Community ideas
Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 3📈🌐 Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 3: Revisiting the Big Chart and Preparing for the Next Breakout 🚀💡
chart:
Hey everyone! FX Professor here, and it’s time to revisit what I call my 'Big Chart' as we continue our exploration into Bitcoin’s future price movements.
Back in March 2023, Bitcoin was trading below $25,000, and today, we’re looking at how the landscape has shifted and what we can expect moving forward.
In this post, we’re sticking purely to technical analysis—focusing on Bitcoin’s halving cycles, my 3 major key trend lines, and the overall technical structure that has proven reliable over the years.
Key Insights:
Halving Cycles & All-Time Highs:
Historically, all-time highs have followed 548 to 565 days after a halving event. Could we see similar patterns play out in 2025?
Trend Line Mastery:
My Big Chart tracks three critical trend lines that have been instrumental in identifying breakout and support zones. These levels continue to offer crucial guidance.
February 2024 Breakout:
Earlier this year, we had a major breakout in Februar y, leading to a test of the $73,000 level. After some consolidation, what comes next?
What to Watch Next:
We’ve seen Bitcoin break out above major resistance levels after finding strong support around $58,800. This support is part of an ascending trend, meaning it will rise as the price continues upward.
As we could be approaching the $100,000 zone, the question is:
Will we hit all-time highs (peaks) earlier than usual? (pattern says end of 2025).
With a strong possibility of achieving this 400 to 450 days after the halving, we could see this sooner than expected (550 days historical pattern)
Major Levels:
Support:
Currently, the key support level is at $58,800, but as the price trends upward, this level is ascending and will be rising as time goes by.
Resistance:
The next major resistance is at $105,800. A break above this could propel Bitcoin to new all-time highs. This will be the third attempt (the green 3, if you know you know!)
The journey continues! Follow along as we track Bitcoin’s path toward new highs. Drop your comments below, and let me know what you think!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Part 1:
Part 2:
and always remember:
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-21: Gap Potential PatternToday's pattern suggests an opening price Gap is likely. Given the markets are trading slightly lower this morning, this Gap potential plays very well with my Roadmap trading outline from last week. I highlighted the need to sell out of positions last Friday and look to buy into the Gap Potential pattern today.
If the markets rally off this opening gap pattern, we could see a nice move in the SPY up to 587-588+.
Gold and Silver are rallying again. But be aware today is a TOP pattern for Gold/Silver. That means both Gold & Silver will attempt to identify resistance and move away (lower) from that resistance level.
Bitcoin looks to have moved into the Ultimate Peak level on an intermediate-term Excess Phase Peak pattern. Additionally, the deeper low sets up a longer-term Excess Phase Peak pattern that suggests Bitcoin has entered the Consolidation Phase (#3).
Because of this, I suspect Bitcoin will fall below the FWB:67K level and potentially move into broad consolidation for a minimum of at least 5-6 weeks.
These Consolidation phases in longer-term Excess Phase Peak patterns can be brutal for traders. The volatility of these consolidation phases can present real challenges and last about 50% of the time it took to Flag. Given this information, we may see many weeks of consolidation within a range in Bitcoin - possibly lasting into December 2024.
This will be a tough week for traders. Try to stay aware of the bigger picture and play the rotation headed into next week.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
This is Wyckoff VSA and SMI in action in Gold and NQIn this short educational video, Author of "Trading in the Shadow of the Smart Money", Gavin Holmes now shows us two key set ups in Gold and Nasdaq. Any questions visit www.tradeguider.com and click the link for TradeToWin for TradingView and use LiveChat if You have an enquiry.
This is Wyckoff VSA Upside Down In this short video produced by Author of "Trading in the Shadow of the Smart Money", Gavin Holmes, we turn all the Volume Spread Analysis indicators upside down, so red becomes green and green becomes red, but the principles and alerts we use don't change.
In this example we use the GC contract, Gold Futures, to demonstrate this.
XAUUSD GOLD Update PLUS Technical Analysis and New Trade Idea👀👉 XAUUSD has been in a sustained bullish trend, with price action extending into new all-time highs. Given the overextended nature of the move, my suggestion is to lock in profits on existing positions. I would then wait for a potential retracement into the imbalance highlighted in the video for a possible re-entry, should market conditions align as outlined. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 📊✅
How to Predict Market Movements When Approaching All-Time Highs When markets reach all-time highs or lows, it can be tricky to forecast where they're heading. Today, let’s focus on the gold market and how to approach markets when they hit all-time highs.
Here's my method:
1. Use of Historical Channels: In this case, I’m looking at a 13-year channel on the monthly chart. I use the breadth of this channel to measure potential upward movement. This analysis has provided me with a long-term target of $3,100 for gold.
2. Fibonacci Extensions: These are a crucial tool as well. I've identified three Fibonacci extensions that fall between $3,029 and $3,100, which align closely with the target derived from the channel analysis.
Together, these techniques give a clearer picture of potential market direction when heading into uncharted territory.
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
EURUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
US2000 H4 | Potential bullish bounceUS2000 is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 2,269.85 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 2,235.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 2,313.38 which is a level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUS200 H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend?AUS200 is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 8,331.20 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 8,255.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 8,441.28 which is a resistance zone that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. a 61.8% projection and a 127.2% extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
WTI Oil H1 | Overhead pressures remainWTI oil (USOIL) could rise towards a pullback resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 70.04 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 71.40 which is a level that sits above a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 68.66 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Aussie H1 | Pullback resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6697 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. two 38.2% Fibonacci retracement levels.
Stop loss is at 0.6735 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.6657 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: 14 - 18 OctoberWeekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: GBP, EUR, Natural Gas and NVIDIA (NVDA) Shares
Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights.
— Pound Falls After Inflation Report
— Euro Tests Key Support Levels Ahead of ECB Meeting
— Natural Gas Price Drops Over 8% Since the Start of the Month
— NVIDIA (NVDA) Shares Fall Over 4%, Missing a Record High
Stay in the know and empower yourself with our short, yet power-packed video. Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen. Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.
🌐 FXOpen official website: www.fxopen.com
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.
A clear bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern on GOOG!🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!