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BRIEFING Week #16 : ObservationHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Phil
EURUSD - Sometimes It's Best To Let The Market Come To YouWhenever you feel yourself chasing price action, that's the sign and signature that your not that disciplined and you lack patience.
Especially in low resistance conditions that we are seeing with EURUSD, you do not want to make a mistake or you will get your face ripped off!
Gun to my head, I would want to see 1.16165 delivered and see the daily SIBI become a balanced price range but I am also cautious about the potential of a retracment back down into the 3-month SIBI....
GBPUSD - Tariffs Are Great For The United KingdomYou'd think that with all the tariffs being imposed on different countries, including the UK, the currency market would take a freefall....
So we all thought... Since the beginning of January 2025, Cable has been on a raging rally, gaining close to 10% if you were holding sterling in comparison to the US dollar.
With the 90 days hold on tariffs in full swing, will cables sentiment change in the near term?
Nasdaq (NQM) - Best Time To Buy Nasdaq?After a successful run from September 2022, making more than 110% up to the beginning stages of 2025, Nasdaq has successfully made holders over the past few years richer than those who decided to invest in a random meme coin and what we have been seeing over the past months is a decline close to 30% which is miniscule in the grand scheme of the bull trend.
Could the market continue to trade lower? Possibly but if you learn the skills necessary to hedge your portfolio by shorting the market, its a win win scenario!
Dollar Index - Further Capitulation On the Horizon?It's like a gaping wound that refuses to heal, spewing blood everywhere!
Dollar index has been falling like a ton of bricks from the beginning of this year with little to no signs of retracing back into equilibrium and the question to ask yourself is.... will the 90-day ban restore dollar index above the 100 mark?
Or will be continue to see risk on scenarios?
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Bitcoin - BTC vs ETHUsually, there will be a tight correlation between Ethereum and Bitcoin, especially during volatile periods like back in 2017 - 2018, 2020 etc... But as of recently, we have been seeing the correlation of ETH and BTC dissipated as the years has gone on leading me to believe that a major shift is inbound......
However, when studying price action in the short term, there is a possibility for BTC to draw to the upside, attacking the $86,847.
ZB1! - Donald Trump Took A Huge Dump In The Bonds MarketIt was only two weeks ago when market participants were cheering on the bond market for it to rally higher.... until al hell broke loose!
120.18 was the initial draw on liquidity before the bond market capitulated into October 2023 BISI.
What's net on the horizon?
BTC | FAKE REVERSAL - Here's WhyI'm not convinced of the recent "bullish" price action. In fact, I say it's likely the calm before the next bearish move down.
In a downtrend, there are a few tale tell signs that the price has gone into full bear mode . In this video, I discuss two of them.
Make sure you catch up on ALTCOINS, and their ideal buying zones HERE 👀👇
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
GBPUSD 4HRSCentral Bank Heads and Policy Influence
Bank of England (BoE) – Governor Andrew Bailey
Policy Stance: Andrew Bailey has emphasized caution on rate cuts, noting that UK inflation pressures are falling only gradually. The BoE has kept its main rate at 4.5% and signaled that it needs more evidence before easing policy. However, market expectations are shifting, with investors now pricing in two rate cuts in 2024 and a 50/50 chance of a first cut as early as June or August.
Impact: The BoE’s cautious approach has supported GBP recently, but dovish signals and the likelihood of rate cuts later in 2025 are weighing on the pound’s medium-term outlook. Bailey’s leadership is seen as steady but data-dependent, and his upcoming role as Chair of the Financial Stability Board may enhance his international influence.
US Federal Reserve – Chair Jerome Powell
Policy Stance: Jerome Powell has reiterated the need for patience and caution before making any changes to US rates, stressing the importance of more clarity on economic and inflation trends. The Fed’s benchmark rate remains at 4.25%–4.50%, and Powell’s recent comments suggest the Fed is in no rush to cut, especially with inflation still above target and new uncertainties from US tariff policies.
Political Pressure: President Trump has publicly criticized Powell for not cutting rates and has threatened his removal, but Powell remains committed to his term and the Fed’s independence. This political tension adds uncertainty but, for now, the Fed’s stance remains steady and data-driven.
Impact: The Fed’s reluctance to cut rates supports the dollar, especially as the BoE moves closer to easing. This policy divergence is a key factor in the current and expected bias for GBP/USD.
Summary Table: Central Bank Influence on GBP/USD
Central Bank Head Current Stance Expected Policy Move Impact on GBP/USD Directional Bias
Andrew Bailey (BoE) Cautious, data-driven Rate cuts likely in 2024 Weighs on GBP medium-term, limits upside
Jerome Powell (Fed) Patient, hawkish-leaning Rate cuts delayed Supports USD, adds downside risk to GBP/USD
Conclusion
Near-term: GBP/USD retains a bullish bias above supplyroof , but the upside may be capped as markets anticipate BoE rate cuts while the Fed remains on hold.
Medium-term: Policy divergence—BoE turning dovish and Fed staying cautious—suggests a bearish tilt for GBP/USD as 2025 progresses, unless US economic data weakens sharply or the Fed pivots sooner than expected.
Central Bank Heads: The leadership and communication styles of Andrew Bailey and Jerome Powell are central to market expectations, with Bailey’s caution and Powell’s patience both shaping the pair’s directional bias.
#SHVAYFXHUB
NZDUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my NZDUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
cdsl 1550 weekly cdsl 1550 weekly
Central Depository Services (India) Ltd. (CDSL) has shown strong financial performance recently, with a market capitalization of ₹256.53 billion and a price-to-earnings ratio of 46.15. The company has maintained steady growth in demat accounts, increasing its market share from 48% in FY 2018-19 to over 52% in FY 2020-21
USD remains weak across the board. EUR, GBP & JPY Bullish.Not much action due to the extended market break and Easter weekend but I expect more USD selling across the board in the coming weeks ahead.
Long positions are sitting tight but two areas I am keeping an eye on are 1.1200 as a base support and 1.1500 as the resistance hurdle we need to clear in order to open up the gates to 1.2000+
GBP/USD is still a bullish case for me as the short term resistance may be cracking and I'm still expecting for the JPY to advance against the USD.
It's good to get a break from the market volatility but I surely expect it to resume in the coming week!
Good Luck & Trade Safe!
S&P 500 (ESM) - Volatility Only Professionals Can TradeThe amount of volatility that has presented itself in ES has been astronomical! Usually when we see dollar selling off (presenting risk on conditions), ES, NQ and YM would usually pick up momentum and rally higher, attacking premium arrays and buyside liquidity pools but now we are seeing a change.
When will we see normal conditions in the market?
Dow Jones (YMM) - Rough Around The EdgesDow Jones is great when studying the SMT divergences that occurs between YM. NQ and ES.
As a market i solely use to compare with NQ and ES, i would want to study how price delivers up to 41,147 and how NQ and ES follows suite.
If a NWOG forms, i will be interested to see what pair out of the three has a bigger gap and what PD array has been affected
VOXELUSDT CHART ANALYSİS - EDUCATIONAL POSTThe NFT Concept
You may already know that each unit of value in a blockchain is called a token. In an open blockchain, all tokens are equal and interchangeable. For example, one bitcoin can be easily replaced with another, and nothing will change.
Non-fungible tokens are a game-changer, which work differently. An NFT is a digital asset that cannot be replaced with another token without changing the value and basis of the object.
Like cryptocurrency, NFTs are created on a blockchain, which acts as a database to record all transactions. The blockchain guarantees the uniqueness, safety, and anonymity of non-fungible tokens. Thanks to this system, any user can verify the originality and transparency of the history of a particular NFT through the blockchain.
When you buy an NFT token, you are obtaining a certificate for a digital or real object. However, the work itself doesn’t move anywhere. You only use its digitized file or a certificate of ownership. Once created or purchased, the token sits in perpetual storage. This certificate is just lines of code that confirm it is the token owner who has the original copy of the object.
An NFT token can be compared to a painting, which may belong to a gallery, museum, or individual, but the audience can see it in a catalog or exhibition.
NFT tokens are sold in online marketplaces that operate like Amazon. The creators put them on marketplaces and wait for bids from buyers.
An NFT token can be created by you or by anyone for that matter. To do this, you need to take a digital object (picture, music, photo, etc.), register in a particular marketplace on a platform such as Rarible or OpenSea, and upload the object with a description and price. You will have to pay a fee for creating a blockchain entry on many platforms. However, the costs pay off in most cases, as NFTs are #1 in the crypto world today.