Gold trading insights: 28-May-2025Gold trading insights for today: Explore our zones for informed decision-making.
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GOLD GOLD ,the ema+sma +market structure strategy has given us a buy confirmation on 4hrs close ,i will monitor the current break of 3300 level for another 400pips drop ,but should that demand floor at 3289-3300 hold firmly, they could challenge the supply roof on demand and supply impulse strength, if they break asian session supply roof then london into newyork will look for buy opportunity in other to challenge the long descending trendline connect 3500,3457 and 3365 for a long swing into 3445 zone or more.
the dxy is doing exactly what we want to see,if dollar reclaims 100$ this time around ,they will rally on demand to correct oversold market which will cause Gold price to drop on probability.
RBA Could Still Cut Despite Higher AU CPI: AU paid in focusToday I take a quick look at Australia's inflation figures and outline why I think the RBA could still cut in July, before moving on to charts for AUD/USD, AUD/NZD, EUR/AUD and AUD/JPY.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis and Trade Idea📉 BTC Pullback or Full Reversal? Let's Break It Down 🔍
Looking at the Bitcoin chart right now, we’re seeing more than just a minor pullback. On the 30-minute timeframe, there’s a clear bearish market structure shift setting in. In my opinion, this isn't a quick dip before continuation — we may be in for a deeper retracement. 🧐
When we overlay NASDAQ (which Bitcoin is often closely correlated with), it becomes even clearer — tech stocks look overextended and are showing signs of a potential pullback. 📉
So here’s the plan:
If BTC pulls back into my point of interest, I’ll be watching for a bullish break of structure to consider a long position. Simple, structured, and in line with what the charts are telling us. 🔁💹
⚠️ As always, this is not financial advice — just sharing how I'm reading the market right now.
💬 What are your thoughts? Are you watching the same levels? Drop a comment below 👇 and let’s talk trade setups! 🚀
Bearish Outlook on AUD/JPY – Watching for Entry After Retrace!I'm currently focused on the AUD/JPY currency pair 📉.
We’re seeing a clear, sustained downtrend on the daily timeframe, marked by a recent break of market structure — a key sign that sellers are firmly in control 🐻.
At the moment, price appears overextended and is trading directly into a major liquidity pool — specifically, a cluster of sell-side liquidity sitting below previous lows 🧲.
I’m watching for a retracement or pullback into a zone of interest. If that happens, I’ll be on the lookout for a bearish break of structure on the lower timeframes to confirm a high-probability short setup 🎯.
As always, this is not financial advice, just a look at how I’m approaching the current price action ⚠️.
ETH/USDT At A Premium — What’s Next? Smart Entry Strategy!I'm currently analyzing ETH/USDT 🧠💹 — Ethereum has been in a strong bullish trend, recently pushing into all-time highs 🚀🔝. While the momentum remains intact, price is now trading at a premium 🏷️, and I’m cautious about entering long at these elevated levels ⚠️.
In the video, we break down the trend, market structure, and price action with precision 📊🧱. I also explore potential entry scenarios that align with low-risk, high-probability setups 🎯🔍 — ideal for those waiting for the right moment to engage without chasing the move.
You'll also get a deep dive into my Trend Continuation Strategy 🔄📈 — a powerful framework for identifying smart entries in trending markets.
🛑 This is not financial advice
TRX/USDT Trade Setup & Why This Fibonacci Level Matters🚨 TRX/USDT Trade Breakdown 🔍💹
Taking a close look at TRX/USDT (Tron) — the chart is showing a strong, sustained bullish trend on the 4H timeframe 📈🔥.
At the moment, I’m waiting for a pullback into equilibrium ⚖️. If we apply a Fibonacci retracement from the current swing low to the recent high, the 50% level stands out as a key area of interest for a potential entry 🎯.
🧠 This zone offers a high-probability area to look for trend continuation, provided price respects it and holds structure. My Fibonacci tool also outlines projected targets, and I walk you through everything in the video 📽️🗺️.
📌 This is NOT financial advice — just my personal analysis and approach. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly. ⚠️
👇 Let me know your thoughts in the comments and don’t forget to like & subscribe for more setups!
TRX/USDT Trade Setup & Why This Fibonacci Level Matters
Bitcoin & Stock Market Rally Together .. My Trade Plan!🚨 Bitcoin Update! 🚨
Taking a look at the BTC chart 🧠📈 — we saw a sharp retracement followed by a strong rally 💥🔥, likely driven by recent tariff policy shifts 🌍📊.
Right now, I’m leaning bullish 🐂 — especially with the stock markets also pushing higher 📈💹. But let’s be clear: my bullish bias depends on the stock market holding strong 🛡️📊.
I’m keeping an eye out for a pullback to the 61.8% Fibonacci level 🌀 for a potential buy opportunity 💸🚀.
⚠️ This is not financial advice — just sharing my outlook!
👇 Let me know what you think in the comments!
EURJPY SELL Eurjpy is expected to sell after the completion of the gartley pattern. over 2400 drop is expectred
Price Action and Technical Analysis says I should BUY S&P 500!!!All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
www.tradingview.com
Gold Long: Target $3349I updated the wave structure for Gold and point out that the previous short call plays out perfectly with pinpoint accuracy. Now, we have started a new cycle level wave 5 and we just just completed wave 1 and 2 of a minute level. I proposed how the Gold price will unfold in this primary wave 1 of cycle wave 5.
I propose 2 stops:
Non-Active Trader: $3283
Active Trader: $3296
1st Take Profit level: $3249.
Good luck!
Gold is going to have a slow fall to set up for a bullish playLooking for the bearish pressure to continue. Price looks like it is ultimately setting up for a bullish play. We just need to see it hit a area of support first before that bullish play happens.
Why I Use Covered Calls: Monthly Income, StrategyDescription:
In this video, I break down why I use covered calls as part of my long-term investing strategy—especially inside tax-advantaged accounts like Roth IRAs. Whether you're looking to generate steady monthly income, reduce downside risk, or are open to selling your stocks at a premium, covered calls can be a powerful tool.
🧠 What You'll Learn:
Why covered calls are ideal for long-term holders who want extra income
The basic requirements (100 shares, option approval, etc.)
Why volatile stocks yield better premiums than dividend stocks
My personal method: targeting 0.20 delta strike prices on a monthly timeframe
Risks like being assigned and limiting your upside
💡 Key Takeaway:
If you’re not using a tax-advantaged account, your capital gains are taxable—so consider strategies like this inside an IRA.
📌 Coming Soon:
In a future video, I’ll dive into the Wheel Strategy and selling puts to generate income from cash reserves.
XAUUSDXAUUSD H4 made a false breakout of the bullish flag.
The price was on a uptrend in H4, and after that entered in a consolidation.
Natural Gas Rip or Dip?Natural Gas has had some choppy price action as of late. There has been no clear directional trend.
I remain bearish until we clear the $3.85 level.
If Natural gas rejects off this level we should test the $3.00
If natural gas gets above this $3.85 level bulls should try to retest the major high pivot.
CADJPY REVIVALCurrently Team bullish is dominating, here on these post i shared my buy analysis on $FX:CADJPY.
Continued follow-through to the upside expectedContinued follow-through to the upside is expected on the daily chart for the S&P 500. The next objective to the upside would be 5960.
GBPJPYGBP/JPY 10-Year Bond Yield and Interest Rate Differential
1. UK 10-Year Gilt Yield
As of May 21, 2025, the UK 10-year gilt yield was approximately 4.77%, near its highest level since April 2025, driven by hotter-than-expected inflation data (April CPI at 3.5% YoY, core inflation 3.8%) and reduced expectations of Bank of England rate cuts.
The Bank of England’s official interest rate stood at 4.25% in May 2025, down from 4.5%, but markets now price in limited further easing for the rest of the year.
2. Japan 10-Year Government Bond Yield
As of May 21, 2025, the Japan 10-year government bond yield was around 1.52% to 1.55%, remaining near a one-month high amid improving trade data and cautious market sentiment.
The Bank of Japan maintains a very accommodative monetary policy, with policy rates near zero, keeping yields low despite some inflationary pressures.
3. Interest Rate Differential (10-Year Bonds)
The yield spread between UK and Japan 10-year bonds is:
4.77% (UK)−1.53% (Japan)=+3.24%
This significant positive differential favors the British pound against the Japanese yen from a carry trade perspective.
4. Carry Trade Implications for GBP/JPY
The +3.24% yield advantage makes GBP/JPY attractive for carry trades, where investors borrow in low-yielding JPY and invest in higher-yielding GBP assets to earn the interest spread.
The wide differential supports GBP/JPY strength, assuming stable risk sentiment and no major shocks.
Technical momentum and macroeconomic factors such as UK inflation data, BoJ policy stance, and global risk appetite will influence the pair’s trajectory in the coming week.
Summary Table
Metric United Kingdom (GBP) Japan (JPY)
10-Year Bond Yield ~4.77% ~1.53%
Interest Rate Differential +3.24% (GBP over JPY) —
Central Bank Policy Rate 4.25% (BoE) ~0% (BoJ)
Conclusion
From May 27 to June 4, 2025, the GBP/JPY pair benefits from a substantial 3.24% interest rate differential between UK and Japanese 10-year bonds, supporting carry trade flows into GBP. The Bank of England’s relatively higher rates and inflationary pressures contrast with the Bank of Japan’s ultra-accommodative policy, underpinning GBP strength versus JPY.
USOIL MONTHLYUSOIL,oil is on a demand floor and will continue to upswing into 70-69 dollar zone ,am holding oil buy till 70$ per barrel
at 70$ zon,e buyers will face supply roof ,a critical make or break zone ,if they break the structure ,oil will fly higher and if they respect the supply roof, we sell on the fundamentals of a broken SR/RS RULE..35$ zone will be watched in a bearish scenario.
Relationship Between US Oil Prices (USOIL), Bond Yields, and Interest Rates
1. General Correlation Between Oil Prices and Bond Yields
Over recent years, US crude oil prices and 10-year US Treasury bond yields have shown a strong positive correlation, often moving in tandem.
When oil prices rise, it typically signals stronger economic activity and higher inflation expectations, which tend to push bond yields higher as investors demand greater compensation for inflation risk and growth prospects.
Conversely, falling oil prices often correlate with lower bond yields due to expectations of weaker growth and reduced inflationary pressure.
2. Oil Prices Leading Bond Yield Movements
Short-term trend changes in crude oil prices often lead changes in bond yields by a few weeks, meaning oil price movements can be a useful indicator for bond market trends.
For example, a sustained rise in oil prices due to supply constraints or geopolitical tensions often precedes an increase in Treasury yields.
3. Recent Divergences and Market Dynamics
Recently, the usual positive relationship between oil prices and bond yields has broken down temporarily, reflecting unusual market conditions such as US fiscal uncertainties and changing safe-haven dynamics.
For instance, oil prices dropped due to expectations of increased production, while US bond yields increased following economic data releases, showing a temporary divergence.
4. Impact of Oil Prices on Interest Rates and Inflation Expectations
Rising oil prices contribute to higher inflation expectations, which in turn can lead to higher nominal bond yields as investors seek compensation for inflation risk.
Central banks, including the Federal Reserve, may respond to sustained high oil prices and inflation by maintaining or raising interest rates, which also pushes bond yields higher.
Conversely, falling oil prices can act as a disinflationary force, potentially easing pressure on interest rates and bond yields, though recent market behavior shows this effect can be muted by other factors.
5. Economic Implications
Higher oil prices combined with rising bond yields and a strengthening dollar can act as a "tax" on the US economy, potentially slowing growth and increasing recession risks.
The interplay of oil prices and bond yields is a key factor in assessing the economic outlook, inflation trajectory, and monetary policy stance.
Summary Table
Factor Relationship / Impact
Oil Price ↑ Bond yields ↑ (due to inflation & growth expectations)
Oil Price ↓ Bond yields ↓ (due to lower inflation & growth fears)
Oil price trend leads bond yields Oil price changes precede bond yield changes by weeks
Recent divergence Temporary breakdown due to fiscal concerns, policy uncertainty
Inflation expectations Higher oil → higher inflation expectations → higher yields
Economic growth impact Higher oil + yields = economic headwind (stagflation risk)
Conclusion
The relationship between US oil prices (USOIL) and bond yields is generally positive and significant, with oil price movements often leading bond yield trends. Rising oil prices tend to push bond yields and interest rates higher through increased inflation expectations and stronger economic activity signals. However, recent market conditions have caused some temporary divergences due to fiscal uncertainties and changing safe-haven demand. Monitoring oil prices is crucial for anticipating bond market movements and understanding the broader macroeconomic environment.
#usoil #dollar #oil
Ethereum - The bottom is finally in!Ethereum - CRYPTO:ETHUSD - is starting the rally:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Finally, after dropping an expected -65% over the past couple of months, Ethereum is retesting and already rejecting a significant horizontal structure. Together with the strong confluence of support, Ethereum is now creating a long term bottom, initiating the next bullish cycle.
Levels to watch: $2.000, $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
S&P 500 Market Breakdown + Trade ReflectionsIn this video, I break down the S&P 500, which continues its bullish trend after reacting strongly from a support area and key EMAs. Today’s continuation confirms strength in the overall market.
I also go through a few losses I took today, which were mistakes on my part. When the general market is showing bullish momentum, looking for bearish setups isn’t ideal, and I got slightly burned. But it’s by recognizing our mistakes, journaling, and reviewing that we grow into better traders.
Next, I cover some of my current open positions, a few are performing well, while others are struggling to maintain their upward momentum.
Lastly, I share two of my trade ideas for the day:
BZ (Kanzhun Limited) – solid recovery above key EMAs with bullish structure.
SHOP (Shopify) – while extended from the weekly 10 EMA (not ideal), I liked the price action on the daily chart and decided to take a trade. Now it’s time to let the market do its thing.
🙏 Thank you for tuning in. I hope you gain valuable insights from this breakdown. If you enjoyed the video, let me know your thoughts, and feel free to ask questions!
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GOLD GOLD , the breakout of ascending trendline is watched as it drops over450pips,we are likely headed for retest to shot from the supply roof and go long on 3360-3365 break and retest.
#gold #dxy
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) Technical Analysis and ForecastTSLA has demonstrated strong upward momentum since the market opened today, reaching a resistance level around the $362 zone.
From a technical perspective, there is potential for a short-term pullback to the $354 area, which aligns with the top of the support zone, also known as the "right shoulder" of the prevailing pattern.
Should this support level hold, we may anticipate a continued upward move, targeting higher price levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels:
Primary Support: $354 zone
Secondary Support: $321 zone (as a deeper stop loss level)
Resistance/Take Profit Levels:
Target 1 (Take Profit): $440
Target 2 (Take Profit): $480 (previous all-time high)
Traders should approach this setup with caution, as always, adhering to sound risk management principles.
