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NVIDIA Breaks Out - Is a Bigger Rally Coming?NVIDIA Breaks Out - Is a Bigger Rally Coming?
NVIDIA has broken out of a bullish triangle pattern, signaling that it might be ready to climb higher. In my view, the bottom was reached at 86.00, as even market pressures from Trump couldn't push it down further.
NVIDIA seems to be waiting for more details on the US-China trade deal before making a stronger upward move.
If positive developments emerge, it could trigger a bigger bullish wave, lifting the stock even higher.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-21 : Inside-BreakawayI've been very clear over the past few weeks that I believe the markets are poised for a rollover/topping pattern and I believe BTCUSD is showing us exactly how/when that rollover top is going to play out (June 1-June 9).
In the meantime, I believe the SPY/QQQ are entering a more volatile "early topping" formation while still in an uptrend (Bullish).
I urge traders to start watching various sectors for weakness and keeping your eyes open for any signs the market could be moving into a sideways price rotation.
I think the rollover top will be aligned with some financial event (trade/tariff/other) that will result in a broad disruption of the US/Global markets. And I believe BTCUSD will lead the move by about 4-7+ days.
Gold and Silver are starting to move higher again. That is a sure sign that traders are now more actively seeking to hedge global risks (again).
I believe this move higher in metals may continue through this week and into next week (looking for that top in the SPY/QQQ).
Follow my detailed BTCUSD video to learn why BTCUSD may continue to try to push a bit higher before topping and moving into a broad price decline.
Get some..
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05/20/25 Trade Journal, and Where is the Stock Market going tomoEOD accountability report: +293.75
Sleep: 4.5 hours , Overall health: Calm and tired. need to catch up on sleep.
What was my initial plan?
Market structure was bearish so, I started the day shorting, but once market flipped bullish, I switched to BTD mode.
Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System
— 9:00 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 10:20 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Buy Signal
— 11:18 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 12:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 1:20 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal
— 3:13 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal 2x signal (C+ set up)
Next day plan--> Above 5900 = Bullish, if we lose 48min support at 5900--> 5800 next
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
USDJPYDXY (US Dollar Index) and Bond Yield Relationship – May 2025
Current Market Situation
US Treasury Yields:
The 10-year Treasury yield is at 4.54% (May 21, 2025), and the 30-year yield is testing the 5% level amid a global bond sell-off.
DXY (US Dollar Index):
The DXY and the 10-year yield are moving in sync again after a period of divergence earlier in 2025.
Relationship Dynamics
Positive Correlation:
Historically, the DXY and US bond yields (especially the 10-year yield) tend to move together. When yields rise, the dollar often strengthens, as higher yields attract foreign capital seeking better returns.
In recent weeks, this positive correlation has resumed after a brief disconnect in April, when yields surged but the dollar weakened due to shifting investor sentiment and US tariff policy.
Periods of Divergence:
In early April 2025, there was a notable divergence: yields climbed while the dollar fell, reflecting a rare episode where investors were wary of US assets despite higher returns, possibly due to concerns about US fiscal health and global trade tensions.
During that period, both US bonds and the dollar declined together, signaling a potential shift away from US assets and raising questions about the dollar’s structural appeal as a reserve currency.
Recent Realignment:
After the Federal Reserve’s recent meeting and a major tariff agreement with China, the DXY and yields began rising together again, indicating renewed confidence in US assets and a return to more typical market behavior.
Key Factors Influencing the Relationship
Fed Policy:
Expectations for future rate cuts or hikes directly influence both yields and the dollar. Higher expected rates generally support both.
Global Risk Sentiment:
In risk-off scenarios, the dollar can strengthen even if yields fall, due to safe-haven demand.
Trade and Fiscal Policy:
Tariffs and concerns about US debt sustainability can disrupt the usual correlation, as seen in early 2025.
Summary Table
Factor Impact on DXY Impact on Yields Typical Correlation
Rising US Yields Strengthens DXY Yields rise Positive
Fed Rate Hike Expectations Strengthens DXY Yields rise Positive
US Fiscal Concerns Can weaken DXY Yields may rise Can diverge
Global Risk Aversion Strengthens DXY Yields may fall Can diverge
Trade Tensions/Tariffs Mixed Mixed May disrupt correlation
Conclusion
As of May 2025, the DXY and US bond yields have resumed a positive correlation, both rising in response to Fed policy signals and improved risk sentiment following a major tariff agreement. However, earlier in the year, this relationship broke down due to concerns about US fiscal stability and shifting global investment flows. The interplay between DXY and yields remains sensitive to Fed policy, fiscal outlook, and geopolitical developments.
GBPJPY bulls has given up?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gbp/Jpy intra-day Analysis 21-May-2025
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Weekly trading plan for DOGEIn this idea I marked the important levels for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
It looks like the price is in a local triangle and it is worth considering the risks near the trend lines
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
Weekly trading plan for ADAIn this idea I marked the important levels for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
Weekly plan for SUI In this idea I marked the important levels for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
In this video, also reviewed Bitcoin dominance
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD A carry trade is a popular forex trading strategy where a trader borrows money in a currency with a low interest rate (the funding currency) and uses it to buy a currency with a higher interest rate (the target currency). The goal is to profit from the difference between the two interest rates, known as the interest rate differential.
How It Works:
The trader sells or shorts the low-yielding currency and buys or goes long on the high-yielding currency.
By holding this position overnight, the trader earns the interest rate differential—essentially collecting interest on the higher-yielding currency while paying less interest on the borrowed currency.
For example, borrowing Japanese yen (which historically had very low or negative rates) to buy Australian dollars (which had higher rates) allowed traders to earn the difference in interest rates.
Key Points:
Profit Sources: Traders can profit from both the interest rate differential and potential appreciation of the higher-yielding currency.
Leverage: Carry trades often use high leverage, magnifying gains but also increasing risk.
Risks: Exchange rate fluctuations can offset interest gains, and sudden market shifts can force traders to unwind positions, causing volatility.
Market Conditions: Carry trades perform best in stable, low-volatility environments where interest rate differentials remain wide and exchange rates do not move sharply against the trader.
Example:
If the Australian dollar has a 4% interest rate and the Japanese yen has a 1% interest rate, a trader borrowing yen to buy Australian dollars could earn a net 3% interest differential, assuming exchange rates remain stable.
In summary:
A carry trade is a strategy to earn profits by exploiting differences in interest rates between two currencies, borrowing cheap money to invest in higher-yielding assets, commonly used in forex markets #GOLD
Weekly trading plan for XRPIn this idea I marked the important levels for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
It seems that the price is in a local triangle and if the descending trend line is broken we can expect growth to the resistance zone
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
EUR/USD Bullish Setup: Key Pullback Zone & Trade Plan📊 EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Bullish Trend in Play 📊
In this latest breakdown, I dive into the EUR/USD pair, which is currently showing strong bullish momentum on the higher timeframes 🔥. Price action has been respecting a clean uptrend, forming a sequence of higher highs and higher lows — a textbook bullish market structure ✅.
In the video, I walk you through:
- The daily chart setup and what’s fueling the current move upward 🗓️
- My key interest zones for a possible pullback entry 🔁
- What I'm watching on the 4H and 30-minute timeframes for confirmation ⏱️
- Target areas, including recent swing highs and liquidity levels 🧲
Ideally, I’d like to see price pull back into equilibrium (around the 50% level of the recent range). If we get that retracement and a bullish break of structure, I’ll be looking to get long on this move 📈🟢.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please do your own research and manage risk accordingly. 🛡️📉
Midweek Market Pulse: Gold Surges, Dollar Slips, Bitcoin WobblesThis week’s market landscape is shaped by growing U.S. fiscal concerns, a weakening dollar, and surprising moves in gold and crypto. In this midweek review, I break down the key macroeconomic drivers behind DXY's slide, gold’s bounce from key support, and why Bitcoin is showing unusual weakness despite a softening dollar. Plus, I highlight critical upcoming events like the G7 finance summit and Fed speeches that could spark fresh volatility. Don’t miss this strategic breakdown if you trade DXY, XAUUSD, or BTCUSD!