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USDJPY Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my USDJPY analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
Market Update - This Stock Market Analysis Aligns With Bitcoin..What if I told you that the stock market’s pattern could actually reveal what’s coming next for Bitcoin—would you stick around and watch the entire video? That’s exactly what I’m diving into here. I didn’t force this analysis to fit; somehow, over the past week, it just lined up this way. In this video, I break down exactly why the next market move could be more severe than anything we’ve seen in our lifetime—yet it’s not the end of the world. In fact, if approached correctly, this could be the opportunity of a lifetime. The rebound that follows could be massive. I’ve always had a gut feeling about this, but now the patterns are speaking loud and clear. This is the reason I created AriasWave—and this is exactly where we are right now. This also aligns with my latest Euro analysis linked below in related ideas.
by AriasWave
XAGUSD Silver: Navigating Transition from Rally to Correction.Technical Analysis: XAGUSD (Silver) 📈 Silver (XAGUSD) is displaying bullish momentum following a significant rally. The precious metal has pushed into higher territory, creating an overextended condition on the price chart. 💹 Currently trading at a premium level, Silver appears ripe for a potential retracement. This elevated positioning suggests buyers may be exhausting their momentum, creating favorable conditions for a corrective move. 🔄 From a Wyckoff perspective, we're observing a classic distribution pattern with price action ranging sideways after the strong upward move. This horizontal consolidation often precedes a change in direction, as smart money potentially distributes positions to retail traders at these premium levels. ⚠️ Particularly noteworthy is the potential for a spring formation. If price breaks below the current range only to reverse sharply higher, this false breakdown could trap shorts and fuel further upside momentum. Conversely, a decisive break below market structure could confirm distribution is complete. 🎯 Trade Idea: Monitor the 30-minute timeframe for a clear break of market structure to the downside. Such a breakdown following this sideways ranging behavior would align with Wyckoff distribution principles and could signal the beginning of a more substantial correction. 🔍 Entry on confirmation of the breakdown with targets at key support levels would provide a measured approach to capitalizing on the potential reversal from these premium prices.
PEPPERSTONE:XAGUSD
by fxtraderanthony
2
$PLTR Trade: Buy $90.86 , Target $101.35Beep Beep. Hope everyone is taking care of their trading accounts during this volatile phase in the markets. I noticed an identical setup on the weekly from back in August 24' and I'm looking to take advantage. We have a trend reversal on the Tom Demark sequential that helps identify trend exhaustion through a 9 Count. Currently on a 2 Count, we're testing the gap while simultaneously testing the 10WMA at 90.86.There is also a weekly gap at 101.35 ... Entry would be the 10WMA. Target the weekly Gap. Trade is as follows: Trade Idea - Swing NASDAQ:PLTR $95 Calls 4/25 Entry - 10 WMA @ $90.86 Target - Gap on Weekly at $101.35
NASDAQ:PLTRLong
by TazmanianTrader
6
More DATA = Better Trades, adopt a "Top Down" approach!! All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! www.tradingview.com
Long
by Simply-Forex
AUDCHFAUD/CHF Fundamental Analysis: Why the Australian Dollar Remains Weak Against the Swiss Franc Current Situation The AUD/CHF pair has been under pressure, reflecting a fundamentally weak Australian dollar relative to the Swiss franc. While there are some early technical signs of a potential base forming, the overall outlook remains cautious, with bearish sentiment prevailing in the near term. Key Fundamental Drivers of AUD Weakness Commodity Prices and Trade Exposure The Australian dollar is highly sensitive to commodity prices, especially iron ore and coal. Recent volatility and subdued demand from China, Australia’s largest trading partner, have weighed on the AUD. Any further deterioration in global trade or commodity prices would likely exacerbate AUD weakness. Interest Rate Differentials The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintains a policy rate of 4.1%, which is high compared to the Swiss National Bank’s 0.25%. However, the market is increasingly pricing in the possibility of RBA rate cuts due to subdued inflation (2.5%) and global economic uncertainty. In contrast, Switzerland’s ultra-low rates and reputation as a safe haven continue to attract capital during risk-off periods. Economic Growth and Sentiment Australia’s GDP growth (0.6% quarterly) outpaces Switzerland’s (0.2%), and its labor market remains relatively tight. However, Australia’s current account deficit (-2.1% of GDP) contrasts with Switzerland’s large surplus (7.6%), supporting the franc. Consumer confidence in Australia is robust, but global risk aversion still favors the CHF. Global Risk Appetite The Swiss franc typically strengthens during periods of global uncertainty, as investors seek safe-haven assets. Ongoing trade tensions, especially between the US and China, and concerns about global growth have kept risk appetite subdued, further supporting the CHF over the AUD. Conclusion The Australian dollar remains fundamentally weak against the Swiss franc due to soft commodity prices, a cautious RBA, Australia’s current account deficit, and persistent global risk aversion. While there are early technical signs of stabilization, the fundamental backdrop continues to favor the Swiss franc, and any sustained recovery in AUD/CHF will likely require a marked improvement in global risk sentiment and commodity demand.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
April 14th Trade Journal & Market AnalysisApril 14th Trade Journal & Market Analysis EOD accountability report: +565 Sleep: 6 hour, Overall health: recovering, cant seem to get over 6 hour sleep. **Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System ** 9:30 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (triple sell signal) 9:41 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3 11:02 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 12:20 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (Triple buy signal) 2:11 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 3:20 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (triple sell again) Today traded inside the zone, tested the 10min MA from the other day, held very well and bounced strong. Bot alerts were on fire today. Tuesday plan: Look for a backtest to support again on 48 min and push up to the MOB.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by WallSt007
XAUUSD Gold in Overdrive: Awaiting a Critical Pullback for a BuyDaily Chart Analysis On the daily chart, XAUUSD has surged to new highs, signaling an overextended market as gold rallies far above previous price swings. The price is now trading at a premium, which indicates that much of the bullish momentum may already be priced in. As a result, there is potential for a pullback toward a more attractive entry area. Specifically, a retracement into a discounted zone—ideally below the 50% level of the previous swing—may offer a better long opportunity rather than entering at these extended levels. 📈⚠️ 4-Hour Chart Analysis Examining the 4-hour timeframe reveals more granular price action that aligns with the daily trend. Here, gold displays signs of potential exhaustion with the recent impulsive moves. The market structure hints at the possibility of a short-term setup if the price begins to reverse, aligning with basic Wyckoff theory principles. This suggests that while there might be an interim short play if the reversal is confirmed, the expectation remains that a healthy pullback will eventually pave the way for a new long opportunity once the price finds support. 🔻🤔 Integrating Price Action, Market Structure & Wyckoff Theory Using elements of Wyckoff theory, it's clear that the current rally has pushed the market into an overbought state. • The price action indicates a likely initiation of a distribution phase, where selling pressure might temporarily take over. • A pullback into the discounted zone (particularly under the 50% retracement of the prior range) would be an ideal opportunity to look for a buying setup. • On the flip side, if the shorter-term setup solidifies, a conservative short play could be considered until signs of accumulation emerge. This dual perspective underscores the importance of disciplined risk management and monitoring short-term reversals while keeping an eye on the broader trend. 🔍📉💡 Summary of Key Takeaways XAUUSD is currently overextended with a strong rally to new highs. While the momentum is robust, the premium pricing compared to previous swings suggests caution. A pullback into a discounted zone, specifically below the 50% retracement level, could provide a more enticing entry point for those looking to go long. Concurrently, the 4-hour chart offers potential setups for a short play should price action indicate a reversal. Coupling these observations with Wyckoff theory fundamentals can allow for a balanced, dynamic trading strategy. 🔄 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by fxtraderanthony
1
USDCHF Imbalance Zone Possible Set Up for Bearish ContinuationBased on the current analysis of USDCHF, there's a compelling bearish setup forming on the 4-hour timeframe. Let's dive into the details! 🔍 Fundamental Analysis 💹 USDCHF is currently under significant bearish pressure at 0.8655 📉. The Swiss Franc has been strengthening against the USD, likely due to its safe-haven status amid current market uncertainties. This fundamental backdrop supports our technical bearish bias! 🇨🇭 Technical Analysis on 4H Chart 📈 The price is trading below both the 20 EMA (0.8677) and 50 EMA (0.8715) 📊, confirming the bearish momentum. This bearish EMA alignment creates a perfect environment for short entries! ⚡ Imbalance Zone Opportunity 🎯 There's a clear imbalance zone between 0.8664 - 0.8674 that hasn't been properly retested yet. This zone represents an area where price moved quickly, leaving behind unfilled orders. If price retraces into this zone, it could act as a magnet for sellers! 💰 The Perfect Setup 🔄 Wait for price to retrace into the imbalance zone (0.8664 - 0.8674) ⬆️ Look for bearish price action confirmation (engulfing candles, rejection wicks) 🕯️ Confirm a bearish structure break after the retracement 📉 Enter short position with stops above the recent swing high (~0.8680) 🚫 Target the equilibrium level (0.8661) as first take-profit 🎯 Extended targets at previous lows or 1:2 risk-reward ratio 💸 Risk Management ⚠️ Keep your stop loss tight above the imbalance zone Consider scaling out at key support levels Total risk should not exceed 1-2% of your trading capital 💵 This setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward opportunity if executed properly! The bearish momentum is strong, with both EMAs confirming the downtrend. The imbalance zone provides a high-probability entry point for shorts! 🔥
Short
by fxtraderanthony
2