SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-31 : Consolidation PatternToday's video highlights the power and simplicity of what I attempt to do for all of you.
I'm not perfect. I don't see into the future using some magic crystal ball.
I use my tools and skills to watch the markets and apply my knowledge to the charts to identify the most likely future outcome.
My SPY Cycle pattern predictions seem perfect, showing a top setting up between Oct 29-31, then rolling into a reasonably sharp market decline.
Yesterday's Excess Phase Peak pattern in Silver seemed to lead to weakness in the markets while the SPY was attempting to break through the Flag Apex pattern.
Combined, this cross-market weakness has translated into a very strong overnight selling event where the SPY is already off more than 0.50% and Gold/Silver are struggling near recent highs.
I hope viewers are learning from watching my charts and research. I try to explain things as clearly as I can and show you how to apply these techniques on your own.
As I state in this video, you can build better skills. You can improve your abilities to attempt to see into the future (a bit) and learn to apply better trading abilities. You don't have to be tied to failed techniques and indicators the rest of your life.
It just takes some patience and a lot of learning.
Anyway, I hope you see how my effort are helping you and I will continue to do my best to educate you and help you stay ahead of these market trends.
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Natural Gas Goldmine: Are You Ready to Take the Red Pill?Unlocking the Natural Gas Goldmine: Are You Ready to Take the Red Pill?
In the ever-shifting sands of the financial markets, the truth often lies buried beneath layers of noise and confusion. Today, we delve into the Commitment of Traders (COT) data, a powerful tool that reveals a compelling opportunity in the natural gas market. What if I told you that the signs are aligning for a potential rally? But heed this warning: This does not mean to blindly dive into long positions. Instead, we stand poised, awaiting the moment of a confirmed trend change on the daily timeframe—a moment that transforms potential into profit.
The Market Signals: A Gathering Storm
The data speaks volumes. Commercial traders, the real players in this game, are currently positioned at a major extreme in long holdings—the highest they’ve been in over three years. This is not mere coincidence; it’s a clear indication that something significant is brewing beneath the surface.
As we analyze the net open interest, we observe a phenomenon I like to call the “Bubble Up.” This surge occurs when Commercials outpace Large Speculators, and such dynamics often foreshadow market turning points. The whispers of a shift in power are growing louder, and it’s time to listen closely.
Furthermore, we cannot overlook the increasing open interest during this multi-week decline. But we must ask ourselves: Who is driving this increase? The answer is clear—commercial traders are loading up on long positions. This is a bullish sign, indicating confidence in a market reversal.
The Premium Charge: An Ominous Signal of Change
Adding another layer to our bullish thesis is the current premium charge in the market. We observe that the front months, extending out to April, are trading at a premium compared to later delivery months. This indicates a strong demand for immediate delivery—a sign that the market expects an uptick in prices.
But let us not forget the supplementary indicators that further bolster our long stance: the Price Oscillator Indicator Value (POIV), %R, and the Ultimate Oscillator are all aligning in favor of the bulls. They whisper of impending change, urging us to prepare.
The Seasonal Anomaly: A Moment of Reflection
Yet, as we pursue this truth, we encounter an obstacle. The traditional seasonal patterns suggest a decline until February, but the extreme positioning of commercial long traders casts doubt on this warning. Sometimes, the path to enlightenment requires us to look beyond conventional wisdom.
In this moment, we find ourselves at a crossroads. The insights we’ve gathered are akin to a revelation, a glimpse into the potential future of natural gas.
The Choice is Yours
Will you take the red pill and see how deep the rabbit hole goes? Embrace the knowledge, or remain in the shadows. The markets are waiting, and so is your potential.
Welcome to your awakening.
Take the Red Pill: The EURO COT Long Play RevealedTake the Red Pill: The EURO Long Play Revealed
"Let me tell you why you're here. You're here because you know something. What you know, you can't explain, but you feel it." – Morpheus
Most traders move blindly through the markets, buying and selling on impulse, on what they think they know. But for those who understand how to read deeper signals, patterns begin to emerge—patterns that separate the merely active from the truly informed. Right now, if you're willing to look, Commitment of Traders (COT) data is showing us something intriguing about the EURO. This is your red pill: a glimpse into how those in the know see beyond the chart.
The Setup: A Commercial Long Play
Behind the scenes, commercials—the ones who have true skin in the game—have loaded up on longs, reaching a 26-week extreme in positioning. Not only that, but they're holding their longest exposure in three years, a sign that those with the best intel in the market believe in a coming shift. Meanwhile, the "small specs," often driven by emotion rather than insight, have gone nearly max-short. Historically, this group isn't just wrong; they’re almost predictably wrong.
The result? A textbook setup. But if you’re looking to take advantage, know this: jumping in without discipline is how people get burned. We wait for a confirmed trend change on the daily timeframe. Nothing less. Because only the disciplined get to see beyond the shadows and reap the rewards.
The Undervaluation: Gold, Treasuries, and the EURO’s True Position
If you look at the EURO in comparison to gold and treasuries, something stands out—it’s undervalued. This doesn’t show up in headlines or make for easy soundbites, but for those who know how to look, it’s a flashing signal. And there’s a seasonal edge, too: the EURO’s tendency to rally through mid-December. It’s another puzzle piece that, when added up with positioning extremes and market sentiment, paints a picture that only a few will truly grasp.
Supplementary Signals: Layers of Confirmation
For those still seeking confirmation, additional indicators are lining up: %R, Stochastic, and even bullish momentum divergence are signaling alignment. But understand this—the market doesn’t reward the impatient. We wait, observe, and move only when the trend change is confirmed on the daily chart.
The Truth Beneath the Surface
This is no ordinary trade idea. It’s a blueprint to help you see the hidden dynamics that move the market. Those who look only at surface price action may be blindsided by the moves yet to come. But for those willing to see beyond—those ready to know what the COT data, the fundamentals, and the seasonal tendencies are saying—this is a rare opportunity.
Now, if you’re ready to see what the rest don’t, follow Tradius Trades. You’ll be one of the few with eyes open, equipped to move with purpose.
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> "I didn’t say it would be easy, Neo. I just said it would be the truth."
Market Analysis 11/1/24Hello everyone, welcome back to our daily market analysis.
Today, we examined our fundamental data from yesterday and today. While reviewing, please bear in mind that today marks the commencement of the month. Consequently, we anticipate the emergence of concerning news for several currencies. However, we will primarily focus on the United States Dollar (USD).
The USD’s NFP data warrants our attention due to its potential to induce volatility. As traders, it is imperative to consider these factors: the month’s inception and the possibility of a drop in NFP information, which could further amplify volatility.
Today’s fundamental data indicates a favorable position for CHF, EUR, and JPY, while AUD, CAD, GBP, NZD, and USD exhibit a weaker trend.
Morning Overview: Pullback and Anti Pattern's To Trade TodayThis morning I covered the overview of AMEX:SPY $AMEX:DIA. I talked about pattern recognition across markets, I gave valuable insight into potential pullbacks and anti patterns that are setting up. I provide entry ideas and mentioned the stocks that I like for trading today. Many of which were short today. I think that coming into the day the market is offer many short patterns and rightfully so after yesterday's massive bear bar.
10-31 ES Price action review and Overnight session ReviewGoing over yesterdays price action looking for clues as to what the market was telling us and how we could have traded better. market gave many clues and we need to be aware of what the market is saying before we start dictating to her what she needs to do.
10-31 ES Price action review and Overnight session ReviewGoing over yesterdays price action looking for clues as to what the market was telling us and how we could have traded better. market gave many clues and we need to be aware of what the market is saying before we start dictating to her what she needs to do.
GU could be getting ready to Reverse!Now that we are in a new month AND its election week next week the market could get very volatile. Dollar has been moving bearish all week and most are still expecting it to move bullish. I'm thinking its more likely to turn bullish for a little while. Leaving the Election news to give it the bullish push it needs to start pushing back up. This could lead to some significant moves in the market. We just have to remain ready!
Yall Lock in and follow me you Youtube #NOFOMO is the channel!
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S&P 500: Reached forecasted supportVery bearish day! Hope you managed to get some profits out of it!
Price is at support now, but it just might go a little lower still. It will be choppy all the way down though.
If you're a short term trader, then you can look at the 5 or 15min charts. Make sure there's some kind of reversal chart pattern (like double/ triple bottom / inverted H&S) formed at the 5min before taking a Buy trade.
Trade safely & NEVER risk more than you should!
SPX 7-Minute Chart Analysis: Identifying Bullish MomentumThis SPX (S&P 500 Index) 7-minute chart provides a look into intraday bullish momentum using Heikin Ashi candles and moving averages. Here’s a breakdown of the key points and signals observed on this chart:
Key Indicators and Signals:
Call Signals:
The chart shows multiple “Call Signal” indicators (in green) along the trend, which highlight points where buying momentum is potentially entering the market. Each of these signals aligns closely with support areas or pullbacks within the uptrend, offering opportunities for entries in line with the prevailing trend.
Moving Averages (Orange and Blue Lines):
Orange Line (VWAP): The orange line tracks closer to price action and appears to act as a dynamic support level, with prices bouncing off it several times as the trend progresses upward. This moving average helps confirm the short-term bullish trend.
Blue Line (50 EMA or SMA): The blue moving average is further from the price but shows the overall upward trend. The price remains above this line, further confirming that bullish momentum is intact.
Heikin Ashi Candles:
The Heikin Ashi candles show consistent bullish candles (yellow) with few lower wicks, which indicates strong buying pressure. The limited presence of red candles reflects minor pullbacks rather than trend reversals, which is typical in a sustained uptrend.
Gray Support Zone(ORB):
There’s a gray support zone below the price AKA the opening range breakout, which was tested but held successfully. This area marks a key support level, as each time the price neared this zone, it bounced back, showing that buyers are defending this level strongly.
Analysis and Outlook:
Bullish Trend Confirmation: The consistent uptrend in SPX, supported by both moving averages and the strong Heikin Ashi candles, suggests that bullish momentum is likely to continue. The multiple “Call Signals” give confidence in the trend’s strength, indicating potential for further upside.
Entry and Exit Opportunities: You could use the pullbacks to the orange moving average or gray support zone as potential entry points, aligning with the overall uptrend. Watch for continued “Call Signal” alerts near these areas for high-probability entries.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: Gray zone around 5,719 - 5,720 and the orange moving average.
Resistance: Look for any signs of resistance at psychological levels like 5,740 and 5,750, where some profit-taking might occur.
Low hanging fruit continuation setup taken with Gold and NASIn this video, I walk you through my entire thought process during today's trading session. You'll learn how I selected the pairs and executed three key trades:
* Silver long scalp
* Gold LHF Short
* NAS LHF short
I'll also provide a detailed explanation of the LHF setup, helping you understand how to apply this strategy in your own trading. LHF is one of my personal A+ playbook setups. Don't miss out on these valuable insights and tips!