimism comes into play. Contemplating negative figures, the crowd starts to panic, making the market fall sharply. The outlook is dark and no one believes in recovery. Then the market suddenly starts slowing down and the cycle repeats. Watch how the price acts, learn the price action & master the market cycles to benefit from any of them. ❤️ Please, if you enjoyed this article, like it and share your feedback in a comment section. Thank you! ❤️
Education
by UnitedSignals
7
Identifying Impulses and correctionsAn impulse describes a strong move in an asset's price coinciding with the main direction of the underlying trend. Impulse waves are trend confirmation waves. The corrective wave is the period move where price is struggling against the trend. e.g. A dead cat bounce (trend continuation pattern) is a short-term recovery in a declining trend that does not indicate a reversal of the downward trend. A flag is a short sloping rectangle bounded by two parallel trend lines. They can be both bullish and bearish.
Education
by thesharkke
70
Gold: How to Combine Technical & Fundamental To Get Best ResultsWhat Does Market Really Follow? We all know that market is normally run by based on Technical Analysis, Fundamental Analysis, and Trading Sentiment. If you want to get a high result on your trade, you must combine these 3 analyses. As USD and Gold both are safe-haven currencies and reserve currencies as well. USD and Gold have a negative co-relation. If the USD rise, Gold will drop. If the USD drops Gold will rise. Which Fundamental Factors Are Responsible for Golds Move? 1. US Economical Reports 2. World Wide Economic Conditions 3. Man-made or Natural Disaster (For the moment Covid Situations) 4. Political or Economic Crisis 5. Central Bank's Rate Decision and some other reasons. What to Do Firstly? You must have a look at US economic reports. US job Market Report, CPI, Manufacturing Reports, and FED economic Overview. If most of the fundamental reports are positive from the USA, that means fundamentally USD is in a good position, which means Gold has a chance to drop. especially CPI / Inflation reports are important for hiking bank rates. So, if you see recent most of the high-impact reports are positive, that means gold has more chance that it will drop and FED is going to deliver the hawkish statement. FED's hawkish statement will give an extra benefit to USD what is negative for Gold. What to Do Secondly Now see your technical chart. A trading view has many awesome tools to draw your Technical Charts. Personally, I do follow pure price action. Based on your chart analysis, find an entry rate, exit rates, and where the stop loss and profit should be put. You can use any kind of technical tools, indicators of what is suitable for you. What To Do Thirdly? To get the trading sentiment, Option expiry and Cot reports will help you a lot. Especially cot reports are free, so check last cot reports. Day Traders usually follow non-Commercial contract positions. if you are a day trader checks a non-commercial contract. if most of the contracts are in a short mode, that means banks, hedge funds, and other financial authorities are selling more. commercial contracts are also very important. because they are big guns and big companies. you should also check their position. Non-Reputable contracts are not really important. How Will I Combine Technical and Fundamental Analysis and implement to my trade? This is the final part. If you see most of the US economic reports are positive in recent months, especially job market reports, manufacturing reports, and Inflation reports. In this case, most of the time FED delivers a hawkish statement. So, you think for Buying USD and Sell Gold. If you see US Economic reports are not supportive, then think about selling USD and buying Gold. This is the first part. I will write details about it in my second part. till then keep reading. If you think this article helped you then, like, comment, and share with your trader's community.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Gold_Trading_Expert
4
How to approach breakouts - best practiceThis is one of the easiest and simple ways to trade forex pairs. I tried to describe the approach on the chart, both H1 and M15 timeframes. ANALYSIS/ PLANNING THE TRADE: - On the "higher" - H1 - frame we wait for a completion of a sideway move (flag/ consolidation), and note, it took 7 days to complete it, after a strong impulsive move down. - Price makes a local extreme, may we call it a "key" level, followed by two attempts to break it. Usually, the core entry should be located at the third attempt to break the key level. - Breakout attempt: at this time price makes a consolidation at the key level (as opposed to strong prior rejections). This consolidation usually takes a form of a simple ABC correction, that should be monitored at a lower time frame (in our case - M15). - Core target should be at the x2 distance of the width of the H1 consolidation. Therefore the minimum risk to reward is 1:1 with a very high probability of success. - Nevertheless, I would recommend to improve the R:R by locating a better entry with a tight stop loss. INITIATING A TRADE - If you are comfortable with a stop loss above the consolidation as shown on the H1 chart - blue zone - you may trade via a sells stop below the key level. - I prefer to improve market timing (AND THIS CAN BE DONE IN REALITY) and reduce the risk - and enter with a sell stop below the m15 "flag". (Please, switch to M15 chart and check the orange zone marked at the key level). MANAGING THE TRADE Usually, this pattern delivers a strong move and the entry is located easily (NOTE: you have to be very patient - as the consolidation takes a week, and the confirmation is on M15 frame). - I recommend keeping your stop loss intact for a while and track the dynamics of the Bollinger bands 20. - taking profit at x2 distance below the larger consolidation with an entry as described above will give you R:R 4x and this should be quite a good deal. - quite often the potential of such moves is far better then x4, this should be planned and executed within a broader context, I guess. Or by trailing your stop loss and exiting AT OBVIOUS DIVERGENCE (REVERSAL) SIGNALS. - in the case discussed in this post I also showed the exit at the local reversal - that is the best practice of you trade Elliott wave approach - get a reversal impulse up and close the trade at the pullback in the local wave 2 by 50 or 62%. I WOULD ASK TO PUSH A LIKE BUTTON IF YOU FIND THIS POST USEFUL. GOOD LUCK IN YOUR TRADING!
Education
by UnknownUnicorn3382580