Get started

Community ideas

EUR/USD Short, AUD/USD Short and EUR/AUD Short (Trade Recap)EUR/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • 1H impulse down below area of interest. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. AUD/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Break above area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of interest. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. EUR/AUD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Corrective tap into area of value. • 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles. Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Short
by StewySongs
DOLLARThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen below the 100 mark in April 2025 due to a combination of trade tensions, shifting investor sentiment, and concerns over the U.S. economic outlook and Federal Reserve policy. Key reasons include: 1. Trade War and Tariff Impact President Donald Trump's imposition of aggressive tariffs (e.g., 145% on Chinese imports) and China’s retaliatory tariffs have sparked fears of a full-blown global trade war. This has unsettled financial markets, leading investors to reduce exposure to U.S. assets and the dollar. The tariffs have disrupted trade flows, increased inflationary pressures, and raised concerns about slower economic growth in the U.S., which undermines the dollar’s appeal. 2. Declining Safe-Haven Demand Traditionally, the dollar benefits as a safe-haven currency during global uncertainty. However, in 2025, investors are increasingly turning to gold, which hit record highs above $3,300and headed to 3400 as an alternative safe haven. This shift reflects doubts about the dollar’s reliability amid trade tensions and fiscal imbalances. 3. Concerns Over U.S. Economic Growth and Recession Risks Rising fears of a U.S. recession, fueled by tariff-induced economic headwinds and slowing corporate earnings, have dampened confidence in the dollar. The Federal Reserve’s cautious stance and signals of potential rate cuts later in 2025 have also contributed to weakening the dollar, as lower interest rates reduce the currency's yield advantage. 4. Political and Policy Uncertainty Market unease has been heightened by President Trump’s public threats to remove Fed Chair Jerome Powell, raising concerns about the Fed’s independence and future monetary policy direction. Political noise and uncertainty over trade negotiations, especially with China, have further pressured the dollar. 5. Technical and Market Sentiment Factors Technically, the DXY has broken below key support levels, including the 200-day simple moving average (~104.6) and the psychologically important 100 level, signaling bearish momentum. Summary Table of Factors Driving DXY Below 100 Factor Impact on DXY Trade War Tariffs = Reduced dollar demand, increased volatility Shift to Gold as Safe Haven= Dollar loses safe-haven status U.S. Economic Slowdown Fears= Weaker growth outlook dampens dollar strength Fed Policy Uncertainty = Rate cut expectations reduce dollar yield Political Risks = Fed independence concerns add to uncertainty Technical Breakdown = Breach of key supports fuels bearish momentum Conclusion The DXY’s fall below 100 reflects a complex mix of trade-related economic risks, diminished safe-haven demand, political uncertainty, and expectations of a more dovish Federal Reserve. Unless these issues ease—such as through trade deal progress, clearer Fed guidance, or economic stabilization—the dollar is likely to remain under pressure in the near term.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Shavyfxhub
A plan for BNB trading through the 27thMarked the important levels in this video for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance Locally, the price looks bullish. We have already seen a reaction from the level of $600, if the local top is renewed we may see growth to the level of $620 Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you The author's opinion may differ from yours, Consider your risks. Wish you successful trades! MURA
BINANCE:BNBUSD
by trading_mura
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionLast week, Gold briefly hit an all‑time high of $3,357 before profit‑taking drove it back to around $3,320 zone📉 Ongoing uncertainty around US‑China trade relations and a weaker dollar drove traders into safe‑haven assets, supporting bullion bids despite the pullback. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish speech on Wednesday capped the rally for now, though tariff risks and geopolitical tensions may continue to underpin Gold prices into the new week. In this video, we: 🗺️ Break down the key chart levels 🔍 Highlight bullish vs. bearish setups 🚀🔻 Preview catalysts that could spark the next move Disclaimer: This is my personal take based on experience and what I see on the charts. It’s not financial advice—always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor before trading. #GoldMarketAnalysis #Inflation #TradeTensions #GeopoliticalRisks #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading
OANDA:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles Model: What Comes Next📉 The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles Model: What Comes Next Friends, if you’ve seen my last two posts, you already know we’re not talking about your average halving theory anymore. We're entering a new era of Bitcoin cycle analysis — and this model may change the way we look at macro rotation forever. This is an update to The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™ by FXPROFESSOR — a cyclical framework built around one question: When trust flows in and out of traditional assets like Treasury bonds... what does Bitcoin do? In this post, we zoom into the latest data: • TLT is testing key support again • Bitcoin is still rising — but in an inverted period • The next major reversion event may be approaching I'll walk you through what happens when correlation flips , why these cycles compress over time, and how we could be approaching the next Bitcoin surge — not because of supply, but because of macro trust flow . If you’ve been wondering what’s really moving the market... this might be the chart you’ve been missing. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
NASDAQ:TLT
by FX_Professor
DOLLAR INDEXThe Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance in April 2025 is characterized by a cautious, data-dependent approach amid mixed economic signals and heightened uncertainty, particularly due to the impact of tariffs and trade tensions. Key Points on the Fed’s Monetary Policy This Month Interest Rates: The Fed has maintained the federal funds target range at 4.25% to 4.50%, holding steady without changes in April. The Committee is carefully assessing incoming data before considering any adjustments to rates. Balance Sheet Reduction: Starting in April, the Fed slowed the pace of its balance sheet runoff by reducing the monthly cap on Treasury securities redemptions from $25 billion to $5 billion, while maintaining the cap on agency debt and mortgage-backed securities at $35 billion. This move smooths the transition from abundant reserves but does not signal a change in the overall policy stance. Economic Outlook and Risks: The economy continues to expand modestly with a solid labor market, but inflation remains somewhat elevated above the 2% target. The Fed acknowledges increased uncertainty due to tariffs, which may simultaneously slow growth and push inflation higher, creating a challenging policy environment. Chair Jerome Powell highlighted the potential conflict between the Fed’s dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability in this context. The Fed is prepared to adjust policy as appropriate, depending on how economic data evolve, but currently prefers to "stand pat" and await clearer signals on the economy’s response to tariffs and other factors. Inflation and Employment: Inflation is gradually declining but remains above target. The labor market is solid but expected to soften somewhat due to slower growth and tariff effects, with unemployment forecasted to rise modestly over the next year. Forward Guidance: The Fed’s communication emphasizes patience and data dependency, with the next FOMC meeting scheduled for May 6-7, where further policy decisions will be evaluated based on new economic information. Summary Aspect Current Fed Stance (April 2025) Federal Funds Rate Held steady at 4.25%–4.50% Balance Sheet Reduction Slowed Treasury runoff to $5B/month Inflation Elevated but gradually declining Labor Market Solid but expected to soften Tariff Impact Significant uncertainty; potential stagflation risk Policy Outlook Patient, data-dependent; no immediate rate changes Next FOMC Meeting May 6-7, 2025 In essence, the Fed is maintaining a modestly restrictive monetary policy stance this month, balancing between controlling inflation and supporting employment amid trade-related uncertainties. It is closely monitoring economic data before making further moves, signaling readiness to adjust policy if risks to growth or inflation intensify.
TVC:DXYLong
by Shavyfxhub
S&P500 - The Correction Is Over Now!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is retesting massive support: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Over the past couple of days, we have been seeing a quite harsh stock market "crash" with an overall correction of about -20%. However, as we are speaking the S&P500 is already retesting a major confluence of support and if we see bullish confirmation, this drop might be over soon. Levels to watch: $4.900 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:SPXLong
by basictradingtv
60