Review and plan for 20th May 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Quarterly results.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
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CADJPY I Long Opportunity to Middle of the ChannelWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** CADJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
EURUSDECB VS FED.Rate cut verse rate hold .As geopolitical tension cools off and fed hawkish rhetoric's verses ECB dovish stance ,this simple market fundamental could cap euro gains in coming months. if the pressure insist we could see a breakout of demand floor sending euro downswing.
#eurusd#dollar #usd
Using Advanced Hybrid Leading Indicators for Swing Trading The professional side of the stock market has undergone massive infrastructural changes in the past 5 years. These changes are unknown to most retail traders and that can pose major problems for you success and profitability no matter what trading style you use.
A trading style is a type of trading that has specific parameters to which strategies can be applied based on the current market condition. Currently, we have a Bottoming Market Condition that is poised to shift to a Moderately UpTrending Market condition.
The 3 sets of data used in stock indicators are Price Time and Quantity. Most retail traders use outdated price and time indicators from the 80's and 90's.
Unfortunately these indicators no longer work in the modern, millisecond transaction market which is dominated by Dark Pools and professional traders.
Hybrid Leading indicators use all 3 data sets in a complex mathematical formula that provides a leading indicator for you to use.
The Chaikin Oscillator is an excellent Hybrid Leading Indicator that has a CENTER LINE oscillation which provides more information about price direction, change of direction, duration of the run up or down and leads price.
An indicator that LEADS price means that it signals a day or a minute ahead of the change of direction of price on the candlestick charts. This is invaluable to swing and day traders who need to be able to quickly sell or buy-to-cover to net the highest profits from each trade while reducing risk factors of whipsaw action especially intraday.
Intraday traders must use indicators that signal ahead of the price direction change. Unfortunately, most traders are using outdated price and time cross overs which ALWAYS lag as the price must move down or up before the crossover can form on the indicator chart.
To improve your profitability start using center line indicators that have all 3 data sets within the mathematical formula.
NAS 100 I Cautiously Bullish Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video!
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ETH + ALTSEASON | NEW All Time Highs Soon ??This would have been the first time that BTC made a new ATH during a bullish cycle, but ETH didn't - are we too hasty?
Very interesting to compare the two side by side and see that ETH has much more to gain than BTC:
The BTC new ATH update can be found here:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Where is the Stock Market going tomorrow? & Trade Journal 05/16EOD accountability report: +1106
Sleep: 6 hours , Overall health: Good
We keep chugging up for no reason, breaking past all resistance points on fume but friday after hours shows that we are starting to lose cruical supports and they were just squeezing the bears.
Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System
— 5/16/2025 9:00 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 5/16/2025 9:50 AM VXAlgo YM X1 Buy Signal
— 5/16/2025 12:03 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 5/16/2025 1:40 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal(double sell) C+ set up
— 5/16/2025 3:30 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal (Triple sell) B+ set up
Next day plan--> Above 5920/5900 = Bullish, if we lose 5920 --> 48min support at 5900, if 5900 is lost then we can go to 5800.
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 19 - 23 MayMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: RBA Rate Decision, Canada & UK Inflation Rate, Earnings Reports
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode, we discuss:
— RBA’s Interest Rate Decision
— Inflation Rate in Canada
— Inflation Rate in the UK
— Corporate Earnings Statements
Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey.
This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold May 29th and went through the analysis of gold which I think is going higher. there is also a gartley pattern . gartly looked at that pattern which he called A 222 pattern as your second chance to get into a market that's reversed... and what I mean by that is that the goal had an impulse and went higher for quite a long. Of time and then after it hit its high the market reversed and went lower and created a gartley pattern..... but in this example the market really was a bullish that went quite a bit higher to new highs.... and I believe gartly was looking for markets,,,, as an example, that went higher and then it corrected and then if it had the appearance of an ABCD pattern the way gartley liked it you could jump in and go long for the market to make new highs. now gartly patterns can work in the other direction and you just flip your thinking and trade accordingly. so I'm not exactly sure that this would be the gartly of all gartly that would make huge moves higher on the gold market.... after all this Market hit its very high in the last couple weeks......... even so, it's still a viable reversal pattern in my opinion but I would be a little bit hesitant to bet the farm that is going to make a new high even though people say gold is going to go to 400 or greater. so be reasonable..
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-19 : Gap Breakaway In Trend ModeToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will start with an opening price GAP (downward in this case) and could continue to move into a Breakaway pattern.
Given the recent news of a US Credit Downgrade, I'm suggesting all traders prepare for what may become a period of sideways price volatility over the next 3-5+ days.
I've highlighted a potential breakdown range on the SPY/QQQ on my charts that I believe acts as a solid confirmation level related to any potential reversal/breakdown in trend.
Currently, the trend is still BULLISH. If price falls below my breakdown range (the angled rectangle on my charts) - then I believe price will have broken this upward FLAGGING trend channel and will begin to move downward - targeting lower support levels.
This is a critical time for the markets. If we fail to move higher at these levels, we have a long way to go (downward) before we attempt to find any support.
Gold and Silver appear to be attempting to break the FLAG HIGH of an Inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern. This could prompt a strong rally phase back above $3300/$33 for Gold/Silver over the next few days. Time will tell how things play out.
BTCUSD appears to be REJECTING the recent highs within a consolidation range. If this rejection continues, I see BTCUSD moving downward - trying to reach the $95k (or lower) looking for support.
Remember, we are still generally BULLISH and moving upward within the FLAGGING channel. If we do get a breakdown in price over the next few days, it will become clearly evident on the charts and we'll have to begin to change our expectations.
Right now - HEDGE.
Get Some...
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Is NASDAQ ready to correct for a few days?We have a couple of doji candles on the daily chart forming out of a bearish imbalance range in the relative premium. This is the perfect place to test the lows for stops.
We are still bullish but I am going to go neutral for this forecast in anticipation of a slight correction.
Share this with someone who needs a complete top down analysis of where we are staring this week!
BRIEFING Week #20 : ETH Reversed, WTI Next ?!Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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GBPUSD and GBPJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Mindset Monday - Dealing With Big Losses “You can’t control if you lose — but you can control how much you lose.”
In this first episode of Mindset Mondays, we dive into the emotional and practical side of trading losses. I explore how risk management and mindset shape your long-term success, and why learning to accept and limit losses is one of the most powerful skills a trader can develop.
Whether you're dealing with a tough loss or want to build mental resilience before the next one hits, this video is for you.
🎥 Watch now and take control of what is in your control.
GOLD Fundamentals Affecting Gold Prices and Correlation with U.S. Bond Yields
Key Factors Driving Gold Prices
Safe-Haven Demand:
Geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade wars, Russia-Ukraine conflict) and economic uncertainty drive investors to gold as a refuge, pushing prices to record highs
Declining confidence in traditional safe havens like the U.S. dollar and Treasuries amplifies gold’s appeal .
Central Bank Policies:
Aggressive gold purchases by central banks (e.g., China, Russia,india ) to diversify reserves and hedge against sanctions underpin demand, removing significant supply from markets .
The Federal Reserve’s cautious rate policy (steady at 4.25–4.50% in 2025) and subdued real interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold
Gold thrives when real rates (nominal rates minus inflation) are low or negative. Despite moderating inflation, real yields remain depressed, sustaining gold’s attractiveness .
Expectations of stagflation (rising inflation + weak growth) historically favor gold over bonds .
U.S. Dollar Weakness:
A 9% decline in the USD Index (2025) makes gold cheaper for foreign buyers, boosting demand .
Central banks’ shift away from dollar reserves further pressures the currency, indirectly supporting gold .
Supply-Demand Dynamics:
Stagnant mining output (annual growth: 2–3%) and rising extraction costs constrain supply, while ETF inflows and industrial/jewelry demand add upward pressure .
Gold’s Correlation with U.S. Bond Yields
Traditionally, gold and bond yields exhibit an inverse relationship: higher yields (from rising rates) increase the opportunity cost of holding gold. However, recent dynamics have disrupted this pattern:
2024–2025 Anomaly:
Concurrent rises in gold prices and Treasury yields occurred due to:
Geopolitical Risks: Tariffs, trade wars, and conflict-driven inflation fears spurred demand for both gold (as a hedge) and bonds (as yields rose on inflation expectations) .
Bear Steepening: Long-term yields outpaced short-term ones, reflecting expectations of prolonged inflation or growth, which gold historically offsets .
Example: In March 2025, gold hit $3,500/oz as 10-year yields rose to 4.37% amid tariff escalations .
Mechanisms Behind the Shift:
Inflation Hedge: Gold’s role as an inflation hedge outweighs yield-driven opportunity costs when investors anticipate sustained price pressures .
Loss of Confidence in Traditional Assets: Eroding trust in the U.S. dollar and Treasuries (due to fiscal policies and trade tensions) drives simultaneous demand for gold and higher bond risk premiums .
Summary Table
Factor Impact on Gold Prices Impact on Bond Yields Correlation Shift (2025)
Geopolitical Risks ↑ (Safe-haven demand) ↑ (Inflation expectations) Positive (Both rise)
Central Bank Gold Buying ↑ (Demand surge) – –
Subdued Real Rates ↑ (Lower opportunity cost) ↓ (If nominal rates lag) Inverse (Gold ↑, Yields ↓)
USD Weakness ↑ (Cheaper for non-USD) Mixed (Trade deficit risks) –
Inflation Expectations ↑ (Hedge demand) ↑ (Compensation for inflation) Positive (Both rise)
Conclusion
Gold prices in 2025 are propelled by geopolitical uncertainty, central bank accumulation, and inflation hedging, while their correlation with U.S. bond yields reflects a complex interplay of stagflation fears and shifting investor confidence. The traditional inverse relationship has been disrupted by tariffs and macroeconomic instability, creating periods where both assets rise simultaneously. For investors, gold remains a critical hedge in portfolios exposed to equity volatility or dollar depreciation, even amid elevated bond yields.
Key Levels to Watch:
Gold: Resistance at $3,700/oz (Goldman Sachs 2025 target) .
10-Year Treasury Yield: Support at 4.25%, resistance at 4.50% .
This dynamic underscores gold’s evolving role in a multipolar economic landscape where traditional asset correlations are increasingly volatile.
#GOLD#XAUUSD#DOLLAR