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XAUUSD Outlook: How Risk Sentiment Could Shape the Next MoveI’m currently analysing XAUUSD (Gold) 🟡, which has come under bearish pressure 📉, showing signs of downside momentum. In the video 🎥, we also explore the inverse correlation between Gold and risk assets like the NASDAQ 📊. Keep a close eye on NASDAQ movements—if risk assets break bullish 🚀, we may see further weakness in Gold. On the other hand, if risk sentiment shifts and risk assets break bearish 🛑, Gold could attract safe-haven demand and gain strength 💪. We also dive into the price action, market structure, and pull up the volume profile 🧩. Gold is currently trading around the Point of Control (POC) ⚖️—a key level where significant volume has accumulated. A clean break above or below this area could act as a technical trigger for the next move 📈📉. As always, this is not financial advice ⚠️—just my market view.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by fxtraderanthony
Surprise halt by the RBA. A positive for the AUD.After a surprise halt by the RBA, where the Bank kept the cash rate unchanged, MARKETSCOM:AUDUSD reversed sharply higher. Where it may go next? Let's dig in. FX_IDC:AUDUSD Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
NAS100 Reading Market Structure: When to Trade and When to WaitI'm currently keeping a close eye on the NASDAQ 📉. Price has remained largely range-bound over the past few sessions and continues to show signs of pressure 🔻. While we've seen a short-term rally 🚀, it lacks the conviction and momentum typically seen in stronger trending environments 📊. When comparing the current conditions to previous trend phases, the difference is clear. Structure is unclear, and there's no confirmation of sustained direction yet. As shown on the chart 📈, we previously saw strong bullish momentum followed by a sharp shift, suggesting indecision in the market 🤔. In these situations, patience is key ⏳. It's just as important to know when not to trade as it is to know when to act 🎯. For now, I’m choosing to stay on the sidelines until a clearer trend develops. Not financial advice ⚠️
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony
AUDUSDTHE month July 8, 2025, the key Australian economic events 2:30 AM WAT – NAB Business Confidence Actual: 5 Forecast: 2 The NAB Business Confidence Index rose sharply to 5 in June 2025 from 2 in May, marking its highest level since January and indicating improving business sentiment. This improvement was driven by gains in sales, profitability, and employment, signaling optimism about the economic outlook despite some lingering cost pressures. 5:30 AM WAT – RBA Cash Rate and Related Announcements Cash Rate Actual: 3.85% (no cut at this meeting) Forecast: 3.60% (markets had expected a 25 bps cut) Previous: 3.85% The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) held the cash rate steady at 3.85%, surprising markets that had expected a cut to 3.60%. The RBA Rate Statement accompanied the decision, providing insights into the bank’s view on inflation, growth, and monetary policy. The decision reflects the RBA’s cautious stance amid mixed economic signals and ongoing inflation concerns. The stronger business confidence contrasted with the RBA’s decision to pause rate cuts, highlighting uncertainty about the economic outlook and inflation trajectory in Australia. AU10Y=ROSE TO 4.3% FROM DAILY OPEN OF 4.206% AUD OCR=3.85% THE SAME US10Y=4.391% US IRT=4.25-4.5% This shift in AU1OY and RATE hold of 3.85% will give AUD a buy opportunity going forward. while we are seeing tariff related shocks evident ,AUSTRALIA a commodities dependent economy will take a offensive . The announcement and implementation of tariffs have created uncertainty, causing the AUD to decline from recent highs. The AUD/USD pair dropped in anticipation of tariff changes and broader risk aversion in global markets. Market Sentiment: The threat of higher tariffs and trade tensions typically weighs on the AUD, as Australia’s economy is highly exposed to global trade flows. Increased tariffs can reduce export competitiveness and hurt terms of trade, especially if global growth slows as a result. Limited Direct Impact: since the US is not Australia’s largest export market. However, indirect effects—such as slower global growth or disruptions in China (Australia’s biggest trading partner)—could further pressure the AUD. Broader Economic and Policy Context RBA Response: The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has cited tariff uncertainty as a reason for holding interest rates steady, adopting a “wait-and-see” approach until the full effects of global trade tensions are clearer. Exchange Rate as Shock Absorber: The AUD often acts as a buffer during global shocks. If tariffs or trade tensions worsen, a weaker AUD can help offset some of the negative effects by making Australian exports more competitive, but it also increases the cost of imports. Key Takeaways Tariff uncertainty has already contributed to recent AUD weakness. If trade tensions escalate or global growth slows, the AUD could face further downside. The RBA is likely to remain cautious, and the AUD will remain sensitive to both tariff developments and broader economic data. #AUDUSD
Long
by Shavyfxhub
AUDUSD Today July 8th 2025, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is widely expected to announce a 25 basis point cut in the official cash rate, lowering it from 3.85% to 3.60%. This would be the third rate cut in 2025, reflecting easing inflation and a slowing economy. Key Details for July 8, 2025: 2:30 AM WAT: Release of NAB Business Confidence data for Australia. 5:30 AM WAT: Announcement of the RBA Cash Rate decision, expected to be cut to 3.60% from 3.85%. Release of the RBA Rate Statement, outlining the rationale behind the decision. RBA Press Conference follows, providing further insights and answering questions. Market Expectations and Impact: Major banks including Westpac, Commonwealth Bank, NAB, and ANZ unanimously forecast this 25 bps cut due to softer inflation and subdued economic growth. The rate cut is expected to ease borrowing costs, potentially saving mortgage holders . The RBA aims to balance supporting growth while maintaining inflation within its 2–3% target band. Summary Timeline (WAT) Time Event Expected Outcome 2:30 AM NAB Business Confidence Indicator of business sentiment 5:30 AM RBA Cash Rate Announcement Cut from 3.85% to 3.60% 5:30 AM RBA Rate Statement Explanation of decision 5:30 AM RBA Press Conference Q&A and further guidance This rate cut is part of a broader easing cycle, with markets pricing in multiple cuts through the rest of 2025 as inflation remains manageable but economic growth slows. 2. 10-Year Government Bond Yields Australia 10-Year Bond Yield: Has been falling in 2025 alongside expectations of RBA rate cuts, AU10Y=4.232% OCR=3.85% TO TRIM IT TO 3.60% TODAY. US10Y=4.383% USD IRT=4.25%-4.5% 3. Interest Rates Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Cash Rate: Recently cut from 3.85% to 3.60% in July 2025, with expectations of further easing (potentially down to ~3.6% by year-end). US Federal Reserve Rate: Held steady at 4.25%–4.50% as of mid-2025, with a slower pace of cuts compared to Australia. 4. Interest Rate Differential and Impact on AUD/USD The interest rate differential (US rate minus Australian rate) currently favors the US by approximately 0.65–0.9 percentage points (Fed rate ~4.25–4.50% vs. RBA ~3.60%). This narrowing differential from earlier wider gaps has weighed on the AUD, as higher US rates attract capital flows, supporting the USD. However, the recent RBA rate cuts and easing inflation in Australia have softened the differential, giving some support to the AUD. Other factors influencing AUD/USD include US tariffs, China’s economic outlook (as Australia’s key trading partner), and global risk sentiment. The AUD/USD is expected to remain sensitive to the interest rate differential and central bank policies. Further RBA cuts could weaken the AUD if the US Fed maintains higher rates. Conversely, any signs of US rate cuts or easing trade tensions could boost the AUD. Inflation trends, China’s economic health, and geopolitical factors will also play key roles. In essence: The interest rate differential between the US and Australia currently favors the US, supporting the USD over the AUD, but recent RBA easing and falling Australian bond yields have narrowed this gap, providing some support to the AUD/USD pair . Traders closely watch upcoming economic data and central bank decisions for direction. #AUDUSD #RBA #FEDS #BONDS #AU10Y #US10Y
Short
by Shavyfxhub
Dogecoin - This is the key structure!Dogecoin - CRYPTO:DOGEUSD - has to reverse now: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) A couple of months ago Dogecoin retested the previous all time high. We have been seeing a harsh correction of about -65% thereafter. However Dogecoin still remains in a bullish market with bullish structure. In order to validate this trend, a reversal must happen now. Levels to watch: $0.15, $0.5 Keep your long term vision🙏🙏 Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:DOGEUSDLong
by basictradingtv
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