BULLISH REVERSALThe frame of a possible trade
On the Daily time frame, going back to what we can identify as the parent move
price gapped to the upside, filled with wicks and candles, price moves to the upside
leaving short-term lows(STL)
Price retraced and took liquidity at STL
On the Daily time frame, price expands violating a Daily Sell-side Imbalance Buy-side Inefficiency
05/29/25 Price gapped up, taking out liquidity at a STH
If this price action implies bullishness, then price will have to take/deliver some form of sellside
This is happening ahead of the Core PCE Price Index Data release on Friday 30/05/25
Community ideas
Poor executions on MNQ A little post for transparency, down -$225 for the day. Made some error trading mistakes. I should've just closed the charts and been content with my $60 profit. But I still learned a lot through staying on the charts and watching price.
10am candle not breaching its highs and failing to take it was a great indication that the candle wanted to target sell-side -- let my feelings get me a little excited today and that ended up resulting in losses. I will take the losses for today and check back in around 2pm and if not later today at 2pm, I'll be trading tomorrow morning NY session.
Talk to you guys soon! Give a 🚀 if you found this insightful.
MNQ Buy Idea 5.29.25 (Part 2)Continuation of the first video entry of this trade.
We were aiming for $200 in profits today but failed to get that, ending with $61 in profits. I don't think we will be entering another trade due to the time and also that I want to focus on reading my book "The Trading Game" by Ryan Jones.
If you guys found this insightful give it a 🚀, it helps me see that you guys learned something from watching this and motivates me to post more.
Drop your comments down below, do you think MNQ is bullish or bearish? What prices do you see MNQ reaching?
MNQ Buy Idea 5.29.25 (Part 1)Targeting buy-side with this 10AM candle.
Wanted price to take the highs of the 10am open, but we seemed to have failed to as of 11am, SL was hit unfortunately for a final profit of $61 for today.
This will be all for me as I am taking it easy and not pushing/forcing any trades. I will be uploading part 2 to this video once this one is rendered for those interested.
Steps to a Winning Trade Set up | Master Pattern & Indicators 🔑 Your Signature Trade Setup: “Trap-to-Target Confluence”
🔹 Step 1: Identify the Master Pattern
Look for consolidation → manipulation → expansion phases
Confirm price inside a range building up to a breakout
🔹 Step 2: Mark Magnetic Liquidity Zones
Use prior highs/lows, imbalance zones, and volume voids
Highlight areas where price must return to “rebalance”
🔹 Step 3: Indicator Confirmation
Tool Look For Signal Strength
Williams %R -80 to -100 (Oversold trap) or -20 to 0 (Overbought trap) 🔥 Reversal Zone
RSI Bullish/bearish divergence @ liquidity 🧠 Smart Money Trap
Volume Sudden spike near manipulation or retest 💣 Institutional Footprint
🔹 Step 4: Execute Entry
Aggressive: After trap candle closes + divergence confirmed
Conservative: Retest of range/imbalance + confluence
🔹 Risk Management
SL: Just beyond liquidity wick or structural level
TP1: Midpoint of range / imbalance close
TP2: Final opposing liquidity or structure break
Tron (TRX): Buyers Are Getting Ready For Breakout | +40% ComingTron coin is seeing a decent volume of buys recently, and we are still expecting to see a volatile breakout, which would give us an opening and potential of 40% movement from here, so we wait for BREAK OF STRUCTURE.
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Team
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-29 : Harami Inside patternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will stall within yesterday's body range and possibly trend a bit downward (after NVDA news/earnings).
I don't see the markets really extending much higher today as we are moving into a sideways Harami pattern, then into a CRUSH pattern tomorrow.
Gold and Silver are really making a big move higher this morning, which suggests traders are back to actively hedging against risk across the globe.
BTCUSD is trading flat/sideways - looking for some direction and, obviously, NOT RALLYING right now.
In my mind, the markets are struggling for direction, and Gold/Silver are showing that real risks are still elevated.
I also highlight my new Pure Alpha TTScanner algo and the work I'm doing to try to help more traders. The best part about what I do is that I get to create solutions/tools for traders. I love it.
Get some.
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Silver Intra-Day Analysis 29-May-2025Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
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GBPUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my GBPUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD Gold Price, 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rates, and DXY Correlation
1. Gold vs. 10-Year Bond Yields
Inverse Relationship: Gold prices and bond yields (nominal) typically move inversely. Higher yields reduce gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset, while lower yields boost demand for gold.
Real Interest Rates: The real yield (nominal yield minus inflation) is the key driver. When real yields fall (e.g., due to high inflation), gold prices rise, even if nominal yields increase. For example, gold surged during the 1970s despite rising nominal yields because inflation outpaced rates.
Current Example: A 10-year Treasury yield of 4.54% (nominal) with high inflation could still support gold if real yields remain negative or low.
2. Gold vs. Interest Rates
Inverse Correlation: Rising interest rates (e.g., Fed hikes) strengthen the dollar and increase bond yields, pressuring gold prices. Falling rates weaken the dollar and reduce yields, boosting gold.
Opportunity Cost: Gold doesn’t pay interest, so higher rates make yield-bearing assets (bonds, savings) more attractive
Recent Context: Markets pricing in Fed rate cuts in 2025 have supported gold prices, as lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold.
3. Gold vs. DXY (Dollar Index)
Inverse Relationship: A stronger dollar (DXY↑) makes gold more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing demand. A weaker dollar (DXY↓) boosts gold’s affordability and appeal.
Exceptions: During crises, both gold and the dollar may rise as safe havens (e.g., 2008 financial crisis).
4. 10-Year Yields vs. DXY
Positive Correlation: Higher yields often strengthen the dollar (DXY↑) by attracting foreign capital into USD-denominated bonds.
Divergence Risk: If yields rise due to fiscal concerns (e.g., US debt) rather than growth, the dollar may weaken despite higher yields.
Summary Table
Relationship Typical Correlation Key Driver(s)
Gold ⇄ 10-Year Yields Inverse Real interest rates (nominal yield - inflation)
Gold ⇄ Interest Rates Inverse Opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold
Gold ⇄ DXY Inverse USD strength impacting gold’s global demand
DXY ⇄ 10-Year Yields Positive Yield-seeking capital flows into USD assets
Key Scenarios
Rising Yields + Strong Dollar:
Gold faces dual headwinds (e.g., Fed tightening cycles).
Falling Yields + Weak Dollar:
Gold rallies (e.g., post-2008 QE, 2020 pandemic).
Stagflation (High Inflation + Low Growth):
Gold rises despite higher nominal yields (real yields turn negative).
Conclusion
The interplay between gold, bond yields, interest rates, and the dollar is dynamic:
Gold’s primary driver is real interest rates, not nominal yields.
A weaker dollar (DXY↓) and falling real yields create ideal conditions for gold rallies.
While correlations are strong historically, exceptions occur during crises or stagflation.
Trade Implications:
Monitor real yields (10-year TIPS) and DXY trends for gold price direction.
Fed policy shifts, inflation data, and geopolitical risks can override typical correlations.
For detailed analysis, track real-time data on bond yields, inflation expectations, and central bank rhetoric.
#GOLD #DOLLAR