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BTCUSD Analysis Today: Technical and On-Chain !In this video, I will share my BTCUSD analysis by providing my complete technical and on-chain insights, so you can watch it to improve your crypto trading skillset. The video is structured in 4 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the on-chain data analysis, then I will be moving to the liquidation maps analysis and lastly, I will be putting together these 3 different types of analysis.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
S&P 500 and the 200-Day Moving Average – A Simple Trend SignalLooking at the daily chart of the S&P 500 with the 200-day moving average (turquoise line), you could build a very basic—but often effective—trend-following system: ✅ Price above the 200-day MA = Bull trend ❌ Price below the 200-day MA = Bear trend 🔄 Price oscillating around it = Possible trend change ________________________________________ 📊 Current Setup: We’ve broken sharply below the 200-day MA and have seen only a minor bounce back above it—with little follow-through. This kind of price action typically suggests a weakening bull trend. ⚠️ If we break below the 200-day MA again (currently around 5773), I’d start viewing that as a bearish signal. Right now, I’m watching this level very closely, as the next move could offer a strong clue about the market’s direction. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
SP:SPX
by The_STA
EURUSDEUR/USD 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rate Differential, and Carry Trade Advantage (May 27–30, 2025) 1. Current 10-Year Bond Yields Eurozone 10-Year Government Bond Yield: Approximately 3.11% (as of May 23, 2025). US 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield: Approximately 4.54% (as of May 21–22, 2025). 2. Interest Rate Differential (IRD) The yield spread between US and Eurozone 10-year bonds is:4.54%(US)−3.11(EUR)=+1.43% 4.54% (US)−3.11% (EUR)=+1.43% This differential favors the US dollar, as US bonds offer higher yields compared to Eurozone bonds. 3. Carry Trade Advantage The +1.43% yield differential makes it attractive for investors to borrow in euros (lower-yielding currency) and invest in US dollar assets (higher-yielding), earning the interest rate spread. This carry trade tends to support USD strength against EUR, especially if global risk sentiment remains stable and interest rate expectations hold. However, factors such as geopolitical risks, Fed rate cut expectations, and ECB monetary policy also influence the sustainability of this advantage. 4. Additional Context for May 27–30, 2025 Markets are pricing in two 25-basis-point Fed rate cuts by year-end, which may reduce the US yield advantage gradually. Eurozone inflation is easing, and ECB officials signal cautious policy, potentially limiting Eurozone yield increases. Trade tensions and fiscal concerns in both regions add volatility to bond yields and exchange rates. Summary Table Metric Eurozone (EUR) United States (USD) 10-Year Bond Yield ~3.11% ~4.54% Interest Rate Differential - +1.43% (USD over EUR) Carry Trade Implication Lower yield Higher yield; carry trade favorable for USD Conclusion The EUR/USD interest rate differential of about 1.43% in favor of the US dollar supports USD strength through carry trade flows during May 27–30, 2025. While this yield advantage incentivizes borrowing in euros and investing in US assets, market dynamics such as Fed rate cut expectations and ECB policy caution could moderate this effect. Traders should watch bond yields, central bank signals, and geopolitical developments to assess the carry trade’s ongoing viability.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
EUR/NZD Short and CAD/JPY ShortEUR/NZD Short Minimum entry requirements: • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. CAD/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Short
by StewySongs
1
GOLD As of now gold is trading at $3,321.60 per ounce, down $44.20 or about 1.31% on the day. The session has seen a low of $3,317.40 . This pullback follows recent volatility, with gold having reached a yearly high of supply roof and yearly demand floor . Gold is experiencing a correction after a strong rally last week, which was driven by safe-haven demand amid US economic uncertainty and a weaker dollar. the break out of the 1hr ascending trendline and retest is a sell confirmation with target 3287,3304, The short-term trend is slightly bearish with strong supplyroof at $3,365–$3,371; a move above this could target $3,435 and the all-time high at $3,500. The price action is being influenced by easing trade tensions (such as the delay of US tariffs on Europe), expectations of Fed rate cuts, and ongoing geopolitical risks. the sudden rise of dxy yesterday on the descending trendline demand floor helped restore temporary buying power Summary: Gold is currently consolidating after a recent surge, with prices slightly lower today.its best to watch further US economic data and Fed signals, as well as geopolitical developments, to determine the next significant move with a clear directional bias. #gold #chart
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
1
GBPUSD Trade IdeaThe GBPUSD pair is showing a strong bullish trend on the 4-hour chart. However, the price currently looks overextended. This suggests the market may be due for a corrective pullback. I’m watching for a pullback into a discounted zone near the fair value gap. If the price moves back into this zone, I’ll look for a bullish break of market structure as a signal to enter long. This plan emphasizes patience and the importance of waiting for a favorable entry rather than chasing an extended move. As always, this is my personal strategy and not financial advice. Proper risk management and discretion are essential.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
3
$SPY Positioning for New Highs After a Pullback.. $650-$700??SPY remains in a bullish trend until proven otherwise, but I’m anticipating a short-term pullback before the next leg higher. My current outlook sees downside potential toward the $555 level, where I expect a potential reversal. From there, I believe SPY is on track to retest and eventually break through all-time highs at $613. Until I see confirmation at $555 or signs of structural breakdown, I’m treating this pullback as a buying opportunity—not a reversal.
AMEX:SPYLong
by GiftedInvestor
CETUS Hack Giving Opportunities Within SUICRYPTOCAP:SUI SUI is one of the fastest growing L1 chains. Previously extreme intra SUI dominance within swapping volume by KUCOIN:CETUSUSDT CETUS. This hack is a direct threat to the confidence of not just the application but the chain itself just like Ethereum was exposed during the MakerDAO hack. Volume market wants to know their funds are secure to certain degree and predictable. Volume flow is more than fine with centralisation, esp with low barriers. Should the deposits be mostly secured and exploit fixed then it can bring confidence roaring back not just to CETUS but more importantly, SUI. CETUS dominance within SUI is falling to rising applications. My favourite is Bluefin with its low barriers to account creation like google login. KUCOIN:BLUEUSDT BLUE has rising dominance within SUI volume market.
Long
by SoftQuant
DOLLARThe US Dollar Index (DXY) Yearly Support and Potential Sell-Off to 96 Zone: Role of 10-Year Bond Yields and Interest Rates 1. Technical Outlook: DXY Support Breakdown and 96$ Target and Critical Support Levels. The DXY recently breached the 200-week moving average (200-WMA), a key multi-year support level, signaling a potential trend reversal . A sustained break below 98.00 could trigger a steeper decline toward 96.00-95$ long-term uptrend ascending trendline acting as 6months support floor connecting 2008, 2011 and 2020, . However, analyst projections also highlight the 96–95 zone as a plausible target if Fed rate cuts and macroeconomic headwinds persist . Current Context (May 2025): The DXY is testing 98.4 on weekly charts, with bears eyeing lower supports amid weakening USD sentiment . A drop to ascending trend line on 6months would align with forecasts tied to Fed policy shifts and global currency strength . 2. 10-Year Bond Yield and Interest Rate Dynamics Direct Relationship with the Dollar: The 10-year Treasury yield and USD share a strong correlation: higher yields attract foreign capital, boosting dollar demand, while lower yields weaken the currency . As of May 2025, the 10-year yield hovers near 4.54%, down from peaks but still elevated compared to global peers . Impact of Rate Cuts and Policy Divergence: Fed Rate Expectations: Markets price in five Fed rate cuts by late 2025, which would reduce yield advantages and pressure the dollar . Policy Divergence: The ECB and BoJ are expected to maintain or ease policies, while the Fed delays cuts, temporarily supporting USD. However, prolonged easing could reverse this advantage . 3. Key Drivers of Dollar Weakness Toward 96-95 ascending trendline Bearish Factors: Yield Decline: A drop in the 10-year yield (e.g., due to Fed cuts or recession fears) would erode USD appeal. For every 1% decline in yields, the DXY could fall 3–5% . Risk Sentiment: A "soft landing" scenario or rally in risk assets (stocks, commodities) may reduce safe-haven USD demand . Tariff and Geopolitical Risks: Escalating US-China/EU trade tensions could weaken the USD if global growth fears dominate . Bullish Counterpoints: Hawkish Fed Surprises: Strong US data (e.g., inflation, jobs) may delay rate cuts, keeping yields and the dollar elevated . Safe-Haven Flows: Renewed geopolitical/market turmoil could revive USD demand despite lower yields . 4. Summary: Interplay Between Yields, Rates, and DXY Factor Impact on DXY 10-Year Yield Rises Strengthens USD (investor inflows) 10-Year Yield Falls Weakens USD (capital outflows) Fed Rate Cuts Pressures USD (narrows yield gap) ECB/BoJ Easing Supports USD (policy divergence) Path to 96: A combination of Fed rate cuts, declining 10-year yields, and stronger global currencies (EUR, JPY) could drive the DXY toward 96–95 . Reversal Risks: Hawkish Fed pivots or safe-haven demand amid crises may stall the decline. Conclusion The DXY’s potential drop to the 96–95 zone hinges on sustained declines in the 10-year Treasury yield and Fed rate cuts, compounded by technical breakdowns. While policy divergence and safe-haven flows offer temporary USD support, broader macroeconomic shifts (e.g., tariff risks, global growth) could accelerate the sell-off. Traders should monitor yields, Fed rhetoric, and technical levels on demand floor and supply roof for confirmation of bearish or bullish momentum
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by Shavyfxhub
NZDUSD 3MONTHS CHARTNZD/USD Interest Rate Differential, 10-Year Bond Yields, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 25–30, 2025) Current 10-Year Bond Yields New Zealand 10-Year Bond Yield: 4.70% (as of May 21, 2025) . US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.54% (as of May 22, 2025) . Interest Rate Differential (IRD) The yield spread between New Zealand and US 10-year bonds is:4.70%(NZD)−4.54%(USD)=+0.16% the 4.70% (NZD)−4.54% (USD)=+0.16% This modest differential slightly favors the New Zealand dollar, creating a limited carry trade opportunity. Carry Trade Advantage Investors can borrow USD at lower US rates and invest in higher-yielding NZD assets, earning the 0.16% yield spread. The strategy is supported by New Zealand’s elevated bond yields despite recent Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) rate cuts. However, the narrow spread reduces potential returns compared to higher-yielding currency pairs. Key Events and Risks (May 25–30, 2025) RBNZ Monetary Policy Meeting (May 27–28): Markets expect a 25 basis point rate cut to 3.50% , which could pressure NZD yields lower and narrow the IRD. Further easing signals may weaken NZD, offsetting carry trade gains. US Economic Data and Fed Policy: US inflation data and Fed Chair Powell’s speeches could influence USD strength. Traders currently price in five Fed rate cuts by year-end , which may limit USD upside. China Trade Dynamics: New Zealand’s trade ties with China (its largest partner) make NZD sensitive to US-China trade tensions. Progress in tariff negotiations could support NZD . Summary Table Metric New Zealand (NZD) United States (USD) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.70% 4.54% Interest Rate Differential +0.16% (NZD over USD) — Carry Trade Appeal Modest, but narrowing — Conclusion The 0.16% yield advantage for NZD over USD provides a limited carry trade opportunity. However, the upcoming RBNZ rate cut (May 27–28) and potential Fed easing could narrow the spread further. NZD/USD remains vulnerable to: RBNZ policy: Further rate cuts may reduce NZD’s yield appeal. US-China trade developments: Escalating tensions could pressure NZD due to its reliance on Chinese trade. While the carry trade offers marginal gains, traders should prioritize risk management amid volatility from central bank decisions and geopolitical risks.
by Shavyfxhub
USDJPYUSD/JPY Interest Rate Differential, 10-Year Bond Yields, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 26–30, 2025) Current 10-Year Bond Yields US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.54% (as of May 21–22, 2025) . Japan 10-Year JGB Yield: 1.56% (as of May 23, 2025) . Interest Rate Differential (IRD) The yield spread between US and Japanese 10-year bonds is:4.54%(US)−1.56%(JPY)=+2.98% 4.54% (US)−1.56% (JPY)=+2.98% This significant differential favors the US dollar, making USD/JPY attractive for carry trades. Carry Trade Advantage Investors borrow low-yielding JPY (at ~0.5% BoJ policy rate) to invest in higher-yielding USD assets, earning the ~2.98% yield spread as profit. The strategy is supported by the Fed’s relatively hawkish stance compared to the BoJ’s cautious approach, despite Japan’s rising inflation (core CPI at 3.5% in April 2025) . Bank of Japan Policy Signals: Rising inflation and revised Leading Economic Index (108.1 for March 2025) may pressure the BoJ to tighten policy, narrowing the yield differential. Market expectations for BoJ rate hikes could strengthen JPY, reducing carry trade appeal. USD/JPY has fallen below 143.00 amid JPY strength , but oversold conditions suggest potential short-term corrections. US-China trade tensions and tariffs may introduce volatility, affecting risk sentiment. Summary Table Metric United States (USD) Japan (JPY) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.54% 1.56% Interest Rate Differential +2.98% (USD over JPY) — Carry Trade Appeal Favorable for long USD/JPY — Conclusion The ~2.98% yield differential strongly supports USD/JPY carry trades, but traders should monitor: BoJ policy shifts: Potential rate hikes could narrow the spread and weaken USD/JPY. Fed rhetoric and US data: Hawkish signals may sustain USD strength, while dovish surprises could reduce the yield advantage. Technical levels: A break below 142.00 could signal further JPY strength, eroding carry trade profits. While the carry trade remains attractive, volatility from policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks requires careful risk management during this period.. #GOLD #FOREX #USDJPY#DOLLAR #YEN
by Shavyfxhub
1
GOLD GOLD ,in other to add more buy position we need a break above 3364 double confluence sell zone. the ascending trendline helped keep price in a bullish direction and supported 3323-3326 demand floor to where we are trading at 3341 as at time of reporting and the next impulse should embrace 3364 zone. break and close more buy confirmation. on the sell side a breakout from the demand ascending trendline will kiss 3304-3308 and break below will attract more sell position.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
2