NATURAL GAS - Who can Predict this wild beast?Natural gas got demolished today, down over 8%.
The one headline we saw hitting the tape that is having some partial influence:
"Vessel Arrives at LNG Canada to Load First Cargo, Strengthening Global Supply Outlook – LNG Recap"
Today, we did hedge our core long UNG position with a short dated $56 put on EQT.
We are already green on that trade and looking for $56 level to come into play.
Natural gas volatility sure trades in a world of its own which is why it is key to size accordingly.
Community ideas
NOTUSDT UPDATE 07/02/25Liquidity cluster above: A significant band of liquidation levels exists above 0.00178–0.00180, where market makers likely enticed longs and are now ready to reverse.
Thin liquidity zones below: The area from 0.00174 down to 0.001675 has less dense heat, suggesting an easy path for a quick move down.
Last price reaction: Price recently tagged upper high-liquidity levels, followed by rejection and an initial roll over.
Top-Down Analysis in Action – Live Trade: Where I Enter and WhyIn this video, I walk you through my full trading process – starting with a clean top-down analysis.
I begin on the daily chart to spot key market structure and levels, then zoom in to the 1-hour chart for confirmation, and finally execute my trade on the 5-minute chart.
You’ll see:
✔️ How I define my zones and structure
✔️ Why I wait for confluence across timeframes
✔️ Exactly where and why I enter the trade
Just real analysis and real trades.
If you’re looking to improve your entries and learn how to align multiple timeframes, this one’s for you.
🔔 Don’t forget to like, comment & subscribe for more real-time trading content!
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Bitcoin & Ethereum New Quarter | What To Look For🎯 New Quarter For COINBASE:BTCUSD & COINBASE:ETHUSD — What To Look For
As we enter a new quarter, smart money is already positioning.
Institutional investors, hedge funds, and asset managers don’t just trade price — they rotate capital based on quarterly performance, risk appetite, and macro expectations. That’s why each quarterly open is a key inflection point across all markets — including crypto.
In this video, I break down:
• 🧠 How institutional capital rotation impacts Bitcoin and Ethereum
• 📈 Key levels to watch as Q3 unfolds
• 🔁 What are the likely outcomes
• 📊 How to prepare for volatility and new trend formation
This isn’t just another candle — it’s the start of a new chapter in the cycle.
If you’re serious about understanding where the money flows next , this video is for you.
This is the likely outcome
Price not ready to moon yet
Strong candle implying new highs incoming
Watch for bearish stop hunt on new quarter
This is a bullish outside bar
MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts
👍 Enjoyed the insights?
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below — and don’t forget to like this post to support the channel!
ARX Price Forecast | What I’m Watching NextThis video outlines my personal expectations for upcoming price action based on the ARX method. I share the key levels, liquidity zones, and market behavior I’m watching along with the potential setups I’ll be waiting for.
This is not a signal or financial advice, but an educational insight into how I prepare for possible moves in the market.
For educational purposes only.
Let’s see how the market plays it out 👀
GOLD GOLD ,NEWYORK buyers stopped yesterday at 3355-2256 to respect a 45min and daily supply roof from our structure ,reclaiming 3355-3358 will be a sign that we can move into 3400 without stress.
on daily TF 3355-3358 remains resistance to upswing on daily candle close from my line chart.daily break will be watched .
dollar broke monthly demand floor and heading down is possible as the green back is hit by president trump continued attack on sir powell,putting the fed true independence at risk before investors and carry traders across the globe.
the current trillions of dollars addition national debt will affect the dxy and could weaken the fed inflation 2% mandate.
lets watch 3330-3329 for make or break.my aim is to watch 3300-3302 and from higher sell zone i will be watching 3378=3385 zone which will be leading into 2400 zone if sustain buying persist.
Weekly Uptrend, Daily Uptrend, H4 Uptrend - It's a BUY????All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
www.tradingview.com
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 7-1 : Post Market UpdateToday was a very powerful day for the Cycle Patterns - particularly for Gold and BTCUSD.
Gold rallied as the Cycle Pattern predicted a RALLY in TREND mode.
BTCUSD collapsed on a CRUSH Cycle Pattern.
The SPY Cycle Pattern predicted a Gap Reversal pattern. We did see the Gap today and a moderate reversal in price. But the SPY, as usual, continued to try to melt upward.
I highlighted a very interesting TWINNING pattern in Bitcoin in this video. Pay attention.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
EMA SystemThe system of Moving Averages I started out using is the 9-21-50 SMA. I would use the Fast EMA as a trailing stop loss and only trade long when it's above the 50 SMA. The 21 SMA is often a zone where price can bounce back.
12-21 EMA—EMA of EMA can work as well. So can 50-200 SMA or EMA of EMA for telling the larger trend if you want to enter an Option, then trading against it can be fatal.
Better MACDWhat is the MACD?
The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is a momentum and trend-following indicator. It’s based on the difference between two EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages) and helps spot:
Trend direction
Momentum shifts
Reversals
Entry/exit points
✅ Basic MACD Techniques
1. Signal Line Crossovers
Bullish Crossover: MACD line crosses above Signal → buy signal
Bearish Crossover: MACD line crosses below Signal → sell signal
🔸 Works best in trending environments, 200 SMA as a filter.
🔸 Combine with volume or trend filters for best results
2. Zero Line Crossovers
When MACD crosses above 0, the shorter EMA is above the longer EMA → bullish. This is typically the sign of a larger trend than crossovers.
When MACD crosses below 0, shorter EMA is below → bearish
🔸 Zero line = baseline momentum direction
🔸 Cross above = bullish trend confirmation
🔸 Cross below = bearish confirmation
3. Histogram Momentum
The histogram is often the first sign of a shift before a crossover happens.
Read it like this:
Histogram growing: Increasing momentum in that direction
Histogram shrinking: Momentum is fading
Histogram changing color (in many indicators): Potential reversal
🔸 Use histograms to get early signals, even before crossovers. Confirmed with volume surge and Price Action.
🔍 Advanced MACD Tricks
📉 4. Divergence Detection
Divergence occurs when price and MACD move in opposite directions.
🔸 Bullish Divergence:
Price makes lower lows
MACD makes higher lows
→ Hidden buying pressure, trend reversal likely
🔸 Bearish Divergence:
Price makes higher highs
MACD makes lower highs
→ Trend weakening, reversal likely
🔹 Confirm with:
RSI, when the lower timeframe RSI is oversold and the higher timeframe MACD is rising, then it's a good sign, and the opposite is true for bears.
Support/resistance zone: draw trendlines either on the volume or price and watch out for retests on the breakout.
Candlestick reversal patterns: some bearish patterns are bullish on indexes because of dollar cost averaging.
DIYWallSt Trade Journal: Why Traders Are Rotating from Nasdaq to**07/01/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis **
EOD accountability report: +1160
Sleep: 5 hours
Overall health: Need to catch up on sleep again
** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 4/4 success**
9:39 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check:
11:00 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3 :check:
11:24 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal :check:
12:00 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check:
**What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? **
RTY and YM leading the way today
NQ lagging
Why is this?
The answer is, Simple Supply and Demand theory.
Money has to come from somewhere.
If Money is going to YM and RTY,
Money has to leave from NQ or ES or both.
There is not an infinite amount of money, So if one index is outperforming like crazy over the other. It must be draining from it
Why would it drain from NQ? Easy
Because NQ and ES already hit ATH,
YM and RTY has not hit ATH yet.
So people are selling NQ and buying YM because it is on Discount
News
N/A
**What are the critical support levels to watch?**
--> Above 6235= Bullish, Under 6210= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
3 Daily Reversal SignalsIn this video we're taking a look at the OANDA:USDCHF , looking at the idea of this pair being overextended to the bearish side and looking to take advantage of potential bullish relief.
There are 3 main signals that we're looking for in this trading example.
1) The Relative Strength Index (RSI) being extremely oversold (currently around 12)
2) Price action trading completely outside the Keltner Channels
3) A low-test candlestick pattern signaling potential buying pressure.
As I mentioned in the video the actually strategy that this idea is based-on has some very specific parameters, but it is cool to see how and if it could be evolved to work in alternative ways.
If you have any questions, comments or want to share ideas, please do so below.
Akil
How I screen for long term investmentsIn this video, I’ll show you the exact stock screener I use to find long-term investment opportunities — the kind of stocks you can buy and hold for years.
I’ll walk you through the key metrics to look for, how to use free tools like TradingView screener, and what red flags to avoid. This strategy is perfect for beginner and experienced investors who want to build long-term wealth, not chase hype.
Whether you're looking for undervalued stocks, consistent compounders, or just trying to build your long-term portfolio, this screener can help.
Hope you enjoy!!
Bitcoin - An Epic Move Awaits!Bitcoin gained 13% in H1 2025, outperforming Ethereum and Solana, which dropped ~25% and ~17% respectively—highlighting BTC's strength in turbulent market conditions.
Institutional wedge: spot-BTC ETFs saw huge inflows—BlackRock’s took in $336M, and total crypto product inflows approached $45B+ this year.
AI models foresee BTC holding $105K+ by end-June, with ChatGPT pointing to $118K and Grok forecasting $108K, based on momentum and ETF flows.
We see BTC holding the 20 MA and spiking to new all time highs.
Natural Gas - Silver Lining!Natural gas is ending the day with a daily bottoming tail.
Potentially forming an inverse head and shoulder pattern that takes us above the key $3.83 level.
We took profits on our EQT put hedge! The put contract went up over 100%
Lets see if Nat gas can build some pressure.
Ethereum - This structure decides everything!Ethereum - CRYPTO:ETHUSD - trades at a key structure:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
After Ethereum retested the previous all time high in the end of 2024, we saw quite a harsh move lower. This move was followed by an expected recovery, however Ethereum is still trading below a key structure. Either move is still possible and will shape the future of Ethereum.
Levels to watch: $2.500, $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOLD GOLD ,newyork gold dealers reacted early enough avoiding my aim sell zone of 3378-3385.
while we accept that price action will do what ever it wants ,so we accept the new cross at 3357 and took over 100pips from that bearish drop .
we are on a strong 2hr cross and a demand floor ,if we sustains above this level we could be buying above 3357 to test 3385-3378 which will expose 3400 .,but if buyers fail from this level we are going to sell in line with the sentiment of the market.
trading forex, commodities is based on probability