XAUUSDGold have come to our overall first target area as analyzed in previous videos, so we will see more of retracement to the downside to recover for 50% movement before we movemore to the upside. for this trade call we will favour more of the downside rather than the upside we will be targetting 1:3 for this price move
Community ideas
Bitcoin’s Crossroads: Shooting Star Pressure vs. Bullish Pennantwe examine a classic battle of signals: the daily chart reveals a dominant shooting star candle—hinting at overhead resistance and possible downside risk—while the 4-hour setup unfolds a bullish pennant triangle, often a prelude to continuation moves. This presentation balances caution with opportunity, highlighting key breakout zones, invalidation points, and what traders should watch next. As Bitcoin hovers at this technical tension point, will bulls find the strength to punch through? Unfortunately bulls have been faked out and we currently have a confirmed candle open and close below the 50EMA on 4H. This confirms a strong pullback initiated by the shooting star on the daily chart to a potential target of $114k.
Wait and seeAlthough the S&P 500 daily chart for Monday implies sellers coming into the market, the past behavior over the last few days has been a lack of follow-through to the downside. The market seems to be structuring itself to a wait and see approach. This means the markets waiting for additional information to respond directionally and it could be earnings that could stimulate this market.
DXYTHE DOLLAR INDEX .
key data report ,22nd the fed chairman Powell speaks and on 24th we are expecting Unemployment Claims.
watch this data as they will shape the trade directional bias.
Key Factors Behind Today's Drop
1. Rising Global Risk Appetite and Strong Foreign Currencies
Investors are showing increased appetite for non-dollar assets today. The euro, yen, and pound have all strengthened—most notably, the dollar fell nearly 1% against the yen after political developments in Japan and a positive outlook in Europe.
European optimism was boosted by encouraging business survey results, while political clarity in Japan lifted the yen and added further selling pressure on the dollar.
2. Lower U.S. Treasury Yields
Softening U.S. yields contributed to the dollar’s weakness. Lower yields typically make the dollar less attractive relative to other currencies, further encouraging outflows.
Investors are reassessing Federal Reserve rate cut odds and show caution ahead of the July 31 Fed meeting.
3.Uncertainty Over Tariffs and U.S. Policy
Heightened anxiety around upcoming U.S. tariffs (with an August 1 deadline) and erratic policy signals are dampening confidence in the dollar as a safe haven.
Speculation over Fed independence, including market chatter about potential challenges to Chair Powell’s role, has hurt trust in U.S. monetary policy stability, fueling additional dollar selling.
Conclusion
The dollar index’s drop from its ascending trend line today is the result of a perfect storm of increased foreign currency strength, risk-seeking investor sentiment, declining U.S. yields, persistent policy and tariff uncertainty, All of these factors have combined to drive sellers selling momentum ,they will continue to push the index to its lowest levels and my structure is giving me 94-94.5 level.
trading is 100% probailty,trade with caution.
DIYWallSt Trade Journal: $531 Profit & Navigating Volatile Morn**07/21/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis **
EOD accountability report: +531.25
Sleep: 6 hours
Overall health: worked on the newsletter last night and didn't get much sleep.
** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) **
— 9:30 AM VXAlgo NQ X3 Buy
— 9:42 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 10:40 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal
— 12:42 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal
**What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? **
market moved very well this morning after bullish market structure signal, but because it was so violent, it was hard to hold that position for long.
throughout the rest of the day, it moved extremely slow and eventually formed a double top and came all the way down to market opening price lol.
**News**
*FED CHAIR POWELL HIT WITH CRIMINAL REFERRAL BY HOUSE GOP TRUMP ALLY - FOXNEWS
**What are the critical support levels to watch?**
--> Above 6339= Bullish, Under 6320= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
July 21 Special Update : Metals, SPY & More. What's Next.This special update is to highlight why I continue to believe traders should stay very cautious of this rally in the SPY/QQQ/BTCUSD.
Underlying economic data suggest that this is one big speculative rally following the April Tariff collapse.
And, the economic data I see from my custom indexes suggests the markets are moving into a very volatile and potentially dangerous topping pattern.
As I've stated many times in this video. I'm not saying the markets have topped and you should SELL EVERYTHING. I'm suggesting this market is extremely over-valued in terms of the underlying risk factors at play and the very clear data that suggests the markets are already in a recessionary price trend.
You may ask, "How can the markets continue to rally like this in a moderate recession?".
The answer is simple.
All bubbles end with a super-speculative phase. This phase is where everyone piles into a euphoric attempt to ride the rally higher.
It happened in the late 1990s. It has happened again through the 2000-2005+ housing bubble. Heck, it has occurred in the collectors market over the past few decades where people spent fortunes on the "hottest items" (think Beanie-Babies) only to find out they bought at the height of the bubble.
That is why I continue to urge traders to remain cautious and to withdraw profits from this speculative rally phase. Protect your investment capital immediately and consider the risks associated with the information I share in this video.
I'm not trying to scare anyone. I'm just trying to be realistic in terms of what I see in my data and why I believe now is the best time to MOVE TO SAFETY.
My data suggests that the markets are about to enter a fragile and potentially dangerous pullback phase. If you want to ride it out - go for it.
Otherwise, prepare for significant volatility over the next six months or more.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Natural Gas Crisis: Profits were made!Nat Gas plunged to a 1-week low Monday on the outlook for cooler US temperatures.
A report came out that Nat gas has heat peak demand which is scaring investors.
Nat GAs equities got demolished which could indicate that this breakdown is real.
We got rejected off the daily 50 MA & Knifed through the 200 Daily MA.
Some clear technical breakdowns are now in affect.
We banked on EQT put options that ran over 400%. This trade was called out free on our channel. You tube Short.
BITCOIN FINAL WARNING BEFORE HUGE MOVE!!! (urgent) Yello Paradisers! I am Sharing with you my idea about #Bitcoin of what's going on with Bitcoin right now: be very careful because the Fear and Greed Index, a special one, is at "Greed". We are seeing funding rates, the accumulated funding rates, as extremely positive. We are seeing bearish patterns forming.
In this video, I'm describing the confirmations we are waiting for that will confirm that Bitcoin is about to make a huge movement. Make sure that you are trading with professional trading strategies and that you are waiting for confirmations before any trade execution. Also, make sure that you have tight risk management because only the best, most professional traders will win long-term in this game.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Dogecoin - It is all totally expected!🐶Dogecoin ( CRYPTO:DOGEUSD ) will break out soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
Just this month, Dogecoin perfectly retested a significant confluence of support and is starting the expected rejection. With bullish momentum picking up, there is a very high chance that Dogecoin will break the all time high in the near future.
📝Levels to watch:
$0.5
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
SwingTraderPhil
Alphabet - The textbook break and retest!📧Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) will head much higher:
🔎Analysis summary:
If we look at the chart of Alphabet we can basically only see green lines. And despite the recent correction of about -30%, Alphabet remains in a very bullish market. Looking at the recent all time high break and retest, there is a chance that we will see new all time highs soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$200
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
Meta - The breakout in question?🪓Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) is retesting major structure:
🔎Analysis summary:
After Meta perfectly retested a major previous support trendline in 2022, the trend shifted bullish. We have been witnessing an incredible rally of about +700% with a current retest of the previous all time highs. Time will tell but a bullish breakout remains quite likely.
📝Levels to watch:
$750
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
XAUUSD 5M DEMAND SETUPSpotted a clear 5M demand zone aligned with a bullish trend and previous higher highs. Noted a break of structure before the zone was tapped, with a fair value gap confirming the setup. Entered after a strong rejection and break of candle , targeting a 1:2 R:R. Trade hit take profit, ending the session with a solid result.
MSOS Long with 150% Upside - Cannabis Rescheduling Catalyst💠 Catalyst : Cannabis is currently classified as a schedule I drug alongside heroin, bath salts, and synthetic opioids that kill thousands every year — all while being safer than Tylenol and legal in over half the country. Cannabis is likely to be rescheduled to a schedule III drug soon after Terry Cole is confirmed as the head of the DEA. The vote to confirm him is expected to take place...TODAY
As a schedule I drug, cannabis companies can’t deduct regular business expenses for tax purposes, have limited access to banking, must transact with customers in all cash, and US multi-state operators are unable to list on the major US exchanges.
Terry Cole will be confirmed as the new head of the DEA, and when he is confirmed, the stalled process to reschedule cannabis from a schedule I to a schedule III drug should resume. If cannabis is rescheduled, that will pave the way for further research, destigmatize it, and open the door to banking and uplisting of US multi-state operators to the major exchanges in the near future.
This trade capitalizes on the fact that investors are not positioned for reform and further positive catalysts. The worst-case scenario is priced into the MSOS ETF, and when good news on rescheduling hits the tape, that should start a NEW Bull market in the MSOS cannabis stocks.
💠 Technical Setup:
Bear Market
• Multi-year bear market throughout the entire Biden administration on promises to reschedule that were never followed through on
• Capitulation when Trump won the election on the prospect of potentially another 4 years of no reform
Bearish to Bullish Technical Transition!
• LT Stage 1A Bottom Signal (Price > 50D SMA)
• ST Stage 2A Breakout (First day Price > 10D EMA and 20D SMA)
• Hourly Chart – Breaking out above Weekly Value Area
• Daily Chart – Trading above the Monthly Value Area
• Overlapping prior monthly value areas in sight!
• VPOC in sight!
• Weekly Chart – Targeting a retest of the Yearly POC
💠 Trade Plan
ENTRY: $2.72 (Break above weekly value area high)
STOP: $1.97 (Below the prior all-time-low)
TARGET: 6.92 (A retest of the yearly point of control from 2024)
RISK: 27.6%
REWARD: 154.4%
R/R Multiple: 5.6X
Probability of Win: 50%
Expected Value: 63.42%
How to Trade Doji Candles on TradingViewLearn to identify and trade doji candlestick patterns using TradingView's charting tools in this comprehensive tutorial from Optimus Futures. Doji candles are among the most significant candlestick formations because they signal market indecision and can help you spot potential trend reversal opportunities.
What You'll Learn:
• Understanding doji candlestick patterns and their significance in market analysis
• How to identify valid doji formations
• The psychology behind doji candles: when buyers and sellers fight to a draw
• Using volume analysis to confirm doji pattern validity
• Finding meaningful doji patterns at trend highs and lows for reversal setups
• Timeframe considerations for doji analysis on any chart period
• Step-by-step trading strategy for doji reversal setups
• How to set stop losses and profit targets
• Real example using E-Mini S&P 500 futures on 60-minute charts
This tutorial may help futures traders and technical analysts who want to use candlestick patterns to identify potential trend reversals. The strategies covered could assist you in creating straightforward reversal setups when market indecision appears at key price levels.
Learn more about futures trading with Tradingview: optimusfutures.com
Disclaimer:
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting instruments. Market conditions are constantly evolving, and all trading decisions should be made independently, with careful consideration of individual risk tolerance and financial objectives.
HOW-TO: Auto Harmonic Screener - UltimateXHello Everyone,
In this video, we have discussed on how to use our new Auto Harmonic Screener - UltimateX. We have covered the following topics.
Difference between Auto Harmonic Screener - UltimateX (Current script) and Auto Harmonic Pattern - UltimateX and how to use both the scripts together
Difference between Auto Harmonic Screener - UltimateX (Current script) and the existing screener Auto Harmonic Pattern - Screener which is built on request.security calls. We have discussed how the limitations of old script and how using the new script with Pine screener utility will help overcome those problems.
We have gone through the indicator settings (which are almost similar to that of Auto Harmonic Pattern UltimateX
Short demo on how to use the script with Pine Screener
Also check our existing video on How to use the new Pine Screener Utility.
Review and plan for 22nd July 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Quarterly results.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT