Weekly FOREX Forecast: USD Weakness Continues. Buy The Majors!This is the FOREX futures outlook for the week of May 25 - 31st..
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD CHF JPY
USD Index has been bearish for weeks. Expect that to continue as Trump threatens EUR and Apple with tariffs.
Buying against the USD is the best bet. Notice the other major currencies charts are showing bullish price action in the form of Bullish Flags or prices nearing buy side liquidity.
Run with the bulls!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Community ideas
My first recording for ETHUSD - FxDollars - {25/05/2025}Educational Analysis says that ETHUSD may give countertrend opportunities from this range, according to my technical analysis.
Broker - bitstamp
So, my analysis is based on a top-down approach from weekly to trend range to internal trend range.
So my analysis comprises of two structures: 1) Break of structure on weekly range and 2) Trading Range to fill the remaining fair value gap
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
24th May 2025Bitcoin just made its ATH in the last week, 112.000 creating a change of character, also the candle in th Daily timeframe closed positive (above previous ATH 109k) Waiting for the close on the weekly.
OTHERS is at 268.47B market cap, my expectation is OTHERS to increase more to catch up with BTC rally.
Bearish Case:
-War between Ukraine and Russia intensifies. (Increasing)
-Mayor war conflict.
-Japan bond market.
-Stock market crash.
-QT (High Interest rates).
Bullish Case:
-Lowering Interest rates.
-Increasing M2 global money supply.
-Bond market ???
- No recession fears.
Stock Markets, Gold, Silver: Run With The Bulls!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of May 25 - 31st.
The Stock Markets are bullish, so run with valid buy setups when they form.
Gold and Silver are relatively strong. With tensions in Gaza and Iran, this is expected. Valid buys should be taken.
Crude Oil is a tad bearish due to US inventories, so valid sells are warranted in the short term.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Algorand (ALGO): Market Structure Break | Getting Ready to ShortAlgorand seems to form a proper MSB formation where we might catch a good downward movement once we see either a breakdown from current zones or a successful re-test from EMAs on a 30M timeframe.
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Team
USDJPYJGB and US Treasury Bond Yield Differential and Upcoming Fundamental Data .
Current Bond Yields Overview
Bond Type Yield (%) Notes
Japan 10-year JGB ~1.24% to 1.55% Yields have risen slightly amid faster inflation in Japan (CPI around 3.5% YoY in April), highest in over a month. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintains a low policy rate (~0.5%) but is expected to tighten further due to inflation pressures.
US 10-year Treasury ~4.5% US yields remain significantly higher, reflecting tighter Federal Reserve policy and stronger economic growth expectations.
Yield Differential
The interest rate differential between US and Japanese 10-year bonds is roughly 3.0% to 3.3% in favor of the US.
This large spread reflects divergent monetary policies: the Fed’s tightening vs. BoJ’s cautious normalization amid inflation concerns.
The differential supports USD strength versus JPY and underpins carry trade strategies borrowing JPY to invest in USD assets.
Recent Trends in JGB Yields
JGB yields, especially long-dated maturities (20-year, 30-year, 40-year), have surged to multi-decade or all-time highs (e.g., 20-year at ~2.55%, 30-year at ~3.14%, 40-year at ~3.6%) due to fiscal concerns and poor auction results.
The 10-year JGB yield rose modestly by about 0.5 basis points recently, reaching around 1.24%–1.55%.
Inflation pressures in Japan, with CPI rising faster than expected, are prompting expectations for further BoJ policy tightening this year.
Upcoming Fundamental Data and Events to Watch
Japan:
Inflation data updates (CPI and PPI) expected to confirm ongoing upward pressure on prices.
Trade data and export/import figures amid US-China trade tensions and tariff negotiations.
Bank of Japan policy meetings and statements for clues on monetary tightening pace.
G7 finance ministers’ summit discussions, including currency and fiscal policy coordination.
United States:
US Treasury auctions and debt ceiling developments influencing bond supply and yields.
Federal Reserve statements and economic data (inflation, employment) guiding interest rate expectations.
Fiscal policy updates, including government spending and debt outlook affecting bond market sentiment.
Summary
Aspect Japan (JGB) United States (Treasury)
10-Year Yield ~1.24%–1.55%, rising with inflation ~4.5%, elevated due to Fed tightening
Yield Differential (US - JP) ~3.0% to 3.3% —
Monetary Policy BoJ cautiously tightening, inflation rising Fed aggressively tightening
Market Concerns Fiscal deficits, auction demand, inflation Debt ceiling, inflation, Fed policy
Key Upcoming Data Inflation, trade, BoJ meetings, G7 summit Inflation, employment, Fed policy, auctions
Conclusion
The large yield differential between US Treasuries and JGBs reflects diverging monetary policies amid rising inflation in both countries but more aggressive tightening in the US. JGB yields have risen sharply, especially on the long end, due to inflation and fiscal concerns, but remain well below US levels. Upcoming inflation data, central bank meetings, and fiscal developments in both Japan and the US will be critical in shaping bond yield trajectories and the USD/JPY exchange rate in the near term.
Cardano (ADA): Seeing Good Risk:Reward Trades That Can Be TakenCardano coin is back near a major resistance zone where we had multiple attempts of breakout happening and now the price is yet again showing some sort of weakness in the markets. We are waiting for 1 of 2 zones to be broken and secured in order to enter into a setup here.
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Academy
Chainlink (LINK): Good Selling Opportunity With Good Risk/RewardChainlink has a great chance of moving to lower zones where we see 3 signs of turnover happening on a 4-hour timeframe and a formation of MSB, which is happening on smaller timeframes of 5 minutes. Might be a good RR 1:4 trade that can be taken here!
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Academy
GOLD 1. Middle East Tensions: Israel-Iran Conflict
Multiple credible reports indicate that Israel is preparing to strike Iranian nuclear facilities. This has sharply increased market anxiety about a potential escalation in the Middle East, which could provoke retaliation from Iran and destabilize the region.
Such developments are classic drivers of safe-haven demand, pushing investors toward gold as a protective asset.
2. US Political and Fiscal Uncertainty
President Trump’s major fiscal bill is facing strong opposition in Congress, creating uncertainty about US economic policy and fiscal stability.
Moody’s recent downgrade of US government debt due to rising debt levels has further shaken investor confidence in the US dollar and US assets, adding to gold’s appeal as a store of value.
3. Ongoing Russia-Ukraine War
While there are reports of possible ceasefire talks between Russia and Ukraine, the situation remains unresolved and unpredictable, keeping geopolitical risk elevated.
4. Other Global Flashpoints
China’s military drills near Taiwan and ongoing tensions between China and the US (including trade and technology restrictions) continue to add to the global risk environment.
The conflict between Palestine and Israel and instability in Syria also contribute to the overall geopolitical risk premium priced into gold.
Market Impact and Outlook
Gold is currently trading above $3,350/oz, with strong technical momentum and safe-haven inflows. With the current middle east tension escalation we could easily breakout from the descending trendline to touch 3440 zone and approach 3500$ or more
Even if there is no immediate escalation, the combination of persistent geopolitical risks, US fiscal uncertainty, and a weaker US dollar is likely to keep gold prices well-supported in the short term.
Correlation Between DXY, Bond Yields, Bond Prices, and Gold Prices
1. DXY (US Dollar Index) and Gold Price: Inverse Correlation
Gold and the US dollar historically move in opposite directions. When the DXY strengthens, gold typically weakens, and when the dollar weakens, gold prices rise.
This is because gold is priced in USD globally, so a stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, reducing demand.
However, in 2023–2024, an unusual phenomenon occurred where both gold and the dollar rose simultaneously due to geopolitical tensions and central bank gold buying by countries like China and Russia, which supported gold despite a strong dollar.
2. Bond Yields and Gold Price: Generally Negative Correlation, but Context-Dependent
Rising nominal government bond yields (e.g., US 10-year Treasury yields) usually put downward pressure on gold because higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.
However, during periods of inflation concerns, geopolitical risk, or fiscal uncertainty, gold can rise alongside rising yields as investors seek inflation hedges and safe havens.
Real interest rates (nominal yields minus inflation) are particularly important; when real rates are low or negative, gold’s appeal increases.
3. Bond Prices and Gold Price: Positive Correlation
Bond prices move inversely to yields. When bond prices fall (yields rise), gold often faces downward pressure due to higher opportunity costs. Conversely, when bond prices rise (yields fall), gold tends to benefit.
However, instability and volatility in bond markets can increase gold’s safe-haven demand, supporting prices despite yield moves.
Summary Table
Asset Pair Typical Correlation with Gold Explanation
Gold vs. DXY Negative Strong USD makes gold more expensive globally
Gold vs. Bond Yields Negative (usually) Higher yields raise opportunity cost of gold
Gold vs. Bond Prices Positive Rising bond prices (falling yields) support gold
Additional Influences on Gold Prices in 2025
Geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East) and safe-haven demand have supported gold even when the dollar was strong.
Central bank gold purchases by China, Russia, and emerging markets have provided structural support.
Fiscal concerns in the US, including rising debt and recent tax legislation, have increased inflation hedging demand for gold.
Volatility in bond markets and real interest rates remaining low or negative have further boosted gold’s appeal.
Conclusion
Gold prices are influenced by a complex interplay between the US dollar, bond yields, and bond prices:
A stronger dollar typically pressures gold lower, but geopolitical risks and central bank buying can override this.
Rising bond yields usually weigh on gold, but inflation fears and fiscal uncertainty can cause gold to rise alongside yields.
Bond price volatility and low real rates support gold as a safe haven and inflation hedge.
This nuanced relationship explains why gold in 2025 has shown resilience and even strength amid dollar fluctuations and bond market volatility.
Bitcoin Crash Coming? Altcoins Signals You Shouldn't Ignores Bitcoin (BTC) about to dump even more? In this video, we break down the current BTC price action and reveal altcoin signals that may indicate what’s coming next in the crypto market.
📊 Whether you’re new to crypto or already trading, this video will help you understand:
Why BTC might fall further 📉
What altcoins are showing strong signals 🔥
Smart strategies to manage risk during a dip
✅ Coins Mentioned: (Add specific altcoins discussed in your video)
💡 Easy explanations for beginners included!
🧠 Follow GURU – Aur Ho Ja Shuru for real crypto insights in Urdu and English!
💬 Comment below: Do you think BTC will recover or dump more?
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BTCUSD 5/24/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you an amazing breakdown of Bitcoins current, & most recent Price Action to determine its next move. He's on a roll with these Callouts; don't you miss out on this one!
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