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The What vs. The Where - A 2nd Breakout Pattern After A Nice WinA few days ago we looked at a bullish breakout opportunity on Silver and it played out perfectly. After a lovely move to the upside, price has started to consolidate again providing us with a very similar setup.
HOWEVER, just as in the case of the first, we need to be aware that once again the WHAT doesn't necessarily align with the WHERE stopping this from being a Grade A trading opportunity.
Please leave any questions or comments below and remember to hit that LIKE button before you go!
Akil
GOLD THE dollar index found support at the neckline of double bottom from April price action at 98,450 demand floor and immediately gold started tanking ,dollar crossed another majors supply roof and if it keeps the part to recovery into NFP and we get a favorable data print report ,GOLD will face sell pressure into 3200 or more.
on a flip side ,GOLD bulls could keep gains regardless of NFP data.
stay cautious on NFP.
A Contrarian View On the US DollarI don't recall the last bullish headline I saw for the US dollar, bearish sentiment may be stretched, and I'm seeing plenty of clues across the US dollar index and all FX majors that we could at least be looking at a minor bounce. Whether it can turn into a larger short-covering rally is likely down to Trump's trade deals. Either way, I'm, on guard for an inflection point for the dollar.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
XAUUSD NFP Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
“NFP Showdown: Will the Dollar Crumble or Come Back Swinging?”🔥 It’s Nonfarm Payrolls Friday – and this month’s report could be a game-changer for the markets. With the U.S. economy showing signs of fatigue, could this be the catalyst that finally breaks the dollar? Or will a surprise upside shock flip the script?
In this video, I break down the key drivers behind today’s NFP, how DXY, Gold, and Bitcoin are likely to react, and exactly how I’m positioning myself before and after the release.
Whether you’re trading the spike or waiting for the dust to settle, this is a market moment you can’t afford to miss.
📈 Trade smart. React fast. Let’s dive in.
USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Why Higher Timeframe Analysis Increases Your WIN-RATE!Many traders focus too heavily on lower timeframes, chasing setups without any real context. But what if the secret to improving your consistency was as simple as zooming out?
In this video, we break down why analyzing higher timeframes—and trading in their direction—can significantly increase your win rate across Forex, crypto, stocks, and futures. This isn’t just a theory. It’s a principle used by institutional traders, prop firms, and consistently profitable independent traders.
✅ Here’s what you’ll learn in this deep-dive:
The real purpose of higher timeframe analysis and how it acts like a GPS for your trading decisions.
How to identify structure, liquidity, and key levels on the daily, 4H, and weekly charts
Why trading against the higher timeframe flow often leads to premature stop-outs or fakeouts
The power of multi-timeframe alignment: how to sync HTF bias with LTF entries
How trading with higher timeframe momentum helps filter noise, reduce overtrading, and increase conviction
A walkthrough example showing how to use HTF context to validate a lower timeframe setup
Whether you're trading ICT concepts, Fibs, RSI, VWAP, or your own system—this principle applies. Trading in alignment with the higher timeframe doesn’t just increase your odds, it adds structure, patience, and confidence to your process.
📌 Key takeaway: When you understand what the market is doing on the higher timeframe, you stop guessing and start positioning yourself with the move—not against it.
🛠️ Helpful for traders using:
Smart money concepts (SMC)
ICT-based models (like AMD, OTE, and NDOG)
Supply and demand strategies
Price action or indicator-based systems
PRACTICALLY ANY TYPE OF STRATEGY OR METHODOLOGY
So, I hope the video was insightful for you. Let me know if you apply higher timeframe analysis, and how it has helped you.
- R2F Trading
Weekly trading plan for XRPBINANCE:XRPUSD has shown a good upward correction over the last couple of days. Now the price has returned to the Pivot point and a local bullish divergence is already visible on the chart. If the price continues the downward movement now, I will consider entering near the support zone, in case the price starts to reverse in the near future, I will consider entering when the local hourly trend changes to green.
If the support is broken, we may see a continuation of the downward correction up to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. More details in the video
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
Tesla Update Longs and shorts At the start of the video I recap my previous video and then bring us up to date with the present price action .
In this video I cover Tesla from the higher time frame and breakdown both a long term bullish scenario as well as a local bearish scenario .
Both of these scenarios present longs and short entries for day trade opportunities and swing positions .
Tools used Fibs , TR pocket , Volume profile , Pivots , and vwap .
Any questions ask in the comments
Safe trading and Good luck
Weekly trading plan for LINKBINANCE:LINKUSDT has fallen quite low after the upward correction, but in case the local trend turns green, I will consider long positions with the aim to break PP and reach the first resistance level, and then we will see
Locally, a trend line can be drawn and if it is broken, there is a high probability to renew the local bottom and reach the 0.618 Fibonacci level
Important levels and possible price movement are explained in the video
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
How to Choose Chart Types in TradingViewThis tutorial covers the 21 chart types available in TradingView, explaining what each one is, how to read it, as well as the advantages and drawbacks.
Learn more about trading futures with Optimus Futures using the TradingView platform here: www.optimusfutures.com
Disclaimer:
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting instruments. Market conditions are constantly evolving, and all trading decisions should be made independently, with careful consideration of individual risk tolerance and financial objectives.
Bitcoin smells like 'Brexit to the NORTH Pole!'🚀📈 Bitcoin smells like 'Brexit to the NORTH Pole!' 💥🇬🇧
Hi everyone! Let’s break down what’s brewing with Bitcoin — and why it feels eerily like the Brexit moment of 2016 all over again.
I’ve been closely tracking BTCUSD inside a clear parallel channel. These channels often get noisy with fakeouts and temporary breaches, but this one has remained valid due to its multiple touches and midline confirmations. We're now seeing massive manipulation — not once or twice, but four times. This exact pattern took me back to the British Pound's behavior during the Brexit referendum on June 23, 2016. 🎯
Back then, despite media narratives claiming “Bremain,” real traders on the street saw Brexit coming — and so did the charts. GBP/USD mirrored today's BTC structure: a valid channel, several manipulative moves, and then an explosive breakout once the truth surfaced.
Fast forward to today — Bitcoin’s chart screams volatility. We’ve got a channel that still holds structure. As long as we stay within or reclaim the bounds of this channel, I’m aiming for a move toward:
📍 107,305 as resistance
📍 113,800–114,000 as the breakout trigger
📍 119,000 and beyond for a new all-time high 🚀
If price dips to the 104,469 area or even the 102,700–102,400 dual support, I’ll be watching for reclaims to go long. But remember, this is a volatile setup, not for the faint-hearted or the underfunded. Spot trading is safer; leverage requires deep pockets and tight risk controls.
🛑 A break below 102K changes the picture — that’s where the bears take over, potentially dragging BTC to 74K. I give that scenario only a 10–15% probability, but in this market, we prepare for everything.
The resemblance to Brexit isn’t just visual — it’s psychological. Media narratives, manipulative institutions, and a channel that's begging for a breakout.
I’m ultra-bullish and ready for a sharp upside move. Are you?
📌 Full analysis and key levels charted here.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 💙💙💙
DOLLAR INDEX The higher-than-expected US Unemployment Claims (247K actual vs. 236K forecast) suggest emerging softness in the labor market, increasing the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025. Here’s how this data impacts the Fed’s policy outlook:
Key Implications for the Fed
Labor Market Cooling:
The uptick in claims aligns with recent trends of slowing payroll growth (Q1 2025 average: 152K jobs/month vs. Q4 2024: 209K) and a stagnant unemployment rate near 4.2%.
Fed projections already anticipate unemployment stabilizing around 4.3% in 2025, but persistent claims increases could signal risks to their "maximum employment" mandate.
Rate Cut Probability:
The Fed has maintained rates at 4.25–4.50% since May 2025 but emphasized data dependence. Weak labor data strengthens the case for cuts, with markets now pricing in a ~60% chance of a September rate cut (up from ~50% pre-data).
The Fed’s March 2025 projections flagged rising unemployment as a risk, with some participants favoring earlier easing if labor conditions deteriorate.
Inflation Trade-Off:
While unemployment claims rose, wage growth remains elevated (ADP reported 4.5% YoY pay gains in May). The Fed will weigh labor softness against sticky inflation, particularly in services (ISM Prices Paid index at 68.7).
A cooling labor market could ease wage pressures, aiding the Fed’s inflation fight and enabling cuts without reigniting price spikes.
Market Impact
DXY (Dollar Index): Likely to weaken further as rate cut expectations rise. Immediate support at 98.40, with a break targeting 97.00
Equities/Gold: Potential gains as lower rates boost risk assets and non-yielding gold.
Bond Yields: 10-year Treasury yields may retreat below 4.40% if markets price in dovish Fed action.
What’s Next?
June 6 NFP Report: A weak jobs number (<150K) would solidify rate cut bets.
June 11 CPI Data: Lower inflation could give the Fed confidence to cut sooner.
Fed Decision (July 31): Odds of a cut rise if labor data continues to soften.
Conclusion
The Fed is likely to prioritize labor market stability over inflation concerns if unemployment claims persist above 240K. While a July cut remains possible, September is the most probable start date for easing, contingent on confirming data.
#DOLLAR #GOLD #DXY
Weekly trading plan for SUI BINANCE:SUIUSDT price is very close to the local bottom, but the chart already shows a good bullish divergence and there is a chance to see it worked out. In case of reversal and change of local trend to green, I will consider opening a long position with the aim to see the growth to the first target
In case of negative news the price may update the local bottom, in this case the target may be the 0.5 Fibonacci level. Very detailed description in the video
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
TSLA cooling offI know Tesla lovers hate to see a short post on the stock. Okay... it's cooling off... lol.
*another news report states he's leaving gov't; trump holding on tight... we shall see
*alleged new growth story incoming... check news and see what you see
*TA (technical analysis) look like a pullback in order... 330-325
Do you see what I see? Or you are feeling like it's a straight moon shot?
Have a great weekend.
Bitcoin triangle signals drop toward 95kBitcoin is forming a clear triangle pattern after a failed breakout above all-time highs.
The pattern suggests a move down to 95k if price breaks below 103k. Some signs even point to a head and shoulders, with targets near 93k.
Fundamentals back the bearish case. ISM Services fell below 50, ADP jobs missed badly, and NFP could be the trigger.
Will weak data send BTC lower or hold the line? Watch the full analysis and share your take.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Meta Platforms - This stock tastes sooo good!Meta Platforms - NASDAQ:META - will print a new all time high:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Over the course of the past two months, Meta has been rallying +40%. This recent behaviour was not unexpected at all but rather the consequence of the all time high break and retest. Now - back at the previous all time high - Meta will most likely break out higher again.
Levels to watch: $700, $900
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
SILVERThe correlation between Silver and the US Dollar Index (DXY) is generally strongly negative. This means that when the DXY rises (the dollar strengthens), silver prices tend to fall, and when the dollar weakens, silver prices usually rise.
Reasons for the Negative Correlation:
Silver is priced in US dollars: A stronger dollar makes silver more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and lowering prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar makes silver cheaper internationally, boosting demand and prices.
Safe-haven and inflation hedge: Silver, like gold, is often sought during times of dollar weakness, inflation concerns, or geopolitical uncertainty.
Supporting Details from Recent Analysis:
Silver prices have a strong inverse relationship with the DXY,the Historical trends show silver outperforming during sustained dollar downtrends.
Silver’s smaller market size and greater volatility compared to gold mean silver can experience more pronounced price moves in response to dollar fluctuations.
Recent silver price rallies in 2025 have been supported by dollar weakness, safe-haven demand, and industrial use, with silver trading near $34.50 per ounce.
Summary Table
Factor Impact on Silver Price Explanation
DXY Strengthens Silver price tends to fall Silver becomes more expensive globally
DXY Weakens Silver price tends to rise Silver becomes cheaper internationally
Safe-haven Demand Supports silver during dollar weakness or uncertainty Investors seek precious metals as alternatives
Industrial Demand Supports silver price Silver’s use in electronics and renewable energy
Conclusion
Silver and the US Dollar Index exhibit a notable inverse correlation driven by silver’s dollar pricing and its role as a safe-haven and industrial metal. Monitoring key DXY technical levels can provide insights into potential silver price movements, with dollar weakness often heralding strong silver rallies.
#gold #silver