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GBPUSDGBP/USD Upcoming Economic Data, 10-Year Bond Yield, Interest Rate Differential, and Carry Trade (June 1–10, 2025) 1. Upcoming Economic Data (June 1–10, 2025) Date Event Expected Impact on GBP/USD June 2 UK PMI Composite (May) Strong PMI supports GBP; weak data pressures GBP June 3 UK Services PMI Key for assessing UK economic momentum; influences GBP sentiment June 4 UK Construction PMI Reflects sector health; positive print supports GBP June 6 US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) Strong US jobs data strengthens USD, pressures GBP/USD June 6 US Average Hourly Earnings Wage growth impacts Fed policy outlook and USD strength June 9 UK GDP (Preliminary Q1) Critical for BoE policy outlook; strong GDP supports GBP June 10 UK CPI Inflation (May) Higher inflation may delay BoE cuts, supporting GBP Note: UK inflation data recently printed higher than expected, and US jobs data will be a major driver of USD strength. 2. 10-Year Bond Yields and Interest Rate Differential UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: Approximately 4.77% (as of late May 2025) US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Approximately 4.51% (late May 2025) Yield Spread: 4.77% (UK)−4.51% (US)=+0.26% The UK’s higher bond yield provides a modest carry advantage for GBP over USD. Policy Rates: Bank of England (BoE): 4.25% (recently cut by 25bps) Federal Reserve (Fed): 4.25–4.50% Interest Rate Differential: Slightly favors USD on policy rates but favors GBP on bond yields. 3. Carry Trade Directional Bias The carry trade involves borrowing in a currency with lower interest rates and investing in one with higher yields. Given the UK’s higher 10-year gilt yields (+0.26%), there is a modest carry trade advantage supporting GBP against USD. However, the Fed’s slightly higher policy rate and the BoE’s dovish stance (rate cuts expected) temper this advantage. Overall, the carry trade bias for GBP/USD is neutral to slightly bullish for GBP, supported by bond yields but capped by policy rate expectations. 4. Technical and Market Outlook GBP/USD recently tested resistance near supply roof and faced selling pressure, but got support the broken supply roof on daily and now trades on the floor as demand . Market sentiment remains cautious due to geopolitical uncertainties and tariff negotiations impacting USD strength. The upcoming US jobs data (June 6) is a key event that could sway USD and thus GBP/USD direction. Summary Table Metric UK (GBP) US (USD) 10-Year Bond Yield ~4.77% ~4.51% Policy Interest Rate 4.25% (BoE) 4.25–4.50% (Fed) Yield Spread (10Y) +0.26% (GBP over USD) — Interest Rate Differential Slightly favors USD — Carry Trade Directional Bias Neutral to slightly bullish for GBP — Key Upcoming Data UK PMI, GDP, CPI US NFP, Wage Data Conclusion GBP/USD faces a mixed outlook with modest carry trade support from higher UK bond yields but pressure from Fed’s higher policy rates and USD strength. Upcoming UK data (PMI, GDP, CPI) will shape BoE policy expectations and GBP sentiment. US jobs data on June 6 is critical for USD direction and, by extension, GBP/USD. #gbpusd #dollar
by Shavyfxhub
Weekly Market Forecast: Monday UPDATES!How accurate were the forecasts for S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures given in the Weekly Market Forecast for this week? BULLSEYE! Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by RT_Money
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-2 : Post Market UpdateHuge move for metals today. Absolutely incredible. Hope you GOT SOME. BTCUSD and the SPY/QQQ stalled somewhat flat today. SPY was up 0.50% - nothing huge. Going to be interesting to see how things play out in the Asian/European markets tonight. Buckle up. Could be some very big moves hitting this week. GET SOME. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
7
GOLD Additional factors supporting gold’s bullish opening include: Modest US dollar weakness: The dollar has softened amid fiscal concerns and growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later in 2025, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. US fiscal concerns: Worries about the US debt situation and potential impacts of tax-cutting bills have increased safe-haven demand for gold. Technical buying: Gold prices breaking above key resistance levels have attracted fresh buying interest, setting the stage for further gains toward $3,400 and beyond. In summary, the bullish gold opening today reflects a combination of heightened geopolitical risk, trade war escalation, US fiscal concerns, and expectations of Fed easing, all of which drive investors to seek safety in gold.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
550+ Points Secured on MNQ | Bullish FVG + Gap Fill PrecisionIn today’s trade, we captured over 550 points on MNQ, banking a solid $288 profit on one clean, high-probability setup. Here’s the breakdown: Sunday’s open left a gap above, creating a clear target for buy-side liquidity. During Asia, price dipped into a validated Daily Bullish FVG, which had previously been traded through and reclaimed — a powerful sign of support. As price retraced into the 30m FVG and approached its high, I entered at 7AM, aiming for the equal highs above. Although we exited slightly early before the 10am open push, price ultimately fulfilled the full TP target, confirming the strength of the setup. 🎯 Bonus insight: As mentioned in the video, re-entry at the 50% of the 30m FVG was also valid — and it could’ve netted another 600+ points. That’s how powerful these FVG structures are when aligned with narrative and timing. Watch the full video to see the exact entry logic, TP strategy, and lessons learned. Don’t forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more trade recaps and educational content! #MNQ #NasdaqFutures #FVG #FairValueGap #LiquidityTrading #DayTradingStrategy #SmartMoneyConcepts #TradeRecap #FuturesMarket #GapFill #PriceAction
CME_MINI:MNQM2025Long
by BDripTradess
Nasdaq - This starts the next +50% rally!Nasdaq - TVC:NDQ - might break out soon: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Despite the quite harsh correction of about -25% which we saw in the beginning of 2025, the Nasdaq is clearly heading for new all time highs. It sounds almost incredible but if the Nasdaq breaks above the current confluence of resistance, a breakout rally of +50% will follow thereafter. Levels to watch: $21.500, $33.000 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:NDQLong
by basictradingtv
10
BTCUSD 6/2/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you another Full Top-Down Analysis on Bitcoins Price Action. Determining Price direction based on recent Price Action is a skillset NO ONE has yet to Conquer, UNTIL NOW... THEE GREATEST TRADER EVER HAS ARRIVED!!! Come Witness Greatness! _SnipeGoat_ _TheeCandleReadingGURU_ #PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TheeSnipeGoat
Xrp - New all time highs will come next!Xrp - CRYPTO:XRPUSD - is preparing for new all time highs: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Xrp has clearly been trading sideways for the past 8 years. Meanwhile, market structure is respected perfectly and it seems to be just a matter of time until Xrp will create new all time highs. With the recent bullish break and retest, this scenario becomes even more likely. Levels to watch: $3.0 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:XRPUSDLong
by basictradingtv
12