Get started

Community ideas

GBPNZD - Not A Grade A Trade But One w/ MASSIVE TargetsThe trading opportunity here on the GBPNZD isn't a grade A trade in my opinion but the potential for MASSIVE targets may make up for that. THE GBPNZD has recently violated a key level of structure to the upside & with the recent retracement has offered a very nice bullish trend continuation opportunity. The only problem with this setup is that due to "sloppy" past price movement, picking an initial target projection can be somewhat difficult. With that being said, if price can move beyond the initial "sloppy" area, then it will present us with a massive potential to the upside which may make it worth the risk. Please leave any questions or comments below & I hope you guys have a great weekend. Akil
Long
by Akil_Stokes
EURUSD - Aggressive, Medium & Conservative Target IdeasEURUSD offers an excellent example of how a countertrend trader can take a trend continuation approach to involving themselves in a trade. After violating a previous high, the Euro has started to retrace. no despite already reaching our conservative prediction point, I do think that there is an opportunity for it to travel lower and that's what we're looking at in today's video. As we head down to the 1 Hour timeframe we can see that price action ended the week by violating and confirming a descending triangle. With price now retracing back into that previous zone of support (which should now act as resistance), there's the potential to hop on the next move down while achieving some extremely good risk/reward ratios. If you have any questions, comments, or just want to share an idea, please do so below! Akil
Short
by Akil_Stokes
2
GOLD - Bullish Trend Continuation w/ Bat Pattern & Complex PBGold has been on a tear for sometime now & well, you know what they say, all good things must come to an end. In saying end, we don't necessarily mean a forever end, but perhaps sometimes a break. After failing to make a new high, it seems like Gold has reached it's excess or exhaustion phase & is beginning to show signs of relief. If this relief were to continue, not only do we have a good structure level to look for buys at, but it's also accompanied with a potential bullish bat pattern. Please leave any questions or comments below & if you'd like to share your views from either a fundamental or technical perspective, please do so as I love the conversation. Akil
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Akil_Stokes
26
SPX: time to digest the uptrend?The S&P closed the week at 5,958, continuing its climb along a steep uptrend that’s been in place since mid-April. While momentum remains bullish, we’re now entering a zone where digestion or short-term pullbacks would not be surprising. And not because of weakness, but after every run is a period of digestion. In this video I first go through how I clear out the noise to focus on the outlook for the next few weeks, re-chart my levels and trendlines, and walk through potential scenarios for the coming week.
SP:SPX
by emanuelaelias
AUDUSDThe interest rate differential between the U.S. and Australia is a key driver of the AUD/USD exchange rate, influencing capital flows, investor demand, and currency valuation. Here’s how it impacts AUD/USD: How Interest Rate Differential Affects AUD/USD Higher Australian Rates vs. U.S. Rates Strengthen AUD: When the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) sets interest rates higher than the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), the yield advantage attracts global investors seeking better returns. This leads to increased demand for the Australian dollar, causing AUD/USD to rise as investors sell USD to buy AUD. This phenomenon is often called the "carry trade." Higher U.S. Rates vs. Australian Rates Strengthen USD: Conversely, when the Fed’s rates are higher than the RBA’s, investors shift capital into U.S. assets for better yields, boosting the USD and weakening AUD/USD. Since 2022, Fed rate hikes relative to the RBA have correlated with AUD weakness. Capital Flows and Market Expectations: The interest rate differential influences international capital flows. Expectations of future rate changes by either central bank, reflected in futures markets and rate trackers, can cause AUD/USD to move ahead of actual policy shifts. For example, anticipated RBA cuts or Fed hikes typically weaken the AUD/USD. Trade and Economic Context: The impact of interest rate differentials is moderated by other factors such as commodity prices (Australia’s major exports), trade relations, and global risk sentiment. For instance, U.S. tariffs on China and other countries indirectly pressure the AUD by affecting Australia’s trade environment. Summary Scenario AUD/USD Impact Explanation RBA rates higher than Fed rates AUD/USD rises Higher Australian yields attract capital Fed rates higher than RBA rates AUD/USD falls Higher U.S. yields attract capital Market expects RBA cuts AUD/USD falls Anticipated lower yields reduce AUD appeal Market expects Fed hikes AUD/USD falls Anticipated higher yields boost USD In essence: The interest rate differential between Australia and the U.S. is a fundamental determinant of AUD/USD movements. A wider gap favoring the U.S. dollar tends to weaken the AUD/USD pair, while a narrowing or reversal in this gap can support AUD gains. Traders closely should monitor central bank policies, inflation data, and rate expectations to anticipate shifts in this differential and its effect on the currency pair.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
2
EURJPYnterest Rate Differential European Central Bank (ECB): Deposit rate: 2.25% (cut by 25 bps in April 2025). Outlook: Markets expect two more cuts in 2025, potentially lowering rates to 1.75% by year-end, as tariff risks and weak growth persist. Bank of Japan (BoJ): Policy rate: 0.50% (held steady in May). Outlook: BoJ lowered its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.5% (from 1.0%) due to U.S. tariff risks and weak Q1 data. Rate hikes are unlikely until 2026. Differential: ~1.75% in favor of EUR, though ECB easing may narrow this gap. Key Economic Data for May 2025 Eurozone Q1 GDP Growth (Final): 0.3% QoQ (vs. preliminary 0.4%), marking the fifth straight quarter of growth. Germany (+0.2%), Spain (+0.6%), and Italy (+0.3%) outperformed France (+0.1%). Risks: U.S. tariffs on EU exports (potentially 20% starting July) threaten future growth. ECB Policy Signals: ECB President Lagarde emphasized a data-dependent approach, with further cuts likely if inflation remains subdued. Japan Q1 GDP Contraction: -0.7% annualized (vs. -0.2% expected), driven by weak exports (-5.0%) and stagnant consumption. U.S. tariffs on Japanese autos (24%) and machinery exacerbate recession risks. BoJ Caution: Governor Ueda warned of "downside risks" from trade tensions, signaling no near-term rate hikes despite inflation above target. Directional Bias for EUR/JPY Short-Term (May–June 2025): Bullish EUR/JPY ECB’s higher rates (vs. BoJ’s 0.50%) sustain the euro’s yield advantage. Japan’s weak GDP and tariff vulnerabilities keep JPY under pressure. Medium-Term (H2 2025): Neutral-to-Bearish ECB rate cuts (to 1.75%) could narrow the rate differential, reducing EUR appeal. Safe-haven JPY demand may rise if U.S.-EU/Japan tariff tensions escalate. #SHAVYFXHUB #EURJPY #JAPAN #EUROPE #EURO #yen #fx #forex
by Shavyfxhub
EURJPYnterest Rate Differential European Central Bank (ECB): Deposit rate: 2.25% (cut by 25 bps in April 2025). Outlook: Markets expect two more cuts in 2025, potentially lowering rates to 1.75% by year-end, as tariff risks and weak growth persist. Bank of Japan (BoJ): Policy rate: 0.50% (held steady in May). Outlook: BoJ lowered its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.5% (from 1.0%) due to U.S. tariff risks and weak Q1 data. Rate hikes are unlikely until 2026. Differential: ~1.75% in favor of EUR, though ECB easing may narrow this gap. Key Economic Data for May 2025 Eurozone Q1 GDP Growth (Final): 0.3% QoQ (vs. preliminary 0.4%), marking the fifth straight quarter of growth. Germany (+0.2%), Spain (+0.6%), and Italy (+0.3%) outperformed France (+0.1%). Risks: U.S. tariffs on EU exports (potentially 20% starting July) threaten future growth. ECB Policy Signals: ECB President Lagarde emphasized a data-dependent approach, with further cuts likely if inflation remains subdued. Japan Q1 GDP Contraction: -0.7% annualized (vs. -0.2% expected), driven by weak exports (-5.0%) and stagnant consumption. U.S. tariffs on Japanese autos (24%) and machinery exacerbate recession risks. BoJ Caution: Governor Ueda warned of "downside risks" from trade tensions, signaling no near-term rate hikes despite inflation above target. Directional Bias for EUR/JPY Short-Term (May–June 2025): Bullish EUR/JPY ECB’s higher rates (vs. BoJ’s 0.50%) sustain the euro’s yield advantage. Japan’s weak GDP and tariff vulnerabilities keep JPY under pressure. Medium-Term (H2 2025): Neutral-to-Bearish ECB rate cuts (to 1.75%) could narrow the rate differential, reducing EUR appeal. Safe-haven JPY demand may rise if U.S.-EU/Japan tariff tensions escalate. #SHAVYFXHUB #EURJPY #JAPAN #EUROPE #EURO #yen #fx #forex
by Shavyfxhub
EURJPYInterest Rate Differential European Central Bank (ECB): Deposit rate: 2.25% (cut by 25 bps in April 2025). Outlook: Markets expect two more cuts in 2025, potentially lowering rates to 1.75% by year-end, as tariff risks and weak growth persist. Bank of Japan (BoJ): Policy rate: 0.50% (held steady in May). Outlook: BoJ lowered its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.5% (from 1.0%) due to U.S. tariff risks and weak Q1 data. Rate hikes are unlikely until 2026. Differential: ~1.75% in favor of EUR, though ECB easing may narrow this gap. Key Economic Data for May 2025 Eurozone Q1 GDP Growth (Final): 0.3% QoQ (vs. preliminary 0.4%), marking the fifth straight quarter of growth. Germany (+0.2%), Spain (+0.6%), and Italy (+0.3%) outperformed France (+0.1%). Risks: U.S. tariffs on EU exports (potentially 20% starting July) threaten future growth. ECB Policy Signals: ECB President Lagarde emphasized a data-dependent approach, with further cuts likely if inflation remains subdued. Japan Q1 GDP Contraction: -0.7% annualized (vs. -0.2% expected), driven by weak exports (-5.0%) and stagnant consumption. U.S. tariffs on Japanese autos (24%) and machinery exacerbate recession risks. BoJ Caution: Governor Ueda warned of "downside risks" from trade tensions, signaling no near-term rate hikes despite inflation above target. Directional Bias for EUR/JPY Short-Term (May–June 2025): Bullish EUR/JPY ECB’s higher rates (vs. BoJ’s 0.50%) sustain the euro’s yield advantage. Japan’s weak GDP and tariff vulnerabilities keep JPY under pressure. Medium-Term (H2 2025): Neutral-to-Bearish ECB rate cuts (to 1.75%) could narrow the rate differential, reducing EUR appeal. Safe-haven JPY demand may rise if U.S.-EU/Japan tariff tensions escalate. #SHAVYFXHUB #EURJPY #JAPAN #EUROPE #EURO #yen #fx #forex
by Shavyfxhub
AUDJPYReserve Bank of Australia (RBA): Current cash rate: 4.10% (expected to cut to 3.85% on May 20). RBA on a dovish pivot driven by progress on inflation (trimmed mean CPI: 2.9% in Q1) and global trade risks. Bank of Japan (BoJ): Current policy rate: 0.50% (held steady in May). Outlook: BoJ signaled potential hikes if economic conditions improve, but weak GDP (-0.7% annualized in Q1) and U.S. tariffs (24% on Japanese goods) limit tightening scope The upcoming Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate cut, widely expected to be a 25 basis point reduction at the May 20, 2025 meeting, is anticipated to have a short-term bearish impact on AUD/JPY, primarily by putting downward pressure on the Australian dollar (AUD) relative to the Japanese yen (JPY). Here’s why: Key Points on the Impact of the RBA Rate Cut on AUD/JPY AUD Under Pressure Due to Rate Cut Expectations: Growing market consensus around the RBA’s rate cut has already led to AUD depreciation, causing AUD/JPY to edge lower below the 92.21 level as of late April 2025. Lower interest rates reduce the yield advantage of the AUD, making it less attractive to carry traders and investors seeking higher returns. Economic Uncertainties and Trade Outlook: The RBA’s cautious, data-dependent approach amid rising economic uncertainties and global trade tensions (especially U.S.-China relations) adds to downward momentum for AUD/JPY. However, signs of easing U.S.-China trade tensions could provide some support to the AUD, limiting the downside. JPY Dynamics: The Japanese yen has weakened recently due to reduced safe-haven demand amid improving global trade sentiment, which has somewhat offset AUD weakness. However, ongoing expectations of further Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hikes in 2025 support the yen, applying pressure on AUD/JPY. Moderating Factors: Reduced Aggressive Rate Cut Bets: Recent data, including a hotter-than-expected Australian Wage Price Index, has tempered expectations for aggressive RBA cuts, which could limit AUD/JPY losses. BoJ Policy Outlook: BoJ’s commitment to possible further rate hikes supports the yen, creating a headwind for AUD/JPY. Technical and Sentiment Outlook: The pair has paused recent gains and is vulnerable to further downside if the RBA confirms the cut and signals a cautious path forward. However, dip-buying interest could emerge on declines due to improving trade optimism and softer USD dynamics. Summary Factor Impact on AUD/JPY RBA 25 bps rate cut (May 20) Bearish AUD, downward pressure Signs of easing US-China trade Potential support for AUD BoJ rate hike expectations Yen strength, bearish for AUD/JPY Wage growth in Australia Limits aggressive AUD weakness Global trade sentiment Supports yen weakness, offsets AUD pressure Conclusion The anticipated RBA rate cut is expected to weigh on AUD/JPY in the short term, primarily due to reduced yield appeal of the AUD. However, improving global trade sentiment and tempered expectations for aggressive rate cuts may cushion losses. The yen’s strength from BoJ tightening expectations will also continue to exert downward pressure on the pair.
by Shavyfxhub
How To Setup & Use The Trend Trading IndicatorThis video gives an in depth explanation of each setting of the Trend Trading Indicator so you can understand how to set up the indicator properly and get your desired results. We cover the following: Master trend signals and settings How to configure your master trend signal timeframes correctly How to get rid of signals when the market is ranging Each type of extra signal: strong all timeframe trends, pullbacks during strong trends, trend score signals and more What timeframes and settings to use for intraday trading Customizing the settings to get the results that fit your trading style Make sure to test out your settings on various markets using historical data to ensure you have the indicator performing according to your specific parameters. If you have any questions about using the indicator or the settings, feel free to reach out to us. Happy Trading :)
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Education
by FriendOfTheTrend
2
MASTER PATTERN TEACHING using TradingView charts. Master pattern - Tonight we are looking at the SPX 500 index directional trade. Using Options. This is a master pattern technical analysis set up for entry, discipline and execution of a trade. I will use the 3 time frames to identify 1) Higher time frame ( HTF) Direction trade, trend & liquidity, volume confirmation, and the contraction box 2) Lower time frame ( LTF) Market makers and smart money set up contraction and expansion phases 3) Lower time frame ( LTF) Continuation leg of the trend Once I have identified and selected my option DTE and spread I will execute when the LTF has reached a new low in the intraday. Hope you learned something new. Happy Trading. Tommaso
SP:SPXLong
by chicagotrader10
1
Trend Confirmation Rules 4-Hour Timeframe for XAUUSD🟢Buy Trend Rules ✅ Trend Confirmation ✅ Buy Trend 1 and Buy Trend 2 signals must both appear on the chart. Both signals must match — they must both indicate a buy trend. If the signals do not match, the setup is considered invalid — 🚫 NO TRADE. 🔻 Sell Trend Rules ✅ Trend Confirmation ✅ Sell Trend 1 and Sell Trend 2 signals must both appear on the chart. Both signals must match — they must both indicate a sell trend. If the signals do not match, the setup is considered invalid — 🚫 NO TRADE. TP 500 pips SL 100 pips
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Simple_Xtrade