How to Set Custom Alerts for Futures Trading in TradingViewThis tutorial video demonstrates how to access and add custom alerts for futures and other types of trading as well as manage those alerts.
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GOLD Gold prices are dropping in mid-May 2025 primarily due to easing geopolitical and trade tensions, which has reduced safe-haven demand and triggered a shift in investor sentiment:
Easing U.S.-China Trade Tensions: The United States and China have agreed to significantly lower tariffs and implemented a 90-day pause to finalize a broader trade agreement. This breakthrough has boosted global risk appetite, leading investors to move out of safe-haven assets like gold and into riskier assets such as equities. Major stock indexes have rallied on this optimism, further weakening gold’s appeal.
Reduced Geopolitical Risks: Optimism about a potential resolution to the Russia-Ukraine conflict has also contributed to the decline. Announcements of high-level diplomatic meetings between Russia and Ukraine have encouraged hopes for peace, further reducing the need for gold as a geopolitical hedge.
Technical Correction: Gold had recently surged to an all-time high of $3,500 per ounce, entering overbought territory. The current drop reflects a technical correction, with profit-taking and liquidation by futures traders accelerating the decline as key support levels were broken.
Stronger U.S. Dollar and Yields: A stronger U.S. dollar-buoyed by improved economic data and the completion of a technical bullish pattern in the USD Index-has also pressured gold lower. Rising U.S. Treasury yields, following a better-than-expected U.S. jobs report, increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, further weighing on prices.
In summary:
Gold prices are falling because improved trade and geopolitical conditions have reduced safe-haven demand, while technical selling and a stronger dollar amplify the decline. The market is experiencing a correction after recent record highs, but long-term structural drivers for gold remain intact.
Charts tell a story- EOSE Bullish Uptrend I believe this is so cool. When you see the pattern developing and the money flow and traders agreements in the chart.
In this video I identified the set up and calculated trade entry and exit using technical analysis.
I look at volume ( energy ) and candle wicks ( the story) . Then the trend. Earnings and news.
Before entering a trade map out and have a trading plan, I love tradingview for the tools and opportunity we have to share.
DOLLARDollar (DXY) Outlook: Bearish Near-Term, Consolidation with Mild Depreciation
Current Trends: The U.S. dollar has weakened 8.4% year-to-date, pressured by:
Economic Contraction: Q1 2025 GDP shrank by 0.3%, driven by pre-tariff import surges and softening domestic demand.
Fed Policy Uncertainty: Mixed signals on inflation control and delayed rate cuts erode confidence.
Trade Tensions: Escalating U.S. tariffs disrupt global markets, favoring alternatives like the euro as a safe haven.
Technical Momentum: Bearish chart patterns suggest further downside, with key support levels at risk.
Reserve Currency Status: Despite concerns, the USD retains 57.8% of global reserves, providing a floor against rapid declines.
Treasury Yields and Recession Signals
Yield Levels
10-year: 4.439%
2-year: 3.976%
30-year: 4.900%
Inverted Yield Curve: The 10-2 spread remains negative, a historically reliable recession indicator. Past inversions preceded downturns by 18–92 weeks, signaling heightened recession risks.
Implications for USD:
Inverted curves typically weaken the dollar as markets price in future Fed rate cuts.
Rising long-term yields (e.g., 10-year at 4.439%) paradoxically coincide with dollar weakness, reflecting investor skepticism about U.S. economic resilience.
Key Drivers and Cross-Currency Impacts
Factor Impact on USD Impact on Yields
Fed Policy Uncertainty ↓ (Delayed cuts weigh) ↑ (Volatility in rate expectations)
Trade Tariffs ↓ (Safe-haven flows to EUR) ↑ (Risk premium in long-term yields)
Inverted Yield Curve ↓ (Recession fears) – (Historically precedes recessions)
Eurozone Growth (0.4% Q1) ↓ (EUR strength pressures USD) –
Conclusion
The U.S. dollar faces a bearish near-term bias, driven by economic softness, tariff headwinds, and technical breakdowns. Treasury yields, particularly the inverted curve, reinforce recession risks and further USD downside. However, the dollar’s reserve status and higher relative rates (vs. peers like the euro and yen) may limit severe declines, favoring consolidation with mild depreciation.
Watch for:
Fed communication on rate cuts and inflation.
Eurozone PMI data (May 22) to gauge EUR resilience.
10-2 yield spread dynamics for recession timing clues.
In summary, the dollar’s trajectory hinges on balancing recession risks against its yield advantage, with bears currently in control.
GOLD GOLD is bearish on lower timeframe and the break of demand floor on daily and a potential retest has given sellers the power over price. The inability of buyers to cross the 4hr descending trendline acting as dynamic supply roof is a signal of more bearish days ahead. The daily ema+sma strategy aligns with our demand floor indicating a potential drop in price of the yellow metal...apply cautious wait and see approach..#gold
BTCUSD Analysis Today: Technical and On-Chain !In this video, I will share my BTCUSD analysis by providing my complete technical and on-chain insights, so you can watch it to improve your crypto trading skillset. The video is structured in 4 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the on-chain data analysis, then I will be moving to the liquidation maps analysis and lastly, I will be putting together these 3 different types of analysis.
Will AUDJPY rebound?FX_IDC:AUDJPY had recently corrected lower, but continues to trade above a broken downside resistance line. Will we see a push back up anytime soon?
Let's dig in...
MARKETSCOM:AUDJPY
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-16 : Gap Potential PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will attempt to GAP at the open. The current price structure suggests the SPY/QQQ are in an upward FLAGGING formation related to a broad Excess Phase Peak pattern. I believe this upward trend will continue until price attempts to break either the upper previous Ultimate High pattern or break the lower channel of the current FLAGGING formation.
The wonderful thing about these Excess Phase Peak patterns, and other techniques I'm trying to teach you, is that they provide very clear triggers/directions/opportunities for traders who understand these patterns.
Today, I highlight my SPY Bias (Primary & Secondary) trending system that shows the SPY is much weaker than many people believe. Because of this, I believe we are potentially nearing an Exhaustion Peak in the SPY/QQQ - time will tell.
The use of my extended Biasing systems and Custom Index charts helps me understand what is taking place behind the SPY/QQQ price action. It's like peaking behind the curtains in terms of what my Custom Indexes and other specialized data can provide. I can see what is really taking place related to price action - moving beyond the simple SPY/QQQ charts.
Gold and Silver appear to be setting up an Inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern off a potential Ultimate Low in price. It will be interesting to see how this downward price flag plays out over the next week+. If this pattern holds, we should see the FLAG end and price should rally up into the consolidation phase. Very exciting for metals.
Bitcoin, which tends to lead the SPY/QQQ, is stalling near a peak. Keep your eyes on BTCUSD over the weekend as I believe we may be able to identify how the SPY/QQQ will react on Monday by watching what BTCUSD does.
Thanks for being patient and understanding my schedule over the past 30+ days. I've had multiple family member visit the hospital over the past 5-6+ weeks and my world has been filled with doctors, hospitals, follow-ups, work, and trying to keep everyone healthy and away from trouble.
It appears these issues are starting to get more settled - which means I'll be able to stay more focused on work - instead of driving around everywhere and waiting for appointments.
Get some..
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Can FTSE100 keep the momentum all the way to the all-time high?The FTSE:UKX bulls continue to show resilience and push the index higher. But the big question is, can we see a move all the way to the current all-time high?
Let's dig in...
MARKETSCOM:UK100
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
Ripple (XRP): Possible Smaller Bullish Movement IncomingRipple coin buyers are showing some strong volume where we might see another liquidity movement outside our sideways channel, which might give us potential 40% movement, but be careful, as on smaller timeframes we are seeing a possible H&S form.
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Academy
Lower Parallel Channel/Trendline tested again, 3rd time a charm?NOTE : I am not an expert trader by any means, I am open input and sharing my ideas. I am still learning this is my second time.
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DAILY
Price is consolidating or ranging
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4 HOUR
- Price seen between support and resistance
(DOWN/BEAR)
- Parrallel channel seen:
---- its height is around 5000 pips. a little more. (that i was able to measure)
---- with this being the 3rd test to its bottom line,, still hoovering in the lower channel, which could be bearish. however, it is looking like a rejection (as it is loosing momentum, and a doji is forming and likely to close as so.
---- yet, the channel is sell/short pattern. so next few candles may come with the moment and still turn, to go down
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In contrast (UP/ BULLS)
- Ukraine is about to begin to use btc as its national assest and an answer for that is pending soon. ( price will go up b/c this is good for this pair)
- two fake-outs seen at support
- the channel could continue sideways and actually go up
- or the channel will soon be invalidated, moving up, breaking thru top channel line.
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Right now, most technical indications are neutral, a this time for this pair. So lets wait and see.
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Happy trading.
Open to comments and advice.
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USDJPY and GBPJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Crude Oil Analysis 16-May-2025Crude oil analysis and what are the possible scenarios we could see.
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