Forex Weekly Round-Up - 30th Jun 25Dollar Index:
Dollar Index declined further, hovering near 97.0–96.9 — its weakest level since February 2022.
Key Driver: Markets digested a slightly hotter US core PCE inflation report (+2.3% YoY for May), paired with weak personal spending, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve might pivot to rate cuts later this year.
GBPUSD:
The pound surged, touching highs around 1.3770 — its strongest in nearly four years — before dipping slightly to finish the week near 1.3720
Weekly gain clocked in around +2%, the largest move since early March
Rally Fuelled By : Broader dollar weakness, easing Middle East tensions (ceasefire), and dovish Fed signals suggesting potential rate cuts.
EURUSD
The euro enjoyed a rally, peaking near 1.1754 — its highest since September 2021 — before closing the week around 1.1720
Weekly gain came to approximately +1.7% to +1.9%, driven by euro strength and broad weakness in the US dollar
Traders are eyeing upcoming US data (PCE inflation, Michigan sentiment) for next directional cues
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I will be approaching the markets differently from now on.
Based on the feedback from past analysis, I will be compiling all related pairs into one video, giving you guys the ability to see how one asset affects the other.
This is called inter-market relationship and it's something i've been doing for years.
It gives you confidence on what pairs are 'Hot Picks' and the ones that have a high chance of not delivering the way you want.
Community ideas
US10Y & ZB1! (Bonds) Weekly AnalysisUS 10‑Year Treasury Yield (US10Y)
The 10‑year yield ended last Friday (June 27, 2025) at 4.27%
After peaking above 4.46% mid‑week, yields eased late‑week as markets increasingly priced in potential Fed rate cuts—a 25 bp move in July was seen at 22.7% probability, up from ~14%
This dovish shift, alongside a softer May PCE print, supported a lull in yield increases
Still, Inflation concerns and record debt issuance continue to underpin a term premium on long-duration debt
ZB1 – 30‑Year Treasury Bond Futures
The September‑expiry T‑Bond futures (ZB1) which trade inversely to yield, saw modest price appreciation, reflecting falling yields.
Futures prices responded to the dovish Fed tone and easing global tensions, aligning with stock market gains.
The spread between 10‑ and 30‑year yields widened to ~56 bp—the largest since late 2021—illustrating increased yield curve steepening, mirrored in futures.
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I will be approaching the markets differently from now on.
Based on the feedback from past analysis, I will be compiling all related pairs into one video, giving you guys the ability to see how one asset affects the other.
This is called inter-market relationship and it's something i've been doing for years.
It gives you confidence on what pairs are 'Hot Picks' and the ones that have a high chance of not delivering the way you want.
$GC / $MGC / Gold - Weekend Update - 6/29Hello fellow gamblers,
The target for the ABC retracement has been hit and we are now looking for a reversal confirmation to enter any buying positions.
- The target for a possible Wave 1 of a new cycle will be above 3402.
- 3283 level needs to hold. A break of this level could take price lower towards 3208 to fill the VP gap.
- Levels to watch: 3208 - 3283 - 3357 - 3418
Ripple (XRP): Possible Smaller Bullish Movement IncomingRipple coin buyers are showing some strong volume where we might see another liquidity movement outside our sideways channel, which might give us potential 40% movement, but be careful, as on smaller timeframes we are seeing a possible H&S form.
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Academy
Risk On! The US Dollar Is Weak! Buy The Major Pairs!This is the FOREX futures outlook for the week of Jun 29 - July 4th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF, and JPY.
Investors are taken money out of safe havens and putting it into risk assets. The US Dollar saw those outflows last week, and we are likely to see that continue going into this week.
Buy the EUR, GBP and CHF vs USD. JPY should also see some upside.
The AUD and NZD continue to grind upwards as well.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Risk On! Buy Stock Indices, Sell Gold, Silver.In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of June 29 - July 4th..
Stock Indices are pointed to the all time highs. Take advantage of the "risk on" environment while it lasts!
Gold and Silver have seen the outflows and profit taking... so look for lower prices this week.
Oil ... be patient. After a huge dump in prices when the tensions eased up between Israel/US and Iran, price is moving sideways in consolidation. I suspect lower prices to come, but I urge patience! Wait for the signature of price to show it intends to move lower. A sweep of the range highs and a run of the range lows right after... is the signal to sell.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Cosmos (ATOM): Buyers Heading To Fill Bullish FVGsCosmos has recently had a decent movement to lower zones, where, after a proper breakdown (MSB), we are now seeing the second stage for a possible short position, but we are still far away from our entry. We are waiting for more clarity here!
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Academy
Bitget Token (BGB): Seeing Smaller Recovery and 14% Correction.BGB coin might form a similar pattern to what we have done previously, right after forming that big CME gap at a bullish trend. We are keeping our attention on all those zones we have described now, as there might be some good potential trades that can be taken.
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Academy
Litecoin (LTC): We Are Looking For Re-Test and 48% of PumpLitecoin has a good chance of retesting the recently broken EMAs area, where once we are going to see a smaller correction, we will be looking for the price to push and gain at least 40-48% of market price movement.
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Academy