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Is Ethereum ready for a higher high?CRYPTO:ETHUSD seems to be the only one, from the top cryptos, wit the best technical set-up, at the moment. Let's dig in. CME:ETH1! Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:ETHEREUM
by Marketscom
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-3 : BreakAway In Trend ModeToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move into a Breakaway type of pattern. I believe that Breakaway may be to the downside, but I could be wrong. Price has been struggling in a sideways consolidated range over the past 2+ weeks. I believe this range sets up an "Island" type of price formation that is indicative of a topping type of pattern. Currently, I'm tracking layers of different TA techniques to try to see how price may react in the future. Right now, price appears to be trapped within a range, has recently broken below the STDDEV channel, and may be moving into a very volatile FAILURE/REJECTION phase. This is where price may attempt to resume trending (up or down) and I believe the move logical move is to the downside at this point. Gold/Silver had a HUGE MOVE yesterday and are not contracting a bit. I still believe Metals will rally higher and attempt to break to new ATH levels. BTCUSD is trapped in a sideways price range after reaching new ATH levels recently. Many of you are aware I'm expecting a rollover-top pattern to setup in BTCUSD (and the US markets) and I believe it is just a matter of time to see how the markets react to policies, news, and economic function/data. Should be an interesting (possibly sideways) day today. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
Do bulls have enough steam to drive gold higher?A lot of things to consider this week, a lot of data and geopolitical tensions. Will the economic uncertainty and potential bad US jobs data drive TVC:GOLD higher? Let's dig in. FX_IDC:XAUUSD Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:GOLD
by Marketscom
6
NATURAL GASS IS FALLINGHello big brothers and sisters, lets flow with these current situation of PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS , currently, team sellers are not showing signs of slowing down, the foundation that team bullish had been holding unto got collapse today, so as it is, sellers are domination, I'm a very lazy person, so i always wait for my bigger brothers and sisters to do the fighting for me, then i joined to walk behind the winning team. All details concerning these post are all on the video.
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASShort
by SunnyBabaFX
DOLLAR INDEXRelationship Between the Dollar Index (DXY), 10-Year Bond Yield, Interest Rates, and Carry Trade 1. Dollar Index (DXY) and 10-Year Bond Yield The DXY and the US 10-year Treasury yield generally have a direct (positive) relationship: When the 10-year yield rises, the dollar tends to strengthen. When yields fall, the dollar usually weakens. This is because higher yields attract foreign capital seeking better returns, increasing demand for the US dollar and pushing up its value. However, this relationship is not perfect and can be influenced by other factors like economic data, geopolitical risks, and monetary policy expectations. 2. Interest Rates and Their Impact Interest rates set by central banks (e.g., Fed funds rate) influence bond yields and currency values. Higher interest rates generally lead to higher bond yields, attracting capital inflows and strengthening the currency (USD). Conversely, lower rates tend to weaken the currency as investors seek higher yields elsewhere. The interest rate differential between countries is crucial: it reflects the relative attractiveness of holding one currency over another, driving capital flows and currency movements. 3. Carry Trade and Its Role The carry trade involves borrowing in a currency with low interest rates and investing in a currency with higher yields to earn the interest rate differential. For example, investors may borrow in Japanese yen (low rates) and invest in US dollars (higher rates), buying US bonds or assets. This strategy increases demand for the higher-yielding currency (USD), pushing up its value and often correlating with rising bond yields in that country. Carry trades are typically based on short-term interest rate differentials, but recent research indicates that the entire yield curve (including long-term yields) also affects currency returns and carry trade profitability. The uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) theory suggests carry trade returns should be zero after adjusting for exchange rate changes, but empirically, carry trades have yielded excess returns, partly due to risk premia and market inefficiencies. what is UIP??? Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) is a fundamental economic theory that relates the difference in nominal interest rates between two countries to the expected change in their currency exchange rates over the same period. It asserts that the expected depreciation or appreciation of a currency will offset the interest rate differential, eliminating the possibility of arbitrage profits from borrowing in one currency and investing in another without hedging exchange rate risk. Key Points about UIP: Interest Rate Differential Equals Expected Exchange Rate Change: The difference between the interest rates of two countries should equal the expected percentage change in the exchange rate between their currencies. For example, if Country A has a higher interest rate than Country B, its currency is expected to depreciate relative to Country B’s currency by approximately the interest rate difference. No Arbitrage Condition Without Hedging: Unlike covered interest rate parity (which uses forward contracts to hedge exchange rate risk), UIP assumes investors do not hedge their currency exposure. Therefore, the expected spot exchange rate at the end of the investment horizon adjusts to offset potential gains from interest rate differences. Implication: If a country offers higher interest rates, its currency is expected to depreciate to prevent riskless profit opportunities. This reflects foreign exchange market equilibrium. Relation to Law of One Price and Purchasing Power Parity (PPP): UIP is connected to the law of one price, which states that identical goods should cost the same globally when prices are expressed in a common currency. Similarly, UIP ensures that returns on investments in different currencies are equalized once exchange rate changes are considered. Practical Use: UIP helps explain and forecast currency movements based on interest rate differentials but is often violated in the short term due to market imperfections, risk premiums, and investor behavior. In summary, Uncovered Interest Rate Parity states that the expected change in exchange rates between two currencies offsets the interest rate differential, so investors earn the same return regardless of the currency in which they invest, assuming no hedging of currency risk. 4. Bond Prices and Interest Rates Bond prices and interest rates have an inverse relationship: When interest rates rise, bond prices fall. When interest rates fall, bond prices rise. This dynamic affects currency values indirectly, as falling bond prices (rising yields) attract capital inflows, strengthening the currency and the DXY. Summary Table Factor Relationship with USD / DXY Explanation 10-Year Bond Yield Positive correlation Higher yields attract foreign capital, boosting USD Interest Rates Positive correlation Higher rates increase returns on USD assets Interest Rate Differential Drives carry trade and currency flows Larger spread favors higher-yielding currency Carry Trade Supports USD when borrowing low-rate currency and investing in USD Increases demand for USD and US bonds Bond Prices Inverse to yields; indirectly affects USD Falling bond prices (rising yields) strengthen USD Conclusion The US Dollar Index (DXY) generally moves in tandem with the 10-year Treasury yield and interest rates because higher yields and rates attract capital inflows, strengthening the dollar. The carry trade exploits interest rate differentials, further supporting the dollar when investors borrow in low-rate currencies to invest in higher-yielding US assets. Bond prices inversely relate to yields, and their fluctuations indirectly influence the dollar through these mechanisms. #DOLLAR #GOLD #
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by Shavyfxhub
LX - Analysis Request - Clear Bearish Algorithm on the LTFThe very short term outlook here is not pretty. My immediate instincts and algorithm knowledge tells me to short this for a couple of % profit. However, we can potentially see a longer term bullish move once we've proven this teal algorithm. It's been the tell-tale sign before any breakout so I will look for that to form as opposed to the obvious bearish liquidity building green that's currently in control. Happy Trading :)
NASDAQ:LXShort
by ReigningTrades
2
CRYPTO Updated Analysis! BTC is showing HTF weakness...This purple BTC algorithm proving itself beautifully on the buy-side has definitely increased my short conviction for the near term. I am shorting this for the time being at least until we prove a strong higher time frame buying algorithm like yellow prove itself. Otherwise, I am looking for a break of yellow and a proof of HTF purple - which would almost certainly lead to a $60,000 liquidity hunt as we saw back in 2021. Stay cautious and let the algorithms guide you - both on the higher time frame and lower time frame. Happy Trading :)
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by ReigningTrades
Buy or Sell XAUUSD Gold? How the Stock Market Could Decide!🚨 Market Breakdown: Gold (XAUUSD) 🪙📉📊 At the moment, I’m closely monitoring XAUUSD (Gold) 🔍. Before diving in, it's crucial to zoom out and gain a macro perspective 🌍. This means analyzing key support and resistance levels on the weekly and daily timeframes 📅 using price action as our primary guide. 📈 Gold has seen a strong rally — it’s overextended at this point. A deeper pullback could be on the cards. If we get that retracement alongside a bullish break of structure, I’ll be eyeing a potential long setup 🛒. However, this bias is conditional 🔄. If the stock market pulls back, that could strengthen the case for a gold buy. On the flip side, if equities continue to rally, I’d likely shift toward a bearish stance on gold 🐻. 🎥 Everything is broken down clearly in the video. ❗️Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The analysis shared is for educational and informational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by fxtraderanthony
ETH Price Action Explained – What the Charts Are Really Saying?🔍 Taking a look at Ethereum ETH right now across multiple timeframes… On the lower timeframes ⏱️, we’re seeing a bullish break 💥 that might spark some enthusiasm 🚀, but when you zoom out and get that macro perspective 🌐, my outlook shifts from to one of caution ⚠️. 📊 ETH is currently trading into a key resistance level 🧱, and if we step back and view the bigger picture, we can clearly see that it’s been range-bound 🔁 for quite some time. On the lower timeframes, there might be an opportunity to squeeze a bit out of the range 🎯 by trading between the highs and lows—but keep in mind, this approach is not for the feint hearted ⚡. 📹 This video is purely analysis 🧠, not a trade idea. I’m sharing my thoughts and market view 📈, and I hope you find it helpful and insightful 💡. 🚫 Not financial advice.
by fxtraderanthony