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Polkadot (DOT): 3 Trading Setups We Are Looking For The Most Sellers are slowly overtaking the current zone near the 100EMA, where we might go and grab the bearish CME gap. We have detected 3 possible trades that we can take so let's wait for confirmations!
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Team
After CAN CPIs, it's time to prepare for BoC rate decisionLooking at the CPI numbers that came out, we are noticing some weakness in the CAD right now. This weakness may spill over into tomorrow's trading, as the BoC is expected to keep the rates unchaged.
Let's dig in!
FX_IDC:USDCAD
MARKETSCOM:USDCAD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-15 : Base Rally PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ have been busy forming a BASE and may transition into a moderate rally mode.
I believe this move will prompt the SPY to move above the $550 level, potentially targeting $555-565 over the next 48 hours.
This upward move could be related to news or Q1:2025 earnings.
I don't believe the markets really want to move downward at this time, although I do believe the markets will move into a topping pattern by the end of this week.
Gold and Silver are moving into BLANK pattern day, today. Given the fact that we are between rally patterns and the metals charts show a very clear FLAGGING formation (watch my video), I believe we are moving into a FLAG APEX that will prompt a move above $3300 (for Gold) and $33 (for Silver). It's just a matter of time.
BTCUSD is still struggling in the Consolidation phase. As I keep suggesting, I believe the next move for Bitcoin is to the downside. But, until we break this consolidation phase, price will continue to roll around within the consolidation range.
Remember, we are going to be moving back to more normal volatility. So you need to understand these huge daily ranges are going to vanish over the next 3-5+ days.
Volatility will likely move back to the 1% to 2.5% range very quickly.
Get some..
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Gold silver coffee4 15 25 I wanted to do this video before the market moved any higher today. I don't know if it's a paradox or not but it looks to me like gold is going to go higher today after it's been coiling since last week and I explained the Dynamics of a coil and the expansion of a coil and hopefully I said it clearly enough that you at least understand my point of view... and then whether it works or not it's a matter of what the market does and I can't change the market. so gold is near an all-time high and it looks like the buyers are coming in to take it higher but as it stands it's hard to know what's going on because it's early in the morning and nothing's really happening ... and my explanation would be that as bullish as the pattern is for gold to go higher it's still contracted. on the other hand silver is not contracted at all it is so expanded that there's a possibility that if silver starts going higher it can have very impressive moves because it's an expanded Market... and they move a lot better with a lot more efficiency than a contracted Market. and the Paradox is that the goal looks like it's going higher to a new high and the silver might go a lot higher because it's expanded. and I'm going to tell you right now if you read this none of it may happen ... but I would be very surprised if gold doesn't go higher... it only takes a few ticks. what really is going to be important to me... his if the silver actually trades the ABC pattern that I put on that chart because that pattern creates a very large Target area that can have tremendous effects on the silver market because it would be driven much closer to its all-time high which is $50.... so if silver goes several points higher there's a good chance it can attract more buyers to drive silver closer to its all time high..... in effect this changes the silver market which is lagging compared to the gold market.
New era: 'The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles'🏆 The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™ by FXPROFESSOR
Friends, today I’m sharing what may be the most important Bitcoin framework of 2025.
Forget the broken halving expectations. Forget the chaos of macro headlines.
What if the real signal has been here all along?
What if Bitcoin’s true rhythm follows the capital rotation between itself and the U.S. Treasury market?
📊 Introducing: The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™
This is not a model of where Bitcoin could go (like Stock-to-Flow)…
This is a model of when and why it moves — based on the trust rotation between U.S. Treasury Bonds (TLT) and Bitcoin.
What I’ve found is a repeating structure — not based on supply or halvings, but on macro trust dynamics .
🔁 The Two Core Phases:
• Correlated Periods 🟦 (Blue zones): BTC and TLT move together — both rising or falling
• Inverted Periods 🟩 (Green zones): BTC and TLT move in opposite directions
These aren't random — they're structural rotations that occur at key technical levels in the bond market.
🧠 The Cycle Timeline:
Jan 2019 – Feb 2020 → Correlated (pre-COVID calm)
Feb 2020 – Sep 2021 → Inverted (Fed QE, Bitcoin moon)
Sep 2021 – Nov 2022 → Correlated (everything dumps)
Nov 2022 – Oct 2023 → Inverted (TLT collapse, BTC recovers)
Nov 2023 – Aug 2024 → Correlated (sideways digestion)
Aug 2024 – Now (Apr 2025) → Inverted again — and compressing fast
We're now in Period 6 — an Inverted Period — but all signs point to an upcoming Reversion.
📉 What Happens at Each Flip?
These transitions tend to occur when:
• TLT hits major channel support or resistance
• Macro fear or liquidity shocks drive trust shifts
• Smart money starts reallocating across asset classes
Right now, TLT is at channel support — a zone that has previously triggered reversions into correlated periods.
📌 What Comes Next:
According to the Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™ :
→ We are statistically due for a reversion** back into correlation
→ If TLT bounces from 76–71 zone… BTC may follow — not fight
→ The target remains: BTC breaking above 115 resistance
This flip — from inverse to correlated — has historically marked breakout windows for Bitcoin.
🔮 This Is Bigger Than a Halving
Plan B’s Stock-to-Flow gave us valuable insight into long-term valuation.
But it doesn’t explain timing.
This model isn’t about supply mechanics.
It’s about macro trust mechanics .
When institutional confidence leaves Treasuries…
And enters Bitcoin…
That’s the rotation we track.
That’s what moves the chart now.
🎯 Watchlist: • TLT support: 76 → 71 zone = reversal signal
• BTC breakout trigger: 115 resistance
• Cycle shift: Reversion = Bitcoin joining TLT upside
If this plays out, it could mark the most important trust cycle breakout we’ve seen since the COVID inversion.
Bitcoin doesn’t need permission anymore.
It just needs a macro trigger. And this model helps us spot it.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
📌 Missed the full credit market breakdown? Check my recent posts on BKLN, HYG, LQD, and TLT to understand the full Trust Flow rotation.
USDCAD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
BITCOIN is kissing a critical resistance zone.BITCOIN is kissing a critical resistance zone.
Bitcoin is currently kissing a critical resistance zone, hovering around the $85,500 level. This region aligns closely with a descending trendline that has historically capped BTC rallies, and this test comes after a sharp recovery from a local low near $74,000, a drop that was triggered in tandem with broader risk-asset selloffs following U.S. tariff announcements and rising global macroeconomic tension.
Technical Analysis
The descending trendline (marked in blue on the chart) acts as a key resistance.
A daily close above $85,800 - $86,200 could confirm a breakout, potentially paving the way for a fresh attempt toward the $90,000 psychological level.
Conversely, failure to break and hold above this resistance could cause a rejection and pullback.
Immediate downside support lies at the previous local low (~$74,000), and below that, the next strong support zone is around $69,000 (yellow block on chart).
Fundamental Backdrop
Bitcoin continues to be driven by macroeconomic news, institutional flows, and growing ETF inflows.
If fundamentals remain bullish, including continued institutional accumulation, favorable regulatory developments, or increased on-chain activity, they could fuel momentum for a breakout.
The market doesn’t reward assumptions — it rewards preparation.
Whether it’s a breakout or a pullback, risk management should always come first. As always, protect your capital before thinking of profit. Use stop-losses, scale your entries, and avoid over-leveraging in volatile zones like this.
What’s your take on BTC at this juncture?
Do you see a breakout brewing, or is this another trap for over-leveraged bulls?
Let’s discuss
Mantra (OM/USDT) Market Update – April 15, 2025Mantra (OM/USDT) Market Update – April 15, 2025
The Mantra (OM) token has undergone a significant market correction, falling nearly 90% from its peak of $9 to a current support level of approximately $0.37. This sharp decline has triggered widespread panic among investors, leading to massive sell-offs and liquidations that swept billions of dollars from the market. While alarming, such drastic movements are not new to crypto markets and are often a part of broader market cycles.
This type of market behavior has been seen before with major tokens such as XRP, where early investors chose to take profits after substantial rallies. When these large sell-offs occur, they often lead to temporary collapses in price as the market adjusts. What’s happening with OM right now seems to reflect that same pattern — early profit-taking combined with general market uncertainty has created an environment of fear and doubt.
Currently, $0.45 is emerging as a key level of interest. If OM can consolidate above this level and attract renewed buying pressure, a recovery could be on the horizon. Based on Fibonacci retracement levels from the previous highs, OM has the potential to reach $1.40 (0.382 Fib), $2.00 (0.5 Fib), and even $3.00 (0.618 Fib) in a bullish scenario. These levels could serve as potential resistance points where short-term profit-taking may occur during any recovery.
On the flip side, if OM fails to hold above the $0.45 support level, there is a strong possibility of further downside. A confirmed break below this level could send OM down toward the $0.20 range, where it might find the next solid area of buyer interest. This would represent an additional drop in value but may also serve as the bottoming point for the current cycle, assuming broader market conditions stabilize.
Given the current uncertainty, it’s important to remember the old trading adage: “Don’t catch a falling knife.” Buying during heavy downtrends, especially without any confirmation of a reversal, can lead to more losses. Instead, the safer and more strategic approach is to wait for signs of market structure forming — such as higher lows, increased volume, or resistance breakouts — before entering a position.
For seasoned traders, shorting in this kind of market can be profitable, but it requires precise timing and a clear strategy. Entering shorts too early, especially in a market known for sudden spikes and fakeouts, can be just as dangerous as buying prematurely. Risk management and patience are key in navigating a bearish environment like this.
Mantra (OM) is in the midst of a steep correction, but these phases are not uncommon in the crypto world. Holding above $0.45 could lead to a strong bounce, but a breakdown might push prices lower before any recovery begins. Right now, caution is advised. Let the market settle, watch the levels, and wait for confirmation before making any bold moves.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
AVAXUSDT - Setting Up For A Move higher...After decoding what I believe is the most accurate interpretation of the larger Bitcoin pattern—and how it mirrors across Altcoins—I can now break down what this means for Avalanche. A setup is forming for Wave (C) of Wave D, and it’s looking promising.
Once Wave (B) wraps up, I’ll be closely tracking and trading this expected move higher. Stay tuned.
EURJPY breakout setup: 969 pip move ahead?EURJPY has traded sideways for 257 days, forming a descending triangle. A breakout could trigger a move of nearly 1,000 pips. We discuss bullish and bearish scenarios, trade setup, risk-reward, and what could trigger the move.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
LTO - Two Potential Longs!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📚 LTO has been rejecting a massive weekly support and the key $0.02 round number.
🛡️ As long as this level holds, I'm eyeing a potential 5x move towards the upper bound of the falling channel and the $0.10 round number.
🚀 From a macro perspective, a break above $0.10 could trigger a continuation towards $0.30 — unlocking major upside potential!
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
EURUSD breakout holds: Is a bigger rally coming?EURUSD maintains its breakout and the chart suggests the price could head much higher. What are the next steps for traders looking to get involved in this bullish trend? What details should you pay attention to? Watch the video to find out.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.