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BITCOINBitcoin's current liquidity constraints and recent 4-hour chart breakout reflect a tug-of-war between technical momentum and market mechanics. Here's a breakdown of key factors influencing BTC's trajectory: Why BTC Lacks Liquidity Push Exchange-Controlled Volatility: Market makers are suppressing rapid price surges to profit from liquidations, with Identified supplied zone as a "liquidity trap zone" where leveraged long positions were targeted. This artificial containment explains the muted liquidity-driven rally despite favorable macro conditions. Delayed Fed Easing: The Federal Reserve's quantitative tightening persists, delaying a full liquidity injection cycle. While U.S. Treasury drawdowns added $510B since February 2025, Bitcoin’s correlation to liquidity peaks (projected at $6.5T by Q4) remains partial until Fed rate cuts materialize. Risk-Off Sentiment: Geopolitical tensions and trade policy uncertainty have diverted some institutional capital to gold (recently surpassing $3,200/oz), temporarily capping Bitcoin’s haven appeal. 4-Hour Descending Trendline Breakout: Bullish Signals Technical Validation: BTC broke above a descending resistance line that governed price action since December 2024,my confirmation will be by a strong close above $85400 on the daily chart. The 4-hour chart shows a bullish flag pattern, with higher lows suggesting accumulation. Momentum Indicators: A bullish MACD crossover on the daily chart and rising RSI (4-hour) signal growing buying pressure, though the MACD histogram remains tentative. Upswing Potential vs. Liquidity Risks Bull Case: A sustained break above $85,300 could trigger a rally toward $88,000–$92,000 this week, aligning with historical post-halving cycles and ETF inflow momentum. Bernstein analysts project $150K–$200K by late 2025 if ETF inflows hit GETTEX:70B + and Fed easing accelerates. Bear Risks: Exchanges may continue suppressing rallies to harvest liquidity, risking pullbacks to $81K–$84K if $85K fails to hold as it prevented price upswing many times . Delayed Fed rate cuts or renewed trade tensions could tighten financial conditions, stifling Bitcoin’s macro-driven upside. Short-Term Outlook The 4-hour trendline breakout favors a bullish bias, with April targets at FWB:88K – GETTEX:92K if BTC holds above $85K. However, liquidity constraints from market maker tactics and gold’s haven dominance may delay a sustained rally until broader macro catalysts (Fed policy shifts, debt ceiling resolution) emerge. Traders should watch for a daily close above $85,400 to confirm upward momentum where i lookt to target 90k and sell from that zone
Long
by Shavyfxhub
VOXELUSDT CHART ANALYSİS - EDUCATIONAL POSTThe NFT Concept You may already know that each unit of value in a blockchain is called a token. In an open blockchain, all tokens are equal and interchangeable. For example, one bitcoin can be easily replaced with another, and nothing will change. Non-fungible tokens are a game-changer, which work differently. An NFT is a digital asset that cannot be replaced with another token without changing the value and basis of the object. Like cryptocurrency, NFTs are created on a blockchain, which acts as a database to record all transactions. The blockchain guarantees the uniqueness, safety, and anonymity of non-fungible tokens. Thanks to this system, any user can verify the originality and transparency of the history of a particular NFT through the blockchain. When you buy an NFT token, you are obtaining a certificate for a digital or real object. However, the work itself doesn’t move anywhere. You only use its digitized file or a certificate of ownership. Once created or purchased, the token sits in perpetual storage. This certificate is just lines of code that confirm it is the token owner who has the original copy of the object. An NFT token can be compared to a painting, which may belong to a gallery, museum, or individual, but the audience can see it in a catalog or exhibition. NFT tokens are sold in online marketplaces that operate like Amazon. The creators put them on marketplaces and wait for bids from buyers. An NFT token can be created by you or by anyone for that matter. To do this, you need to take a digital object (picture, music, photo, etc.), register in a particular marketplace on a platform such as Rarible or OpenSea, and upload the object with a description and price. You will have to pay a fee for creating a blockchain entry on many platforms. However, the costs pay off in most cases, as NFTs are #1 in the crypto world today.
by EngineeringRobo
US02YThe differential between the US02Y (2-year U.S. Treasury yield) and EUR02Y (2-year Eurozone government bond yield) significantly influences the trade directional bias for the USD and EUR this month. Here's how: Impact of Yield Differential on Currency Trade Interest Rate Differentials: A widening yield spread between US02Y and EUR02Y, where U.S. yields rise more than Eurozone yields, typically supports the U.S. dollar (USD) against the euro (EUR). This is because higher yields in the U.S. attract more capital, increasing demand for the USD and causing it to appreciate relative to the EUR. Conversely, if Eurozone yields rise faster, the euro may strengthen against the dollar. Monetary Policy Expectations: The yield differential also reflects expectations about future monetary policy actions by the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB). If the yield spread widens in favor of the U.S., it may indicate expectations of more aggressive rate hikes by the Fed compared to the ECB, supporting the USD. If the spread narrows or reverses, it could signal a more dovish Fed stance or a more hawkish ECB stance, potentially weakening the USD. Risk Sentiment and Economic Outlook: Rising yields in either region can signal improving economic conditions and confidence, attracting investment and supporting the respective currency. However, if yields rise due to inflation concerns or economic uncertainty, the impact on currency strength can be more complex. Trade Directional Bias This Month USD Bias: If the US02Y yield remains higher than the EUR02Y yield, Long positions in the USD, expecting it to strengthen against the EUR due to higher returns and potentially more aggressive Fed rate hikes. EUR Bias: Conversely, if the EUR02Y yield rises faster than the US02Y yield, long positions in the EUR, anticipating euro strength due to higher returns and possibly more hawkish ECB policy. Key Factors to Watch Monetary Policy Announcements: Any statements from the Fed or ECB about future rate decisions can significantly impact yield differentials and currency movements. Economic Indicators: Data on inflation, GDP growth, and employment can influence yield spreads and currency trade. Market Sentiment: Shifts in investor risk appetite and confidence in economic growth can also affect currency direction. In summary, the yield differential between US02Y and EUR02Y is a crucial indicator for determining trade directional bias in the USD/EUR pair. A wider spread favoring the U.S. generally supports the USD, while a narrowing or reversal supports the EUR.
TVC:US02YLong
by Shavyfxhub
Solana - Here Comes The Bullish Reversal!Solana ( CRYPTO:SOLUSD ) might head for new all time highs: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Just a couple of months ago, Solana perfectly retested the previous all time high and created an expected short term rejection. However, with the current major support area and a potential bullish reversal, Solana remains in a strong market, potentially heading for new all time highs. Levels to watch: $120, $250 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:SOLUSDLong
by basictradingtv
6
Nasdaq - This Is Still Not The End Yet!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) cannot resist bearish pressure: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Over the past three months, we saw such a harsh correction on the Nasdaq that a lot of people are freaking out entirely. However technicals already told us that something feels wrong and this is the result. If we see another -10% from here, buying the dip will most likely pay off. Levels to watch: $16.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:NDQShort
by basictradingtv
13
Xrp - Don't Underestimate The Bulls!Xrp ( CRYPTO:XRPUSD ) is bullish despite the recent drop: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Yes, we have been seeing a quite strong correction of about -50% on Xrp over the past couple of months. But no, this bullrun doesn't seem to be over yet but instead Xrp is creating a significant bullish break and retest formation. So if we get the bullish confirmation, we might see new highs. Levels to watch: $1.8, $3.0 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:XRPUSDLong
by basictradingtv
22
EUR02YThe EUR 2-year yield (EUR 2Y) influences the euro currency strength primarily through its role as a short-term interest rate indicator reflecting market expectations of monetary policy and economic conditions in the Eurozone. How EUR 2Y Yield Affects Euro Strength Interest Rate Expectations and Carry Trade: The 2-year yield is sensitive to expectations about ECB policy moves, such as rate hikes or cuts. Rising EUR 2Y yields typically signal expectations of tighter ECB policy or stronger economic growth, which attract capital inflows seeking higher returns, thereby supporting euro appreciation. Conversely, falling 2Y yields suggest easing or weaker growth, reducing euro demand. Monetary Policy Differentials: The EUR 2Y yield compared to US 2-year Treasury yields forms part of the short-term interest rate differential. A narrowing differential (i.e., EUR 2Y rising relative to USD 2Y) tends to strengthen the euro, while a widening gap favoring the US dollar weakens the euro. This is because capital flows follow yield advantages, influencing currency demand. Market Sentiment and Risk Appetite: Since the 2-year yield reflects near-term economic and policy outlook, it also captures market sentiment. If investors perceive the Eurozone economy as resilient and the ECB as likely to maintain or raise rates, EUR 2Y yields rise, boosting euro strength. If uncertainty or dovish signals dominate, yields fall and the euro weakens. Bond Market and Currency Link: Bond yields, including the 2-year, serve as indicators of a nation's economic health and monetary stance. Higher short-term yields increase the attractiveness of euro-denominated assets, increasing demand for the euro currency. Summary The EUR 2-year yield acts as a barometer of ECB policy expectations and Eurozone economic prospects. Rising EUR 2Y yields generally support euro strength by attracting capital inflows and narrowing yield differentials with the US. Falling EUR 2Y yields signal dovish policy or economic weakness, leading to euro depreciation. Therefore, movements in the EUR 2Y yield should be watched by forex traders as a key driver of the euro's directional bias against other currencies, notably the USD.
TVC:EU02YShort
by Shavyfxhub
EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair is poised for volatility in 2025 as monetary policy divergence between the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) shapes directional bias. Here's an analysis of key factors: ECB Policy Impact Recent Rate Cut: The ECB lowered key rates by 25 bps on April 17, 2025, reducing the deposit facility rate to 2.25%. This dovish move reflects confidence in disinflation progress, with headline and core inflation nearing the 2% target. Future Guidance: The ECB emphasized a data-dependent approach, signaling flexibility amid trade tensions and economic uncertainty. Further easing may be limited if inflation stabilizes, but prolonged weakness in Eurozone growth could prompt additional cuts. Fed Policy Stance Rate Hold: Fed officials, including Cleveland President Beth Hammack, advocate maintaining current rates (4.25–4.50%) due to mixed economic data and tariff-induced uncertainty. The Fed’s cautious stance prioritizes combating inflation over preemptive cuts. Divergence Risk: A widening policy gap favors USD strength if the ECB continues cutting while the Fed holds. J.P. Morgan highlights this dynamic, projecting EUR/USD downside if the ECB outpaces Fed easing. Market Projections Bullish Scenarios: we are predicting a 2025 high of 1.238, driven by EUR resilience and Fed rate cut expectations later in the year. Technical analysis notes critical resistance at 1.125 is broken and the breakout will potentially accelerates more gains hoping to change 1.238 next supply zone . Bearish Risks: EUR/USD declining to 1.0741 by year-end,could be medium-term corrections amidst USD dominance on tighter Fed policy. Key Drivers to Watch Inflation Trends: Sustained Eurozone disinflation vs. sticky US inflation. Growth Data: Eurozone PMI improvements vs. US labor market and GDP metrics. Trade Policies: Escalating tariffs may tighten financial conditions, influencing Fed/ECB reactions. Short-Term Outlook Q2–Q3 2025: Immediate EUR weakness likely post-ECB cut, with support at 1.0753 (200-day SMA). A Fed hold in May-June could extend USD gains. Q4 2025: Potential EUR recovery if Fed begins cutting rates, with targets at 1.1800–1.2143. In summary, EUR/USD faces bearish pressure near-term but may rebound in late 2025 if policy divergence narrows. Traders should monitor ECB/Fed communications and economic resilience in both regions.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
EURJPY Eurozone: European Central Bank (ECB) Current Head: Christine Lagarde (President since November 2019) Recent Policy Stance: On April 17, 2025, the ECB unanimously decided to cut its three key interest rates by 25 basis points, including the deposit facility rate, signaling a dovish monetary policy stance aimed at supporting growth amid deteriorating economic outlook and rising trade tensions. Inflation in the euro area is declining and expected to settle around the 2% medium-term target, with wage growth moderating and services inflation easing. However, the ECB remains data-dependent and cautious, emphasizing a meeting-by-meeting approach without committing to a fixed rate path. The rate cut reflects concerns about weakening growth and tighter financing conditions due to global uncertainties and trade tensions. Directional Bias: The ECB is currently easing monetary policy, indicating a dovish bias to stimulate growth and ensure inflation stabilizes sustainably at target. This suggests a softer euro in the near term, as rate cuts typically reduce currency appeal relative to higher-yielding currencies. Japan: Bank of Japan (BoJ) Current Head: Haruhiko Kuroda (Governor since March 2013; note: no recent change indicated in the search results) Policy Context (inferred from current macroeconomic environment and typical BoJ stance): The BoJ has historically maintained an ultra-loose monetary policy with negative interest rates and yield curve control to support inflation and economic growth. Given global uncertainties and persistent low inflation in Japan, the BoJ is likely to maintain or cautiously adjust its accommodative stance. Directional Bias: The BoJ’s policy remains highly accommodative/dovish, aiming to stimulate inflation and growth. This generally keeps the Japanese yen relatively weaker compared to currencies of countries tightening monetary policy. However, if global risk aversion rises, the yen may strengthen as a safe-haven currency. Summary Table Central Bank Head Recent Policy Action Directional Bias Likely Currency Impact European Central Bank Christine Lagarde 25 bps rate cut (April 2025) Dovish, easing Euro likely to weaken near term Bank of Japan Haruhiko Kuroda Maintains ultra-loose policy Dovish, accommodative Yen generally weak, but safe-haven demand possible Conclusion The ECB under Christine Lagarde is easing policy with rate cuts to address slowing growth and inflation nearing target, signaling a dovish bias that may pressure the euro lower in the short term. The BoJ under Haruhiko Kuroda continues an accommodative stance to stimulate inflation, keeping the yen subdued except during risk-off episodes when it can strengthen as a safe haven. Investors should watch incoming data closely as both central banks emphasize data dependency, making their future moves contingent on inflation and growth developments amid global uncertainties.
by Shavyfxhub